Crypto
NZDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISNZDCHF is currently trading around the 0.4880–0.4900 zone, and on the daily timeframe, the pair appears to be completing an inverse head and shoulders pattern. However, unlike the typical bullish nature of this pattern, price has failed to break above the neckline and is showing early signs of bearish continuation. The right shoulder has already failed to create a higher high, and recent bearish candlesticks with strong wicks to the upside suggest rejection and downside momentum building. My short bias is supported by this structural weakness and loss of bullish steam.
From a fundamental perspective, the Swiss Franc remains strong due to its safe-haven demand amid lingering global risk aversion and slowing global growth expectations. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand, while on hold recently, has adopted a relatively dovish tone as domestic inflation trends soften. This diverging policy stance between the SNB and RBNZ provides a macroeconomic tailwind favoring CHF strength and NZD weakness. In today’s session, CHF also gained modestly following stronger-than-expected CPI revisions and cautious risk flows in the Asian and European sessions.
Technically, we’ve seen a clean break of the recent support zone near 0.4890, and the market structure has flipped bearish on both the daily and H4 charts. I expect further downside continuation toward the 0.4680–0.4700 range, especially if the current lower highs pattern persists. The bearish flag breakdown and consistent lower closes support continuation toward my 0.46 target. This offers a solid short setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio in play.
I’ll continue monitoring for any pullback toward the 0.4920–0.4950 area for potential re-entries on weakness. Momentum and volume indicators also point lower, aligning with the price action thesis. As long as we stay below 0.4970, the bearish scenario remains active, and I’m looking to capitalize on this developing bearish cycle in NZDCHF.
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.📉 BTCUSDT – 1H Chart Technical Outlook
🔍 Structure Insight:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Price action appears compressed between key trendlines, hinting at an imminent breakout.
---
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias)
If BTC fails to hold above the lower boundary of the range, a decisive break below could trigger a sharp move toward the 103,650–103,000 demand zone. The structure supports continuation to the downside if the price rejects resistance again.
🧊 Bearish Confluence:
Price is unable to break above dynamic resistance.
Momentum remains weak near the mid-range.
Volume spikes on down moves add to selling pressure.
---
🔼 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (Alternative View)
A breakout above the descending trendline and confirmation candle could flip bias short-term bullish. This would target the 105,400+ region as the next liquidity area.
⚡ Bullish Signs to Watch:
Break and retest above trendline resistance.
Bullish engulfing or breakout candle with volume.
---
🔍 Key Levels to Monitor
Support: 103,650 / 103,000
Resistance: 105,000 / 105,400
Breakout Zones: Watch for clean breaks and retests outside the wedge pattern.
---
📌 Conclusion:
BTC is coiling within a tightening range. The breakout direction will likely dictate the next short-term trend. Maintain flexibility — breakout confirmation is key before positioning.
🚨 Not financial advice — always DYOR before trading!
SEI Rebound or Final Trap?Yello Paradisers, have you considered that this little bounce might be the last trap before a brutal selloff? SEIUSDT is giving us strong signals that most retail traders are missing and if you’re not reading the structure clearly, you’re walking straight into a setup designed to clean you out.
💎The recent price action shows a clear rejection from the $0.22 level, which has now confirmed itself as a strong resistance zone. What’s more concerning is that this resistance rejection comes right after the price broke down from an Ascending Broadening Wedge. This is not a random pattern it’s a classic formation that tends to attract breakout buyers and then punishes them with aggressive downside moves once the structure fails.
💎Currently, the market is drifting just below that resistance, attempting weak bounces. However, there is a clear lack of bullish momentum. If this weakness persists, the next stop is around the $0.16 region, where moderate support is likely to be tested.
💎If sellers get aggressive, that level might not hold, and we could head lower into the $0.13 area still not where true value lies. The major support zone sits far below, around the psychological $0.10 level, and that’s where the real high-probability bounce setup is likely to occur.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
SOL - Playing Ping Pong!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈SOL has been trading within a range between $100 and $200 round number.
And it is currently retesting the lower bound of the range which has been acting as a magnet lately.
As SOL approaches the $105 - $125 support zone, and as long as the $105 support holds, we will be looking for longs targeting the $200 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTCUSD: Nowhere near a top yet.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 443.000, ADX = 29.912) due to high volatility recently but the bullish long term trend is intact and even more so, hasn't yet started the year-end rally. The Mayer Multiple Bands have always priced a Cycle's Top on their red trendline so no matter how high that may seem from the current market price, the TP zone should be between the orange (2 Stdev above) and red (3 Stdev above) trendines. Minimum TP = 200,000 for this Cycle.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
SUI Long Swing Setup – Confluence of Support and Fibonacci LevelSUI has pulled back into a key confluence zone, aligning with both the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and horizontal support. We’re now eyeing the $2.70–$2.80 area for a potential long entry.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $2.70 – $2.80
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $3.40 – $3.60
o 🥈 $4.00 – $4.20
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $2.65
CLSK Going to $27There is always a downside, but I believe Risk vs Reward is here. It's not if, it's when. If we breakout to the downside of the triangle then we will test the support and the bottom of the wedge. If we break to the top of the triangle then we go for the breakout of the wedge and on the way to $27. I am adding at these levels and of course if it goes down, I am adding more.
TAO 4H - Downtrend bottom? Altcoins have certainly taken a backseat to BTC this cycle with Bitcoin dominance holding around 65%. Despite this, there are still some good setups in altcoins presenting themselves each day, one of which is TAO on the 4H.
To me it looks to be in a clear downtrend respecting the upper and lower limits while reacting off of support levels on the way down. As it stands price has reached a key S/R level that has proven to be support in the past and is in conjunction with the lower end of the trend channel.
With FOMC only hours away and TAO being at such a critical level this would be an interesting place to do business. A good reaction off the level would kickstart a move towards the trends upper limits. A loss of this level and it's very possible what has been support can turn into resistance.
To me the R:R here is good for a long position, the threat to the trade is bearish reaction to FOMC, escalation geo-politically which effects risk-on assets and therefor overalls TA.
BTC on the Daily: Bearish Structure Locked In?So, on the daily, price is in a clear bearish context.
PSAR is bearish
MLR < SMA < BB center
We're about to close below the 50MA
Price already broke below the Higher Lows trendline and the December 2024 top
At this point, it all depends on the macro situation and the FOMC tone tonight.
If the outcome is positive, there's a chance price rebounds.
If not, the chart looks ready to dive.
EUR/USD.1h chart pattern.Based on My target EUR/USD 1H, the price has broken down from the ascending channel and formed a Double Top, confirming a bearish structure. Here's the analysis based on the marked zones:
Bearish Targets:
1. First Support / Target 1: Around 1.13500
This aligns with a previous structure level and is the first potential bounce zone.
2. Second Support / Target 2: Around 1.12000
This is a deeper support zone where price may head if the bearish momentum continues.
The structure also shows a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) which supports the downside bias.
Let me know if you want entry and stop-loss suggestions for this setup.
USD/JPY.1h chart pattern.(USD/JPY 1H), the price has broken below the rising channel, suggesting a bearish move ahead. Here are the two key target levels marked on My chart:
Targets:
1. First Target: Around 144.100
2. Second (Deeper) Target: Around 143.200
These levels align with previous support zones and measured moves from the channel breakdown.
Let me know if you’d like stop-loss or entry suggestions too.
BTC/USD.4H CHART PATTERN.Based on MY BTC/USDT 4H chart the following analysis and price targets apply:
---
📉 Chart Pattern:
A symmetrical triangle pattern is visible, with price nearing a potential breakdown.
You’ve marked a breakdown scenario, supported by the Ichimoku cloud turning bearish and resistance rejection.
The market has respected both support and resistance trendlines multiple times, increasing pattern validity.
---
🎯 Bearish Targets After Breakdown:
1st Support Target:
Level: Around $98,000
This is the first zone where buyers might step in. It aligns with previous consolidation and structural support.
2nd Support Target:
Level: Around $94,000
This is a deeper support level and likely final target if selling pressure continues.
---
🔍 Summary:
Sell below: ~$104,000 (on breakdown confirmation)
Target 1: ~$98,000
Target 2: ~$94,000
Stop-loss suggestion: Above upper triangle trendline (~$106,500 or above recent high)
Let me know if you want a trading strategy with risk/reward ratio or SL/TP management tips.
GBP/USD 3H CHART PATTERN.GBP/USD on the 3-hour timeframe, here’s the analysis and potential target zones derived from the chart:
📉 Current Trend:
The market has broken down from an ascending channel.
Price retested the support-turned-resistance zone around 1.35060, confirming bearish momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud is above price — supporting bearish bias.
---
🎯 Targets Based on the Chart:
1. First Target (1st Support Zone):
Level: Approximately 1.33449
This is your first major support zone marked on the chart — expect a possible reaction or consolidation here.
2. Second Target (2nd Support Zone):
Level: Approximately 1.32800
This is the second support zone — if price breaks below 1.33449, this becomes the next logical bearish target.
---
🔍 Summary:
Sell below: 1.3450
Target 1: 1.3345
Target 2: 1.3280
Stop-loss suggestion: Above the resistance zone ~1.3506
Let me know if you want SL/TP values based on pips, risk %, or a strategy adjustment.
Could Microstrategy be a 1 Trillion dollar mcap company?!Microstrategy and Michael Saylor evoke a spectrum of opinions, with analysts offering a diverse range of potential future valuations.
High risk, high reward!
The destiny of Microstrategy’s market capitalization is clearly linked to Bitcoin’s performance. The company has been utilizing debt to acquire the cryptocurrency, aiming to create significant spreads. This leverage is the reason why the stock has significantly outperformed Bitcoin throughout 2024.
I am confident that Bitcoin can indeed reach $200k, with a potential upper price target of $250K for this cycle, indicating a potentially explosive Q3 and Q4.
The lingering question is how much additional FOMO and premium Saylor can cultivate for his leveraged vehicle in such an environment?
That's why charting is such a key component to any personal investing strategy IMHO, as we navigate these markets.
USOIL FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALS USOIL (WTI Crude) is currently trading near the 72.00 level and is setting up for a potential breakout from a long-standing descending channel on the higher time frame (3D chart). Price has approached the upper boundary of this bearish channel after a strong bullish rally in recent sessions. This indicates growing bullish momentum, and any sustained breakout above the descending trendline could open the path toward the 98.00 zone, a major structural target based on previous price action and Fibonacci projections.
The recent bullish surge in crude oil prices has been fueled by a combination of supply-side constraints and renewed optimism around global demand. OPEC+ continues to show discipline in supply management, and geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions are adding risk premiums. Furthermore, the Fed’s recent signals of a potential pause in tightening, combined with an improving outlook for Chinese demand recovery, are creating a supportive environment for commodities, particularly oil. These fundamental tailwinds align with the technical structure hinting at an upside breakout.
Technically, USOIL has broken back above a critical mid-channel support level and is now challenging the descending resistance line. The most recent impulsive candles suggest strong buyer conviction. If this momentum holds, we could see a retest followed by continuation toward the 98.00 psychological level. The structure also supports a higher low formation, which is another bullish signal for long-term traders watching the macro channel breakout.
From a trading standpoint, this setup is high probability with a well-defined invalidation zone below 65.00. The confluence of macro catalysts, technical breakout formation, and seasonal demand trends makes this a compelling bullish opportunity. I am closely monitoring price action for confirmation to go long on the breakout and ride the potential wave toward the upper supply region near 98.00.
U
AUDNZD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently trading around 1.078 and is on the verge of a classic falling wedge breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen after a downtrend. Price action has been compressing within this wedge formation, suggesting an imminent breakout as market pressure builds. A decisive close above the descending trendline would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation, with a near-term upside target of 1.086. The structure has held multiple rejections at both resistance and support, highlighting strong accumulation behavior from institutional participants.
Fundamentally, the Australian dollar is gaining relative strength due to the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a hawkish tone, supported by persistent inflation and labor market resilience. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently surprised the market by signaling a potential end to its hiking cycle, citing slower growth and inflation moderation. This divergence in monetary policy outlook is creating favorable conditions for AUDNZD bulls, particularly as global risk appetite improves and commodity-linked currencies gain traction.
Technically, this 4-hour chart pattern aligns perfectly with recent AUD strength across the board, particularly in pairs like AUDUSD and AUDJPY which have broken key resistance levels. The tight consolidation near the wedge’s upper boundary, coupled with bullish candlestick formations, suggests buyers are stepping in ahead of the breakout. With a clean invalidation below 1.075, the risk-reward ratio here is compelling, especially for momentum traders looking to catch an impulsive leg higher toward 1.086 and beyond.
This setup is high-conviction. AUDNZD is poised for a breakout that aligns with both technical and macro fundamentals. As a professional trader, I’m tracking this setup closely, and any confirmation candle above the trendline will trigger my entry. I expect bullish continuation in line with AUD’s broader strength and NZD’s underperformance.
ETH Macro Analysis☕ 𝙂𝙈. CRYPTOCAP:ETH Macro analysis update...
📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook remains unchanged and recent price action printing a doji. Target is still $7k for this cycle.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook has investors looking lower towards the $1900 target but this isn't guaranteed to be reached and price action may front tat $2200.
War escalation's and retail selling are keeping price suppressed. ETF inflows and staking continue to grow!
The time for patience continues. Money is made in the sitting, weathering volatility, not flipping in and out of trades on every bit of news and price movement
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price is consolidating at its recent highs. Consolidation under resistance has high probability of breaking out, the longer it remains the higher the probability.
Elliot Wave (EW) analysis suggests a motif wave ended at the $2700 resistance, with a wave 2 retracement underway, likely a shallow one.
Safe trading
BTC Macro Analysis☕ 𝙂𝙈. CRYPTOCAP:BTC macro analysis update...
📈 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook remains unchanged and recent price action is barely a blip on the weekly chart. SD+2 target is still $211k as a blow off top.
📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 outlook has investors looking lower towards the $92K target but this isn't guaranteed to be reached and price action may front those who wait.
War escalation's and retail selling are keeping price suppressed as price changes hands to private companies and large wallets.
The time for patience continues. Money is made in the sitting, weathering volatility, not flipping in and out of trades on every bit of news and price movement
𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨
Price is consolidating under all time high resistance. Consolidation under resistance has high probability of breaking out, the longer it remains the higher the probability.
Elliot Wave (EW) analysis suggests a motif wave ended with the poke above all time high (per the EW rules), with a wave 2 retracement underway. Price remains above the daily pivot (bullish) but below the DEMA (bearish). A triangle could still be forming but this is not my preferred EW count.
Safe trading