BTC going down? BTC USDTIs BTC going down?
I felt sorry for many people because of this situation. It was really a stock market manipulation. Or so I think. Because big volume single candles can be drawn by a large whale.
First of all, I will introduce you the signature of our biggest whale on the chart.
Yes it looks like a harmonic pattern. But there are about 70 different patterns that I know about harmonic patterns.
This is different from them. This is actually a signature of the rising trend of collecting goods . In harmonic patterns, it enters the decline process after the D leg. Fibonacci levels are traversed in order. 1.27 and 1.618 are good collection points. This process does not happen immediately. It enters a downtrend and moves in steps.
But this signature is different from them. Normally, it should break the old support points and go down to the bottom, but this pattern does not give us that. First of all, it gives the impression of falling. Then we try to identify the levels. We know the price will go down here.
A measurement like this;
It's most likely a shark pattern. Actually no, this is the signature of the whale, which indicates that a new trend will start and wants to collect goods. People open short position believing that prices will fall. Of course, for this, they want to make sure that the prices will drop a little and that the decrease will continue.
When they see closes below the support level, they open a short position. People start to sell their goods. Then the whales take the goods that are sold. Crypto markets analyze where short positions will be liquid. And then all the short positions are liquid. Whales are happy with the goods they receive.
This time they believe that it will rise and they open a long position. Exchanges again collect statistics and pocket the money.
Then analyzes are made. It is thought that the descending triangle and the prices will go down as in the chart below. The wicks of the candles also point downwards. Symmetry down. Investors try to open a short position again.
Descending triangle, head and shoulders, harmonic patterns etc.
people become convinced of the down trend.
Then comes another 13% increase.
So what is the situation now?
When we look at the A and C legs in the graphic above, it is seen that this is again a shark pattern.
The level of the D leg should be 1.618 or 2.24 according to the shark pattern. It is seen that the support levels are also compatible with the Fibonacci levels. accordingly, the prices should drop to 44K.
But ;
It is also expected to rise according to the same chart. there may be a cup handle pattern with the Inverse Head And Shoulders pattern inside.
It can also be a flag pattern.
Only one question remains. Which one?
Here are the indicator values that will be useful for us
When the price is 59700 -56900, the indicator data will say it is available for purchase. When the price comes here, the rsi value will most likely be below 30, at the aroon 20 levels, and other indicators will still be in a suitable position for buying. The bottom of the channel can be thought of as a stop loss.,
Note: This is not investment advice.
Cryptobrainn
LRC USDT Note: First of all, candle closings in the upper box invalidate everything I wrote below and show that this analysis is wrong. If this box is not entered or this box is not passed, my thoughts below are valid.
Analysis;
Fibonacci measurement at 4H may suggest that this is an elliot wave. But I don't think it's the elliot wave.
1st wavelength is too long
2. sellers consolidated too much
3 indicator values seem too high to me.
Fan intersections marked as circles on the graph should work as supports.
Check the rsi when the price comes to each circle area. If the rsi in 4H still has not fallen below 35 or if the rsi has not fallen below 60 in the daily time frame, it is possible that the decline will continue.
A good trade is the one in the last circle.
Note: This is not Investment advice.
Ada | Cardano Usdt Trend AnalysisI expect it to move along the Schiff Canal line. After crossing the median of the regression channel, prices will relax. I think the real trend will start after the median. So, I'm waiting for the real rise after the $2.5 correction. At the moment, we can see a pullback to the $2 levels. You can look at the Trend levels from the Heatmap I published.
NOTE : This is not investment advice.
Ada | Cardano Heatmap based on Price, Support and resistanceFirst of all, you can find the areas used in the analysis chart by looking at the chart below.
My thought for the current situation is that it enters the green area and tries to create a support area for itself there. (3 Candle rule) .
The green circle can be considered as the necessary safe zone for the trend.
The green ring below the green circle is the last support zone for the Trend. A breakout of this zone may suggest that the trend is over.
Gann Boxes and Big green circles are designed in a way that I think will work as a trend timeframe.
As long as these circles placed in the Fibonacci channel are in harmony with the Fibonacci levels, there is no problem.
If prices fail to enter that green circle and the yellow and green waves break respectively, the orange fibonacci ring will act as support.
If the trend continues up as we predicted, this time these yellow and green rings will work as resistance.
Crossing the rectangular yellow area, i.e. going beyond the radius of the green circle, will confirm the trend even if prices haven't risen much.
Note: This is not investment advice.
UNFI USDTPrices may go down a bit from here. But I think it will up again. Maybe he will continue on his way without falling. However, technical indicators show that it may fall a little lower.
If the pattern can be completed I expect the target levels to be at the same rate as the pattern fibonacci levels.
Note: This is not Investment advice.
AAVE USDT In my opinion, another rule should be added for commodities. Maybe there is such a rule, but I may not know. Each pattern gives birth to its own pair. We see this in the chart.
Like Ying Yang, it has created a channel by creating another pattern in return for each pattern. I think we will be able to determine how these patterns will be completed or how the price will move within the channel.
You see 2 trends in the chart. The 1st trend is megatrend. The second trend has just started to form and is now trying to get rid of its fractals. Small trends in the inside area, I think, are about to end. I think we will see bigger formations now. If BTC does not make a downward move, I believe that these predictions will come true.
First, the small channel must be crossed. The bottom of this channel can be thought of as a stop loss.
If we want safe trading, we can wait for the price to break the channel up. In this way, our target areas are already clear.
We can think of the first target as the median canal line. The second target corresponds to a price of $700 and above. I hope btc does not mislead us and does not lower the price of alt coins. In this case, I believe we can see the goals we mentioned.
Note: This is not investment advice.
GXS UsdtThe middle median channel can be a suitable area for the stop loss.
If the channel is not broken, we can use the previous harmonic pattern as a guide and predict future targets.
Accordingly, the areas I have indicated with yellow dots will correspond to the old resistance points.
Note: This is not investment advice.
BTC Usdt Mega BullishIf I'm not mistaken in my predictions, the Mega Bull Season that everyone has been waiting for has arrived.
I usually analyze before btc drops, but this time I think the situation is different.
If I'm not wrong (I could be wrong), Gann Box and Fibonacci measurements, indicator data convinced me for this trend.
Waiting for the Eliot waves to start. I think 3 waves can occur inside the Gann Box. The first four waves of the Elliott Wave can occur inside the box. But if wave 4 manages to break out of the box, it could trigger another wave of elliot 5 for the 100K target.
Notice the area I marked in red though. If I'm wrong and prices drop below this level, it would be wise to stop loss. I don't expect this to happen. But it's still good to be careful.
If I am not mistaken in my thinking and waves 1 and 2 occur, you should measure yourself again after the second wave. Your post wave 2 measurement will be more reliable than my analysis.
I think there will be 2 waves of Elliott 5. So 1-2-3-4-5 ABC is 1-2-3-4-5 again and prices will start to decrease from here on.
But despite everything, I would say pay attention to the stop zone again.
NOTE: This is not investment advice.
Shib Usdt | SHIBA detailed Technical AnalysisAccording to the correction levels of the first waves, formation or pattern usually reveals.
When we look at the first wave, it is seen that it returns from 0.618. In this case, if we draw a scenario over Elliot Wave, it is seen that the current HH exceeds 1.618. In this case, we can expect another correction wave from here.
If we go over the patterns and formations that may occur because there was no previous supply zone at these prices, we can interpret the Harmonic Pattern B leg as 0.786 at most. We can think that the correction can occur up to a maximum of 0.786. But in order for it to extend up to 0.786, the volume of the shib must fall to an extern level. I don't think that can happen.
For this to be possible, btc must experience a rapid decline below 50K. However, this may be possible. Or the current price should increase a little more to 00068 and the price should return from there.
When we look at the indicator data to see if this is possible, I think it is not very possible. Rsi is currently at 87 when measuring. It can go up to 100, this is possible. In this case, it can come to the level I said in price. According to the money flow indicator data, they are still at a level that will allow for an increase. My example Cmf lasts up to 0.50. It always exploded after 0, 40. Considering that it is now at 0.19, there is no problem in its rise in terms of CMF.
However, this does not seem possible in terms of Trend indicators. ADX Momentum and Aroon are almost at the final level they can be right now. I don't know if it will go any further. Frankly, there is no historical data for other commodities that I remember about how far they can go. I don't know if there is. Generally, adx 40 returns when other indicators support around 50. Currently at level 66. In other words, if we evaluate the trend with trend indicators, the Elliot 3rd wave trend should turn and the 4th wave should be happening now.
Based on all these, I will dwell on the possibility that the limits of the price retracement may be at a level between 0.382 and 0.5.
This measurement is the image that supports our Elliot idea;
A correction at 0.618 followed by 1.618 has been surpassed. But the thing is, 1, the correction length of the wave is too much as you can see. In this case, we can theoretically expect the correction of wave 3 to be shorter or less than half the distance of 1 and 2.
When we make a data-independent graphical measurement, considering that the 1st wave is 170px long and the 2nd correction may be in half of this, this corresponds to the fib 0.382 levels.
Now, when we want to re-measure the correction as a harmonic pattern, waves 2 - 3 - 4 and 5 can reveal a harmonic pattern for us. When we measure this by constructing it, we can estimate the price levels on average.
The most common bat and crab patterns with 0.382 . When we make an evaluation and simulation on these two, we come across pullback price levels between 1.618 and 2.618
Even if prices were to retrecament to 2.618, it would not be possible without encountering resistance at 1.618. In this case, 1.618 can be considered as a new entry position and considered as a six-stop or partial buy.
The length of these patterns can get longer or shorter depending on the current BTC movement. The point to note here is the price movements of btc.
If all of our assumptions are supported by price movements, the Elliot 5-A-B-C triad will reveal a new harmonic pattern and start a new trend. When C is reached, the indicator values will be rested enough to remove a new trend.
p.s NOTE: This is not investment advice.
NANO UsdtBefore that, a harmonic pattern has been formed. Then we see that he draws Head and Shoulders. It also completes the right shoulder with an ascending triangle.
In volume candles, the volumes have decreased in accordance with the right shoulder rule.I think a jump can be seen at any moment.
I think the triangle top line is a suitable target for entry. The first TP target will be the triangle depth. I think it will pullback by encountering a resistance there.
Then, it will reach the previous supply zone as much as the previous harmonic pattern target and head depth that I specified.
NOT: This is not investment advice.
IOTA USDT Below the red line can be considered as the stop loss zone.
Above the green zone can be considered as entry level.
The depth of the head has not been exceeded yet
We can think of it as Double Head and Shoulders. We can also assume the appearance of a descending wedge that includes them all.
If the formation does not mislead us, you can set the TP targets for yourself. I preferred to put a close stop loss. Maybe it will give more buying opportunities. But you may want to set your own strategy. I just wanted to reveal the chart and patterns.
Note: This is not investment advice.
OG usdtIt's in a descending wedge and looks like it's about to break the wedge. I am writing this analysis because the indicator values are very low. If he breaks the wedge, it can hh.
The price pullback of the previous harmonic pattern seems to be over. I have indicated the next possible targets on the chart.
NOTE: It is not investment advice.
Key usdtThe fact that the correction level has returned from 0.5 instead of 0.618 indicates that this is not an elliot. It will draw a harmonic pattern for me. Those who already follow know that I am doing harmonic trading. That's why I consider this as it will create a harmonic pattern.
Looking at the old resistances, there are past accumulation zones at 0.886 and 1.13 levels. If we think that the price will break from there, real targets will emerge after an upward movement and a downward turn. Short target levels that may occur until the pattern I have indicated on the chart appears.
NOTE: It is not investment advice.
ADA usdt Tecnical AnalysisI stated the target as 1-2-3, but it will not reach these targets. Target 1 might be the entry point.
It's not a coin I like, but it hasn't been in action for a long time.
Assuming it moves within a channel, it also coincides with the Fibonacci levels we predicted.
In this case, the region we specified as Target 1 in the previous chart will work as support. I'm waiting for the price to return from here.
If there is no decline that will invalidate all these assumptions, a bat pattern will emerge. So our selling target will be around 2,400, which is in line with the average 2.618 fibonacci levels.
Considering that it has not been able to start a trend for a long time, I think this target level will be just a start of ignition.
It would be right to make a re-evaluation when we see the main target of 2,400 prices.
Of course, it is inevitable that there will be a pullback at the price of 2,400.
I would like to point out that I have also observed that there are large amounts of money flows to matic and the ada on Money Flow.
Note: This is not investment advice.
AAPL Tecnical AnalysisWe are seeing a pullback after the butterfly pattern. This retracement could bounce upwards in response from 0.618. Or it can be as long as 1.27 supply zones.
Therefore, I think that the region above the region I indicated with 0.618 may be suitable for buying, and the region below it may be suitable as the stop loss region.
When we look at the indicator data, it signals that the price will return from here.
Although Rsi is 34, if this descent extends to 0.618, the rsi value will have fallen below 20. A value of less than 35 seems reasonable for a buying opportunity. In other words, starting to collect from here seems like a suitable option to avoid being left out, even if there is a return.
I have an equation that I developed called W*2. I will not go into details, but according to this calculation made with both pattern and indicator data, one more shape should emerge.
The simulation image of this formula is as follows.
If the section that says score on the indicator script I wrote was above +0, it would be necessary to handle this image differently.
Of course, this is a newly developed equation. Your own strategy is always more valuable than the ideas of others. I am already doing this analysis to support you in making the right investment decision by comparing my opinion with your own strategies.
So you shouldn't consider this an investment advice.
Looking at the Aroon indicator, we might think that we might see sellers weakening and buyers getting ready to start a trend. According to my W*2 equation that I just mentioned, if we also calculate the shortness of the climb, I think the aroon up and aroon down will meet in the middle and the sellers will continue to go up again.
The estimated image that I expect to form on the indicators is as follows;
When we look at the trend indicators, we detect a positive dissonance in momentum. In other words, we can think of it as a signal that prices can return from here.
The fact that the ADx is above 30 also indicates that the downward trend has weakened.
When we look at the money indicators, we can think that the money inflow has started in the cmf and that this is a pullback according to the cmf data.
We can also see the falling wedge of the already emerging downtrend. So this decline may actually be a pullback.
I tried to show the angle of price averages with green bars in Atr. This may make us think that there is actually no real pullback in prices.
When the upturn begins and prices start to rise, a bearish line will begin to form at atr.
In summary;
I'm waiting for the prices to return from here.
I believe that the real breakdown will start then, by testing the 158s of the price.
NOTE: This is not investment advice.
BTC Tecnical AnalysisIt is obvious that the prices of BTC have broken down. The real question is: Is this a retreat or an end?
I would rather do a review on this question.
This drop will not be the drop of the pattern I have shown below. Because the pattern seems to have completed its retraction.
If this is a harmonic pattern that pushes the measurement limits, its target will be at least 1.618. So 28K
But I don't think this is it. I wanted to write as a possibility.
In the indicator data, we see that the money flow is decreasing and the momentum is decreasing.
Volume candles are also on the rise. If we think that the volume candles will decrease in the next scenario, increase on the decline and decrease again, it can give us an idea. We cannot predict the future. I'm just commenting on the future.
Such a scenario would reveal a bearish rebound and shoulder head pattern. Although it is too early to say, btc has a known and believed to be 100K target. Already stock market orders confirm this. This is what comes to my mind as the only supporting pattern during the realization of this situation.
The different scenarios of the current data also show that this can happen.
Another scenario is Elliot waves. Every trend usually happens in harmony with elliot. So far, we do not see a correction of 0.618. (in daily measurements)
This gives us the idea that this drop could happen as a 0.618 retracement.
When we look at the supply zone, we see that this is the most likely model.
With the fractal and impulse waves in between, I think this is the most appropriate scenario for our 100K target.
However, in the above chart, where the 3rd wave is, it can be seen as the 1st wave and where the 4th wave is, it can be seen as the 2nd wave.
Maybe a bit of an emotional and optimistic point of view, but considering the size of the investors, it is not a remote possibility.
Note: This is not investment advice.
BNB USDTThe supply zone is a strong support area. I don't think this area will break. In the area I indicated in the green circle, single-digit prices will work as support. for exp 400-390-380 etc.
Supply zone should be protected by following btc. If prices continue to break down within the BNB supply zone area, but btc is up-trend signaling , this zone is safe.
Rsi divergences should be checked when the price breaks below 370. In this way, you can decide on your position in fake decreases or rises.
You should also follow BTC. A safe price range is acceptable in the BTC 52-49 range.
Falling below 49 will force the supply zone of bnb.
Check support and resistance from my BTC analysis.
Because all altcoins move according to btc.
NOTE: This is not investment advice.
Shib Usdt Tecnical AnalysisIf we think that there will be a harmonic pattern, the resistance and support points should coincide with the specified areas on the chart.
When we examine the price levels and the resulting pattern, it is clear that a harmonic pattern is about to form.
Assuming that the XAB legs are formed, we can predict exactly where the C and D legs will extend.
I see that the indicator data supports this idea. From the EMA data, we can think that this movement will not end the uptrend, on the contrary, it will continue.
Note: This is not investment advice.