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BITCOIN will reach $1 million in 2041.Bitcoin / BTCUSD hit last month the once unthinkable benchmark of $100k. It took 2 Cycles to do so since it reached the previous benchmark of 10k. The log sequence of hitting those benchmarks started at $0.10. It took quarter (0.25) Cycle to go from 0.10 to $10, i.e. x100 jump. The next x100 increase was from 10 to $1000 and it took BTC half (0.5) Cycle to do so. Then we move to the x10 jumps, 1000 to $10000, which took it a perfect 1 Cycle. We already discussed above 100k and the pattern is obvious. For each of those logarithic jumps, Bitcoin needs double the time, i.e. it doubles the previous Cycle expectancy. This means that for the million dollar mark ($1million), it should take 4 Cycles to do so (2 Cycles it needed from 10k to 100k x 2). This gives us a rough estimate for the end of 2041! Realistic or not in your opinion? Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
8
ENAUSD: Buy signal at the bottom of the Megaphone.Ethena just turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.814, MACD = -0.029, ADX = 25.505), which considering the +8% rise today, signifies the enormous upside potential of this coin. This is expected as the long term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone nonetheless. Each of the two HH formations on its top, where on the 4.0 Fibonacci extension. Buy and target the 4.0 Fib (TP = 2.4000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:ENAUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
(SOL) solana - ATHThe all time high was reached for Solana and right now the price is retracing the previous break of an all time high. At $3000/SOL that would be a 10x gain from the ATH right now. Is the path of Solana into the future going to look similar to Ethereum one day? And if so, how much time will pass before the billions of dollars flow into Solana if the outcome is a continued growth pattern as we have already seen? Solana surpasses BNB, passes $100B mcap, and despite the loss of previous years most competitive programmers to other chains, the interest in meme tokens on SOL chain seems to sustain the interest. How is it possible the world is still fascinated by meme cryptocurrency more than any other sector? At the start of 2024 there was a simple note passed along by Coinbase that stated the Dog-meme frenzy was not going away so easily as a core of the cryptocurrency defi culture. By the end of 2024 a lot of other random memes were present on Coinbase. Average meme culture has sprung onto Coinbase, USA's main crypto exchange. The shift from adding Ethereum tokens to Coinbase became all about Solana tokens. What will the future bring during 2025? How much influence does Coinbase have over the sector of defi cryptocurrency investing? Is it time for Ethereum to reach a new ATH?
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
BITCOIN BULLISH SCENEBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is now in its consolidation phase making a symmetrical triangle bullish pattern. Taking its previous falling wedge pattern and double bottom, the potential upside target will be in the Fibonacci extension area at 127.2 and 161.8. This aligning with Trump's objectives to be the "first bitcoin president" where he promised that cryptocurrency would be central in his economic policies. Feel free to share this analysis and comment on what do you guys think in the comment section!! Disclaimer On!!!
Long
by louisdenirooo
Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context: Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money. Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000. Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment. Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings. Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements. Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000. Supporting Factors: Strong futures/options participation (open interest). Positive spot netflows (accumulation). Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70). Confidence Level: Medium (60%). Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum. 2. Bearish Scenario Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000). Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000. Supporting Factors: Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry. Increased selling pressure in spot netflows. Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment). Confidence Level: High (75%). Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory. 3. Neutral Scenario Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news. Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000. Supporting Factors: Lower volatility as expiry approaches. Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates). Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%). Key Indicators to Monitor: Netflow Data: Increased spot inflows → Bearish. Increased spot outflows → Bullish. Funding Rates: Negative → Bearish. Positive → Bullish. Volume & Open Interest: High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown. News Impact: Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals. Trading Strategies: Bullish Setup: Entry: Above $106,000. Stop-loss: $105,000. Targets: $108,000 and $110,000. Bearish Setup: Entry: Below $104,000. Stop-loss: $105,500. Targets: $100,000 and $98,000. Neutral Setup: Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000. This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
by titankarma
TRUMP COIN: An Objective PerspectiveA US President creating a meme coin just as he is inaugurated. That is something I never thought I would live to see. Donald J Trump created a meme cryptocurrency coin called TRUMP. In a matter of hours since launched, this coin blasted sky high. TRUMP coin is now the 25th most valuable cryptocurrency coin with a value of around $8 billion USD, according to the website CoinMarketCap. There are both positive and negative remarks surrounding the launch of this coin, but needless to say, there is massive hype around crypto at the moment. In the video I go through my thoughts on the chart analysis, as well as personal opinion on what may possibly happen. Trade safe out there, guys! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
2
EOS at Key Support Level - Bullish Bounce ExpectedCOINBASE:EOSUSD has reached a significant support area that has previously attracted buying interest, resulting in bullish bounces. If the support level holds and a bullish confirmation emerges, I anticipate a move toward the 0.8641 level. However, if the support is broken, the bullish outlook will be invalidated, opening the door for further bearish momentum. Traders should wait for clear confirmation of buyer strength before opening any trades. If this analysis resonates with you or you have a different perspective, feel free to discuss in the comments!
COINBASE:EOSUSDLong
by TrendDiva
DOGE about to rally on Double Bottom Bullish Cross signalDogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 20 2024 bottom. A very distinct buy signal emerges every time the price makes a Double Bottom near the Higher Lows trend-line of the pattern and the 4H MACD forms two Bullish Crosses in a row. As you can see, this has already happened two times, with the price reaching at least the 2.618 Fibonacci extension for a Higher High and this is the 3rd time within the Channel Up that we see this indicator combo. As a result, we turn bullish short-term, targeting 0.43250 (Fib 2.618 ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
Onyxcoin (XCN) 10x gains - luckyI know I'm not the only one that missed the amazing 10x gains from Onyxcoin. Whoever did have some of this cryptocurrency before the price went up this month sure is feeling lucky right now. I'd be hard pressed to say another company will be close to this amount of gains for the entire year. Looks like the year is going to be looking at the history of this monumental occasion for XCN. As it were, despite the company losing practically all their value, there is still a believer in this company out there in the world.
COINBASE:XCNUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
jasmy (JASMY) - lines from before nowI logged in to see the coverage of lines I drew awhile ago. Looks like the price of jasmy is close to one of those lines. I wonder if the price will rebound. Not much else to say. My inclination to believe the price of jasmy would sustain itself was not aligned well with the amount of seduction people found from selling. typical scenarios of investment. I am really trying hard to find an investment that does not lose like this but I remain confident in Jasmy.
COINBASE:JASMYUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
3
Polygon at Key Support Zone - Will It Bounce to 0.4700?COINBASE:MATICUSD has reached a significant support level that has previously attracted buying interest, often resulting in bullish recoveries. This level aligns with previous market reactions, highlighting its role as a key area to watch. If the support holds and bullish confirmation emerges—such as bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks—a move toward the 0.4700 level is anticipated. However, if the support is broken, the bullish outlook could be invalidated, opening the door for further bearish momentum. Traders should closely monitor this zone for signs of buyer strength before considering long positions. As always, risk management is essential to mitigate potential losses.
COINBASE:MATICUSDLong
by TrendDiva
1
BITCOIN What if its Parabolic Growth isnt meant to last forever?Well you might have expected by reading the title that I meant the opposite, Bitcoin's parabolic growth to stop at some point. Well even though that's likely, this multi year chart comparison with Nikkei shows that Parabolic Growths some times break to the upside to an even more 'maniacal' phase. Hard to believe but Nikkei, the biggest most recent stock market bubble in history is a living example. It was rising parabolically since the 1950s along with Japan's heavy industrial economy. The heavy export country, reached a transition phase in the early 1980s with highly revolutionary tech companies exporting goods all over the globe. The stock market broke above its parabolic curve exponentially in late 1983 - early 1984 and peaking on December 1989. This may be what BTC's massive adoption may look like. A break above its established parabolic curve, which practically no one expects to ever break to the upside. That will be Bitcoin's 'Mania Phase'. How long it can grow and what price it can reach (if it ever does of course) no one knows. But what this comparison shows, is to keep an open mind and no matter how expensive Bitcoin may look at the current price, there is always the potential for (much) higher. Every investor's portfolio should include at least a small portion (2-5%) of BTC for a decade-long horizon. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
ADAUSD: Last consolidation before 5.50.Cardano is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.919, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 18.468) as it is trading around its 1D MA50. Basically it is consolidating since December 7th following November's incredible rally. The pump stopped on the HH trendline, which is holding for 2 years, since basically the bottom of the Bear Cycle. This is no different than the consolidation of December 2020, which was also around the 1D MA50, above the 1D MA200 and below the HH trendline. Once this breaks, we espect a rally of similar proportions to November (TP = 5.500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by InvestingScope
4
BITCOIN We are nowhere near the Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1M time-frame is as straightforward as it can get. The message is clear: We are nowhere near the Top yet. The LMACD flashes its Cycle Top signal when it tests the Lower Highs trend-line. If this happens to be above the Pi Cycle's Top (red trend-line), then we have a complete Sell Signal for the Cycle. This is expected to take place towards the end of this year. Similarly, the bottom takes place below the Pi Cycle's Bottom (green trend-line) and is confirmed by a LMACD Bullish Cross. Those indicators are the Blueprint to BTC's Cycles. Do you agree with this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
46
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position: Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours. Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000. Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum. VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal. 3. On-Chain Insights: Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity. Open Interest: Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B. Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias. Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment. 4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis: Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation. Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm. Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment. 5. Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%) Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure. Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum. Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%) Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions). Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%) Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts. Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction. 6. Trading Strategies: Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management. Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000. 7. Conclusion: BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
by titankarma
Downside potential is 81KMorning folks, So, our bearish ideas seem to be correct last time... Now we think that weekly TF is most perspective for BTC, because here we could get DiNapoli DRPO "Sell". First signs are already here, but for final confirmation we need close below MA line. Meantime, on intraday charts, BTC is forming the Diamond consolidation , and on the same weekly one we have "Shooting star" on top. So, if you would like to go short earlier, you could use both pattern with the stops against the recent top. Conservative traders could wait for confirmation of the pattern still. We consider no longs by far.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
ETHEREUM trapped between MAs but preparing a massive surge.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading since the start of the year within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Despite this technical 'trap', there are two bullish patterns that outweigh this range and those are primarily the Channel Up since the July 18 2022 market bottom and in the last 10 months an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The latter is in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and as long as the 1D MA200 holds, it should complete it within 6 weeks maximum. On top of that, we have a recently formed 1D Golden Cross and in terms of 1W RSI, we are on similar grounds as January 2024. On all cases, a strong rally followed in the form of the Channel's Bullish Leg. Assuming it follows the technical target of the IH&S, we are expecting a peak on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $7400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
TRUMP at Key Support Level: Will It Bounce or Break Below?BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT is trading near a key support level that previously acted as a foundation for bullish momentum. The recent price action indicates that this area may serve as a strong demand zone. If bullish confirmation appears, such as increased buying volume or candlestick reversal patterns, I expect the price to move toward 42.00$. Conversely, a break below this support would weaken the bullish scenario and suggest further downside. Traders should monitor this level closely and use proper risk management to navigate potential market volatility.
Long
by TrendDiva
4
Is This the Turning Point for BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P?Current Market Dynamics: A Pivot Moment for BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P The cryptocurrency market often surprises, and BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P is no exception. Trading at $6.223, the asset finds itself 66.78% below its historical high of $18.735 from November 30, 2024, but also an impressive 46% above its absolute low of $4.262 in July 2024​. Are we witnessing a buildup for the next major move? The technical picture reveals key insights. The RSI14 on the hourly chart is deeply oversold at 26.15, indicating potential upward momentum brewing. Meanwhile, the MFI also signals undervaluation at 29.92. These indicators align with a possible bounce from the current consolidation zone​. A series of VSA Buy Patterns highlights a steady buying interest, with a recent 0.6% upward movement confirming bullish pressure​. Yet, powerful resistance looms overhead at $7.055 and $7.452, which will need to break for a sustained rally​. The Intriguing Question: What's Next? With prices hovering near critical levels, the stage is set for decisive action. Will bulls seize this as a launchpad for recovery, or are bears poised to press their advantage? The convergence of oversold signals and strong resistance tests could herald significant volatility. Stay tuned for updates on this thrilling setup—your opportunity might just be around the corner. Roadmap of BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P: A Playbook of Price Action Understanding the market through its historical patterns is the key to staying ahead. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the major events shaping BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P, tracing each significant pattern and its price implications. 1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025, 02:00 UTC This bullish setup hinted at a potential upward movement. Price opened at $6.225, closed slightly lower at $6.216, and formed a low of $6.118. The main direction was Buy, signaling an impending bullish pressure. Validation: The next pattern maintained a buying trajectory, closing higher in subsequent moves, confirming the accuracy of the bullish call. 2. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025, 01:00 UTC A reinforcing bullish signal emerged, with an opening at $6.321 and a closing dip to $6.225, but this set the stage for a rebound. Low and high levels ($6.162 to $6.733) indicated market hesitation before the trend firmed up. Validation: The direction remained consistent, as subsequent candles edged higher, confirming the trigger point's reliability. 3. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025, 00:00 UTC This pattern marked an uptick in bullish confidence. The price action fluctuated between $6.277 and $6.912, with a clear move aligning with the Buy main direction. Validation: A steady upward movement followed, further strengthening the bullish narrative. 4. Increased Sell Volumes: January 22, 2025, 20:00 UTC A stark contrast emerged as the sell volumes peaked. Prices opened at $6.704 and plummeted to close at $6.456, setting a bearish undertone. Validation: This pattern effectively predicted the selloff that extended into subsequent bars, proving its worth as a reversal indicator. 5. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 22, 2025, 00:00 UTC The market flipped bullish again, with the price moving from $6.905 to $6.628. A decisive direction shift was signaled. Validation: True to its bullish call, this pattern initiated a recovery, validated by later price movement above the $6.7 zone. Key Insights for Traders Patterns that align with subsequent price action (e.g., VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st) consistently deliver actionable signals. Increased Sell Volumes can provide crucial early warnings of reversals, enabling traders to hedge effectively. Adhering to trigger points ensures higher accuracy and confidence in trading decisions. This roadmap not only reflects historical accuracy but also provides a guide for spotting actionable opportunities in real time. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels Trading is all about catching the bounce or riding the breakout. Here’s the rundown of the key levels for BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P that traders should keep their eyes on. Remember, if these levels don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance and become roadblocks for price action. Support Levels: First up, we’re looking at a soft landing zone that could provide a decent bounce opportunity. Monitor how the price reacts to this area to gauge momentum. Resistance Levels: The immediate barriers lie at $7.055, $7.452, and $7.968. These are the lines in the sand where bulls will face heavy fire. If the price can't break through, expect reversals back to support. Powerful Support Levels: Not much firepower here, meaning the price may lack strong buying interest on the downside. Powerful Resistance Levels: Eyes are on $5.539—this is the rock where many moves may stall. If this level flips into support, it’ll be a key confirmation of bullish dominance. Pro Tip: Keep an eye on how the price interacts with these levels. If a support doesn’t hold, it’s not just a miss—it’s a new ceiling traders will have to deal with. Always be prepared to pivot and adapt. Trading isn’t about guessing—it’s about reacting. These levels are your roadmap to staying ahead of the pack. Concept of Rays: Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept provides a structured yet flexible system for analyzing and trading market movements. It combines Fibonacci principles with dynamic price behavior and technical analysis, creating a unique tool for identifying opportunities. Let’s dive into how to use this method effectively. Core Idea Fibonacci Rays form dynamic boundaries that guide price movements, signaling potential reversals or continuations. These rays interact with key levels and Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) to highlight zones where significant price action occurs. The principle is simple: trade after price interaction with a ray and the appearance of a clear directional movement. This ensures higher confidence and allows riding the trend between rays. Optimistic Scenario: Targets for Bulls If the price interacts with ascending rays and shows strength, we target the next resistance levels. First Target: $7.055 – A move above MA50 aligns with this zone, signaling continuation to $7.452. Second Target: $7.968 – As price confirms momentum, this level becomes the next checkpoint. Third Target: $10.057 – A breakout here could unlock higher levels, supported by interaction with MA200.​ Pessimistic Scenario: Targets for Bears Should price react to descending rays or fail to hold support levels, bearish setups become actionable. First Target: $5.539 – Breakdown through MA50 and interaction with descending rays suggests further downside. Second Target: $4.800 – A continuation of bearish momentum will likely test this zone. Third Target: $4.262 – Retesting the absolute low completes this scenario.​ Dynamic Price Interaction and Moving Averages When price interacts with key Moving Averages, it strengthens the ray’s significance. For example: Price holding above MA50 and interacting with an ascending ray indicates bullish continuation to the next ray. Rejection at MA200, coupled with descending ray interaction, confirms bearish potential. Suggested Trade Setups Long Trade: Enter after price bounces off an ascending ray and moves above $7.055. First target: $7.452, then $7.968. Short Trade: Enter after rejection at $6.800 (near MA100), targeting $5.539. Keep stops above MA100 to manage risk. Swing Trade: If price consolidates near MA200 and interacts with rays, look for breakout or breakdown to capture the move toward the next ray level. Scalping Trade: Use minor ray interactions for quick entries and exits, targeting the immediate next ray for profits. Final Thoughts The interplay of Fibonacci Rays, key levels, and Moving Averages provides a structured yet adaptive trading framework. By aligning trades with these dynamics, traders can capture movements with high confidence, knowing each step is guided by natural market principles. Current Market Dynamics: A Pivot Moment for BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P The cryptocurrency market often surprises, and BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P is no exception. Trading at $6.223, the asset finds itself 66.78% below its historical high of $18.735 from November 30, 2024, but also an impressive 46% above its absolute low of $4.262 in July 2024​. Are we witnessing a buildup for the next major move? The technical picture reveals key insights. The RSI14 on the hourly chart is deeply oversold at 26.15, indicating potential upward momentum brewing. Meanwhile, the MFI also signals undervaluation at 29.92. These indicators align with a possible bounce from the current consolidation zone​. A series of VSA Buy Patterns highlights a steady buying interest, with a recent 0.6% upward movement confirming bullish pressure​. Yet, powerful resistance looms overhead at $7.055 and $7.452, which will need to break for a sustained rally​. The Intriguing Question: What's Next? With prices hovering near critical levels, the stage is set for decisive action. Will bulls seize this as a launchpad for recovery, or are bears poised to press their advantage? The convergence of oversold signals and strong resistance tests could herald significant volatility. Stay tuned for updates on this thrilling setup—your opportunity might just be around the corner. Roadmap of BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P: A Playbook of Price Action Understanding the market through its historical patterns is the key to staying ahead. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the major events shaping BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P, tracing each significant pattern and its price implications. 1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025, 02:00 UTC This bullish setup hinted at a potential upward movement. Price opened at $6.225, closed slightly lower at $6.216, and formed a low of $6.118. The main direction was Buy, signaling an impending bullish pressure. Validation: The next pattern maintained a buying trajectory, closing higher in subsequent moves, confirming the accuracy of the bullish call. 2. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025, 01:00 UTC A reinforcing bullish signal emerged, with an opening at $6.321 and a closing dip to $6.225, but this set the stage for a rebound. Low and high levels ($6.162 to $6.733) indicated market hesitation before the trend firmed up. Validation: The direction remained consistent, as subsequent candles edged higher, confirming the trigger point's reliability. 3. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 23, 2025, 00:00 UTC This pattern marked an uptick in bullish confidence. The price action fluctuated between $6.277 and $6.912, with a clear move aligning with the Buy main direction. Validation: A steady upward movement followed, further strengthening the bullish narrative. 4. Increased Sell Volumes: January 22, 2025, 20:00 UTC A stark contrast emerged as the sell volumes peaked. Prices opened at $6.704 and plummeted to close at $6.456, setting a bearish undertone. Validation: This pattern effectively predicted the selloff that extended into subsequent bars, proving its worth as a reversal indicator. 5. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st: January 22, 2025, 00:00 UTC The market flipped bullish again, with the price moving from $6.905 to $6.628. A decisive direction shift was signaled. Validation: True to its bullish call, this pattern initiated a recovery, validated by later price movement above the $6.7 zone. Key Insights for Traders Patterns that align with subsequent price action (e.g., VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st) consistently deliver actionable signals. Increased Sell Volumes can provide crucial early warnings of reversals, enabling traders to hedge effectively. Adhering to trigger points ensures higher accuracy and confidence in trading decisions. This roadmap not only reflects historical accuracy but also provides a guide for spotting actionable opportunities in real time. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels Trading is all about catching the bounce or riding the breakout. Here’s the rundown of the key levels for BYBIT-SPECUSDT.P that traders should keep their eyes on. Remember, if these levels don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance and become roadblocks for price action. Support Levels: First up, we’re looking at a soft landing zone that could provide a decent bounce opportunity. Monitor how the price reacts to this area to gauge momentum. Resistance Levels: The immediate barriers lie at $7.055, $7.452, and $7.968. These are the lines in the sand where bulls will face heavy fire. If the price can't break through, expect reversals back to support. Powerful Support Levels: Not much firepower here, meaning the price may lack strong buying interest on the downside. Powerful Resistance Levels: Eyes are on $5.539—this is the rock where many moves may stall. If this level flips into support, it’ll be a key confirmation of bullish dominance. Pro Tip: Keep an eye on how the price interacts with these levels. If a support doesn’t hold, it’s not just a miss—it’s a new ceiling traders will have to deal with. Always be prepared to pivot and adapt. Trading isn’t about guessing—it’s about reacting. These levels are your roadmap to staying ahead of the pack. Concept of Rays: Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept provides a structured yet flexible system for analyzing and trading market movements. It combines Fibonacci principles with dynamic price behavior and technical analysis, creating a unique tool for identifying opportunities. Let’s dive into how to use this method effectively. Core Idea Fibonacci Rays form dynamic boundaries that guide price movements, signaling potential reversals or continuations. These rays interact with key levels and Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) to highlight zones where significant price action occurs. The principle is simple: trade after price interaction with a ray and the appearance of a clear directional movement. This ensures higher confidence and allows riding the trend between rays. Optimistic Scenario: Targets for Bulls If the price interacts with ascending rays and shows strength, we target the next resistance levels. First Target: $7.055 – A move above MA50 aligns with this zone, signaling continuation to $7.452. Second Target: $7.968 – As price confirms momentum, this level becomes the next checkpoint. Third Target: $10.057 – A breakout here could unlock higher levels, supported by interaction with MA200.​ Pessimistic Scenario: Targets for Bears Should price react to descending rays or fail to hold support levels, bearish setups become actionable. First Target: $5.539 – Breakdown through MA50 and interaction with descending rays suggests further downside. Second Target: $4.800 – A continuation of bearish momentum will likely test this zone. Third Target: $4.262 – Retesting the absolute low completes this scenario.​ Dynamic Price Interaction and Moving Averages When price interacts with key Moving Averages, it strengthens the ray’s significance. For example: Price holding above MA50 and interacting with an ascending ray indicates bullish continuation to the next ray. Rejection at MA200, coupled with descending ray interaction, confirms bearish potential. Suggested Trade Setups Long Trade: Enter after price bounces off an ascending ray and moves above $7.055. First target: $7.452, then $7.968. Short Trade: Enter after rejection at $6.800 (near MA100), targeting $5.539. Keep stops above MA100 to manage risk. Swing Trade: If price consolidates near MA200 and interacts with rays, look for breakout or breakdown to capture the move toward the next ray level. Scalping Trade: Use minor ray interactions for quick entries and exits, targeting the immediate next ray for profits. Final Thoughts The interplay of Fibonacci Rays, key levels, and Moving Averages provides a structured yet adaptive trading framework. By aligning trades with these dynamics, traders can capture movements with high confidence, knowing each step is guided by natural market principles. Let’s Keep the Conversation Going! Got questions about the analysis or want to dive deeper into the strategy? Drop your thoughts in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and explore new ideas with you. If you found this post helpful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later. This way, you can revisit it as the price action unfolds and see how it aligns with my ray-based levels. Trust me, understanding these key interaction points is a game-changer for your trading. For those curious about the ray system: my indicator automatically maps out all the levels and rays, simplifying your analysis. It’s a private tool, but if you’re interested, send me a message—I’ll explain how you can access it. Want a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let’s make it happen! I’m open to creating free public insights or discussing private, tailored breakdowns for your strategy. My ray system works across all assets, and I can provide precise setups just for you. If there’s an asset you’d like me to chart, simply comment below and hit Boost to show your interest. I’ll do my best to prioritize it. Finally, don’t miss out—follow me here on TradingView for more insights, strategies, and unique ideas. Your feedback, questions, and engagement fuel this community, and I can’t wait to connect with all of you. Happy trading!
Long
by brandlabelden
Phemex Analysis #55: How to Trade MELANIA Like a ProThe cryptocurrency world was shaken on January 20, 2025, when Melania Trump, the incoming First Lady of the United States, launched her own meme coin, $MELANIA ( PHEMEX:MELANIAUSDT.P ). Riding the wave of excitement surrounding her husband Donald Trump’s inauguration as the 47th U.S. President, $MELANIA surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $14.50 within hours of its launch, boasting a market capitalization of over $2 billion. However, the hype was short-lived as the token plummeted by more than 76%, stabilizing around $3.40 by January 23. This dramatic rise and fall highlight the extreme volatility of meme coins like $MELANIA. Now, with traders closely watching its next moves, we explore two possible scenarios for $MELANIA’s price action and how you can trade it like a pro. Bullish Breakout: A Resurgence in Momentum. After its sharp decline, $MELANIA may be setting up for a bullish breakout. As of January 23, the token has formed a second low with a higher Relative Strength Index (RSI) compared to its first low on January 21. This signals that buying power is returning to the market. If $MELANIA breaks above the key resistance level of $4 with high trading volume, it could indicate strong bullish momentum and open the door for further gains. In this scenario, traders should watch for resistance levels at $5, $5.9, $8, $9.2, $10.8, and $12.9 as potential profit-taking zones. Positive sentiment around the token—possibly driven by media coverage or endorsements—could fuel further price increases. If you’re a short-term trader, consider gradually taking profits at each resistance level to lock in gains during the rally. For long-term holders who believe in the token’s potential or its association with Melania Trump’s public profile, holding through volatility may yield greater rewards. Bearish Drop: A Chance to Buy the Dip. On the flip side, there’s also a risk that $MELANIA could face another sharp decline if selling pressure intensifies. If the price falls below $3.29 with high trading volume and a lower RSI (below 19), it could signal further bearish momentum. In this case, psychological levels such as $3, $2, and even $1 might serve as key support zones where traders can look to buy the dip. However, caution is essential here—if the price slows down near these levels with lower volume and higher RSI compared to previous dips, it may indicate that $MELANIA is attempting to build a support base. This would present an opportunity for traders to accumulate tokens at discounted prices before any potential recovery. Conclusion. Trading meme coins like $MELANIA is not for the faint-hearted—it’s a game of high risk and high reward. With its dramatic price swings and speculative nature, this token reflects both the opportunities and challenges of trading in volatile markets. As Melania Trump garners attention in her new role as First Lady and continues to promote her digital asset, traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies based on evolving market conditions. Whether you’re riding bullish waves or buying dips during corrections, staying disciplined and informed will be your greatest advantage. For those willing to embrace the risks, $MELANIA offers an exciting opportunity to trade one of the most talked-about tokens in crypto history—so gear up and trade MELANIA like a pro! Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex