LTC/USD Secondary trend (part). 09 12 2023Logarithm. Time frame 1 day. Part of the secondary trend. Channel to work, price consolidation in its lower part. A high probability of an upward exit from it. Key levels are shown by arrows. Percentages for clarity and target orientation similarly.
This is how it looks like on a line chart without "market noise". .
Double bottom with a flat top in an accumulation channel. Post-halving time.
A local uptrending channel that has a double bottom with a flat top. This is a strong bullish pattern that says price is (this accumulation zone) at the lows of the trend initiation. The last cycle after the capitulation (end of the participation phase) of all liquid instruments (this is important) began with this structure, which is a display of the actions, first of all, of large market participants that have an impact on pricing (holding). For example, look at the bitcoin 2020 chart and this structure. Similar to what happened on LTC a few months after the halving.
Major trend. Cycles. Super profits.
LTC is a cryptocurrency that has survived many cycles and has not depreciated completely, although it can be seen that the capitalization and leadership positions are not able to compete with the new 2 cycle HYIP giants.
From the position of the cycle before last (distributions, i.e. highs) 2017, this cryptocurrency is on a big super profit. There are very few cryptocurrencies in the crypto market that are in their main trend in an uptrend and are on super profits relative to previous cycles. LTC is one of them. As a rule, the opposite is true. It is clear that the main major holders in most cases for such a long period of existence in the crypto market, LTC has already been repeatedly changed. But with this logic of the price chart, which is displayed on a long history and on a large time frame, should be considered and taken into account in its risk management.
Major trend. Time frame 1 month.
Cryptocurrencysignals
BITCOIN Is the correction over??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed yesterday a -21.14% decline from its January All Time High (ATH). This move made new 3-month lows for the market and naturally accelerated the fears of a Cycle peak and the start of a new Bear Market.
Zooming out to the larger time-frames however, we can see that the trend remains heavily bullish within this Bull Cycle's dominant pattern, the Channel Up since August 2021. In fact the current -21.14% pull-back is identical with the Minor Correction Phase (orange) the pattern had during July - September 2023. The similarities don't stop there. That Minor Correction bottomed a little before touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.382 Fib on the current Phase is at $81000, while the 1W MA50 is a little lower. The 1D RSI however has already breached the oversold barrier (<30.00) as on the August 14 2023 Low.
That wasn't the only time the 1D RSI tested the oversold barrier. The last time it was on the week of July 01 2024, during another pull-back, this time the Major Correction Phase. That was considerably longer and stronger (-33.28%), which did hit the 1W MA50 in order to bottom, and as you can see it hasn't been the only major pull-back of the Channel Up. The other Major Correction Phase was at the start of the pattern (Aug - Nov 2022), which measured a -38.47% decline.
As you see, there is a high degree of symmetry among Major and Minor Correction Phases, so there is a high probability that BTC has now bottomed on its new Minor Correction Phase. If not, a bottom level candidate will be waiting a little above $81k and the 0.382 Fib.
The minimum rally following a correction bottom has been +95.95%, so if BTC repeats that from yesterday's Low, we are looking at a new Higher High exactly at the top of the Channel Up at $169000.
So do you think we've see the bottom on this technical correction or we are due some more towards $81k before rebounding? And if so, are you expecting a final rally towards $169k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Is this a healthy Bull Cycle pullback or new BEAR CYCLE?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle?
Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well.
Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment.
As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases.
As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard.
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ONYXUSDTBased on this wave count and other considerations, we are probably in wave 4 and the areas indicated on the chart are ideal ranges for the bottom of wave 4 and the hunt for wave 5.
Buying spot this currency around $0.011 to $0.0125 seems low-risk and reasonable.
March 5th to 10th is an ideal time zone for the end of wave 4.
Just an analysis that could easily be wrong.
BITCOIN Can it reach 200k by the end of the year?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under a heavy consolidation for the whole month of February bringing discomfort to the market, which thought that an immediate rally in 2025 was in order. Libra's rug pull and last week's ByBit's hack didn't help, quite the contrary, the first calls of a Bear Market have started to resurface again.
This chart on the 1W time-frame however, pays good justice as to the situation BTC is currently facing. First of all, the price has dropped below the Mayer Multiple 1SD above (grey trend-line), which is not encouraging as in the previous Cycle this only happened in mid-May 2021 and in the two Cycles before, didn't happen until the new Bear Cycles started.
This isn't however that alarming as it was natural for Bitcoin to be more aggressive during its first years, with the price so low (and with much greater potential ahead of it) and the market capitalization still in infant stages.
This is why, as you may notice, the Parabolic Channels get less and less aggressive on each passing Cycle, with the current one being the most 'conservative' of all. This explains why last Cycle 'only' hit the MM 2SD above (orange trend-line), while the two Cycles before that easily hit and broke above the MM 3SD above.
Naturally, we may assume the following to parameters for the remainder of the current Bull Cycle:
a) It is not necessary to hit the MM 2SD above again, in fact it is more likely not to do so.
b) Since the last two Cycles both lasted 1064 days (152 weeks) from their Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle top, we can expect the current one to top around October 06 2025.
Despite those limitations, BTC can hit the $200k mark based on the tranjectory of the current Parabolic Channel, which would still be considerably below the MM 2SD above, by the end of 2025.
Do you think that's realistic to expect or $200000 is too much to expect during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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SOLUSD Megaphone bottomed. $205 min and $340 max Targets.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Megaphone pattern, which technically had the price bottomed on its Lower Lows 3 days ago. That bottom was also a 1D RSI oversold barrier (30.00) test, which is exactly where the December 22 2024 Low was priced.
Being below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural short-term Target is again the 1D MA50 at $205.00, similar to the January 03 test.
On the longer term, if SOL makes a 1W candle closing above the 1D MA50, we can resume buying and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone at $340, which is where the 1.236 Fibonacci extension is, exactly where the January 19 High was priced.
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DOGEUSD Fibonacci Channel 'guarantees' rally to at least $1.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has held perfectly its 1W MA50 two weeks ago, rebounded and is now consolidating. This consolidation shouldn't last for too long as based on the previous Cycles, this 1W MA50 test was the new bottom the should lead to the final year (2025) rally.
As you can see, DOGE's historic pattern since its first trading day has been a Channel Up, which with the added element of the Fibonacci lines, only broke during the 2021 Top formation on its 1.5 Fib extension.
A key characteristic of the final year of each Bull Cycle is that after a 1W Golden Cross is formed, the price has always first hit the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) 2SD above (thin orange trend-line) and shortly after the MMB 3SD above (thin red trend-line).
So far the current Cycle had hit the MMB 2SD on its December High and based on the pace with which this Cycle is unfolding (the higher the cap the slower the pace), it is unlikely to see a MMB 3SD test shortly.
However the Fibonacci Channel along with the MMB gives in our opinion two Target levels for this final year of the Cycle, a fair one and an optimistic. The fair one is at $1.00, which would make a perfect test of both the MMB 3SD and the 1.0 Fib ext at the top of the Channel Up. The optimistic is at $3.5 (potentially even higher), which would be exactly on the 1.618 horizontal Fibonacci extension (still below the 1.5 Channel Fib), which was the January 2018 Cycle Top and of course was greatly exceeded during the May 2021 Cycle Top.
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BITCOIN Is the USDT dominance about to spark new rally to $150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a fierce consolidation the past few weeks, a lagging price action not helped at all by the recent market fundamentals.
From a technical view point though, the current BTC market structure is a Re-accumulation Phase similar to the Re-accumulation Phases of both previous Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom.
Those Re-accumulation Phases took place when the USDT dominance (chart on the right) posted a peaking 1D RSI struture similar to today's and the DXY (blue trend-line) was having a pull-back.
The current technical sequences matches the exact Re-accumulation Phases of BTC, which took place around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If we apply this Fib structure now, even assuming the less ideal scenario that the 0.5 Fib is on the January 13 Low and not in the middle of the Re-accumulation, we get a potential Target for the upcoming rally at $150k.
SO what do you think? Can this unique USDT dominance pattern spark a new rally on Bitcoin to 150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TELUSD Small technical correction before rise to 0.02850Telcoin (TELUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 08 2024 Low. The price has seen strong growth last week but is being corrected the past two days. Technically, this is a short-term pull-back within the long-term bullish trend.
In fact, based on the first phase of the pattern, this is the Re-accumulation stage, which in the past has followed the first rally after the main Accumulation Stage. As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supports, we expect TEL to resume the uptrend and, similar to November 2024, complete the Bullish Leg on the 5.0 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 0.02850.
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Btcusd Bullishi will be observing manipulation that will last for almost 22 days for this quarter . i am leaning bullish its early to say but still i am bullish on btc 108k is imminent. we opened in discount and manipulation is likely to the lower side so a move to upside is possible.
My insta handle :
asad_chaudhry_
BITCOIN Decoding the current consolidation. $112k to print soon.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating within roughly a 5000 range (100k - 94.1k) for the past 12 days. During all this time, it's been testing but never closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). There hasn't been a tighter consolidation of this duration in the past year and there is a technical explanation behind it.
The 3-month pattern has been a Channel Up and the last sub-1D MA50 consolidation before the current one, has been its previous bottom formation on its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D RSI sequences between the two bottom fractals are so far identical and it appears that we are now on the way to complete Leg (f), which is the final step before a Double Bottom is formed. A new 1D MACD Bullish Cross may come as confirmation of the new Bullish Leg.
As a result, the market is close to its most optimal buy opportunity. Given that a 1.5 Fibonacci extension Target has been a fair expectation within this Channel Up, our medium-term Target on BTC after the new Bullish Cross would be $112000, which is still below the 1.5 Fib ext and very close to the top of the Channel Up.
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XRPUSD Don't miss this rally to $12.500Last time we analyzed XRP (November 16 2024, see chart below), we called the start of the new Parabolic Rally of the Cycle:
As you can see it couldn't be more timely, as the rally started on the aggressive mode of 2017 and easily broke above last Cycle's Top. Since the 2017 is the path it chose, we take a closer look today between the two Cycles in order to formulate the next Target.
XRP's 2017 Cycle is characterized by three separate rallies and amazingly enough, all three have been of around +1300%. Assuming the 2025 rally phase holds the same degree of symmetry among its different rallies, we can assume that since November - January has shown a +600% rise roughly, we should be expecting the new that is starting to be of the same % increase.
This gives us a $12.500 Target.
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XLMUSD Is this its Cycle Top??Stellar (XLMUSD) is picking up the bullish sentiment today having just completed a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame. Last time we viewed this (November 01 2024, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal, which paid off immediately:
Having failed to cross above the Lower Highs trend-line though, we are now more concerned as the last 1W Golden Cross (March 01 2021) was formed just 40 days before the Top of the previous Bull Cycle.
As long as the price trades below the Lower Highs trend-line, the probability for a new bearish move is strengthened. What is also supporting this is that the 1W RSI resembles the pattern of both the May 2021 and January 2018 Cycle Tops.
At the same time though, it is quite similar to the May - September 2017 RSI pattern, whose XLM price action was nothing but a Bull Flag that after touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), rebounded aggressively above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension slightly to form the Jan 2018 Cycle Top.
As a result, we recommend to resume buying only if the price breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line and target 2.2500 (the 1.618 Fib extension).
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BITCOIN bounced on last Cycle's Pivot and targets $125k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating every since the Double All Time High (ATH) formation of December and January. As we've pointed out in previous analyses, this is similar to the December 2023 - January 2024 consolidation.
What we haven't seen before and we bring it forward to you today, is that the January 2025 Low was priced exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line that emerged from the November 2021 and April 2021 Highs, i.e. the previous Cycle's tops!
To make things more interesting, we can see an identical Higher Highs trend-line that held the January 2024 Low (of the similar consolidation phase we discuss above) with an identical 1W RSI sequence as well. That was what initiated the February - March 2024 rally.
Assuming the current Low holds, BTC should kick start any time now the new 2025 Bullish Leg, which technically eyes the Higher Highs trend-line of the current Bull Cycle (dotted line). Even if it starts as early as this week, it should target at least $125000.
Do you think that is a plausible scenario, assuming the former Higher Highs trend-line, which has now turned to a pivot, holds? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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KASUSD Channel Down bottom rebound. When to sell again?Kaspa (KASUSD) is trading within a (blue) Channel Down pattern since the July 31 2024 High. The formation only broke for 4 days last December. Last Monday, the price touched the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down and today we see the technical rebound reaction in full effect.
The 1D RSI turning oversold (<30.00) is a major part of this. The current Bullish Leg should target at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.12500, as all 3 previous rebounds within the long-term Channel Down did.
It is very likely to see a rejection there, as it is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the diverging (dotted) Channel Down, which was initiated on the December 08 2024 High. We expect the bearish reversal to hit at least 0.07500, potentially at the same time the 1D RSI turns oversold again.
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BITCOIN This is what happened on the last 1D MA100 double test.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles.
We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame.
As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections.
As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought).
But what do you think? Is BTC starting a rally to at least $108000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 97,706.94
1st Support: 91,311.03
1st Resistance: 101,849.75
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RARE ANALYSIS📊 #RARE Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #RARE performed same. Around 300+% move done in #RARE. Same technical analysis here.🧐
Here we can see the price is around its major support zone. 2 times bullish move from the same support point.
👀Current Price: $0.0690
🚀 Target Price: $0.01390
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #RARE price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#RARE #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
SOLUSD Triple bottom initiates new rally to $380.Solana (SOLUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 29 2024 High. The recent February 03 2025 Low isn't just a Higher Low on the Channel Up but also a Triple Bottom on the Support Zone and a Double Bottom on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
Needless to say, this shows that technically this is a level of high demand, thus long-term Support and within the next 30 days maximum, it should initiate the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, similar to the September 06 2024 Low. Even the 1D RSI sequences between those fractals are identical.
Since the previous Bullish Leg rose be +119.43%, we see no reason to do otherwise now, hence our new long-term Target is set a $380.00.
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BITCOIN Pure 2-month symmetry targets $102.5k and $108k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically consolidating for more than 2 months (since November 22 2024) within a Rectangle pattern and what's more striking is the amazing symmetry it has been displaying.
Right now the price has broken above a Lower Highs trend-line following the February 03 2025 Low near the Rectangle's Bottom and every time it has done so within this pattern, a rally towards the Higher Highs trend-line started.
It is interesting to mention that so far the range from the first High to the last High of this trend-line has been 101 4H candles (roughly 25 days). Since on the new (blue) phase that started on the February 03 High, we had our first, we can expect it to conclude near the top of the Rectangle by February 26.
This technical symmetry can help us set our next short-term Targets. Target 1 is at $102500, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 1 and Target 2 is at $108000, just below Symmetrical Resistance Zone 2 (top of the Rectangle as mentioned). Needless to say, the current 4H RSI pattern resembles the bullish break-outs above both of the previous first Lower Highs fractals.
Do you think this symmetry will play out in the same way once again? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN You can't get a more bullish symmetry than this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals.
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at.
In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up.
As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry.
The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.618 Fib at $145000.
Can this be the case by March/ April 2025 or is it to soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TONUSD Be ready for $12.00 this Summer.It has been almost 5 months (September 12, see chart below) since the last time we analyzed Toncoin (TONUSD) and made our bearish call:
As you can see, it successfully hit our 3.50 Target and the 0.618 Fibonacci level. With that being a direct contact with the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up, while the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00), we expect the new Bullish Leg to start.
All previous oversold RSI hits (with the exception of Aug 05 2024) have been bottoms and with +300% being a standard rise within this pattern, we expect to see $12.000 as the next High.
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