XVS/USDT Secondary trend September 9, 2023Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Horizontal channel with a large step of 16.3 months.
Line chart of the zone for clarity.
Primary trend. Time frame 1 week.
XVS/USDT Main trend. 11 September 23
Cryptocurrencies
XVS/USDT Main trend. 11 September 23Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. The graph shows the entire trading history of this cryptocurrency Binance exchange. Now is a very important zone for the development of a further trend in the medium term.
Looks like this on a linear one.
Secondary trend. Horizontal channel zone. Time frame 3 days.
RSR/USDT Local trend. Double bottom. 08 2023Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Medium-term work.
More locally reversal zone. Time frame 1 day.
Major trend . Time frame 1 week.
RSR/USDT Main trend. Wedge. Downward channel. 08 2023
BITCOIN What is next narrative it will break?Since th 2021 Bear Cycle started, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) entered a phase that few could have predicted. You can very easily even call it the 'Cycle of Narrative Destruction' as since the June 13 2022 break below the previous All Time High (ATH), Bitcoin started breaking narratives that have been well established throughout its history and few thought could break.
** Five major narrative breaks so far **
Starting from the very first narrative destruction on the week of June 13 2022 (we are viewing this chart on the 1W time-frame), Bitcoin managed to break below the previous ATH (19350) for the first every in its history. Then a few months later in November 2022 in the aftermath of the FTX crash, it broke below the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) also for the first time ever. This resulted into the first ever 1W Death Cross around February 2023 and following the recovery during 2023, it naturally formed the first ever 1W Golden Cross around the last week of December first week of January 2024. The most recent narrative that BTC has destroyed was this week as it made a new ATH marginally above $69000, which was the first time it did so before the Cycle's Halving (which is due in mid April 2024).
** Which narrative is next to break? **
As you can see, those are 5 major narrative breaks in the span of 18 months. So what narrative will BTC break next? The first that comes to our mind as the market is rising that fast this high, is the Theory of Diminishing Returns (TODR). This theory implies (and has been correct so far) that each Cycle delivers lower returns than the previous. As you see on the charts, the first Cycle gave +531681% returns, the next one +62325%, then +11808% and the most recent +2051%.
** So 330k is realistic?? **
If this narrative is to break, it means that BTC would need to make a little over +2051% during the current Cycle. That suggests that we can be looking at a Cycle peak above $330000! Of course if that happens, it would mean that Bitcoin will also break above its historic Parabolic Growth Channel, which can be considered another narrative destruction.
But what do you think? Can the Theory of Diminishing Returns be the next narrative to break and if not, which one do you think it will be? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BNB/BTC - BNB: BBand Breakout◳◱ On the $BNB/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart, the Bband Breakout pattern suggests an upcoming trend shift. Traders might observe resistance around 0.007471 | 0.008373 | 0.009799 and support near 0.006045 | 0.005521 | 0.004095. Entering trades at 0.006764 could be strategic, aiming for the next resistance level.
◰◲ General info :
▣ Name: BNB
▣ Rank: 5
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Gateio, Hitbtc
▣ Category/Sector: Financial - Smart Contract Platforms
▣ Overview: Binance Coin is digital asset native to the Binance blockchain and launched by the Binance online exchange.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Mrkt Price: 0.006764 ₿
▣ 24HVol: 484.147 ₿
▣ 24H Chng: 7.45%
▣ 7-Days Chng: 14.59%
▣ 1-Month Chng: 51.24%
▣ 3-Months Chng: 91.56%
◲◰ Pivot Points - Levels :
◥ Resistance: 0.007471 | 0.008373 | 0.009799
◢ Support: 0.006045 | 0.005521 | 0.004095
◱◳ Indicators recommendation :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: STRONG_BUY
◰◲ Technical Indicators Summary : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30D: 8.06
▣ Last 90D: 4.83
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.98
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.63
◲◰ Volatility :
▣ Last 30D: 0.56
▣ Last 90D: 0.54
▣ Last 1-Y: 0.46
▣ Last 3-Y: 0.79
◳◰ Market Sentiment Index :
▣ News sentiment score is N/A
▣ Twitter sentiment score is 0.58 - Bullish
▣ Reddit sentiment score is 0.95 - V. Bullish
▣ In-depth BNBBTC technical analysis on Tradingview TA page
▣ What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights and let's discuss in the comments below. Your like, follow and support would be greatly appreciated!
◲ Disclaimer
Please note that the information and publications provided are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, trading, or any other type of advice or recommendation. We encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. The use of the information provided is solely at your own risk.
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Bitcoin is still behaving like a risk assetAfter reaching a new all-time high yesterday, Bitcoin underwent a mini flash crash, erasing more than 14% in less than five hours and falling below $60,000. Nevertheless, it took only a few more hours for Bitcoin to recover and get back above the $66,000 handle, where it currently trades. The number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC slightly increased, while those with balances exceeding 100 BTC dropped by a small margin. In our opinion, yesterday’s price action is a prime example of Bitcoin remaining a risk asset rather than a safe haven that many people consider it to be. Consequently, we remain highly vigilant in this euphoric state of the market.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the 1-minute chart of BTCUSD and yesterday’s mini crash.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BITCOIN Volatility to kick in as we approach the Halving?So far since the November 2022 bottom, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has formed the same pattern twice: roughly +100% rise, a Triangle that preceded the rally's top, followed by a roughly -20% decline in the form of a Channel Down.
The latest high volatility of the past 3 days resembles those Triangle patterns before the peak. A +96.43% rise, similar to the previous Wave, gets completed around $75500. If BTC continues to replicate those patterns, then a -20% correction should coincide with April's Halving.
Do you think that Bitcoin will continue following that blue-print? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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SHIBA is having a 2017 XRP moment!Shiba Inu (SHIBUSD) is on a remarkable 2-week rally that has already hit the November 2021 levels. Such a strong move is the start of year long parabolic rallies and the one coin that Shiba seems to be replicating is XRPUSD.
In fact it appears (on the 1W time-frame) that SHIB is copying XRP's 2014 - 2016 Bear and subsequent accumulation phases, which eventually led to the parabolic rally of 2017. As you can see XRP's start on this rally is very similar to Shiba Inu's today.
Is SHIB having a 2017 XRP moment?
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DASH/USD Secondary trend. Downward wedge. Breakout.Logarithm. Secondary trend. Three days time frame. Downward wedge. Maximum $480. Breakout zone. Everything is very accurate.
Plan A . This is what the trend and the reversal zone look like on the line chart of the price. With percentages to key resistance levels for orientation.
Plan B . You should also understand that if the price doesn't break through this resistance zone or doesn't consolidate above it (general situation in the market). Then a pullback occurs and a sideways movement with significant percentage steps in the range of the indicated level zones is formed.
The main trend. Time frame 1 month.
DASH/USD Main trend.
BCH/USD Secondary trend. Wedge. Area 96 ArtemisThe graph is logarithmic.Time frame is 3 days. Secondary trend. The wedge is in the final phase of its formation. The price is in its band near the support area of 96. Local double bottom 72% may be formed inside the wedge. Its confirmation and embodiment will bring the price closer to the wedge resistance breakthrough (red line). The price is near the area of historical lows of $77. The price is now $115 Percentage from the key local zones shown on the chart. Remember, the price is now within the wedge band.
Coin in coinmarketcap : Bitcoin Cash
Line chart.
Local trend . Double Bottom Zone.
Main trend was shown earlier in this trading idea.
BCH/USD Main trend. Breakdown of the channel. The important zone
Main Trend. Linear chart.
BONE BREAK IN TRENDCan we see for the first time a confirmation trend with a new break on BONE?
This is exactly what we will follow in the coming time.
There is a good chance that BONE can make a new confirmation for the break in the coming time.
We will update if find a confirmation.
The price of this moment is $1.38 and the coin will be only interesting if there is new confirmation coming. 2 years ago the coin close with an ATH of up $41
Daily, weekly, monthly timeframes - all overboughtBitcoin extended its rise above $64,000 overnight. Since our previous update, there has not been much change to the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC. However, the addresses with balances exceeding 100 BTC continue to gain growing momentum. On the technical side, daily, weekly, and monthly time frames remain bullish, with multiple indicators suggesting overbought conditions. As these developments likely foreshadow a significant pullback in Bitcoin's price (in the coming days or weeks), caution is still highly advised.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows simple support/resistance levels for BTCUSD, derived from past peaks and troughs.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of BTCUSD. The red arrow indicates the decreasing volume accompanying the increasing price (following the breakout above $60,000). Generally, these developments are questionable and worrisome. Nevertheless, in the past few months, a low volume in Bitcoin favored the upside and often preceded abrupt moves higher.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BITCOIN Perfect symmetry shows $170k!This chart on the 1W time-frame shows how symmetric Bitcoin's price action has been before and after the March 2020 COVID crash with the price action has been before and after the November 2022 FTX crash.
Both within the long-term structure of a Channel Up, the bottomed below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), turned a Resistance into Support when the rally really took off, while the 1W RSI was ascending on a Channel Up.
Within this nearly 7 year Channel Up, BTC made its two Higher Highs peaks after a +1000% rally, which indicates that is the standard for the pattern. A repeat of a +1000% rise from the November 2022 bottom gives us a projected peak around $170000!
How realistic do you think that is? Do you agree with that model? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PEPEUSD This rally is far from over.Pepe (PEPEUSD) has completed a +760% rise so far from the February 05 2024 Low and based on this chart, it is far from over! In fact as both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) are supporting, this run resembles the rally of April 21 - May 05 2023 when Pepe rose by +2531%. During that rally, the 4H MA50 held and broke only when the multi-month pull-back started.
As a result, we expect the coin to rise to at least 0.000023 (+2531% from the bottom), which would interestingly enough be a Higher High if that indeed evolves into a Channel Up.
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EOS (EOS/USDT): Buy the dip with Target around 3.10EOS is a blockchain-based, fully decentralized network that enables the development, hosting, and execution of commercial-scale decentralized applications. EOS supports all of the core functionality required to allow businesses and individuals to create these dApps in a way that is nearly identical to how traditional web applications are created. EOS has the ability to provide secure access and authentication, data hosting, usage management, permissioning, and communication between dApps and the internet. Some even compare the way EOS operates to Google’s Play Store or Apple’s App Store.
🔴 How Does EOS Work?
EOS is designed to resemble the performance of a real computer, with even the software itself using some familiar computing concepts. As an example, there are three types of resources that power the EOS blockchain:
✔ Bandwidth – responsible for relaying information across the network.
✔ Computation (CPU) – the actual processing power needed to run a dApp.
✔ State Storage (RAM) – stores data on the blockchain that can be referenced instantly.
🔴 What Makes EOS Unique?
EOS is a unique crypto project as it encompasses several important characteristics, such as:
✔ Scalability – one of the biggest problems of cryptocurrencies is balancing decentralization and scalability. Due to its Delegated Proof of Stake (DPoS) consensus mechanism, the EOS ecosystem has the ability to process around 1 million transactions per second. The EOS project achieves such a high throughput by utilizing parallel processing.
✔ Flexibility – unlike Ethereum, which can potentially be a victim of DAO attacks, EOS has created a solution for this problem. The platform can halt the node that processes such a transaction, and gets back to processing new transactions only after this problem is resolved.
✔ Decentralization – while Ethereum has often been referred to as the decentralized supercomputer, the EOS platform could be considered a decentralized operating system.
EOS’s value is derived from its ability to act as a platform for smart contracts and dApp creation. This feature makes it one of the few platforms that can be considered a “full package deal”. On top of that, its token economy and structure allow its users to actively be a part of the decision-making process, which is a feature many in the blockchain space appreciate.
There are currently a bit over 950 million EOS tokens in circulation out of the 1,027,411,229 total tokens available.
It should be noted that there is no limit to how many tokens can be minted, with new tokens being released in circulation each time a new block is created. The number of total EOS in circulation can be increased by 5% each year.
📈 Technical Analysis
From a technical point of view, the trend is still bearish on daily and weekly charts, but at the same time we think that a Crypto Accumulation Strategy ("Buy the Dip") could be interesting in mid-long term. As we can see on daily chart, the potential target is very ambitious, but we're sure that sooner or later it will be reached!
Don't miss the next updates and don't forget "Like and Comment" ❤
SOLANA: Approach to important support areaHi everyone!
Solana's main trend is up in the long term. After completing the bullish structure in the $265 area, SOL triggered an important corrective structure which correctly reached the first support area around 8.50. That said, a consolidation is possible in short term but from a technical point of view, it should be interpreted as an opportunity to take a long position.
NB: Analysis shown is on a logarithmic scale. Trade with care....
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin's price action saw a remarkable surge in the current week, which should not come as a surprise to this audience. After breaking through the completed Outer Coin Rally at 53000, Bitcoin's legit targets were 55000 and 59829, as this would. Bitcoin is setting itself up for the next launch, the Inner Coin Rally at 69000 and the Outer Coin Rally at 81400, which is expected to break records and disappoint those who have dismissed cryptocurrencies.
However, a pullback to the Mean Sup at the 60400 price is a transient dip before the next rally. Nevertheless, the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains promising as it continues to attract more investors and gain wider acceptance. Therefore, it is crucial to keep a close eye on Bitcoin's price movements and market trends.
EOS/USDT Local trend 15 07 2023Logarithm. Time frame is 3 days. Near the zone of historical lows. Asset accumulation zone.
This idea, is an update of a previous local work idea (11 local work updates (the entire zone of this accumulation.)
EOS/USD Local work. Reversal zone. % Published one year ago on 29 07 2022
Local reversal zone .
Important mirror resistance level (former support) marked in yellow color. Percentages from the reversal zone to key local support/resistance levels are shown for clarity and general picture.
Local trend Time frame 3 days. Linear for clarity.
Major trend. Time frame 1 month (published 29 07 2022) All up to date.
EOS/USD Main trend. Channel
Secondary trend. Time frame 3 days (published on 07/29/2022) All up to date.
EOS/USD Secondary trend.
The basis of trading is logic, mathematics and psychology, if even simpler, a trading strategy built on the ratio of risk management, that is, discipline and logic, which is a reflection of human personality (psychology of behavior).
Everything is much simpler... After all, in 95% of cases it is known in advance where the price will go with a high probability... but most people do not see it, or rather do not accept it, because they want to see what is profitable for them... and not what is actually there.
BITCOIN Why $81000 may be more realistic than you think!We've been talking about the possibility of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) seeing $81000 for a while now but this pattern on the 1W time-frame shows for the first time more clearly why this is a more realistic than ever!
As you can see, by applying the Fibonacci Channel on the last 2 Cycles, we can see that Bitcoin just broke on the current 1W candle the 0.382 Fibonacci level (yellow line) for the first time since June 06 2022. In cyclical terms this is a very important development as during the previous Cycle, every time BTC broke above the 0.382 Fib (2 times), it always extended and hit the 0.5 Fib too (blue). In fact the time it took on those 2 cases to reach the 0.5 Fib after the price departed from the 0.236 Fib (green) was 7 weeks (49 days) and 8 weeks (56 days).
As a result, we can estimate a max time (8 weeks) of hitting the 0.5 Fib on the week of April 01 2024. If done on exactly that week, then 81k will be delivered. If earlier obviously we are looking within the 78-81k range.
The 1W CCI indicator (green circles) suggests that we might be closer to a November 2020 fractal than May - June 2019 (which was of course caused by the Libra euphoria). This indicates that currently we might be at the very start of this Cycle's most aggressive part, the Parabolic Rally.
But what do you think? Is 81k as close as this chart suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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LITECOIN making the Cyclical Bullish breakout you MUST NOT MISS!Litecoin (LTCUSD) has managed to make a Triple Bullish Break-out as not only did it break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line), both of which have been Resistances since August 2023 but also above the Lower Highs trend-line that started at the May 10 20221 top of the previous Cycle.
This constitutes a Cyclical Bullish break-out because as you can see, every time LTC broke above the Lower Highs trend-line in the past 2 Cycles, it confirmed the official start of the parabolic rally to a new All Time High (ATH).
Our target is $450, which is just below the ATH Higher Highs, a level that has been hit on both previous Cycles. If broken, LTC can even reach as high as $700 or even $1000 (1.382 Fibonacci extension) but those are overstretched technical levels that would require extremely positive fundamentals.
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Caution, strong warning signal arises! As euphoria grows more and more reminiscent of the market peak in late 2021, there is one strong warning signal emerging. Based on the data from LookIntoBitcoin, the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC underwent a considerable drop yesterday just as Bitcoin managed to break above $60,000. This figure dropped from 2,159 to 2,092, which inversely mirrors a rise in the number of addresses exceeding 100 BTC in mid-October 2023 (just a day or two before the fake news about Bitcoin Spot ETF approval kickstarted this steep part of the rally). While this does not necessarily warrant the end of the rally, it is a significant development that should not be overlooked (as it may suggest a change in the large speculator’s stance, which, up until yesterday, seemed very serious). Since this could potentially foreshadow a significant pullback in the market, we advise a caution to market participants.
Illustration 1.01
Interestingly, Bitcoin halted a decline slightly below the trendline, which connects peaks from the early stage of the rally.
Illustration 1.02
The price deviating too far from its 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA also makes a case for the pullback (retracement toward these moving averages).
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of multiple indicators.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BTCUSD is testing HTF Supply nowthough we have tested HTF supply. now we will wait for the great price action but still we can say we are now in the bull run. right now we can expect from the price to drop down upto weekly demand area which will be good for day traders to go with longs but as we just tested main supply. be careful we need to have more confirmations from the price action in order to remain bullish trend.
DOGEUSD The time to buy aggressively is NOW!!Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has so far fulfilled our July 24 2023 call (see chart below) for 6 months of sideways trading and is about to get out of this Cycle's Accumulation Phase:
As you can see on this chart, the price action respected our Accumulation Phase boundaries strictly and is about to form a 1W MA50/MA100 Bullish Cross. When this Cross was formed on each of the previous 2 Cycles, Doge started a rally. In the case of 2020 it was almost instant. We are less than 3 weeks before completing 1050 days from the All Time High (ATH), which during the past 2 Cycles was a benchmark for the start of the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle).
As a result, we are turning aggressively bullish on Doge, aiming at the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Channel Up at $2.000. That is a fair Target price but we believe that if the market makes an overextension, we can even see it reach as high as $6.000.
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