MATIC → Polygon Pullback to $0.35 then $0.70? Let's Answer.Since my February 3rd update, MATIC has remained in a trading range, as expected. We found resistance at $1.25 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on MATIC?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, MATIC found resistance at the Resistance Zone of $1.25 after two pushes up in the trading range followed by two legs down, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $0.50. We now see the price finding support in this area, and it has yet to show signs of strength.
It's not reasonable to enter a long here given that we lack a strong bullish candle close. We need to wait for a strong candle at this support area, but I believe it's more likely we will fall to the triangle low of around $0.31. Look for a signal and confirmation candle in this area then enter a long. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in MATIC.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 37.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.40
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.27
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.53
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.66
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up toward a resistance zone in a triangle
2. Resistance met at $1.25, two legs back toward the triangle low
3. Look for a break below the triangle to the triangle low
4. Long entry justified after strong bull candle close near triangle low
5. RSI at 37.00 and below the moving average. Supports a long entry
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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Crypto2024
ICP → Time to Long at $9? A Buy Opportunity Is Waiting!Since my April 24th update, ICP has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance just shy of $21.00 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on ICP?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, ICP found resistance at the Resistance Zone of below $21.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $5.80. We now see the price strongly responding to this are and is now above the Support Zone with a strong bullish candle closing on it's high.
It's reasonable to enter a long here given that strong bullish candle close. It would not hurt to wait for a confirmation candle but since we've closed above support, you could take a slightly lower probability trade here and have a high probability of hitting the first take profit target of $11.225. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in DOGE.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 56.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $8.45
🟥 Stop Loss: $5.675
✅ Take Profit #1: $11.225
✅ Take Profit #2: $14.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up toward a resistance zone after a breakout
2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
3. Two-legged pullback to the Support Zone at $8.23
4. Long entry justified at current Signal Candle close above Support Zone
5. RSI at 56.00 and above the moving average. Supports a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
DOGE → Fall to $0.10! Are We Heading Back to $0.30? Let's AnswerSince my April 13th update, DOGE has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $0.225 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on DOGE?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, DOGE found resistance at the 2021 resistance area of below $0.29 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern on the Daily chart. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us near the Weekly 200EMA support at around $0.10. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. I do not believe we will break and hold below $0.10.
I would not enter a long just yet. What we need now is two or three tests of the Weekly 200EMA support area around $0.10, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in DOGE.
A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 43.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.10975
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.07210
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.14725
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.22275
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up toward a resistance zone after a breakout
2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
3. Two-legged pullback to Weekly 200EMA Support
4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles
5. RSI at 43.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $22! Heading Back to $50?Since my May 18th update, AVAX has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $41.80, took half profits, and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on Avalanche?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, AVAX found resistance at the 2021/2022 resistance area of $60.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us near Push #1 support at around $25.00. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. I do not believe we will break and hold below $25.00.
I would not enter a long yet unless you're fading into your total position size. What we need now is two or three tests of the Push #1 support area between $23.00 and $25.00, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in AVAX.
A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 42.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $27.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $21.33
✅ Take Profit #1: $32.70
✅ Take Profit #2: $44.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up into a resistance zone after a breakout
2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
3. Two-legged pullback to Push #1 Support
4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles
5. RSI at 42.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
FTM → Fantom Fall to $0.35!? Then to $1.00? Let's Answer.Since my April 11th update, FTM has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $1.25, created a micro double-top, and then pulled back in two strong legs—truly three in total. Should we be bearish or bullish on Fantom?
How do we trade this? 🤔
FTM predictably printed a double-top after three strong pushes up into the immediate resistance zone of $0.97 to $1.25. That reversal pattern played out into a three-legged pullback, leaving us near Push #1 support at around $0.40. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. However, I do not believe we will break and hold below $0.40.
I would not enter a long position just yet unless you're fading. What we need now is two or three tests of the Push #1 support area between $0.35 and $0.40, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in FTM.
A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 39.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.45
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.285
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.64
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.82
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs up into a resistance zone after a breakout
2. Micro Double-top reversal pattern
3. Three-legged pullback to Push #1 Support
4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles
5. RSI at 39.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worrying about losing money, which helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis!
My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA.
How do we trade this? 🤔
We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $42,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350
✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600
✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000
2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone
3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback
4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000
5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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SUI/BTC going to make Xwe see the reaction , well , just fill imbalance and go to grab liquidity upside
AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $30! Heading Back to $50?AVAX landed just north of our final take profit target of $30 from my last analysis, a perfect drop and profit after three pushes up in a bull trend. Avalanche has been sideways since, are we ready to go back up?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We had three pushes up in a bull trend; the third push made contact with a major 2021 resistance area, followed by two strong bear candles closing on their lows below the Daily 30EMA. We tested the 30EMA as resistance followed by a strong bear bar closing on or near its low on April 9th. That was our confirmation to enter the short down to $27, we took profits just north of $30 where the run ended. This completed a two-legged pullback, which is a signal that the price may want to re-test $50 and beyond.
We've had several attempts to break that low since and found ourselves in a nice trading range. The longer a trading range continues, the greater the chance the price will reverse direction from the price action to the left of the range. With Bitcoin in a nice pullback and seeming to want another run for $74,000, AVAX is likely to follow toward the upside. Wait for a strong bull candle to close on or near its high at this level, then enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade, taking half profits at 1:1 R/R ($42.000). Move the stop loss up to the entry price and swing the latter half of the position to $49.00, just before the left resistance area.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $35.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $28.00
✅ Take Profit #1: $42.00
✅ Take Profit #2: $49.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into a bull trend.
2. Price has made contact with a 2021 resistance area.
3. Strong sell signal pushing below the Daily 30EMA
4. Two-legged pullback from bull run, price has run sideways for an extended time, look for long entry.
5. RSI at 40.00 and on the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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ADA → Cardano Heading for $0.65!? In a Key Support Zone.ADA completed its 2-legged pullback per my previous analysis and even overshot the key support zone to Push #1 support at $0.41. Is this an opportune time to long?
Previous Analysis:
How do we trade this? 🤔
Cardano found support at Push #1 support from the previous bull trend around $0.40 and has rebounded to the Daily 200EMA. It's reasonable to expect a pullback from the 200EMA to the $0.45-$0.47 area in the Support Zone. We need a strong bull candle closing on or near its high followed by a confirmation candle to support the idea of longing ADA. Even with such price action, we should be cautious given Bitcoins likely pullback from its recent all-time high and halving period.
That being said, it's reasonable to think Cardano will have more upside before it comes down and with the signal and confirmation bar off of the Support Zone, it's reasonable to enter a long position toward the $0.65 range. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $0.5635, move the stop loss up to the entry price, then swing the latter half of the position to Take Profit #2 target of $0.65. The likelihood of hitting $0.65 is less than ideal, but it's worth holding that second take profit target until the price action gives us a reason to exit the trade.
This analysis is in alignment with my recent ADA Lifetime Analysis as seen here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.4767
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.3900
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.5635
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.6500
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. 2-Legged pullback completed at Support Zone.
2. Double Bottom pattern at Support Zone
3. Strong bull candle to Daily 200EMA, expect a pullback to the Support Zone.
4. Look for a strong signal candle closing on or near its high with a confirmation candle following.
5. RSI is at 41.00 and above the Moving Average, supporting the idea of a long position.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worrying about losing money, which helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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ICP → Long at $9!? A Buy Opportunity is Waiting!ICP did not put in a 4th leg since my last analysis and instead, the short opportunity presented itself after the third push on schedule. Should we short here?
Previous Analysis:
How do we trade this? 🤔
Shorting at the bottom of this bull trend is not ideal. Our short opportunity was at $18 per my last analysis. Now that we're at bull channel support, we need to wait for a breakout to the downside with confirmation support has become resistance. The likely outcome of such a breakout is a 2-legged pullback from the bull channel leading us to the Support Zone.
We should be looking for long positions at this point. With Bitcoin and the crypto market cooling off, we should expect more downside. This means short scalping on lower timeframes and fading long positions on higher timeframes. I'm looking for a strong bull signal bar closing on or near its high off of the Support Zone, followed by a confirmation candle to enter a 1:4 Risk/Reward long position. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, and swing the latter half of the position to 1:4 or until a reversal signal appears.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $9.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.85
✅ Take Profit #1: $11.15
✅ Take Profit #2: $17.60
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:4
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into a bull channel followed by a retrace to support.
2. Wait for a breakout below the bull channel and Daily 200EMA.
3. Look for a long entry above the Support Zone
4. Target is just shy of the previous high of around $18 for the final take profit.
5. RSI at 45.00 and above the Moving Average, room to fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
DOGE → Are We Heading to $0.30!? Or $0.10? Let's Answer.Doge had an 80% Weekly bull candle at the end of February followed by continued bull pressure into March. Where will Doge find resistance?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The current market has a strong bullish sentiment. The 80% bull candle was followed by a tight trading range with more strong bull candles. We have yet to see a signal for pullbacks or reversals. We are on the second push up in the trend, leaving us the potential for one more.
The RSI is currently at 78.00, which ought to give us some pause about the continuation of the bull action before a pullback. That is why I advocate waiting to enter a long until the price comes back down toward the Weekly 30EMA.
It is reasonable to long scalp on a lower timeframe like the 4HR or even the Daily, but with a small position size and tight stop loss. Waiting for the pullback to the 30EMA is ideal for a long.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.14
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.09
✅ Take Profit: $0.29
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two pushes up in a bull trend with a gap to close at $0.29.
2. 80% bull candle at the end of February signals strong bull strength.
3. Tight trading range after the February bull candle, likely a measured move up.
4. Long scalp on lower timeframe or wait for pullback to Weekly 30EMA to long.
5. RSI at 78.00 and above the Moving Average supports pullback before the next move up.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
FTM → Fantom Drop to $0.50!? Or Rush to $3.50? Let's Answer.FTM has shown immense strength during the crypto markets' bullish sentiment over the last 14 months. With a 611% increase from Fantoms' bear market low of $0.15 to the recent high of $1.21, does FTM have any more upside for us?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We're at a crucial point for the FTM price near a major resistance area peaking at $1.25. Two strong legs up from the support zone in a rough Measured Move with an RSI of 80.00 and above the Moving Average. The crypto market has given us more than the price action called for with Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs without touching lifetime support and before the halving. A long at this stage is not reasonable, at least not on the Daily or Weekly timeframes.
It's reasonable to wait for the price to fall toward the Weekly 30EMA and 200EMA between the $0.42 and $0.52 price range, this range will increase slightly as the pullback happens toward the $0.46 and $0.56 area. Therefore, it's ideal to target the $0.527 area for optimal Risk/Reward, setting a stop loss below the EMA ribbons at $0.285, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward ($0.77) selling half of the position and moving the stop loss up to the entry price, before the $0.97 resistance area. The second take profit should be set anywhere above the $1.25 resistance until a sell signal and confirmation are witnessed, but ideally, before the $2.00 psychological and minor resistance before the peak of the 2021 high.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.527
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.285
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.77
✅ Take Profit #2: $1.98
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:6
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up in a strong 611% bull run finding resistance at $1.21
2. Measured move played out
3. Bitcoin at all-time high resistance areas could impact crypto market sentiment
4. Gap between the current price and EMA ribbons
5. RSI at 80.00 and above the moving average. Supports a pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worrying about losing money, which helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
ADA → Cardano to $0.40? or $1.40? Get your Longs Ready!ADA completed its 230% price increase since October 2023 and now appears to be finding some resistance. Should we short here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Shorting is not ideal on the Daily timeframe. Since October 2023, ADA has put in three legs in a bull trend, a double-top reversal pattern that has come off of an ascending wedge (bearish pattern). We're now finding resistance below the Daily 30EMA with a gap down to the Daily 200EMA. This analysis screams a two-legged pullback to the 200EMA, likely in alignment with the Bitcoin halving that's about to happen in April 2024.
Short on the 1HR timeframe, but get your equity ready for a long position when ADA comes into contact with the $0.53-$0.57 price area. Look for a strong bull candle closing on or near its high off of the Daily 200EMA, this is our signal bar and a reasonable one to enter on with a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio, aiming for a conservative target of $0.775.
A confirmation bar should take us somewhere in the $0.60-$0.65 range. If we see this, given the crypto market's similar sentiment after the halving, it's reasonable to enter at a 1:2 risk reward aiming for the $1.20 area. It's reasonable to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the latter half of your position to 1:2, 1:3, or even 1:4 Risk/Reward on this timeframe, depending on how the price action plays out.
This analysis is in alignment with my recent ADA Lifetime Analysis as seen here:
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.55
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.4375
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.663
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.775
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three legs in a bull trend
2. Double top reversal pattern which has come off of an ascending wedge (bearish pattern)
3. Finding resistance below the Daily 30EMA with a gap down to the Daily 200EMA.
4. Look for a 2-legged pullback to the 200EMA, likely in alignment with the Bitcoin halving that's about to happen in April 2024.
5. RSI is at 48.00 and Above the Moving Average, supporting the idea of a pullback to the 30.00 area below the Moving Average.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worrying about losing money, which helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
AVAX → Avalanche Reached Resistance! Reverse to $25? or $75?AVAX has met a major 2021 lifetime resistance area and rendered a strong sell signal in response. Is this the time to short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We have three pushes up in a bull trend; the third push has made contact with a major 2021 resistance area, followed by two strong bear candles closing on their lows below the Daily 30EMA. What we need now is a test of the 30EMA as resistance followed by a strong bear bar closing on or near its low. This will be our confirmation bar and our queue to enter a short. Take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward then move the stop loss up to the entry price to secure profits. Swing the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward just above the previous major support, or until a reversal pattern appears.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $46.50
🟥 Stop Loss: $53.00
✅ Take Profit #1: $39.85
✅ Take Profit #2: $27.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into a bull trend.
2. Price has made contact with a 2021 resistance area.
3. Strong sell signal pushing below the Daily 30EMA
4. Wait for confirmation candle just below the Daily 30EMA to enter a short.
5. RSI at 48.00 and below the Moving Average, supports short bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
ICP → Going to $10 or $30!? A Reversal May be Coming.ICP has printed three pushes up in a bull channel, reaching $20.90. It is currently holding its position above the Daily 30EMA. Is it time to short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We do not yet have a short signal near a key resistance zone. Three pushes up after the breakout into the bull trend is a sign to start looking for reversals, but we have yet to see a reversal pattern or signal candle on the Daily or Weekly timeframes.
Bitcoin may have one more push up before it reverses, the alt coin market will likely follow that pattern. and that includes ICP. The next resistance area for ICP is around $23.00, which is at the top of the bull channel and near the resistance zone. If we get a sell signal bar and preferably, a confirmation bar closing on or near its low, a 1:1 short scalp is reasonable.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $21.70
🟥 Stop Loss: $28.00
✅ Take Profit: $15.40
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into a bull channel after a of the current support zone.
2. Price action is above the Daily 30EMA and in a trading range.
3. 27% gap to the top of the bull channel which is near the resistance zone.
4. Target the resistance zone for a sell signal bar around $21.00
5. RSI at 63.00 and below the Moving Average, supports short bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades and start looking for reversals.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
BTC → Bitcoin Back to $38,000? Or to $138,000? Let's Answer.Bitcoin has deviated from its historical price action tendencies and reached new all-time highs before the bitcoin halving and without touching lifetime support! Does that mean we will continue to go up?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Bitcoin is clearly at a crucial moment in the market, breaking beyond the previous $69,500 all-time high and reaching just shy of $74,000. Without surprise, Bitcoin is facing some resistance in this area as the bulls take some profits and the bears lurk waiting for a solid sell candle.
At this stage, we do not have a sell candle to justify a short. My previous analysis called for a 30% pullback or more between the $45,000 and $55,000 area if the proper sell candle and confirmation bars showed themselves, we never received those candles. I am still in the same mindset; be on the lookout for a major pullback, but wait for the proper sell and confirmation to short. Long scalp on the smaller timeframes, 5m or 15m until the price action no longer justifies it.
I believe the more lucrative opportunity will show itself after a major pullback occurs to the $38,000 price area. This area provided great trade volume and has acted as support and resistance several times in the past few years. It's reasonable to believe this will be a solid floor for Bitcoin. The hard lifetime support floor is approximately $25,000 leading into 2025, but I think it's unlikely at this point to see such a pullback. $38,000 is the more likely support level as that should coincide with the Weekly 200EMA later this year/early next year if the price is to fall that far. We also have to consider that the price may not fall below the Weekly 30EMA or come near the Weekly 200EMA and should be looking for a buy signal at any of these support zones.
For now, I would long trade the smaller timeframes and be on the lookout for the sell signal candle on the weekly chart.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $42,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $25,000
✅ Take Profit #1: $69,000
✅ Take Profit #2: $110,000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:4
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. At previous all-time high resistance, not ideal long entry on Daily or Weekly timeframe.
2. Wait for sell signal on Daily or Weekly timeframes to enter a short.
3. Target Weekly 30EMA, 200EMA, and previous high volume area for support.
4. Long at $42,000 after a strong buy signal off of the high volume area, target 1:4 Risk/Reward and take half of the position off the table at $69,000, move stop loss up to entry and swing the latter half of the position to the $110,000 area.
5. RSI is overbought near 85.00 which supports a pullback and hesitation to long.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
UNI → Uniswap Breakout to $16.75! Next Target $30.00!?Uniswap broke out of its nearly two-year trading range and hit resistance at $16.75! Now that Bitcoin and the crypto market have taken a pause, what is Uniswap's next move?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We must be cautious with our long bias in the crypto market. Bitcoin is at its all-time high, and the crypto market is burning red hot to the upside; this is not an ideal time to long because we're near critical resistance on both Bitcoin and Uniswap. The best course of action is to wait for a pullback and a sign of another leg up. This is technically the first leg up on the weekly chart and we're a decent distance from the trading range. The RSI is also at 85.00, a significant distance from the Moving Average; this supports a pullback.
Wait for at least a 30% pullback toward the nearest minor support line from April 2022. If we get a strong bull bar in that area, there's a long trade to be had that's reasonable. Long near the $11.50 price point setting a stop loss just below the trading range resistance (now support-side) at $6.75. This allows you to take 1:1 Risk/Reward profits below the current resistance at $16.27 where once hit, you can move your stop loss up to the entry price to lock in profits. The second half of your position can be swung to $25.75, beyond the current resistance and just before the next one at $30.00. If the second half of the position doesn't pan out, you already locked in profits with the first half.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $11.50
🟥 Stop Loss: $6.75
✅ Take Profit #1: $16.27
✅ Take Profit #2: $25.75
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Confirmed breakout at a 130% increase in price.
2. No pullback on the weekly candle and near resistance, wait to long.
3. Look for support at 30% pullback to the $11.50 area, wait for strong bull candle.
4. Take profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward then move stop loss up to entry price.
5. RSI is high at 85.00 and a great distance from the Moving Average, supports a pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
ADA → Cardano Lifetime Analysis Shows $7.50 High!? Let's Answer.ADA has established lifetime trend lines following the conclusion of the 2022/2023 bear run. The bear run low at $0.22, provides us a connecting dot to the 2020 bear run low of $0.018, allowing us to establish a Lifetime Support line. Likewise, the conclusion of the 2021 bull run provided us with a connecting dot for a Lifetime Resistance line.
Now that we established a trend, how heavily can we rely on those lines? What about other areas of support and resistance? Will the altcoin market respond to market forces and reach new highs?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Let's answer these questions in order and expand upon them:
1. How heavily can we rely on these trend lines?
As heavily as any other established trend line. While it's important to remember that altcoin markets are more volatile than higher volume markets such as Bitcoin or especially Forex, these support and resistance areas *are* the data. Our analysis frames the playing field such that we can apply trade management strategies to gain a profit, which means any trade we should consider these price areas to be the boundaries of our trades.
2. What about other areas of support and resistance?
Lifetime Support and Resistance frame our macro trend, but we need to zoom into the EMA ribbons and previous areas of support and resistance. After the conclusion of the 2022/2023 bear run, ADA broke through the 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons and established support on both. In my analysis rubric, the 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons are immensely important in determining what price areas are respected by a security.
Currently, ADA is following the movements of Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole. My Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis explains why I believe Bitcoin needs a strong pullback before reaching new all-time highs:
If Bitcoin fails to find a new all-time high here, ADA will likely stall and fall with it. The degree to which it falls is up for debate, but I would argue we will see the price fall to $0.50 (Weekly 200EMA) at a minimum, with a worst-case being $0.40 at Lifetime Support, maybe a wick into the $0.35 range. This will likely come in the form of a two-legged pullback on the Weekly chart.
Once that pullback concludes alongside Bitcoin, we should see another attempt to find new highs with Bitcoin. If ADA and the altcoin market are going to find strong upward momentum, it will be after Bitcoin and Ethereum find new all-time highs, generating excitement and volume. I'll be honest, what happens with the price from here is difficult to estimate. I believe what is closer to a worst-case scenario is ADA stalls around the 2021 Resistance Zone at the $1.50 range. A best-case scenario is it reaches near the Lifetime Resistance at $7.50. Somewhere in the middle, reaches the previous all-time high of $3.10.
We need to see the market reaction to the pullback and Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs to remotely begin estimating where ADA will land.
3. Will the altcoin market respond to market forces and reach new highs
There are a variety of arguments for and against the notion that we'll get another "alt season" where the alt market securities find new highs. My position on this is that we don't have nearly enough evidence to conclude that the alt market will be strong during this next bull run.
Here are some key points regarding what we do have:
1. Price Action is truth and we have price action data. Bitcoin has had a 300% increase in price since the 2023 $15,500 low, ADA has had a 200% increase in that same timeframe.
2. Volume into BTC and ETH proportionally is greater than the volume into the alt coin market.
3. ADA is respecting support and resistance areas and responding to macro crypto market sentiment.
4. The altcoin market is bloated, but the top 20 coins are more insulated from that bloat.
5. The RSI, a weak indicator on its own, shows us that the market is burning hot and needs a cooling-off period. This supports my other data points.
So where does that leave ADA? As previously stated, we have some key events that need to play out before we can have any confidence in where ADA ends up by 2025. Those include the pullback I believe is coming, followed by Bitcoin and Ethereum finding new highs. Once we hit those marks, we can start talking about $1.50, $3.00, and $7.50 price targets.
The Trade
That being said, we can still construct a reasonable trade based on the data we have. There are two ways to play this chart, wait for the pullback and start buying around $0.50, or start buying now and fade your position in either direction. Personally, I'm going to put weight on my overall crypto analysis and wait for the market to pullback.
My ideal buy for ADA would be at $0.57 after we see an established bounce off of the EMA ribbons. I would place a stop loss below the previous bear trend low at $0.18. My take profit targets would be as follows:
Take Profit #1 : $0.96. For two reasons, this is a 1:1 Risk/Reward ratio, so if I sell half of my position and move my stop loss to my entry price, profits are locked in, and I can swing the second half of my position. The second reason is there is a minor resistance zone at $1.00 on top of $1.00 being a psychological resistance price. $0.96 allows us to sell before that resistance is met.
Take Profit #2 : $1.50. I would sell 25% of my remaining half because this is a major resistance area where a lot of trading happened. This is also about 1:2.5 Risk/Reward, which is reasonable to take more profit.
Take Profit #3 : $2.95. Take another 25% of the second half of the position off the table just before the previous all-time high is met. This will be a major resistance area and the likelihood of it breaking is far less than the $1.50 resistance area. This is also a 1:6 Risk/Reward area, absolutely reasonable to take profits this late in the game.
Take Profit #4 : $6.85. The final 50% of the second half of my position (25% of my original position), will be taken off the table before we get close to the Lifetime Resistance price of $7.50. $7.00 will be a psychological barrier and close enough to $7.50, where if we hit that price, it will be a very low probability compared to just under $7.00. $6.85 is 1:16 Risk/Reward, a massively successful trade at this stage and completely reasonable to close the entire trade and be very satisfied with the results.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.57
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.18
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.96
✅ Take Profit #2: $1.50
✅ Take Profit #3: $2.95
✅ Take Profit #4: $6.85
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:16
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Price Action is truth and we have price action data. Bitcoin has had a 300% increase in price since the 2023 $15,500 low, ADA has had a 200% increase in that same timeframe.
2. Volume into BTC and ETH proportionally is greater than the volume into the alt coin market.
3. ADA is respecting support and resistance areas and responding to macro crypto market sentiment.
4. The altcoin market is bloated, but the top 20 coins are more insulated from that bloat.
5. The RSI, a weak indicator on its own, shows us that the market is burning hot and needs a cooling-off period. This supports my other data points.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
IMX → Immutable Descending Wedge Bullish Pattern. Time to Long?IMX has been in a descending wedge pullback after a three-legged bull run. This appears to be a textbook long setup, but is it?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The long setup in front of us is reasonable, but there are a few data points in our way. What's in favor of a long position is the descending wedge pattern after a three-legged bull run. The pullback has three pushes down with some strong buy bars, signaling upward pressure.
However, we are still below the Daily 30EMA and a distance from the Support Zone top at $1.49 and the Daily 200EMA at $1.35. You can argue that the third bounce off the descending wedge support is out low and we can place our stop loss there, and that is reasonable. I am suggesting exactly that trade is reasonable after a break of the Daily 30EMA and a re-test of the descending wedge resistance as support. The stop loss can be placed below the previous wedge low of $1.70 with a profit target at a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio of $2.414.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $1.990
🟥 Stop Loss: $1.566
✅ Take Profit: $2.414
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up in a bull channel.
2. Descending Wedge bullish pattern with three pushes down.
3. Strong bull signal bars on every wedge push.
4. Suggested to wait for a break of Daily 30EMA and a re-test of wedge resistance as support.
5. RSI at 48.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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2. Chart Analysis
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DOGE → Hitting The Bottom and About to Rocket Past $0.10? Doge pulled back 30% from its recent high just above $0.10, leaving the bulls to wonder if we're continuing to the downside or putting in new highs. Is this the time to enter a long trade?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The answer is yes! We have several market indicators that point to a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade right here at this moment. We have three pushes down in our pullback from $0.10, 3 failed attempts to make lower lows in a trading range, and an RSI that is low and above the Moving Average; Bitcoin as a market indicator is showing signs of making another attempt toward the upside as well. We're 10% away from the Support zone with plenty of runway before hitting the previous high at $0.10. These are optimal conditions for a long trade.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.0805
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.0705
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.0905
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.1050
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes down in the pullback from $0.10
2. Three failed attempts to break a new low in the trading range
3. 10% away from the Support Zone and 34% away from the previous high of $0.10
4. RSI at 43.00 and above the moving average which are ideal conditions for a long
5. Bitcoin showing signs of a move toward the previous high
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trends typically have 3 pushes in either direction before a trend change begins. Along with other market indicators, creates a situation to look for counter-trend trades because the probability of profit is high enough.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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BTC → Bitcoin Near Resistance! Should We Short? Let's Answer.Bitcoin is in a critical price zone as this bull run has taken us from $15,500 to $52,800. Is this a situation where we short? Or do we prepare for a long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Shorting may be an option for a lower timeframe such as the 15m or 1HR. I would not be shorting on the Daily or Weekly candles, but waiting for the price to pull back to enter a long.
As outlined in my Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis, I believe Bitcoin is due for a major pullback ranging from 30-50% toward the $25,000-$30,000 price area:
I would target a long entry in the $35,000 price area, set a stop loss either below the $15,500 low and target a 1:3 Risk/Reward, or a stop loss below the previous trading range at $25,000. Look for a double bottom around the Breakout Support area at $31,800 with a strong bull signal and confirmation bars. From there, reasonable take profit targets include 1:1 Risk/Reward at $42,300, just below the current price at $51,000, just below the previous all-time high at $65,000, and just below $100,000 which is a psychologically even number target.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $35,575.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $22,900.00
✅ Take Profit #1: $42,300
✅ Take Profit #2: $65,000
✅ Take Profit #3: $98,000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:5
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up toward a Resistance Area of $52,800
2. Resistance area is derived from the 2021 Head and Shoulders pattern
3. Wait for the price to pullback between 30-50%, and look for a double-bottom reversal pattern near $35,000
4. Long at 1:5 risk reward and take profit at three key levels
5. RSI is overbought at 78.00 which supports the pullback.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Trends typically have 3 pushes in either direction before a trend change begins. Along with other market indicators, creates a situation to look for counter-trend trades because the probability of profit is high enough.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
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AVAX → Avalanche Pullback Complete? Long to $50 or Higher!AVAX ran three pushes up in a bull channel just shy of the 2022 Resistance area topping out at $50. That was followed by a pullback and a strong bull signal. Is it time to long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
A long entry is close to being justified! Here's what we have in favor of the long bias; Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at $50 (psychological number because it's even) just below the 2022 resistance price of $53.25, followed by three pushes down in a micro-bear channel, the final push of the bear channel ended in a strong bull signal bar, and we have a good bull bar close on the third after the signal bar.
What we need now is a strong bill close above the 30EMA. A desirable data point would be a re-test of the micro-bear channel resistance as support to add probability to our long. However, I do not believe this is required to justify a long entry.
I believe we need to be conservative longing at this stage in the crypto market, which is why I only advocate for a 1:1 scalp at a lower than maximum position size allowed for your trading strategy. I think Bitcoin and Ethereum have a larger pullback on the horizon, but do believe the market will come up a bit before it goes down.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $34.90
🟥 Stop Loss: $23.90
✅ Take Profit: $45.90
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up in a bull channel ending at 2022 Resistance.
2. Micro Bear Channel forms with three pushes down.
3. Strong bull signal buy bar on the third push.
4. Wait for a close above the Daily 30EMA to enter a long position.
5. RSI at 46.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
FTM → Fantom Aims for Resistance Zone! Should We Short Here?FTM came into contact with the Daily 200EMA support after three pushes down, a pullback from the $0.57 high. The price bounced off of the 200EMA and is in now what appears to be a second leg up toward the high. Should we prepare to enter a short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We need this bull pattern to play out and give us a reversal signal before we entertain a short. I believe Bitcoin has some more time in the coming days and even weeks to potentially top out and reverse hard to the downside. That gives the altcoin market some time to either go sideways or find some momentum toward the upside. ETH is showing us that momentum now.
Wait for another push or two toward the $0.57 high, wait for a double top reversal signal, then enter a short position with a stop loss placed above the Resistance Zone. An entry around $0.51 gives us enough room for a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade since the second take profit will be in the Daily 200EMA support area at $0.35. Close out the first half of your position at 1:1 Risk/Reward and move the stop loss up to the entry price, this locks in profits and allows the second half of the trade to be executed without the fear of loss.
This, being a counter-trend trade in a bull market, comes with a lower probability of profit, which is why half of our position ought to be a scalp. The conditions listed must be met for this trade to work. I will also add that longing here is not recommended with the crypto market burning as hot as it is for as long as it has been. We're due for a hard pullback of at least 30-50% before we see new all-time highs for Bitcoin. I stand firm on that warning, given the distance we've traveled since the $15,000 low; the probability falls the longer we march upward.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.51
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.59
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.43
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.35
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Found Support at the Daily 200EMA after a three-legged pullback from the $0.57 high
2. Two legs up in a new bull pattern
3. Looking for a third leg up followed by a double-top reversal signal
4. RSI at 57.00 and at the moving average. Room to move up before a fall.
5. Wait for these conditions to be met then aim for a 1:2 Risk/Reward short.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
