$POPCAT: Not Over Yet, $2 Incoming by Q2Low hit rate on this setup, as the largest liquidity pool is sitting below 40 cents, and it's a significant weekly block.
I'll be adding a small position around the 50-52 cent range, but I wouldn't be surprised if it dips to the lows at 46 cents before any meaningful reaction.
For me, the better bet is a weekly block below 35 cents. I’m placing bids here and will increase my bids if price deviates below the trend line.
$POPCAT isn’t dead, but I do agree that it’s currently undergoing a major retrace. BYBIT:POPCATUSDT
Cryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | MANAUSDT Potential Fake Breakout of Support👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze MANA, one of the metaverse-category altcoins in the cryptocurrency market. Recently, I’ve had a feeling that we might witness a fake breakout in the market.
Scroll Down to Check Out the Analytical Chart as Well!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, we start with Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe, which is currently in a calm state with no significant fluctuations, essentially ranging.
If the 104227 trigger breaks and a lower high is formed, you can open a scalping short position, but make sure to secure profits quickly. For long positions, I plan to open one after 106498, as Bitcoin dominance is likely to rise, making Bitcoin my primary focus.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly chart, MANA remains within a 200% range box, recently rejecting from the box's ceiling.
I’ve already bought some MANA, but my main trigger for significant buying is a breakout above 0.7638. I don’t pay much attention to fluctuations inside the range box. After breaking the box ceiling, MANA could easily yield up to 600% profits depending on token count and market cap.
If you’ve already bought within the range without sufficient momentum, consider setting your stop-loss below 0.2519. For re-entry, as mentioned earlier, wait for a breakout above 0.7638, where I’ve set my alerts.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, after breaking our daily trigger at 0.3390, which was also the box ceiling, we witnessed an impressive move, gaining 130% up to the box ceiling at 0.7833.
This demonstrates why it’s better to buy after a momentum-driven breakout rather than inside the range box. Post-breakout purchases often lead to faster profit realization and better stop-loss placement, even if the entry point is slightly delayed.
Currently, MANA is at a critical support level, correcting 50% of its impulsive wave, which is significant both in terms of Fibonacci retracement and Dow Theory, classifying it as a potential PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
For re-entry, a risky buy can be considered after 0.5782, while a safer buy opportunity lies after breaking 0.7833. It’s too early to exit or take profits now, and I wouldn’t act on a breakdown of 0.4614, except to open a short position.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, MANA is ranging at the 0.4614 key support, repeatedly testing this level without significant upward movement, indicating stronger selling pressure. However, if sellers fail to break this support, buyers may step in, potentially driving the price higher.
📉 Short Position Trigger
The short position trigger is straightforward: I will open a short position after breaking 0.4614. However, since I expect a fake breakout, I will secure profits quickly on any short positions.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Currently, there isn’t a clear long trigger. If a fake breakout occurs, I’ll look for opportunities to take a long position using my fake breakout strategy. Additionally, if higher highs and lows form, I’ll search for a reliable long trigger.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SUI at Key Support Zone – Potential Reversal Ahead!COINBASE:SUIUSD is currently trading within a significant support zone. This zone has previously triggered bullish reactions, making it a key area to watch for potential reversals.
If the price action shows clear signs of rejection, such as bullish engulfing candles or wicks indicating buying pressure, there is a high probability of a rebound. I anticipate the price could move upward toward the $4.4000 level as the next target.
TROY/USDT: Is the Market Ready for a Turnaround?Is This the Moment to Buy or Brace for More Drops?
TROY/USDT has been caught in a whirlwind lately, hovering just above its absolute low of 0.001869, set only hours ago. With the current price at 0.001922, the asset has rebounded slightly, marking a modest 2.8% climb from its lowest point. However, it remains a staggering -76.8% below its absolute high of 0.008272, recorded just 23 days ago.
Indicators reveal a mixed picture. The RSI14 currently sits at 33.6, signaling that the market is creeping out of oversold territory, while the MFI60 of 42.8 suggests there’s still room for increased buying pressure. Price action shows a series of sell-off patterns dominating recent sessions, including the "Increased Sell Volumes" pattern. This has left traders questioning whether the bottom is truly in.
Fascinatingly, some buy patterns like the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" hint at latent bullish energy. Could this signal the market's readiness to pivot upward? With moving averages such as the MA50 at 0.002069 and MA200 at 0.002331, TROY must first break key resistance at 0.001962 to build momentum.
This begs the critical question: Is this the calm before a reversal, or will bearish dominance drive new lows?
Stay tuned as we monitor whether bulls will step up to reclaim the narrative or if the sell-side momentum will drive prices to fresh lows. Let's trade smart and capitalize on these crucial levels!
Roadmap: TROY/USDT – Pattern Playbook for Recent Action
Step 1: Increased Sell Volumes – The Downward Warning (2025-01-25 00:00 UTC)
The roadmap begins with the “Increased Sell Volumes” pattern, signaling a clear sell direction. Price opened at 0.00196 and closed at 0.00187, firmly validating the bearish momentum. As expected, the low of this pattern (0.00187) was maintained in the subsequent pattern, confirming that sellers held control. The absence of an upward trigger point confirms this as a pivotal moment for short-term bears.
Step 2: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Bullish Rebound That Could (2025-01-25 00:00 UTC)
This pattern introduced a buy signal, hinting at potential recovery. The price low remained stable at 0.00187, while the high saw no meaningful breakthrough at 0.00196, capping bullish aspirations. Unfortunately, the lack of follow-through in subsequent patterns suggests this was a false dawn, making it skippable from active considerations.
Step 3: Buy Volumes Takeover – The Bullish Crossroad (2025-01-23 21:00 UTC)
Following a sharp drop, the “Buy Volumes Takeover” pattern flagged a shift to buy momentum, with a promising move from 0.002061 to 0.002024. The upward confirmation in subsequent patterns reinforced this bullish shift. Importantly, this pattern laid the groundwork for further upward tests, earning its place in the roadmap.
Step 4: VSA Manipulation Buy – The Critical Test (2025-01-20 13:00 UTC)
The market shifted gears with the introduction of this pivotal buy pattern. Starting at 0.002103, prices climbed to 0.002125, supported by a solid trigger at the low of 0.002082. This pattern was pivotal in defining the bullish breakout zone and remained validated by subsequent upward movement. It served as a major opportunity for long positions.
Step 5: Sell Volumes Max – A Bearish Comeback (2025-01-20 00:00 UTC)
As bulls attempted to solidify control, bears struck back with the “Sell Volumes Max” pattern. From an open at 0.002171, the price dropped to 0.002055, resetting market sentiment. The failure of subsequent patterns to breach higher highs validated the bearish dominance of this move.
Key Observations and Lessons for Traders
Trigger Points Matter: Successful patterns consistently respected their trigger levels, while failed patterns often lacked proper follow-through.
Main Direction Clarity: Each validated pattern aligned its main direction with subsequent price action, demonstrating the value of sticking to technical confirmations.
Context Is King: Patterns alone don’t guarantee success; interpreting them in context with recent highs, lows, and market sentiment was crucial.
Final Word
This roadmap serves as your cheat sheet for understanding TROY/USDT’s latest moves. By focusing on trigger points and validated patterns, traders can ride the waves with confidence. Stay sharp, keep your levels tight, and let the patterns guide the way!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Here’s the rundown of crucial support and resistance levels for TROY/USDT. Keep these in your toolkit – they’re your roadmap for potential moves. But remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll likely flip into resistance zones on the next test.
Support Levels
0.001922 – The current price level, sitting just above the absolute low. A failure here could spell deeper trouble for the bulls.
0.00187 – The all-time low. A make-or-break zone. If this cracks, expect bearish momentum to accelerate.
Resistance Levels
0.001962 – Immediate resistance. If the bulls can’t take this out, sellers might regain the upper hand quickly.
0.002155 – A mid-range level that could be the next test if the momentum builds.
0.002437 – Higher up, this zone would signal a shift toward more bullish control if broken.
0.002568 – Another step up, but it won’t come easy without a strong catalyst.
0.00283 – The top barrier, marking a significant psychological and structural resistance.
Powerful Support Levels
None identified – This underscores the fragility of the current price range. With no powerful support below, caution is key.
Powerful Resistance Levels
None identified – Resistance levels outlined above will be your focus for now.
If these levels don’t hold or break decisively, expect swift flips. As traders like to say: "Support turns resistance, and resistance becomes the ceiling that bulls have to punch through." Stay nimble, and watch the price action closely around these hotspots!
Concept of Rays: Precision Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Dynamics
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept brings a systematic, Fibonacci-based approach to analyzing price action. These dynamic levels are designed to capture the probabilities of price interaction, signaling either a reversal or continuation. Let’s dive into how traders can use these rays to enhance their strategies and target opportunities.
How Rays Work
Dynamic Fibonacci Rays: Each ray stems from the beginning of a price movement, representing natural angles of inclination.
Dynamic Adjustments: Rays adapt to new patterns, showing updated movement ranges and potential pivot points.
Interaction with Moving Averages: Combining rays with key moving averages (e.g., MA50, MA200) amplifies the precision of identifying trade opportunities.
These rays create zones of interaction, and once price moves beyond one ray, it often travels to the next, providing clear, actionable targets.
Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Step In
Price interacts with a Fibonacci ray and begins an upward movement, targeting the next levels. Supported by interaction with MA50 and MA200, the following trades are viable:
Entry: At 0.001962, after interaction with the lower Fibonacci ray.
First Target: 0.002155, aligning with the next ray and immediate resistance.
Second Target: 0.002437, mid-term resistance signaling continued bullish strength.
Third Target: 0.002568, testing a higher Fibonacci ray.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Take Charge
If price breaks below critical support levels and interacts with descending Fibonacci rays, the movement may extend lower:
Entry: At 0.001922, after failing to hold above the lower ray.
First Target: 0.00187, retesting the all-time low and Fibonacci support zone.
Second Target: Possible extension lower if volume increases, signaling continued bearish dominance.
Suggested Trades Based on Fibonacci Rays
Long from 0.001962 to 0.002155: Ideal for bulls looking for quick gains on ray interaction with MA50.
Short from 0.001922 to 0.00187: A straightforward bear trade targeting key support.
Long from 0.002155 to 0.002437: For breakout traders, leveraging momentum into the next ray zone.
Short from 0.002437 back to 0.002155: Profit-taking opportunity for mean-reversion strategies if momentum stalls.
These trades follow the principle that movement will continue between rays, with each level providing clear targets and decision points. As always, price action and volume at these key zones should confirm entries and exits.
This systematic approach ensures traders are aligned with the dynamic nature of the market, using Fibonacci rays and moving averages to guide precise entries and exits. Let the rays light your path to smarter trades!
Call to Action: Let’s Trade Smarter Together!
Traders, your thoughts and questions are always welcome—drop them right in the comments below! Whether it’s feedback on this analysis or an idea you’d like to explore further, I’m here to connect and discuss.
If you found this post helpful, don’t forget to Boost it and save it to track how the price plays out according to my markup. Watching levels in action is the key to mastering entry and exit strategies.
By the way, the rays and levels you see here are automatically plotted by my proprietary indicator-strategy. It’s available privately, so if you’d like access, feel free to reach out via direct message. Let’s talk about how it could work for you!
Have a specific asset in mind for analysis? I’m happy to create markups tailored to your needs. Some ideas I can share here for free, while others can be done privately if you prefer to keep them exclusive. Just let me know in the comments what you’re looking for, and I’ll see how I can help.
Rays work universally across all assets—crypto, stocks, forex, you name it. If there’s something you’d like me to map out, give this post a Boost and let me know in the comments.
Lastly, don’t miss out—follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my analyses and strategies. Together, we can navigate the market with confidence. Let’s trade safe and smart! 🚀
TradeCityPro | STXUSDT Sellers Final Attempt👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze one of my favorite coins, STX, which serves as Bitcoin's layer 2 and is currently in a better condition compared to other altcoins.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, before analyzing STX, we’ll take a quick look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Bitcoin bounced off the 102873 support, with its recent fluctuations caused by the Trump-related events and their accompanying market noise.
Bitcoin dominance continues to climb, and it’s likely we’ll see a new high along with bullish movement in Bitcoin dominance. It’s a good idea to either open long positions on Bitcoin or hold your existing long positions. Altcoins paired with Bitcoin that are showing bullish signs might also see upward movement.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, STX stands out as one of the most bullish coins in the market, alongside Solana, Doge, and Sui. This highlights the strong current position of this project.
The key resistance level is at 2.708, while the 3.696 ATH can be considered a fake breakout. For trading, it’s better to base your entries and positions on the 2.708 resistance.
The coin has been moving along an important supportive trendline that had multiple successful retests. However, this trendline has been broken, a pullback occurred, and the trendline trigger activated with the breakout at 1.299, which currently serves as a critical support.
This level is both a major weekly support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If broken, the price could drop further to 0.738.
For new entries, either wait for the 1.765 level in lower timeframes or the primary trigger at 2.708. Exiting below 1.299 in profit might be a smart move. If the price reclaims this box, you can re-enter. Although this strategy reduces the number of coins, it ensures no USD losses.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, the price is at the 1.355 significant support level, with lower highs and relatively flat lows forming a compression pattern and a trendline.
I won’t exit my spot holdings below 1.355, but I may take the risk of opening a short position after breaking this trigger. Part of the profits from this short position can be used to accumulate more STX coins for long-term holding.
For re-entry on the daily timeframe, momentum or a trend reversal is necessary. This could happen with a fake breakout of 1.355, which is a critical support level.
Buyers will likely make an effort to defend it. Alternatively, you can wait for the trendline breakout and the 1.674 level to open your spot positions with a risky stop-loss below 1.355. A breakout above RSI 50 can also serve as confirmation.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, the chart shows consolidation near the 1.355 critical support, oscillating within the 1.355 to 1.674 box, with sellers slightly stronger.
📉 Short Position Trigger
The short position trigger is clear. After breaking 1.355, I’ll open a short position. If the price moves closer to this level, I might also place a stop-sell order if bearish volume increases.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Long positions are trickier with this chart. For such positions, I’d either check other charts or wait for a higher high and low or a fake breakout of 1.355 before considering opening a long position.
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📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
BITCOIN will reach $1 million in 2041.Bitcoin / BTCUSD hit last month the once unthinkable benchmark of $100k.
It took 2 Cycles to do so since it reached the previous benchmark of 10k.
The log sequence of hitting those benchmarks started at $0.10. It took quarter (0.25) Cycle to go from 0.10 to $10, i.e. x100 jump.
The next x100 increase was from 10 to $1000 and it took BTC half (0.5) Cycle to do so.
Then we move to the x10 jumps, 1000 to $10000, which took it a perfect 1 Cycle.
We already discussed above 100k and the pattern is obvious. For each of those logarithic jumps, Bitcoin needs double the time, i.e. it doubles the previous Cycle expectancy.
This means that for the million dollar mark ($1million), it should take 4 Cycles to do so (2 Cycles it needed from 10k to 100k x 2).
This gives us a rough estimate for the end of 2041!
Realistic or not in your opinion?
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ENAUSD: Buy signal at the bottom of the Megaphone.Ethena just turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.814, MACD = -0.029, ADX = 25.505), which considering the +8% rise today, signifies the enormous upside potential of this coin. This is expected as the long term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone nonetheless. Each of the two HH formations on its top, where on the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. Buy and target the 4.0 Fib (TP = 2.4000).
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(SOL) solana - ATHThe all time high was reached for Solana and right now the price is retracing the previous break of an all time high. At $3000/SOL that would be a 10x gain from the ATH right now. Is the path of Solana into the future going to look similar to Ethereum one day? And if so, how much time will pass before the billions of dollars flow into Solana if the outcome is a continued growth pattern as we have already seen? Solana surpasses BNB, passes $100B mcap, and despite the loss of previous years most competitive programmers to other chains, the interest in meme tokens on SOL chain seems to sustain the interest. How is it possible the world is still fascinated by meme cryptocurrency more than any other sector? At the start of 2024 there was a simple note passed along by Coinbase that stated the Dog-meme frenzy was not going away so easily as a core of the cryptocurrency defi culture. By the end of 2024 a lot of other random memes were present on Coinbase. Average meme culture has sprung onto Coinbase, USA's main crypto exchange. The shift from adding Ethereum tokens to Coinbase became all about Solana tokens. What will the future bring during 2025? How much influence does Coinbase have over the sector of defi cryptocurrency investing? Is it time for Ethereum to reach a new ATH?
BITCOIN BULLISH SCENEBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is now in its consolidation phase making a symmetrical triangle bullish pattern. Taking its previous falling wedge pattern and double bottom, the potential upside target will be in the Fibonacci extension area at 127.2 and 161.8. This aligning with Trump's objectives to be the "first bitcoin president" where he promised that cryptocurrency would be central in his economic policies.
Feel free to share this analysis and comment on what do you guys think in the comment section!!
Disclaimer On!!!
Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context:
Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money.
Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000.
Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment.
Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario
Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements.
Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000.
Supporting Factors:
Strong futures/options participation (open interest).
Positive spot netflows (accumulation).
Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70).
Confidence Level: Medium (60%).
Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum.
2. Bearish Scenario
Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000).
Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000.
Supporting Factors:
Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry.
Increased selling pressure in spot netflows.
Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment).
Confidence Level: High (75%).
Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory.
3. Neutral Scenario
Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news.
Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000.
Supporting Factors:
Lower volatility as expiry approaches.
Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates).
Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%).
Key Indicators to Monitor:
Netflow Data:
Increased spot inflows → Bearish.
Increased spot outflows → Bullish.
Funding Rates:
Negative → Bearish.
Positive → Bullish.
Volume & Open Interest:
High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown.
News Impact:
Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals.
Trading Strategies:
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000.
Stop-loss: $105,000.
Targets: $108,000 and $110,000.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $104,000.
Stop-loss: $105,500.
Targets: $100,000 and $98,000.
Neutral Setup:
Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000.
This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
TRUMP COIN: An Objective PerspectiveA US President creating a meme coin just as he is inaugurated. That is something I never thought I would live to see.
Donald J Trump created a meme cryptocurrency coin called TRUMP. In a matter of hours since launched, this coin blasted sky high. TRUMP coin is now the 25th most valuable cryptocurrency coin with a value of around $8 billion USD, according to the website CoinMarketCap.
There are both positive and negative remarks surrounding the launch of this coin, but needless to say, there is massive hype around crypto at the moment.
In the video I go through my thoughts on the chart analysis, as well as personal opinion on what may possibly happen.
Trade safe out there, guys!
- R2F Trading
EOS at Key Support Level - Bullish Bounce ExpectedCOINBASE:EOSUSD has reached a significant support area that has previously attracted buying interest, resulting in bullish bounces. If the support level holds and a bullish confirmation emerges, I anticipate a move toward the 0.8641 level. However, if the support is broken, the bullish outlook will be invalidated, opening the door for further bearish momentum.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation of buyer strength before opening any trades. If this analysis resonates with you or you have a different perspective, feel free to discuss in the comments!
DOGE about to rally on Double Bottom Bullish Cross signalDogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 20 2024 bottom. A very distinct buy signal emerges every time the price makes a Double Bottom near the Higher Lows trend-line of the pattern and the 4H MACD forms two Bullish Crosses in a row.
As you can see, this has already happened two times, with the price reaching at least the 2.618 Fibonacci extension for a Higher High and this is the 3rd time within the Channel Up that we see this indicator combo.
As a result, we turn bullish short-term, targeting 0.43250 (Fib 2.618 ext).
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Onyxcoin (XCN) 10x gains - luckyI know I'm not the only one that missed the amazing 10x gains from Onyxcoin. Whoever did have some of this cryptocurrency before the price went up this month sure is feeling lucky right now. I'd be hard pressed to say another company will be close to this amount of gains for the entire year. Looks like the year is going to be looking at the history of this monumental occasion for XCN. As it were, despite the company losing practically all their value, there is still a believer in this company out there in the world.
xyo (XYO) Looks like XYO is falling underneath this line I drew to represent the first big candle at the end of the year. The lack of sustaining value from XYO holders is more than disappointing. It is like these people have not seen all these other cryptocurrency make money so long as the people don't panic sell from the first big candle.
jasmy (JASMY) - lines from before nowI logged in to see the coverage of lines I drew awhile ago. Looks like the price of jasmy is close to one of those lines. I wonder if the price will rebound. Not much else to say. My inclination to believe the price of jasmy would sustain itself was not aligned well with the amount of seduction people found from selling. typical scenarios of investment. I am really trying hard to find an investment that does not lose like this but I remain confident in Jasmy.
Polygon at Key Support Zone - Will It Bounce to 0.4700?COINBASE:MATICUSD has reached a significant support level that has previously attracted buying interest, often resulting in bullish recoveries. This level aligns with previous market reactions, highlighting its role as a key area to watch.
If the support holds and bullish confirmation emerges—such as bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks—a move toward the 0.4700 level is anticipated. However, if the support is broken, the bullish outlook could be invalidated, opening the door for further bearish momentum.
Traders should closely monitor this zone for signs of buyer strength before considering long positions. As always, risk management is essential to mitigate potential losses.
BITCOIN What if its Parabolic Growth isnt meant to last forever?Well you might have expected by reading the title that I meant the opposite, Bitcoin's parabolic growth to stop at some point.
Well even though that's likely, this multi year chart comparison with Nikkei shows that Parabolic Growths some times break to the upside to an even more 'maniacal' phase.
Hard to believe but Nikkei, the biggest most recent stock market bubble in history is a living example.
It was rising parabolically since the 1950s along with Japan's heavy industrial economy.
The heavy export country, reached a transition phase in the early 1980s with highly revolutionary tech companies exporting goods all over the globe.
The stock market broke above its parabolic curve exponentially in late 1983 - early 1984 and peaking on December 1989.
This may be what BTC's massive adoption may look like. A break above its established parabolic curve, which practically no one expects to ever break to the upside.
That will be Bitcoin's 'Mania Phase'. How long it can grow and what price it can reach (if it ever does of course) no one knows.
But what this comparison shows, is to keep an open mind and no matter how expensive Bitcoin may look at the current price, there is always the potential for (much) higher.
Every investor's portfolio should include at least a small portion (2-5%) of BTC for a decade-long horizon.
Previous chart:
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ADAUSD: Last consolidation before 5.50.Cardano is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.919, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 18.468) as it is trading around its 1D MA50. Basically it is consolidating since December 7th following November's incredible rally. The pump stopped on the HH trendline, which is holding for 2 years, since basically the bottom of the Bear Cycle. This is no different than the consolidation of December 2020, which was also around the 1D MA50, above the 1D MA200 and below the HH trendline.
Once this breaks, we espect a rally of similar proportions to November (TP = 5.500).
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BITCOIN We are nowhere near the Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1M time-frame is as straightforward as it can get. The message is clear: We are nowhere near the Top yet.
The LMACD flashes its Cycle Top signal when it tests the Lower Highs trend-line. If this happens to be above the Pi Cycle's Top (red trend-line), then we have a complete Sell Signal for the Cycle. This is expected to take place towards the end of this year.
Similarly, the bottom takes place below the Pi Cycle's Bottom (green trend-line) and is confirmed by a LMACD Bullish Cross. Those indicators are the Blueprint to BTC's Cycles.
Do you agree with this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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SOLANA 2025-2026 it can make a historical price action $1000Solana can break in the coming time up $300 and with time even to 1000 USD.
This update depends on the last trend of the coin.
we can't see the future, but the chance is high that SOL/USDT is able to break $300 USD soon.
We will follow it to see if it is going to happen soon the break to $300.
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position:
Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours.
Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000.
Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts.
2. Technical Indicators:
RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation.
MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum.
VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal.
3. On-Chain Insights:
Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity.
Open Interest:
Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B.
Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias.
Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment.
4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis:
Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation.
Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm.
Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment.
5. Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%)
Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure.
Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum.
Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%)
Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions).
Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%)
Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts.
Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction.
6. Trading Strategies:
Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management.
Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000.
7. Conclusion:
BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.