ETHEREUM Massive rally up ahead.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading on its 1M MA50, having recovered half of the Trade War losses. Still underperforming against most of its peers but as we've entered the 2nd half of the year, the traditional Bull Cycle rally is up ahead. We expect at least a 0.5 Fibonacci level test of the Channel Up, targeting 7500.
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Cryptocurrency
UNEXPECTED RISK CRASH FREE FALL AFTER TREND DATA FOR TH NEXT 48HDepending on our study, BTC has a high chance of a new crash below 100K.
The next 48 hours are important for the trend change of BTC, which can allow the trend to free-fall below 100K
BTC is at a top, and it did recovery always recovered on the M volume top., We are now again on the same trend.
BTC can return below 100K as this update shows, with the possibility of targeting the main target 85K - This is the trend zone for new interest.
The reason for this crash is that BTC has not confirmed the cycle, which means the end of the cycle. There is always possibility that the market can act green, but we expect it can show an unexpected breakdown.
#ETH Rebounds on Ceasefire News – Eyes Set on $3100 and Beyond!By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that after dropping to $2100, ETH started recovering strongly following the ceasefire announcement, and is currently trading around $2430. If Ethereum manages to close above $2700 by the end of the week, we could expect further upside.
The next potential bullish targets are $2890, $3100, and $4100.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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BITCOIN Trump and the 1D EMA100 saved the day!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark.
Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a contact (or near) with it that resulted into a considerable bullish extension.
The 1st Channel Up even breached below it, but after rebounding, it reached the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next correction. The 2nd Channel Up rebounded exactly on the 1D EMA100, and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 3rd Channel Up almost hit the 1D EMA100 and then rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
It is obvious that the pattern follows a progression and each Fib extension peak is higher than on the previous Channel Up. As a result, it is not unlikely to see a High even above the 2.0 Fib ext ($168k) on the current (4th) Channel Up, however on the short-term we would still welcome the 1.382 Fib 'minimum' expectation, targeting $130000.
Do you think we should at least be expecting that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD: Minimum target for this Cycle is 150,000Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.882, MACD = -410.600, ADX = 22.509) as it recovered the losses of the last 2 days thanks to the Truce announcement between Israel and Iran. The long term picture couldn't be more bullish however as it hasn't even hit the bottom red zone of the Logarithmic Growth Curves model. According to the Time Cycles that mark each Cycle High, the Top for this Cycle is estimated to be between October and December. By October 2025, the top of the first profit taking zone (lightest pink) would be $150,000. That is technically the bare minimum of Top that should be expected based on the current LGC model. Technically it can even hit $200,000 but fundamentals have to help a lot in this scenario (adoption, ETFs, rate cuts).
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103 to 101K trade and reverse H&S patternMorning folks,
So, our Thu setup is done perfect, both targets are met and even more. Now we consider two different fast trades on BTC.
Now context remains bearish and 103K is rather strong 4H resistance area. So, first trade is scalp "Sell" from ~ 103K with "at least" target of 101K. In fact, choosing of 101K as a minimal target is based on the 2nd trade.
2nd trade is potential reverse H&S is sentiment on the market will start changing. But this is not the fact yet. That's why I place downside arrow here as well, if H&S will not be formed or start failing, BTC could drop lower so, downside trade might be even better.
Crypto Market Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGood morning Crypto traders! We got a nice bounce and recovery in the Crypto market along with stock market rally after US President Donald Trump announced that Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, calling the conflict “The 12-Day War.”. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart now shows that correction is completed, support is in place and bulls back, so more upside can be seen in upcoming days/weeks, just be aware of short-term intraday pullbacks.
Bitcoin at Risk: Will Geopolitical Tensions Push BTC Below $90K?By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price continued its correction amid rising tensions and conflict between Iran and Israel, dropping to as low as $98,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $101,000, and if these tensions escalate further — especially if Iran decides to close the Strait of Hormuz — it could significantly impact global markets, and Bitcoin would not be an exception.
If BTC fails to hold above $100,000 by the end of the week, a continuation of the drop toward $90,000 is possible.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Market SIGNALS SHOW THAT BTC CAN FALL TO 85K USDMarket follow-up study shows that there is a good chance BTC can fall to 85K in the coming time period. The market cycle seems to end the green trend and to enter a new red zone.
Time will show what really can happen with BTC.
The market can make a fake trend, with a trend fall on a high time frame.
The crash can also happen on the main markets.
This is not trading advice, trade always only depending on your plan.
BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
Phemex Analysis #92: Pro Tips for Trading Sei (SEI) Sei ( PHEMEX:SEIUSDT.P ) Network’s recent advancements underscore its commitment to extreme scalability, Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility, and streamlined user experience, all backed by strong institutional support and rapid adoption.
The recent launch of Sei V2 marks a major milestone, enhancing Sei’s performance dramatically. With this upgrade, the network now processes an impressive 5 gigagas per second, equating to approximately 200,000 transactions per second (TPS) with sub-400 millisecond finality. Such metrics position Sei among the fastest EVM-compatible blockchains globally, facilitating groundbreaking real-time applications in DeFi, AI, and trading. Improvements like the SeiDB storage layer further boost efficiency by accelerating node syncing and reducing state bloat.
Institutionally, Sei is experiencing remarkable momentum. Recently, Canary Capital filed with the US SEC for the first-ever SEI-based Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), offering regulated access to staked SEI and on-chain yields. Additionally, prominent investors like Circle Ventures, Multicoin Capital, and Delphi Digital strongly validate Sei’s potential as a high-performance Layer-1 blockchain.
These significant developments—technical excellence, streamlined ecosystem, and strong institutional backing—position Sei Network as a top-tier contender in the blockchain industry.
Possible Scenarios
1. Bullish Continuation (Further Uptrend)
Over the past two days, SEI’s price surged by more than 45%, indicating robust bullish momentum. The immediate resistance at $0.292 appears attainable if bullish strength persists.
However, traders should anticipate significant resistance at higher levels, notably at $0.43 and $0.50. Approaching these key levels, market volatility could increase substantially.
Pro Tips:
Profit-Taking: Strategically take partial profits as SEI approaches the critical resistance zones near $0.43 and subsequently $0.50.
Risk Management: Implement protective stop-loss orders just below recent support zones, such as $0.255, to manage unexpected reversals.
2. Rejection at $0.292 (Potential Retracement)
Considering the sharp recent gains in a relatively uncertain market environment, a rejection at the $0.292 resistance is plausible. Should this occur, SEI might seek support at lower levels, primarily around $0.19 and $0.158, before stabilizing.
Pro Tips:
Buy-the-Dip Strategy: Monitor the lower support levels ($0.19 and $0.158) closely. These areas might offer favorable opportunities for accumulating SEI at discounted valuations.
Volume Confirmation: Keep an eye on trading volume during pullbacks; lower volume would indicate a potentially healthy correction rather than a sustained bearish move.
3. Breakthrough $0.292 but Retrace to Accumulate Momentum (Consolidation Scenario)
Another scenario involves SEI initially breaking above $0.292, then experiencing mild pullbacks toward approximately $0.255 to consolidate momentum. In this pattern, price may gradually climb higher, with smaller upward moves interspersed by brief retracements.
Pro Tips:
Long Grid Bots: Leverage grid trading bots effectively to capture profits from the smaller price fluctuations typical in this scenario. Start long-grid bots around the support level at $0.255 and target modest incremental gains.
Patience and Adaptability: Maintain discipline, patiently letting positions unfold while continuously managing your exposure through proper stop-loss placements and profit-taking strategies.
Conclusion
Sei Network’s robust technical performance, institutional backing, and recent bullish price action provide traders with several actionable scenarios. By carefully observing the outlined resistance and support levels and employing disciplined trading strategies—including timely profit-taking, grid bot deployment, and vigilant risk management—traders can confidently navigate SEI’s volatility to optimize returns effectively.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025.
Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20).
Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900.
Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024.
So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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YOLO Near USDT is a stellar buy here HUGE UPSIDELast cycle we saw a large correction to these levels before seeing a huge altcoin season. I believe we will see another run this cycle.
Near is a entry between $1.90 and 1.60.
Sell targets 8 20% sell
$12 20% sell
$16 20% sell
$20 20% sell
20% sell: Let it rideeeee to euphoria
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
ALTCOINS: Market bottomed and about to surge.The Altcoin market is almost oversold on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 30.160, MACD = -0.160, ADX = 18.210) but this very same 1W RSI pattern has emerged numerous times before an altcoin market surge (Altseason). How high it can go depends on whether the Fed will cut on its next meeting or not. Nevertheless, this level is an excellent opportunity to start investing in altcoins.
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ETHUSD: Channel Up testing 1D MA50. Optimal buy.Ethereum is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.020, MACD = 17.220, ADX = 20.205), consolidating for the past 3 days. This time it is about to test the 1D MA50, which is technically the long term Support. Since it is also almost at the bottom of the Channel Up, we see this as the most optimal level to buy and aim for the same +17.43% rise (TP = 2,880) it did in May.
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Litecoin Is Forming A Bullish PatternLitecoin with ticker LTCUSD made nice and clean five-wave recovery back to 100 area in the 4-hour chart, which confirms support in place and bullish reversal, so it can be a higher degree wave (1), thus more upside is expected for a higher degree wave (3) after current complex W-X-Y correction in wave (2) that can be in final stages. First support is here around 90-85 area, while second deeper one would be at 80 area.
BITCOIN This is the long-term picture. Don't get distracted.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating lately after making a new All Time High (ATH) last month and this is already making part of the market nervous over whether that's the Cycle Top or not.
This is one of those times when it would be best to ignore the short-term noise/ volatility and stick to the long-term picture. And that's exactly what's shown on this chart, with BTC on the 1M time-frame showing the incredible symmetry among its 4-year Cycles, with Bear Markets lasting 12 - 13 months and Bull Markets 35.
Based on that, this Cycle's Top is expected to be priced by October (2025). This also matches the Sine Waves as implied by the 1M RSI, which as been trading within a Channel Down (diminishing returns) since Bitcoin's inception.
So do you also think that we have around 4 months before the market tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD: Israel-Iran conflict like October 2024.Despite the Middle East tension, Bitcoin remains long term bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 63.167, MACD = 6883.200, ADX = 33.150). It remains supported on its 1D MA50, in fact in the same manner it was during the previous Israel-Iran conflict. I was on October 26th 2024, when Israel launched three waves of strikes against 20 locations in Iran and other locations in Iraq, and Syria. Simila to the June 13th 2025 attacks. It is more than striking how similar the two price patterns are. Assisted by the U.S. elections on November 5th 2024, a massive rally followed the Middle East conflict. A repeat of that may very well send Bitcoin to $150,000 and above.
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ETHEREUM Battling to hold its 1D MA50.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a 5-week Channel Up pattern and in the past 2 days almost tested its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). So far this is holding, showcasing the strong presence of buyers in that price region, which also happens to be the bottom of that Channel Up.
Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross that may potentially be formed in a week or so, this is the strongest buy signal we get since the April 09 bottom. Given also that the price is trading close to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the December 16 2024 High, the upside potential is significant. The obvious medium-term Target is that High at 4100.
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