Crypto
$40K Is Not Possible & The 2025 Bull-Market (Back To Basics)Let's clear a few basic but very important points because there is some confusion going on around right now, and this is dangerous for our Cryptocurrency market bulls.
The 2025 bull-market is not over because it hasn't even started. Correct?
The Cryptocurrency market grew in late 2024, between November and December. Cryptocurrency peaked in Nov.-Dec. 2024 and then entered a corrective phase. This corrective phase that started in late 2024 is ongoing until now. So 2025 has been mainly bearish action; no bull-market, yet.
Cryptocurrency first peaked in March 2024 and then went into correction mode until August 2024. Between August and October 2024 the Cryptocurrency market consolidated and this consolidation produced the last advance mentioned above.
As the market hits bottom now, we will enter a new phase of growth. The bull-market cannot be over because it has not even started.
Bitcoin at $40,000?
Bitcoin at $40,000 is not possible and I will explain why.
The March 2024 peak price was $74,000. The two peaks in 2021 were $64,000 and $69,000 in April and November 2021 respectively. This is the biggest support in the history of Bitcoin and cannot be violated.
The consolidation in late 2024 also works as a very strong support range and this is our baseline but prices are set to bounce, always, around 80K.
This is why 40,000 is just a dream, or a bad joke, and not possible. Bitcoin is going up.
The 2025 bull-market
It is a fact that 2025 has been bearish, the first two months. For Bitcoin it has been sideways and now we have bearish action. This is all perfect and it is all good. All is well that ends well. Since the bearish action is happening now, the bullish happen will happen later on.
As we all know, new All-Time Highs will happen in late 2025. Make sense, it is logic. I can see it, grasp it, hear it, feel it.
Cryptocurrency is going to undergo the biggest bull-market in its history in 2025.
The bull-market is not over because it has yet to start.
Hold easy and hold strong.
Panic hold.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
More memecoin misery for Murad?Murad Mahmudov is a polarising figure in the cryptocurrency world, known for his shift from staunch Bitcoin advocacy to emerging as a leading influencer in the meme coin arena. Previously, he served as an analyst at Goldman Sachs and held the position of Chief Investment Officer at Adaptive Capital, a fund that faced bankruptcy following significant losses during the Bitcoin crash in March 2020.
Murad Mahmudov's most significant investment at the moment is in SPX6900 (SPX), where he transformed a $387,000 stake into an astonishing $23.6 million in a mere four months. Additionally, he has invested over $1 million in various meme coins such as APU and MINI, reflecting his confidence in the impending meme coin supercycle.
His portfolio is diversified across Ethereum and Solana, featuring a selection of tokens like MOG, POPCAT, and GIGA, which he believes possess fervent, cult-like communities.
His ascent has ignited discussions, especially following the disclosure of his significant investments in meme coins such as #SPX6900, which has led to skepticism regarding his authenticity and possible conflicts of interest.
Although his emphasis on mid-cap, community-oriented tokens has yielded profits, it highlights the inherently speculative aspect of meme coins, where fervent fanbases can drive dramatic yet unpredictable price fluctuations.
In fact, his widely circulated address at Token 2049 in Singapore may have triggered a market peak, suggesting that additional turmoil and recovery will be necessary to clear out the excesses that have accumulated.
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday!On smaller timeframes, we can see the true meaning of "Bloody Monday."
Sellers started to sell aggressively, liquidating a lot of buyers who were FOMO-ing near top.
Now this might be just the beginning, as we are looking for the $91K zone to be reached, which will be the next zone where major moves will happen.
So far everything seems decent so let's wait now to see if the Monday candle will close!
Swallow Team
Market Update & Crypto OutlookMarket Update & Crypto Outlook
Tariffs & Economic Impact
Trump is leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tactic to pressure adversaries into deals. While Europe is reluctant to concede outright, they have little choice. These tariffs are shaking the markets, and we all know how sensitive elites are about their portfolios. By hitting them where it hurts—their wallets—Trump is forcing them to the table.
In my opinion, this strategy will work. Over time, Europe, Ukraine, and even China will likely agree to compromises. As these agreements unfold, market uncertainty (FUD) will ease, restoring investor confidence.
Inflation & Market Sentiment
Markets are pricing in expected quantitative tightening , meaning no interest rate cuts for at least two years. However, I don’t believe tariffs will fuel inflation as much as feared. Reduced government spending and a stronger USD could offset price increases, maintaining purchasing power without printing money.
Until markets realize this, we’ll see uncertainty, but inflation numbers may not be as catastrophic as expected , helping stabilize sentiment.
Crypto & Market Cycle
The bull market isn’t over, but Bitcoin finally experienced real consolidation —without heavy ETF purchases propping it up. The ETF FOMO is over , and that’s actually a good thing. Now, Bitcoin can continue its rally naturally , setting up for its final, most parabolic leg.
Altcoins & The Spark for Altseason
As I mentioned before, a strong dollar combined with the upcoming $5,000 stimulus checks will ignite true altseason . This influx of cash will likely fuel a major altcoin rally later this year , after the new administration distributes the payments.
Conclusion
Yes, it’s been painful—altcoins are bleeding, portfolios are down, and sentiment is low. But capitulation marks the bottom .
Expect a bumpy March , but April and especially May* could be parabolic , making today’s struggles a distant memory. 🚀
(Everything is on the chart, check the arrows)
Will the bitcoin bloodbath send prices below its 200-day SMA?Currently lower for a sixth day, bitcoin futures have just tested the 200-day average for the first time this year. This clearly marks a pivotal moment for bulls and bears over the near term, but we also have to factor in the higher timeframes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
#QNT Ready For Bullish Rally Despite Bearish Market Sentiment Yello, Paradisers! Is #QNTUSDT About to Break Out, or Will Bears Keep It Trapped? Let's check the latest setup of #Quant and see what might happen next:
💎#QNT has been trapped inside this wedge for months, making lower highs and lower lows. #QNTUSD is showing signs of a potential breakout, but there’s one key resistance level above that could decide everything.
💎Bulls need to break above $115, which has been a major rejection point. A clean breakout here could trigger a rally towards $140-$160, where the next strong resistance zone is waiting. The MACD is showing higher highs while price made lower lows, a classic bullish divergence. This signals that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
💎Strong support is around $80-$85, where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Losing this level would lead to a drop to $61-$55, the next major support zone. The Bulls have defended both of these levels before, so they will probably do so this time, too.
💎However, if the bears drag the price below the $55-$61 support level, the bullish setup will be invalidated. In such a case, the bears will drag the price to down levels further.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
HOOKUSDT Breakdown Incoming? Key Signals Point to Bearish Move!Yello, Paradisers! Is HOOKUSDT gearing up for a major drop? The current structure suggests a strong probability for further downside as the price follows a triple three-wave pattern within a descending channel.
💎HOOKUSDT recently faced strong resistance from multiple confluences: 50 EMA rejection, Key resistance zone, Descending channel’s trendline, Formation of an "M" pattern. These factors increase the likelihood of a wave Z move downward. However, for confirmation, we need a clear breakdown of the support level with a candle close below it and high volume.
💎The broader crypto market also leans bearish, but waiting for the actual breakdown will further strengthen our probability of a successful trade.
💎Invalidation? If the price bounces and closes candle above the resistance zone, the bearish outlook gets invalidated. In that case, it’s smarter to stay patient and wait for a stronger setup.
🎖 Discipline and patience are key, Paradisers! The market always rewards those who wait for the highest-probability trades. Stay sharp!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra
ETH - Reclaim $3K Or Else I've spoken for a while about Ethereum's relative weakness. It continues to break down from long term uptrends. If price doesn't reverse this week's candle back to the upside soon, I think ETH is in danger of entering a longer term bear market, leading to sub-$1000 prices once again. More specifically, from a moving average and structure standpoint, I think ETH must reclaim the $3k level with confidence, or risk total free fall.
I don't need to spell out all the reasons I think crypto is NOT going to change the world for the better or be "disruptive" in a meaningful way, but I've exhausted all of my writing steam on the matter.
Some new environmental factors have emerged, however, which are much in line with what I've been concerned about over the last several years.
We can clearly see from a Macro standpoint that growth is stalling. Local governments and isolationism are starting to gain preference over globalization, in a large see-saw effect. In addition, Trump has further tarnished whatever neutral reputation crypto had gained on the global stage. I think institutions are even less likely to take this market seriously now.
There's pretty much air beneath here.
The crypto TOTAL market cap is now testing the highs from the previous bull market. It really should hold up here to avoid catastrophic damage:
TOTAL2 (altcoins and stables) is well below its previous all-time high, showing the potential for a truly failed bull market if things don't bounce around these levels.
ETH/BTC is already in free-fall mode. My guess is new lows for the ratio (below the 2019 levels)
Anyway, that's all from me. I won't be as long-winded as I used to be. Thanks for reading! As always, this is meant for speculation and entertainment only, and not as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
Long Entry Signal for SUNDOG/USDT Based on the daily chart for SUNDOGUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you !
Long Entry Signal for AGLD/USDTBased on the daily chart for AGLDUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Long Entry Signal for GRASS/USDT Based on the daily chart for GRASSUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you!
Chainlink Fractal Price Pattern Dynamics & Bullish Growth Pot...Right now I am going to describe the conditions for LINKUSDT and the same analysis that is true for this pair is also true for most of the Altcoins market. The market is one.
Chainlink (LINKUSDT) produced a rising-wave in late 2024 and later a correction. This is also true for the rest of the Altcoins market. The correction is coming to an end producing a higher low compared to August 2024.
In mid-2024 (left side of the chart), we can see how a down-wave leads to a sideways market. This is the main condition that is now sure to develop. The sideways market of course is the period of accumulation, where the bulls accumulate strong in order to produce a new series of bullish waves. We know the next move is bullish because of the long-term higher low. The low in early 2025 is higher than the low in mid-2024.
This can be described as a simple 1,2,3 steps pattern.
1) The decline. This decline can be strong, long or short, steep or soft. Allow for wide variations across the market.
2) Sideways. This is the period where buyers accumulate at low prices before the next cycle starts.
3) The bullish wave. In this case, the next bullish wave is actually the 2025 bull-market. So instead of a simple bullish wave we will see massive growth ending with a bull-run phase in late 2025.
Ok. Present day. We have the decline which started in mid-December 2024. This decline is leading to step #2 which is the sideways action. Out of this sideways (consolidation channel) we will see a new bull-market develop.
Simple? Buy and hold.
Good things will happen to those that decide to buy Crypto.
Great things coming for those who decide to follow.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Long Entry Signal for DEXE/USDT Based on the daily chart for DEXEUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
OL/USDT Long Re-entry signal
On February 15th, we received an entry signal when the PSAR turned bullish. On February 18th, the PSAR was hit, signaling an exit. On February 22nd, the day closed above the initial entry level from February 15th. This gives us a potential opportunity to enter again since we had a close above the original entry signal. You can enter now or wait for the daily close; it’s your choice.
However, there is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you!
Long Entry Signal for PROM/USDTBased on the daily chart for PROMUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Long Signal Entry for ACH/USDT
Based on the daily chart for ACHUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position. You can enter now or wait for the close of the day, depending on your availability. Waiting for the close of the day would be preferred to confirm the trend.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
Litecoin Update Including 1,300% Target From Bottom-UpThis is Litecoin on the weekly timeframe and nothing changes; super, hyper bullish.
First, notice the volume, it continues to rise. The last two weeks produced the highest volume ever and this is the best signal you can find. Volume is the most important signal to confirm the validity of a move.
Second, notice the current weekly candle. There is a very long lower wick (shadow), and the action moves back above support. This is a very strong signal, why? There was much selling, really strong selling pressure but buyers showed up and bought everything. If the week closes at current price, we have a bullish signal in the form of a hammer. If it closes higher, even a stronger bullish signal. If it closes lower, the bullish bias remains intact because the action is very strong compared to the early February wick low.
The early February low hit $80. Litecoin is currently trading at $127.
I updated this chart to show more long-term, real and reasonable, targets. We have a target around $450 for 250% and another one at $707 for more than 450%. Now, this potential is because Litecoin is already pretty advanced in its bullish cycle since it has been growing since August 2024.
If we consider growth potential but starting from the market bottom, we are looking at 800% and 1,300% or more. It is likely that Litecoin will peak much higher, but we have time to adapt to how far high prices will go. Right now, the wise move is to buy and hold.
Buy and hold will take care of everything. Leverage can be used but it should be very low. It is better to earn a safe and secure 500%, than to go for a risky 5,000% and lose everything along the way. Don't get me wrong, leverage trading is an amazing tool but it should be used with caution. If you are buying Crypto to change your life, to live in abundance and be rich, you are better up buying and holding and increasing your money slowly but surely. In 2025 we will all win.
Thank you for coming back and for deciding to read.
It is my pleasure to write for you.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Finds Support, Relation 2 Altcoins Market & Bullish TalkBitcoin is trading right now between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fib. retracement levels relative to the last bullish wave. Let's dissect what this means.
The main levels are always 0.382 and 0.618 when it comes to Fibonacci retracements. The 0.5 level is also relevant and pairs tend to find support around this line.
Bitcoin broke the 0.382 Fib. level decisively but on very low volume.
Bitcoin failed to test 0.5 Fib. retracement level as support.
The fact that volume is low and 0.5 wasn't pierced works in favors of the bulls.
Notice that 0.618, the golden ratio, is not even in question. This is because the market is ultra-bullish. When the market is bullish, a reversal tends to happen at 0.382 or above 0.618. The fact that Bitcoin stopped its fall above this major support is good news for the bulls. This is good for those that are trading Bitcoin LONG. Just hold patiently because prices will recover and Bitcoin will grow. Not only grow but massive growth.
Signals continue to develop from the Altcoins market, today is not the same as yesterday, today we have a continuation on many, many big and small pairs.
At first, it would be doubtful to trust the signals that I am showing because the action was young in some cases, in other cases it was weak and small. But this isn't the case anymore.
Very big projects such as Aptos, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, Polkadot, Zcash and Maker are only a few of the many examples I've been showing you. This is enough to know, confirm and trust that the bottom is already in, the Altcoins market is going up. The only way the Altcoins can grow is if Bitcoin is also going to grow. The Altcoins never move up while Bitcoin is bearish. Seeing an Altcoin growing 100%+ in a single day means that the bears are weak while the bulls are strong. We are experiencing the final-final flush before a major, massive, incredibly, hyper, uber-rich Cryptocurrency market bull-run.
So support is good and support is really strong. The 0.5 Fib. retracement level sits at $79,000 but this level wasn't hit. Bitcoin bottomed before hitting $82,000 but some people are saying lower and this is where confusion comes.
I understand that we have many great traders and market analysts. TradingView is truly the best place in the world (Internet) for trading, learning, growing and sharing about financial markets and charts. But these same markets and charts can't lie. We can interpret some signals in a way that is detached from reality but the market is never wrong. Whatever is about to happen, it is clearly revealed when we look at the charts.
FIOUSDT is another pair that is breaking up just too strong after a higher low. The low being 3-February and the higher low a few days ago (25-Feb). This is just another confirmation that the correction is over; we (Bitcoin) are going up next.
It is great to be part of this market and this community.
It is such a blessing to have access this kind of knowledge and information. Because I can read this now I can rest easy and be calm. I know that regardless of what happens, Bitcoin is going up.
Bitcoin isn't going up in years to come, nor in the future far away. Bitcoin is set to grow, together with the Altcoins market, in a matter of days.
Are you ready for the 2025 bull-market?
Thank you.
Your continued support is appreciated.
We are winners and will continue to win regardless of what is takes.
We will pour our hearts, our sweat and our blood into what we do and trust. If today I make the right decision, tomorrow I am taking a big bag of money home.
The Cryptocurrency market is changing (saving) the world.
The money monopoly is over.
Money used to mean bondage, now, money is freedom.
Namaste.