CryptoCap - BTC - Bitcoin Idea IIhey guys,
the yearly chart is bullish - main target was the recent ATH at 1.3T.
Quarterly Chart: After the break of the 1.3T Line theres a close below it
-> leaving a bit of doubt about imminent bullish progression or a potential double top forming here. The Inside bar is giving a warning of a possible reversal.
Monthly Chart: Although the demand Line is still intact there is a little divergence on the stochastic
-> there is weakness of 3 months not being able to penetrate highs - but going into a Consolidation.
-> BTC is testing a bullish trendline which, ones it has been broken by a close of the monthly candle, could provide a bearish setup and a possible double top scenario being in place.
I will wait for a break of the Consolidation to think about entering a trade.
Thanks for reading…
Cryptocap
CryptoCap - ETH / Ethereum - Idea II - Triangle PlayHey guys,
yearly chart: bullish setup with targets around 435 and 577. (recent ATHs on closing base and by wick )
Quarterly: After a strong Q1 gain we see a trading back below 435 printing an inside bar... : bearish setup at a strong resistance level. Range of this quarter will be monitored closely on the 3D chart.
Monthly: 4 Months of weakness - with the last one not being able to reach the highs of the range.
-> Stochastic is turning down after forming a double top
-> Bullish trendline is still intact. It seems to be the last support before the lower high scenario will be in play. - alternatively looking at the triangle: waiting for a break of this structure and a retest
3D: very interesting. we see a consolidation of course - but there might be a fractal in play if you compare the 3D to the monthly chart.
However, I am seeing a bearish setup with an invalidation above 435. - keeping in mind that the yearly is still pointing up so we could easily be going just up from here.
thanks for reading…
TOTAL 2 Cycles SynchronizationHere is the Cycles Synchronization of Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (TOTAL 2). At some point, between mid november and mid december 2025, I do expect around 3.5T Market Cap to be the top for the cycle. 1 year later, the Market Cap could be at around 1.5T, I think.
Will follow with interes...
Bearish 5-0 on (Total 3 Excluding - LTC and Stablecoins)There is a Bearish 5-0 visible on the Daily on the Total Market Cap Ex- BTC, ETH, LTC, and the two big USD-based Stable Coins; if it plays out, I think Total 3 will make a new low that will likely take it down to the macro 0.886.
We also have some Hidden Bearish Divergence on the RSI to back it up.
Crypto Total Cap w/ BTC & ETH Adj Realized CapIn this quick idea we have a look at the total crypto market cap with BTC & ETH adjusted realized cap overlayed in the main pane. This chart uses both market and on-chain data.
Total Crypto Market Cap:
The red/green bars displayed
BTC
BTC Adjusted Realized Cap: The light gray line.
BTC Adjusted Market Top Projection: The light red line.
BTC Adjusted Realized Base: The orange line.
ETH
ETH Adjusted Realized Cap: The dark gray line.
ETH Adjusted Market Top Projection: The dark red line.
ETH Adjusted Realized Base: The yellow line.
Below the main pain we have the DB ZPS RSI (length 2) for the total market cap on a 4 month timeframe which shows the overall crypto market cycle.
On the bottom pain we have the DB ZPS RSI (length 2) for the total market cap on a monthly timeframe which shows the local cycles.
The aim of this idea is to show a clear picture of the total crypto cap with comparison to BTC and ETH realized cap timeframes. IMO this chart is interesting as it shows the cap cycles and displays the BTC to ETH cap and tops.
I hope ya'll find it useful! Cheers!
Total Market Ranging Between Two ImbalancesLots of traps either way but notice the big picture. We could easily go way down to finish out the imbalance area below 905 trillion. We sfp'd (swing failure pattern'ed) to the top of the imbalance area already but still seem to gravitate towards the golden pocket. Will update soon.
BTC DOMINANCE Below this level, the alt season starts!BTC Dominance has a clear Support Zone inside 39.70% - 38.90%. This has been holding for almost 2 years.
The white line is the Total Crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum. Mostly negatively correlated to BTC Dom.
A break under the BTC Dominance Support Zone starts the alt season.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Pattern Similarity with 2018 Bear Market RecoveryWhat follows is a comparison of the daily chart during the 2018 bear market recovery with the present weekly chart. Markets like to repeat patterns, with similarities and differences:
Repeating Pattern Similarities:
Both made a head and shoulders top
OBV and Volume show similar patterns of behavior in both charts
The amount of correction prior to recovery is similar
Repeating Pattern Differences:
2018's head and shoulders top had a descending (or practically straight) neckline. 2023's head and shoulders top has an ascending neckline
OBV has dipped more during the present downtrend than before, and Volume peaked earlier during the head/shoulders top this time (Volume is also down more now than it was during 2018 recovery, respectively)
Signs are pointing to a recovery, but DXY is behaving strangely and market conditions are entirely different than they were in 2018.
2023 Recovery may be higher than 2018, if neckline is reached - it could look like a double-top with a lower high (potentially even another HS pattern at the end)
Should the pattern repeat itself again on the higher time frame, I've outline a rough path that could take us into one of the two red boxes, or even somewhere in between, with:
-- Conservative Targets near previous head and shoulder top lows
-- Aggressive Targets stopping at or near the ascending neckline, and this would coincide with my theory of a lower high double-top, which I think is the more likely scenario (see related idea below)
-- Otherwise the potential to stop somewhere halfway in between either
Chart is long until recovery completes at one of the levels above.
This idea fails immediately if we fail to remain above the wedge here on a re-test on the falling wedge breakout (3-day chart pictured below):
Related Idea - neckline targets coincide with lower-high double-top theory:
Cheers, and thanks for taking the time to read through my ramblings!
-- dudebruhwhoa
TOTAL MARKETCAP CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Crypto is in severe down trend since the start of 2022. Since then we are making lower lows and lower highs. recently we have break out of bearish flag pattern which isn't really good news for crypto
the total market cap is looking to retrace back to $700-800B dollars it will bounce back. the previous support of 1.16T marketcap is now a massive resistance.
it's inevitable for market to not retest 700-800B zone.
i will start DCA from 700-750B marketcap. at this point we are gonna have higher chance of getting in the market at right time.
what to do now ?
As trader / Investor I would start DCA
What's up about crypto market cap. TOTAL CRYPROCAPHello my friends. Everything is clear on the chart for you like always, I expect the bars to fill the second box and then come down again.
Good luck.
If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow me for next analysis :)
Write your comment and opinion here to me
#BTC/USDT 4HR CHART UPDATE !!Hello, community members welcome to another BTC/USDT chart update.
If you find this update helpful, shoot the like button follow and share your views in the comment section.
As we can see in the chart mentioned above that BTC is still trading inside a falling expanding channel in a sideways mode.
BTC currently consolidating between the price range of $18.8k - $21.7k.
Here BTC needs a clear break above the price level of $22k to towards upper price levels.
Until then we can scalp in USDT pair altcoins because as we know when BTC moves sideways USDT pair coins perform well.
IMO, BTC will move upside towards the price level of $22k again one or two more times in this sideways market.
NOTE: This is not financial advice. This is for education purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or losses you generate from your investments.
DO YOUR RESEARCH BEFORE MAKING ANY TRADES.
Thank you.
Tether Dominance - Bearish Divergence Current Market Cap - 6.3 Billion
Tether dominance has risen over %284 ever since the market peaked back in November last year.
However, it is starting to show weakness after it made a higher high while RSI made a lower low.
The last time RSI printed a divergence, it signalled the market bottom and money started flowing back into cryptocurrency
We could potentially see a similar move.
The orange line below, represents the total crypto market cap.
What is Tether Dominance?
Tether (USDT) Dominance shows how much percent of the money is on USDT. There is 2 cause of the increase of USDT dominance.
The first is that investors put cash on the market from the outside, which is due to the unfavourable weather in the market.
And the second is again, as the market falls, investors withdraw their funds from cryptocurrency investments and put them to USDT.
In both of them, a decrease in cryptocurrencies and an increase in USDT holders are observed.
Speculative Setup, DYOR. Allow 3-18 Months For all Crypto Ideas.
Credit to @without_worries for allowing use of indicators.
Total Market Cap: At A Crossroads As we head into next week, markets have been heavily bracing for the FEDs Rate Hike on May 3rd or 4th . War is escalating in Ukraine, World Food Supplies are in disarray, Inflation is still at historical levels, Energy is soaring, and Supply Chains continue to struggle.
There are so many Macro challenges building up that simply put, they can't be ignored; No matter how irrational the market wants to be.
I truly feel greed has taken over and most investing has become gambling (Warren Buffet recently said this). Especially in the Crypto space.
Who buys because they believe in the Utility of the coin and who buys simply to flip it for profit?
Its become a side hustle ever since the First Top in May 2021. Euphoria hit all markets from the 2020 BOOM and everything exploded. When ALL things go UP, this is rather unusual.
Usually, especially historically, these characteristics would align with this mystical "Blow off the top" but you know it's never enough.
We even have seen a second round of a bullish wave in July 2021, shortly after the original drop in May.
But again, it simply was not enough.
With every pump and dump, everyone wants more and more.
Profits, profits, profits. Leverage, leverage, leverage.
Even in the face of the absolute worst Economic/World conditions we have seen in MOST of our lifetime!
Investing has turned into legitimate degenerate gambling between Stock Options and ALT Coins , and the market will correct as far as it needs to in order to cleanse this mentality.
Back in 2020 when the MEME stocks first took off and retail flooded the market like never before in history, that was the first signal of a Cyclical Top coming in. If everyone is already flooded in, where does this extra money come from? These Cycles take a very long time to play out and to this day no one wants to even consider it.
There are two paths forward for this next week:
Scenario #1: Markets absorb this 0.50% or 0.75% Rate Hike and bounces
Scenario #2: Markets can't sustain the hike and loses all major supports.
Both Stocks and Crypto are laying on critical support; I am leaning 60 / 40 odds in favor of Scenario #2.
Let me know what you guys think!
#BTCDOMINANCE #CRYPTOMARKETCAPCurrently Bitcoin's dominance is close to the bottom. Look at the history and compare it with the present. It will help you to better plan the sitaution.
My View is;
1. Bitcoin may show a strong upside movement with the #BTC Dominance above 50% atleast. Altcoins will either dump or move sideways. so the obvious asset to be held in such situation is #BTC.
2. When the Bitcoin's dominance goes above 50%, most probably between 60-70%, it will be a good idea to think about a new alt season and optimize a trading portfolio accordingly.
Altseason is coming!Hello, everyone!
If this Bitcoin analysis plays out we are about to see new local altseason. Altcoins is going to outperform Bitcoin. We can see that the Broadening Falling Wedge has been formed by the TOTAL3 – capitalization of cryptomarket excluding BTC and ETH. Now this wedge have been broken to the upside. Also we can see the retest of it’s upper band. I expect the target zone according to left picture, which corresponds to $1.10T. In this case the strong fundamental altcoins can grow significantly.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.