BITCOIN just broke above 4H MA200 for the 1st time in 1.5 month!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke today above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1.5 month (since February 04). This is on its own a major bullish signal but fortunately for buyers, it is not the only one.
Just yesterday, the price also broke above the February 21 Lower Highs trend-line, the first medium-term Resistance of the market that basically started the brutal sell-off of late February and breaking above it technically restores the bullish sentiment back to the market and at the same time formed a 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross for the first time in more than 2 months (January 18).
Obviously the complete confirmation will come if BTC breaks above its Channel Down but given the fact that 2 Resistance levels already broke and that the bottom looks like a W-shaped recovery pattern, we can already set a Target on the 99500 Resistance, which just so happens to be marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
But what do you think? Is this 4H MA200 break-out the bullish signal the market needed after such a long time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrency
24/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $87,453.65
Last weeks low: $81,140.91
Midpoint: $84,297.28
Great weekly close for the bulls! A reclaim of the weekly high in the dying hours of the week is a huge win and has spurred on an early run for the weekly high.
The overall goal for this move should be $91,000 in my opinion, and a must not lose area is $86,000 or 0.75 line/ last weeks weekly high.
What happens at $91,000 is yet to be determined and I have an idea many will be tentative around that area. On the high time frames a reclaim of this level unlocks the capability to retest the highs from a TA standpoint as price re-enters the range bound environment. A rejection of that level would make a $73,000 retest a very real possibility.
In terms of altcoins we're seeing some strength returning with some strong gains but relative to their sell-offs it is a a drop in the ocean so far. Currently the market conditions are a traders dream but a long term investor/holders nightmare. No major news is planned to come this week so unless something drastic happens TA should be the driving factor this week.
Watching for the same 90K area Part IIMorning folks,
Here is just minor update to our last idea. BTC mostly was flat in recent two sessions, so action is started only today.
So, the plan that we've prepared remains valid. Since an area around 90K is a strong resistance, we think that short entry attempt there is relatively safe, and at least should give us the chance to turn it to breakeven trade.
Now, on 1H chart we have two patterns that point on the same area.
IP – Coiled Triangle with a $10 STORY to Tell?COINBASE:IPUSD / COINBASE:IPUSDC
We’ve got a clean symmetrical triangle forming post-initial listing volatility, and price is nearing the apex. Volume’s dropping off, just like you'd expect in the final stages of compression—classic pre-breakout behavior.
What caught my eye here is how this triangle lines up with a Fibonacci extension target up near $10. Yeah, sounds bold, but zoom out on a log chart and it actually looks pretty reasonable. The measured move from the initial impulse, paired with the triangle breakout structure, gives a clear path to that 1.618 extension level. Throw in the fact that the volume profile starts thinning out above $6, and there’s potential for a swift move if it catches a bid.
Triangle Compression and Breakout Setup
We’re in the late innings of this triangle consolidation. Lower highs, higher lows, volume fading—textbook stuff. If price can get through the $6 zone with conviction, the structure says we could see an aggressive breakout. If not, we’re probably looking at one more fakeout or shakeout before direction resolves.
Fibonacci Extension and Log Chart Math
Using Fib extensions on a log scale paints a pretty compelling picture. $10 sits right at the 161.8% extension off the initial run, and log charts smooth out the scale enough to show how that level isn’t just hopium—it’s structured speculation. The triangle adds context: this isn’t about chasing highs, it’s about waiting for the breakout confirmation from a pattern that’s been compressing for weeks.
Volume Profile and Context
VPVR shows strong acceptance around $5 and fading resistance above. If bulls can flip that region into support, the path to higher prices opens up fast. A breakout from this triangle above $6.25 or so, ideally on volume, could be the signal that this thing is ready to move.
Curious if anyone else is watching this chart. We’ve got a clear triangle, confluence with Fib levels, and log-scale structure supporting a much higher target. Could be a breakout worth watching—or just another consolidation that needs more time to cook.
Not financial advice. Just tracking setups, patterns, and potential. Let’s see if the STORY plays out.
ETH Breakout Setup: Eyeing $2,550 Target!"Key Observations:
Strong Support Level: ETH has bounced from a strong support zone around $1,792 - $1,905.
Retest & Buy Zone: Price has broken above a key level and is now retesting it, indicating a potential buy opportunity.
Resistance Zone: A key resistance zone is marked near $2,557.71.
Target Levels: The first target is set at $2,557.71, with a possible further extension to $2,854.38.
Bullish Confirmation: If ETH maintains support above $1,981, the uptrend towards the target is likely.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Buy on successful retest.
Stop Loss: Below the strong level at $1,905 - $1,792.
Take Profit: First target at $2,557.71, extended target at $2,854.38.
This setup follows a classic breakout and retest strategy, suggesting bullish momentum if Ethereum sustains above key levels.
Bitcoin Breakout: Potential Rally Towards $110K!"Key Observations:
Descending Channel: The price has been moving downward within a channel, showing lower highs and lower lows.
Support Level: Marked near $79,912.83, where the price recently bounced.
Breakout Scenario: BTC appears to be breaking out of the channel, suggesting a potential bullish trend.
Target: The projected target is $110,146.67, indicating a significant upward move.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the support level to manage risk in case of a price reversal.
Trading Idea:
A long trade setup is suggested, with entry upon confirmation of the breakout.
Stop-loss below the recent low ($79,912.83) to minimize risk.
Profit target near $110,146.67, aligning with previous resistance levels.
This setup follows a classic breakout and retest strategy, expecting bullish momentum if Bitcoin sustains above the resistance zone.
DOGEUSD making a huge bullish break-out. Eyes 0.800.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) broke today above the Lower Highs trend-line that started 2 months ago (on the January 18 High).
The natural Resistance remains of course technically the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but with the 1D RSI already trending upwards and the price rebounding from the recent low at the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up, we can already claim that the new Bullish Leg has already started.
If it makes just a simple repeat of the previous Bullish Leg (which during Bull Cycles every rally is generally more aggressive than the previous), it can top the Channel Up and make a Higher High at $0.800.
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KAVAUSD – Midpoint Retest with a Shot at a Daily Higher LowCOINBASE:KAVAUSD / COINBASE:KAVAUSDC
Watching KAVA here on the daily, and it’s at a key decision point that could define the next leg. We’ve got two sets of Fibonacci retracements drawn: the first from the March 2024 high to the August 2024 low, and the second from the August low to the December high. Right now, price is retesting the 50% level of the larger March–August move—aka the midpoint of the macro range—and it's still holding above the 50% retracement of the more recent August–December leg. We’re also sitting right on the 38.2% Fib of that second move, which tends to act as a key area for potential higher lows.
The idea here is simple: I’m playing for a daily higher low. We had a strong move off the December lows, followed by a healthy consolidation, and this is where bulls need to step in. Structure-wise, this is the ideal area for bulls to attempt a defense if the trend is going to continue. EMAs are curling up, and price is still holding above the 12 and 26 EMAs for now, which gives me confidence in a potential bounce.
If the Trade Goes as Planned (Bullish Case)
If buyers step in here and confirm a higher low—ideally somewhere between $0.48 and $0.50—we’d expect a continuation toward the recent high at $0.56. If that level breaks, then $0.64 becomes the next area of interest based on prior price structure and confluence with the upper Fib retracement levels. From there, we could even make a push toward the $0.74 area, where the last major rejection happened in late 2024.
A strong bounce here also sets up a potential inverse head and shoulders structure on the daily if we revisit that neckline around $0.56 again with momentum. In short, a higher low here gives the bulls the setup they need to retake trend control.
If the Trade Fails (Bearish Case)
If price fails to hold the $0.48–$0.50 region and breaks below the August–December 50% Fib level, then we’re likely heading back to the $0.44 zone. That’s where the 200-day SMA is sitting, and it’s also a major pivot from previous support. A loss of that zone opens the door to a full retrace toward $0.39 or even $0.37—last seen during the November-December basing structure.
In that case, the trend would flip neutral at best and would require a fresh base-building phase before bulls could even think about regaining momentum.
TL;DR
Thesis: Playing for a daily higher low above key Fib levels and EMAs.
Bullish Target: Reclaim $0.56 → push toward $0.64–$0.74 if momentum follows through.
Bearish Invalidator: Break below $0.48 = likely revisit of $0.44 or lower.
Not financial advice. Just sharing my thinking as I try to stack confluence and play the levels. Let’s see if this bounce gets legs.
What BTC is showing?! Full Scenario As of now market is really slow... Why?
As the History of BTC shows that market never formed a new high with out retesting its Support or previous Resistance level, as in 2020 market break its Resistance level which was 19,000 and market formed a new high in 2021 which was 68,000 after that market didn't formed a new high until it retested its last support level 19,000. After retesting 19,000 market shows us a new high of 109,000 and since Market has formed a new high it didn't retested its Support level which is 68,000, so According to me history will be repeated here, till market don't retest its previous level which is 68,000 market will be slow and bearish. After that market will perform a new high.
According to RSI there is also a bearish divergences which support my vision.
Falling Wedge Pattern For ZCash??When a security's price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move.
The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline.
Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line.
Sperax - Undervalued AF.Despite market chop, SPA is holding strong within a clean falling wedge formation. Im following on from my previous post after a bullish breakout. This move looks far from over. The price action is compressing, volume is thinning, and all signs point to a continuation move on the horizon.
SUPPORT @ 0.01067
BITCOIN vs GOLD History will be repeated.Bitcoin has often been described as the digital Gold. And with good reason as it posseses the scarcity attribute of Gold like no other asset.
More often than not, we've seen Bitcoin replicate Gold's trading pattern and why not, as market psychology under certain set of conditions tend to be similar.
What better patterns to repeat than the long term ones. And on these charts you seen those.
Bitcoin's current Cycle is a Cup and Handle pattern, similar to Gold's formation after its former September 2011 ATH following the amazing rally after the launch of its ETF in the early 2000s.
Once Gold crossed above its MA50, it never broke back below it, in fact is provided support for its Handle twice.
Bitcoin is on a similar situation right now having held its MA50 last week, the 2nd time it supports it since the Handle did in August 2024.
Based on this Gold fractal, this is the best time to buy BTC again for its final rally of the year.
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APTOS priced long term bottom. Perfect long here.Aptos / APTUSD is trading inside a Triangle since its very first low historically and the price seems to be stabilizing after February's Low on its bottom.
In the meantime, it is double bottoming on the 1.5 year Support Zone with the 1week RSI formation common on all prior bottoms.
Buy and target 15.00 (Resistance A).
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BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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Sui Bear Flag !! Big Cluster liquidity area
Bearish Continuation Trade Idea - Potential Breakdown from Bear Flag
📉 Market Outlook:
The price has been in a strong downtrend, forming a bear flag after an impulsive move downward. This pattern is typically a continuation signal, suggesting further downside if the price breaks below the flag structure.
📍 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Big Cluster Liquidity Area: The highlighted zone marks an area where the price previously accumulated/distributed liquidity before a strong breakout. Now that the price has fallen below this region, it is acting as a major resistance.
2️⃣ Bear Flag Formation: After a steep decline, the price is moving inside a narrow ascending channel, which often acts as a bearish continuation pattern.
3️⃣ Potential Breakdown: A clear break below the lower boundary of the flag could confirm the next leg down.
🔴 Trade Plan (Short Setup):
Entry Trigger: Wait for a confirmed breakdown below the bear flag's lower boundary, ideally with a strong bearish candle close.
Stop Loss: Place above the recent swing high inside the flag to limit risk.
Take Profit Targets:
First target: Recent swing low
Second target: Major support zone with historical liquidity
⚠️ Risk Management:
Position sizing should align with your risk tolerance.
Beware of false breakouts; a confirmed breakdown with strong momentum is preferred.
Monitor macroeconomic events that might cause volatility.
📌 Conclusion:
The overall trend remains bearish, and the formation of a bear flag suggests further downside if confirmed. If the price breaks lower with conviction, sellers may push it toward key support levels.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
Would love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below! 🚀🔥
AVAXUSD Channel Down bottomed. Bullish Leg to target $45.Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 12 months and on March 11 it priced the latest Lower Low. At the same time, the 1D RSI is on an uptrend, a technical Bullish Divergence.
It is the same kind of Bullish Divergence we also saw on the August 05 2024 Lower Low bottom. That bottom produced a Bullish Leg that almost reached the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, we can turn bullish here, targeting a $45.00.
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BITCOIN Will this historic level break too?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is its main Bull Cycle Support, despite the recent volatility. As mentioned numerous times, in periods of uncertainty it helps you maintain an objective long-term perspective if you zoom out and look on the wider time-frames.
On this 1W chart, we can see that so far all of BTC's Cycle's have followed the same pattern. The Bear Cycle bottoms and the first bounce of the Bull Cycle aims at breaking above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (blue Arc). It is what we call the 'Growth Channel' that guides the market from its Cycle bottom to break above the ATH Lower Highs and when it does the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle) starts. The most aggressive part is when the price breaks also above its Growth Channel.
This is the only Resistance level that has yet to be broke on this Cycle. If it does, the market will explode to Targets above $200k that will start putting it to capitalization levels that would require earth shattering catalysts in terms of adoption. A continuation of expansion within the boarders of the Growth Channel however can easily target $150k. Notice that throughout the whole process of the Growth Channel expansion on all Cycles historically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to hold and support.
So what do you think will happen this time? Will Bitcoin break above the Growth Channel and offer us another proper Parabolic Rally or will it be a more standard rise within it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin's Wedge Breakout – Big Move Incoming?"Key Observations:
Descending Wedge Breakout:
BTC has been trading within a descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal formation.
The price has now broken above the wedge, signaling potential upside momentum.
Buy Setup:
A buy entry is marked around $83,900 - $85,000.
The stop-loss is placed near $79,154 - $80,000, just below the previous support.
The target is set at $90,126, aligning with a key resistance level.
Trade Strategy:
Bullish case: If BTC sustains above the breakout level, it could rally toward $90,000+, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity.
Bearish case: If BTC falls back below $83,305, it may invalidate the bullish breakout and revisit lower support.
Conclusion:
This setup suggests bullish potential with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should monitor BTC’s reaction at the buy zone and adjust their stop-loss accordingly.
BITCOIN approaching the critical 1day MA50 test.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has found the support it desperately needed on the 1week MA50 and rebounded.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of its Cycle, the 1day MA50.
Every time this broke in the last 2 years, the market started a strong rally.
Buy and target 140000, which would be just under the Pi Cycle Top.
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LINKUSD Channel Up bottomed. Get ready for $44.LINK is trading inside a 2 year Channel Up.
The price is under the 1week MA50, which is about to form a Bearish Cross which the 1day MA50. Last time that happened, the bottom came 10 days later.
If the waves are symmetric inside this Channel Up, then we're already at or very close to the bottom, given also that the 1day RSI got oversold and this has been an instant buy signal previously.
Buy and target $44.00 (1.382 Fib extension and +300% rise).
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BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish.
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ETHUSD: Different asser, same pattern, same ending.Ethereum remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.440, MACD = -154.200, ADX = 29.206) but sits at the bottom of its 1 year Megaphone. This is the same pattern that Bitcoin traded on last year and Gold during its most recent Bear Cycle. In all instances, when the price found support on the MA50 and broke over the Megaphone, it reached the 2.0 Fibonacci. According to this, it won't be surprising if we see ETH at 9,000 by the end of the year.
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