BTC BreakoutTrade highlighted in the video: www.youtube.com
Resistance from here is $4272, and not many levels before all time highs.
The bulls are fairly extended on this 2 day bounce so cautious on any entries up here, just looking for short term gains.
Bulls want to hold $4200 to keep the higher low pattern intact.
Cryptocurrrency
NEO Key resistance test approachingAfter 6 days of consolidation from all time highs, we are getting the first signs that the bulls are ready to confirm they have established the higher low on the daily chart. We must see a break of $42 to confirm this, but we are seeing our first signs on the hourly with a higher low set and some bullish action following it. If we get a break of $42 we will look for a lower high on the daily compared to the all time high, and an equilibrium pattern to develop. I will be back to highlight this if we get the break!
Bitcoin Cash 12 August 2017 - stand asideApologies for those who love Bitcoin Cash I'm not a big fan of it as it stands today (tomorrow is another day I may love it).
I was asked to comment on Bitcoin Cash so for what it's worth there is a Risk Reward 1:1 trade.
Now for me, this is NOT a trade I want to take, for several reasons:
a) I think BCH is finding its feet and I don't want to tie up my capital while it does
b) there isn't enough data to objectively assess its direction
c) I am not interested in Risk Reward 1: 1 trades - there just isn't enough meat on the bone
Now I may be wrong and it may explode but it can explode without me, thank you very much.
Be discerning look for quality trades not just throw darts at a dartboard. So this is a stand aside trade ie no trade.
Hope this helps,
Sean Vengan
Professional Cryptocurrency Trader and Trading Educator
SegWitWhat? Fear Fizzles and Ethereum Breaks ResistanceSeems like all of the short term fear of SegWit2 disruption is fading which could be very bullish for crypto-currencies. In the short term, Ethereum has broken the resistance line which is bullish but we will need to see future support levels to validate this move.
Let me know your thoughts!
Steve W.
Bitcoin Long term GrowthI have shown Bitcoin all the way back to 2012 on a log plot. On a log plot, a straight line represents exponential growth.
The green line here is a growth rate of 3.8X per year. Notice that this is an extremely strong support line.
Even when looking at the daily and hourly charts, I use this chart to evaluate the position of bitcoin on a long term scale. While we are currently slightly above this line, we are no where near as far as we were in 2013! If this support continues, expect Bitcoin to reach $5000 by July/Aug 2018.
Nobody knows the futureYou can't be confident with your forecasts on 100%.
That’s why we estimate two scenarios at once. You can be either bullish or bearish. On our chart we show how to act in the worst case scenario and how to act in the best case scenario.
For basis we are using BTCUSD chart from GDAX (Coinbase Exchange).
We have used:
1. support and resistance levels
2. figures
3. fibonacci retracement
4. moving averages
1. From my observation historical and psychological levels are always very strong it doesn’t matter if they are support or resistance levels. We decided to take four levels that have core role for the next one-two months:
* $1700
* $2000
* $2700
* $3000
2. Additionally to the price levels we applied figure analysis which includes:
* Head and shoulders - bearish
* Ascending triangle - bullish
3. Another indicator that always proves its dependability is:
* Fibonacci retracement (critical levels are 0.618 and 0.382)
4. And the last one, but not the list is:
* Simple Moving average (14 and 50 periods)
We emphasize again, that nobody knows for sure where the market goes up or down, however you can prepare yourself with asking a simple question “What if” ?
1. What if the price breaks $2700 price level, 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, MA 50 crosses MA 14 and ascending triangle will continue its forming? If four indicators are bullish the best point of entry will be $2800.
2. What if the price will find resistance level at $2700, break the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, “head and shoulders” will continue its forming and MA 50 will be crossed by MA 14? In this case bear position can be more appropriate and the best point of entry will be $2400-2350.
3. The third scenario will be flat, however based on previous fundamental news from Ethereum a lot of investors and traders converted their tokens in Bitcoin which created additional volatility on bitcoin market. Trading inside the channel we will discuss later.
Risk disclosure:
Our analysis neither offers you the solution of how to trade, nor encourages you to trade based on it. We are not offering to take this information for granted. Thus, be careful with your trading decisions.
Do not be greedy, do not be panic - be an intelligent investor!
Sincerely,
Cryptocurrency Fund L.P.
medium.com
ETH/USD Bullish continuationAfter a pretty significant run up to 400 and a quick sell off ETH/USD seems to put in exactly a similar move that it did last time it had a pretty significant run. Period of consolidation followed by a a nice run up and then quick sell. I do expect to see a return to $400 within the next month
ETH/USD Fib Extension & Continuation IdeaAssuming this latest bull run is still in tact, our 23.60% fib retracement level ($160) has provided strong support 3 times now and on high volume. I expect some volatility in between our 23.60% fib ($160) and the top of our bull run before the fib extension ($184) before ultimately consolidating and pushing for new highs.
I will be a strong buyer all the way down to our 38.20% fib level ($144). A breach of this level could cause concern for a trend reversal, which would be confirmed with a break of our 50% fib level ($135)
Keep in mind these price targets are not exact, and can vary by a couple % in either direction. These targets are used as a general idea in understanding the direction of the market as a whole.
Rippling is starting to RippleFor those who have been Rippled by Ripple, if you get in very soon maybe even as of 2 hours ago and still even now you may stand a chance to Ripple the f^%$ out of Ripple.
Many once like I was rippled at their first climb but I refused to admit it, people in public would point and laugh as I shopped for groceries. I told my friends I was staying strong with ripple and that one day I ripple the rippler aka XRP, they too laughed and said I would not win the battle.
I stand here today proud to say I rippled ripple and you may get the chance as well but the battle may be slow as it was for me. I go on to fight this journey until XRP hits 30cents although that may feel like the beginning also.
If your in already enjoy the fight.
If your not in, then join the fight if you please. If you do make sure you join when you see a big fat long red candle stick aka 'The Red Rocket', because I believe we are going up and if you join then it you will see green. If you join while we are at a peak and are not experienced do not panic if you see red for a few days, weeks or months, that's just blood and in battle there is always blood to shed.
To those about to Ripple we salute you!
P.S this is continuing my previous post
BTCUSD, SHORTFundamentally speaking, whatever goes up must come down, but the question is when. BTC has been proven to the new XAU.
From a technical stand point however, I anticipate BTC to go up higher. Then dropping down dramatically on the macro level. At a micro level, here, in 120, we can note that we're in a corrective state, after completing the final wave 5 of Elliotts Wave.
The correction has retraced past the 61.8 level of wave 5 and has maintained its levels above this.
If we break above the resistance levels (1346.09) we can expect a move up.
However if we break below 1300 its a sell down to 1285.47
Lets see how this rolls out ;)
Ripple breakout above pennant, 100 day MA and long term supportRipple recently broke out above a blue pennant and its 100 day moving average (pink line),forming support at line U . If it manages to break up into zone 2 I think we see hard resistance at line 0. I've taken profit with ripple so personally Im holding and watching for other entries (perhaps in zones 4 and 5). The 100 day MA also moved above its previous high, which is a bullish signal. All in all, a lot of room for ripple to run between diagonal lines 1 and 0. Watch the RSI closely to see if XRP can continue this run. If we lose momentum we will likely see support build between green support line U and the 62% retracement. Consider taking profit now if you haven't already. Those who are building longer term positions, keep accumulating on dips.