BTC Warning Time .As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
Cryptocurrency
Can MicroStrategy Save Bitcoin's Destiny?MicroStrategy’s dramatic stock decline has become a bellwether for the broader digital asset market. As its share price plunges, the company’s deep ties to Bitcoin spotlight a precarious balance between corporate strategy and the volatility inherent in the crypto space. This unfolding scenario challenges investors to reconsider the intertwined fates of traditional finance and digital innovation.
The company’s approach to using Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve has been revolutionary and risky. Aggressive accumulation strategies, including debt financing and Bitcoin-backed loans, have magnified the impact of market fluctuations. With critical support levels now under threat, the risk of forced asset sales looms large—an event that could cascade through the crypto ecosystem and undermine confidence in digital currencies.
Amid these challenges, MicroStrategy is also pursuing bold financing initiatives to stabilize its operations. Plans to raise $21 billion through a preferred stock offering signal a dual objective: securing necessary capital and further investing in Bitcoin. This move reflects an ongoing commitment to a Bitcoin-centric strategy, even as recent transactions have resulted in significant unrealized losses.
In parallel, the cryptocurrency landscape faces unprecedented headwinds from regulatory pressures, geopolitical tensions, and emerging technological vulnerabilities. Financial professionals are compelled to balance risk with opportunity, rethinking investment strategies amid an environment where innovation meets uncertainty at every turn.
The looming threat of quantum computing adds another layer of complexity. As quantum technologies advance, their potential to break current cryptographic standards—on which Bitcoin’s security fundamentally relies—poses a significant risk. Should quantum computers overcome encryption protocols like SHA-256, the very foundation of blockchain technology could be compromised, forcing the industry to adopt quantum-resistant measures rapidly. This challenge not only underscores the volatility of the digital asset market but also inspires a deeper exploration into safeguarding the future of decentralized finance.
INJ Price Analysis: Key Zones & Reversal ScenariosHey everyone! 👋
Let's dive into this price chart and see what’s going on with INJ.
Overview:
We’re looking at INJ on a weekly timeframe , and there are some interesting levels to watch. The chart shows **three key zones** where price reactions might happen, marked with price levels. There are also areas of liquidity (LQ) , where the market might make a move before reversing direction.
Potential Reversal Scenarios:
Three possible price movements are shown with yellow arrows , each representing a different way the price might reverse. The second arrow is the primary scenario, suggesting that after sweeping at least one liquidity level, the price could bounce back up—especially if there’s solid volume and a strong candlestick pattern.
- Main Support Zone (3.84 - 4.84): This area is the most important. If the price reaches this zone and shows good volume and a strong candlestick pattern, it could signal a trend change.
- Other Support Zones (2.55 - 2.85 and 7.38 - 8.92): These are additional key levels. A drop below these could change the outlook.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP levels are marked on the chart. If the price reverses as expected, these targets may be reached.
Final Thoughts:
Nothing in crypto is guaranteed! Always look for confirmations like volume and candlestick patterns before making decisions. Stay informed, trade smart, and always do your own research! 📊💡
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that.
** The key 1W MA50 **
In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier.
** Symmetry playing out **
So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross.
** How high can it get? **
Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021.
So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Pullback to 85K for sellingMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan - nothing to change on major picture. We keep our bearish view on BTC and now consider 68-74K area as the next destination point. But this could take a few weeks.
In fact, previous 68K top also will be a big test. Downside break will open road to 52-55K. While if BTC will be able to stay in 70-80K range, it will keep long term bullish context. It should be interesting...
Meantime, BTC once again hits oversold areas as on weekly as on daily charts. As we promised - D. Trump verbal boost lasted just 2 days and was reversed down. We see some intention market manipulations from D. Trump administration but this is not the subject for this update.
In short-term - 2-3 days BTC needs to relief oversold pressure, so minor bounce is quite possible. For example, based on "222" pattern on 1H chart we could see attempt to bounce up from 79K and up to 84-85K area.
Those who wants to sell - that might be the chance.
For now I mark this update as bullish, because of suggested bounce. But our longer term view remains bearish still.
NOTUSDT Weekly Demand Zone: Potential Bullish Reversal at 0.0019This analysis focuses on Notcoin (NOTUSDT) on the Weekly timeframe , identifying a key demand zone that suggests a potential bullish reversal .
Based on chart observation, the price of NOTUSDT is approaching a critical demand zone located between 0.001971 and 0.001561 . This zone is anticipated to act as strong support, potentially marking a significant price low for the asset in the current market cycle.
The expectation is that within this demand zone , buyers will step in with sufficient volume , leading to a change in the current price trend and initiating a bullish reversal . The presence of proper volume upon entering this zone will be crucial to confirm the strength of the demand and the likelihood of a sustainable upward movement.
To illustrate the potential upside, Take Profit (TP) levels have been marked on the chart. These TP levels represent projected targets for the price following a successful bounce from the demand zone. Traders and investors should monitor price action closely as it interacts with this zone, looking for bullish confirmation signals such as:
Increased buying volume: A surge in volume as the price tests the demand zone would indicate strong buyer interest.
Bullish candlestick patterns: Formation of reversal candlestick patterns within the zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) could further validate the potential for an upward move.
In summary: This analysis suggests that the 0.001971 - 0.001561 zone presents a significant opportunity for a potential bullish reversal in NOTUSDT on the weekly timeframe. Closely monitoring price action and volume within this zone is recommended to identify potential long entry opportunities, targeting the marked Take Profit levels as the asset recovers.
march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis
💲💲 #BTC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #BTC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an instant strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
DXY (Dollar Index) and Pamp/Dump BTC. Markets Cycles.USA Dollar Index + Bitcoin Pamp/Dump Cycles. Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Minima and maxima of bitcoin secondary trends are shown. Everything is detailed and shown, including what everyone always wants to know. Cyclicality. Accuracy.
This is what it looks like on a line chart to illustrate simple things.
BITCOIN may take 1 month to form bottom but upside is huge.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the 1 stdev below following February's pullback.
With the 1day RSI rebounding after turning oversold, this reminds us of all the previous major Lows of the current Bull Cycle.
Those took around 1.5 - 2 months to be priced, so don't be susprised if Bitcoin doesn't rise before mid April.
The upside until the end of the year remains huge however and if it 'only' tests again the Mean MM, it can reach $140k.
If it approaches the 1 stdev above, the estimated value can be as high as $180k.
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LINKUSD: forming a bottom on the 1W MA100.Chainlink is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.039, MACD = -1.130, ADX = 24.859) as it posted a double rebound on its 1W MA100. The long term pattern is a Channel Up and its prior HL bottom was formed just under the 1W MA100. With the 1W RSI rebounding though from oversold levels, LINK is already a great buy opportunity in terms of Risk-Reward, even if the bottom takes the whole month of March to be completed. We expect a new bullish wave to take place around the same +300% range as the previous two. The trade is long, TP = 45.00.
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BTCUSD: Bottom formed. Road to $150k started.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.811, MACD = -265.000, ADX = 36.155) as it recovered some losses from last week. The most important outcome is that both last week and so far the current one, the 1W candle entered the long term Support Zone comprised of the 1W MA25/MA50 and rebounded over it. This is the Zone that has produced all HL bottoms of the 2 year Channel Up. As the 1W RSI is also about to enter its multiyear Buy Zone, we expect the bottom to be formed within 4-6 weeks max and then start the standard +97.97% rally it printed on all three prior bullish waves. The trade is long, TP = 150,000.
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BITCOIN Same bottom, different year.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has formed a Triangle pattern of Lower Highs (Resistance) and Higher Lows (Support), following the February 28 Low. The bullish confirmation will be given if the price breaks above its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) but this already looks like a Bottom formation, similar to the Triangle patterns formed around August 2024 and September 2023.
Those were the major bottoms (so far) of the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle and it won't be surprising at all if 2025 has its own now that will drive BTC to its eventual Top towards the end of the year.
Both rallies that followed the 2023 and 2024 Triangle break-outs, reached at least their 1.786 Fibonacci extension. As a result, this gives us a minimum medium-term Target of $120000 in the event the 4H MA200 breaks.
So do you think this is a standard Bull Cycle Triangle bottom formation? And if yes, is $120k the immediate Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Could Cardano Bulls "Raise The Flag" To $2??COINBASE:ADAUSD has some very interesting Price Action happening with the decline starting from beginning of December 2024 forming what looks to be a Descending Channel with the potential to become a Bull Flag!
With a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can expect a higher probability of a Bullish Break to this Channel to continue in the trend it was following prior to falling into this Consolidation Period.
Last week we saw a huge Bullish Candle form and Break the Channel after testing the March 2024 Highs, the 200 EMA @ .7719, along with the Linear Regression or "True Trendline" of the Descending Channel.
Other indicators suggest Bullishness as well with the RSI staying above 50 in Bullish Territory and we can see a large amount of Volume entering this Weekly Candle with 2 days and 19 hours left until Close at the time of publishing.
*If Cardano can continue to find Support and is able to make a Valid Bullish Break of this Channel, based off the "Flagpole" or Rally, prior to price falling into Consolidation, we can expect a potential 120% gain from the Break, potentially sending price up to test the overhead Resistance Zone in the ( $1.85 - $2.15 ) Range!
3/7 - The White House will be holding the very first U.S. Crypto Summit to make plans to start bringing cryptocurrency into a U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve
www.tradingview.com
Phemex Analysis #65: Pro Tips for Trading XRPIn the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, few narratives are as compelling as that of XRP ( PHEMEX:XRPUSDT.P ), the digital asset developed by Ripple Labs. Once mired in regulatory challenges, XRP is now entering an exciting phase, reshaping its path and sparking renewed discussions about its future potential.
Crypto Strategic Reserve
On March 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the creation of the U.S. "Crypto Strategic Reserve," aiming to position the United States as a leader in digital finance. XRP was among the select cryptocurrencies—including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano—chosen for this reserve. This announcement sent waves through the market, significantly boosting XRP's value and reaffirming its importance in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
White House Crypto Summit
Anticipation is building for the upcoming White House Crypto Summit on March 7, 2025. Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, along with other industry leaders, will discuss regulatory frameworks and the integration of cryptocurrencies into the broader financial system. This event is expected to provide insights that could influence XRP's adoption and market dynamics.
These developments mark a pivotal moment for XRP, highlighting Ripple’s evolution from controversy to prominence and underscoring the cryptocurrency’s growing significance in the financial sector.
Possible Scenarios for XRP Price Movement
1. Sustained Bullish Momentum
The inclusion of XRP in the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve has bolstered investor confidence. This endorsement may attract institutional investors, increasing demand and potentially driving XRP's price higher. If the White House Crypto Summit results in favorable regulatory outcomes, XRP could experience sustained bullish momentum.
Pro Tips:
Monitor Institutional Involvement and Regulatory Developments: Positive news in these areas can further fuel XRP's bullish momentum.
Key Resistance Levels: A breakout above $2.65 could signal a bullish run, with a move above $3.00 on high volume confirming this trend.
2. Profit-Taking and Short-Term Correction
After recent gains, some investors might take profits, leading to a short-term price correction. This is common following rapid price increases as traders seek to realize gains.
Pro Tips:
Identify Support Levels: Key support levels include $2.12, $1.95, $1.76, and $1.35, where buying interest may resume.
Consider Staggered Entries: To mitigate volatility, consider placing buy orders at various support levels. Utilizing Phemex's scaled orders feature can streamline this process.
3. Regulatory Uncertainty Leading to Volatility
While the summit aims to provide regulatory clarity, outcomes perceived negatively by the market could lead to increased volatility. Uncertainty in regulatory developments can cause rapid price fluctuations as investors react to new information.
Pro Tips:
Implement Risk Management Strategies: Use stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing to protect against adverse price movements.
Diversify Investments: Avoid overexposure to XRP by diversifying your cryptocurrency holdings to manage risk effectively.
Final Thoughts
XRP's inclusion in the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve and the upcoming White House Crypto Summit have positioned it at a critical juncture. Traders should stay vigilant, keeping informed about institutional developments and regulatory changes that could impact XRP's price. By considering the scenarios outlined above and implementing sound risk management practices, traders can navigate the evolving landscape of XRP trading with greater confidence.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis
Description
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+ The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100.
+ This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run.
+ In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range.
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