KASUSD Pull-back soon, which will be a buy opportunity.Kaspa (KASUSD) has been on a 5-day bullish run as it first consolidated on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 5-month Channel Up, solidifying it as the Support.
The 1D RSI is extremely overbought above 80.00 and soon that should transcend into a technical pull-back. The current rise resembles that of June, which extended to +105%, then pulled-back near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA50 and started the final and most aggressive leg of +155% to the Channel's new Higher High.
As a result we will look to buy at the end of a potential 1 week pull-back and target 0.16000 (estimated +155%).
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Cryptocurrencysignals
NEOUSD Amazing rally but it's coming to an end for now.NEO (NEOUSD) had the strongest 1W green candle last week since April 2021, which was towards the end of the previous Bull Cycle. Even though it broke above the 1W MA50 (green trend-line) for the first time since December 06 2021, also using the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, the rally stopped on Resistance 1 (15.7500). This is technically putting an end to this hyper aggressive bullish sequence, until we see a week closing above it. The 1W RSI also got rejected on the 70.00 overbought barrier.
A similar price action was seen during the accumulation phase of the previous Cycle and fractal wise we could be in a similar situation as the October 28 2019High. Of course this time, the 1W MA100 broke, while in that past phase it broke after Bitcoin's Halving. Regardless of that, we may have an opportunity to buy NEO on the 1W MA50 again, unless it closes a 1W candle above Resistance 1 first. In both cases, the target is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 29.00.
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BITCOIN Closer to the Parabolic Rally than we think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) typically starts the (final and most aggressive) Parabolic Rally sequence of the Bull Cycle straight after each Halving event. The next one (Halving 4) is expected in April 2024. Not too far away but the Vortex Indicator (VI) and Bollinger Bands Width (BBW) on the 2M time-frame show, we may be on the verge of starting it before the Halving.
As you can see, the BBW historically bottoms after the Halving and may have as a Support a (dotted) Lower Lows trend-line. It is on course to bottom there in March 2024. But it is the VI, which may only be max 2 months away from making a Bullish Cross, which is a formation it has historically done right before BTC starts a long-term sequence of straight green candles (Parabolic Rally) straight to the Bull Cycle's peak.
As a result, we may see this cross taking place on the next 2M candle (Jan 2024). What do you think? Can it be that we are that closer to the start or a "green only candle rally" than we think? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHUSD SELL | Day Trading Analysis Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity ETHUSD
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$REN near to Breakout Trading a descending broadening wedge pattern involves a systematic approach to identify potential entry and exit points. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to trade a descending broadening wedge:
**1. Identify the Descending Broadening Wedge:**
- First, you need to recognize the pattern on a price chart. Look for two converging trendlines with the upper trendline sloping down more gradually than the lower trendline. This pattern typically forms during a downtrend.
**2. Confirm the Pattern:**
- Confirm the descending broadening wedge by ensuring that the price touches both the upper and lower trendlines at least twice.
**3. Entry Point:**
- Trading the descending broadening wedge involves waiting for a breakout. You can choose to enter a trade when the price breaks above the upper trendline (bullish breakout) or below the lower trendline (bearish breakout).
- It's essential to wait for confirmation through a strong candle close outside the trendlines and, preferably, with increased trading volume.
**4. Set Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels:**
- Implement risk management by setting stop-loss and take-profit levels. A common approach is to place your stop-loss just below the lower trendline (for a bullish trade) or above the upper trendline (for a bearish trade).
- Take-profit levels can be determined by measuring the widest part of the wedge and projecting it in the direction of the breakout. This gives you a target price.
**5. Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Ensure that your potential reward (profit) justifies the risk (loss) you're taking. A common rule of thumb is to aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2, meaning your potential profit should be at least twice the size of your potential loss.
**6. Monitor the Trade:**
- Once you enter the trade, monitor it closely. Pay attention to how the price behaves around your stop-loss and take-profit levels.
- Consider moving your stop-loss to break-even or trailing it as the price moves in your favor to protect your gains.
**7. Trade Management:**
- If the trade goes against you and the price reverses inside the wedge, consider exiting the trade to limit losses.
- If the price breaks out in your favor, let the trade run until it reaches your predetermined take-profit level or until you see signs of a trend reversal.
**8. Trade Psychology:**
- Stick to your trading plan and avoid emotional decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, so it's essential to have a clear plan and discipline.
**9. Confirm the Trend Reversal:**
- Keep an eye on other technical and fundamental indicators to confirm the potential trend reversal suggested by the descending broadening wedge. Additional confirmation can improve the reliability of your trade.
Remember that trading involves risk, and not all pattern breakouts result in profitable trades. It's crucial to practice risk management and only trade patterns like the descending broadening wedge when you have a clear plan and confidence in your analysis. Additionally, consider using other technical and fundamental analysis tools in conjunction with pattern recognition to make informed trading decisions.
$iris started.. Breakout gonna huge NSE:IRIS Performing Falling wedge in 1D Keep eye on Breakout
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
BITCOIN Will a BTC ETF mirror Gold's post approval +350% rise?Undoubtedly it's been the talk of the year. We are talking of course about a potential Bitcoin ETF approval by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Many analysts believe that BTC's recent rise has been due to euphoria on a potential positive result. Expectations certainly are not always met but this time, they are higher than ever.
** Are Bitcoin and Gold comparable? **
So, do we have any historic framework to relate to and work on? Possibly. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been dubbed as the digital Gold due to its store of value (theoretical) attribute. Even though they are different markets and two assets that certainly have different volatilities, it is understandably so, as Bitcoin (portrayed on the chart by orange trend-line) is relatively new (compared to Gold's traditional monetary backing), on much lower capitalization and is natural to be so volatile in its early stages until mass adoption happens and the market matures.
** Gold's ETF approval pattern **
As a result, Gold's ETF introduction back in March 28 2003 may be the perfect (and perhaps only dependable) comparison we can make if we want to put a potential Bitcoin ETF approval into context. As you can see, Gold (portrayed on the chart by the candles) rose massively by +350% since its ETF approval. The rise from the previous peak (January 1980) to the post ETF one (August 2011), has been +124%. Even though they are on different time-frames (but understandably so as Bitcoin is digital and moves on a much faster pace), we have adjusted BTC's last Bear Cycle and the subsequent first Bull Cycle rally, on Gold's price action from the 1980 peak to the March 2003 ETF approval. Of course this assumes that Bitcoin's ETF will be approved and even more so now, but this is the only basis for comparison we can make. When/ if approved, the width (and price ranges) can be adjusted.
** Bitcoin's projection based on Gold's ETD pattern **
So on the right chart we can see a post ETF approval projection for Bitcoin based on Gold's pattern. As +350% rise would push the price near $160000. The symmetry is astonishing as the peak-to-peak trend-line from BTC's November 2021 High to that potential +350% one (160k) would also be +124%, exactly like Gold's! Amazing coincidence indeed but certainly shows us just how pattern recognition and comparison can give interesting results. Especially on identical fundamentals.
But what do you think? Will a SEC approved Bitcoin ETF follow into Gold's footsteps? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$loka in 1D showing strong BUll DEVRelative Strength Index
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures how fast and how much the currency pair’s price changes in a specific time period. It provides traders with overbought and oversold market conditions by providing values ranging from 0 to 100.
A bullish divergence can be identified with RSI when the currency pair price makes higher lows, and RSI makes lower lows.
A bearish divergence can be identified with RSI when the currency pair makes higher highs and RSI makes lower highs.
$SNT weekly Breakout DoneNASDAQ:SNT weekly Breakout Done
Trading cryptocurrency breakouts, especially weekly resistance breakouts, can be a profitable strategy, but it also carries a significant level of risk. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to trade a weekly resistance breakout:
1. **Understand the Basics**:
- Make sure you have a good understanding of technical analysis, as it will be a crucial tool for identifying resistance levels and confirming breakouts.
2. **Choose Your Cryptocurrency**:
- Select a cryptocurrency that you want to trade. It's best to focus on well-known coins with sufficient liquidity and trading volume, as they tend to exhibit more predictable price movements.
3. **Identify Resistance Levels**:
- Use technical analysis to identify the weekly resistance levels on the cryptocurrency's chart. These are price levels where the asset has historically struggled to move beyond.
4. **Confirm the Breakout**:
- Wait for a clear breakout above the weekly resistance level. This should ideally be accompanied by increased trading volume to confirm the strength of the breakout. Remember that false breakouts can happen, so confirmation is crucial.
5. **Set Entry and Stop-Loss Orders**:
- Determine your entry point, which should be just above the resistance level where the breakout occurred. Set a stop-loss order just below the breakout level to limit potential losses in case the trade doesn't go as planned.
6. **Risk Management**:
- Calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance. Never risk more than you can afford to lose. A common rule is not to risk more than 1-2% of your trading capital on a single trade.
7. **Take Profit Targets**:
- Consider setting multiple take-profit targets. This allows you to lock in profits as the price rises. Traders often use a combination of technical analysis and indicators to identify potential levels where the price may encounter resistance.
8. **Monitoring and Adjustments**:
- Continuously monitor the trade. If the price starts moving in your favor, consider trailing your stop-loss to lock in profits and reduce risk. If the trade goes against you, stick to your stop-loss and exit the trade.
9. **Emotional Discipline**:
- Keep your emotions in check. It's easy to get carried away with trading, especially when dealing with cryptocurrencies known for their price volatility. Stick to your trading plan and avoid impulsive decisions.
10. **Stay Informed**:
- Be aware of any news or events that could affect the cryptocurrency you're trading. Market sentiment can change rapidly based on news, regulatory developments, or market trends.
11. **Record and Analyze**:
- Keep a trading journal to record your trades, strategies, and results. This can help you learn from your successes and mistakes, improving your trading skills over time.
12. **Seek Professional Advice**:
- If you're new to trading or unsure of your skills, consider seeking advice from a financial advisor or trading mentor. They can provide guidance and help you develop a more solid trading strategy.
Remember that trading cryptocurrencies, like any other form of trading, carries risk. It's essential to do your own research, practice with a demo account if you're new, and only invest what you can afford to lose. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results, so always exercise caution and use good risk management practices.
EthereumPair : ETHUSD ( Ethereum / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from the Upper Trend Line or S / R Level. Completed " 1234 - abcd " Impulsive Waves at Fibonacci Level - 38.20%
Entry Precaution :
Wait until it Rejects or Breaks the UTL
$Raca performed symmetrical triangleTrading a bullish symmetrical triangle is a common strategy used by traders to take advantage of potential price breakouts to the upside. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to trade a bullish symmetrical triangle:
1. **Identify the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:**
Start by identifying a symmetrical triangle pattern on a price chart. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines, where the upper trendline (resistance) and lower trendline (support) come together, forming a triangle. The price should be making lower highs and higher lows within this pattern.
2. **Confirm the Bullish Bias:**
Before trading, it's important to confirm a bullish bias. Look for other technical indicators or factors that support the idea that the price is likely to break out to the upside. This could include positive news, strong fundamentals, or additional technical indicators like moving averages or RSI.
3. **Set Entry and Stop-Loss Levels:**
Determine your entry point and stop-loss level. The entry point is typically just above the upper trendline (resistance) of the symmetrical triangle. This is where you'll enter the trade when the price breaks above this level. The stop-loss should be set just below the lower trendline (support) of the triangle to limit potential losses.
4. **Set Profit Targets:**
Establish profit targets based on your risk-reward ratio. You can do this by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point and adding that distance to the breakout point. This can give you an idea of the potential price target. It's important to have a clear plan for taking profits.
5. **Wait for the Breakout:**
Be patient and wait for a clear breakout. The breakout should be accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong buying interest. Once the price closes convincingly above the upper trendline, it's a signal to enter the trade.
6. **Manage the Trade:**
Once in the trade, monitor it closely. If the price continues to move in your favor, consider trailing your stop-loss to protect your profits. This involves adjusting the stop-loss order upward as the price climbs.
7. **Take Profits or Cut Losses:**
When the price reaches your profit target or if it shows signs of a reversal, consider taking profits. If the price breaks below the lower trendline, it may be time to cut your losses by exiting the trade.
8. **Risk Management:**
Never risk more than you can afford to lose on any trade. It's important to have a risk management strategy in place to protect your capital.
9. **Backtest and Learn:**
After the trade, review the results and learn from your experiences. Symmetrical triangles don't always result in breakouts, so it's crucial to continually refine your trading strategy.
Remember that trading involves risk, and there are no guarantees of profit. It's essential to use proper risk management and have a clear trading plan in place when trading any pattern, including bullish symmetrical triangles. Additionally, consider using a demo account to practice your strategy before risking real capital.
BITCOIN Get ready for $36.5k. One opportunity only to buy lower.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the rise again following a late Sunday pull-back. This is a short-term analysis on the 4H time-frame where we point out the similarities of the current fractal with October 02 - 06 and September 19 - 23. As you can see the blue circle indicates that BTC already priced the first Low on the 0.236 Fibonacci level when the descending (Channel Down) RSI pattern that hit the Arc shape, and there is one possibility to make a Lower Low when the 4H RSI hits the 30.00 oversold mark. That will be the most optimal buy entry for those who missed the rally.
If however the price breaks above the 35150 High (Fib 1.0) then we will have a standard bullish break-out signal in our hand. In both cases our (short-term) target is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $36500.
Do you think Bitcoin will give that pull-back opportunity before 36.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
BONUS MATERIAL:
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Breakout of $500 will lead to mini #DEFI season 🔥Good time to accumulate #DEFI coins 💎📝
Keep an eye on it 👀
Trendline Trading Strategy
What is a trendline trading strategy?
In technical analysis of financial markets, a trendline is a diagonal line drawn through a chart to show the trend in price. The slope of the trendline shows the direction of the trend: if the line has an upward slope, the trend is up (an uptrend), and if the line has a downward slope, there is a downtrend. When the slope is flat, the trend is horizontal, and in that case, we say that the market is moving sideways or is range-bound.
As you know, the price moves in swings, creating swing highs and swing lows. When the price is rising, it creates a series of higher swing lows and higher swing highs. Likewise, when the price is declining, it creates a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows. An up-trendline is drawn across the rising swing lows, while a down-trendline is drawn across the descending swing highs. In a range-bound market, the line is drawn across both the swing highs and swing lows to delineate the boundaries of the range.
$NMR Performed Bullish Symmetrical What is a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
$CELR Breakout Done $CELR Performed Bullish Symmetrical in 4HR tf
What is a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
$AVAX Performing Falling wedge in 1DEURONEXT:AVAX Performing Falling wedge in 1D Keep eye on Breakout
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
$TRB SOON BREAKOUT LSE:TRB SOON BREAKOUT
How to Trade Breakouts Using Trend Lines, Channels and Triangles
Trend line
As you may know, a trend line is a trading tool.
That’s right.
It’s a trading tool, not some magic line on your chart!
It means that the effectiveness of this tool lies in how well you use it.
But here’s one thing it’s truly good at:
Helping you identify areas of value in a trending market
FLOKIUSD Massive buy initiated, ATH test at least.Floki Inu (FLOKIUSD) is posting a massive 3 week bullish sequence that the crypto hasn't seen since January. This time it is on a 1W MACD Bullish Cross that is still below the 0.0 neutral mark, meaning that the upside potential is significant.
We expect a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), but as long as it holds, it should spur the second wave of aggressive buying towards at least the 0.0000685 All Time High (ATH). The upside of this asset as a high risk investment is very high in our opinion.
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BITCOIN When 100k Sir? Pick your poison..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started yet another of its impressive rallies and it's not even its final year parabolic one as we aren't yet past the next Halving! However as you can see on this 1M chart, +300% (310 in our particular example) rallies aren't all that uncommon for BTC even in the stages before the final parabolic rally, which is historically the most aggressive of the Bull Cycle.
In fact, since 2015, Bitcoin had 2 such +310% rallies on each Cycle (4 in total), before the parabolic one. The most aggressive took 4 months (120 days) to reach +310%, the next one 8 months (244 days), then 10 months (305 days) and the longest one took 13 months (395 days). It's worth noting here that so far we haven't had any such rally during the current Cycle.
Based on these ranges we can expect a +310% rally on Bitcoin, which would make a direct hit on the psychological and highly anticipated macro level of $100k, either on January 2024, May 2024, July 2024 or October 2024. Rallies of such magnitude don't happen without a reason and with the high anticipation of the Bitcoin ETF, the market may have the catalyst it needs to really boost this rally. Depending on its magnitude, media awareness and pure demand, pick you expected date!
So do you think we will reach 100k sooner or later based on this model? Or we will need the final parabolic rally to do so? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PEPEUSD Don't get excited. Cautious buy but strong sell at top.Pepe (PEPEUSD) is having an amazing 6 day bullish streak, breaking and closing above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) during that span. This is the bullish leg towards the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 5-month Channel Down, so even though we expect it to extend some more, be cautious and get ready to sell at the top.
The immediate Target is 0.00000145 and then after a pull-back the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.00000160. On the 0.786 Fib be ready to short and target the 1D MA50.
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GALAUSD 0.01700 Target hit. What's next?Gala (GALAUSD) hit the 0.01700 bullish break-out target we gave almost 2 weeks ago on the RSI Bullish Divergence:
Since the price broke also above the 1D MA100 for the first time since April 20 but mainly the Channel Down pattern, we shift to the larger 1W time-frame in order to identify the long-term trend.
As the 1W MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, while the candle broke above the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line, this break-out is a clear long-term buy signal towards the next level of Resistance, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Our first target is 0.02900 and when the price closes a 1W candle above the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we will re-buy and target (2) 0.06200 (0.382 Fib).
As the crypto officially entered its new Bull Cycle, the Fibonacci retracement levels will start assuming the roles of Resistances on the way up.
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