BITCOIN rejected on the MA50 (4h). 95k possible.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Down pattern which has just formed a Lower High on the MA50 (4h).
This is a technical rejection, which after holding the MA200 (4h) previously, now should aim for a final Lower Low on the next support level, the MA100 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 95000 (-10.70% decline as the previous bearish sequence of the Channel Down and potential contact with the MA100 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is about to cross under its MA trend line again, confirming the bearish move.
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Crypto
CYCLE 4 | 200 Week SMA ATH Estimation MethodA quick post to capture the current observed relationship with BTC cycles and the 200W SMA.
When the Horizontal Prine Line (Green) from prior Cycle ATH meets with the 200W SMA (Aqua), this has traditionally approximated the next BTC heigh in the following cycle.
Using this approach, we have estimated where this in time could occur for the current cycle.
Will be interesting to see how this tracks in Cycle 4.
Xrp - Two Digits After The Breakout!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is about to break out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just three months ago we finally saw the overall expected symmetrical triangle parabolic breakout on Xrp. However Xrp is now retesting the previous horizontal all time high resistance. With all the bullish momentum a breakout is very possible, leading to two digits.
Levels to watch: $2.5, $10.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description:
This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry:
Between 103,300 and 104,500
Take-Profit Levels (TP):
101,897
99,825
97,565
95,208
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 105,975
Analysis and Confluences:
Market Structure:
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Supply Zone:
The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate.
Fibonacci Confluence:
This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area.
Liquidity Sweeps:
Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside.
Bearish Targets:
The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208.
Trade Plan:
Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits.
Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
It Appears as though the Bullish Wedge is our most probable playTrading Fam,
Time for my weekly update on the Bitcoin. A lot has occurred in the last week or so since I updated you all last, not least of which includes Deepseek AI FUD causing panic in the GPU and Power stock plays which has spilled over into our crypto space. But does this panic have merit or is this simply another retail bait, shaking out paper hands while whales continue to buy? The charts are showing me the latter is most probably true and news seems to support my thesis here as Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy acquired another 10,107 Bitcoin on the 26th of Jan.
Previously, you will remember that I had spotted a potential H&S on the charts and had posted a caution in this regard as it had potential to play out.
Shortly thereafter, I also spotted this bullish pendant at which point my bias became conflicted. Was Bitcoin going to pop or was it going to drop? We had to wait and observe further price action before it became clear.
It now looks like our bulls maintained the greatest strength as we bounced off or our neckline, and broke up above our bullish wedge, hitting resistance at 106K. We then formed another bullish pennant smaller in size, dropped from that quickly to perfectly retest the topside of our larger bullish pennant, and then came back inside the wedge for further consolidation.
If I am reading this chart correctly, our greatest probability now lies with the bulls breaking to the upside of the smaller wedge and retesting that 106K resistance level again. In time, I believe we'll break 106k to the upside and continue towards our target of 140k.
Why 140k?
When we broke above our bullish descending channel in Oct. of last year, we continued up until we hit a new high at 109k. This was our local top. We can now measure the distance from that break up (around 68k) to our new high at 109k. This same distance can be utiliized to give us a new target from our bullish wedge breakout. This fractal gives us a reasonable target of around 140k.
Hope this makes sense.
✌️Stew
Is SUSHIUSDT About to Bounce or Break? Yello, Paradisers! SUSHIUSDT is setting up an intriguing scenario after reacting to a key resistance trendline. Let’s break this down:
💎If SUSHIUSDT shows a bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character) from the key support zone—previously a resistance level—it could signal a higher probability of a bounce. However, patience is key here; we need to wait for confirmation of a bullish I-CHoCH on lower timeframes to take action.
💎On the flip side, if the price experiences further drops or shows signs of panic selling, the best approach would be to wait for it to reach a stronger support zone. At that point, we’d need to look for bullish patterns such as A W formation or An Inverse Head and Shoulders on lower timeframes to stack the odds in our favor.
💎If the price breaks down and closes a candle below the strong support zone, it will invalidate the bullish thesis entirely. In that case, it’s smarter to wait for a clearer structure to develop before considering any entries.
🎖 Remember, Paradisers, disciplined trading is the only way to achieve long-term success. Avoid impulsive decisions and always prioritize confirmation over speculation. The market rewards patience and preparation—stay sharp, stay focused.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
TON/USDT : Get Ready for the next Bullish Mov (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #TONCOIN daily chart, we can see that the price is currently trading within the $4.90 demand zone. If the price stabilizes above $4.20, we can anticipate the start of the next bullish wave for this promising cryptocurrency! The mid-term targets for TONCOIN are $5.30, $6.10, and $6.50, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
#BTC Analysis: Historical High Achieved, Potential Rebound AheadIn the 6-hour Bitcoin chart, the price first moved toward liquidity zones below $90,000, completing a stop hunt and liquidity sweep. Following this, Bitcoin surged over 20%, reaching $109,400 and marking a new all-time high , hitting all announced targets.
Today, Bitcoin faced a 7% correction from $105,000 to $97,500, creating a significant liquidity void (LV). A further retracement toward the $94,400–$96,000 zone could attract renewed demand, potentially filling this LV and paving the way for a rebound.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SOL - Two Massive Longs Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 SOL is currently approaching an interesting zone as it nears the upper bound of the channel and its previous all-time high.
🏹For SOL to enter the price discovery phase and reach new ATHs, a daily candle close above $260 is required.
On the other hand, if it retests the green structure and the lower trendline, it would present a massive opportunity to accumulate at a discounted rate.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
JUP/USDT Trade IdeaJUP/USDT Trade Idea
JUP/USDT is showing potential for a strong move. Currently, it is consolidating within a key range, and a breakout could lead to a significant rally. However, market conditions remain volatile, so patience is key.
For now, I’m watching for a breakout confirmation before entering a position. If it fails to break resistance, we might see a retracement to lower levels before the next leg up.
Not financial advice, do your own research.
#ZECUSDT #1h (ByBit) Falling broadening wedge breakoutZcash regained 50MA support and broke out bullish on hourly, looks good for short-term recovery towards 200MA resistance and more.
⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (10.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Current Price:
49.41
Entry Targets:
1) 48.62
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 52.63
Stop Targets:
1) 46.61
Published By: @Zblaba
$CRYPTO:ZEC BYBIT:ZECUSDT.P #Zcash #Privacy z.cash
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +82.5%
Possible Loss= -41.3%
Estimated Gaintime= 2-3 days
BTC - 15m Scalp OpportunityCOINBASE:BTCUSD is consolidating within a narrow range, and a breakout could trigger a strong move. Given the sharp drop yesterday, this ascending channel may act as a bearish flag, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
If BTC loses support, expect another significant fall. Watching for a breakdown confirmation!
📉 Stay alert for price action signals!
Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin Recovering The FVGs!!Bitcoin made a quick liquidity grab thanks to the news surrounding the deepseek.
The move we had was aggressive, which led the price to the local support zone where buyers showed dominance and now we are reclaiming a few gaps on the upper zones.
Straigh to the point, we want to see more blood on the markets; we do not think this was. Yes, we had a good liquidation move, but for a healthy bull run that we are looking for, we need a further drop to take out more liquidity from markets. $91K would be a decent zone for this!
Swallow Team
#SEI Ready for a Bullish Rally or Not? Key Levels to Watch Yello, Paradisers! Is #SEIUSDT gearing up for a major breakout, or are we in for another leg down? Let’s break down the #SEI setup:
💎#SEI is currently trading within a falling wedge formation on the 8-hour timeframe, a classic bullish reversal pattern. This pattern, coupled with a liquidity sweep at the lower boundary, has already shaken out impatient traders. But remember, no move is confirmed until we see a decisive breakout. A decisive move above key resistance is needed to confirm the shift in momentum.
💎The major resistance zone to watch is $0.479. If #SEI manages to break above this level with strong volume, we could see a sharp rally towards the $0.65–$0.70 range, where significant selling pressure may come into play. However, failing to break above resistance could lead to another retest of lower levels before any bullish continuation.
💎On the downside, #SEI is sitting on a strong support zone around $0.2800. Buyers have consistently stepped in at this level, reinforcing its importance. If this support holds, we can expect a bounce and a potential attempt to break out of the wedge. The next line of defense for the #SEI is at the demand zone at $0.205 if the above support fails.
💎However, a candle closing below the demand zone at $0.2053 would invalidate the bullish scenario, exposing #SEI to a further drop towards $0.15 or even lower.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Bitcoin's Bullish Breakout: Targeting $126,500!
Introduction: Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant price surge, reaching new heights. For those new to cryptocurrency trading, understanding this movement is crucial. In this post, we'll break down the current BTC price action and discuss potential trading strategies.
Current BTC Price: As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $101,254.00 USD.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Level: $94,500 USD
Resistance Level: $105,000 USD
Market Sentiment: The market is currently bullish, with increased trading volume and positive news surrounding Bitcoin's adoption.
Potential Price Target: Based on the "Cup and Handle" pattern, a technical analysis chart pattern, the projected price target for Bitcoin is $126,500 USD.
Trading Strategy for Beginners:
1. Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price retraces to the $94,500 support level.
2. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the $92,000 level to manage risk.
3. Take-Profit: Aim for a take-profit at the $126,500 target.
Important Note: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. It's essential to conduct thorough research and only invest funds you can afford to lose.
Conclusion: Bitcoin's recent price action presents potential trading opportunities. By understanding key levels and technical indicators, beginners can navigate the market more effectively. Always remember to trade responsibly and stay informed.
Let's Discuss! What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's current price action? Do you agree with the projected target of $126,500? Share your insights and let's engage in a constructive discussion!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
By inviting readers to share their thoughts and engage in a discussion, you can foster a more interactive environment and encourage traders to participate in the comments section.
XRPUSD Channel Up guiding it to $17.00XRPUSD is trading inside a Channel Up and amidst today's market bleeding, it almost touched its 1day MA50.
This trendline has been supporting since the November 7th 2024 breakout, which was after the U.S. elections.
Technically this is the first buy entry for the remainder of the Bull Cycle and the last one is on the 1day MA100.
If the Channel Up continues sideways before it breaks, then the 1day MA100 should be tested. Otherwise, we may see an immediate break out.
The 1day RSI however is so far similar with the July - October 2024 consolidation, which favors a little more the probability of a 1day MA100 test.
In either case, the technical long term target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 17.00.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTC/USD Local work. Clamping 2.37%/18 days. Stop-Loss zonesLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Local trend.
Clamping the price in a narrow range of 2.37% for 18 days. Stop-Loss zones (market fuel), due to which the impulse will occur, was shown on the chart. Previously showed more than once such trading situations and their solutions, the sense of such manipulation in such zones. I will not repeat it.
In your work to observe the risk management, it is advisable not to work with large leverage because there can be significant volatility in both directions. Instead of a logical profit in the trend, you will get a loss on the spot.
237/18
A line chart to understand the trend direction of this zone.
The previous idea of a secondary trend of two months ago, which shows this zone 1618 0
BTC/USD Secondary trend. Double bottom zone.
The main bitcoin trend (almost all of it). The time frame is 1 month.
BTC/USD Main trend. Cycles. Halving BTC. Surrender zones.
This idea of a long-term trend shows capitulation zones in secondary trends and the percentage of price decrease from the highs. Bitcoin's halving. Cyclicality. Note that unlike past cycles, the price has been under the uptrend line zone for a very long time.
BRIEFING Week #4 : Complex Week AheadHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Xrp - All Structure Is Finally Broken!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is heading for two digits:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past three months alone, Xrp rallied about +550%, perfectly following the expected triangle continuation breakout. Since there is literally no resistance above the current levels, it is quite likely that Xrp will now rally all the way up to the psychological two digits.
Levels to watch: $10.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)