Get started

Cryptocurrency

Could Cardano Bulls "Raise The Flag" To $2??COINBASE:ADAUSD has some very interesting Price Action happening with the decline starting from beginning of December 2024 forming what looks to be a Descending Channel with the potential to become a Bull Flag! With a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can expect a higher probability of a Bullish Break to this Channel to continue in the trend it was following prior to falling into this Consolidation Period. Last week we saw a huge Bullish Candle form and Break the Channel after testing the March 2024 Highs, the 200 EMA @ .7719, along with the Linear Regression or "True Trendline" of the Descending Channel. Other indicators suggest Bullishness as well with the RSI staying above 50 in Bullish Territory and we can see a large amount of Volume entering this Weekly Candle with 2 days and 19 hours left until Close at the time of publishing. *If Cardano can continue to find Support and is able to make a Valid Bullish Break of this Channel, based off the "Flagpole" or Rally, prior to price falling into Consolidation, we can expect a potential 120% gain from the Break, potentially sending price up to test the overhead Resistance Zone in the ( $1.85 - $2.15 ) Range! 3/7 - The White House will be holding the very first U.S. Crypto Summit to make plans to start bringing cryptocurrency into a U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve www.tradingview.com
COINBASE:ADAUSDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
1
Phemex Analysis #65: Pro Tips for Trading XRPIn the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, few narratives are as compelling as that of XRP ( PHEMEX:XRPUSDT.P ), the digital asset developed by Ripple Labs. Once mired in regulatory challenges, XRP is now entering an exciting phase, reshaping its path and sparking renewed discussions about its future potential.​ Crypto Strategic Reserve On March 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the creation of the U.S. "Crypto Strategic Reserve," aiming to position the United States as a leader in digital finance. XRP was among the select cryptocurrencies—including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano—chosen for this reserve. This announcement sent waves through the market, significantly boosting XRP's value and reaffirming its importance in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. ​ White House Crypto Summit Anticipation is building for the upcoming White House Crypto Summit on March 7, 2025. Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, along with other industry leaders, will discuss regulatory frameworks and the integration of cryptocurrencies into the broader financial system. This event is expected to provide insights that could influence XRP's adoption and market dynamics. ​ These developments mark a pivotal moment for XRP, highlighting Ripple’s evolution from controversy to prominence and underscoring the cryptocurrency’s growing significance in the financial sector.​ Possible Scenarios for XRP Price Movement 1. Sustained Bullish Momentum The inclusion of XRP in the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve has bolstered investor confidence. This endorsement may attract institutional investors, increasing demand and potentially driving XRP's price higher. If the White House Crypto Summit results in favorable regulatory outcomes, XRP could experience sustained bullish momentum. Pro Tips: Monitor Institutional Involvement and Regulatory Developments: Positive news in these areas can further fuel XRP's bullish momentum.​ Key Resistance Levels: A breakout above $2.65 could signal a bullish run, with a move above $3.00 on high volume confirming this trend.​ 2. Profit-Taking and Short-Term Correction After recent gains, some investors might take profits, leading to a short-term price correction. This is common following rapid price increases as traders seek to realize gains.​ Pro Tips: Identify Support Levels: Key support levels include $2.12, $1.95, $1.76, and $1.35, where buying interest may resume.​ Consider Staggered Entries: To mitigate volatility, consider placing buy orders at various support levels. Utilizing Phemex's scaled orders feature can streamline this process.​ 3. Regulatory Uncertainty Leading to Volatility While the summit aims to provide regulatory clarity, outcomes perceived negatively by the market could lead to increased volatility. Uncertainty in regulatory developments can cause rapid price fluctuations as investors react to new information.​ Pro Tips: Implement Risk Management Strategies: Use stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing to protect against adverse price movements.​ Diversify Investments: Avoid overexposure to XRP by diversifying your cryptocurrency holdings to manage risk effectively.​ Final Thoughts XRP's inclusion in the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve and the upcoming White House Crypto Summit have positioned it at a critical juncture. Traders should stay vigilant, keeping informed about institutional developments and regulatory changes that could impact XRP's price. By considering the scenarios outlined above and implementing sound risk management practices, traders can navigate the evolving landscape of XRP trading with greater confidence. Tips: 🔥 Break free from "buy low, sell high"! Our new Pilot Contract empowers you to profit from ANY market direction on DEX coins with up to 3x leverage. Go long, go short, go further! Check out Phemex - Pilot Contract today! Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100. + This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run. + In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
TVC:DXYShort
by VectorAlgo
DOGE Strong BUY. Next stop $0.90Dogecoin / DOGEUSD is trading inside a Channel Up for exactly 1 year and the price is currently very close to its bottom. The bearish wave is under the 1day MA200 with the 1day RSI oversold, which is exactly the conditions that were present on the August 5th 2024 bottom. This is an excellent long term buy opportunity, potentially the last one that will lead DOGE to its Cycle Top. The natural technical target is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which is what the prior bullish wave targeted. Buy and target 0.9000. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
9
BITCOIN and the People's Bank of China Liquidity.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is often correlated with traditional assets that can be easily related to like the USD, stock indices etc. On this idea we introduce the Liquidity of the People's Bank of China and as you can see there is a strong correlation between the two. Every time China's central bank pumps money into the markets, BTC enters a strong Bull Phase. On the contrary, when it starts tightening, BTC enters a Bear Phase. For the past two years we've been inside a Bull Cycle. Towards the end of 2025, the Liquidity should have topped based on the Time Cycle tool, and that should be our signal to exit the market with the highest profit possible in this Cycle. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
SUIUSD: 1W MA50 holding. Excellent long term buy opportunity.SUI is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.481, MACD = -0.255, ADX = 17.753) as it is on a decline since the early January top. This is technically the bearish wave of the cyclical Channel Up and the Jan top was its HH. This is so far a -58% decline that almost tested the 1W MA50. This is same kind of decline after the previous HH of late March 2024. The July break under the Channel Up was a market overreaction but now since we are in the final year of the Bull Cycle, it is very unlikely to see another one. Quite possibly, as long as the 1W MA50 holds, it is more probable to gradually initiate the 3rd bullish wave of the Channel Up. Aim for a similar +500% rise, TP = 12.000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:SUIUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
BTCUSD: Historic comparison shows hyper rally about to begin.Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.581, MACD = 979.600, ADX = 19.348) as it recovered last week's selloff and rebounded on its 1D MA200. Technically the pattern since 2024 is identical to 2020 as you can see on the chart above. The moment Bitcoin crossed again above its 1D MA50, a new hyper rally started. This suggests that a final target inside the 160,000 - 200,000 Zone is quite possible to take place. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
ETHEREUM Is a massive rally about to begin?Ethereum (ETHUSD) started the week lower but is attempting a closing near last week's candle close. Still below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but the practically ranged price action of the past 12 months (March 2024 - Feb 2025) may be a Re-accumulation Phase similar to ETH's first Cycle when between March 2016 - Jan 2017 it consolidated but then started a massive rally until the end of the year. As you can see, the two fractals are fairly similar, both starting with an initial Accumulation Phase. In the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, the rally that followed the October 2015 Low was fairly symmetrical (+5069%) with the rally that followed the Re-accumulation Phase's bottom. The Cycle Top was priced higher on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If ETH keeps replicating this past fractal, we can expect a more realistic Target at $5350 (+169.75% rise) and an extremely optimistic at $11000 (Fib 2.0 extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
Bearish until 98-100K Morning folks, So, Old Donny euphoria was over on the next day, as we've suggested. ETH was even worse than BTC... And we're skeptic on coming Crypto Summit tomorrow. What could happen in three days? A lot of speech and empty promises definitely will sound, but where the real deals? Recently. S. Lummis said that BTC Reserve issue is still under question and no guarantees that it will be formed. That's it... Nothing is prepared for BTC Reserve forming. Coming D. Trump talks could shake the market, but that will be only emotions. Speaking practically, we suggest that until BTC stands under 98-100K area - context remains bearish. We see a few patterns, and this butterfly one of them. If you want to go short - this is the point that you have to think about. Based on the butterfly, the risk is not too big. If even we will get "222" Sell - setup remains bearish, because upside AB=CD agrees with daily Fib resistance level. Only upside breakout of 98-99K will give BTC theoretical chances to start wobbling in 100-108K range. Thus, for now we're not ready to speak about BTC buying. Albeit you want to make a bet on Summing euphoria tomorrow.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
LayerZero Hits Bottom: Good News (Easy 630% Target)Bitcoin turns bullish, after months of sideways and a final flush. This is happening in a bull-market year, 2025. It is safe to safe that Crypto is going up. When Bitcoin turns bullish, everything grows. What one does, the rest follows. LayerZero was made available for trading in June 2024. The action started bullish right away, an entire month. This was followed by a sideways period and then a weak higher high. In early 2025, a major correction developed, timed with Bitcoin's final flush. Bitcoin is moving ahead now and LayerZero, ZROUSDT, is now in the process of printing a double-bottom on the weekly timeframe. Surely a bullish signal. This week wicked below the 3-Feb. week low. A recovery from the lowest price possible is happening and now the action moves above the previous low. This is the purple line on the chart. As long as ZROUSDT trades above this line the bulls are active and getting ready to move ahead. The fact that volume is super low and continues to drop every week is a bullish signal. It is the end of the bearish wave. This is potentially a bottom catch. Growth will start happening in a matter of days. We can expect long-term growth. Easy targets amount to 142% and 387%. A stronger target, still easy but will take longer to reach, sits at $16.5 and can yield a total of 630%. Solid chart. Good risk reward ratio. Can turn into easy profits based on a stress free buy and hold strategy. We are going up and we are going LONG. The Altcoins market is waking up and will soon start to heat up. Three weeks from now, instead of extreme fear we will have an euphoric market as everything grows. Prepare for the 2025 bull-market bull-run. Thanks a lot for your continued support. If you enjoy the content, consider hitting a follow. You can request analysis for your favorite Altcoins in the comments section below. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
3
Univers Of Signals | JUPLet's quickly review JUP, one of the DeFi coins, which is currently ranked 51st on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $1.75 billion. 🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, we are observing a very large range box from 0.6312 to 1.2542, where JUP is currently at the bottom of its box. ✨ There is also a descending channel that has been accompanying the price from the top of the box, with several touches to both the bottom and top of the box, and now it has approached the bottom of the box again. 📉 If the area of 0.6312 is breached, you can enter a short position targeting 0.5588. Entry of the RSI into the oversell zone would provide a suitable confirmation for this move. 📈 For a long position, wait until the channel is broken upwards, and in this case, with the breakout of the trigger at 0.8365, you can enter a long position.
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
BITCOIN Like a well tuned Swiss clock...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had a red February with a correction that touched its 1D MA200 and almost hit the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), spurring massive liquidations and ETF outflows. On the wider picture though and the long-term technical trend of this Cycle, this looks nothing more than a normal technical pull-back at the start of the last year of the Bull Cycle. More specifically, since the start of the current Bull Cycle following the November 2022 market bottom, BTC has been replicating to almost perfection the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle. As this chart on the 1W time-frame shows, every medium-term top and bottom since July 2023, matches harmonically the tops and bottoms since July 2015. In addition, the 1W RSI is now on its 2nd bottom of the 'Buy the dip Volatility Phase', which started after the Higher Lows trend-line that was initiated on the market bottom, peaked and turned sideways. In 2016 - 2017, that was the ultimate guide to buy low through Bitcoin's last year of Bull Cycle all the way to the Top. Based on this analogy, BTC should now form a Channel Up that might form the next Higher High in June, pull-back in July, then new Higher High in August, pull-back in September and final push for a Cycle Top around November. Based on this pattern, this may very well be around $200k but again, a 1W RSI top sell signal is more fitting. But do you think the market will continue replicating the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle all the way to the top? And if yes, is a $200k peak plausible? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
18
Phemex Analysis #64: Pro Tips to Trade Cardano (ADA)The cryptocurrency market was recently jolted by President Donald Trump's announcement on March 2, 2025, of the establishment of a U.S. "Crypto Strategic Reserve." This initiative aims to position the United States as the "crypto capital of the world" and includes major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin ( PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P ), Ethereum ( PHEMEX:ETHUSDT.P ), Ripple ( PHEMEX:XRPUSDT.P ), Solana ( PHEMEX:SOLUSDT.P ), and notably, Cardano ( PHEMEX:ADAUSDT.P ). ​ The immediate market reaction was swift and dramatic. Cardano's price surged by over 78%, reaching a four-month high of $1.19 on March 3, 2025. However, this bullish momentum was short-lived, as ADA's price retraced to lowest $0.75 by March 4, reflecting a 36% decline from its recent peak. At the time of writing, ADA is trading at approximately $0.93, having bounced back 22% from its recent low of $0.75.​ In light of these developments, traders are exploring several possible scenarios for ADA's price movement: 1. Consolidation Phase After the initial surge and subsequent correction, ADA may enter a consolidation phase, trading within a range as the market digests the news and assesses its long-term implications. This period of sideways movement could present opportunities for traders to employ range-bound strategies, buying at support levels and selling at resistance.​ Pro Tips: Identify Key Levels: Determine the support levels ($0.75, $0.58 & $0.49) and resistance levels ($0.98, $1.19 & $1.32) to inform entry and exit points.​ 2. Renewed Bullish Momentum Should positive sentiment surrounding the Crypto Strategic Reserve persist, ADA could experience renewed buying pressure, leading to a potential breakout above recent highs. This scenario would likely be accompanied by increased trading volumes and heightened investor interest.​ Pro Tips: Breakout Confirmation: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the previous high of $1.19 with substantial volume before entering long positions.​ Risk Management: Set stop-loss orders below key support levels to protect against false breakouts.​ 3. Continued Downward Correction Conversely, if market sentiment shifts negatively or profit-taking intensifies, ADA could resume its downward trajectory, potentially testing lower support levels. Traders should be cautious of this scenario, especially if accompanied by broader market weakness.​ Pro Tips: Support Monitoring: Keep an eye on critical support levels, such as $0.75, $0.58 & $0.49 to identify potential buying opportunities or to exit existing positions.​ Market Correlation: Monitor the performance of major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, as their movements often influence ADA's price action.​ Final Thoughts The recent announcement of the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve has injected significant volatility into the cryptocurrency markets, particularly affecting assets like Cardano. Traders should remain vigilant, employing robust risk management strategies and staying informed about broader market trends. By considering the potential scenarios outlined above, traders can better navigate ADA's price movements and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
by Phemex
1
TradeCityPro | SUIUSDT Is the best time to buy ?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's analyze and review one of the most popular coins in the market, sui, and update our previous analysis and find new triggers 🌐 Bitcoin Overview Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714. Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly time frame, it is one of the coins that is in good condition, it is really in the market and is still fluctuating on the high support levels. After hitting 5.24, we made a new ceiling or ATH, and after that, due to recent market news, we experienced some drops, and this has also caused the price correction of this coin. For re-buying, if we make a good support candle at this level 2.4, it will be a good trigger and the main trend will start again after we break 5.24. Also, after breaking 1.77, we can temporarily exit this coin and cash out! 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily time frame, it has been in relatively good conditions compared to other coins in the market and has experienced fewer declines and still has a lot of support to lose! After breaking the 1.0333 level, which was our trigger spot, we made our purchase and experienced a move after its failure with the entry of momentum and recorded a new ceiling with this event! Along with this trend, we can draw our Fibonacci levels, which are currently involved in the important level of 0.382, and after it rises and breaks the ceiling of 5.24, we can experience a powerful move! If this level is broken, we can also hit the support levels of 1.7702 and 1.3859 and we need to form a structure to buy now, but after breaking the trend line and the 3.65 trigger, it can be a good point! For selling, I will continue to hold for now! 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
1
BITCOIN Can it really take 1 month to form a bottom??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) quickly invalidated the Crypto Reserve rally by Trump and finds itself again on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 2nd time in 5 days and 3rd since October 14 2024. The key technically development that we should concentrate at is the failure to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) during Sunday's rally, as it is the level the price was being rejected throughout the whole February. Until BTC breaks and closes above the 1D MA50, we can't expect a justifiable recovery. We are also on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the August 05 2024 Low. The last time the price was trading on those parameters was in late August 2023. More specifically, yesterday's 1D MA50 rejection resembles the August 29 2023 one, which came after a vastly oversold 1D RSI on August 18 2023, similar to the oversold RSI of February 26 (last Wednesday). During this price action, it took Bitcoin exactly 1 month from the RSI bottom to break again above its 1D MA50, starting a rally that initially broke marginally above the -0.5 Fibonacci extension before a new 1D MA50 pull-back. As you can see, the similarities between the two main phases of since the 2022 bottom are striking. Both started on a Channel Down and after the first Higher Lows formation, formed the Channel Up that was confirmed upon a 1D Golden Cross. It has to be highlighted that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been holding since March 14 2023, it even supported during the August 2023 bottom formation and provided a massive bounce on the August 05 2024 low. With the 1W MA50 currently at 75070 and rising, it is natural to assume that it is the ultimate Support level. As a result and based on all the above conditions, it is possible to see Bitcoin consolidate sideways in an attempt to cement the bottom for the majority of March. A break above the 1D MA50 either then or earlier, would be a technical bullish break-out confirmation. The rally that will follow can technically reach $160000, which is just below the -0.5 Fibonacci extension. So what do you think? Is Bitcoin currently forming its new long-term bottom and if yes, will it reach $160k after that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
YGG ANALYSIS🚀#YGG Analysis : 🔮#YGG is consolidating in a parallel channel.... currently falling from its resistance zone. It is trading above its major support zone and there maybe a small retest towards lower supprt level and after that we will see a bullish move📈📈 🔰Current Price:  $0.2400 🎯 Target Price:   $0.2900 ⚡️What to do ? 👀Keep an eye on #YGG price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️ #YGG  #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis  #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
ADA/USDT at Decision Point – Major Move Incoming!ADA/USDT is testing a major resistance zone after retesting the 100 EMA and bouncing from the rising support line. The price remains in a long-term symmetrical triangle, with the resistance trendline as a key breakout level. The Stochastic RSI is recovering from oversold levels, indicating potential bullish momentum. A breakout above resistance could trigger a strong uptrend continuation, while rejection may lead to a pullback toward support.
Long
by unichartz
Bitcoin: A US Reserve CurrencyCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ) On the morning of March 2nd, President Donald Trump posted a tweet to reinforce his commitment to a Crypto Strategic Reserve, including XRP, SOL and ADA. Cryptocurrency market took off immediately. Despite not being mentioned in the tweet, Bitcoin shot up from $78,400 to $83,900, and Ethereum from $2,090 to $2,240. Later in the afternoon, President Trump posted an update and clarified that BTC and ETH will be in the Reserve. “I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum!”, he tweeted. At the time of this writing, BTC is quoted $94,308, up 20.3% since the first tweet. ETH is trading at $2,520, up 20.6% within the day. We are in a new age of cryptocurrencies, where BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL and ADA just gained the official backing of the US Government. This day has been in the making for months. • On May 24, 2024, then presidential candidate Trump promised to launch a national crypto stockpile if he wins the election. Investors warmed to this idea and Bitcoin lifted 18% • On November 5, 2024, Trump won the US election. Market cheered for the most pro-crypto president and Bitcoin shot up 57% in a month • On January 23, 2025, President Trump signed the “Executive Order to establish United States leadership on digital financial technology.” Bitcoin went up 17% • Recent events have brought bitcoin down 28% since reaching its all-time-high of $109,241. In a matter of two tweets, the crypto market has completely turned around Bitcoin for the Long Haul A year ago, I published this market commentary, “A Bitcoin Bull Run?”, and laid out the key drivers for bitcoin’s long-term rise. Limited supply, increased demand and excessive liquidity helped bitcoin prices doubled in a year. In my opinion, these tailwinds remains intact for bitcoin in the coming months. On top of these, we now have the explicit endorsement from a sitting US president. Therefore, I stay bullish for holding bitcoin for the long haul. Trading with Micro Bitcoin Futures On “HODL with a Twist”, published on May 6, 2024, I explored using Futures Rollover strategy to invest in CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( LSE:MBT ). This strategy worked nicely in the past, and I favor to continue deploying it. The paragraphs below provide a brief update with new contract months and new price data. Firstly, using futures over spot bitcoin provides these compelling advantages: • Capital efficiency in using margins. A trader could invest with as little as $2,075 to take on the full exposure of $9,431 (1/10th of a bitcoin) • Futures contracts come with build-in leverage. For MBT, it is approximately 4.5 times (= 9431/2075). If bitcoin moves 10% in your favor, you could gain 45% with futures • Price protection. MBT has a daily price limit (limit-up and limit-down) at 10%. In a volatile day with big moves, the Exchange will pause trading at the prescribed limits Secondly, futures contracts have a limited lifespan that will influence the outcome of your trades and exit strategy. Micro Bitcoin futures are traded actively in the nearby March and April contracts. Liquidity in the back-month contracts has yet to pick up. Rollover is when a trader moves his position from the front month contract to another contract further in the future, prior to the expiration of his existing holding. Below is an illustration on how to hold a long MBT position overtime: • In March, a trader buys (going long) April contract (MBTJ5) at $94,308 • In April, the trader enters an offsetting trade, going short on MBTJ5, to close his existing position. He would book a profit or loss, determined by the difference in selling price and purchasing price • Simultaneously, the trader would buy May MBT contract (MBTK5) and re-establish a long position in Bitcoin • In May, the trader will close out MBTK5 (going short) and buy June (MBTM5) • The trader would repeat the above steps, so far as he holds a bullish view Finally, Bitcoin prices are extremely volatile. Holding spot Bitcoin with no leverage could face potential drawdown of 70%-80%. With the leverage in futures, a sharp price move in the wrong direction could quickly deplete the available fund and trigger margin calls. Trader could set up a stop-loss in the buy order, limiting the maximum loss. Hypothetically, he could set the stop-loss at $85,000 when executing long futures at $94,308. If bitcoin moves sharply down, the maximum loss will be $931 (= (94308-85000)*0.1). His margin account will be decreased to $1,144 from $2,075. To learn more about all the Micro futures and options contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
1
Verbal intervention was great but what's on the back?Morning folks, So, the pullback that we were waiting for is done. Although we thought that it will be driven by some natural forces and reasons. The way how it has happened and by what factors make us to be caution on its perspectives. Indeed, it was just verbal intervention from D. Trump. It had bad week - scandal in White House with Zelensky, stocks are falling, crypto are falling, inflation expectations are raising, March debt ceil and shutdown is almost here, EU "allies" do not want to work together... So, to say couple of words and pump the market is not a bad idea at all. But, what is on the back? Nothing. Special Committee will make Reserve report only by July. I'm sure on crypto Summit this week we also will hear a lot of bravery speeches, but this is just words. This is a reason why we do not want to buy BTC now and prefer to watch for reversal signs around our resistance 96-97K area. Sooner or later but fundamentals should return control over the market. I do not have yet the specific picture but, since we have strong upside momentum - it should fade and appearing, say H&S or butterfly pattern, together with completion upside XOP target seems as great combination. Once this patterns will be formed, we could try to use it for short entry.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
From $110K to $66K? The Political Game Behind BitcoinBitcoin's surge from $73,000 to $110,000 was purely driven by political factors and Trump's statements. However, after Trump took office, the market was waiting for a stimulus to continue its bullish rally. With Trump's silence and the start of a trade war, sellers took control, leading to a 30% correction from the all-time high. 🚨 Key question: What happens next? 🚨 📉 If Bitcoin doesn’t receive further political support from Trump, we could see a drop below $73,000, possibly even $66,000! Is this a buying opportunity or a warning sign? Let me know your thoughts! 👇💬🚀
Short
by Market-Analyzer
2