BITCOIN Global bonds and Yuan signal a strong rally ahead.Those who follows for long know that this is not the first time we mix bonds and Chinese liquidity into Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) long-term analysis. We do so as more than a year ago we discovered their importance on BTC's trending patterns, which is so much affected by the monetary supply.
This time we decided to incorporate a fair Global Bonds Yield pool metric (blue trend-line) as well as the DXY/USDCNY ratio (red trend-line) in order to see on which stage of the liquidity cyclical patterns we are.
Global bonds trading within a +10 year Channel Down but are on the new Bullish Leg. It still has a full year before it hit the top and last time it was on this symmetrical level, Bitcoin was starting a Parabolic Rally. At the same time the DXY/USDCNY ratio is having the recent June rebound rejected (red circle) in the same way it did on November 2016. BTC is already three strong bullish months in, rising since September.
Do you think this is the start of a +1 year parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
KCSUSDT You can still make profit on this rally.The KuCoin Token (KCSUSDT) is having a remarkable rally since November 05, which the last 2 days in particular being the strongest of the sequence. This sequence is supported by a Higher Lows trend-line, moving parallel to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Having broken above the Bear Cycle's Channel Down, the trend turned parabolically bullish and has already smashed through one 18 month Resistance level. As long as the Higher Lows hold, there is still time to buy and take advantage of this momentum, to target the next Resistance in line at 18.000.
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OOKI / USDT - Bullish but maybe have pullback firstShow some strong signs:
1: Fake breakout at 0.002100 level
2: wait VWAP breakout and hold
there are 2 Scenarios
First: if level 0.002100 hold
Target
1. 0.002550 or 200 MA
Second: if 0.002100 break down
Target
1. 0.001785
BITCOIN still trading very similarly to 2016. Still missing out?We have published quite a handful of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analyses that compare in detail the current Cycle with that of 2014 - 2017. A representative sample of such study is the one below that we made on July 31:
People were still in denial that BTC would extend the recover that started after the FTX crash but we analyzed in detail why we thought that was the case. As you can see the classification in phases helped a lot and turned out to be very accurate at least so far.
** Pre Halving caution? **
So what now? The price has come very close to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which on the week of June 13 2016 cause a strong rejection which in the next 7 weeks extended as low as the 0.5 Fib and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
** Are we accelerating on this Cycle? **
However that was after that Cycle's Halving (no 2, week of July 04 2016) and at the moment we are roughly 18 weeks (126 days) before (the next) Halving 4. If the recent phase has been indeed accelerated by the ETF speculation, then we have already entered the last period before the true parabolic rally of the Bull Cycle, what you can see on the chart as the '0.786 to ATH' range, which was 37 weeks (259 days) from the 0.786 Fib High (June 13 2016) to the 1W candle that made a new All Time High (ATH) on February 27 2017. According to that model, we can expect prices above 65000 by August 19 2024 (notice that even the ATH is on Nov 08 2021, the Fibs were taken from the April 12 2021 High, the true Cycle Top based on the 1W RSI).
** The underlying RSI trend-line **
Speaking of the 1W RSI, on top of the previous, very accurate pattern, I have identified an underlying trend-line (dashed) which shows that after it made a fake-out break above it, the RSI pulled-back on the recent lows Support, where the price's 0.5 Fib and 1W M50 cluster was. You can use that as an additional indicator to accumulate more BTC before the ATH gets tested.
So what do you think? Will Bitcoin pull back that much before the Halving and the eventual ATH test or you think we are going straight to +65k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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🚀🛫 BTCUSD ) 1D tame fram) bullish) 🗺️🗺️Hello taser’s what do you think about btcusd)?
traders are expected btc uSdt next move in this week’s hitting 45k 47k listing targets 50k £ 25k breakout hitting 31k breakout hitting 38k
breakout 44k next breakout hitting 50k 🎯
Ordinals on Bitcoin have ignited significant debates that have polarized the crypto community, casting a shadow on the ORDI token price.
The discourse has intensified over the past week as core developers vow to censor Bitcoin Oridnals, with industry leaders like Max Keiser labeling them as a “bug” on the network.
Will Ordinals Be Censored?
The concerns were raised when Bitcoin core developer Luke Dashjr described it as a “vulnerability” spamming the blockchain. Dashjr later revealed that the bug concerns have entered the US National Vulnerability Database as CVE-2023-50428.
Bitcoin podcaster Peter McCormack shed further light on the contentious nature of Ordinals. He emphasized that these assets fail to benefit those utilizing Bitcoin for payments as they only contribute to a high-fee environment.💥
LTC/USD Secondary trend (part). 09 12 2023Logarithm. Time frame 1 day. Part of the secondary trend. Channel to work, price consolidation in its lower part. A high probability of an upward exit from it. Key levels are shown by arrows. Percentages for clarity and target orientation similarly.
This is how it looks like on a line chart without "market noise". .
Double bottom with a flat top in an accumulation channel. Post-halving time.
A local uptrending channel that has a double bottom with a flat top. This is a strong bullish pattern that says price is (this accumulation zone) at the lows of the trend initiation. The last cycle after the capitulation (end of the participation phase) of all liquid instruments (this is important) began with this structure, which is a display of the actions, first of all, of large market participants that have an impact on pricing (holding). For example, look at the bitcoin 2020 chart and this structure. Similar to what happened on LTC a few months after the halving.
Major trend. Cycles. Super profits.
LTC is a cryptocurrency that has survived many cycles and has not depreciated completely, although it can be seen that the capitalization and leadership positions are not able to compete with the new 2 cycle HYIP giants.
From the position of the cycle before last (distributions, i.e. highs) 2017, this cryptocurrency is on a big super profit. There are very few cryptocurrencies in the crypto market that are in their main trend in an uptrend and are on super profits relative to previous cycles. LTC is one of them. As a rule, the opposite is true. It is clear that the main major holders in most cases for such a long period of existence in the crypto market, LTC has already been repeatedly changed. But with this logic of the price chart, which is displayed on a long history and on a large time frame, should be considered and taken into account in its risk management.
Major trend. Time frame 1 month.
LUNC/USDT Major trend. Downward wedge. Breakout.Logarithm. Time interval 3 days.
Locally 1 day .
Still, price is moving after the breakdown of the wedge (all the price drop in 10.5 months) in the area of the level 0.00008963. Percentages as before to key resistance levels, nothing has changed at the moment. Showed stop loss accumulation zones, this is very important to understand on such cryptocurrencies with high-risk and low liquidity. Perhaps there will be news for the chart soon. You should definitely get rid of such assets when pumping.
Linear without "market noise" .
Cryptographic Truth Part 3 (Chainlink)TThe fractal continues to play out with amazing accuracy in timing and degree of angle; it's pretty amazing to see it play out live. I closed my leverage long at 13 dollars; it was an amazing run, but the risk is far too high for me now. I will explain why below.
In two days now, according to the fractal, we will start a fairly deep pullback that will shake out a lot of traders. Let's take a look at the RSI levels on the 2-day chart.
As you can see, we are at extreme overbought levels on the RSI. In the entire LINK history, only five times have we come to these levels.
So what you can see here is that when we break the range and reach our first local top of this zigzag pattern, the RSI comes to this exact level. So I believe we are very close to this local top and the first pullback in this fractal.
The last two times we broke ranges, we had pretty deep pullbacks. The first time was 40%, and the second time was 27%. The next Fib target is 15 dollars, a 0.618 retracement from there would be 10.2 dollars, and a 32% pullback, which would be the deepest pullback in an uptrend LINK would do.
Something I've talked about a lot is LINK/BTC dominance, and that is the most bullish chart for me. Price is good, but the dominance chart right now has broken the 1/1 Gann; it's time for turbo mode.
It is day 343 of this pattern, mirroring its predicted every move to the up and down for a year. To ignore it now and say in 2 days it's going to decouple and carry on up, blasting till 50 dollars, is a dream. We trust in the fractal and RSI historical data!
Now is the time to bring out the secret weapon; it's been some time since we used it and published it.
USDT dominance chart has been the key for me, hitting so many home runs really. This channel I have been following for years has predicted every top and bottom for years.
It's been straightforward when we get to the top or bottom of this channel, and right now there is still room to run.
If it's December 15th and we are at the bottom of this channel, which is the same time Chainlink should top out on this macro move, the top is in!
The perfect sell signal comes in if those two things happen at once!
This is another secret weapon, it's a Chainlink chart, and we basically still have room to run for now also.
The stage is set for a pullback at around 14-15 dollars. I won't be shorting it but preparing for a new long position if that pullback comes down into the 22nd of November.
SOLANA Close to breaking above the 1-year Channel Up.Solana (SOLUSD) made a bulls eye on our $65.00 July 27 target (see chart below) and is now attempting a critical break-out:
More specifically is it the second time it makes a marginal breach at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been in absolute Support during October - November's parabolic run. Technically if SOL does close the candle above the Channel Up, it opens the way for a 144.00 Resistance 1 (April 02 2022 High) test, as long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) supports.
However it has to pointed out that this is the first time on a Channel Up top that the 1D RSI's Lower Highs are flashing a Bearish Divergence. DUring the other two tops, it was alighed with the Lower Highs of the price.
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Altseason Indicator Total 3 - capitalization without BTC and ETHLogarithm. Time frame 1 month. The chart shows two major and one minor cycle of pumping alts and the market as a whole. This chart emphasizes the time of alts pumping without taking into account the heavyweights BTC and ETH , which occupy a huge share of the crypto market.
That is, directly makes it clear when the long-awaited alt season begins. All major previous and future alt season on the chart. Note that these are the maximum prices for most altcoins in a certain phase of the market. Be sure to clean out your pockets alts during these times.
The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, there is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are in the final accumulation phase.
Note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there won't be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively , but that's not the point).
That is, as soon as the reversal levels (marked in yellow) are broken through - the prices of these groups of assets begin to rise. The "participation" phase is launched on the market. That is the price movement to the distribution zones.
As a rule, by this phase of the market ( distribution ) capitalization grows 10 times , prices accordingly. This is the time - "the hamster is not scared", i.e. the time when one should get rid of (lock in super profits) from "promising crypto garbage".
Below provided is a basic variation of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pumps/dumps or market phase changes. These types of "ideas" are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the point
1) Market capitalization of different assets:
Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $
Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $
Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $
2) DeFI projects:
Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market
3) Major Stablecoins:
Market cap USDT - USDT capitalization in $
Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % terms of dominance to the whole market
Market cap USDC - USDC capitalization in $
Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
4) Bit cocaine
Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $
Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
5) Ethereum
Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $
Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market.
6) USD index (DXY)
The US Dollar cyrrency index is the most important indicator of the pamp/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto).
Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. .
Below I will publish similar ideas — indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
MobileCoin (MOB) completed setup for upto 19.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of MobileCoin (MOB) with US Dollar pair.
In recent trade the price of MOB was moved slightly down than buying zone, however, recovered soon and pumped almost 20% as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, MOB has formed a bullish Cypher move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
WEMIXUSD Targeting $6.000 after the next pull-back.WEMIX (WEMIXUSD) broke yet above another Resistance (2.7675) yesterday as well as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. It is about to complete a +160% rise from the previous Low, which is the % range that the previous two bullish legs have registered before pulling back since the August 17 low. The next Resistance level is at 4.700 almost exactly on the 0.618 retracement level, but after the expected pull-back now, our target will be higher, another +160% leg at $6.000.
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RSK Infrastructure Framework (RIF) | A setup for upto 22.50%Hi friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of RSK Infrastructure Framework (RIF).
Recently we caught almost 42% pump of RIF as below:
Now on a 2-hr time frame, RIF with BTC pair has formed a bullish Shark move for a bullish reversal move.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITCOIN Megaphone breached! How high can the price go?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yesterday above the Bullish Megaphone pattern that kept it at bay since the October 24 High. The previous Bullish Megaphone of September - October technically served as a consolidation belt before the price broke upwards to deliver a +31.86% peak from the Megaphone's last Higher Low and +40.50% from its first Low.
The ROC shows a similar behavioral structure between the two patterns. If it continues this way, then a new +31.50% leg will make a perfect contact on 48220, which is the March 28 2022 High, essentially the Bear Cycle's first Lower High and a key Resistance level of the current Bull Cycle. Technically, as long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds (has been doing so since Sep 28), that is a realistic end target for this bullish wave.
But what do you think? Do you agree that this is a likely extension for this rally before the price pulls back or you expect a pull back now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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HNTUSD 1W MA100 only barrier before $12.500Helium (HNTUSD) is on an enormous rise that just reached the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the Bear Cycle correction, headed towards the Supply/ Demand Equilibrium Zone. That's also trading towards that Zone is the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), the last long-term Resistance of the market. We expect a rejection there and a pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to attract new buyers. Once HNT closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA100, we will target 12.500, which is both the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the June 10 2022 High.
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Tron (TRX) completed setup for upto 16% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Tron (TRX) with BTC pair.
Previously we caught more than 10% pump of TRX as below:
Now on a daily time frame, TRX formed a bullish AB=CD move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITCOIN Hello April 2022! 40k cleared!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above the psychological 40000 mark, trading now even above 41k. Those are levels that we haven't seen since the week of April 18 2022! And we don't know yet where this euphoric (on Fed, ETF anticipation) candle will stop.
Technically, the next Resistance level is the 48220 High that was the first Lower High made after the November 2021 All Time High, on the week of March 28 2022. With the current trend structure it is not unrealistic to hit this zone as the pattern remains a Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom. The current bullish leg resembles that of March 2023 and the price action now is on a course to price the new Higher High near the 48220 Resistance.
Beyond that it is high speculation but if it continues to repeat the waves of the Channel Up and the sequence after the April 10 2023 High, we could see a Falling Wedge bottoming close to Halving 4 (expected in April 2024) and as you are all aware of, the supply shock that the Halving causes to BTC, should gradually set in motion the Parabolic Rally of the Bull Cycle.
In addition to the above, BTC is about to complete in the next 2-3 weeks the first ever Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame, which is when the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). It will be really interesting to see how the market will react for the first time to such a bullish technical pattern.
But what do you think? Do you think that Channel Up is too scripted to be true? If not, can Bitcoin test 48k next straight away or a pull-back to test the middle/ bottom of the Demand Zone would be more realistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Gitcoin (GTC) completed setup for the next pumpHi dear friends , hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Gitcoin (GTC) token with USD pair.
Previously we caught almost 23% of GTC as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, GTC formed a bullish BAT move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
Trade signal | Aergo completed setup for upto 22.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Aergo token.
Previously we caught almost 87% pump of AERGO as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, AERGO with BTC pair has formed a bullish Gartley move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.