BITCOIN has entered the Halving Phase and targets 50k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy volatility lately due to the ETF development and in times like this, we tend to zoom out into the longer term time-frames such as the 1W to get a better perspective of where we might be at with relation to past Cycles, in an attempt to filter out the short/ medium-term volatility of such news.
** Cycle classification **
On this chart we compare the current to the 2018 - 2021 and 2014 - 2017 Cycles. To get an insightful understanding of time and levels, we have categorized the Phases into Bear (red), 1st Rally (orange), Pre & Post Halving (blue) and Parabolic Rally (green).
Based on that classification, BTC has just entered the Pre & Post Halving phase, with Halving 4 expected to take place in April 2024. During that phase, the price reaches or has already reached (in the case of 2020) the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, while keeping the 0.382 Fibonacci intact as a Support (notable exception of course March 2020 with the COVID crash, which was however an irregularity due to its once in 100 years occurrence). The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) also poses as a loose Support.
** Now and new All Time High **
On the current Cycle, the 0.786 Fib is at $50000, so based on our model, either now or 3-4 months after the Halving it should be reached. At the same time, we shouldn't drop below 27000 (0.382 Fibonacci).
Once the 0.786 Fib breaks, BTC should test the 69000 All Time High (ATH) in a matter of weeks, which will be the start of the Parabolic Rally phase. Beyond that, it is a matter of how high the current Cycle can extend to in pricing the next ATH. The 2017 Cycle peaked on the 2.382 Fib extension and the 2021 on the 1.618 Fib extension. That is the Theory of Diminishing returns on every Cycle, as adoption gets greater. Technically it is natural to expect no more than 1.382 Fib, which is a little over $120000. Perhaps the worst case scenario might be 100k but of course much depends on the fundamentals at the time, e.g. how adoption evolves, how much capital will flow in case of an ETF approval etc.
But what do you think? Do you agree that 50k will be reached within our designated Pre & Post Halving phase? Or it is too high too soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
ETHEREUM Golden Cross ahead. Prepare for $2450.Almost a month ago (see chart below) we gave the most optimal buy entry on Ethereum (ETHUSD), while it was at the bottom of its Channel Down, even below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
The target got hit and the rally has been so strong that it even broke above the medium-term Channel Down and resumed the long-term Channel Up that it has been trading within in the last 12 months.
Technically, it is about to form a 1D Golden Cross, with the last registered formation being on February 08. The price had entered a Megaphone consolidation with the 1D MA50 as the first Support and the 1D MA200 as the second and in less than 2 months gave a rebound/ continuation of the rally to the Higher High of the Channel Up on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D RSI patterns between the two sequences are similar.
As a result, the best strategy here is to buy any similar pull-back ETH may give and target $2450 (1.5 Fib) within January 2024.
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$ENS BREAKOUT DONE What is a trendline break and how to trade it?
There is a breakout when the price crosses an important level. However, not all breakouts are created equal. There are preconditions for a breakout to be considered relevant:
Consolidation before the breakout.
A significant increase in trading volume.
Indicating investors’ enthusiasm to push the price as far as possible.
Regarding consolidation, breakouts often occur after forming a contraction pattern, such as a triangle or a wedge. During these market phases, the volume gradually decreases, and the amplitude of the movements does the same so that the price action evolves in a narrow range.
A sudden increase in volumes, as well as the exit of the price from the range, is often indicative of a new trend forming.
How to trade breakouts?
There are different ways to trade breakouts in the stock market, which are more or less aggressive depending on where you open your position.
ZRX Breakout the descending broadeningDescending Broadening Wedge Pattern Explained
A descending broadening wedge chart pattern is a bullish reversal pattern. This pattern is created by two declining and diverging trend lines .
A descending broadening wedge forms as price moves between the upper resistance and lower support trend lines multiple times as the trading range expands during the downtrend in price. Price should touch each line 2 or 3 times to be considered a valid pattern. This pattern looks like a megaphone pointing down and to the right.
A descending broadening wedge is looked at as a bullish pattern as it forms but it is not validated as a buy signal until the pattern starts to make short term higher lows and higher highs and the upper resistance trend line is broken and price begins to move to the upside and above the upper trend line. As the descending broadening wedge pattern is forming trading volumes become most meaningful as the pattern breaks out above the upper trend line, this should happen on increasing volume showing that the chart is starting to go into an accumulation cycle.
ETH trade setup for 15th Nov 2023My setup yesterday was bullish, I only caught a 1:2rr. I didn't see other factors telling me to go bearish.
I was bent on being bullish, so I know and believe, setups can change. So learning to be dynamic is key and not holding to one belief of how the trade should pane out. However, it was a good day.
Today being, 15th Nov 2023, I'll be expecting a bearish scenario as outline on the chart. So I'll be expecting price to enter into the areas highlighted above and also the rectangle above for a reason to go short at specific time.
This is not a trade advice, please dyor
Decentraland (MANA) setup for upto 18.50% pumpHi dear friends hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Decentraland (MANA) with US Dollar pair
Previously we caught almost 17% pump of MANA as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, MANA has completed a bullish Gartley setup for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
Trade signal | Harmony (ONE) coin is ready for upto 19.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Harmony (ONE) coin with US Dollar pair.
Previously we caught more than 80% pump of ONE as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, ONE has completed a bullish BAT setup for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
FXSUSD Emerging 1D Golden Cross.Frax Share (FXSUSD) is about to form a 1D Golden Cross, the 2nd such pattern within the 11-month Triangle. The first rose to a 2.0 Fibonacci extension High on February 09. A 2.0 Fibonacci rise on the current sequence from its last High would take the cryptocurrency to 10.000, on a potential contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), the first since April 18.
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Trade signal | ICON (ICX) completed setup for upto 30.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of ICON (ICX) coin with US Dollar pair.
Recently we caught more than 68% pump if ICX as below:
Now on a 2-hr time frame, ICX has completed a bullish Gartley setup for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
Trade signal | Binance coin (BNB) completed setup for next pumpHi friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Binance coin (BNB) with US Dollar pair.
Recently we caught almost 18% pump of BNB as below:
Now again on a 4-hr time frame, BNB has formed a bullish Gartley move for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITCOIN This'll be the last pullback before the parabolic rally** ETF anticipation **
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rising against the majority's sentiment, which is something it does more often than not, fueled of course on a large degree by the heavy speculation over the SEC's Bitcoin ETF decision. Fundamentally, an approval can certainly cause another leg upwards based on euphoria, before the effect recedes as we move towards Halving 4 in April 2024.
** The RSI's Fibonacci Channel motion **
Based on certain technical data on the 3W time-frame, we can technically see only a minor uptick and then a multi-week pull-back before the bullish trend is resumed. This is based on the 3W RSI, which is trading inside a Fibonacci Channel Down since its inception, testament that despite BTC's enormous long-term growth, each Cycle shows diminishing returns (as adoption gets higher).
The RSI is almost on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which in the past has delivered a pull-back to at least the 0.382 Fib (exception September 2019 when it dropped lower as it corrected the huge Libra hype). The 0.5 Fib rejection is shown by the red arrows. When a rebound took place on the 0.382 Fib (green arrows) Bitcoin started a rally that never looked back. The whole price action is displayed by the blue circles. On top of that, see how beautifully the overall motion is depicted by the Sine Waves.
** Last correction before the rally **
Of course much depend on the upcoming ETF decision, but even in the event of a considerable new price surge, BTC should technically give one last pull-back at least to the 0.382 3W RSI Fib, that will most likely be the last opportunity to buy before the Bull Cycle's parabolic rally starts.
Do you agree with this RSI Fibonacci projection? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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KLAYUSD is about to rise aggressively.Klaytn (KLAYUSD) broke today above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since May 08). This is a major bullish break-out for the medium-term as the price is on the rise after making a Lower Low at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Down. That was the last Resistance to break in a series of bullish break-outs, first the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), then the Inner Lower Highs, followed by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
The price is about to form a 1D MA50/ MA100 Bullish Cross, and last time we saw this pattern (February 08), the price immediately responded with the 2nd part of the bullish leg's rally. We are targeting 0.26500, which would represent a +154.23% rally from the bottom, similar to the peak of February 20.
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AVAXUSD Targets achieved. What's next?Avalanche (AVAXUSD) hit today our final (2nd) target of 15.5000 as we proposed on the bullish break-out signal we gave (see chart below) on October 04:
The question is, does this rally still have fuel in it or it will correct now? A reliable indicator in this case is the 1D MACD which, while the crypto has been inside the Channel Down pattern, it peaked both times just below 2.0000. This peak was confirmed only after a Bearish Cross. As a result, this rally still has room to go higher and the strongest Target (1) is the top of the top of the (dashed) final Channel Down that remains valid at 21.500. A break above Resistance 1 (22.9000) could also deliver a test of the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line) at 26.000, but it is very doubtful to see a greater extension without a meaningful pull-back first.
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$SHIB Performing Falling wedge in Weekly TF soon Breakout CRYPTOCAP:SHIB Performing Falling wedge in Weekly TF soon Breakout
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
ETH getting ready to drop to some massive supportSure, there is upside to 1780 and it could keep climbing, but I think we're going to see it drop before that occurs. There is a support trend heading in the bearish direction
Then you have two really weak resistance lines developing on short term charts. Which makes me think it's about to see a drop off of those and then head to the bearish support trend.
This is the best part because a lot of trends are leading to the same spot, which is a massive support trend climbing in the bullish direction.
Personally, I see a fast movement down and then the next movement taking the price to 1745-1780 before coming back down to test 1690 again.
Price target is more important, the 1608 target, the 1680 rejection, and the 1700+ line.
I'll likely keep the updated price targets for this chart on my site, but otherwise, you'll need a new chart should the 1608 line fail or should the green trend break, which is a BIG time exit point trigger.
LDOUSD Expecting a 1D MA50 pull-back.Lido Dao (LDOUSD) has finally broken above the hurdles of the Lower Highs trend-line that kept the trend bearish throughout the majority of 2023. Ahead of the first 1D Golden Cross pattern in more than 9 months, it is possible for buyers to take some profits around Resistance 1 (2.4850) and the 0.618 Fibonacci level (2.4125) and look to buy after the Golden Cross.
Especially with a 1D RSI vastly overbought near 80.00, we are expecting a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 0.382 Fib in order to buy and target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.8000, which is practically Resistance 2.
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