BITCOIN turns parabolic every time the ATH breaks.Bitcoin is testing March's ATH today and history has shown that when broken at this stage of the Cycle, the trend explodes parabolically upwards.
That was the case on the week of November 30th 2020 ATH test. The price pulled back next week but the one after it started an aggressive multi month rally to the 1.618 Fib.
This is the time to buy BTC again and potentially target 190000 by the end of 2025.
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Cryptocurrency
ETHUSD: 12 weeks of bottom formation finally over. 4900 is next.Ethereum has just turned bullish on 1D but remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.413, MACD = -97.490, ADX = 28.674) as the price is on the 12th straight week of consolidation inside the 1W MA50-MA200 range. This sideways trading is being performed at the bottom of the Channel Up that started in June 2022 and has already seen three major bullish waves. Once the 1W MA50, we will have confirmation that the 4th one is starting. When that happens, aim for no lower than the All Time High (TP = 4,900). The 1W RSI has already crossed over its MA.
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BTCUSD: Will it make new All Time High or get rejected?Bitcoin turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.973, MACD = 1675.300, ADX = 39.493) as it is on the 4th straight bullish day, approaching the 73,800 All Time High. The rise is being charged by the 1D Golden Cross formation two days ago and with the 1W time-frame still far from being overbought, we can see this bullish trend extending. If it breaks the ATH, we expect a slower ascend to 80,000 but if the price is rejected on the ATH level, we may see a new test of the 1D MA50 (TP = 67,500) so that the market tests the buying strength once more before breaking the ATH.
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MYRO Long Spot Trade (Structure Shift & Support Flip)Market Context: MYRO has reclaimed the $0.10 level, flipping former resistance into support and signaling a structure shift to the upside. This provides a solid entry zone with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio as the setup targets mid-range and higher levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $0.11
Take Profit:
First target: $0.16
Second target: $0.22
Third target: $0.26
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.09
This setup capitalizes on the structure shift with targets aligning with key levels. #MYRO #Crypto #Trading #SupportFlip
Is SUI the SOLANA killer?A lot of talk has been going around about Sui's (SUIUSD) long-term potential and many have gone as far as to compare it with Solana (SOLUSD), claiming it is a threat to the already established token. But is Sui really the new Solana?
We've made today's comparison for those people in an attempt to find any technical similarities between the two. The time-frame is 1W and as you can see, we compare Sui's price action from its start (May 2023) with SOL's from the first trading day back in April 2020.
As you can see, Sui has started off in quite similar fashion as Solana back in the day: initial correction, then big rally into a Bull Flag (dotted Channel Down). This gave Solana way to an even bigger rally, which after another Bull Flag, it peaked just above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension in early November 2021.
Sui is so far enjoying the first post Bull Flag rally, by making a new All Time High (ATH). Their 1W RSI sequences are also fairly similar. We expect the recent 2-week pull-back to resume the uptrend and as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds and continues to offer support, attempt to reach as high as possible within a 1-year time-frame.
If that's on the 2.618 Fib, as Solana did, then look towards a $40.00 Target. Now would that make Sui the Solana killer? No, but it will be interesting to see if it will indeed follow in its footsteps.
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BTC broke out of rising wedge pattern! BTC broke out of rising wedge pattern ; In this technical analysis, Fibonacci retracements of price and time were used to compare the strength of buyers and sellers. As we can see, after an impulsive wave where BTC's price increased to 73,600 over 182 days, it corrected by only 50% over the next 182 days. This means that the market has given sellers as much time as it did buyers, but their strength was half of that of the buyers over the same period. With this description, we can expect the end of the corrective wave and the start of a new impulsive wave, but before that, the previous high of 73,600 must be broken to confidently enter a long trade. Also, the 70,000 level is an important area for BTC; if BTC can hold this area, the likelihood of its rise will increase significantly. This analysis will be updated in the coming days.
BTC/USD : new ATH is on the way ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart in the weekly timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, when the price was trading around $66,500, I expected Bitcoin to find support at this level and continue rising, which is exactly what happened. Bitcoin has now gained over 5%, reaching $68,500.
We’ll have to see if the price can hold above $69,000 in the next two weeks. If it does, we could potentially witness another rally and a new high above $74,000. This analysis will be updated as the situation progresses!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Phemex Analysis #32: BTC to $70,000 Amidst US Election VolatilitPHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P has surged past the $70,000 mark and is now testing the formidable $72,000 resistance level. This bullish momentum has ignited excitement among crypto enthusiasts, but the looming US Presidential Election adds an element of uncertainty to the market.
Potential Scenarios
1. Bullish Continuation:
If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $72,000 resistance level, it could trigger a significant upward movement.Strong buying pressure and positive sentiment could propel the price to new all-time highs. A clear and decisive victory for Donald Trump in the US Presidential Election could further fuel bullish momentum.
2. Bearish Reversal:
If Bitcoin fails to break through the $72,000 resistance level and encounters strong selling pressure, it could lead to a price correction.
A highly contested or uncertain election outcome could create volatility and risk aversion among investors, potentially leading to a sell-off.
Trading Strategies
I. Bullish Strategy:
Buy the Breakout: If Bitcoin breaks above the $72,000 resistance with strong volume, consider buying.
Take Profit: Set a take-profit target at a higher resistance level, such as $80,000.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order below a key support level, like $65,000, to limit potential losses.
II. Bearish Strategy:
Short Sell: If Bitcoin fails to break above the $72,000 resistance and starts to decline, consider short-selling.
Take Profit: Set a take-profit target at a lower support level, such as $65,000 or $58,900.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the $73,850 (all-time high) resistance level to limit potential losses.
III. Buy the Dip Strategy:
If Bitcoin experiences a correction during a bearish scenario and you maintain a long-term bullish outlook, consider buying the dip at key support levels like $65,000 or $58,900.
Short-Term Profit: For short-term gains, you can take profit at $72,000 or $73,850.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at the next support level. For example, if you enter at $65,000, consider placing a stop-loss below $58,900.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge and the upcoming US Presidential Election have created a dynamic market environment. While the potential for further upside exists, it's crucial to remain cautious and manage risk effectively. By carefully analyzing market trends, understanding key support and resistance levels, and implementing appropriate trading strategies, investors can navigate the volatility and capitalize on potential opportunities.
Tips:
Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
BITCOIN All indicators aligned for an incredible 12-month rallyBitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its 7-month Bearish Megaphone pattern, which was essentially the pattern that absorbed via a relief pull-back the incredible rally that the market had since October 2023, fueled at large by the ETF speculation and then launch.
** Bearish Megaphones inside 7-year Channel Up **
This pattern is, as you can see, part of a greater 7-year Channel Up that encompasses the last two Cycles of BTC. Halfway through the 2018 - 2021 Cycle, the market also had a Bearish Megaphone, a little larger, lasting for 12 months before the price broke above it.
** The importance of the 1W MA50 **
That bullish break-out came when the price regained the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and until the Cycle Top, it was never compromised again. In an amazing display of Cycle symmetry, Bitcoin is also being supported by the 1W MA50 right now (has been since the March 13 2023 weekly candle), in fact it was successfully tested and held 3 times since August 05 2024.
** MACD Bullish Cross **
The Megaphone break-out and the 1W MA50 support aren't the only bullish indicators that point to a heavy price increase next. Perhaps the most important of all is the (L) MACD Bullish Cross on, also on the 1W time-frame, the first such formation in a whole year (since October 23 2023). This is a huge development as it comes after 7 months of non-bullish price action, indicating a shift in trend.
** Can the top be at $200k or above? **
When all those indicators were aligned in mid 2020, BTC kick started the 2nd, final and most aggressive Rally of its Cycle. It was +65% stronger than the 1st Rally. As a result, we may experience in the next 12 months a rally of +615% (65% greater than the +373% 1st Rally).
But if this seems too great without a catalyst like the ETF launch was in January, even if BTC replicates the bullish price action of November 2022 - March 2024, it will still hit the $200k mark. What history has shown at least, is that we can stay bullish, until a 1W candle closes below the 1W MA50, whether that's at 100k, 150k or 200k and above.
So what do you think about this triple bullish combo? Is it enough to initiate a 12-month rally? And if so, what is your target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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69.3-69.5K is a key to the next directionMorning folks,
So, last time we said to not hurry up with the new long entry and then BTC has re-tested our 65.5K support area where we got nice long entry earlier.
At first glance BTC looks nice bullish performance, but it is clearly slowing. D. Trump crypto programme has done its job and totally priced-in. Its impact is exhausting. If D. Trump will take the office we could get jump in a moment, but it mostly will be a psychological reaction.
Now we would say that both directions have approx. similar chances. We have bullish and bearish patterns on different time scales. Thus, we suggest that 69.3-69.50K area will be the key to the next stop.
Upside breakout will lead BTC to action above 70K+ while "222" Sell, if it will work, probably will trigger deeper downside retracement.
So, make your bets with this issue in mind.
BTCUSDT BREAKOUT OR REJECTION?🔹 Current Situation:
Bitcoin is once again testing the top of its long-standing channel, currently around $69,000. Here are the two primary scenarios to monitor:
🔹 Bullish Breakout Path:
If BTC successfully breaks through the channel top and clears the previous high of $69,600, it may initiate a move toward the $71,000–$72,000 zone. The expected sequence in this scenario is:
Initial test of the $69,600 high
Retest of the channel top as support
Strong rally toward the $71,000–$72,000 target zone
🔹 Bearish Breakdown Path:
On the downside, a break below $67,500 could signal weakness and shift momentum towards a deeper decline. In this case:
First Target: $63,700
🔹 Divergences:
Bearish divergences are forming across multiple timeframes, suggesting potential downside pressure if a breakout fails.
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice! All information provided is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trading carries a high risk and may result in the loss of capital.
BITCOIN is the KING and upward movement is highly expected!Technical analysis and trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
72,198.87 USDT
68,556.87 USDT
64,591.15 USDT
Support Levels:
66,333.98 USDT
61,758.48 USDT
60,301.68 USDT
56,902.49 USDT
The key levels indicate potential areas where price action could face resistance or find support, which might serve as entry or exit points.
Indicators:
Wave Cipher Divergences:
Wave Cipher shows divergences suggesting a possible upward momentum. Positive divergences with green dots could imply bullish continuation.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI currently reads 55.19, indicating a neutral zone, leaning slightly bullish if it moves towards 60. This suggests Bitcoin isn't overbought or oversold and could continue a gradual trend.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic shows a value around 70.52, close to the overbought region (above 80). If it breaks further upward, it may signal an overbought state, potentially leading to a correction.
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
HMA appears to trend slightly downwards, showing a bearish trend in the short term. The value of -6.58 indicates a bearish momentum, which may warn of a potential short-term pullback before any significant uptrend resumes.
Price Action:
The chart shows a potential breakout attempt around the 66,333.98 USDT level, where price action previously tested and retraced. A consolidation near this level could suggest that bulls are preparing for an upward push, especially if price breaks above 68,556.87 USDT.
Volume Analysis:
Volume shows a steady, moderate increase, supporting the upward trend. This moderate volume increase without large spikes could imply gradual accumulation rather than distribution.
Trading Plan
Long Position (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks and holds above the 68,556.87 USDT resistance level with volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the 66,333.98 USDT support level to mitigate risk in case of a false breakout.
Targets:
Target 1: 72,198.87 USDT — aligns with a strong resistance level and provides a conservative target.
Target 2: 75,553.67 USDT — the next significant resistance level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Short Position (Bearish Scenario)
Entry: Consider shorting if the price fails to hold above 66,333.98 USDT and shows bearish confirmation, such as a breakdown with high volume.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above 68,556.87 USDT to avoid risks from potential false breakdowns.
Targets:
Target 1: 61,758.48 USDT — a nearby support level that provides a logical take-profit point.
Target 2: 60,301.68 USDT — serves as a secondary target if the bearish trend strengthens.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to resistance and support levels, using a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or higher is advisable to maintain favorable trade setups.
Monitor Divergences: Keep an eye on divergences in the Wave Cipher, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator for potential trend reversals or continuations.
News and Market Sentiment: Be mindful of broader market sentiment and news events, as these can influence Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly near key levels.
This trading plan provides a structured approach to capitalize on potential breakouts or breakdowns, balancing both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Targeting $20: RUNE’s Path to SuccessI had to create another post on RUNE because the last one got super messy with the entries at $3.23. CRYPTOCAP:RUNE
I wanted to highlight the strength it will have once it pushes above the moving average and starts printing blue candles. The last time it did that, it pulled a 7x, and this time I’m aiming for $20 as my first target.
The weekly chart is also active and could go berserk if it manages to close above the moving average and stay there.
I’m adding on dips and holding until BTC peaks around October next year... hopefully! www.tradingview.com
BTC at 70k don't worries me, the real challenge is at this levelBitcoin continues fluctuating below 70k.
As we mentioned in last week’s analysis, it doesn’t surprise me that Bitcoin crosses 70k; the real challenge is for BTC to surpass $71,890.
If you look at the overall structure, the price made a very significant historic move in MAY and JUNE, which I’ll label as PIVOT 1 and PIVOT 2 (see chart).
To me, that area presents a real challenge to surpass because I detect a lot of institutional liquidity there, so we need to stay alert once the price crosses 70k and reaches this level.
For now, the price has managed to create two candles with strong buying pressure, so I think Bitcoin will have a few good days, but it will continue to fluctuate below 70k until we see solid buying volume.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards!
SasanSeifi| Will the $185 Resistance Break? Hey there, ✌In the weekly timeframe, as shown in the chart BINANCE:SOLUSDT , the price, after a prolonged consolidation phase, surged from the $30 price range with a notable upward trend, reaching as high as $200. This significant bullish movement stalled upon encountering the $200 supply zone, leading to a correction and a phase of price fluctuation.
Currently, after testing the bearish order block level twice and failing to break through, the price is once again approaching this critical area. If we witness a breakout above the $185 level with weekly candle closures above it, the price could continue its upward momentum, potentially reaching higher levels such as $218 to $240. In this scenario, monitoring price reactions to these key levels can provide a better understanding of future price movements.
On the other hand, if the price fails to break through the $185 level, and we receive a SELL confirmation in lower timeframes, there is a possibility of a pullback towards lower ranges like $140 to $120, which could be accompanied by further corrections.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
ATCryptoScan : BTSUSD at that time againLooking back at the BTCUSD weekly charts, there appears to be similar, if not the same, technical conditions before the start of a massive BTCUSD rally.
Marked out by time lines, the Green lines are the most similar to current (yellow), and the orange has only a differing VolDiv. All are breakout points and appears to be great accumulation start points for the next year or two.
Just weeks ago, a similar technical set up was made, and today is a couple of weeks after...
Clear correlation here, so we know what the most probable for the next year going forward...
Bullish BTC
Gold Out LookAs we had a rally upward last week and got tons of Profits following Technicals as well as this week is concerned still bullish in GOLD
Confluences
Price is following a bullish channel and show some rejection from channel last week
50 SMA on H1 is also bullish
From Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 to M30 to M15 gold is all bullish
Geopolitical situations are also in favour of Gold price as Iran and Israel tension has escalated last week closing we can see a rally upwards
So gold is bullish and we are too bullish on Gold if Price breaks above 2752 level of previous ATH it will go bullish to its physiological level
LTC 50/100 SMA Cross Bullish SignalLTC recently had the daily chart 50 and 100 sma cross. This is a bullish signal for the price action. Volume is declining as the price makes higher lows on a rising support. Stochastic rsi is 40. Target for the trade would be the previous swing high marked in a rectangle.
Not financial Advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
DreamAnalysis | REN Futures Key Triggers and Levels✨ Welcome to today’s analysis! Today, I’ll be reviewing REN and identifying crucial futures trading triggers for this coin. We’ll start with the daily timeframe and then move to the 4-hour timeframe for more detailed insights.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
In the daily timeframe, REN has been in a prolonged downtrend since hitting resistance at $0.11457, a decline that has continued for almost 200 days. Currently, the price is at the $0.03268 support, which is the most critical level for this coin. Although this support is robust, repeated encounters with this level have gradually weakened it, having already been tested four times in this cycle.
🔽 If this support fails, the price may move to the next support level at $0.02839. This is the last major support, and a loss here would likely lead to sharp, deep drops on the chart.
🔼 If the price rebounds from support, the first long trigger will be a break above the trendline and $0.03924, followed by a second trigger at $0.04436. Both are risky triggers, so I rely on volume and RSI confirmation before entering positions. (While volume and RSI are essential in all trades, they are even more critical in higher-risk positions.)
📊 Currently, volume is stagnating, showing no clear momentum. If $0.03268 breaks, high selling volume will confirm the breakout; otherwise, it could likely be a false break. For a long position, a strong increase in buying volume is necessary to change the trend.
📈 The primary long trigger is a break above $0.05437, a significant support level for this coin, which can also serve as a spot buy trigger. An RSI break above 58.61 would indicate a bullish momentum. Spot targets include resistance levels at $0.08088 and $0.11457.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In this timeframe, we can refine the $0.03268 support to $0.03385, where a breakdown has already occurred, followed by a potential pullback. If the pullback confirms and the price sets a lower high, the support breakdown will be valid, setting $0.02839 as the next target.
📉 One noteworthy detail in this downtrend is that volume is decreasing; however, as today is Saturday, reduced volume is typical across markets, so it’s not necessarily a sign of weakness. Additionally, RSI is near the 30 mark, and a break below could introduce bearish momentum, pushing the price toward the next target if the pullback confirms.
📈 However, if this breakdown proves false and the price reenters the $0.03385 to $0.03963 box, it indicates that buyers have stepped in, pushing the price back up despite the support break. In that case, we can anticipate a bullish move, and a break above the $0.03963 resistance could be a long trigger. A riskier long trigger would be a break above the 50 line in RSI, along with a higher high in Dow Theory. All of these triggers will only be valid if the price reverses the downtrend and reenters the box.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
Bitcoin Still Targeting New ATHHey there,
Just wanted to share an update on Bitcoin. Since March 2024, it has been trading within a 30% range, showing significant consolidation. I'm leaning bullish because Bitcoin has left a lot of untouched liquidity behind, and I believe it's only a matter of time before we break the all-time high.
If you've been trading the long side swings, you've likely taken profits from previous order blocks. Interestingly, most traders are ready to go long on Bitcoin above $70,000 instead of taking positions within the current range (if we break immediatly, I would also long it on my Futures Account). Personally, I'll be looking to catch two separate spot buys with different position sizes if the market breaks down. It would be great to see a new low for a better risk-reward ratio.
Best regards
[C&H] TRON is creating base for move up higherKRAKEN:TRXUSD seem to have broken out of a cup and handle pattern and in process of retest/consolidation. It might retest the breakout zone around 0.143 before a move up higher. Note that all time highest close (higher green line) would likely act as resistance but if we manage to break past it then we should see 0.41 levels as per the height of C&H pattern.
From Elliott wave perspective though, it looks much more bullish with a potential target of 1.12 in medium term. Will share the counts in a separate post.
Countdown to December: KASPA’s Potential Key Entry!It makes sense for this price trajectory to be fulfilled by December. It would be a great opportunity for those who missed the entire run in 2023—I only caught a small portion of it myself.
Regardless, I’ll start adding to a position type trade below 11c. If it reclaims 14c before moving lower, I may consider a deviation entry.
So, we have two scenarios now. It’s time to wait and see which one triggers first.
CRYPTOCAP:KAS