Ethereum Weekly: Bullish & Bearish ExplainedEthereum has been sideways five weeks straight. Market conditions here are bullish and bearish short-term. Let me explain.
The market has bearish potential because of resistance. Ethereum has been facing resistance and fails to move forward for more than one month, but the bias isn't bearish, this is just a potential based on short-term price action.
The market has bullish potential because of a strong recovery after the 7-April low; because it trades above the August 2024 low and because there is very little retrace since the 5-May break of resistance in the form of EMA34 and MA200.
Ethereum is bullish because it trades above MA200 and remains above this level.
We are seeing bullish consolidation. There was an advance recently and after this advance the market went sideways. This means bullish.
While there can be a retrace short-term, market conditions remain bullish for this pair; ETHUSDT.
The bulls have the upper-hand and the majority of signals are bullish. Ethereum will continue to grow.
There is no scenario where Ethereum moves and closes weekly below its 3-Feb and 24-Feb lows ($2,075). It is simply consolidating before additional growth. It is going to go up, sooner rather than later.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Crypto
Dogecoin, How Far Down Can It Go? Support Confirmed!The retrace is on and Dogecoin is moving lower with a full red candle. The trading day just started and this is truly concerning. As soon as I saw what was happening, bearish momentum growing, I wondered, will the last low (7-April) break or hold?
That's the question I will try to answer.
Since we already looked at the candles and chart structure (lower highs), I looked at the RSI to try and find some clues. Sure, the RSI is already bearish and became really weak 5-June. This is a positive signal because we are looking for signs of a reversal.
Once the RSI becomes weak it immediately starts to turn and the change happens first on the RSI and later the price. This is how you end up with a bullish or bearish divergence on the chart.
For the 7-April low to break, the RSI would have to go into extreme levels, ultra-weak/oversold, but this isn't likely, which means that there is a good chance that the 7-April low will hold.
A support zone is already being tested now which is the 0.618-0.786 Fib. retracement in relation to the April-May wave. While this is a weak support because it is based on the short-term, it is still a support zone and lots of bearish ammunition will be consumed here.
The 7-April low was a peak in September 2024 and also a bigger range from July 2024 (resistance turned support). In October 2024 this level was broken and tested one last time as support before the last bullish wave Dogecoin produced leading to a multi-year high.
In November 2024 again this level was tested on a wick and held nicely.
All in all, this means that we are likely to end with a higher low because this is a very strong support zone. I made it red on the chart.
If the action does move lower, it should only do so briefly on a candle wick. If you are lucky enough to be around when this takes place, you can go all-in at this point and you will be sitting on a great position for the next bullish wave.
Namaste.
AERO: Take Off!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Long Entry at $0.515
Recap
SPARKS:AERO caught a bid after Coinbase news hit, but world events quickly clipped the rally’s wings. Price bounced cleanly off the .48 level, which aligned with an Area of Interest (AOI), a Level of Interest (LOI), and a golden zone retracement displayed in the last analysis.
Explanation
The .48 level was key and the reaction was textbook. The Coinbase news provided a catalyst just as price reached the .55 level. However, macro uncertainty remains a headwind.
Now, all eyes are back on .55. Bulls need to defend this structural level. The current pierce of .75 is an encouraging move. Continuation and a proper flip of that level would keep confidence high. Wave 3s are a sight to see, so a retrace may not even occur if price simply sends. Still, while AERO stood up and moved counter to the broader market when world news dropped, that alone may not be enough if global bearish reactions continue.
Outlook
Entry projected in the previous analysis has played out in ideal fashion, but the market remains fluid. Key levels:
.75 recent break
.55 ideal hold
.48 impulse invalidation
Current trend at the lesser degree is up and holding higher lows. Next objective: take out the .80 pivot and change the trend at the higher degree.
Break of the higher lows at the lesser degree would be the first sign of weakness. I’m watching for a definitive correction for a potential long add. A swift move that breaks higher lows could signal danger to bulls.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
Aave Has Room To Go Lower, I Will Spot The ReversalAave outperformed many pairs. Total growth reached 185%. It even produced one final advance and peaked only two days ago, 11-June. But now the bears are in and taking control of the chart. A strong rise is balanced out by a strong drop.
I think this is a nice project, a great project a nice pair. The strategy here is all the same. Advanced traders go SHORT. The rest, wait for support to be established before going LONG. Wait for the drop to end before buying again.
Remember, there will be plenty of time and plenty of signals showing the low is in. I will be here posting charts everyday.
I will catch the perfect bottom on this retrace, the same we did 7-April. It will be easy.
In fact, we will spot the reversal even before it takes place.
Thanks for the follow and for your continued support.
Namaste.
Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold? BTCUSD – Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold?
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
Bitcoin continues to face downside pressure after failing to hold above the key $108K resistance. Several macro factors are influencing sentiment:
📉 US bond yields are rising again, as markets expect the Fed to delay rate cuts. This adds pressure on risk assets like BTC.
🪙 Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows remain positive, but are currently not strong enough to counter short-term selling pressure.
💵 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is recovering, as investors flee to USD amid geopolitical volatility in the Middle East.
📊 Institutional liquidity is thinning across exchanges, adding to intraday volatility.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔹 Trend Structure:
BTC is now firmly in a short-term downtrend, trading below the descending trendline and all key moving averages (EMA 34, 89, 200).
Rejection from every pullback suggests that sellers are still in control.
🔹 Key Price Zones:
Bearish FVG Resistance: 106,096 – 107,004
First Support Zone: 102,821
Major Support Zone: 101,539 → 100,419
A clean break below 100K could open the door to 98,000 and below
🔹 Momentum:
RSI is neutral, hovering around the mid-40s without strong divergence signals.
Selling volume is increasing but not yet explosive — indicating the market may be awaiting a macro catalyst.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Traders are currently in “wait-and-see” mode, eyeing the next round of macroeconomic data and potential Fed commentary.
Short-term profit-taking is dominant after last week’s sharp rally.
Overall sentiment: Bearish short-term – Neutral mid-term – Bullish long-term
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas
🔻 SELL if price retests FVG and gets rejected
Entry: 106,000 – 107,000
Stop-Loss: 107,500
Targets: 102,821 → 101,539 → 100,419
🔹 BUY if price reacts strongly from 100,419 – 101,500
Entry: 100,500 – 100,800
Stop-Loss: 99,800
Targets: 102,800 → 104,400 → 106,000
Preference is given to selling the rally in the short term. Buying should only be considered on confirmed reversal signals at key support.
✅ Conclusion
BTCUSD is currently in a corrective phase, with bears maintaining control. The key level to watch is the $100,419 support zone, which may determine whether Bitcoin maintains its medium-term bullish structure or breaks further. Discipline and confirmation are crucial in this volatile environment.
📌 Strategy Focus: Look to sell rallies toward resistance; buy only on confirmed bounce from strong support zones.
Aptos, Good & Bad (Leveraged Trading vs Spot)This is both good and bad at the same time.
The bad part, or rather sad part, is the fact that there hasn't been any decent bullish action recently. This pair did not grow by any significant amount after its 7-April low.
Ok, what about the good part?
The good part is that prices are low. This pair is "yet to move."
Low prices means a great buy opportunity for what we know comes next.
I know, I know... You might not believe me or your morale might be done but we already had a preview with many pairs growing between 100 and 300%. In less than two months. That's the preview. But the market is big and not the entire market can advance in a single wave. That's why I keep on harping "choose wisely," because sometimes we can end up with the pairs that are not moving in the current wave. They will move, trust, but some will move now and others later down the road.
Ok, good and bad.
The bad part is not that bad but it can be said that it is bad that prices are low. But this is actually good. If prices were high, there would be no buying opportunity, we would have to ignore, dismiss this pair. Since prices are trading low-near support, we can accumulate; buy and hold focused on the long-term.
I mentioned tons of times leveraged trading but all these chart setup can be traded spot. In fact, any setup that is good for leverage is even better for spot because the risk is none.
With spot trading we simply hold. What's the problem? You expected 1,000% growth in 2 months? If that's the case, it simply takes longer and we wait. See? No loss, the worst case scenario is a long-term wait. That's spot trading, buy and hold and you will win in the end.
Leveraged trading is more complex but you know, risk vs reward. You put on lots of risk, huge risk but wow, the rewards potential is awesome. We only approach this tool when we learn the market, when we know what we are doing and we have no need for money; only when money is already plentiful and available.
If you have a need to earn now, "make money fast," and so on; avoid leveraged trading at all costs because it is very likely that you will lose everything rather than achieve success. But, on the other hand, if you are living the good life, you communicate with your wife and you have heart, you are grateful for the food you eat, for the simple stuff, for your house, your friends, your bed; then you can use leveraged trading. Because you will be able to know when to close a position and say "thank you!" rather than double-down on a losing trade.
In short, we need a stable life and mind to use this tool with any success. If our lives and minds are not stable, it is better to start slow. If you cannot make money slow, you will not be able to make money fast. If you cannot appreciate $100, you won't be able to accept $1,000 for a single trade.
So, thanks a lot for your continued support.
I hope you are enjoying the content. It is always my pleasure to write for you, day after day after day.
Remember, it is not about getting it right or getting it wrong, it is all about a mental, emotional and spiritual connection. I am sharing what I learn just so that you can avoid the pain of a major loss, something that I know just too well because I've been there before. I've lost everything countless times and yet, I continue to fight, prosper and grow.
Namaste.
Cardano, What To Expect!The action is turning bearish after a very weak bounce from "higher low" on the chart. There is a sequence of local lower highs on ADAUSDT daily. What to expect?
Expect a test of the "higher low" zone as support and this zone breaking. The next level that will come into question is the "main support" but this one isn't likely to be tested.
Picture the action going lower towards support and ending right in between 'higher low' and 'main support'. This is the main scenario.
This scenario will keep the broader bullish structure intact and at the same time would end as a major market flush. As many weak hands as possible are removed and yet the bulls will remain in control.
Make no mistake, whatever happens in the short-term, Cardano will continue to grow. This is only a temporary event. Patience is key.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
XAU/USD.4h chart pattern.Gold (XAU) buy trade setup:
Trade Setup
Direction: Buy
Entry: 3386
1st Target: 3435
2nd Target: 3500
Stop Loss: Not provided (highly recommended to define this)
Potential Profit
To 1st Target: 3435 - 3386 = 490 points
To 2nd Target: 3500 - 3386 = 1140 points
Recommendation
🔺 Without a stop loss, the risk/reward profile can’t be fully evaluated. Please specify your stop loss to assess trade viability.
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss (example): If you use 3340, then:
Risk = 3386 - 3340 = 46 points
RR to 1st Target = 49 / 46 ≈ 1.06
RR to 2nd Target = 114 / 46 ≈ 2.48
Would you like help setting an optimal stop loss based on volatility or recent support levels? I can also provide a visual chart analysis if needed.
USDCHF Bullish or bearish Detail ANAYSISUSDCHF is currently setting up for a classic bearish continuation pattern. After breaking down sharply from the key support turned resistance zone around 0.81500, the pair is now in the middle of a technical retest. Price is currently hovering near 0.81 and showing signs of weakness on lower timeframes. This retest into the previous demand-turned-supply area aligns well with the expectation of a further leg to the downside. As long as the price stays below 0.81500, sellers are likely to dominate, targeting 0.8000 in the near term.
From a fundamental perspective, the bearish pressure on USDCHF is supported by growing market speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin rate cuts sooner than previously expected. With the latest US CPI data confirming disinflationary progress and unemployment claims ticking higher, dollar strength is taking a hit. Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc remains relatively stable as the SNB continues its measured approach, with inflation staying well within target and no immediate pressure to cut rates. This monetary policy divergence favors further downside in USDCHF.
Technically, momentum remains strongly bearish. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the bears are still in control. If price rejects the 0.81500 zone with a clear reversal candle, we can anticipate a strong continuation move toward the psychological level of 0.8000. This level also aligns with previous demand zones and Fibonacci extension targets, making it a solid downside objective.
This setup is a clean example of trend-following structure with fundamental backing. USDCHF is preparing to complete a textbook retest before its next drop, offering a high-probability short opportunity. If the rejection confirms around 0.81500, sellers can expect a solid move toward 0.8000 with favorable risk-reward. The setup is ideal for short-term swing traders tracking USD weakness across the board.
Bitcoin's Correction Confirmed, 93-97K Next TargetBitcoin's bearish continuation is now confirmed with three consecutive days of bearish action, today being a full red candle.
Good afternoon my fellow trader, how are you feeling today?
Opportunities are endless in this market, and if you trade, you can profit from the bullish as well as the bearish waves. Good entry timing is all that is needed for a successful trade, the right map and mindset.
So the lower high is confirmed and today's action confirms an incoming lower low. The 100K support is very likely to break but this is not written in stone. This is a high probability scenario. We are aiming for a price range of $97,000 - $93,000. But this isn't necessarily the end. Depending on how this level is handled, we will be able to know if prices will go lower or what.
$88,000 is a good level in the case there is strong bearish volume when the above price range is challenged as support. Now it is all a wait and see. Patience is key.
Once the a new support zone settles, we adapt to the market and focus on green. The next step is red. Down we go.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –
After a strong rejection from the $110K+ zone, Bitcoin is now retesting a critical trendline support on the 4-hour chart.
Key Highlights:
Price dropped sharply to $103K, almost tagging the key ascending support zone.
The previous breakout from the descending trendline is now being retested, which is a classic bullish retest pattern.
If bulls defend this region successfully, expect a potential bounce towards $108K–$ 114 K.
However, a clean breakdown below $102K would shift short-term momentum bearish.
Eyes on this zone. High-probability decision area.
Watch for reaction candles and volume spikes to confirm the next move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Pepe, Finding The Next Support ZoneThe same analysis that I made for Dogecoin is true here on PEPEUSDT.
We have two support zones. We have lower highs long-term, starting December 2024 (six months is already long-term), and short-term, June vs May.
What we are seeing is a repeat of the December correction but a miniature version. The bullish wave that follows will be a repeat of the April-May advance but with total growth highly magnified.
So the correction will end up being much smaller while the bullish wave that follows much stronger. Alternation.
If you want more information on price action, what is happening, read all the recent charts I just published. The situation across several projects is quite similar, at least the ones I've been seeing.
The duration of the correction will vary between a few days to a few weeks. Some pairs are already at bottom and will recover soon while others still have a long way to go. Those that grew nicely recently will remain lower, those that didn't grow will move up strong first.
Each chart needs to be considered individually but that's the general picture. You can find which ones will move first on the next wave based on recent past action.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin's Price Action Reveals A Bearish Ethereum—Back To BasicsBitcoin is bearish, top confirmed; we know Ethereum and Bitcoin move together in the exact same way. This means that Ethereum will also move lower.
Here we have a higher high but lacking strength, volume is dropping. There will be a continuation of the retrace.
Consider waiting (SHORT) until after the FED decision result. The market can remain slightly bearish until after the event. The drop will open the doors for new entry prices. Market conditions can always change.
We are live with a 20X SHORT on Bitcoin, Ethereum will do the same. Just a small drop (can be a strong drop) ending in a higher low followed by a new wave of growth. Not all charts/pairs/projects are the same. Some will move down while others move up. Sell at resistance, buy at support.
Namaste.
XAU/USD.1h chart pattern.
📈 Trade Setup (Long Position on Gold)
Entry: 3320
Target 1: 3370 (💰 +50 points)
Target 2: 3400 (💰 +80 points)
Stop-Loss (suggested): You haven’t specified, but a technical stop-loss around 3290–3300 could be prudent, depending on volatility and timeframe.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target 1: 1:2 (assuming 25-point SL)
Target 2: 1:3.2 (approx.)
🧠 Key Considerations
Technicals: Check if 3320 is near a support zone. A bounce from support strengthens the setup.
Fundamentals: Watch for:
Fed announcements
US Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation data (CPI, PPI)
Geopolitical risks (which can spike gold)
Would you like:
A chart analysis?
An updated gold price?
Risk/reward calculation for your capital?
Let me know how I can assist further.
BTCUSD: Can it repeat the U.S. elections rally?Bitcoin is on a slight pullback, being only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.024, MACD = 1611.500, ADX = 23.439). Based on the 1W RSI we may be on the October 30th - November 4th 2024 pullback that preceded the U.S. elections. The decisive test will be on the 1D MA50 again, but as long as the S1 level holds, chances are we will see a similar +106.40% rally. We remain bullish on BTC, TP = 150,000.
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Hyperliquid Correction Exposed, $16.6-$22.5 Range To Be TestedAfter a strong rise there is always a strong correction and I will call this normal market behavior.
Hyperliquid entered the TOP20 altcoins by market capitalization and now sits at #11. Amazing feat.
In a matter of 65 days, between 7-April and 11-June, HYPEUSDT grew a very nice 373%.
A correction can take prices back below the 0.618-0.786 Fib. retracement support range. Which means between $16.7 and $22.5.
As usual, after the bearish wave is over, we can expect a new wave of growth. This one should unravel fast.
Thank you for reading and for your continued support.
Additional details can be found on the chart.
Namaste.
#TRX Ready for a Recovery or Another Fall Ahead? Key LevelsYello Paradisers! Are you watching the #Tron's recent moves in the market? Let's look at the latest setup of #TRXUSDT to see what could be the next move:
💎After forming a textbook Ascending Channel over the past few months, #TRX just got rejected hard from the upper boundary near the $0.29–$0.30 zone. That rejection didn’t just happen anywhere—it came right at the major resistance zone, which has acted as a key reversal point since early May. This kind of rejection, especially after multiple touchpoints, isn't just noise—it's a sign of momentum exhaustion at the top.
💎From an Elliott Wave perspective, it’s very likely that the first major impulse wave (Wave 1) has just been completed with this recent peak, and what comes next could be the start of Wave 2—a corrective phase that typically retraces deep and fast before the market resumes its larger trend. That means any weakness below the channel support could mark the beginning of a more prolonged decline, trapping breakout buyers and squeezing late longs out of their positions.
💎Price is now hovering dangerously close to the lower boundary of the channel, trading at $0.274 at the time of writing. This is where things start to get interesting. A decisive breakdown from this ascending support would not only confirm a bearish structural shift but would also trigger a cascade effect—invalidating the bullish channel and opening the door for a larger move to the downside.
💎If that breakdown plays out, the first meaningful support sits at the $0.2433 level. But that’s just the beginning. The next major demand lies down around $0.2259—a level loaded with historical volume and likely to attract strong buying interest. Until then, any small bounce is just noise in what could become a significant trend reversal.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴