BITCOIN Yuan & China bonds tell you everything you need to know!This is not the first time we emphasize the strong correlation of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with Yuan (USDCNY) and the Chinese Bond Yields (CN02Y and CN20Y). We made an analysis right in the aftermath of the FTX crash, indicating why those indicators have all aligned, paving the way for BTC's new Bull Cycle. As you see that happened and this time we incorporate two mixed elements, the USDCNY/CNY20Y (red trend-line) and the CN02Y/CN20Y (blue trend-line).
** The CN02Y/CN20Y ratio **
Every time the CN02Y/CN20Y ratio's Lower Highs broke in the past, Bitcoin started the second phase of the Bull Cycle. Typically this was achieved while BTC was within a Channel Up (green). Right now the CN02Y/CN20Y ratio is testing its Lower Highs trend-line.
** The USDCNY/CN20Y ratio **
The CN02Y/CN20Y break-out has historically taken place a little after the USDCNY/CN20Y ratio peaked and started to decline. Not unexpected based on hard economics as a cheaper currency favors capital flowing to risky assets (such as Bitcoin). Right now the USDCNY/CN20Y ratio has started to decline but not emphatically yet, even though the 2023 rally is very similar to the ratio's peak rallies of January - March 2020 and June - October 2016.
** The harmony of the Sine Waves **
It is very interesting to point out the high degree of symmetry between those CN02Y/CN20Y break-outs and USDCNY/CN20Y rejections. We have applied the Sine Waves tool on them and the trend turns out so harmonic, almost like a Cycle itself. This shows that at the bottom of the Sine Waves, it has never been a bad idea to buy historically.
This mix is incredibly bullish for Bitcoin technically and it prompts to a new parabolic rally as we get closer to the next Halving, the likes of which we may have not seen in the past. But what do you think? Is this pattern good enough for you to buy when the ratio's Lower Highs break-out takes place? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
Alpaca Finance (ALPACA) forming Shark for upto 45.50% pumpHi dear members , hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Alpaca Finance (ALPACA) with US Dollar pair.
Recently we caught almost 48% pump of ALPACA as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, ALPACA is about to complete a bullish Shark move for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
XTZUSD Extinct crypto starting to move?Tezos (XTZUSD), a long forgotten market favorite, is posting today the strongest 1D green candle since February 22 2023. This is backed up by a long 1D RSI Bullish Divergence. As long as the 0.6300 Support holds, we expect XTZ to target first the Lower Highs 2 (dashed) trend-line and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and finally the strongest long-term Resistance Cluster, the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) along with the 0.92500 Resistance.
Our target is 0.9000. Notice the similarities between the current mid-2023 Triangle, with that a year ago in 2022. That broke the Support to the downside and extended to the 2.0 Fibonacci level, while the current is breaking above the Triangle. Keep that in mind however, in case the 0.63000 Support breaks.
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BITCOIN The Gaussian giving one of the rarest buys you can get.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within the (now green) Gaussian Channel since the mid-August decline. It is no surprise that it held that low and trade basically sideways as once the Gaussian turns green historically, it has signaled the phase of the bull market before the Halving. It shouldn't turn red again before the new Bear Cycle.
Last time BTC dipped inside a green Gaussian Channel after breaking into while red, was in October 2019. December - January 2020 followed with a strong rise before the non-technical and outside of any model's reach Black Swan event of COVID (which is an irregularity and doesn't count on our models).
As a result, such Gaussian green dip and trade is a rare buy opportunity during a Bull Cycle while prices are still relatively low. For reference, such an opportunity didn't emerge in the 2016 - 2017 Bull Cycle. Perhaps a 1W RSI at 40.00 would be the most ideal buy entry (lowest risk/ highest return).
But what do you think? Is this Gaussian pattern good enough for you to buy? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PHB Phoenix Global forming a bullish AB=CD for upto 26% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of PHB Phoenix Global (new) with US Dollar pair.
Previously we caught more than 26% pump of PHB as below:
Now on a daily time frame, PHB is about to complete a bullish AB=CD move for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
LQTYUSD Some more fuel left to burn on this rise.Liquity (LQTYUSD) broke yesterday above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 14. That is the 2nd major bullish break-out signal since the breaking over the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line on October 01. The presence of the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level now shouldn't stop this rally, but Resistance 1 (1.8200) could. As a result we are only willing to take the risk until 1.8000, as the 1D RSI is vastly overbought (85.00). After that, look for the best buy opportunity on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again.
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BITCOIN May not face again a Resistance Zone as strong as this!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the last 10 days. This neutrality, this sideways price action may be directly attributed to the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line since the top of the previous Bull Cycle.
But it's not only that double hurdle level that BTC needs to overcome. Directly above it, we have the 31800 Resistance (July 13 2023 High), which is also the Mega Pivot Zone between the two Cycles, as it started as a Support Zone (closing all 1W candles from May - July 2021 above it with emphasis) and since May 2022 has been the Resistance to beat.
It becomes obvious that this is a quadruple Resistance level and quite frankly the strongest obstacle BTC has faced thus far during the 2023 recovery phase and quite possibly a Resistance Cluster the likes of which may not face again during this new Bull Cycle.
But what do you think? Is this the most critical Resistance Zone for Bitcoin and if so, will it break now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$CREAM still so look bullish$CREAM Performed Bullish Symmetrical in 1D TF
What is a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
LOOMUSD A rise the likes of which we've never seen.Loom Network (LOOMUSD) is on the 5th straight green 1W candle, with the last 3 weeks in particular being the strongest bullish sequence LOOM has seen since its historic All Time High on the week of April 30 2018!
Last week it closed the first 1W candle above the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs Resistance and the 1W LMACD sequences resembles the last strong rally of 2020 - early 2021. Based on that we should be currently on leg (c), which can extend all the way to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, despite the presence of Resistance 1 (0.26900). Our target is 0.60000.
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BITCOIN Cycle mapping like you've never seen it before!On today's Bitcoin (BTCUSD) study, we plot the historic Cycles on top one another, classifying them into different phases. This is an alternative but very useful way at looking in BTC's historic cyclical action as it offers a sound perspective regarding our current place on the Cyclical Scale.
As you can see, the 2011 - 2013 Cycle is displayed in blue, the 2014 - 2017 Cycle in orange, the 2018 - 2021 Cycle in black and the current one 2022 onwards in red. The phases are: Bear (red), Accumulation (orange), 1st Rally (blue) and 2nd Rally (green). The three most recent Cycles are plotted as they are in terms of duration but the 2011 - 2013 one is stretched in order to fit the phase classifications and relate to the more recent Cycles.
As a result, its Halving (1) is also moved to its respective spot. It is no coincidence then that all Halvings (1 through 4) fall close to each other on what we call "the Halving Belt". Now this Cycle display gives a sound sense of Bitcoin's Cyclical perspective in relative terms (for Cycle 1). The "we are here" vertical line reveals the respective place relative to the past Cycles. As you see, it is about to end the Accumulation Phase and as it approaches Halving 4, start the 1st Rally Phase of the Bull Cycle.
So what do you think? Does this chart give a fair sense of where we are now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ALT SEASON underway and this Support shows you WHY!Looking at this chart, it becomes more obvious how the alt coin market, which broke this Summer above the Bear Cycle's Falling Wedge, is preparing for a big move upwards. The 494.45 level has been tested 4 times and emphatically held on all as it provided rebounds that left large 1W candle wicks behind.
The latest was on September 11 but stopped last week on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). A 1W candle close above it opens the way for a Lower Highs test, similar to January 09 2023, which when it broke it started the 2nd part of the rally.
There is only one long-term Resistance left from the Bear Cycle and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) that is intact since May 09 2022. This what the markets target should be, we estimate a potential contact at 650B, by the end of the year.
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AAVEUSD Strong rise but still not bullish long-term.Aave (AAVEUSD) is having a strong bullish sequence since the September 11 Low on Support Zone 1. Both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) are Supports now. However, it remains inside the 1.5 year long Triangle pattern and is approaching its top (Lower Highs trend-line). This suggests that the most optimal sell entry is approaching.
The previous Lower High was priced right when the price hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The one before a little below the 0.786 Fib. Now we are approaching the 0.5 Fib so the zone between that and the Lower Highs, is the most optimal sell entry. The 1D RSI is actually printing the peak pattern of that July Lower High.
Sell and hold as long as 1D closes candles under the Lower Highs trend-line and target the 1D MA50 at 64.000. If a 1D candle closes above the 0.618 Fibonacci, buy and target 95.000 (a little below the 0.786 Fib and potential contact spot with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) which is the long-term Cyclical Resistance).
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BITCOIN Made a MACD Bullish Cross that opens the road to $40k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed a Bullish Cross on the 3D time-frame and that helped the price last week to start the short term rise that broke above the 3D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since mid August. The previous 3 MACD Bullish Crosses have all delivered a Higher High within the 11 month Channel Up.
What's also interesting is how firmly the MA100 (green trend-line) held on the September 10 Low. Technically once BTC reclaims the MA50 (i.e. closes a full candle above it), the new bullish wave of the Channel Up will be confirmed. We expect it to test Resistance 2 at 40000, a critical psychological level.
Do you think this MACD Bullish Cross was what BTC needed to kickstart the new rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AVAXUSD Ready for a bullish break-outAvalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern for the past 6 months and is testing today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The same kind of test after a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence was performed in AVAX's previous Channel Down on January 09 2023. Observe the perfect symmetry on the RSI levels of the two dates. When the price closed above the 1D MA50, it initiated a massive rise on the next candle that easily broke through the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and peaked a little above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we will buy the break-out and initially target the 1D MA100 at 11.000. If it breaks above the 1D MA200, we will buy that 2nd break-out and target the 0.616 Fib at 15.500.
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WAX (WAXP) formed bullish AB=CD for the next pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of WAX (WAXP) coin with US Dollar pair.
Previously we caught almost 46% pump of WAXP as below:
Now on a 2-hr time frame, WAXP has formed a bullish AB=CD move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITCOIN Cycle unlocked with Angle Theory! Can we reach 140-150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having a strong break-out day on the 1D time-frames and below but this is only on the short-term. Still it is a step in the right direction on the long-term after trading sideways in the last 6 months within the 1W MA50 (Support) and 1W MA100 (Resistance).
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
Today's study brings you the a multi-cycle depiction on the 1W time-frame of BTC since the peak of its very first Cycle at $32. Those that followed ($1250, $19800, $69800) all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
It appears that every peak-to-peak measurement is roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 38°, 19°, 10°. We estimate a 6° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 6° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 150000. It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 7° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
So what do you think? Can Bitcoin reach $140-150k during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN First close above the 1D MA50 in 2 months?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again today and is very close to registering the first 1D candle closing above it since August 01. At the same time it broke above the Lower Highs of the Falling Wedge pattern that started on the July 13 High.
If it succeeds today in closing above it, we hav e high probabilities of seeing the bullish extension of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S) we discussed last week materializing. The target extends as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci at 30000. The short-term target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 28000. Interestingly enough Resistance 1 (28150) and Resistance 2 (30220) are near those two respective targets adding to their importance as supply levels.
Note that the 1D RSI has been on a strong Bullish Divergence since August 18 (candles on Lower Lows). That is why the IH&S has increased probabilities of breaking above the 2-month Falling Wedge pattern.
So what do you think? Is it time to break to the upside for good? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$CREAM Performed Bullish Symmetrical$CREAM Performed Bullish Symmetrical in 2hr TF
What is a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.
PEPEUSD Can rise aggressively if the Falling Wedge breaks.Pepe (PEPEUSD) is trading within a Falling Wedge ever since the first sell-off and sits below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) which made a double rejection on the latest Lower High on August 14 2023.
The 1D MACD is already on a strong post Bullish Cross sequence so the slightest break-out, preferably above the 1D MA50, will be a buy opportunity. The first and more reachable target will be a symmetrical with the Wedge's first rise at +128%, targeting 0.0000013500. If then the 1D MA100 holds as a Support, we will re-buy and target Resistance 2 at 0.0000019000.
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Can Chainlink (LINK) Achieve a New Annual Peak?Chainlink (LINK) has witnessed a substantial surge in the past two weeks and is now approaching the prospect of a new yearly high.
Both weekly and daily timeframe analyses exhibit bullish tendencies, which is supported by the price action MFI.
How Far Can Chainlink's Uptrend Continue?
Looking at the weekly technical analysis, LINK's price has been on the rise since June, recovering from a low of $4.75. This ascent resulted in the reclamation of the $5.80 horizontal support zone, which has been held since April 2022.
Moreover, this upward trajectory was accompanied by a bullish divergence in the MFI. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a momentum indicator for traders to gauge market conditions, identify overbought or oversold levels, and inform buy or sell decisions.
Readings above 50 coupled with an upward trend indicate a bullish trend, while readings below 50 suggest the opposite. A bullish divergence arises when the MFI shows a lower value while the price is higher.
The daily timeframe paints a bullish picture. Additionally, the MFI is holding strongly above 50.
If the uptrend continues, LINK may reach the yearly high of around $8.80, which is 20% higher than the current price. However, given that the overall market is not bullish whatsoever, at this moment it is unlikely to make any significant breakthrough.
Looking Ahead: Despite the current trend LINK is unlikely to rise significantly over the yearly high at $8.80. On the other side, if the price starts descending, the $5.80 support level will be the next target to the downside.
BTC ☁️ Short-Term Outlook; Rebound Likely In One Week ☀️Cloudy, slightly bearish skies ☁️ linger over Bitcoin and a great part of the global crypto market in the next 24 hours. A couple of altcoins, like Cardano, Chainlink, and Uniswap may benefit from sunnier, slightly bullish trading conditions, ATTMO's forecasts show. ☀️
Over a one-week horizon, trading conditions become mixed with sunshine returning to parts of the crypto sphere. Bitcoin, Litecoin, Cardano, and Chainlink have potential upsides, while cloudy ☁️ or even rainy, bearish trading conditions will prevail over altcoins like Avalanche, Binance, XRP, and Polkadot.
Follow us for more crypto weather reports!