Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 3,314.10
1st Support: 3,213.30
1st Resistance: 3,501.74
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Cryptocurrencysignals
CARDANO Mega rally starting first to $3 then top expected at $5Last time we looked at Cardano (ADAUSD) we gave a confident medium-term buy signal (November 18 2024, see chart below):
Today, having seen a very strong closing to the year last week and especially since the price bounced off the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), we are making a long-term call towards the top of the Cycle.
Technically ADA's historic pattern is a Channel Up and if we draw its Fibonacci levels, the price is currently within the 0.5 - 0.618 range. That is exactly where it was during the same stage of the previous Cycle in January 2021. As the 0.5 Fib held, once it closed a 1W candle above the 0.618, the price skyrocketed to the 0.786 Channel Fib and tested the previous All Time High (ATH).
We can see the amazing symmetry between the Cycles on the 1W RSI fractals too. As a result, our next immediate Target for ADA is near the previous ATH at $3. Beyond that, we expect the Cycle to top at $5, which is marginally below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which was where the August 2021 Cycle Top was priced.
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BITCOIN New year, same thing..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just reclaimed the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) over the weekend and is so far successfully holding it below the price action, making it a Support.
The exact same price action took place in January last year (2024). In fact, as these 1D charts very vividly illustrate, the whole sequence from the September 06 2024 Low to today, is very similar to the sequence from the September 11 2023 Low to (so far) January 2024.
This incredible degree of symmetry is also extending to their 1D RSI and MACD fractals. The first formed Bearish Divergences under Lower Highs trend-lines, which when broken confirm the new rally, while the latter (MACD) was the early buy signal when it formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark.
If BTC continues to copy the January 2024 fractal, then we should be expecting a few more days of sideways price action, that will pave the way for the new (2nd) Rally Phase of the whole pattern. The 2nd rally peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 11 2023 Low, so if the pattern replication continues, we may see a peak above $150k.
So do you think the early 2024 bullish break-out will be repeated? And if yes, are you expecting a peak as high as $150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Potential bullish rise?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,834.51
1st Support: 3,255.58
1st Resistance: 3,834.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the Bitcoin reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 101,945.49
1st Support: 91,763.50
1st Resistance: 108,400.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
OPUSDT
Diamond Pattern and Price Movement:
This pattern, classified as a Diametric, signifies the completion of a corrective cycle and heralds the beginning of a new upward wave and bullish phase. The (g) wave has been identified as the final phase of this pattern.
Key Levels:
Optimal Entry Zone: Between $1.80 and $2.00.
Short-Term Price Targets:
Target 1: Around $3.30.
Target 2: Around $4.50.
Long-Term Price Target:
If the bullish structure is maintained, it is anticipated that the price may reach the $8.50 level within the next 250 days.
SUIUSD Still holding the 1D MA50 after 4 months! Bullish to $10.Sui (SUIUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 market bottom. The last 10 days of December are seeing a vicious test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is so far holding as Support.
In fact the last time we had a 1D candle close below it, was 4 months ago (September 05 2024). With the 1D RSI making a bullish reversal and breaking above its MA (yellow trend-line) while the 1D MACD is about to make a Bullish Cross, both indicators in similar fashion as the bottoms of October and September 2024, we treat the current consolidation above the 1D MA50 as the strongest buy signal of the past 2 months.
The previous two Bullish Legs both rose by exactly +219.25%, so our Target is currently a little below that margin at $10.000.
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BITCOIN Dominance drop is about to trigger a massive Altseason!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed December on a marginally bearish 1M candle and is expected to start the 3rd year (2025) of the current Bull Cycle on strong bullish pressure.
As you can see on this chart, BTC Dominance (blue trend-line) has started to decline already since October 2024. That is when Bitcoin completed 36 months (1096 days) from the previous Cycle top (green candle).
This is a highly cyclical pattern as BTC Dominance during previous Cycles dropped every time Bitcoin completed 36 months from the previous All Time High (ATH). That was when the Altseason started, which is the most aggressive part of the Altcoin market.
Based on this chart we are about to see an accelerated drop on Bitcoin's dominance, with earnings and added capital being transferred to Altcoins, causing a new Altseason.
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SOLUSD charging for the 1D MA50. New rally started.Solana (SOLUSD) made a new 10-day High as it is rising aggressively today towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the first level of Resistance. We expect this rally to be the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 5-month Channel Up for three reasons.
Firstly, last week's Low was exactly on Support Zone 2, which is the pivot level of the October 29 High. We've had the same bounce on Support Zone 1 when the previous Bullish Leg of the Channel Up started on September 06 2024.
Secondly, the December Low almost tested the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) before rebounding, which is the long-term Support. This is now exactly on the bottom of the Channel Up.
Thirdly, the December 22 Low also made the 1D RSI rebound on the oversold barrier (30.00). As you can see, every time the RSI touched this oversold level since April 13 2024, it was a strong buy signal to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, our short-term Target 1 is $242.00 (the 0.786 Fib). Beyond that, if the price breaks above Resistance 1 (265.00), we will buy the bullish break-out and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up at $380 (Target 2). As you can see, that would be a +119% rise from the December Low, similar to the % rise of the first Bullish Leg.
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DOGEUSD Don't let this consolidation discourage you.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading sideways for the past 10 days, ever since the December 20 Low, following the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bearish break-out from the December 08 High. That was a -45% decline and naturally the current inability to reclaim those levels has many investors worried.
Technically however, this is nothing more than a standard Accumulation Phase, where investors tend to take their time and buy DOGE below the 1D MA50 following a rally's correction. During this Bull Cycle, we have already seen two such phases and the one most common to the current one is the one exactly one year ago following the December 10 2023 High.
As you can see both of those Highs were formed after a 1D Golden Cross. The January - February 2024 Accumulation Phase took place also after the 1D RSI bottomed on the 34.00 level. After this 2-month consolidation, the price started the Parabolic Rally sequence that peaked on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
If the pattern continues to be repeated, we are looking at a $1.500 Target at least by March - April 2025.
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BITCOIN What lies ahead after this correction? The DXY x-factor.Bitcoin (BTCUS) is having in the past 2 weeks the technical correction is should based on the previous Bull Cycle. As you can see, since the U.S. elections it has rallied aggressively past its previous All Time High (ATH), same way it did in December 2020.
** Bitcoin and Doge during 2020 **
At the same time, the alt coin market was mostly consolidating in preparation of a bullish break-out. A representative example of such behavior would be Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) as seen in orange on this chart, which during BTC's December 2020 rally, it was consolidating/ pulling-back (green circle) from an initial rally. However it remained significantly below its previous ATH, the same way it is now.
** The DXY decline sparking crypto rallies **
Notice the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), displayed by the green trend-line on this chart. Right now it is has been rallying in the past three months, at the same time as Bitcoin has. In the previous Cycle in 2020, it hit a top during the COVID March 2020 market crash and with the smashing of the Interest Rates, it started a Channel Down decline that backed perfectly Bitcoin's rally. We has the exact same DXY-backed rally during Bitcoin's 2017 Bull Cycle.
As a result, we are seeing a paradox on the current Cycle: BTC entering its most aggressive phase (Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle and rallying despite DXY rising. That is attributed of course to a large extent to the huge ETF inflows (something that wasn't present in 2020).
** Overdue DXY decline? **
This leads us to believe that an overdue decline on the DXY, just as the Fed has initiated a new cut Cycle (as they did during the COVID crash), will push Bitcoin and especially the alts market, including Doge, to a new rally. Of course DXY's decline may not be as aggressive this time, as the stimulus shouldn't be that high (especially with Powell's recent remarks on a 2 rate cut expectation in 2025 instead of the previous projection of 4), but it could be enough to spark the final BTC rally of the Bull Cycle and the much anticipated Altseason.
So do you think the market will rally once more on a potential 'delayed' DXY drop? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ALTSEASON Merry Christmas with the biggest Buy Signal out there!First let's start this post by wishing Merry Christmas to the whole community!
It's yet again the total crypto market cap (excluding the top 10 tokens) that we are looking at as this time we have the strongest possible buy signal on the 1M chart! The 1M MA20 (blue trend-line) has completed a cross above the 1M MA50 (orange trend-line). The last time this happened was during the previous Bull Cycle on the most symmetric time possible, December 2020. In the meantime, the 1M CCI was almost at the same level (around 180.00).
This sense of highly cyclical repetition, indicates that the following months could be as aggressive as January - May 2021 for the market, when it topped on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the Cycle bottom. If that feat is repeated, we look towards a 1.65 Trillion market cap in 2025. We can't be more bullish for an upcoming Altseason than that!
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Alikze »» DYDX | Ready to break the congestion🔍 Technical analysis: Ready to break the congestion - 1W
📣 BINANCE:DYDXUSDT is in a consolidation on the weekly timeframe.
🟢 In the previous uptrend, it moved to the neckline, after which it faced selling pressure.
🟢 At present, the recent correction could be a pullback to the swing, and in the green box area, it could meet demand, break out of the consolidation and continue its growth to the next supply area.
🟢 In the event of any pullback to the next supply area, the bullish rally could continue to the next supply area.
💎 In addition, any correction should not be sharp and abrupt, and if the correction appears as a multi-wave zigzag, it can continue its growth to the next supply area.
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Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (NTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99,238.95
1st Support: 94,532.95
1st Resistance: 102,235.80
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Alikze »» ONE | Accumulation phase🔍 Technical analysis: The accumulation phase is ready for the bullish wave 3 rally - 1W
📣 BINANCE:ONEUSDT In the previous analysis, the weekly timeframe was corrected after hitting the supply zone, the details of which were examined.
🟢 On the weekly timeframe, it is in a three-year range in a concentration that is in the accumulation phase.
🟢 At present, given that the current supply zone has been consumed, we should wait for the zone break for the next supply zone.
🟢 Therefore, this upward leg will have the ability to grow to the neckline area, which can bring a 200-300% rally.
💎After breaking the second supply zone and consolidating above the area, it will have the ability to grow to the 84 cents area.
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Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 92,651.63
1st Support: 87,516.30
1st Resistance: 99,246.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends.
The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg.
** The Fibonacci Channel Up **
Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021.
As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle.
** The Phases and the high symmetry **
Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range.
As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did.
** Will we test the 1D MA100? **
But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top.
Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid).
** The remainder of the Bull Cycle **
Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000.
So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have.
What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Alikze »» GRT | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C scenario in the ascending channel - the target of the previous major ceiling - 1W
- In the previously presented analysis , a bearish flag pattern was observed, after which the BINANCE:GRTUSDT currency entered a correction phase, which was completed by the size of the correction flag bar in the Buyer Zone box.
- As can be seen, the weekly and daily timeframe is moving in an upward channel.
- Currently, a descending channel has been formed inside the ascending channel, the descending flag pattern has been completed in the Buyer Zone.
- Now, according to the current momentum, it can touch the neck line area in the first step.
💎 In addition, an AB=CD pattern has been formed, and the above modification is a response to the mentioned pattern.
- So it can include a motivational wave in the form of wave 3 or bigger C, which can crown the previous major ceiling.
⚠️ Note: It should be noted that if the bottom area is touched before, the ascending scenario will be invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago.
As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again.
The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively).
As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000.
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