$3000 move to the downside ($25,999) possible s/r flipMy last post was a weekly chart which won't play out for at least a week or two, probably close to a month maybe longer, but the 30 minute chart shows some juicy data/information. 👍
I've founded this ascending channel we've been steadily climbing since December 16th. Please note we've reached 3 validation points on the downtrend trend line (this is a bearish sign of sell pressure in future price action) It takes 3 touches to confirm a trend direction and we only have 2 on the downside. So, if i was placing a bet here i'd say the probability of the next move is more so leaning towards the downside.
$30,000 is a massive psychological resistance level and im expecting -30-70% pullbacks in Q1 2021.
Get ready for another super volatile year trading or investing into bitcoin and the crypto community.
Mass adoption is coming in the next few years.
Cryptocurrrency
XRPUSD, In The Channel, Here Is How A Breakout Can Establish!Hi my friends,
Welcome to this analysis about XRPUSD, we are looking on the 1-hour timeframe perspective, the recent events, the current formational structure, and what to expect in the upcoming times. As suggested in the previous analysis XRPUSD was likely to continue bearishly to the downside after completing the triangle-formation on the local perspective, this now happened and XRPUSD also protracted with bearishness till the structure it is forming now in which I discovered worthwhile signs that are likely to be the determining source within the next times when XRPUSD manages to show up with the right confirmations in the structure, therefore I detected all the important levels and likely outcomes we should consider with XRPUSD.
Structural Developments:
As when looking at my chart we can watch there how XRPUSD has now built this huge decisive descending-channel-formation marked in my chart in blue with a coherent wave-count established within the formation and already completing waves A to C in the structure to the point where XRPUSD is now testing the 1400-EMA in green that is likely to be the source of the next wave D to the upside running into the resistance-cluster marked in my chart in red, this cluster will highly possible be the origin of the wave E to the downside which will finalize the whole wave-count and move into the lower supports where stabilization can be considered within the back-up-cluster and especially as the wave-count is completing then this can lead to a bounce further.
Upcoming Perspectives:
Next times will show how XRPUSD will develop under the suggested and given circumstances, when completing the wave-count and moving into the lower back-up-cluster it is necessary that XRPUSD manages to show up with strong bullishness to the upside from there as such a price-action will lead to a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel and activate upside targets in which XRPUSD will test remaining resistances further ahead. In this case, it is of high importance that XRPUSD does not increase with bearish pressure further to move below the lower boundary and invalidate the bullish breakout, this possibility however is at the moment quite marginal and the former more likely breakout case should be preferably expected.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, have a great day and weekend, all the best!
"The high destiny of the market is to explicate, rather than to speculate."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Updates: Bitcoin formed a simetric triangle flag!!! Good signalWe're in Bitcoin from Friday and Bitcoin is prepare to a up movement!!! So, investor are buying in this simetric triangle of re-accumulation!!!
As we are in consolidation and re-accumulation in this zone, Bitcoin is prepared to a bullish movement!!! So, I believe that it's arukk a good signal to continue buy more Bitcoin. But, as I have 0.06 lots inverted between these 2 trade, I just trade with 0.06 lots that i still open up these posiiton one from Friday and one from yesterday.
And also, guys, we're forming a elliot wave analysis using this model that I am to prepared for you to understand in the cycle of trend. Remember that my own target is $12,000 USD.
We're in profit in our first trade of Friday protecting our long position and then, our second position is in profit, so at the moment, the break even it's keep in this zone until we see any updated for tomorrow or the next days!!!
Good luck on this position!!!
Accumulation Zone?Hello Everyone and Good Afternoon To You! Last night the bulls caught some momentum but failed to break our prior high around $12,130. We have had a very bullish trend since the Covid Flash Crash and I believe the trend should continue. I have 2 zones of interest with the first being a support zone around $11,500 and our local resistance at $12,130. I have most of my analysis on that chart but for a quick summary we have made 4 consecutive lower highs on the MACD/Signal lines on our MACD but at the same time bears are slowly losing grip on holding the price down as you can see bearish momo is declining with each dip in price. My Bullish Signal is a break above $12,130 and closing a 1 HR candle above to avoid any possible fakes outs upon breaking. My 1st bullish target is $12,350-$12,400 but I'm really thinking $13,200 roughly would be in the cards if you zoom out on the daily and look left. My bearish target entry is a break below our $11,150-$11,200 support with a target area to take profit around $10,600-$10.800 where bulls have major support. Once Again Thank You For Your Time and if you like this kind of analysis hit the thumbs up button and consider following.
Mapping The Crypto Market Cycle - Part 7 (Phase 3 Begins?)Interestingly, nothing much has changed since my last update on this study. This is despite the fact that the market experienced a massive liquidity/shakeout event on March 12th, 2020, due to the coronavirus panic. Even though I've been posting on here less, it hasn't impacted the accuracy of my analysis. In fact, if you go through my last two pages of recent posts, all my observations and implications have pretty much played out precisely how I expected, for the bullish scenario. This includes XRP's massive push towards the top of its downtrend channel, the weakness of Bitcoin dominance, VET's parabolic move, and more.
Here's my most recent update on the market cycle, which I wrote in January:
What's fascinating to me is how this model, which is an attempt to predict human behavior over time, has held true. Even global markets continue to push up in "value" while quality of life continues to decline for the majority of the population. This, I believe, is near the peak of an enormous asset bubble and economic shift. Thankfully, every time this has happened throughout history, we've become more emotionally self-conscious as a species. Now, with social media, we are able to literally look at our past selves in the mirror and feel shame. The consequences are much more emotionally scathing, so we must be held more accountable. And crypto is an effort to make us more financially accountable. The whole purpose is to solve the problem of trust. Now we have to see which direction humanity chooses as it eventually exits this crisis. Do we self-destruct and take the short road towards fascism, oppression, and violence? Or do we find solutions that continue our challenging transition into a global, collective, self-aware society? The fact that we are aware of our own complacency is already a step, but many won't see it that way.
The biggest question for me is whether or not cryptocurrencies will continue to increase in value over time (relative to their supply and the global economy) as humans make an attempt to take economic power back into their hands - or whether crypto is just part of the asset bubble, where the wealthy put their money into anything BUT money, in an effort to escape a system that continues to diminish the value of labor.
Now to the analysis
According to my chart, we could very well be ending Phase 2 of the market cycle. Phase 2 is characterized by sideways movement in Bitcoin as dominance drops slightly. Alts haven't performed quite as well as I drew in my chart (you can see my original projection in yellow, and how it's diverged). Bitcoin has pretty much performed exactly as expected, particularly if you completely ignore the March 12th event. Indeed, Bitcoin is starting to inch up and work on the highs from June 2019. Once those highs are breached, Bitcoin will confirm Phase 3, in which all cryptocurrencies start to do well, with alts continuing to outperform slightly. It should be noted again that alts did not truly go parabolic until Bitcoin started working on the all-time-high. This wouldn't happen until Phases 5 and 6. Meanwhile, I do think dominance can just continue to slowly decline towards the 50% level.
The past cycle for dominance:
My projection for the current cycle. Unfortunately TradingView wasn't able to save these charts, so I had to link them from earlier snapshots:
If we are indeed entering Phase 3, I expect it to only last a few weeks, during which Bitcoin makes a high above $14k, but not quite touching the all-time-high yet. Then, Phase 4 would be another long period of consolidation, during which all cryptocurrencies correct and find buyers at new support levels. Dominance would continue to decline slowly, instilling excitement in Bitcoin Maxis at the prospect of a bounce, and fear in altcoin holders. Here it is zoomed in:
There are many reasons to consider why Phase 3 could be beginning. First of all, Bitcoin has clearly broken out of consolidation. In my last Bitcoin analysis, I wrote about how the structure more clearly signaled continuation, rather than a top. This analysis ended up being correct, although there was no shakeout below $8K. Evidently, there were too many buyers at the $9.1K level. In addition, Ethereum has already made a new high since June 2019, and it happened VERY quickly. Currently, ETH and TOTAL2 are struggling at the same horizontal resistance, but price action looks stronger, and so far the rejection is being bought. You can see how important the $140 Billion level is for the altcoin market. Ultimately, it will need to blast through here to confirm a bull market:
There are some strong sellers up here on the daily. I'd like to see a close above the long wick from July 26th, which tapped the $125 Billion level.
I'm not at all surprised to see strong resistance here. The total crypto market cap got rejected precisely off the highs from June 2019. Ultimately, I want to see some consolidation above $300 Billion and a push higher. It doesn't need to happen right away, but I don't want to see this entire move retraced without strong dip buying.
In any case, I'm very curious to see how this evolves. For the record, I am finally somewhat substantially in profit on my crypto portfolio. My plan is to begin trading a portion once I see a larger impulse that takes us out of the bear market. Still not completely convinced, but I'm getting quite close. My posts are, in part, a constant evaluation of my own life decision to enter this market. It's a way for me to "figure out" whether human behavior can be predicted in a such a way, and what this means for our future. Will cryptocurrencies be part of a new paradigm? Who knows. All I'm doing is speculating and analyzing charts. This is meant for education, speculation, and entertainment only. This is not financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
ATOMBTC Nice breakout 🦐ATOMBTC Nice
According to Plancton strategy, we can set a nice order
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Follow the Shrimp! 🦐
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Ethereum / Bitcoin Bullish Pattern 1962% Potential ProfitEthereum Is currently breaking out forming an ascending triangle.
This is giving me high confidence that it will continue its trend.
Once it will break the resistance it will tank the ETH/USD pair as well.
Risk: 4/10
Reward: 10/10
I will evaluate each trade risk/reward to give you confidence and compare to your current market sentiment.
The upcoming ETH 2. 0 will allow users that hold 32+ ETH to receive stake rewards. To do this you will need to lock your coins for a certain amount of time, this will reduce the Ethereum supply (temporary, till you withdraw them) and pump the price.
You can find price targets very easy by following the Fibonacci Lines.
My personal target is 0.25 ,thats about 1500%+ from actual price.
So by investing only 1 or 0.1 BTC you will end up with a very profitable trade (if you have enough patience)
Are you balls big enough to handle this trade?
Comment down below and share you thoughts!
7 Altcoins I am Bullish on because of TechFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, the 7 cryptocurrencies that are altcoins (that I believe are covering a wide variety of sectors) that I think has some strong technological aspects, are what I will be talking about here. For avoidance of conflict of interest, I am not directly associated with the development of any of these. That being said, the 7 altcoins I am bullish on include: ChainLink, Cosmos, Siacoin, Waves, BitTorrent, Pivx, and Peercoin. ChainLink has a really developer friendly smart contract platform, and Cosmos has consensus protocols, and the ability to easily create side-chains. Siacoin has its proof of storage concept. Waves is a next generation decentralized application development platform with its own exchange. BitTorrent I like more as a startup rather than a crypto, but I am betting long on their technologies. Pivx reminds me of a staked variation of Dash. Peercoin is PoW compatible while having PoS for the network security. Peercoin easily can have more real world adaption. If I would be bullish just on the basis of technological aspects, I feel like these 7 altcoins would be on the list.
Crypto Total Market Cap is Bullish Are you?The above chart is very bullish, the downtrend line is broken and the market sees a good reversal. The daily 50 MA is crossing the daily 200 MA in upward direction which is known as the Golden Cross (one of the most bullish events).
The last Golden cross happened in April 2019 and the total market cap gained more than 150% in the next 3 months. The bitcoin price touched the $14,000 during that bull run. We may see the same results in the next 6 months.
Bitcoin will hit $13,000-$15,000 before halving. Long the best assets of the decade. This is a lifetime opportunity.
bitcoin last deep, to moonThis is the area where I will enter with great force, only from the technical perspective we have not yet corrected until 0.78 fibonnacci which would be the most relevant area.
We must add that in the monthly graph we are close to ema 55 which I firmly believe will be tested again before a stronger momentum.
There are two options with this bullish count:
1- This would be an ABC of a corrective wave (4) which would lead us to a fifth wave (5).
2- Or this structure is simply a C ending the correction to start a new upward wave cycle
The price may never correct that area and continue from where it is.
Esta es la zona en la que entrare con mucha fuerza, solo desde la perspectiva tecnica todavia no hemos corregido hasta el 0.78 fibonnacci que seria la zona mas relevante.
Debemos agregar que en la grafica mensual estamos cerca de la ema 55 la cual creo con firmeza que sera probada nuevamente antes de un impulso mas fuerte.
Hay dos opciones con este conteo alcista:
1- Esto parece ser una onda (2) corrigiendo para una onda (3) cual nos llevaria a la zona marcada.
2- O esta estructura es simplemente un ABC terminando la correccion para empezar un nuevo ciclo de ondas al alza
Puede que el precio nunca llegue a corregir a esa zona y continue desde donde esta.