Cryptocurrency
BITCOIN Can it reach 200k by the end of the year?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under a heavy consolidation for the whole month of February bringing discomfort to the market, which thought that an immediate rally in 2025 was in order. Libra's rug pull and last week's ByBit's hack didn't help, quite the contrary, the first calls of a Bear Market have started to resurface again.
This chart on the 1W time-frame however, pays good justice as to the situation BTC is currently facing. First of all, the price has dropped below the Mayer Multiple 1SD above (grey trend-line), which is not encouraging as in the previous Cycle this only happened in mid-May 2021 and in the two Cycles before, didn't happen until the new Bear Cycles started.
This isn't however that alarming as it was natural for Bitcoin to be more aggressive during its first years, with the price so low (and with much greater potential ahead of it) and the market capitalization still in infant stages.
This is why, as you may notice, the Parabolic Channels get less and less aggressive on each passing Cycle, with the current one being the most 'conservative' of all. This explains why last Cycle 'only' hit the MM 2SD above (orange trend-line), while the two Cycles before that easily hit and broke above the MM 3SD above.
Naturally, we may assume the following to parameters for the remainder of the current Bull Cycle:
a) It is not necessary to hit the MM 2SD above again, in fact it is more likely not to do so.
b) Since the last two Cycles both lasted 1064 days (152 weeks) from their Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle top, we can expect the current one to top around October 06 2025.
Despite those limitations, BTC can hit the $200k mark based on the tranjectory of the current Parabolic Channel, which would still be considerably below the MM 2SD above, by the end of 2025.
Do you think that's realistic to expect or $200000 is too much to expect during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum (ETH): Still Holds Bullish Trend Line!We had some choppy moves on Ethereum recently thanks to the Bybit hack.
Nevertheless, that dip got bought up very quickly and buyers are still maintaining the local support zone, which is a very strong one, as we have talked previously. Combined with EMAs sitting at that area, this is a good buying zone for sure.
Now the current weekly candle is showing some weakness but we are not going to judge yet as it is just the start of the week!!
P.S. As long as we are above EMAs, we are good for long!
Swallow Team
Pain or gainMorning folks,
So, everything goes accurately with the plan - our 1H H&S is ready to start. Even small "222" Buy already has been formed on the bottom.
So, if you would like to buy - this is the point where you have to decide. Upside target is 100.5-101.2K.
At the same time - don't forget that the H&S has to be considered in context of our big bearish weekly DRPO Sell pattern.
If H&S will be completed at 101K - we consider it as a chance to get the short position at better price. Conversely, if BTC starts dropping and H&S start failing. It could mean that downside action starts immediately.
Other words speaking, if BTC will show upside action at all - it has to start it right now. Otherwise, be prepared for collapse.
I mark this setup as a bullish, because of H&S. But in general we have mid term bearish view.
H&S is just a retracement step before downside action.
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of LINK🔹What is Chainlink?!
🔹Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network that enables smart contracts to securely interact with real-world data, external APIs, and off-chain computations. Founded in 2017, Chainlink solves the "oracle problem" by providing tamper-proof, trust-minimized data for blockchain applications.
🔹Chainlink has become a critical infrastructure in the DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystem, enabling hybrid smart contracts that leverage off-chain data. With partnerships in traditional finance, gaming, insurance, and enterprise solutions, Chainlink is positioning itself as the primary gateway between blockchains and real-world data.
🔹Chainlink’s Core Technology & Products
▪️ A. Decentralized Oracle Networks (DONs):
Chainlink’s oracle networks retrieve, verify, and deliver off-chain data to on-chain smart contracts in a secure and decentralized manner. These oracles solve blockchain’s lack of external connectivity, making real-world data accessible in DeFi, insurance, gaming, and enterprise applications.
B. Cross-Chain Communication (CCIP):
Chainlink enables cross-chain data sharing between public and private blockchains, allowing seamless communication and transfer of value across multiple networks.
▪️ C. Data Feeds & Market Insights:
Price Oracles: Secure on-chain price feeds for assets like BTC, ETH, stablecoins, and commodities.
Proof of Reserve: Verifies asset collateralization in real-time, crucial for stablecoins and wrapped assets.
Data Streams: Provides high-frequency market data for next-gen DeFi protocols.
▪️ D. Compute Services:
- Functions: Connects smart contracts to any API, enabling custom Web3 applications.
- Automation: Automates smart contracts with event-based triggers.
- Verifiable Random Function (VRF): Ensures secure randomness in gaming, NFTs, and lotteries.
🔹Chainlink’s Economic Model & Tokenomics
A. LINK Token Utility
The LINK token is the native cryptocurrency of the Chainlink ecosystem, used for:
🔹Paying node operators for retrieving, verifying, and delivering data.
🔹Staking to provide economic security and ensure data integrity.
🔹Governance and ecosystem incentives.
B. Staking & Security Mechanism:
Chainlink introduced staking as part of its Chainlink Economics 2.0 model to enhance security:
🔹Node operators must stake LINK to provide data services.
🔹Validators get slashed for incorrect or malicious data submissions.
🔹Delegated staking allows non-technical users to stake LINK via trusted operators.
C. Token Distribution
🔹ICO Price (2017): $0.11
🔹Total Supply: 1 billion LINK
🔹Circulating Supply: ~450M LINK (45% of total)
🔹Token Allocation:
-35% for ecosystem development and node incentives.
-35% sold in ICO/public sales.
-30% retained by Chainlink Labs for network growth.
D. Market Performance & ROI
🔹All-Time High (ATH) Price: $52.88 (May 2021)
🔹ICO ROI: 484.11x (+48,311%)
🔹Private Sale ROI: 587.5x (+58,650%)
🔹Total Funds Raised: $32M (ICO: $3M, Private Sale: ASX:29M )
🔹Some of Investors: Hashed Fund, Framework Ventures and Fundamental Labs
——
🔹Chainlink’s Adoption & Use Cases
A. Financial Services & DeFi
Chainlink secures billions of dollars in DeFi protocols, including:
🔹Aave (lending and borrowing)
🔹Compound (decentralized finance)
🔹Synthetix (synthetic assets)
🔹Uniswap (decentralized exchanges)
B. Asset Tokenization & Enterprise Adoption
Chainlink enables tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), integrating blockchain technology into:
🔹Traditional banking and payments
🔹Supply chain transparency
🔹Enterprise solutions (e.g., SWIFT, Google Cloud, FedEx, AccuWeather)
C. Gaming & NFTs
🔹VRF ensures fairness in blockchain gaming and NFTs.
🔹Major NFT & metaverse projects rely on Chainlink for secure randomness.
D. Insurance & Climate Markets
🔹Weather-based smart contract automation for crop insurance.
🔹Secure insurance claim processing using verified external data.
🗺Chainlink (LINK) Roadmap
Chainlink is evolving rapidly to enhance scalability, decentralization, and utility across blockchain ecosystems. The Chainlink 2.0 upgrade and Economic Model 2.0 are set to play crucial roles in the network’s future. Here’s a breakdown of Chainlink’s roadmap and upcoming developments.
A. Next-Gen Oracle Solutions
Chainlink 2.0 expands Decentralized Oracle Networks (DONs), introducing:
🔹Off-Chain Reporting (OCR) for better efficiency.
🔹Hybrid computation models for privacy and scalability.
🔹Fair Sequencing Services (FSS) to prevent front-running in DeFi.
B. Staking Expansion
🔹Staking rewards expected to start at 5% APY, paid via fees + emissions from the Chainlink treasury.
🔹Full staking implementation in Chainlink Economics 2.0 to ensure sustainable network growth.
C. Cross-Chain Integration & Layer 2 Adoption
🔹Chainlink plans deeper integration with Layer 2 solutions like Arbitrum & Optimism.
🔹Further adoption into non-EVM blockchains like Solana, Polkadot, and Cosmos.
🏦 Strategic Partnerships & Institutional Adoption
Corporate & Enterprise Partnerships: Chainlink has secured high-profile collaborations with:
-Google Cloud: Integrated Chainlink oracles for Web3 data verification.
-SWIFT: Exploring cross-border transactions using Chainlink.
-AccuWeather & FedEx: Providing real-world data for blockchain use cases.
-Associated Press: Integrating trusted news data into smart contracts.
🔹Advisory Team & Leadership
-Sergey Nazarov (CEO): Blockchain visionary, co-founder of SmartContract.com.
-Steve Ellis (CTO): Co-founder & lead engineer behind Chainlink.
-Eric Schmidt (Ex-Google CEO): Joined as technical advisor.
🔧Security & Consensus Mechanism
-Ethereum-based ERC-20 token with Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus.
-Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS) & Proof-of-Authority (PoA) used for oracle security.
-Multi-layered decentralization ensures resilience against data manipulation.
🔹Market Outlook & Future Predictions
Competitive Edge:
-Most adopted decentralized oracle network.
-$75B+ secured across 1,000+ projects.
-Expanding beyond crypto into traditional finance & enterprise applications.
Challenges & Risks
-Reliance on Ethereum scalability.
-High competition from newer oracle solutions (e.g., --Band Protocol, API3).
-Adoption rate depends on broader DeFi growth.
👛Some of the wallets that support Chainlink
MetaMask
Ledger Wallets (Nano S & Nano X)
Exodus Wallet
WalletConnect
Rabby Wallet
Trust Wallet
Atomic Wallet
Coin98 Wallet
Trezor Wallet
Argent Wallet
—
🔹Platform for staking LINK
Stake.link
Chainlink
Stake.com
—-
Platform for providing LINK
🔹Retro
🔹Biswap
🔹Kujiro
🔹Mdex
🔹Tomb
🔹Ramses
🔹Honeyswap
🔹Uniswap
🔹Pancakeswap
🔹LFJ
🔹Pangolin
🔹Balancer
🔹Revenue and Staking
▪️ Since the beginning of February, Chainlink's revenue experienced a sharp decline followed by a notable recovery, rising from -0.015 to 0.06 Ethereum. Meanwhile, staking activity in 2025 has remained relatively stable at approximately 279,000 Ethereum, showing no significant fluctuations. Additionally, the increase in network fees highlights growing user engagement and heightened activity within the ecosystem.
🔹On-Chain Analysis of LINK
▪️ In the $18.48 to $19 price range, a significant number of LINK tokens are in loss, which could act as a resistance level. However, there is currently no substantial volume of coins in profit to establish strong on-chain support.
▪️ On a positive note, network activity is showing signs of recovery, with a rise in active and new addresses, reflecting increased user engagement. Additionally, 48% of LINK tokens are held by whales, a considerably higher percentage compared to other cryptocurrencies. This distribution makes price manipulation by whales more difficult, contributing to market stability.
▪️ From a supply and demand perspective, the recent price drop has led to increased demand from whales (addresses holding 10M–100M LINK), while retail investors have been selling. This redistribution of tokens from smaller holders to large investors could be interpreted as a bullish signal for the medium term.
✅ Now that we have reviewed the project, let's move on to the technical analysis of this coin
📅 Weekly Timeframe
As observed, after the conclusion of the 2021 bull run, LINK entered a correction phase and dropped to a low of $5.85. Upon reaching this level, it formed a very clean Accumulation Zone with a floor at $5.85 and a ceiling at $9.77.
🔍 After oscillating within this zone for about a year, LINK finally broke out towards the end of 2023, coinciding with Bitcoin’s new all-time high near $70,000. This upward move was robust, but following Bitcoin’s correction to a low of $54,000, LINK also pulled back deeply to $9.77, where it stabilized.
📊 The volume has been in favor of the buyers, and as the upward trend concluded and a corrective leg began, the volume decreased significantly. Once the volume reached its lowest, a large bullish candle entered the market, pushing the price up to a high of $30.16.
⚡️ Currently, as Bitcoin ranges and corrects, LINK is also undergoing a correction. The RSI oscillator shows that LINK has dipped below the 50 area, but as long as it remains above 42.88, I still view LINK’s momentum as bullish.
🛒 For buying opportunities, risky purchases could be considered upon confirming a break of $30.16 or a more substantial breakout at the ATH of $51.30. However, if the price heads back towards $9.77 and breaks this support, it could indicate that the bullish momentum and trend have fully concluded, potentially leading to new lows.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, let’s examine the price movement in more detail. There was an Accumulation Zone between $9.77 and $12.88. After breaking $12.88 and pulling back, the next bullish leg began, pushing the price up to $29.21—a significant resistance area where the price was rejected and entered a corrective phase.
✨ In the first corrective phase, the price moved down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level and, failing to set a new high beyond $29.21, broke lower beyond the 0.382 area. It is now at the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
🧩 Essentially, a price range box has been formed between the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. A break below this range could lead to further corrections, with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the crucial $12.88 level as subsequent targets. If the price reaches $12.88, it would fully correct the entire bullish leg, signaling the end of the uptrend.
🔽 The critical trigger for entering a strong bearish momentum in this position would be a break below 34.49 in the RSI. If both this support and the 0.5 Fibonacci support are broken, it could lead to significant market panic.
👀 Conversely, if the price can rise above the 0.382 Fibonacci level and start a new bullish leg, breaking $29.21 could provide an excellent opportunity for a long position, even in spot markets.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier.
Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk.
I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight.
There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction.
DAILY
WEEKLY
TradeCityPro | STXUSDT Reached Weekly Support👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to analyze and review one of the popular cryptocurrency coins and Bitcoin's second layer and update our triggers
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, stx is one of the coins that started its upward trend before the start of 2024, which caused the formation of its ATH and new ceiling
You can also see one of the best weekly trends in this coin, which is that after each time we hit this support trend line, we rose and made a sharper move.
Also, when this trend line was broken, we made a pullback to it and as we had given the weekly exit trigger with a break of 1.299 in the previous analysis, after the break of the trigger of the trend line, we experienced a sharp decline and reached the support level of 0.796 and now we need to form a structure.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, but after the rejection of the important weekly resistance 2.745 and getting rejected, we started to correct the price and fall until this price correction turned into a trend change in the daily time frame
After forming the lower ceilings and floors, we reached important support and the trigger for the spot exit, which after the daily failure and pullback to that daily candle, engulfed the previous 3 candles and caused further decline, which led to us reaching the important support of 0.859
Currently, after hitting the support of 0.859 twice, our fall volume has not increased much and it can be said that the sellers do not intend to take the price below 0.859 for the time being, and this will cause us to go into the range and form a new structure. However, I will open a short with a failure of 0.859, but there is no buying at the moment.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
We suffered enough in the four-hour time frame and formed a structure and we are in a range box that we can take a position from both sides
📉 Short Position Trigger
For my short position I open a position with a break of 0.859 and accept the stop loss. Since it is an important support, I try to place my stop loss in a logical space and not make it small.
📈 Long Position Trigger
For the long position, we have two triggers, one risky and one somewhat certain. You can open a position with a break of 0.953 and 1.005, respectively. The difference is that with a break of 0.953, the possibility of a stop loss is higher, and with a break of 1.005, the possibility of losing the position is higher. I choose to take the stop loss myself.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
FET Building familar structureFET 8H chart--Same structure building as last time
BULLISH SCENARIO: from this range we continue up to the next "high traffic" area ($1.20-1.50). This would be a 50% move or so, def an area to take profit. If $1.20-1.50 gets flipped and holds, price should move up into the trendline.
BEARISH SCENARIO: Price rejects here and moves down to stophunt the FEB low around .60. This is where we should see a nice reaction to the upside.
Thanks for reading!
BTCUSD: Is it possible to reach 160k by May?Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.148, MACD = -503.300, ADX = 40.137), consolidating under the 1D MA50. This neutral state indicates that it is still a buy opportunity, as long as it stays under the 1D MA50. The similar consolidations (Rectangle patterns) of January 2024 and March 2023 indicate that when the 1D MA50 is reclaimed, Bitcoin gives a bullish breakout signal that targets the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. As you notice, thos phase since November 2022 are cyclical and replicate the price action over and over again. Go long, TP = 160,000 potentiall by end of April beginning of May.
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XRP Weekly Summary: February 15–21, 2025Welcome back to my weekly XRP roundup! As of February 21, 2025, the XRP market has been buzzing with activity, reflecting both its resilience and the broader crypto landscape’s volatility. Here’s what’s been happening with Ripple’s flagship cryptocurrency this week.
Price Action: A Rollercoaster Ride
XRP kicked off the week with a notable surge, climbing over 20% to hit $2.76 by midweek. This rally was a breath of fresh air for holders, fueled by whispers of regulatory clarity and renewed investor confidence. However, as Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies faced downward pressure, XRP cooled off slightly, trading around $2.50–$2.60 by Friday morning. Posts on X highlighted this pullback, noting resistance near all-time high volume-weighted average price (VWAP) levels, suggesting the market might be testing a critical ceiling. Despite the dip, XRP’s weekly gains remain impressive, hovering around 15–17% depending on the hour—a solid performance amid a shaky broader market. Or, if 15-17% doesn't impress you much in one week, you always have the alternative to put your money in a CD at your local bank for 4.7% per year.
Legal Winds Blow in Ripple’s Favor
The big story this week? Legal developments surrounding Ripple’s long-standing battle with the SEC. Sentiment on X and crypto news circles suggests growing optimism that the tides are turning. Speculation is rife that the SEC’s case could weaken further, especially with chatter about the agency acknowledging Grayscale’s XRP ETF filing. While no official resolution has dropped as of Friday morning, the narrative of “SEC overreach” is gaining traction, boosting XRP’s appeal as a “sleeping giant” ready to awaken. If these legal clouds clear, analysts see a path to $3 or higher in the near term—exciting times ahead!
ETF Hype Heats Up
Speaking of ETFs, the XRP ecosystem is abuzz with ETF-related developments. Multiple firms have been pushing XRP exchange-traded fund applications, and this week, the buzz intensified. The idea of a BlackRock-backed XRP ETF even popped up in some enthusiastic X posts—though it’s still speculative at this stage. The potential for an approved ETF continues to drive bullish sentiment, with analysts suggesting it could unlock a “liquidity cascade” and propel XRP past its previous all-time highs. For now, it’s a waiting game, but the anticipation is palpable.
Another Financial Institution Connects to the XRP Ledger
On February 19, 2025, Braza Group, an international payment firm with over 15 years in the banking sector, announced the launch of its BBRL stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. Braza Group, while not a traditional bank itself, is a BACEN (Central Bank of Brazil) interbank player, meaning it operates within Brazil’s regulated financial ecosystem and facilitates interbank transactions. The BBRL stablecoin, pegged to the Brazilian Real, aims to provide a secure and efficient digital transaction option for individuals and businesses, leveraging XRPL’s capabilities.
Making Closer Ties Where Its Important
Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple has been active in the public sphere recently, but the most notable events occurred earlier in February. On February 14, 2025, he shared on X about engaging with U.S. policymakers in Washington, D.C., including meetings with figures like Senator Tim Scott (Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee) and Representative Ritchie Torres. Photos from these meetings were posted, showing him alongside lawmakers such as Representatives William Timmons, Bill Huizenga, Bryan Steil, Zach Nunn, and French Hill. These discussions focused on advancing crypto regulatory clarity, but they fall just outside this week’s timeframe (February 15–21).
Market Sentiment and On-Chain Moves
On-chain data paints a picture of accumulation, with significant XRP outflows from exchanges reported earlier in the week—think tens of millions of dollars’ worth. This suggests big players might be stacking their bags, betting on a breakout. Meanwhile, X users are hyping up technical patterns like the “cup and handle,” hinting at a possible 18% jump to $3.30 if XRP clears key resistance around $2.82. The mood? Bullish, but cautious—everyone’s watching Bitcoin’s next move and the Fed’s hawkish stance for cues.
What’s Next?
As we wrap up this week, XRP stands at a crossroads. Will it smash through resistance and reclaim its glory above $3, or will market headwinds force a deeper correction? With legal clarity on the horizon, ETF speculation simmering, and strong community support, XRP is poised for a potentially historic moment. Stay tuned for next week’s update—we might just see fireworks!
ETH 1D Ethereum has been very disappointing so far this cycle, but the chart on the daily is beginning to look much better than it has in recent weeks. For me a key level is the $2780 area, acceptance above puts ETH back into the midsection off this rangebound environment with a look to reach the next key level at $3200. To get there the 1D 200 EMA will be the first area of obvious resistance around the big even level of $3000.
A rejection off the $2780 I could see a move to backfill the daily wick towards the local bottom, if that were the case it would be because BTC has rolled over and lost its $91K support.
SOLUSD Megaphone bottomed. $205 min and $340 max Targets.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern, which technically had the price bottomed on its Lower Lows 3 days ago. That bottom was also a 1D RSI oversold barrier (30.00) test, which is exactly where the December 22 2024 Low was priced.
Being below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural short-term Target is again the 1D MA50 at $205.00, similar to the January 03 test.
On the longer term, if SOL makes a 1W candle closing above the 1D MA50, we can resume buying and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone at $340, which is where the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is, exactly where the January 19 High was priced.
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Crypto Market Is Trying To Resume Its Bullish TrendBitcoin remains under intraday bullish pressure with room for more gains, especially if we consider that NASDAQ100 is still pointing higher. So, seems like risk-on sentiment is still here and we should be aware of a bigger recovery in the Crypto market, even because of the USdollar that shows strong bearish momentum. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart looks to have a completed wave (2) correction and it's actually just about to break channel resistance line which confirms that wave (3) is in progress. Can ALTcoins follow Bitcoin soon?
17/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,823.86
Last weeks low: $94,093.81
Midpoint: $96,458.84
Not a whole lot to comment on for this weekly outlook, we had a tighter weekly range last week ( EUROTLX:4K instead of $11K) however the midpoints were both $96K and both weeks started at their respective midpoints. For me this suggests a coiling of bitcoins price with anticipation for a larger move in a given direction, this could be either bullish or bearish we are yet to see.
Since last weeks CPI inflation print of a hotter than forecast 3.0%, a dollar that is finally rolling over and tariffs put on hold until April 1st, these factors should all play into the hands of the bulls but the chart needs to reflect this.
For this week I am anticipating more chop, if the pattern of tightening weekly ranges continues with no real idea of direction then the opportunity for credible trades reduces until we get an idea of trend direction. Right now there is no trend direction and so bitcoin should be treated as such.
Altcoins continue to suffer across the board and IMO this will not change until we see a bullish move in BTC. This environment is for short term traders as it stands.
IS THIS FINALLY THE END OF BREAKDOWN VINE TO THE MOON..IS THIS FINALLY THE END OF THE BREAKDOWN VINE TO THE MOON..
Vine did break down hugely.. but it still has possibles to return.. is this going to happen from this bottom?
We are going to follow it.
We expect there can come a moment when this vine will find the break up $0,06
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750).
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DOGEUSD Fibonacci Channel 'guarantees' rally to at least $1.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has held perfectly its 1W MA50 two weeks ago, rebounded and is now consolidating. This consolidation shouldn't last for too long as based on the previous Cycles, this 1W MA50 test was the new bottom the should lead to the final year (2025) rally.
As you can see, DOGE's historic pattern since its first trading day has been a Channel Up, which with the added element of the Fibonacci lines, only broke during the 2021 Top formation on its 1.5 Fib extension.
A key characteristic of the final year of each Bull Cycle is that after a 1W Golden Cross is formed, the price has always first hit the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) 2SD above (thin orange trend-line) and shortly after the MMB 3SD above (thin red trend-line).
So far the current Cycle had hit the MMB 2SD on its December High and based on the pace with which this Cycle is unfolding (the higher the cap the slower the pace), it is unlikely to see a MMB 3SD test shortly.
However the Fibonacci Channel along with the MMB gives in our opinion two Target levels for this final year of the Cycle, a fair one and an optimistic. The fair one is at $1.00, which would make a perfect test of both the MMB 3SD and the 1.0 Fib ext at the top of the Channel Up. The optimistic is at $3.5 (potentially even higher), which would be exactly on the 1.618 horizontal Fibonacci extension (still below the 1.5 Channel Fib), which was the January 2018 Cycle Top and of course was greatly exceeded during the May 2021 Cycle Top.
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Another attempt for the 101-102K bounceMorning folks,
So market stands in the narrow range for the 3rd week already and not leaving hopes to show the bounce up to 101-102K area. Last attempt (in the way of cup pattern that we've discussed last time) has failed.
We don't care about it because mostly stay focused on weekly bearish DRPO pattern. Thus, any bounce here we consider first as a chance to Sell. And only second as a possible upside continuation.
For now BTC is trying to make an another attempt and form reverse H&S pattern on 1H chart. So target remains the same 101-102K. We have no intention to go long right now. But, if you trade intraday or just search chances to buy - maybe be this setup might be useful to you.
Supposedly 96K is an area where decision on position taking has to be made.
I keep the "bearish" mark for this setup. But, as now as last time - the bounce to 101-102K area are not excluded.