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Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins. Analogy with traditional markets Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains. Depth and structure of the crypto market The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables. Liquidity and spread Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading. Indexation and synthetic assets The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets. Conclusion Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge. Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR), Horban Brothers.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by horbanbrothers
Expect ETHEREUM to start outperforming BITCOINOn this analysis we compare Bitcoin's last two Cycles to Ethereum's. The recent underperformance of ETH against BTC has got many worried but in our view, there is no reason for concern. This 'lagging' is something ETH did on its previous Cycle as well. While Bitcoin already broke to a new ATH in December 2020, Ethereum was still significantly under it. Once the break out happened, ETH outperformed BTC by double the rise to the Cycle's Top (+789% against +337%). As Ethereum is once more lagging but it is holding its 1week MA50, we expect to start outperforming Bitcoin again, which is leading with a break out. In our view the time to move to the 'undervalued' Ethereum is now. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
7
XRPUSD: Will the 1D MA50 hold?XRP turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook again (RSI = 52.270, MACD = 0.080, ADX = 20.430) as it failed to extend the uptrend and instead is pulling back today. The 1D MA50 is still holding and as long as it does, the trend will stay bullish on the short term. Technically it reminds us of the April 2017 consolidation, which after keeping the 1D MA50 intact, it posted another rally to the 1.618. The similarities between those time periods are obvious and that keeps us bullish on XRP, aiming for just under the 1.617 Fib (TP = 8.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
UMA ANALYSIS📊 #UMA Analysis : Update ✅As we said earlier, #UMA performed same. Around 80% move done in #UMA. There was a formation of Descending Channel Pattern on weekly chart with a breakout🧐 Current we can see a little retest and then we could target for next resistance 👀Current Price:  $2.890 🚀 Target Price:    $3.800 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #UMA price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️ #UMA  #Cryptocurrency  #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
#Monero $XMRUSD One Year AnalysisCRYPTO:XMRUSD Keylevels / Range $120: Lowest trend price. If the price closes below this level, it would signal a bearish trend. $163: Lowest range price. A close below this level would unlock a new lower zone extending down to $120. $203: Current price. $233: Upper limit of the current channel/wedge. $370: Long-term target. Analysis: Monero has been trading within a range of $183 to $206 for the past two weeks. The price has closed above $197 for the first time since May 2022. This move potentially unlocks a new range, reaching at least $233, where the upper limit of the current channel/wedge and a monthly/weekly supply zone are located. A weekly close above $237 would strongly indicate the unlocking of a new charted zone extending from $237 to $370. Coin Bio: Monero (XMR), is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency launched in April 2014. It was originally forked from the Bytecoin blockchain. Unlike many other cryptocurrencies, Monero's primary focus is on ensuring the anonymity and untraceability of transactions. Key features include: Ring Signatures: Obfuscate the sender's identity. Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT): Hide the transaction amount. Stealth Addresses: Create unique, one-time addresses for each transaction, obscuring the receiver's identity. These features make Monero attractive to individuals seeking financial privacy and are a core differentiator in the cryptocurrency space. It's developed by an anonymous community of developers and has gained significant traction for its commitment to private and fungible transactions. While its focus on privacy can be controversial, it remains a prominent cryptocurrency with a dedicated user base. XRMUSD specifically refers to the trading pair of Monero against the US Dollar. #CRYPTO #MONERO #XMRUSD #XMR #CRYPTOCURRENCY #AHMEDMESBAH
CRYPTO:XMRUSD
by AhmedMesbah
CHZUSDT: Bullish Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!Yello, Paradisers! Is CHZUSDT about to break out into a bullish rally, or will the support zone crumble and invalidate the setup? We’re at a critical decision point, and how price reacts at key levels will be crucial. Let’s break it down. 💎CHZUSDT has formed a W-pattern at a key support zone, which is a classic bullish reversal structure. This pattern increases the probability of an upward move, but it still requires confirmation. Without a proper breakout above resistance, the bullish setup remains incomplete. 💎To validate the W-pattern and increase the chances of bullish continuation, CHZUSDT needs to break through the resistance level and close a candle above it. A confirmed breakout at this level would signal strength from buyers and could lead to a significant upward move. 💎However, if the price pulls back instead of breaking out, there’s still hope for the bullish case. In the event of a retracement, we can expect a bounce from the strong support zone. But to increase the probability in our favor, it’s essential to watch for bullish signals on lower time frames. These include an Internal Change of Character (I-CHoCH) or familiar patterns like a smaller W-pattern or an inverse head and shoulders. Seeing any of these will reinforce the bullish outlook. 💎On the other hand, if the price breaks down and closes a candle below the strong support zone, the bullish idea becomes invalid. In that case, it’s better to step back and wait for cleaner price action to form before making any new decisions. It’s never a good idea to force a trade when the market is unclear. Patience is key here. The market rewards those who wait for high-probability setups rather than chasing moves without confirmation. Discipline and a clear strategy will always keep you ahead. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
4
MICROSTRATEGY a pyramid ponzi.Understanding the situation with MSTR can be quite complex. Many people recognize that MicroStrategy has been issuing convertible bonds at a 0% interest rate to purchase Bitcoin. This strategy tends to drive up both Bitcoin's price and the value of MSTR shares. As a result, the scheme appears to inflate continuously, placing the risk on bondholders. The only way for MSTR's stock price to keep rising is through the issuance of increasingly larger amounts of convertible debt; otherwise, the entire pyramid would collapse. It's understandable why Michael Saylor seems to be focusing more on shilling MSTR bonds instead of Bitcoin itself. Why would institutions invest in MSTR's convertible bonds at 0%? Many believe it's because they anticipate being able to convert these bonds into MSTR stock in five years at a predetermined price, potentially around $675, effectively giving them a premium-free call option. However, there is a hidden cost to this strategy: inflation. At first glance, this might seem like a poor investment choice—if one expects MSTR's value to rise, it would make more sense to buy the shares now rather than commit funds to a higher price in the future. Why would anyone engage in such a massive financial manoeuvre involving BILLIONS? The truth is, those purchasing the bonds are ACTUALLY indifferent to the rising stock value! Their primary interest lies in capitalizing on price fluctuations. Ultimately, a convertible bond functions as a CALL OPTION; thus, as the MSTR stock price experiences greater volatility, the premium on the call increases. Recently the value of these convertible bonds has surged by 170%. This is precisely why investors are unconcerned about interest rates or the actual conversion of the bonds—they have ZERO desire to convert! The reason? Issuing new shares would only dilute their holdings! All the rewards with none of the risks! But what happens if MSTR collapses? Bondholders will seize all the Bitcoin MSTR possesses, leaving shareholders with nothing but scraps! Can you fathom how deep this MSTR Ponzi scheme really is? The more you explore, the more mental acrobatics you need to perform to grasp the situation! Many believe that bond buyers are naive, but in reality, they are the sharpest players in the game, reaping the benefits without facing the risks! In the current climate, that’s the nature of volatility! It doesn’t matter if MSTR’s stock price fluctuates; they’re insulated from the fallout. Who do you think is betting against MSTR? It’s the bondholders, and their positions are secure! Ultimately, for someone to profit, someone else must incur a loss, and it won’t be the bondholders. This means that regular shareholders are poised for significant losses, as the primary force driving MSTR’s stock price is its own volatility. Once that volatility dissipates, we could see MSTR plummet below $100 a share! All those crypto enthusiasts will be left reeling, wondering how MSTR could possibly decline while Bitcoin’s value rises!!! What’s the main effect of these convertible bonds? They create volatility in the stock price, leading to wild swings up and down, just as we’re currently witnessing. What occurs when the volatility subsides? The stock price will plummet! Many people are misdirecting their focus on metrics, technical analysis, and listening to Michael Saylor's commentary on CNBC. Instead, they should be paying attention to the volatility of MSTR's stock price, as its decline will directly impact the stock's value. Don't be misled; even if MSTR falls below $300, it will still be overpriced and could potentially drop to under $100 per share due to the convertible bonds scheme. Claims from MSTR valuation sites that each share is backed by a certain amount of Bitcoin are misleading; the reality is that the shares are not backed by anything. The BONDHOLDERS are the ones who possess all the Bitcoin. There’s no such thing as a free lunch—someone has to bear the costs, and in MSTR's case, that burden will fall on the shareholders. You certainly don’t want to be left holding the bag when the music stops. It is important to maintain a clear perspective regarding cryptocurrencies; they should not be viewed as traditional investments, but rather as something more comparable to gambling. While you may have the advantage of being an expert poker player, the only way to truly win is to cash out your profits. Otherwise, you risk losing on MSTR and in the crypto market.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by BallaJi
47
GBPUSD Analysis: Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgEThe forex pair GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.25600, with a target price set at 1.28000, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The price action showcases a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation, which has already broken out to the upside. This breakout confirms a shift in momentum, aligning with the bullish prediction made in prior analysis. Falling wedges typically suggest decreasing bearish pressure, paving the way for buyers to dominate. The breakout signifies a strong upward move, reinforcing confidence in the target price. Traders may see this as an opportunity to capitalize on the bullish trend. However, market conditions, such as economic data or geopolitical events, should still be monitored. Proper risk management remains essential to mitigate potential losses. This setup highlights the importance of technical analysis in identifying profitable trading opportunities.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Analyzing AUDJPY Breakout: A Bullish Opportunity The forex pair AUDJPY is currently trading at 99.000, with a target price set at 100.000. This suggests an anticipated price movement of 100 pips, signaling a potential gain if the trade goes as planned. The price action indicates an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern often associated with upward price momentum. A breakout above the triangle's resistance level has already occurred, confirming the bullish bias. This breakout implies that buyers are in control, increasing the likelihood of reaching the target. The ascending triangle reflects higher lows, showing consistent buying pressure. Traders often view this as a strong technical indicator for upward movement. Risk management is crucial, as market conditions can shift unexpectedly. Monitoring the pair's price action and related economic events is essential. The breakout provides a clear trading opportunity aligned with technical analysis.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Would you sell against BTC?After BTCUSD reached its All Time High (ATH) of 108,451 on Dec 17th, it dropped strongly to the support area of 91,600. In the first week of the year, BTCUSD has bounced off the support to trade up to the 101,900 area again. Which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. At this point, the TSRI MACD is indicating the potential for a crossover to the downside. However, if the price stays above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level AND the bullish trendline, further upside is likely! Would be looking to buy at value rather than trying to short it down.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JinDao_Tai
Why You Shouldn't Be a Trader: The Emotional RollercoasterEver thought about diving into trading? Here's the honest truth from someone who's been there. I used to think trading was all about numbers and charts, but boy, was I wrong. It's more like riding an emotional rollercoaster that can make you feel like you've aged years in a single day. Imagine this: one day you're on top of the world, feeling like you've finally figured it out, and the next, you're down in the dumps, rethinking your entire life. Here's the deal: -Heart-Stopping Volatility: The market's ups and downs can turn your emotions upside down. One second you're ecstatic with a win; the next, you're in despair over a loss. -No Off Switch: Unlike most jobs, there's no "clocking out" with trading. Your mind never really stops, even when you're supposed to be chilling. -The Lonely Trader's Path: It can feel like you're on this journey alone, with no one to share the load or celebrate the victories with. But here's the twist - I've learned how to navigate this wild ride. With a bit of community and some laughs, trading doesn't have to be a solo act. If you're feeling the weight of this rollercoaster or just curious about how to keep your emotions in check, why not hit me up? Drop me a DM or check out my profile for more on how we can tackle this together. Give this post a boost, a like, or leave a comment if you've felt the same way. Let's share the journey, not just the journey's lows. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
SP:SPXEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
Trading Anxiety: When Fear Messes Up Your TradesEver had that scary feeling in your tummy before you make a trade? I totally get it. I used to let my worries take over my trading days. Every time the market went down, it felt like it was out to get me, making me sell stuff too fast or miss out on good deals because I was too scared. Here's what happened: - Always Scared: I was so afraid of losing money that I kept questioning every move I made, even when it was probably the right one. - Stuck in Thinking: I'd look at so many charts that I couldn't make up my mind. It was like being stuck because every choice seemed like it could be wrong. - No Sleep: I thought staying up late to watch the markets would help me, but it just made me super tired and even more worried the next day. But I learned how to deal with it. I started using stop-losses, like safety nets, so I wouldn't lose too much. I tried mindfulness stuff to keep calm. And I decided no more screens after trading time, so I could get a good night's sleep. If you're feeling the same kind of worry when you trade, you're not by yourself. We're all in this together. Let's talk about how we can stay chill even when the market gets crazy. Leave a comment or send me a message if you want to chat about dealing with this stress. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
CRYPTO:PREUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
My FOMO Nightmare: How Missing One Trade Changed My Trading LifeI remember the day like it was yesterday. I was scrolling through X (Twitter), seeing everyone go wild over this one stock. My heart raced as I watched the price skyrocket, but I hesitated. I hadn't done my homework on this one, and something felt off. But the fear of missing out? That was eating at me. The next day, I woke up to see the stock had crashed. My initial relief turned into regret. Maybe I could've sold at the peak if I had just jumped in like everyone else. That's when FOMO, or Fear Of Missing Out, became my trading nemesis: -Hasty Actions: I started jumping into trades at the last minute, driven by the buzz on social media, not by my own analysis. -Screen Addiction: I couldn't step away from my screen, worried I'd miss the next big move. My life began revolving around the market's every twitch. - Chasing Losses: After missing a few opportunities, I found myself in a dangerous cycle, trying to make up for lost gains with even riskier trades. But here's the twist in my story. One evening, after a particularly bad day of chasing trends, I sat back and realized how this fear was controlling me, not my strategy. I decided to change. I set strict rules for myself: no trading based on social media hype, sticking to my research, and remembering that every market has its patterns - there's always another chance if you miss one. Now, I trade with a calm mind, knowing that if I miss one trade, there'll be another. If you've ever felt that burning desire to join the rush, only to regret it later, you're not alone. Let's share our stories and strategies for overcoming FOMO. DM me if you want to chat about how we can keep our heads in the game, not just our eyes on the screen. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading