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Crypto
Bitcoin's Wave 5 of 5: The Road to 180k?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
#Bitcoin Fractal Potential (Log):
Bitcoin’s price movements have long fascinated analysts, particularly the recurring fractal patterns observed within actionary waves. These patterns, while intriguing, require careful interpretation, as they do not guarantee future outcomes but offer potential insights into the market’s trajectory.
This analysis focuses on wave 5 (W5) within the actionary waves 1 and 3. Historically, W5 has often been the longest wave in these sequences, suggesting a possibility for significant movement if the pattern persists. However, it’s essential to approach these projections with caution and flexibility.
The Wave Structure
In Elliott Wave Theory, actionary waves 1, 3, and 5 are motive waves, typically impulsive and aligned with the primary trend. Among these, wave 3 usually attracts speculative momentum, leading to significant price moves. Historical data suggests, in this case, that wave 5 has frequently outpaced waves 1 and 3, hinting at the potential for the final wave 5 to extend as well. This pattern, while intriguing, is not a fixed rule and should be treated as a hypothesis rather than a certainty.
Key Levels: W4 and Conservative Pivots
For wave 5 to develop, wave 4 (W4) must establish firm support. Currently, the critical level to watch is 86.8k. If Bitcoin holds this level, it could provide a foundation for further upward movement. Using conservative pivots, potential targets for W5 are estimated between 145k and 180k. These projections are based on historical extensions but remain speculative and contingent on market conditions.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above 86.8k and demonstrates impulsive upward moves, it increases the likelihood of hitting the projected targets. Look for strong rallies and corrective pullbacks as indicators of sustained momentum.
Bearish Case: A failure to maintain support at 86.8k could invalidate the W4 setup, suggesting a deeper correction or a shift in the wave structure. This would necessitate reevaluation and could indicate a prolonged consolidation phase.
Caveats and Confluence
While the projections are based on historical patterns, they are not deterministic. The potential alignment of area levels and Fibonacci zones adds confluence but does not eliminate uncertainty. Observing impulsive price movements and corrective behaviors at smaller degrees is crucial for confirmation.
It’s also important to remain aware of external market factors that can influence Bitcoin’s price action. These variables can disrupt even the most well-founded wave structures.
Final Thoughts
The potential for Bitcoin to reach 145k-180k is an exciting prospect, but it is not a foregone conclusion. Traders should treat these projections as one piece of the puzzle and incorporate other tools and analyses. Flexibility and adherence to key levels are essential to navigate the inherent uncertainty of markets.
Whether history repeats or diverges, the coming months will provide valuable insights into Bitcoin’s fractal tendencies and market behavior.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
ETH ChartHey,
Since December 9th, markets have mostly pulled back, with ETH and RUNE doing what we expected and shared in our community.
My bullish conviction on ETH was a bit too strong with the crazy inflows, but my overall outlook remains positive for 2025.
ETH is now stalling on its upper wedge trend line, likely consolidating before new highs.
ETF holdings for ETH have grown by 64%, showing continued bullish sentiment.
Expecting more upside and the ETH target remains the same for me.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
an analysis on BTCBINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅ Currently, with the break of the $97,500 resistance, it can grow to the top of its trading range, which is the $99,500 range 👌
✅ Bitcoin's exit from the top of the short-term trading range will start a new upward wave and record a new high for Bitcoin 👍
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
what can we find about USDT's dominance?CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
✅ Tether Dominance has also reacted to the 4.40 supply range once again and has broken its short-term uptrend line 👏👏
✅ Currently, with the breakdown of the 4% support, it can move towards the major support of 3.73 again, and with its breakdown, a new downward leg for Tether Dominance will begin 👌
✅ The major supply range for Tether Dominance is currently between 4.40 and 4.60 👍
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Solana $SOLUSD Trend line Break Out Solana COINBASE:SOLUSD Trend line Break Out
### Trend Line Breakout: A Technical Analysis Description
A **trend line breakout** is a key concept in technical analysis used by traders and investors to identify potential shifts in market trends and price momentum. Here's an in-depth explanation:
#### 1. **Understanding Trend Lines**
- **Definition**: A trend line is a straight line drawn on a price chart that connects at least two significant price points, acting as a support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend.
- **Purpose**: Trend lines help to visualize the direction of the market (uptrend, downtrend, or sideways movement) and provide a framework for understanding price behavior.
#### 2. **What is a Breakout?**
- A **breakout** occurs when the price moves decisively above a resistance trend line (in a downtrend) or below a support trend line (in an uptrend).
- The breakout signifies a potential change in the prevailing trend, which could lead to the beginning of a new trend or an acceleration of the existing trend.
#### 3. **Types of Breakouts**
- **Bullish Breakout**: When the price breaks above a resistance trend line, indicating a potential upward move.
- **Bearish Breakout**: When the price breaks below a support trend line, signaling a possible downward move.
#### 4. **Key Characteristics of a Trend Line Breakout**
- **Volume Confirmation**: Breakouts accompanied by high trading volume are considered more reliable as they reflect stronger market participation.
- **Retest of Trend Line**: After a breakout, the price often retests the trend line before continuing in the direction of the breakout.
- **Magnitude of Move**: The strength of the breakout can indicate the potential magnitude of the subsequent price move.
#### 5. **How to Use Trend Line Breakouts**
- **Entry Points**: Traders often enter positions in the direction of the breakout, buying during bullish breakouts or selling short during bearish breakouts.
- **Stop-Loss Placement**: Stops are typically placed just below the breakout level (for bullish breakouts) or above (for bearish breakouts) to manage risk.
- **Target Price**: Measured moves or projections based on prior price patterns or Fibonacci extensions can guide profit-taking.
#### 6. **Common Pitfalls**
- **False Breakouts**: Sometimes, the price moves briefly beyond the trend line but fails to sustain momentum. These are referred to as false breakouts and can trap traders.
- **Over-reliance on Trend Lines**: Trend lines are just one of many tools; confirmation from other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) enhances reliability.
#### 7. **Examples and Real-World Applications**
- **Uptrend Breakout**: In an uptrend, a breakout above a consolidating resistance trend line may signal the continuation of the bullish momentum.
- **Downtrend Breakout**: In a downtrend, breaking below a support trend line can indicate further bearish pressure.
Trend line breakouts are integral to many trading strategies. By understanding their mechanics and combining them with other analytical tools, traders can effectively capitalize on market opportunities while managing risks.
SUIUSD Still holding the 1D MA50 after 4 months! Bullish to $10.Sui (SUIUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 market bottom. The last 10 days of December are seeing a vicious test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is so far holding as Support.
In fact the last time we had a 1D candle close below it, was 4 months ago (September 05 2024). With the 1D RSI making a bullish reversal and breaking above its MA (yellow trend-line) while the 1D MACD is about to make a Bullish Cross, both indicators in similar fashion as the bottoms of October and September 2024, we treat the current consolidation above the 1D MA50 as the strongest buy signal of the past 2 months.
The previous two Bullish Legs both rose by exactly +219.25%, so our Target is currently a little below that margin at $10.000.
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Is ARB Poised for a Major Move? Here’s What You Need to WatchYello, Paradisers! Are you ready for a potential game-changing move in #ARBUSDT? The current setup hints at a decisive moment that could lead to either a breakout or a steep decline. Let’s dive into the details to see what’s unfolding.
💎#ARBUSDT is currently sitting between two critical levels. On the upside, the $0.8400 minor resistance is a key threshold that buyers need to breach to regain momentum. A successful break above this level could open the door to $1.00 and eventually test the major resistance zone at $1.2389–$1.2949. This area represents a psychological and technical barrier likely to attract significant profit taking. Overcoming it, however, could trigger an explosive rally as bullish sentiment takes hold.
💎On the downside, the support zone at $0.6515 is acting as a safety net for now. If this level fails, #Arbitrum could descend into the demand zone at $0.5685. A decisive bounce from here, coupled with increased volume, could signal the start of a rally targeting resistance levels and beyond. Conversely, a failure to hold this zone would confirm a bearish breakdown, inviting further downside movement.
💎The battle between bulls and bears hinges on how #ARB reacts to these critical levels. If buying volume increases near $0.8400 and #ARBUSD clears it with strength, the momentum shift could drive prices higher toward the $1.2389 region. Conversely, any rejection at $0.8400 or weakness near $0.6515 would signal that sellers are still in control, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
Keep an eye on trading volume, as it will confirm the strength of any breakout or breakdown. Low volume moves are often fakeouts, so stay cautious and wait for clear signals before entering a trade.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Dot looks ready for 40$ Dot Finally Polkadot Looking Good Atleast For 1st Quarter Of 2025 After Multiyear Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Dot Did Healthy Correction & Bounced From Key Support Successfully Finally Higher High Has Been Formed After Long Downtrend Targets Are Mentioned On Charts However I'm Expecting Atleast 4-5x In Next Couple Of Months
SPX 2025 7000+ The most likely scenario.Experts who forecast stock market collapses and peddle narratives of financial despair often refrain from investing in the very concepts they promote; otherwise, they would face severe financial ruin on a repeated basis.
From the very beginning of this decade, I have championed a bold, risk-taking stance, predicting that these years will be remembered as the roaring 2020's, a time marked by an echo bubble of the 1920's.
This era is defined by the powerful convergence of technology, artificial intelligence, and blockchain, all propelling asset prices to new heights. The wealth generated by these colossal corporations and blockchain innovations is accumulating and concentrating, leaving behind individuals who are not part of these transformative trends.
Meanwhile, everyday people are grappling with a significant inflationary wave, as the value of their fiat currency continues to dwindle. To compound the issue, in 2024 around 150,000 workers have been laid off from giants like Tesla and Microsoft, a direct result of automation.
In this relentless struggle, machines are emerging victorious.
The age-old saying that markets lack a reason to rise but require one to fall or underperform holds particularly true, especially in the good old USA.
It’s reasonable to think that 2025 will not replicate the precise calendar movements of 2024 so it's prudent to lean towards performance tracking other years such as...
2017, the SPX return stood at 18%, marking it as the year that most closely aligns with 2025, the inaugural year of Trump's presidency.
Fast forward to 2023, where the percentage rose to 24%, making it the nearest reference point in the short term. As we are predicting a continuation of the bull market.
Meanwhile, 2021 reached a peak of 29%, representing the euphoric climax of that cyclical bull market, a scenario that could very well repeat itself in 2025.
The emerging pattern for 2025 appears to be shaped by these three pivotal years. Given that we are now nearer to the conclusion of the bull market than its inception, it seems prudent to draw insights from the trends of 2021 and 2023.
suiusdt long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Bitcoin Update !The price previously moved within an ascending channel but broke downwards.
After the breakdown, BTC consolidated in a falling wedge pattern and is now breaking upwards.
The red line (possibly the 50 MA) and the black line (possibly the 20 MA) indicate a bearish crossover during the breakdown.
The price is now attempting to rise above both moving averages.
It appears that BTC has successfully broken out of the wedge pattern.
A retest of the breakout level around $94,000-$95,000 may occur before further upside.
The hand-drawn curve suggests a bullish scenario, targeting levels around $110,000-$112,000 in the medium term.
Before the uptrend resumes, there could be a pullback or correction around the $102,000-$104,000 area.
Key Levels:
Support: $94,000, $92,000
Resistance: $100,000, $104,000, $112,000
The breakout from the falling wedge is a bullish signal, and if BTC stays above the moving averages and key support levels, a move toward $110,000 is possible. However, keep an eye on a potential retest of $94,000 for confirmation.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
BTC Long - 100k pending?Bitcoin has held support for the 3rd time in the past week and a half, putting in a lower low with bullish divergence.
Along with this it has broken the third degree supply line suggesting the end to an accumulation phase. We are long and you can position yourself here with a first tp at the 618 and a stop loss below the low. Layering down would be optimal to get a greater rr, however for this pattern to play out we'd look for fast price action this week.
Will #ANKR See Another Bullish Push From the Bulls? Key LevelsYello, Paradisers! Is #ANKRUSDT poised for a breakout, or are we heading deeper? Let’s break down this critical setup for #Ankr:
💎#ANKR has been trading within a descending channel on the 4-hour chart. The price is approaching the descending resistance of this channel and the next few candles will determine whether bulls are ready to take control.
💎For #ANKRUSD to confirm a breakout, it must decisively close above the $0.0406 resistance level. This would open the door to a rally towards the major resistance zone at $0.0485, where sellers may return in force. A strong breakout here could fuel momentum for further upside, potentially targeting even higher levels.
💎If buyers push the price above $0.0485, it will signify a major shift in market sentiment, and we could see #ANKR head toward $0.0580 or higher. To confirm this breakout, you need to watch for increased trading volume and strong bullish candles. Without these signals, any upward move risks being a fakeout.
💎On the flip side, failure to break the descending resistance could lead to a pullback toward the $0.03307 support level. If this support doesn't hold, the price may retest the demand zone at $0.02776.
💎A 4-hour candle close below $0.02776 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp decline toward $0.02500 or even lower. Traders should exercise caution if this scenario unfolds.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BTCUSD: Williams bounce points to $119k next.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.385, MACD = -483.200, ADX = 34.048) and just today it hit its 1D MA50, which is the first sign of restoring the bullish trend. The strongest bullish indicator is the Williams%R, which has rebounded rapidly since turning oversold at -93.00. Every time it hit that level and rebounded since July 2024, it rallied by +30%. Consequently, we aim for just under that level (TP = 115,000).
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Ripple analysishello guys
There are two scenarios for Ripple:
1: By hitting the ceiling for the third time, it will succeed in breaking and witness its growth.
2: Don't be afraid to break the ceiling and make a step purchase by falling in the specified
support areas.
What do we think?
We think scenario 1 is more likely to happen.
Be successful and profitable.