TradeCityPro | KSM: Ascending with Key Breakouts👋Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will review the KSM coin. This project is part of the Polkadot ecosystem and the analysis is conducted on a 4-hour timeframe.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Price Correction After Reaching Significant Resistance
In the 4-hour timeframe, after breaking the $22.17 level, the price executed a sharp and substantial uptrend, even managing to breach the resistance at $29.16 and reaching up to the $47.82 area.
🔍 After testing this area twice, the price entered a correction phase and dropped in two legs, first to $33.33 and then to $29.16. With a fake break of the $29.16 support, the bearish momentum in the market decreased, and currently, the price is forming a new structure.
📊 A very important note for the bullish trend is that during the entire correction phase, the volume of candles has been gradually decreasing, and it has now reached its lowest state. The approaching Christmas holidays have also undoubtedly influenced the decrease in volume, and the price may continue to range within this area until the end of the holidays.
🔽 If a third bearish leg occurs, the first trigger is $33.33, which we should wait to see how the price reacts to this area to define it more precisely and become a more reliable trigger. The next trigger is $29.16, which is a significant support. If the price stabilizes below this area, the next support will be at $22.17.
✨ A break below 40.20 in the RSI will aid the entry of bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of breaking future supports.
📈 Conversely, given the reduced market volume, the bullish momentum in the market remains active. If the trend continues, breaking above 40.58 will be the first trigger. Entering a position upon this trigger helps ensure peace of mind in case of breaking the $47.82 resistance or failing to do so, as the risk of opening the position is accepted beforehand.
✅ The bullish target upon breaking $47.82 is the $59.68 resistance, which will be the initial target of the movement. If this target is reached, I will update the analysis and specify new targets for you.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Cryptocurrency
ZRX ANALYSIS📊 #ZRX Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart and currently trading around its major support zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout
👀Current Price: $0.4695
🚀 Target Price: $0.5920
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ZRX price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ZRX #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
ALTSEASON Merry Christmas with the biggest Buy Signal out there!First let's start this post by wishing Merry Christmas to the whole community!
It's yet again the total crypto market cap (excluding the top 10 tokens) that we are looking at as this time we have the strongest possible buy signal on the 1M chart! The 1M MA20 (blue trend-line) has completed a cross above the 1M MA50 (orange trend-line). The last time this happened was during the previous Bull Cycle on the most symmetric time possible, December 2020. In the meantime, the 1M CCI was almost at the same level (around 180.00).
This sense of highly cyclical repetition, indicates that the following months could be as aggressive as January - May 2021 for the market, when it topped on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the Cycle bottom. If that feat is repeated, we look towards a 1.65 Trillion market cap in 2025. We can't be more bullish for an upcoming Altseason than that!
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Perfect startMorning folks,
Hopefully you had a great Xmas time... Today we do not have a lot to comment. Our view we've explained in previous update
Setup has started just perfect. Once upside AB-CD was done, the H&S starts. Now we consider two points - 89.5-90K, mostly because of Fib support and oversold on daily chart [ /b]
And the major one around 82K as a H&S downside target. 10-year yields are keep climbing with 4.75% target by our view. So the pressure on all dollar rivals will remain for some time.
Thus, no longs, if you've missed entry on top, no problems, you could try to step in on minor intraday pullback.
Phemex Analysis $46: How to Navigate BTC Crazy December?!PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P has been on a remarkable journey throughout December, marked by significant price volatility and dramatic shifts in market sentiment. After breaking the $100,000 milestone, BTC experienced a sharp drop to $90,600 on the same day (December 5th); only to gradually recover and reach a new all-time high of $108,452 by December 17th. However, following this surge and amidst the holiday season, the market has shown signs of slowing down. As we approach Christmas and New Year’s, many traders are taking profits or exiting their positions for festive celebrations, leading to a recent dip back towards the $90,000 area.
In light of these developments, it is crucial to analyze the current market conditions and evaluate potential trading strategies. By examining key support and resistance levels, we can identify several possible scenarios that may unfold in the coming days.
Possible Scenarios
1. Continued Consolidation:
BTC may continue to consolidate within the range of $108,000 and $88,700. This scenario suggests a period of sideways movement where price fluctuations are minimal.
Strategy: Traders can utilize a Neutral Grid Bot or Long Grid Bot to capitalize on small price movements within this range. This approach allows for profit generation from minor oscillations while minimizing risk exposure.
2. Temporary Retrace:
There is a possibility that BTC might experience a temporary retracement towards the $88,700 level or even drop further to around $86,170. Such a pullback could be triggered by profit-taking or shifts in market sentiment.
Strategy: Traders should remain vigilant for signs of support at these levels. If confirmed, it may present an opportunity to enter long positions at a lower price point.
3. Bullish Breakout:
Conversely, if positive news emerges—such as favorable regulatory developments or significant institutional investments—BTC could break above the $108,000 resistance level with high trading volume.
Strategy: A successful breakout could initiate a new bullish rally. Traders should look for entry points following the breakout confirmation, ideally with increased volume to validate the move.
Conclusion
The current landscape for Bitcoin presents multiple trading opportunities depending on how the market unfolds. Whether BTC consolidates, retraces, or breaks out will significantly influence trading strategies.
For those preferring stability, employing grid bots during consolidation may yield consistent returns. Conversely, traders anticipating volatility should prepare for potential retracements and bullish breakouts by setting appropriate stop-loss orders and entry points.
As always, staying updated on market news and technical indicators will be crucial in navigating these scenarios effectively.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
TradeCityPro | MATIC(POL) Fresh Look at MATIC During Christmas👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze POL, formerly known as MATIC, due to your frequent requests. 😊
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting, let’s take a look at Bitcoin. In the 1-hour timeframe, it is currently fluctuating below the 98807 resistance. This resistance has been tested multiple times, indicating a high probability of breaking through.
It seems likely that Bitcoin dominance will increase along with this potential upward movement. Therefore, it might be better to either
Open a position on Bitcoin itself, Look for altcoins that show a bullish trend against Bitcoin and take triggers to open positions, Just make sure to watch out for Bitcoin’s low volume.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
MATIC, which once ranked well in the market, is now underperforming. The repeated blockchain hacks have caused significant damage to its ecosystem, leading to the rebranding from MATIC to POL.
MATIC could have remained among the top 10 coins, but poor project management caused DeFi activities and TVL to shift to platforms like Solana, SUI, and Base.
Personally, I wouldn’t consider buying MATIC unless its DeFi ecosystem becomes active again. For those interested in purchasing, buying above 0.7629 could be an option, but only if the volume increases for both the coin and its chain.
If you have been holding MATIC for some time, I suggest selling below 0.3636 in the weekly timeframe. On lower timeframes, I can suggest other exit points. Alternatively, you can use DeFi platforms to create USDT liquidity using borrow & lend mechanisms.
Note that MATIC faked the 0.3636 support and rebounded with a bullish engulfing candle, creating a new upward move. Personally, I might become interested in this coin after 1.2457.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
After bouncing from 0.2922, MATIC had a solid upward movement. However, most coins experienced similar trends, so it cannot be said that MATIC outperformed.
If the price doesn’t drop below 0.4738, it can be considered a sign of gradual recovery. This level is significant both from a Dow Theory and Fibonacci perspective. If 0.5794 resistance isn’t broken and the price gets rejected, there is a high probability of losing the 0.4738 support.
I recommend selling your holdings if the 0.4738 level breaks and you have purchased at higher levels. However, if your entry was at 0.3623 or lower, you can continue holding and exit risk-free.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
MATIC is currently stuck below the 0.5316 resistance and fluctuates within the range of 0.4654 to 0.5316.
📈 Long Position Trigger
I would personally avoid this coin due to its low volume. However, after breaking 0.5316, you can open a risky long position if you’re comfortable with the risk. I’d still prefer to long Bitcoin instead.
📉 Short Position Trigger
given the weak condition of this coin, you can consider opening a short position below 0.4654. Keep in mind that your short trades should have quick profit-taking and small stop-losses to exit the market efficiently.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | GRT : Short-Term Uptrend with Volume Convergence👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In today’s analysis, I will review GRT for you. The Graph project is one of the key infrastructures of DeFi, with most projects like Uniswap and AAVE relying on this protocol for data extraction. This analysis is conducted in the daily timeframe.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Short-Term Uptrend with Volume Convergence
On the daily timeframe, the price was in an accumulation box and exited it after breaking above 0.2003. The strong buying volume has introduced upward momentum to the market.
🔍 Following the price increase and reaching the resistance at 0.3387, the coin corrected alongside Bitcoin and returned to the 0.2003 area.
✨ The price shadow touched the 0.618 Fibonacci level and, so far, has held well above 0.2003, forming a box between 0.618 and 0.382 Fibonacci levels. I believe if the price stabilizes above 0.382, it can resume its upward movement and potentially break the resistance at 0.3387.
📈 Breaking 0.3387 is considered a risky trigger for spot purchases but seems like an excellent trigger for futures trading. If the RSI stabilizes again above 57.36, the market momentum will remain bullish, increasing the likelihood of breaking this resistance.
🛒 The next resistance, representing the high wave cycle, is at 0.4574 and is a significant trigger. Breaking this level in both spot and futures trading could offer a great position. It is crucial for volume to increase and market momentum to turn bullish as the price approaches this area.
✅ The first target for the movement, upon breaking 0.4574, is the resistance at 0.7443, which is suitable for spot trading. For higher targets, I will update the analysis later as the price reaches this resistance to determine further targets based on market conditions.
🔽 If a deeper correction occurs and 0.2003 is broken, the bullish momentum will be completely lost. The price will need to form a new structure within the box between 0.1319 and 0.2003. Breaking below 0.1319 would signal bearish momentum in the market, presenting an opportunity for short positions.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BNB thesis investment BNB Trading Thesis: Opening a Long Position
📊 Current Price: $707.00
🔍 Confidence Level: 75%
📈 Action: OPEN LONG
🔒 Stop Loss: $695.00
🎯 Take Profit: $800.00
🚪 Exit Point: $750.00
🔗 Correlation with BTC: Neutral (0.00)
1. Market Overview
Binance Coin (BNB) is currently priced at $707.00, presenting a compelling opportunity for traders. With a 75% confidence level, the analysis suggests a favorable environment for initiating a long position.
2. Rationale for Opening a Long Position
Neutral Correlation with Bitcoin: BNB's neutral correlation with BTC (0.00) indicates that its price movements are independent of Bitcoin's volatility. This diversification can be advantageous in mitigating risk associated with Bitcoin's market fluctuations.
Technical Analysis: Recent price action shows strong support around the $700 mark, with upward momentum indicating potential for further gains. Key resistance levels suggest that a move towards $800 is achievable.
Fundamental Strengths: Binance continues to expand its ecosystem, introducing new services and partnerships that bolster BNB’s utility and demand. Increased adoption within the Binance Smart Chain (BSC) ecosystem can drive BNB’s value higher.
Market Sentiment: Positive sentiment driven by institutional interest and favorable regulatory developments supports the bullish outlook for BNB.
3. Risk Management
Stop Loss at $695.00: Positioned below a key support level to limit potential losses if the market moves against the trade. This provides a tight risk management strategy given the current price of $707.00.
Take Profit at $800.00: Targets a significant upside based on technical resistance levels and projected market growth, offering a substantial reward potential.
Exit Point at $750.00: Serves as a strategic point to secure profits or reassess the position if the market shows signs of slowing momentum before reaching the take profit level.
4. Position Sizing
Current Open Positions: With no existing long or short positions, the full capital allocation can be directed towards this trade without overlapping exposures.
Open Position Value: Starting with $0.00 allows for flexible capital deployment based on individual risk tolerance and portfolio size.
5. Conclusion
Given the 75% confidence level, neutral correlation with BTC, and robust support from both technical and fundamental factors, opening a long position on BNB at $707.00 with a stop loss at $695.00 and take profit at $800.00 is a strategically sound move. The exit point at $750.00 provides a balanced approach to securing profits while allowing for potential further gains.
📈 Trade Summary:
Entry: $707.00
Stop Loss: $695.00
Take Profit: $800.00
Exit Point: $750.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:1.42
🔮 Prediction Overview
With a 75% confidence level, the analysis suggests a bullish trend for BNB. Initiating a long position at the current price of $707.00 positions investors to potentially capitalize on upward momentum.
BTC LONG 25/12/24 - SHORT TERM VIEW This is a Bitcoin price chart with two potential upward price movement patterns marked.
Here’s a summary:
Current Price Level: The chart indicates Bitcoin is trading near $98,640, with resistance and support levels clearly marked.
First Pattern (Bullish Move): A potential price breakout towards the $102,650 level, continuing to the $105,230 level, following a bullish trend.
Second Pattern (Pullback and Recovery): A potential pullback near $95,770- 96,370 before rebounding and breaking higher to the same levels as the first pattern.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: $100,640, $102,640, and $105,230.
Support Levels: $96,370 and $95,770.
Structural Stop-Loss Level: $93,500 for all long trades, as indicated by the "VIEW FAILURE" note.
Technical Indicators:
The chart displays moving averages 10 & 20, showing convergence near the current price, which may indicate the possibility of a trend continuation.
This suggests a focus on potential upward movements while managing downside risk with a clear stop-loss level.
This is my view - Trade at your own risk !
Arbitrum | 1D analysis- Arbitrum Daily Timeframe Analysis with Fundamental Analysis
In addition to the pre-launch record of $4 billion in TVL , Arbitrum has a perfect future based on its data and activities !
- After the start and launch of the Arbitrum Nitro update, the price can increase by up to + $50 due to its scalability capabilities as well as the masterpiece architecture of the Nitro blockchain.
ETH/USD Main Trend Pamp/Dump Cycles. Accumulation/distributionThe time frame is 1 month. The graph is logarithmic. The main trend is almost entirely from May 2016 (the network was launched on July 30, 2015). Then the “hacking” story and a fork in ETC (initial) and ETH (more centralized).
A week later, ETH will become even more centralized and no longer a cryptocurrency (a true understanding of what a cryptocurrency is). In a year or two, there will be no cryptocurrencies left. No decentralization, complete centralization (substitution of concepts, to achieve the goal).
Coin in coinmarketcap: Ethereum (ETH)
The graph shows accumulation zones and distribution zones. These are not lows and highs. Notice how the percentage of the average of the smart money set and reset prices differs from the percentage of the maximum lows and highs that the “dumb money” is so chasing. Potential lows and highs may need to be considered, but the basic work should focus on average values of the accumulation and distribution.
Here's how this main (long-term trend) looks like on a line chart without “market noise”.
1 cycle of the secondary trend.
The accumulation zone after the distribution started at -92.69
Before the exit from the accumulation and the reversal, it reset at -69%.
It is up to you to use it or just watch from the side. You should always keep it in mind.
Linear chart (trend direction without market “noise”)
Note that the super reset of -69% before the trend reversal on the line chart is simply not visible. This is all local fear for capitulation of “weak hands”.
So at such times you can use it or watch from the sidelines if you feel you are the “weak link”.
Even larger scale between the two cycles.
cycle 2 of the secondary trend Now.
The cycle is now on a larger scale. Note that the price is now down from the high of -82%
Linear graph.
Local secondary trend work now ahead of Paris.
ETH/USD Secondary Trend (part). Pivot zones. Channel. Paris
XLM Falling Wedge Could Rise 135% to .95 On Bullish Break!Here I have COINBASE:XLMUSD on the Daily Chart.
Low - .089449
High - .63445
Since the High, Price has been forming a Falling Wedge where we see Price Retraced to the Golden Ratio Zone @ .31339 where it tested the Falling Support then to find more Support at the 50% Fibonacci Level to now be currently Testing the Falling Resistance!
If Price can generate a Bullish Break and continue finding Support, then I believe the prior 608% Price Increase we saw over November, could suggest a Potential 135% Price Increase to the .95 - $1 Area on a Bullish Break!!
Indicators:
-RSI Above 50
-BBTrend Printing Green Bars
-Bullish Volume Building
XRP Poised for Sideways Ahead of Potential Breakout (XRPUSDT)XRP seems likely to move sideways for another couple of months, forming a handle following the completion of a cup pattern. The appropriate point for the next significant move could be around the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone. Notably, XRP has already broken out on the monthly chart, adding further strength to its bullish potential.
TradeCityPro | RONUSDT Possible Market Movement During Christmas👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s examine another coin at the end of 2024, analyze its triggers, and set alarms to stay alert before the market moves.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, before starting the analysis, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Today, we had a good upward wave toward the 99079 resistance with strong volume, but the 1-hour candle got rejected, emphasizing the importance of this resistance.
As long as we stay above 96403, I will try to go long after breaking 99079 to follow the potential upward trend with lower risk. If Bitcoin dominance also turns red, I’ll use the 99079 trigger as a confirmation for altcoin trades.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, RONUSDT is one of the bullish coins in the market. It performed well in 2023, climbing from a low of 0.405 to a peak of 4.264 with strong green candles.
After forming this peak, it started its correction, and after touching 1.434, it created a support level. It briefly dipped below it, rebounded, and moved to the 2.305 resistance, which highlighted the importance of this level.
The higher low for 2024 at 1.434, which coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci level, suggests that if it breaks its peak at 4.264, we could target - 6.548 - 9.37 - 15.64
If you are holding this coin, I suggest taking profits and removing your initial capital. If the weekly candle closes below 1.434, sell your holdings. For those who don’t hold, 2.305 and 4.265 are great triggers.
🌞 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, after being rejected from the 2.354 resistance (the top of the range), it returned to the midline, where it created a good candle and bounced upward. If it moves toward 2.354, it may create a higher low.
After breaking 2.354, if you missed the entry, you can make a riskier buy based on the current low being formed and hold for the mid-term.
If you entered inside the range due to FOMO, I suggest exiting if the 1.353 support breaks. Don’t hold onto a coin emotionally.
⏰ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’ve finally formed a structure, and early triggers for movement can be identified. This setup is worth risking one stop-loss attempt.
📈 Long Position Trigger
after breaking 2.074, enter early with confirmation from volume increase, RSI breakout, and overbought conditions.
📉 Short Position Trigger
while I’m not focused on these, if a lower high forms or we get rejected at 2.074, the 1.827 trigger becomes significant for a risky short position. Remember to secure quick profits.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Cardano : On the Way to a New ATH👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will review the ADA coin for you. The Cardano project is one of the major projects in the crypto space and has been among the top 10 coins by market cap for a long time.
📅 Weekly Timeframe: Moving Towards ATH
In recent weeks, ADA has shown a strong upward trend, forming significant lows that serve as support levels for the price.
📈 Currently, the price is struggling with the resistance level at 1.2046, and if this level is broken, the next major resistance will be the ATH.
🧩 The RSI oscillator entered the overbought zone during the price pump, reaching 82.87, and is now in a corrective phase, moving below the overbought level.
📊 The buying volume in recent candles has been substantial, supporting the trend and showing convergence.
🔽 In case of a correction, the first support level is at 0.7683, which the price has already reacted to once. If a deeper correction occurs, the last support for this bullish leg is at 0.4322.
✅ The primary support levels are 0.3166 and 0.2427, which are critical and unlikely to be easily lost.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTC/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that after our previous analysis, the price surged to $108,400 before experiencing a sharp decline, correcting down to $92,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $93,800. If the price manages to stabilize above the $90,600 to $92,300 range, we could anticipate further growth for this cryptocurrency. This analysis will be updated.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
ALTCOINS Relentless alt season started after Christmas.This is the crypto total market cap excluding the top 10 of crypto and the 3 charts show the price action around the Christmas day of the last three Cycles. This is best to be kept simple. The months leading to Christmas are normally either correction or accumulation phases. What followed straight after Christmas in 2020 and 2016 was a relentless rally. Given that the altcoin market just tested the 1D MA50 and is rebounding, historically we can see a similarly aggressive rally as soon as January 1st 2025. Especially considering that the 1D RSI got bearish at 40.000 and rebounded immediately. The market can technically reach as high as 2 Trillion in capitalization during this run.
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HIVE ANALYSIS📊 #HIVE Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout and currently retesting the major resistance zone🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a confirmation of breakout
👀Current Price: $0.3480
🚀 Target Price: $0.4788
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #HIVE price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#HIVE #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
The ₿itcoin Strategic Playbook: Timing Crypto Market CyclesWhy 4 Years Matters: The Confluence of Cycles
Markets move in cycles: periods of growth and contraction, driven by psychology, supply/demand, and macroeconomic forces.
Two major cycles intersect in the cryptocurrency market:
Bitcoin Halving Cycle: A predictable event every 4 years, reducing Bitcoin's supply. Historically, prices surge in the months following.
US Election Cycle: Presidential elections occur every 4 years, influencing fiscal policy, monetary policy, and investor sentiment.
The strategy leverages the intersection of these cycles for precision timing.
Interplay Between Cycles
Historically, Bitcoin halving’s and US elections have occurred in the same year, creating a "perfect storm" for market volatility and opportunity.
Example: The 2020 halving coincided with the US election, followed by a historic bull market.
This alignment reflects how macroeconomic events can amplify crypto trends, rather than being purely coincidental.
Fundamentals Behind the Halving Cycle
What is Bitcoin Halving?
Bitcoin halving reduces the block reward miners receive by half, occurring approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years).
This built-in scarcity impacts Bitcoin’s supply, historically leading to price increases post-halving.
Why It Matters
Historical Trends:
2012: Halving triggered a bull run peaking in 2013.
2016: Halving triggered the 2017 bull market.
2020: Halving led to the 2021 price surge.
Each halving decreases new Bitcoin supply while demand continues to grow.
Altcoins: Following Bitcoin's Lead
Bitcoin’s dominance often peaks post-halving as it leads the market rally.
During the bull phase, altcoins typically follow Bitcoin's lead, offering higher growth potential.
The Role of Elections
Macroeconomic Impacts
Election years bring uncertainty about future policies, creating market volatility.
Policies on inflation, interest rates, and technology affect both traditional and crypto markets.
Why It Aligns with the Halving
The convergence of halving-induced optimism and election-driven uncertainty amplifies market movements.
Example: 2020 saw the halving, COVID-19 stimulus, and election uncertainty, setting the stage for Bitcoin’s explosive growth.
How the Strategy Plays Out
Start at the Bottom (Accumulation):
Look for signs of market capitulation (e.g., extreme fear in sentiment indices, low volume, prolonged price stagnation).
Use indicators like RSI divergence to identify oversold conditions.
Build positions gradually, focusing on projects with solid fundamentals.
Ride the Markup Phase (Bull):
Hold positions as prices rise, following the trend.
Adjust exposure based on market conditions but avoid selling too early.
Exit at the Top (Distribution):
Watch for euphoric sentiment (e.g., excessive media coverage, speculative mania).
Use tools like Fibonacci extensions, volume analysis, or the Fear & Greed Index to identify when to take profits.
Survive the Markdown Phase (Bear):
Avoid buying into dips during the crash.
Preserve capital for the next accumulation phase.
Source: Bitcoin Liquid Index: BNC:BLX