Cryptocurrency
SOLUSD Megaphone bottomed. $205 min and $340 max Targets.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern, which technically had the price bottomed on its Lower Lows 3 days ago. That bottom was also a 1D RSI oversold barrier (30.00) test, which is exactly where the December 22 2024 Low was priced.
Being below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural short-term Target is again the 1D MA50 at $205.00, similar to the January 03 test.
On the longer term, if SOL makes a 1W candle closing above the 1D MA50, we can resume buying and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone at $340, which is where the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is, exactly where the January 19 High was priced.
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BTCUSD: Is it possible to reach 160k by May?Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.148, MACD = -503.300, ADX = 40.137), consolidating under the 1D MA50. This neutral state indicates that it is still a buy opportunity, as long as it stays under the 1D MA50. The similar consolidations (Rectangle patterns) of January 2024 and March 2023 indicate that when the 1D MA50 is reclaimed, Bitcoin gives a bullish breakout signal that targets the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. As you notice, thos phase since November 2022 are cyclical and replicate the price action over and over again. Go long, TP = 160,000 potentiall by end of April beginning of May.
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Crypto Market Is Trying To Resume Its Bullish TrendBitcoin remains under intraday bullish pressure with room for more gains, especially if we consider that NASDAQ100 is still pointing higher. So, seems like risk-on sentiment is still here and we should be aware of a bigger recovery in the Crypto market, even because of the USdollar that shows strong bearish momentum. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart looks to have a completed wave (2) correction and it's actually just about to break channel resistance line which confirms that wave (3) is in progress. Can ALTcoins follow Bitcoin soon?
IS THIS FINALLY THE END OF BREAKDOWN VINE TO THE MOON..IS THIS FINALLY THE END OF THE BREAKDOWN VINE TO THE MOON..
Vine did break down hugely.. but it still has possibles to return.. is this going to happen from this bottom?
We are going to follow it.
We expect there can come a moment when this vine will find the break up $0,06
DOGEUSD Fibonacci Channel 'guarantees' rally to at least $1.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has held perfectly its 1W MA50 two weeks ago, rebounded and is now consolidating. This consolidation shouldn't last for too long as based on the previous Cycles, this 1W MA50 test was the new bottom the should lead to the final year (2025) rally.
As you can see, DOGE's historic pattern since its first trading day has been a Channel Up, which with the added element of the Fibonacci lines, only broke during the 2021 Top formation on its 1.5 Fib extension.
A key characteristic of the final year of each Bull Cycle is that after a 1W Golden Cross is formed, the price has always first hit the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) 2SD above (thin orange trend-line) and shortly after the MMB 3SD above (thin red trend-line).
So far the current Cycle had hit the MMB 2SD on its December High and based on the pace with which this Cycle is unfolding (the higher the cap the slower the pace), it is unlikely to see a MMB 3SD test shortly.
However the Fibonacci Channel along with the MMB gives in our opinion two Target levels for this final year of the Cycle, a fair one and an optimistic. The fair one is at $1.00, which would make a perfect test of both the MMB 3SD and the 1.0 Fib ext at the top of the Channel Up. The optimistic is at $3.5 (potentially even higher), which would be exactly on the 1.618 horizontal Fibonacci extension (still below the 1.5 Channel Fib), which was the January 2018 Cycle Top and of course was greatly exceeded during the May 2021 Cycle Top.
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Solana (SOL) at a Crossroad: Breakout or Breakdown? Solana (SOL/USD) Technical Analysis
📊 Market Structure:
Solana has tested the support zone around $169 - $157 and is attempting a recovery. The price is currently trading around $174.00, showing signs of a possible pullback before confirming direction.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If SOL holds above $169, we could see a bounce toward the resistance zone at $192 - $202. Breaking and stabilizing above $202 could open the path for a move toward $221 and beyond.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If SOL fails to hold above $169, a drop toward $157 is likely. A confirmed breakdown below $157 would indicate further weakness, potentially pushing the price toward $121 (major support level).
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Pivot Line: $169
Resistance Levels: $192, $202, $221
Support Levels: $157, $145, $121
💬 Is Solana setting up for a major bounce, or will it break down further? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
XRP Weekly Summary: February 15–21, 2025Welcome back to my weekly XRP roundup! As of February 21, 2025, the XRP market has been buzzing with activity, reflecting both its resilience and the broader crypto landscape’s volatility. Here’s what’s been happening with Ripple’s flagship cryptocurrency this week.
Price Action: A Rollercoaster Ride
XRP kicked off the week with a notable surge, climbing over 20% to hit $2.76 by midweek. This rally was a breath of fresh air for holders, fueled by whispers of regulatory clarity and renewed investor confidence. However, as Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies faced downward pressure, XRP cooled off slightly, trading around $2.50–$2.60 by Friday morning. Posts on X highlighted this pullback, noting resistance near all-time high volume-weighted average price (VWAP) levels, suggesting the market might be testing a critical ceiling. Despite the dip, XRP’s weekly gains remain impressive, hovering around 15–17% depending on the hour—a solid performance amid a shaky broader market. Or, if 15-17% doesn't impress you much in one week, you always have the alternative to put your money in a CD at your local bank for 4.7% per year.
Legal Winds Blow in Ripple’s Favor
The big story this week? Legal developments surrounding Ripple’s long-standing battle with the SEC. Sentiment on X and crypto news circles suggests growing optimism that the tides are turning. Speculation is rife that the SEC’s case could weaken further, especially with chatter about the agency acknowledging Grayscale’s XRP ETF filing. While no official resolution has dropped as of Friday morning, the narrative of “SEC overreach” is gaining traction, boosting XRP’s appeal as a “sleeping giant” ready to awaken. If these legal clouds clear, analysts see a path to $3 or higher in the near term—exciting times ahead!
ETF Hype Heats Up
Speaking of ETFs, the XRP ecosystem is abuzz with ETF-related developments. Multiple firms have been pushing XRP exchange-traded fund applications, and this week, the buzz intensified. The idea of a BlackRock-backed XRP ETF even popped up in some enthusiastic X posts—though it’s still speculative at this stage. The potential for an approved ETF continues to drive bullish sentiment, with analysts suggesting it could unlock a “liquidity cascade” and propel XRP past its previous all-time highs. For now, it’s a waiting game, but the anticipation is palpable.
Another Financial Institution Connects to the XRP Ledger
On February 19, 2025, Braza Group, an international payment firm with over 15 years in the banking sector, announced the launch of its BBRL stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. Braza Group, while not a traditional bank itself, is a BACEN (Central Bank of Brazil) interbank player, meaning it operates within Brazil’s regulated financial ecosystem and facilitates interbank transactions. The BBRL stablecoin, pegged to the Brazilian Real, aims to provide a secure and efficient digital transaction option for individuals and businesses, leveraging XRPL’s capabilities.
Making Closer Ties Where Its Important
Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple has been active in the public sphere recently, but the most notable events occurred earlier in February. On February 14, 2025, he shared on X about engaging with U.S. policymakers in Washington, D.C., including meetings with figures like Senator Tim Scott (Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee) and Representative Ritchie Torres. Photos from these meetings were posted, showing him alongside lawmakers such as Representatives William Timmons, Bill Huizenga, Bryan Steil, Zach Nunn, and French Hill. These discussions focused on advancing crypto regulatory clarity, but they fall just outside this week’s timeframe (February 15–21).
Market Sentiment and On-Chain Moves
On-chain data paints a picture of accumulation, with significant XRP outflows from exchanges reported earlier in the week—think tens of millions of dollars’ worth. This suggests big players might be stacking their bags, betting on a breakout. Meanwhile, X users are hyping up technical patterns like the “cup and handle,” hinting at a possible 18% jump to $3.30 if XRP clears key resistance around $2.82. The mood? Bullish, but cautious—everyone’s watching Bitcoin’s next move and the Fed’s hawkish stance for cues.
What’s Next?
As we wrap up this week, XRP stands at a crossroads. Will it smash through resistance and reclaim its glory above $3, or will market headwinds force a deeper correction? With legal clarity on the horizon, ETF speculation simmering, and strong community support, XRP is poised for a potentially historic moment. Stay tuned for next week’s update—we might just see fireworks!
17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86
Last weeks low: $94,093.81
Midpoint: $96,458.84
Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see.
Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this.
For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such.
Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.
Another attempt for the 101-102K bounceMorning folks,
So market stands in the narrow range for the 3rd week already and not leaving hopes to show the bounce up to 101-102K area. Last attempt (in the way of cup pattern that we've discussed last time) has failed.
We don't care about it because mostly stay focused on weekly bearish DRPO pattern. Thus, any bounce here we consider first as a chance to Sell. And only second as a possible upside continuation.
For now BTC is trying to make an another attempt and form reverse H&S pattern on 1H chart. So target remains the same 101-102K. We have no intention to go long right now. But, if you trade intraday or just search chances to buy - maybe be this setup might be useful to you.
Supposedly 96K is an area where decision on position taking has to be made.
I keep the "bearish" mark for this setup. But, as now as last time - the bounce to 101-102K area are not excluded.
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750).
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FET Building familar structureFET 8H chart--Same structure building as last time
BULLISH SCENARIO: from this range we continue up to the next "high traffic" area ($1.20-1.50). This would be a 50% move or so, def an area to take profit. If $1.20-1.50 gets flipped and holds, price should move up into the trendline.
BEARISH SCENARIO: Price rejects here and moves down to stophunt the FEB low around .60. This is where we should see a nice reaction to the upside.
Thanks for reading!
ETH 1D Ethereum has been very disappointing so far this cycle, but the chart on the daily is beginning to look much better than it has in recent weeks. For me a key level is the $2780 area, acceptance above puts ETH back into the midsection off this rangebound environment with a look to reach the next key level at $3200. To get there the 1D 200 EMA will be the first area of obvious resistance around the big even level of $3000.
A rejection off the $2780 I could see a move to backfill the daily wick towards the local bottom, if that were the case it would be because BTC has rolled over and lost its $91K support.
Long Signal Entry for ACH/USDT
Based on the daily chart for ACHUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position. You can enter now or wait for the close of the day, depending on your availability. Waiting for the close of the day would be preferred to confirm the trend.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
BTCUSD: The magic of the .618 Fib signals $165k.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.436, MACD = -739.700, ADX = 52.589) in an attempt to form a new bottom for February on its 2 month consolidation phase. This consolidation phase is technically no different than all others since the 2023 Bull Cycle started. We have had three such consolidation phases, two longer, one shorter but all started after market tops on a +1.0 Fibonacci progression: 1st on the 1.618 Fib, then on the 2.618, the 3.618, which brings us to the current ATH on the 4.618 Fibonacci extension. Technically the next one should be on the 5.618 Fib (TP = 165,000) then only thing that's open is whether it will follow the 2023 longer consolidation or 2024 shorter. If it follows the longer, then the 165k target may coincide with the Cycle Top towards September.
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BITCOIN Is the USDT dominance about to spark new rally to $150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a fierce consolidation the past few weeks, a lagging price action not helped at all by the recent market fundamentals.
From a technical view point though, the current BTC market structure is a Re-accumulation Phase similar to the Re-accumulation Phases of both previous Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom.
Those Re-accumulation Phases took place when the USDT dominance (chart on the right) posted a peaking 1D RSI struture similar to today's and the DXY (blue trend-line) was having a pull-back.
The current technical sequences matches the exact Re-accumulation Phases of BTC, which took place around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If we apply this Fib structure now, even assuming the less ideal scenario that the 0.5 Fib is on the January 13 Low and not in the middle of the Re-accumulation, we get a potential Target for the upcoming rally at $150k.
SO what do you think? Can this unique USDT dominance pattern spark a new rally on Bitcoin to 150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Phemex Analysis $60: How to Trade SOL Amidst the FTX UnlockThe FTX’s decision to unlock 11.2 million SOL tokens (worth around $2 billion) at March 1st has sent shockwaves through the market. Fear of a potential sell-off has triggered panic among investors, leading to a sharp decline in SOL’s price from $200 to the $160 area.
With uncertainty in the air, traders are now asking: Will SOL continue its downward spiral, consolidate, or stage a strong comeback? In this analysis, we’ll explore three possible scenarios and how to trade them like a pro.
Possible Scenarios
1. Continued Downward Trend – More Selling Pressure Ahead?
Currently, SOL has dropped into the $165-$155 support zone, but if fear continues to dominate and selling pressure increases, further downside is possible. Key support levels to watch:
• $135-$126 – A critical demand zone where buyers may step in.
• $110 – A strong historical support level that could serve as a bottom.
For long-term investors, this could be an opportunity to accumulate SOL at a discounted price. However, for those who entered near $200, this scenario is less favorable.
Pro Tips:
• Use scaled orders to gradually enter the market instead of going all-in at once.
• Set limit buy orders around key support zones to secure an optimal entry.
• Monitor volume and Relative Strength Index (RSI)—if SOL becomes oversold on high volume, it could signal a potential reversal.
2. Bouncing Between $155 & $210 – A Range-Bound Market
While some traders fear a deeper decline, institutional buyers and long-term holders may step in to absorb the selling pressure. This could lead to a sideways trading range between strong support at $155 and resistance at $210.
Pro Tips:
• Use grid trading bots to capitalize on price swings:
• Start a long grid bot near the $155 support level to profit from rebounds.
• Start a short grid bot near the $210 resistance level to take advantage of pullbacks.
• If SOL repeatedly tests $210 but fails to break through, consider taking partial profits.
• Stay cautious—if the $155 support fails, be ready to adjust strategy for a deeper correction.
3. Breakout Rally – A Surprise Upside Move?
While less likely, a major bullish catalyst—such as the approval of a Solana ETF—could spark a breakout. If SOL gains regulatory or institutional backing, it may defy expectations and surge past resistance levels.
Pro Tips:
• Watch for a breakout above $210 with strong volume—this could signal a move toward $250+.
• Consider momentum trading strategies, setting stop-loss orders below $200 to manage risk.
• Stay updated on ETF-related news and broader crypto sentiment.
Final Thoughts
All eyes are on March 1st, when FTX’s SOL unlock event could bring heightened volatility. Whether SOL drops further, consolidates, or stages a breakout, traders need to stay alert and adjust their strategies accordingly.
• For bulls: Look for accumulation zones and wait for a confirmed reversal.
• For range traders: Take advantage of price swings between support and resistance.
• For breakout traders: Keep an eye on volume and fundamental catalysts.
No matter which scenario plays out, staying disciplined, managing risk, and reacting to market conditions is key to trading SOL like a pro.
🚀 How are you planning to trade SOL during this event? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀
Pro Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin Intraday - Wednesday 19th FebruaryBitcoin has been in a tight bearish channel on the Daily timeframe. Yesterday (Tuesday 18th February) price took an internal daily low at $94,002. Today we are looking for the potential for price to mitigate the inducement POI created from price taking the daily low yesterday. Also aware of the potential for shorts from $96,177 although expecting price to move a little higher. Overall HTF picture is for bitcoin to push lower to take out the daily low at $91,375.
By the end of this year, Bitcoin will grow only slightly more.Bitcoin is at the end of a two-year uptrend and the $110,000 range is the end of this trend.
The impact of Trump's election on Bitcoin's growth will be before he enters the White House.
After that, we will have a 3-4 month downtrend.
The current price of Bitcoin is around $100,600
I will post an analysis of the downtrend after reaching the $110K range.
@JalilRafieefard
December 07, 2024
Bitcoin’s 1.5-2 year downtrend has begun. (Phase 1)As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin saw its two-year price ceiling at around $109K when Trump entered the White House, and Bitcoin will have downtrend for about a 1.5-2 year.
This decline will have 3 phases, which I have shown in the first phase chart in 3 stages.
As you can see in the chart, in the first phase, Bitcoin will fall to around $81K and then rise again to near the price ceiling. But in my opinion, it will not be able to create a new price ceiling and will have a heavier decline towards the $50K-$60K range.
@JalilRafieefard
February 18, 2025
ETHUSD bottomed and will now look for 4k and above.Ethereum / ETHUSD is consolidating after an early February bottom on Support A.
Both in terms of pure price action and 1day MACD, the current bottom is replicating Augusts, which was also formed after a Falling Wedge broke downwards.
With the recent 1day MACD Bullish Cross formed, we expect the 4100 Resistance to get tested in April.
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