Get started

Cryptocurrencysignals

Black Swan Incoming (Part 1)This is the start of a series I will be publishing for the rest of the year. I will focus 100% on trying to do the impossible and predict a narrow timeframe of a potential black swan event. **The series will end and this theory will be invalidated if we break and close a weekly above the previous weekly high at 75k.** **Fear and Greed Index (alternative.me)** As you can see, we only have data from 2018. Nevertheless, we have data on the last bull market and rallies since then. As we can see, the index will print lower highs before rallies and bull markets. **What we have now is a break of a multi-year uptrend on the index and currently putting in a lower low, which is not a good sign at all.** **2Week MACD BEARISH CROSS** The MACD has crossed bearish on the 2W timeframe five times. One out of the five times, it was a false signal, and that was the crash in May 2021 down to 30k. The rest of the time, when this signal fires off, Bitcoin from that candle close on average moves down 63%. TOPPING DISTRIBUTION FRACTAL APPEARS I have covered this fractal many times on my channel; you can probably find more than ten publications just on this fractal. Why are we seeing a double-top distribution fractal again play out at the top of rallies? How many times are they going to use it? These three occasions, you can see they all happened with very similar timing from peak to peak and the first wave down. Volume Block and Bayesian Trend The Bayesian Trend is currently giving a 41% probability of a move higher from this point. As I'm writing this, Bitcoin has just hit the 0.618, which happens to be the level with a dominant sell order block. It's a classic move, guys: double-topping pattern into a 0.618 retracement rollover, nothing new. Crash Zone Explained Here is why I think "if" a black swan happens, this is the timeframe where it's most likely to happen. We have US elections, the first possible rate cut, and the start of my Fib time. As you can see, this Fib sequence predicted the last black swan event, which was the Covid Crash. It is a very powerful sequence for predicting Bitcoin macro pivot points a year. Last year, unfortunately, was the first time it failed. Nevertheless, I still keep an eye out during these periods. Fed cuts are not bullish, especially after long pauses above 5%. Last time we had rates at 2% when we started cutting, a multi-month downtrend began which led to the Covid crash. NAS100 above. **BTCBTC: Spent Volume Lifespan 7y-10y** The total transfer volume of coins that were last active between 7y and 10y ago. Always a useful tool to see what the big boys are doing and what we see is something pretty shocking. Big volume in these wallets can be connected to major pivot points for Bitcoin in the past. So the largest volume output recorded before 2024 was 1600 BTC. In 2024............... It's the same chart, just included 2024. The output volume in June 2024 was 13,900 Bitcoin. I double-checked it; it's the reason now all the other pivot points look like a small blip on the chart. Insane, 13,900 Bitcoin moved at an all-time high, and then we get a big move down. I guess this metric still works perfectly at finding tops. **Crash Targets** As you can see, we have two main diagonal supports to look at. Honestly, I do not trust any diagonal supports, but the yellow macro one has three cycle low hits, so it holds a lot of weight. The second one, which is the orange dotted line, has two hits and will most likely fail. In my experience, when we have a very clear diagonal support and it comes down for its third touch, it breaks because everyone is looking at the same thing. It's that simple: the entire space is looking at it, so therefore it breaks and everyone gets rekt. The golden pocket sits at 35-37k and at the macro yellow support. This is where I would say the bottom is most likely in. If the black swan plays out all the way, we would most likely see the CME gap at 21k close. This would most likely be a hammer candle that would last seconds. **Invalidation** If Bitcoin were to break the previous swing high at 74k and close a weekly above it, this entire TA would be invalidated. Even if it closed above 0.618 at 67k, the chance of invalidation would increase dramatically.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Sporia
43
BITCOIN Is this a BEAR or a BULL Cycle?? This is the last stand.Bitcoin just hit before the E.U. opening the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a Support level that has been intact for more than 1 year (since the week of March 13 2023). This is a test of Bear Cycle territory for BTC as during its past Cycles, this level was touched only after the market has started a new Bear Cycle, with the only exception being the week of June 21 2021. The key difference then was even though the price hit and marginally broke below its 1W MA50, it never closed a 1W candle below it (the MA50) and that gave way to a new 5-month rally until the eventual Cycle Top. This cross-Cycle analysis, shows just how strong and intact the 1W MA50 has been during all Bull Cycles. The market during its current strong 5-month consolidation since the March ATH, never really broke considerably higher than the previous Cycle's High (November 2021), so symmetrically BTC appears to be in a below-ATH-Resistance consolidation phase similar to November 2020, April 2017 and February 2013. As a result, it becomes obvious that since the 1W MA50 broke (even marginally), the condition for the Bull Cycle to continue and give a new rally from here is for the price to avoid closing any 1W candles below the 1W MA50. If not, then expect just a dead-cat-bounce and then after diving below the 1W MA50 again, to turn it into a Resistance and trade below it for the rest of the new Bear Cycle. So which of the two do you think it's going to be, a Bull or a Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
Could Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 67,019.71 1st Support: 63,519.90 1st Resistance: 69,419.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Could price reverse from here?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could reverse to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 63,359.63 1st Support: 61,477.03 1st Resistance: 65,878.60 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
BITCOIN Ultimate Cross-Cycle Comparison on 1 chart! DON'T MISS!On this special Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analysis, we compare the current Cycle to all past ones by plotting one on top of the other. By classifying each Phase, we can see that all Cycles share some very strong characteristics. More precisely, BTC appears to be currently approaching the end of the Break-out Phase (orange Rectangle). That gives way to the most aggressive part of the Cycle, its Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle). As you can see, this is where all 3 past Cycles took off, the 2018 - 2021 Cycle (black trend-line), the 2014 - 2017 Cycle (blue trend-line) and the 2011 - 2013 Cycle (orange trend-line), the latter of which is stretched in order to fit on the shared bottom of the others. This chart doesn't technically show the Target value of the Cycle's top but rather serves as a useful benchmark to time this peak, in relation to the Tops of the previous 3 Cycles. As you see, this might be towards the end of October 2025, i.e. a full year into the new U.S. Presidency, which is aligned almost perfectly with historic market behavior. So what do you think? Is Bitcoin about to enter a Parabolic Rally phase and if so, could it essentially be a full year of rallying activity ahead of us? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
LITECOIN about to break-out to its parabolic rally.Litecoin (LTCUSD) is on its 3rd historic Cycle and just recovered its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). All Cycles have a Top, Bear Phase, Accumulation phase under Lower Highs and finally Parabolic Rallies. It appears that we are currently about to complete the pre-rally Lower Highs accumulation phase, which will be confirmed after the price breaks above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line. Technically it can go as high as the 1.1 Fibonacci extension ($500.00) but we will settle for the time being for an ATH test at $400.00 if this is where we will be by the time the price starts approaching the top of the Sine Wave. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:LTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
XRP moonshot?Since April 2021 XRP has been banging on the 2/1 Gann failing time and time again. In the last three years we hit the 2/1 Gann 5 times and failed to break it , this monthly candle is extremely bullish and we have reached the apex of this Gann triangle, the chances are we break to the upside. Since March 2020 we have been printing lower highs on the monthly without fail. Stoch RSI monthly buy. Bar pattern fractal from 2015 repeating. Very high chance here XRP breaks 2/1 this time round , there is a lot of momentum.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Sporia
2
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin )BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 67,443.01 1st Support: 64,367.22 1st Resistance: 69,696.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
RUNEUSD Bull Flag completed. Expect x10 rise at least!THORChain (RUNEUSD) is on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 3rd straight week, after holding and rebounding on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). In our view, this has completed the long-term Bull Flag (Channel Down) pattern that emerged after a +1428% rise from the June 2023 market bottom. If we take a look at the previous Bull Cycle, a +1400 rise has been a norm during that run, in fact the rally started after a +1467% rise, which got doubled on its on the subsequent two rallies to the market top. As a result, we expect at least another +1428% rise, thus putting our Target at a x10 state at $45.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:RUNEUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
BITCOIN has entered into early Parabolic Rally levels.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to close the month of July with a strong test-and-hold on its historic Parabolic Growth Channel, which is the zone that has signified its cyclical bottom and the recommended region to buy after a Bear Cycle. This marks the 5th straight month of sideways trading and as this 1M chart shows, this is a behavioral pattern that normally takes place before BTC starts its most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the 'Parabolic Rally'. What precedes this is of course the Accumulation Phase within the Parabolic Growth Channel. We are some months past this stage and based on the Time Cycles, the market has just entered the (green) region where the Parabolic Rally can start anytime. Do you expect that to start as early as next month? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Could price reverse from here?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could potentially reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 3,387.81 1st Support: 3,185.17 1st Resistance: 3,519.30 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDShort
by ICmarkets
ADA/USD secondary trend. Wedge. Mirror level.Local trading situation. A wedge is being formed. The price is at its resistance. Local targets in case of a breakout, as well as in case of further formation of a wedge in the zone of previous accumulation (redistribution is more correct). It is also worth noting that the price is also near the accumulation - redistribution range (the average price of the set is highlighted in green). This redistribution zone is accumulation on a larger scale of the chart Main trend. 1 month ADA/USD Main trend
Long
by SpartaBTC
5
ORDI/USDT Triangle Bullish arrow ( Buy ) The triangle pattern has broken through the resistance line on July 27, indicating a potential bullish price movement. This breakout suggests a shift in market sentiment towards a more positive outlook. Over the next 7 days, we could see the price potentially rise towards 53.0260. This target is derived by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance from the breakout point. Traders should watch for confirmation signals and consider this potential trend in their trading strategies.
Long
by arthurtanmoy
$CFX loadingAn inverse head and shoulders is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to identify potential bullish reversals in a downtrend. It consists of three parts: two shoulders and a head in between them. Here’s how you can trade the inverse head and shoulders pattern: ### Identification 1. **Left Shoulder**: The price declines to a new low, then rises. 2. **Head**: The price declines again, forming a lower low than the left shoulder, then rises. 3. **Right Shoulder**: The price declines once more, but not as low as the head, then rises. 4. **Neckline**: Draw a line connecting the peaks between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. This line is called the neckline. ### Trading Steps 1. **Confirmation**: - The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the neckline. Wait for a close above the neckline to confirm the breakout. 2. **Entry**: - Enter a long position (buy) once the price closes above the neckline. Conservative traders might wait for a retest of the neckline as support. 3. **Stop Loss**: - Place a stop loss below the lowest point of the right shoulder to minimize risk. 4. **Target Price**: - Measure the distance from the head to the neckline. Add this distance to the breakout point to set your target price. ### Example 1. **Identification**: Suppose the price forms the left shoulder at $40, drops to $30 to form the head, rises back to $35, then drops to $32 to form the right shoulder, and the peaks between these are at $35 and $34. 2. **Neckline**: Draw a line connecting $35 and $34. This is your neckline. 3. **Confirmation**: Wait for the price to break above the neckline (say at $34.50). 4. **Entry**: Enter a long position at $34.50. 5. **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss slightly below $32 (the right shoulder low), e.g., at $31.50. 6. **Target Price**: The distance from the head ($30) to the neckline ($34) is $4. Add this to the breakout point ($34.50) to get a target price of $38.50. ### Tips - **Volume**: Look for increasing volume on the breakout above the neckline. This adds confirmation to the pattern. - **Risk Management**: Always use stop losses and consider your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. - **Retests**: Sometimes, the price might retest the neckline after breaking out. This can be an additional entry point. ### Conclusion Trading the inverse head and shoulders pattern involves identifying the pattern, waiting for confirmation, entering at the right point, and managing risk with stop losses and profit targets. Always practice with paper trading or a demo account before using real money.
Long
by Crypto-Adda_Official
4
XRP Road MAPPrice Levels and Resistance Lines: The chart shows several horizontal resistance lines at different price levels such as $0.6025, $0.6135, $0.7915, $1.0260, $1.3437, $1.9716, and $4.1853. These lines are likely previous support and resistance levels where the price had significant interactions. Trend Lines:There are yellow downward and upward-sloping trend lines indicating bearish and bullish trends, respectively. The price has broken out of these trend lines multiple times, indicating shifts in the market sentiment. Pattern Formation: The chart shows a large triangle pattern with converging trend lines, suggesting a potential breakout. Smaller triangular patterns within the larger trend indicate periods of consolidation before the breakout. Measured Moves: Two measured moves are highlighted with blue rectangles, both showing a substantial 932.15% increase. These moves are indicative of significant upward momentum. The first move shows a price increase from approximately $0.19 to $1.97. The second projected move indicates a potential price increase from around $0.60 to the $4.18 target. Volume: The volume bar at the bottom indicates trading activity. Higher volume during breakouts and significant moves suggest stronger momentum. Current Price Action: The current price is around $0.6026, and it recently broke out of a consolidation pattern. The breakout suggests a bullish trend with potential targets at higher resistance levels. Key Observations: Support Levels: Around $0.59, $0.53, and $0.43. Resistance Levels: $0.6135, $0.7915, $1.0260, $1.3437, $1.9716, and $4.1853. Trend: The recent breakout suggests a bullish trend, with potential significant upward movement if momentum continues. Conclusion: The XRP/USDT pair appears to be in a bullish phase, with potential targets at higher resistance levels. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakout and volume to gauge the strength of the move. Monitoring support and resistance levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Long
by alemicihan
3
$AAVE BREAKOUT DONE ALSO RETESTED EURONEXT:AAVE BREAKOT Falling wedge in 1W TF Trading a falling wedge breakout involves identifying a chart pattern called a falling wedge and executing trades when the price breaks out of this pattern. Here are the steps you can follow: 1. **Identify the Falling Wedge:** - Look for a downtrend in the price movement. - Identify converging trendlines where the upper trendline (resistance) slopes down at a steeper angle than the lower trendline (support). - The pattern resembles a wedge pointing downwards. 2. **Confirm the Falling Wedge:** - Confirm the pattern using other technical indicators like volume. Ideally, during the formation of a falling wedge, the trading volume should decrease. 3. **Wait for Breakout:** - Patiently wait for a breakout to occur. Breakout refers to the point where the price moves above the upper trendline of the falling wedge. - The breakout should ideally be accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume, confirming the strength of the breakout. 4. **Entry Point:** - Enter a long (buy) position as soon as the price breaks above the upper trendline. - Some traders prefer to wait for a confirmed close above the upper trendline to reduce the risk of false breakouts. 5. **Stop-Loss Placement:** - Set a stop-loss order below the lower trendline or a recent swing low. This helps limit potential losses in case the breakout fails and the price moves back into the wedge. 6. **Target Price:** - Determine a target price based on the height of the wedge. Measure the distance from the widest part of the wedge to the starting point of the wedge and project that distance upwards from the breakout point. Remember that trading always involves risks, and it's crucial to have a well-thought-out strategy, risk management plan, and the discipline to stick to your plan.
Long
by Crypto-Adda_Official
Potential bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 3,068.18 1st Support: 2,879.57 1st Resistance: 3,373.99 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1