Phemex Analysis #66: Pro Tips for Trading Dogecoin (DOGE)In the volatile world of cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin ( PHEMEX:DOGEUSDT.P ) has consistently captured the attention of traders and enthusiasts alike. In October 2024, DOGE experienced a remarkable surge, climbing from $0.11 to a peak of $0.48—a gain of nearly 500%. However, this exuberance was short-lived, and the price has since plummeted by 70%, currently trading around $0.15.
A closer examination of the daily chart reveals a potential bullish reversal indicator. On March 11, DOGE's price dipped lower than its February 28 level, yet the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained similar on both dates. This RSI divergence often signals a potential bullish reversal. However, caution is advised before making any trading decisions. Let's explore a few possible scenarios, using support and resistance levels as our guide.
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal
The observed RSI divergence suggests that selling pressure may be waning, potentially paving the way for a price rebound. If DOGE manages to break above the immediate resistance levels, this could confirm a bullish reversal.
Pro Tips:
Monitor Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels to watch are $0.19 and $0.22. A decisive break above these levels, accompanied by increased trading volume, could signal the start of a bullish trend.
Risk Management: Consider setting stop-loss orders below recent support levels to mitigate potential losses if the bullish reversal does not materialize.
Scenario 2: Continued Downtrend
If DOGE fails to maintain its current support levels, the downtrend may persist. A drop below the critical support at $0.15 could lead to further declines.
Pro Tips:
Identify Support Levels: The next significant support levels are $0.127 and $0.10. Traders should watch these levels closely for potential buying opportunities or further declines.
Short Positions: Advanced traders might consider short positions if DOGE breaks below key support levels, aiming to profit from the continued downtrend.
Scenario 3: Sideways Consolidation
DOGE may enter a phase of sideways movement, trading within a defined range as the market seeks direction.
Pro Tips:
Range Trading: Identify the upper and lower bounds of the trading range. Buying near support and selling near resistance can be an effective strategy in a consolidating market.
Grid Bots: Since price volatility is smaller during consolidation, utilizing grid bots to capitalize on small price movements is highly recommended.
Final Thoughts
Dogecoin's recent price movements present both challenges and opportunities for traders. While technical indicators like RSI divergence suggest a potential bullish reversal, it's crucial to consider all possible scenarios and employ sound risk management strategies. By staying informed and vigilant, traders can navigate DOGE's volatility and make informed decisions.
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Cryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT Market Drop on Trump News?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the popular tier-2 coins together and take a look at this recent Trump news regarding the economic record
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign.
Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend.
There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure.
For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, APT failed to break the $14.61 resistance. Even worse, it couldn't even reach the previous high before getting rejected earlier, signaling weakness.
After breaking below $8.46, the market entered an MWC (Market Weakness Confirmation) downtrend.
Following the breakdown, a pullback retest occurred, and the daily candle engulfed the previous two days' candles, leading to further decline. Currently, APT is at $5.70, with RSI in the oversold zone, suggesting a possible short-term slowdown in selling pressure.
I personally feel that APT’s drop is sufficient for now, and we might enter a range here before a final move toward the $4.95 support. However, this does not mean it’s a buy signal. We need to wait for a new market structure before considering spot entries.
In the current situation, the market is really not very analytical and Bitcoin is likely to hit the $72,000-$74,000 level and then go for a break or bullishness, and you should pay attention to these market times! Don’t be FOMO!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
NEAR (NEARUSDT) Weekly Analysis: Potential Reversal in SightHey everyone! Let’s take a look at NEAR (NEARUSDT) on the weekly chart. There’s a chance the price might move into the 1.728–2.067 range, possibly sweeping up some liquidity before heading toward the 1.467–1.669 zone. This area seems like it could act as a launchpad for a potential bounce, aiming for higher targets afterward.
Watch for a spike in trading volume around that zone—if volume picks up, it could indicate stronger buying interest. Another key signal to look out for is a bullish candlestick pattern (like a hammer or a bullish engulfing), which might confirm a reversal if it appears near the 1.467–1.669 level.
Of course, if the price drops below 1.467, it might change this outlook and suggest a different path forward. Since the market can be unpredictable, it’s always important to keep an eye on these levels and stay prepared.
Above all, remember to do your own research and stay informed—this space can move fast, and it’s best to approach it with a curious mind. Keep learning, stay positive, and good luck out there! 📈
BTC Time to FLY.As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
BTC Warning Time .As of now according to weekly chart i can see that the Market is on that resistance level of its channel, so what i think here is that the Market will goes according to its history, probability is market will retest 50 MA and will show the new high, after that it will move towards channel's support level.
So According to me, its the best time to be Bullish, or have some spot in portfolio.
Can MicroStrategy Save Bitcoin's Destiny?MicroStrategy’s dramatic stock decline has become a bellwether for the broader digital asset market. As its share price plunges, the company’s deep ties to Bitcoin spotlight a precarious balance between corporate strategy and the volatility inherent in the crypto space. This unfolding scenario challenges investors to reconsider the intertwined fates of traditional finance and digital innovation.
The company’s approach to using Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve has been revolutionary and risky. Aggressive accumulation strategies, including debt financing and Bitcoin-backed loans, have magnified the impact of market fluctuations. With critical support levels now under threat, the risk of forced asset sales looms large—an event that could cascade through the crypto ecosystem and undermine confidence in digital currencies.
Amid these challenges, MicroStrategy is also pursuing bold financing initiatives to stabilize its operations. Plans to raise $21 billion through a preferred stock offering signal a dual objective: securing necessary capital and further investing in Bitcoin. This move reflects an ongoing commitment to a Bitcoin-centric strategy, even as recent transactions have resulted in significant unrealized losses.
In parallel, the cryptocurrency landscape faces unprecedented headwinds from regulatory pressures, geopolitical tensions, and emerging technological vulnerabilities. Financial professionals are compelled to balance risk with opportunity, rethinking investment strategies amid an environment where innovation meets uncertainty at every turn.
The looming threat of quantum computing adds another layer of complexity. As quantum technologies advance, their potential to break current cryptographic standards—on which Bitcoin’s security fundamentally relies—poses a significant risk. Should quantum computers overcome encryption protocols like SHA-256, the very foundation of blockchain technology could be compromised, forcing the industry to adopt quantum-resistant measures rapidly. This challenge not only underscores the volatility of the digital asset market but also inspires a deeper exploration into safeguarding the future of decentralized finance.
INJ Price Analysis: Key Zones & Reversal ScenariosHey everyone! 👋
Let's dive into this price chart and see what’s going on with INJ.
Overview:
We’re looking at INJ on a weekly timeframe , and there are some interesting levels to watch. The chart shows **three key zones** where price reactions might happen, marked with price levels. There are also areas of liquidity (LQ) , where the market might make a move before reversing direction.
Potential Reversal Scenarios:
Three possible price movements are shown with yellow arrows , each representing a different way the price might reverse. The second arrow is the primary scenario, suggesting that after sweeping at least one liquidity level, the price could bounce back up—especially if there’s solid volume and a strong candlestick pattern.
- Main Support Zone (3.84 - 4.84): This area is the most important. If the price reaches this zone and shows good volume and a strong candlestick pattern, it could signal a trend change.
- Other Support Zones (2.55 - 2.85 and 7.38 - 8.92): These are additional key levels. A drop below these could change the outlook.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP levels are marked on the chart. If the price reverses as expected, these targets may be reached.
Final Thoughts:
Nothing in crypto is guaranteed! Always look for confirmations like volume and candlestick patterns before making decisions. Stay informed, trade smart, and always do your own research! 📊💡
BITCOIN Is this the last defense before the narrative changes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) got yet again increasingly volatile during the weekend and is approaching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As mentioned on the title, this is "the last defense" for BTC as so far this price action hasn't diverged a bit from the Channel Up of the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle but a break and 1W candle close below it, would jeopardize that.
** The key 1W MA50 **
In fact the only times that Bitcoin closed below its 1W MA50 during a Bull Cycle and the Cycle continued was of course during the March 2020 COVID global market flash crash and November 18 2019. But the current Bull Cycle is nothing like in 2019 - 2021, it doesn't have the initial overextension of the Libra hype (May - June 2019) or Elon's early 2020 hype nor of course the pandemic shutdown. On the contrary it is incredibly similar with 2015 - 2017 with the only difference being that, thanks to the ETF launch in January 2024, the market marginally breached the previous All Time High (ATH) earlier.
** Symmetry playing out **
So back to the similarities between those two Cycles. The Cycle count indicates that we are at the end of the (blue) Bull Rectangle in March 2017 (847 days) when the price almost tested the 1W MA50 and then started the (green) Parabolic Phase to new ATHs (217 days). Even in terms of 1W RSI and MACD, the two fractals are similar, with the RSI being on its 2nd 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase' bottom and the MACD on its 2nd Bullish Cross.
** How high can it get? **
Now as to how high the new Cycle Top can be, can be anybody's guess, but if it repeats the less aggressive 2021 Top, it could be on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, i.e. around $170k, while if it repeats the (much more unrealistic for such short period of time in terms of market cap) 2017 Top, it could be on the 2.382 Fib ext, i.e. around $520k. The worst case scenario is to have Fib extension Tops on a decreasing rate, in which case the 1.5 - 1.382 levels are next, giving us a potential target range of 120k - 145k, which would be almost a Double Top similar to November 2021.
So what do you think? Will the 1W MA50 come to Bitcoin's rescue yet again or the narrative will change this time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Pullback to 85K for sellingMorning folks,
So, everything goes with the plan - nothing to change on major picture. We keep our bearish view on BTC and now consider 68-74K area as the next destination point. But this could take a few weeks.
In fact, previous 68K top also will be a big test. Downside break will open road to 52-55K. While if BTC will be able to stay in 70-80K range, it will keep long term bullish context. It should be interesting...
Meantime, BTC once again hits oversold areas as on weekly as on daily charts. As we promised - D. Trump verbal boost lasted just 2 days and was reversed down. We see some intention market manipulations from D. Trump administration but this is not the subject for this update.
In short-term - 2-3 days BTC needs to relief oversold pressure, so minor bounce is quite possible. For example, based on "222" pattern on 1H chart we could see attempt to bounce up from 79K and up to 84-85K area.
Those who wants to sell - that might be the chance.
For now I mark this update as bullish, because of suggested bounce. But our longer term view remains bearish still.
NOTUSDT Weekly Demand Zone: Potential Bullish Reversal at 0.0019This analysis focuses on Notcoin (NOTUSDT) on the Weekly timeframe , identifying a key demand zone that suggests a potential bullish reversal .
Based on chart observation, the price of NOTUSDT is approaching a critical demand zone located between 0.001971 and 0.001561 . This zone is anticipated to act as strong support, potentially marking a significant price low for the asset in the current market cycle.
The expectation is that within this demand zone , buyers will step in with sufficient volume , leading to a change in the current price trend and initiating a bullish reversal . The presence of proper volume upon entering this zone will be crucial to confirm the strength of the demand and the likelihood of a sustainable upward movement.
To illustrate the potential upside, Take Profit (TP) levels have been marked on the chart. These TP levels represent projected targets for the price following a successful bounce from the demand zone. Traders and investors should monitor price action closely as it interacts with this zone, looking for bullish confirmation signals such as:
Increased buying volume: A surge in volume as the price tests the demand zone would indicate strong buyer interest.
Bullish candlestick patterns: Formation of reversal candlestick patterns within the zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) could further validate the potential for an upward move.
In summary: This analysis suggests that the 0.001971 - 0.001561 zone presents a significant opportunity for a potential bullish reversal in NOTUSDT on the weekly timeframe. Closely monitoring price action and volume within this zone is recommended to identify potential long entry opportunities, targeting the marked Take Profit levels as the asset recovers.
march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis
💲💲 #BTC is trading in a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. If the price of #BTC breaks and sustain the higher price then will see a pump. Also there is an instant strong support zone. We may see a retest towards the support zone first and then a reversal📈
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Support #Resistance #DYOR
DXY (Dollar Index) and Pamp/Dump BTC. Markets Cycles.USA Dollar Index + Bitcoin Pamp/Dump Cycles. Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Minima and maxima of bitcoin secondary trends are shown. Everything is detailed and shown, including what everyone always wants to know. Cyclicality. Accuracy.
This is what it looks like on a line chart to illustrate simple things.
BITCOIN may take 1 month to form bottom but upside is huge.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the 1 stdev below following February's pullback.
With the 1day RSI rebounding after turning oversold, this reminds us of all the previous major Lows of the current Bull Cycle.
Those took around 1.5 - 2 months to be priced, so don't be susprised if Bitcoin doesn't rise before mid April.
The upside until the end of the year remains huge however and if it 'only' tests again the Mean MM, it can reach $140k.
If it approaches the 1 stdev above, the estimated value can be as high as $180k.
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LINKUSD: forming a bottom on the 1W MA100.Chainlink is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.039, MACD = -1.130, ADX = 24.859) as it posted a double rebound on its 1W MA100. The long term pattern is a Channel Up and its prior HL bottom was formed just under the 1W MA100. With the 1W RSI rebounding though from oversold levels, LINK is already a great buy opportunity in terms of Risk-Reward, even if the bottom takes the whole month of March to be completed. We expect a new bullish wave to take place around the same +300% range as the previous two. The trade is long, TP = 45.00.
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BTCUSD: Bottom formed. Road to $150k started.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.811, MACD = -265.000, ADX = 36.155) as it recovered some losses from last week. The most important outcome is that both last week and so far the current one, the 1W candle entered the long term Support Zone comprised of the 1W MA25/MA50 and rebounded over it. This is the Zone that has produced all HL bottoms of the 2 year Channel Up. As the 1W RSI is also about to enter its multiyear Buy Zone, we expect the bottom to be formed within 4-6 weeks max and then start the standard +97.97% rally it printed on all three prior bullish waves. The trade is long, TP = 150,000.
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