BTC Primary trend. Secondary - expanding triangle.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Linear for clarity. Now the price is in consolidation in the key resistance zone of the "psychology 100" zone. Everything is as before, nothing new.
The price moves from dynamic zones of support and resistance of the large channel, and with the observance of the proportions of decreasing % from the previous maximums and minimums, adhering to a conditional 4-year cyclicality. Which is also initially embedded in the Bitcoin halvings, and the understanding of increasing demand, with a decrease in supply through halvings (but, here is a nuance with ETF, that is, conditionally with "fake bitcoins", which significantly increases the supply).
With a huge degree of probability, in the next cycle (possibly the final one), Bitcoin will be driven above or around $ 1 million, depending on the maximum that will be set in this cycle. Perhaps it will be much higher (parabolic growth as at the end of 2017) than the average distribution price. Mass digitalization is underway... and there are more and more dollars, they need to be somehow utilized in the future.
I specifically refreshed the old ideas of the main trend (2 and 3 years ago published) of this scale, and made it on a linear chart, for greater visualization of the trend direction and patterns that are formed on a smaller scale.
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and halvings. 1 07 2022
BTC/USD Halving 518 When will the minimum and maximum price be cycles. 27 09 2023
Cryptocurrrency
BTC Medium Term and Local Work for 2025 18 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Everything is shown extremely accurately, according to technical analysis, logic based on cyclical repetition, and liquidity consolidation zones as a result of price and trading movements. This trading idea, with precise reversal zones and targets, will last you for 31 weeks. That is, for 7 months.
The previous trading idea BTC/USD Triangle. Medium-term and local work , published on 7 06 2024, it lasted me almost 1 year. It has 63 local work updates (I don't spam with new trading ideas on principle). So, nothing will get lost, you can follow everything, read, possibly use it as training material on a live chart, as a whole explanation of local work, what is really happening on the market, profit/loss potential, always before the price movement, and not after the fact. I show what is, that is, a chart and potential work from the position of a trader, not a crypto marketer.
🟣 Local and medium urgent now
1️⃣💸 The bullish triangle itself (which is not there yet, I have depicted it on the chart for you) acts as a stop and consolidation zone (zone “psychology 100”, reset in trend No. 1). This is the easiest to manipulate and the most probable scenario. This will just be the summer consolidation. Instead of it, there may be:
2️⃣💸 Rising wedge , but more in shape like a triangle (essentially a wedge, there is a meaning of a triangle, but it was formed on aggressive pump news), with a large short liquidity takeout, and not very good logic of the TA movement after that... But, this is a bullish scenario, although quite aggressive.
3️⃣ Working out the bearish targets of the triangle (non-corrective price movement within its canvas). Stopping the decline in the designated zone and reversal upward (continuation of the trend). I emphasize the importance of not fixing the price below the zone of targets of the local corrective decline, which will not break the trend.
4️⃣💸 Double top (or triple). Double top as in 2021 in the distribution zone. This is the least likely scenario, but the most negative, as it breaks the trend. But, this is the least likely scenario, primarily because of the altcoins.
Altcoins in 2021 and now.
4️⃣In 2021, when Bitcoin formed a double top, they (altcoins) were in “space”, that is, in their distribution zones (+500-1000% of the average price of the set).
🔽Now everything is the other way around, they are in capitulation zones (most of them) or in their long-term accumulation channels :
Liquid -90-93%
Medium liquid -93-96%
Low liquid -96-98% or some are already scams or on the verge of it...
Some altcoins have pumped up earlier. That is, they left their long-term accumulation zones earlier. For example: SUN, XRP, DOGE, PEPE, SOL and so on... But there are very few of them, as distributing (raising the price, holding it and selling, inspiring to buy expensive when everything is cheap) in a bearish altcoin trend is very irrational, and you need a lot of money to go against the general market trend.
Main trend (most of it, chart since Binance Exchange foundation) for clarity on a large time frame of this local zone for work.
BTC Primary trend. Secondary — expanding triangle.
Stellar (XLM/USDT) – Daily Chart Technical Analysis
The chart illustrates a potential bullish setup forming on the daily timeframe of the Stellar/USDT perpetual contract on Binance.
After a prolonged downtrend, the price action has formed a clear double bottom pattern (W-shape), signaling a potential reversal. The neckline of the pattern has been broken and successfully retested, confirming the validity of the formation. Following this retest, XLM has continued to respect the ascending trendline, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, the price is consolidating just above the trendline, providing a potential long entry opportunity. The designated support area around $0.29725 acts as the key invalidation level. Should the price break and close below the $0.25211 zone, the bullish structure would likely be compromised, potentially leading to a trend reversal.
The target for this setup lies within the resistance zone between $0.38 and $0.40, an area that historically acted as strong supply. This zone is marked as both resistance and a take-profit area. Given the significance of this level, a partial profit-taking strategy is advised once price approaches this zone.
Volume analysis shows moderate participation during the recent leg up, which could suggest the need for higher volume confirmation on any breakout attempts.
The RSI indicator remains in neutral-bullish territory (around 56–58), suggesting that there is still room for upward movement before entering overbought conditions.
Conclusion:
As long as the ascending trendline holds, the structure remains bullish. A break above recent highs with increased volume could pave the way for further upside toward the $0.38–$0.40 region. However, a breakdown below the support zone would invalidate the long thesis and may warrant reassessment or potential short setups.
Risk management and dynamic stop-loss tracking are essential in this volatile range.
OFFICIAL TRUMP Main trend. 16 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a super pump and a drive of "stupid money", a descending channel was formed on a natural dump. The price came out of it. Now a triangle is forming. The price is clamped. The reversal zones and percentages to the key support/resistance levels are shown extremely accurately according to TA.
If there is no aggressive exit in the medium term, then there will be consolidation and, as a consequence, the formation of a horizontal channel "sholtai / chattai", its key zones are shown.
Now, this "cryptocurrency" is now on 16 05 2025 in 41st place by capitalization.
Reductions from the price highs are about -90%.
From the liquid zone about -84%.
These are not the minimum values of the decline of such hype cryptocurrencies. Just take this into account in your money management. For clarity, the level zones and the % of potential decline if the trend breaks again are shown on the chart (pull the chart down).
Even with such a decline, the price is now at a huge profit. I am not speaking for the creators of the cryptocurrency, but for the first speculators and "investors" who may not have sold everything on the hype.
For the creators of the cryptocurrency, perhaps these are manipulators close to the Trump family, for them, any sale is super profit. But in order to sell, you need to maintain liquidity, and from time to time make interest in speculation and asset retention by investors, that is, do pumps and hype. Use this, and do not be greedy...
Levels and zones, pump/dump, which the price will "feel" are shown in advance. Click "play" on the chart and move the chart up. With a high degree of probability, the hype and pumping of the price of this cryptocurrency will be repeated, given the hype and the long term of the political figure whose name this cryptocurrency bears. Now it is a Trump dump, in the future it will become a Trump pump for some time.
Do not forget to sell on the next hype. If you understand that you are very greedy, and the news background affects you, then sell in parts, or use stop losses to protect profits.
There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones, and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend, and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
APEX Main trend. DEX exchange Bybit. Hype and super pump 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Correction (descending channel, two distribution zones) after a super pump of about 1500%. All key support and resistance zones were shown, including dynamic ones.
Also showed a local target in percentage in case of exit from a local descending wedge. There is a possibility that the price will enter the mirror support zone of the previous volatility zone of the horizontal channel, or even to the median (green dotted line). Just remember this. When working with the crowd hype, remember the risks.
W / USDT Main trend. 23 03 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Descending channel, price in local clamping in consolidation at dynamic support of the internal channel. From listing -94% at the moment.
Local percentages, medium-term and long-term to key zones of chart logic and liquidity, are shown on the chart as a guide for building your tactics and risk control.
🔴 There is potential for a decline to external support of a large descending channel (optional). I showed this option for building tactics and money management. Such assets in terms of liquidity, as a rule, decrease by 96-98%
🟢 If, from this price clamp, the price goes up , then the first resistance is the dynamic resistance of the internal channel (from which there may be a local reversal). Then the external (similarly). If the trend breaks and exits the descending channel, then strong resistance is the previous consolidation of 0.24-0.36
Locally, this clamping zone looks like this.
FXAN & Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaBINANCE:ETHUSD
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of ETHUSD, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
XCH Secondary Trend 11 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. A dying asset that is losing the "faith of sectarians" and, as a result, liquidity. Previously, there was aggressive marketing and active luring of bloggers, at very high prices after listing. From the maximum, that is, the listing, a decrease of -97%. Therefore, when trading such, control the risks.
The main trend is now at the moment.
After the pump +140%, the super lows of this low-liquid cryptocurrency were updated again. Pay attention to the squeeze at the moment by -38% (merged at the market, no liquidity, the price fell).
Now is another reversal zone. Local percentages are shown. With a falling market, low liquidity gives a high % decrease at the moment, similarly, the rule works in the opposite direction. When working with such cryptocurrencies in terms of liquidity, remember that these are "dying" assets, therefore, control the risks and set adequate goals.
Alikze »» AIXBT | Formation of the valley pattern - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Formation of the valley pattern - 4H
📣 BINANCE:AIXBTUSDT currency is moving in an ascending channel on the 4-hour time frame, which is currently in the supply zone and the middle of the ascending channel.
🟢From a classical perspective, a valley has formed that can break the current supply zone in the green box area by removing liquidity under the previous leg and grow to the next supply zone.
💎 Second scenario: The current supply zone break, depending on the number and frequency of hits to the supply level, can break it and continue its growth to the next supply zone, which is also the ceiling of the ascending channel, and then encounter a correction that, after a pullback to the previous supply zone, continues its path to the next target.
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WLD Main trend. Super pump +1118 and decline -95. 09 05 2025Logarithm. Main trend. Time frame 3 days.
Super pump +1118.42% and decline -95.16%.
Smart and stupid money. The legend of the project is quite interesting, it is quite possible that there will be attempts to implement it, but always in the first place in such projects is: "money from nothing". The chart confirms this. After the pump +1118.42%, a huge distribution zone, which formed the upper part of the pattern of one of the varieties of "head and shoulders" at an angle. Which makes it clear that the profit is huge. Even now, with a price decrease below the listing prices, from the peak of the pump by -95.16%, which is normal for assets of such liquidity, the profit of some "investors" is +25 X !! Think about what profit was when pumping +1118% (it is impossible to implement, the pump is done just for the chart, to raise the price, for "false goals" and hype, so that on rollbacks "cheap", in the distribution zone they were not afraid to buy on the conditional hype "whales bought". Although now it is unlikely that they will pour. In order to constantly sell at excess profit "at any prices", you need to make interest, both for traders and for investors, that is, volatility waves. They will pump under the market.
Local trend . Local impulse from the minimum prices. Locally, the price rested against the median, in case of its breakthrough - the implementation of the ascending pennant.
MEME Main trend -97% Channel. Reversal or scam zone.Logarithm. Time frame 3 days (less is not needed).
🟡 The price has reached a decline from the highs (not a listing squeeze) -97%. These are practically the maximums of declines after the hype for cryptocurrencies of such liquidity (96-98), after which there is only a complete scam. At the moment, there is a reaction from this zone (the lower zone of the main trend channel) (impulse buyback), and a rollback after it, which forms the canvas of a potential ascending flag. If there is a breakthrough, then locally - the implementation of the ascending flag.
⚠️🔼 These are high-risk cryptocurrencies of such liquidity (that's why such declines are big), but the percentage of price growth in them, for the same reasons (liquidity/volatility) is an order of magnitude greater in the case of their implementation. When working with such assets, observe money management.
🟣 Implementation of the flag's goals (essentially to the channel median) +80-100%
🟡 To the resistance of the descending channel of the main trend +325%
🔵 To potential highs (one of the previous consolidations) +1000-1300%.
TIA Secondary trend. Wedge. Reversal zone. 09 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. The price dropped to the listing price zone, namely the level of 2.309. In this zone, the decline stops and the transition to consolidation - sideways. The decline formed a full-fledged descending wedge. This is a bullish pattern in cases of a breakthrough of its resistance (in most cases).
When working with such hype cryptocurrencies, observe money management. Now in “investors” more than 200-300 X, who always sell without loading the glass, but somewhere more, and somewhere less, under the market as a whole. I would advise you to work with the wedge that has now formed and "down-to-earth", logical goals, after exiting it and the consolidation zone.
Main trend. TIA (Celestia) Main trend. Maximum targets of the cycle. XXL+10Х
Line chart of prices, for clarity of the secondary trend, the descending wedge and the potential reversal zone.
XTZ Secondary Trend. Channel. Wedge. Capitulation Zone. 07 05 20Logarithm. Time frame 1 week (less is not necessary).
The secondary trend has formed a horizontal channel for several years, with repeating wedge-shaped formations, the third time we entered under the support of this channel not by squeezes to collect long stop-loss, but by full candles and the structure of a descending wedge. It looks more vertical. The corrective movement to this semi-vertical wedge, quite possibly, will similarly have an aggressive character. The wedge is almost in the final phase of its formation. I showed percentages for clarity to the key reversal zones, for orientation for your money management and setting the first medium-term, and possibly local targets.
The main trend of this previously hyped cryptocurrency since 2017
XTZ/USD Main Trend. Descending Channel 01 2023
BTC/USDT 1H Chart: Channel Breakdown Alert!Hey Bitcoin traders! Let’s dive into this 1-hour BTC/USDT chart. Bitcoin has made a decisive move, and it’s not looking good for the bulls!
BTC was trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with key levels at $95,800 (upper resistance) and $88,000 (last higher high). The price recently tested the support around $95,800 but failed to rebound, and now it’s crashed below the channel’s support, currently sitting at $94,300. This breakdown signals potential bearish momentum!
The next critical support to watch is $92,000, and if that fails, we could see BTC slide toward the previous resistance at $84,400. On the flip side, a recovery above $93,000 might bring some relief, with resistance at $98,000 and a potential retest of $100,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95,800, $98,000
Support: $92,000
Breakdown Target: $86,000
Recovery Target: $98,000+
The bears are in control — where do you think BTC is headed next? Let’s hear your thoughts below!
APE Main trend. Channel. Wedge. Reversal zones 05 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week.
1️⃣ Decline from the maximum by -98% , which is acceptable for assets of such liquidity and capitalization, after that either a trend reversal (main), or a complete scam.
2️⃣X (twitter) of this crypto project has 473 thousand subscribers . This army will be sent to pump this cryptocurrency at the right time in the so-called 3rd alt season of this cycle.
🟣And now work with a breakout of the descending wedge, and the price movement to the resistance of the descending channel. The percentage locally - medium-term showed for clarity from two zones - scenarios.
3️⃣The third plus is that this cryptocurrency is traded on 4 liquid exchanges: binance, bybit, okx, and most importantly Coinbase.
Line chart (trend direction and liquidity).
AI BTC Prediction Next 24–48 Hours !May 3, 2025, 11:13 pm. BTC/USD. BTC/USD Trading Plan
Timeframe: Next 24–48 Hours
Long Scenario
- Entry: 96,550 (confirmed close above 96,500 with rising volume + RSI > 50).
- SL: 95,700 (below immediate support 95,800).
- TP: 96,800 (below resistance 97,000).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR (~162 pips) after surpassing 96,800.
- Confirmation: MACD histogram reversal + Bollinger Band breakout above midline.
Short Scenario
- Entry: 95,750 (confirmed close below 95,800 with rising volume + RSI < 40).
- SL: 96,600 (above resistance 96,500).
- TP: 95,200 (above support 95,000).
- Trailing Stop: 1x ATR (~108 pips) after breaking 95,500.
- Confirmation: Supertrend remains bearish + EMA crossover downward.
ZK Secondary trend.-82% Wedge. Reversal zones. 01 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Decrease from listing about -82%. For cryptocurrencies of such liquidity and capitalization, this is not the maximum decrease (-90-96%). But sometimes from such values as now (-82-85%), taking into account the news hype during the listing "whales $ 458 million", a reversal and strong pumping can occur under the market as a whole. For example, like another hype project of "hanging noodles" - Flare (distributed to XRP holders). Decrease by -82% and then pumping slightly above the listing price under the next alt season of the cycle + 560%.
This does not necessarily mean that this will happen, this is an example of what happens from such values of decline with such liquidity and hype. In some ways, not only in the structure of the TA formation, but in the hype and disappointment of "investors", the projects are identical.
Main trend , and the previously shown zone, in which the price is now.
ZkSync Main trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025
Main trend now in the moment (full trading history).
There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
ARB Secondary trend. 24 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days (less is not necessary).
⚠️ Currently a decline from the maximum of -90% . For assets of such liquidity, these are not the lowest values, but perhaps the previous hype played a role in this. Work from the average price, or on a breakout , and you will not care when the reversal occurs. The main thing is to distribute the entry and exit points after the purchase in advance, that is, distribute the risk and profit. And, after that, no longer be interested in the asset, or opinions, or fictitious positive / negative news to stimulate demand / supply of “stupid money”. Do not get stuck in market noise and unnecessary, fear-driven or greed-driven opinions.
Main trend (the entire history of cryptocurrency trading), for clarity of pricing and the zone for work now, which is discussed.
ARB Main Trend 24 04 2025
🟣 Local trend. At the moment, a wedge-shaped formation has formed in it, there is an attempt to break through it and the price is clamped.
1️⃣ If this zone of minimums is held — for a start, the potential for a downward trend of the secondary trend (shown with a red line).
2️⃣ Then, when it is broken through , — to the channel median (green dotted line).
ARB Main Trend 24 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week.
Previously a very hyped coin, "killer" of something there...
Now - the dominant opinion is that this is a scam, a scam, "whales are selling now", and so on. It's funny to look at all this and how the opinion changes with the price. Crypto is a mess, there are no other words... That is, now is the time to take a closer look at the asset, and the start of the set.
If the price drops to lower values (shown on the chart), from the position of the trend, and potential percentages of the pump, the price is now acceptable, and the profit will be significant, but not "hamster". Set adequate goals, fix in parts as the trend develops, protect your profit. When there is an aggressive pump "with a stick", by a large %, - completely exit the asset, or protect the profit with a stop.
There is a small probability that an asset of such capitalization, and the unrealization of "buy a candy wrapper", will be knocked down in advance before the full 3rd alt season of this cycle, without distributing "prospects" on the "revival of faith".
⚠️ Now the decline from the maximum is -90% . For assets of such liquidity, these are not the lowest values, but perhaps the previous hype played a role in this. Work from the average price, or on a breakthrough and you will not care when the reversal occurs. The main thing is to distribute the entry and exit points after the purchase in advance, that is, distribute the risk and profit. And, after that, no longer be interested in the asset, or opinions, or fictitious positive / negative news to stimulate demand / supply of "stupid money". Do not get stuck in market noise and unnecessary opinions driven by fear or greed.
1️⃣ If this zone of minimums is held — for starters, the potential for a downward trend of the secondary trend (shown with a red line).
2️⃣ Then, when it is broken , — to the channel median (green dotted line).
🟣Local trend At the moment, a wedge-shaped formation has formed in it, there is an attempt to break through it and the price is clamped.
ZkSync Main Trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
🟢Reversal zone. At the moment, there is a fractal repetition with the previous reversal zone. The logic and key local levels on which the direction of the secondary trend will depend are shown with arrows.
🔴Also showed the range and future levels of an unlikely extremely negative scenario. That is, a breakthrough of the long stop collection zone of a large squeeze (this happens very rarely, since it is irrational, but since in the news background earlier during the listing - funds of 458 million investments, then why not) and the formation of a capitulation channel under the channel with a full range (hold the chart and pull it down), or only from its median (dotted, more likely if we go this way).
Also, regardless of the implementation of scenario 1 or 2, the maximums of this cycle are shown (hold the chart and pull it up). Or rather, the zone. The percentage itself will be different, the "levels" of the zone, most likely, will not.
DODO Local trend. 19 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. No need for less. Capitulation zone or complete scam. From the breakthrough of support of the long-term horizontal channel -68%. For key local resistance zones in cases of breakthrough of resistance of the descending wedge, percentages for clarity are shown (similarly, as in the previous idea of this coin, reaching the specified % and reversal and super decline).
Secondary trend and this zone in it, for understanding the zone and risks of work.
DODO Secondary trend. 19 04 2025
Long-term as for me, it will be a scam, like all the rest.
Locally you can work with a wedge (breakthrough) and the first targets to the mirror resistance level. Sometimes pumps are “stick” into the depth of the previous channel, but not above its previous resistance level. Probably, these should be your last local-medium-term targets.
The maximum where I can pump crypto wrapper in the future for the big cryptocurrency hype, if it doesn’t crash earlier, is to the median zone, no higher than 0.666. But, as for me, it is more rational to work with local, maximally down-to-earth goals , observing risk and money management.