BITCOIN Is it just a giant Cup and Handle that we couldn't see??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame resembles a giant Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern started from the top of the previous Bull Cycle. Even though this is a valid technical pattern, it may have gone ignored by some as traders tend to focus either on shorter term price action or cyclical structures that are often repeated from Cycle to Cycle.
It is undeniable though that the C&H principles are applied on this chart almost to the last little detail and the pattern is now in the process of completing its Handle, in the form of a Channel Down.
How low can it go before completed, largely depends (in our opinion) on which of the following MA periods will hold: the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) or the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)?
The 1D MA200 provided the earliest Support of the current Bull Cycle on the week of March 06 2023, in fact it was an excellent 'touch-and-rebound' wick. The 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out and came closer to the price action on the week of September 11 2023.
What seems even more useful/ reliable than the above, is the expected % rise after the bottom is made. As you can see, every since the November 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, Bitcoin has had 3 expansion legs, ranging from +91% to +99%. Starting from the first, each has been -4% to -5% less than the previous.
As a result, assuming the 1D MA200 holds and the Handle is completed there, we can expect the next Expansion Leg to reach the $100k - $110k Target Zone.
But what do you think? Which MA will hold, the 1D MA200 or 1W MA50? And what will your Target be after? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencies
ENSUSD Major rally to $70.00 starting.Ethereum Name Service (ENSUSD) is on the 2nd straight green 1W candle, which is the 5th in the last 6 following the rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The long-term pattern is a Cup and Handle and the latest 1W MA50 rebound is the handle completion. The symmetry is very strong so we expect a new rally to be initiated and target at least $70.000.
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BITCOIN Has the ride to $250k started?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating for the past 3 months (since the March High) but it is no stranger to such consolidation sequences. Since the start of the current Bull Cycle after the November 2022 bottom, consolidations have been the name of the game, as these served as accumulation phases in the absence of stronger corrections.
BTC has in fact seen similar consolidation phases historically during all previous Bull Cycles. Using the 1M RSI (black trend-line) in particular, we can see that the current consolidation, even though it happens on the All Time High (ATH) level, it is very similar to June - August 2020 and June - August 2016. During all those sequences, the 1M RSI peaked and pulled-back aggressively, even though the price was just trading sideways.
On an amazing display of symmetry, all this happened around 81 weeks (567 days) after the Bear Cycle bottom. The fact that the current consolidation is taking place on the ATH level and the two previous didn't, has to do with the fact that:
a) the last Bull Cycle was less aggressive, peaking at 'only' the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level but also because
b) the current Bull Cycle is more aggressive than expected due to the launch of the Bitcoin ETF.
As you can see the Fibonacci Channel Up has been very consistent since late 2013, with the 0.0 - 0.236 Fib range serving as the Buy Zone, which is where BTC continues to trade, despite the uptrend, showcasing its enormous upward potential.
The December 11 2017 Top has been on Fib 1.0, the April 2021 on Fib 0.786, so even a mere Fib 0.5 (not even 0.618) contact at the end of the current rally, would push Bitcoin to $250000. Incredible as it may sound, this validates even the scenario of BTC following the less aggressive, recent Channel Up (blue) that started on Dec 2017. A $250k top would make an ideal technical Higher High.
But what do you think? Is $250k as easy as this model shows for Bitcoin during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BNBUSD $2000 is a very realistic target for Q4.The Binance Coin (BNBUSD) is has been accumulating since basically early March (March 11 candle), trading sideways within the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) Mean (black trend-line) and the 1st SD above (grey trend-line). The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the support since the late December 2023 bullish break-out.
That should be the Support throughout the remainder of the Bull Cycle, in fact that was also the case during the previous Cycle where BNB had the final accumulation phase (blue ellipse) from September to December 2020, again within the same MMB zone, which initiated the most aggressive part of the Cycle (parabolic rally). Observe that the 1W MACD formed the same pattern almost.
That rally peaked on the MM 3rd SD above (red trend-line) so a $2000 price tag, which will 'only' make contact with the 2nd SD (orange trend-line), appears to be a realistic Target, even by the start of Q4 2024.
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BTC at HTF range middle 📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Bitcoin closed week at 66653. That was above higher timeframe range middle and above developing quarter VWAP. Can't say this price action looks bullish, but at least it hasn't yet completely wiped out all the bulls. In short term perspectives there is still a chance for a bounce to May close this week.
Higher timeframe picture and conditions remain the same. Acceptance below 66k will lead to BTC drop down to 63-64k and possible dips down to 59k (HTF range bottom). Last week close gives me bearish vibes - even if this week close above range middle chances to see those dips are close to "guaranteed".
Nearest liquidity pools:
above - 67260 / 67720 / 69195 / 70290
below - 65675 / 64885 / 64220 / 63080
Lines on the chart:
🔸72132 - May high
🔸71363 - March close
🔸69667 - week close
🔸68540 - week close (May)
🔸67577 - May close
🔸66653 - week close
🔸64025 - last April week close
Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼
🤑 F&G: 71 < 71 < 74 < 74 < 70
Ethereum still at the edge
Ethereum almost got to the target zone I've marked 6 days ago. Missed by 21 dollar. But I'm yet cautious about bullish entries. Last 12H closed bearish, so I believe this chart will require another day or two to draw some certainty. Till then we may expect dips under 3427 and possibly to that zone I've marked as well.
Level at 3650 remains decisive for mid term direction. ETH got to find acceptance above it to go for new ATH.
BITCOIN Underlying trend-line coming into play.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been holding so far the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, which was the primary objective, closing all 1D candles since Friday above it, but now an underlying trend-line is coming to center stage as it got tested also on Friday successfully.
That is the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the March 13 High and rejected BTC on Lower Highs initially, before transitioning to a Lower Lows Support on May 23. If that holds, the chances of a rebound towards the Resistance Zone, are amplified greatly. Practically, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, a bullish signal will emerge when the price breaks above the 4H MA50 (red trend-line), in which case we have a target at 72000 (bottom of Resistance Zone).
If on the other hand BTC closes a 1D candle below the underlying trend-line, prepare for 61000 (top of Support Zone) and potentially a long-term bottom formation on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
Notice that on the previous Bearish Leg (April 08 - May 01) of this 3-month consolidation structure, the price remained bearish as long as it stayed below the 1D MA50. The 4H MA50 never broke to the upside while the price was above the 1D MA50. That is why it will be a bullish signal if it breaks while BTC is above the 1D MA50.
But what do you think will happen next on the short-term? Will we see 72k or 61k first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Looking good so far...NOTIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow!
This chart has some good-looking technicals...
GETTEX:NOT 😏
Watching these levels.
The more levels that pop the better.
Algos at play as well so far, and we all know algos love
#Elliottwave ... #Not
SOLUSD Not the time to buy yet.Watch the 1WRSI. Is 4k realistic?Solana (SOLUSD) has been on a correction mode since the March 2024 High, in an attempt to technically harmonize the massive rally of 2023. The 1W RSI Double Topped in the same month and this is where all the essence of the current price action is.
The 1W RSI peaked on the exact same level (86.00) back on the week of August 24 2020. It didn't find a bottom before entering into bearish territory again around 41.50. That correctional Channel was more aggressive than the current, so this time we may only seek confirmation from the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting ever since the late September 2023 bullish break-out.
In any case, we believe that the RSI's Bull Cycle Buy Zone, will again give the most optimal buy entry, so we haven't bottomed yet. In any case, we are well within the Mayer Multiple Bands, in fact March's rejection came on its 2 SD above, at the bottom of the Red Wave.
During the previous Cycle, Solana rose by 51250% from the time is started to form the current long-term Fibonacci Channel Up. If we measure the same % growth from the recent Bear Cycle bottom, then we are looking at a peak a little above $4000.
Odd as it may look, keep in mind that Solana has already rose by +2500% up to March's High and if it indeed reaches 4k this Cycle, the rise will be less (+1900%) from March's High than it was from December 2022 to March 2024.
Unrealistic or not, it is up to your mind and capital to judge that but it is a fact that the market is only now entering the most aggressive phase of it Bull Cycle.
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BITCOIN Failure to hold the 1D MA50 leads to $60k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was rejected yesterday on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and that caused another pull-back that is about to test the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) once again. On Tuesday this level held and is critical to continue to do so as a breach might lead us to $60000.
This is what took place on the April 08 - 19 Channel Down. It is important to note that after the bearish break-out, the price was rejected straight on the 1D MA50, which basically confirmed the continuation to 60k.
We are currently on a similar Channel Down. Do you think the 1D MA50 will hold or break and push BTC to 60k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum at the edge of dump
Year VWAP VAH was at 3645 (same as March close) - ETH dipped below it and yesterday went up for bearish re-test, where it got rejected. That hugely increase chances for further retracement towards breakout level around 3260-3340 at least.
Year VWAP is around 3123 and act as high timeframe magnet for the price. By the time ETH gets to it, most probably it will rise higher and meet the zone I've mentioned above.
ETH ETF will be approved by the end of this summer, so long term I stay bullish. The only question, is where to buy. Zone of interest for me starts under 3400 and I will monitor price action there to catch that bottom (after lower timeframe confirmation of course).
BITCOIN Retesting the 1D MA50. Is it alarming?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically consolidating since the May 21 High and the recent pull-back of the past 5 days is starting to inflict a certain degree of fear in the market again. So far the effect is only on the short-term as yesterday, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) was tested (first time since May 17) and held.
This is something we have seen before on February 06 2024 and October 14 2023. All 1D MA50 re-testings have taken place after the price broke below the 1D MA50 (blue arc) and formed the bottom of the Bearish Leg. The pattern can be easily classified into phases, with BTC trading within the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) Mean and the MMB 2SD below. A Channel Up follows after each 1D MA50 test that approaches the MMB.
The only parameter that's left to confirm the start of this (blue) Channel Up that will test the MMB is the 1W RSI to break above its MA level (yellow trend-line). As you can see 100k following that, is a rather conservative technical Target within this pattern.
Do you think that critical psychological level will get hit following this pattern? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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SUSHI/USDT Secondary trend. Horizontal channel 11 months = 108%Logarithm. Secondary trend. Time frame 3 days.
Long-term horizontal channel (accumulation) with the step of 108%, currently 11 months long. The key “level” of the channel formation is 1.128 (last update, before the accumulation formation).
There were no stop loss withdrawals under this channel at the moment. The price is currently at the lower zone of this channel. Potential reversal zone. Working in the channel.
This is what it looks like on the line chart.
Main trend. Time frame 1 week.
OMUSD Breaking out. Catch it if you can!Mantra (OMUSD) broke today above the top of its Rectangle, which has been the pattern it consolidated in since late March. The recent low of May 30 was supported just above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and that initiated the current rebound.
This is not very different than the March 04 break-out, which after holding its 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, it started an aggressive rally towards the 5.0 Fibonacci extension, registering a +360% rise. This gives us our current Target at 2.800.
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 7, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has completed our designated Intermediary Squeeze Rebound 71500 and is on its way to continue the downward movement to a Mean Sup 67500, where we are expecting a Bull Stage movement to take place to retest the Mean Res 71500 and Key Res 73200, respectively.
DMAIL:USDT SHOWING INTERESTING BREAK VIEWwe see that the main market is in a breakdown-low time frame, but Dmail shows a possibility of a break in the coming time frames.
* This coin is known for unexpected whale increase candles. (out of TA)
Depending on our study's low time frame, there is a good chance this coin can break.
Further, the Market goes on its way, and it can first have a back trend before increasing. For this reason, always manage the risk and trade only what your plan allows( this system can be used on all coins)
We will wait first for market confirmation before following this coin further. ( as long the coin in the box there will be no active following of the coin. the interest will start only from the yellow candle.
This update is not trading advice - Coin range = HIGH RISK - HIGH reward
BITCOIN Keep this scenario at the back of your mind.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) requires at all times that we are openminded to all possibilities and not just one. This suggests that we need to be prepared for scenarios that often go against the trend, the majority of opinions and momentum (whether euphoric or panic).
Along those lines, we present you today a medium-term pattern that is possible and even though it doesn't contradict the long-term trend (which is bullish), it does go against the short-term general market euphoria of recent days.
As you can see, within the dominant Channel Up since December 2022, BTC had its first major 'correction' through a Rectangle, which has basically been an accumulation pattern. The price found Support, formed a bottom and start rising again after it broke below the MA50 (blue trend-line) and just before it tested the MA100 (green trend-line).
If we experience the same kind of accumulation again, then BTC is currently on a 'hammer' rejection level similar to July 12 2023. Even the RSI patterns among the two fractals are similar. This indicates that the Buy Zone will be within the MA50 and the bottom of the (green) Rectangle.
But what do you think? Will this 'unpopular opinion' be materialized? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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SPEC ( SPECTRAL) CAN ENTER NEW ALL TIME HIGH $24 SOON!Thanks for reading this update.
We expect that there is a high chance that SPEC will enter $24, since the confirmation.
SPEC is a new coin that can show unexpected targets.
We will follow this coin for new ATH.
The coin has 2,684 holders at this moment and MAX TOTAL SUPPLY
100,000,000 SPEC- top 10 whale wallets stable, and 30% is exchanges.
The same study we did before on WLD and it did increase up $9
See the previous update with day by day follow
This update will follow the same daily as the WLD update since confirmation.
This is not trading advice, manage in all time the risk 100%
Trade only or invest if your plan expects the same, otherwise, there is no reason to enter a coin like this. For us, we expect soon ATH.
The best that you can have in a coin is positions building trends. - and this coin is the first confirmed one since long time
Anticipating a breakoutXRPUSD has formed a pattern resembling a symmetrical triangle over the past few weeks, and as the price slowly approaches the apex of this formation, it presents an interesting trade setup with two alternative scenarios. The first scenario involves taking a long position after a breakout above the triangle’s upper bound. The second scenario involves entering a short position after the triangle’s lower bound is penetrated to the downside; particular bounds will serve as stop-loss levels in the case of price retracement.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Monthly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
$70,000 continues to be an obstacle for BitcoinYesterday, Bitcoin again tested the resistance near $70,000 but failed. After soaring to $70,258, it quickly dropped below $69,000, where it currently trades. Overall, not much has changed from a technical perspective since our previous update; merely the sideways trend of a lesser degree became more apparent, with Bitcoin struggling at the $70,000 mark. As such, our focus continues to lie at this point, along with the two sloped channels shown below.
Illustration 1.01
The daily chart of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) above shows the descending channel, with its upper bound acting as an important resistance for the price. To support a bullish case in the short term, it would be ideal for Bitcoin to close above the resistance level for multiple consecutive days; the resistance’s importance grows with each retest.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the ascending channel within the larger descending channel; its lower bound acts as a resistance.
Illustration 1.03
The illustration above displays an alternative trendline on Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) daily graph, which acts as critical support for the price.
Technical conditions
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Bullish (losing momentum)
Monthly time frame = Bullish
Bitcoin addresses
Initially, the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC increased slightly after the big slump we described on 29th May 2024. However, while this figure is still above its 28th May 2024 level, it resumed a decline in a new month, which is not a particularly positive sign. The same trend can be observed among the addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
DODO/USDT Secondary trend. Accumulation channel 08 2023Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Accumulation channel 15 months. The main step of dialing according to liquidity, 80%.
Local trend—descending wedge. Pivot zone from key support/resistance levels. The percentage for orientation is shown.
This idea is a continuation of a similar idea published a year ago at the beginning of the formation of the channel of the set with the exact zone of the set with a step of 80%. DODO/USDT Local work. Volume
Very long accumulation - 1.5 years. There is a stop loss long collection under the channel support. There is a volume set. Which will be distributed at cycle change.
Linear chart with no market noise.
Main trend
The main trend of this cryptocurrency can be traced in this idea published 1 year ago. Time frame 1 week.
DODO/USDT Major trend. Downward channel.
BITCOIN You might not be ready for such June!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is doing it and yet again it is going under the radar for some. The price broke out yesterday from its short-term Falling Wedge and as we showed you is extending the Bullish Leg of the Channel Up.
Zooming out to the 1M time-frame, we can see that May closed in gains (green) and since August 2023, there has only been one month of losses (red 1M candle) and that was April. Even though that injected some uncertainty to market participants, we clearly see on this long-term chart that sporadic 1 month losses are very common in Bull Cycles, especially during parabolic rallies.
In fact they are essential as they create the right shake-out conditions to keep fueling the rally. The symmetry among BTC's Cycles is remarkable and right now with the 1W MA50 (black trend-line) in deep support, it is attempting to get detached from the Mayer Multiple (MM) 1 SD above (grey trend-line), much like it did on October 2020 and April 2017.
Based on that, we are looking for the rally to extend to at least the end of the year and reach a Target Zone within $150k - $200k within MM 2 and 3 SD above (orange the red trend-lines respectively). Last but not least, take a look at the 1M RSI, which is also on a symmetry with the previous Cycles and once it touches the Lower Highs trend-line, we should consider to start taking profits regardless of whether of the range the price might be at the time.
But what do you think? Are you prepared for a 'hot' June and if yes, how high do you think BTC will go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Major Bullish Break-out taking place.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today above the top of the Falling Wedge pattern, which is technically the Bearish Leg of May's Channel Up. If the days closes above it, we will have a repeat of the May 13 Bullish break-out but this time even stronger as the 1D Stoch RSI has formed a Bullish Cross on oversold territory.
As mentioned on our previous analysis, the last Bullish Leg of the Channel Up peaked at +19.50%, so we expect BTC to replicate this. Our Target is 79000.
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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