The new ALTSEASON is starting. Will you miss the train?We see many indicators both technical and fundamental this week that point out the alt coin market may be on the verge of a price explosion, what we most commonly refer to as 'Altseason'. So far on this Cycle we've had the 1st from June 2023 to March 2024. The 2nd however that completes the Bull Cycle, tends to be more aggressive.
On this chart we view the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding the Top 10 on the 2W time-frame. As you can see, the price found support on the MA50 (blue trend-line) for 4 consecutive candles and now with higher closings, looks ready to make the decisive break-out.
Relative to the previous two Cycles, it appears that we are on the exact part on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, where both final Parabolic Rallies (altseason) started. The RSI and MACD in particular showcase significant resemblance with December 2016. A MACD Bullish Cross, is the only indicator left to confirm the rally.
Since both of those historic rallies reached at least the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, there is no reason yet to expect otherwise. As a result, a 3T target towards the end of 2025 appears to be feasible.
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Cryptocurrency
FETUSD on the Channel Up bottom. Buy opportunity.The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FETUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 bottom. The price is currently at the bottom of the Channel Up and around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), where the last Higher Low was priced (September 06).
The proper Support is offered by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), marginally below. This price action appears to be an attempt to form the new bottom, but since the previous two Bullish Legs were confirmed upon a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, you may wait for such confirmation.
The Target is at least 2.000 (proportional % rise compared to the previous Bullish Legs. Since however the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) provided the last rejection on the September 25 Higher High and is essentially holding as Resistance since June 27, you may wait until this breaks (candle closing above it) and then commit to a long. Trade based on your risk appetite.
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BNBBTC Get ready for BNB's ride.BNBBTC is consolidating between the 1week MA50 and 1week MA100.
Once the 1week MA100 breaks, we expect the Cycle's massice rally to start, where BNB aggressively outperforms BTC in gains, similar to Jan - May 2021.
We expect a new All Time High April 2025.
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ALTSEASON is starting. Pick your alts!This chart shows the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC on the 1week time frame.
We are at the part of the Cycle where, after a very long accumulation, the market posted its usual Bull Flag that historically precedes the final 1 year rally.
Get ready for aggressive gains on alt coins.
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BTC Testing Bull Flag Resistance at $68,000Market Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently testing the upper resistance level of its bull flag formation around $68,000.
Recent price action shows a higher high compared to the previous highs from late September and August, confirming a bullish trend on higher time frames.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $68,000 (bull flag top)
Target: $70,000 (next psychological level)
Outlook:
Given the upward momentum, BTC is likely to consolidate in the $68,000 range for a few days before attempting a breakout.
A successful move above this resistance could pave the way for a test of the $70,000 level.
#BTC #Bitcoin #PriceAnalysis #BullFlag #CryptoMarket
INJUSD: Highly important 1D MA200 test.Injective is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.838, MACD = 0.426, ADX = 17.060) as it is trading between the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50. The 1D MA200 is more important right now as it got hit today but the priced immediately pulled back. This is the 4th failed test (so far) it had since April and failure to overcome it, should technically result in a strong rejection. Since however the price is rising after the August 5th bottom, we believe it is time to finally break. Wait until it closes over the 1D MA200 and buy, aiming for the 0.618 Fib (TP = 31.000).
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Bitcoin Analysis: The Lunar Influence and Price TargetsAs of the latest data, Bitcoin began its ascent at exactly 16:00 Dubai time , coinciding with the formation of the full moon. Is this a coincidence? Absolutely not! The correlation between Bitcoin and moon phases is a pattern observed by seasoned analysts. Historically, after every full moon, Bitcoin has shown bullish momentum lasting 3 to 4 days on average.
At present, Bitcoin is hovering around the $67,000 mark, showing strength in its recent movements. The major support level stands firmly at $56,800 , a critical point that has held over several market cycles. On the upside, we are focusing on the major resistance at $69,329, a level that we believe could be broken this week. If this resistance breaks with confirmation, a slight rejection might occur, but the continuation of the upward momentum is highly probable.
Our first target lies within the golden zone, ranging from $75,008 to $76,747 , where we expect Bitcoin to consolidate before potentially pushing higher.
The moon phase phenomenon has drawn attention from both technical and scientific communities, as similar market movements have been recorded in the past. Many traders and analysts follow this lunar cycle to align their strategies with Bitcoin’s behavioral trends. With Bitcoin’s price behavior showing such predictability, it reinforces the importance of alternative analysis techniques that integrate both natural cycles and traditional technical indicators.
Supporting Media and Insights
Lunar Phase Correlation with Market Trends: Research papers and market reports suggest a pattern in price movements aligning with lunar cycles, particularly full and new moons. These natural events seem to trigger psychological market responses, possibly rooted in historical trader sentiment or behavioral finance models.
Crypto Sentiment Studies: Numerous media sources have reported on Bitcoin's uncanny alignment with natural cycles, especially after full moons. Bitcoin tends to rally within days following these phases, often igniting bullish sentiment across crypto communities and news outlets. Analysts point to multiple instances where moon phases triggered temporary, yet significant, market boosts.
Current Market Sentiment: As we approach key technical levels, many institutional traders and investors are watching Bitcoin’s reaction closely. With the macroeconomic factors in play and rising institutional interest, breaking the $69,329 resistance will attract significant volume. Social media platforms, forums, and market analysts are buzzing with discussions on Bitcoin’s next move as it edges closer to critical resistance levels.
This analysis confirms that alternative insights such as moon phases can provide additional layers of understanding when timing trades, particularly in a volatile market like Bitcoin.
Stay tuned for further updates, and keep a close watch on these price levels as the week unfolds.
Disclaimer : The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
DOGEUSD Hit its 1DMA200. Rejection or breakout? Pick your poisonDogecoin (DOGEUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 29. A little before that date on the last High (July 21), the Lower Highs trend-line started, which is currently exactly on the 1D MA200.
As a result today's pull-back is so far a double level rejection (1D MA200 and Lower Highs trend-line). As long as it stays intact, there are more probabilities to pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, which held twice this month already (closed all candles above it). In that case, our Target is 0.11000.
If on the other hand the 1D MA200 breaks first, we will accept the loss on the short (tight SL anyway) and buy the break-out targeting 0.14380 (Resistance 1). The 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross on Monday, which favors the bullish break-out.
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ICPUSD Trade the break-out of this Triangle.Internet Computer (ICPUSD) is trading within a Triangle pattern since the July 05 bottom, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as its pivot. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is almost right on its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
Our approach on such patterns is to trade to the direction of the first break-out. A break above the 1D MA200 would be a bullish break-out signal, targeting 21.00 (Resistance 1), while a break below the Higher Lows trend-line would be a bearish break-out signal, targeting 6.00 (Support 1).
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Notcoin Daily Chart (NOTUSD) Price Analysis – Potential ReversalThe chart shows a downtrend with Notcoin price currently trading at $0.00800102, forming a descending wedge pattern marked by the orange lines. This indicates that the price has been consolidating, but there’s potential for a breakout from this pattern, typically a bullish signal.
Key levels and patterns observed:
1. Weekly Fibonacci Zone: The price is currently in this support area, which could act as a strong base for an upward move.
2. Bullish Breakout Scenario: Two blue arrows project potential price movements. After a possible breakout above the wedge, we can anticipate a rally toward the next resistance zones.
First target at $0.01288067.
Second target at $0.01795970, representing the upper resistance level.
This analysis suggests that a breakout from the descending wedge could lead to a significant upside, with major resistance levels being in the $0.012 and $0.017 ranges. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakout and monitor the Fibonacci zone for support in the event of a retest.
Phemex Analysis #29: RSI Divergence Raises Concerns for WIFPHEMEX:WIFUSDT.P has experienced a remarkable 93% surge over the past month, indicating a significant increase in market confidence. However, recent price action has shown signs of weakness, raising questions about the sustainability of this bullish momentum. A 1D RSI divergence observed on October 14th further complicates the picture, as the price is rising while the RSI is declining.
Analyzing the RSI Divergence
A 1D RSI divergence occurs when the price creates a higher high, but the RSI forms a lower high. This divergence often signals a potential reversal or a pause in the uptrend. In the case of WIF, the divergence suggests that the buying momentum may be waning, and a correction or consolidation phase could be imminent.
Overall Bullish Sentiment
Despite the recent divergence, the overall bullish sentiment surrounding WIF remains strong. The 93% surge over the past month is a clear indication of growing investor interest and confidence in the project. This positive sentiment could continue to drive the price higher, especially if there are further developments or announcements that support the bullish narrative.
Potential Scenarios
1. Continuation of Upward Trend: If WIF can overcome the RSI divergence and sustain its upward momentum, the price could continue to rise. Positive news, increased adoption, or favorable market conditions could fuel further gains.
2. Temporary Correction: A correction or consolidation phase may be necessary to digest the recent gains and allow for a more sustainable uptrend. If the price retraces but remains above key support levels, it could be seen as a healthy buying opportunity.
3. Reversal: In the worst-case scenario, the RSI divergence could signal a reversal of the uptrend. However, this would require a significant breakdown below key support levels and a change in market sentiment.
Potential Trading Strategy
Given the current market conditions, a cautious approach may be prudent. Traders could consider the following strategies:
I. Partial Profit Taking: For those who have already realized substantial gains, taking profits on a portion of their position could help protect against potential losses.
II. Tight Stop-Loss Orders: Placing tight stop-loss orders below key support levels can help limit losses in case of a sudden price decline.
III. Wait for Confirmation: Traders could wait for a clear breakout above the resistance level or a confirmation of a bullish reversal pattern before entering new positions.
Conclusion
While WIF's recent surge is a positive sign, the RSI divergence suggests that a period of consolidation or correction may be necessary. Traders should be mindful of the potential risks and carefully evaluate the market conditions before making investment decisions. If WIF can successfully overcome the current challenges, it has the potential to continue its upward trajectory.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Phemex Analysis #28: Institutional Inflows Fuel BTC Rally!The recent surge in Bitcoin price, reaching a recent high of $68,400, has been largely fueled by significant inflows into Bitcoin ETFs. In just three days, these ETFs have accumulated over $1 billion, led by industry giants BlackRock and Fidelity. The accumulation of institutional capital often serves as a strong bullish indicator, suggesting a growing confidence in Bitcoin as a viable asset class.
Possible Scenarios in the Next Few Days
Given the substantial inflow into Bitcoin ETFs and the subsequent price increase, several potential scenarios may unfold in the coming days:
1. Continued Upward Momentum: If institutional investors maintain their bullish sentiment and continue to allocate more capital to Bitcoin ETFs, the price could experience further upward pressure. This scenario would likely be supported by positive market sentiment and favorable macroeconomic conditions.
2. Consolidation and Pullback: After a significant price surge, it's not uncommon for markets to experience a period of consolidation or even a minor pullback. This could be driven by profit-taking activities or concerns about potential overvaluation. However, as long as the overall trend remains bullish, a pullback could present a buying opportunity for investors.
3. Increased Volatility: The influx of institutional capital can sometimes lead to increased market volatility. As more participants enter the market, the potential for rapid price movements increases. Traders should be prepared to manage their risk accordingly.
Potential Trading Strategy
Based on the current market dynamics, here are some potential trading strategies:
I. Buy and Hold: For long-term investors who believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, a buy-and-hold strategy may be suitable. This involves purchasing Bitcoin and holding it for an extended period, regardless of short-term price fluctuations.
II. Scalping: Short-term traders who aim to profit from small price movements can employ a scalping strategy. This involves entering and exiting trades quickly to capture short-term gains. However, scalping requires a high level of technical analysis and risk management skills.
III. Swing Trading: Swing traders focus on capturing medium-term price swings. They identify potential support and resistance levels to enter and exit trades. Swing trading requires a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.
Conclusion
The recent surge in Bitcoin price, driven by significant inflows into ETFs, is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency market. However, it's important to approach the market with caution and be aware of the potential risks involved. By carefully considering the possible scenarios, developing a sound trading strategy, and managing risk effectively, investors can capitalize on the opportunities presented by the current market conditions.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
BTCUSDT Key Levels in Focus📌 Trading Instrument: BTC/USDT 📌
🔶 Key Levels in Focus - Bullish and Bearish Scenarios 🔶
📝 Market Overview:
Bitcoin is currently positioned at the top of its ascending channel, showing weakness in the recent 4H doji candlesticks, which often signal indecision in the market. The Elliott Wave (EW) count indicates the completion of a 5-wave upward move, suggesting that the current bullish run might be nearing its end, with a possible correction on the horizon.
However, for both bullish and bearish scenarios, the first target of 63.7k is expected to hold significant importance and should be reached. Whether BTC continues upward or begins a reversal, this level serves as a key pivot point.
🎯 Targets:
63,700 – First target for both bullish and bearish scenarios. This level acts as a short-term support and key point to watch in the near future.
Bearish Scenario:
58,500 – Midpoint of the current channel, which could lead to further downside pressure.
48,000 – A deeper retracement aligned with significant support.
44,000 – 40,000 – Final target range, representing strong support from previous market lows.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC maintains above 63.7k and breaks out from the current resistance, we could see a continuation of the bullish trend, with targets above the current levels.
🚨 Strategy:
Stop Loss (SL): Set slightly above the current channel top to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit (TP): The first target remains 63.7k for both scenarios, followed by 58,500, 48,000, and 44,000-40,000 for the bearish case.
This analysis gives weight to both scenarios, but the 63.7k target is a critical level to be expected and monitored in the next move, whether BTC pushes higher or starts its correction.
🚨 Disclaimer:🚨
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
Will Bitcoin collapse during Middle East Conflict ?Today we will give you the bitcoin projection .
You saw bitcoin is being traded in a range . Since the conflict in middle east has been escalating so much , people are investing in metal as safe haven .Now comes to the point of crypto currency . I think that assuming the situation the values of crypto may dive down . There are many reasons to be Bullish scenario also ,But war situation Is Different in this case .
The area is marked in the chart . I marked the probable rejection zone as "PLEVEL". If we see significant rejection here we can go for sell from here targeting 57k $ .
Resistance : 63300,64100,65000
Support : 61000,60000,57200
BTC Dominance Analysis📌 Trading Instrument: 📌
🔶 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) 🔶
📝 Detailed Market Overview: 📝
Bitcoin Dominance has reached an extremely bullish zone, nearing parabolic levels. Historically, such parabolic moves are often followed by a strong and fast correction. Currently, BTC.D is showing signs of bearish divergence, making it difficult to invalidate this signal. Additionally, BTC.D is around the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical resistance zone.
Over the next 2-3 weeks, I anticipate a breakdown in BTC dominance. A confirmation of this will come if BTC.D breaks below the green diagonal support trendline, which has supported this uptrend for over 700 days.
Upon breaking this support, a retest of the previous key resistance, which is now expected to act as support, will likely occur around the 47-48% dominance level. This zone has not been retested since the breakout, and it aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC.D moves a bit higher before the rejection, this key level would coincide with the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci zone, often referred to as the golden pocket, making it a high-probability reversal zone.
Following this correction, I expect BTC dominance to resume its upward momentum, targeting a minimum of 79-80% dominance in the longer term.
🔍 Key Signals:
Bearish divergence on multiple timeframes.
Proximity to the 0.61-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
A potential breakdown of the 700-day diagonal support.
🎯 Bearish Target:
47-48% dominance (retest of key support)
🚀 Bullish Outlook After Rejection:
A strong reversal after testing support could propel BTC dominance to 79-80% in the long run.
⚠️ Confirmation Needed:
Watch for a break below the green diagonal trendline to confirm the top and initiate the bearish retracement.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
SasanSeifi| Is Ethereum Poised for a Move to Higher Levels?Hey there, ✌ In the daily timeframe analysis, as shown, the price has entered a downward trend from the $4,000 range. Following this price drop, it reacted at the important support level of $2,100, oscillating between the price ranges of $2,100 to $2,800. Currently, after observing demand at the $2,300 level, the price has experienced slight positive fluctuations and is trading around $2,600.
Based on the candlestick behaviour, it is anticipated that in the short term, the price may rise towards the important resistance levels of $2,700 to $2,820, with some minor positive fluctuations. If the price breaks above $2,820 and stabilizes in lower timeframes, the likelihood of further price growth towards the resistance zone of $3,000 to $3,250 increases. In such a scenario, monitoring the price reactions at these levels will be essential for evaluating the next trend. However, if the $2,820 level is not breached and the price fails to maintain its stability, the possibility of a price retracement may rise.
The long-term outlook remains bearish, with expectations for the price to move towards the $1,800 to $1,500 range.
In the daily timeframe, the $2,450 to $2,300 levels serve as critical support. Maintaining the price above these levels is crucial for the desired scenario.
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
If you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌✌
BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Goatseus Maximus NO.1 MEME FOR THIS BULLRUN (TA+TRADE PLAN)TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN BY BLAŽ FABJAN
WHY GOATSEUS MAXIMUS IS THE NO.1 MEMECOIN OF THIS BULLRUN:
🚀🚀 GOATSEUS MAXIMUS IS THE NEXT MEMECOIN MOONSHOT! 🚀🚀
Massive Hype: With a loyal community backing and meme-driven momentum, Goatseus Maximus is poised to take over the meme-coin space!
Bullish Sentiment: The charts don’t lie! All technical indicators are showing a solid upward trend, making it the perfect time to jump in and ride the wave to MAXIMUM PROFITS!
Potential for Explosive Gains: At just $0.2375, this memecoin is undervalued but ready to explode with the next wave of FOMO. Get in before it’s too late!
Market Pair: GOATUSDT (BitMart Exchange)
Price Action: Goatseus Maximus (GOATUSDT) is currently trading at $0.2375, experiencing an 8.34% drop from a recent high of $0.2997.
Volume: 289.336K USDT, signaling a potential increase in interest.
Price Pattern:
An upward trading channel is forming on the 4-hour chart. The price is bouncing between support and resistance within this channel, with clear upward momentum indicating the possibility of a breakout. The candlesticks suggest higher lows, indicating bullish sentiment is gradually building up.
Price Projections:
Immediate Resistance: $0.300 (key psychological and technical level)
Support Level: $0.200 (within the lower bounds of the trading channel)
Upside Targets: Should the breakout occur, the next target price could be $0.400 - $0.450, as indicated by the overall upward trajectory in the trading channel.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Consider entering a long position at $0.240 - $0.250 range, ensuring the price stays within the bullish channel.
Place stop-loss below the $0.200 support level to protect against sudden market downturns.
Profit Targets:
First Take-Profit (TP1): $0.300, capturing gains at the upper resistance of the current channel.
Second Take-Profit (TP2): $0.400 - $0.450, based on expected bullish breakout beyond the channel, leveraging strong momentum.
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 5% of your capital on this trade.
Maintain a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every $1 risked, expect $3 in profit if the trade plays out as anticipated.
Prepare for an epic ride to the moon! 🌕
$SUI on the Rise: Multi-Month Trend Active, Targeting $20!Not counting on a full retracement for this move. It might just continue to rise, similar to how CRYPTOCAP:SOL did when it broke above the $30 mark. However, if by any chance it does retrace, one should consider buying anything below the $1.60 level.
I still believe it will go higher and enter a multi-month run closer to the $10 area.
The strength and reaction it just had are similar to CRYPTOCAP:PEPE 's before the massive run in February. Sure, there are different narratives and a significant difference in the timeframe, but it's worth keeping in mind for reference.
If we don’t go any lower—which is the most favorable case—I think the weekly block forming as a bearish candle should be used as an entry level and added to once it breaks above.
So, two scenarios: buying the low or reclaiming the candle’s low if it turns out to be a bearish candle on the weekly timeframe.
Miraculously wait for a retrace into the $1.60 area and buy.
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Bi-monthly Mode Active CRYPTOCAP:SUI
Positioning for Potential: $BNB Set to Break Out!I think it’s time to consider taking a position in $BNB. It has been ranging for a while, and the weekly timeframe is finally showing some strength.
I’m anticipating a break of the purple line within this week, or by next week at the latest.
The time@mode is still to be confirmed, and the Point of Control is just a few percentage points away from current prices. The bi-weekly chart looks much more constructive compared to other timeframes, so it’s definitely something to keep an eye on.
Also, be prepared to play betas on this one; Simon’s Cat is one to add in case CRYPTOCAP:BNB goes on a rampage toward $1k.
APTUSD Next pull-back will be a huge buy opportunity.Aptos (APTUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and last time it did so (November 30 2023), it has already started the new Bullish Leg of the Rectangle it's been trading in since January 26 2023.
The Bullish Megaphone inside which the price traded at the time of the Golden Cross, gave one final pull-back before rallying aggressively towards the top. As a result, we will wait for the next buy opportunity on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), to take a lower risk buy and target 19.000.
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BTC/USDT Daily Analysis – Key Channel Insights📊 BTC/USDT Daily Analysis – Key Channel Insights
Bitcoin has been trading within a channel for the past 217 days, as clearly visible on the chart. We've seen a few minor wick-offs (fakeouts) in both directions, but more frequently towards the downside. Notably, the channel's midline has been consistently respected as both support and resistance, which underscores its significance.
🔸 Potential Breakout/Breakdown: A breakout to either side of the channel would likely confirm the next major trend. However, given the choppy market conditions, caution is essential. I remain neutral until a decisive move happens. For me, the market needs to break the previous ATH at $73,777 to confirm a bullish breakout, while a break below $58,900 would signal a bearish breakdown.
🔹 Price Action Forecast: From my analysis, the market seems poised to test the upper boundary of the channel. Just $1,000 above that lies a critical 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which could serve as a turning point. I’ve laid out two potential scenarios, with clear targets for both bulls and bears:
⚔️ Two Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Path 🚀
Invalidation: Below $58,900
Target: $103k – $110k
Bearish Path 🐻
Invalidation: Above $73,777
Target: $44.5k – $40k
While I haven’t specified exact timelines for these targets, I expect strong movements in either direction once the breakout or breakdown is confirmed.
⚠️ Divergence Forming: On the daily timeframe, there’s a clear bearish divergence building, aligning with both of the outlined scenarios. Personally, I’m leaning towards a strong rejection at higher levels, as it would open a lucrative opportunity to enter a short position targeting $44k. This could allow us to capitalize on a solid drop before the anticipated bull run.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.