ETHEREUM - ETH Weekly Recap & Projection 13.07.2025Current Structure
Ethereum is showing a clear bullish bias.
Last week’s price action broke above a significant weekly swing level with solid candle closures — suggesting continuation.
Short-Term Scenarios
We could see two potential outcomes:
• A consolidation range forming at current levels
• A short-term retracement influenced by Bitcoin’s movement
Due to ETH’s high correlation with BTC, traders should review Bitcoin’s chart to understand ETH’s likely path.
Trading Plan
Wait for Bitcoin to complete a retracement
Monitor ETH for LTF (lower timeframe) confirmation and bounce
Seek long setups below the CME Gap (pink line)
Step 2 will serve as the trigger to initiate any positions on ETH.
Macro Risk-On Catalyst – Powell Resignation?
There are growing rumors regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell potentially resigning.
If confirmed, this could result in a strong rally across risk assets, including ETH — likely pushing prices higher without traditional pullbacks.
Summary
• ETH broke major weekly structure
• Watch BTC for clues — correlation remains high
• Plan favors long entries after BTC retrace + ETH LTF confirmation
• Powell resignation rumors could accelerate bullish trend
Cryptolevels
Feeling the waves (Ripple $XRP)Setup
The price has been consolidating since the explosive move from ~50c to $3 last year. There has been a wide $1 price range between $2 and $3. A failed breakdown below a still rising 30-week moving average and new 4-month high suggest underlying bullishness.
Signal
Should there be any follow-through to last week's big up-move, then any pullback to the golden pocket between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels could trigger a rebound.
Bitcoin Daily in a large pennant with apex end of July
Bitcoin is once again getting rejected off the Fib circle just above.
This is also just under a 618 Fib extension and so a combined rejection zone.
Beneath this, we have support on that Bold dashed line. This is a Local line of supprt but has strength.
And so, we find outselves in apennant again and that apex is around 22 July.
PA tracts before the apex.
As will be explained in the monthly chart I iwll post later, this all points towards a Calm July, possibly RED month.
PA does however, have the ability and strength to push higher if the Bulls decide to make a move.
The MACD
The Daily MACD is just above Neutral and has enough room to move.
So, if we drop, support is arouns 103K
If we loose that then 100K and then we land on that red 236 Fib circle that will offer a sliding line of support.
But I do not think we will get there just yet
Enjoy
Xrp - The expected rally of +50%!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - is still clearly bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Ever since Xrp rallied more than +550% in the end of 2024, we have been witnessing a quite expected consolidation. However Xrp still remains rather bullish and can easily retest the previous all time highs again. Maybe, we will even see another parabolic triangle breakout.
Levels to watch: $3.0, $10.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin Mid Term Game Plan - BTC PLANBitcoin just broke a key resistance level with strength.
I expect a new all-time high soon, likely the summer top.
Summer markets are usually weak for risk assets and strong for gold. Seasonality matters, keep that in mind.
I expect risk markets to sell off until mid-July to early August. I’ll start buying once we break structure again.
The plan:
Wait for BTC to hit $110K
Look for a reversal from that level
Start aggressively shorting alts, beginning with ETH and memecoins
Hold shorts until late July / early August
Close positions and shift back to buying
BTC.D ANALYSIS BTC.D – Daily Chart Analysis 🧠
Bitcoin dominance is forming a rising wedge pattern – a typically bearish structure.
We’re now at the upper resistance; a rejection here could trigger a strong move down, opening the path toward 56–57% levels.
If confirmed, altcoins might get temporary relief.
Watch for a break of the lower trendline for confirmation.
Not financial advice – DYOR
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Bitcoin Bounce Alert: Holding the $100K Fortress! 📉 Market Context & Technical Levels
Key support at ~$100K: As the chart shows and multiple analysts confirm, this level continues to act as a strong defence zone. Cointelegraph noted bulls have been “defending the $100K key support level strongly,” triggering bounces during dips
Descending channel overhead: Bitcoin has retraced into a downward channel. A clean breakout above ~107K–109K (past recent peaks) is needed to signal a bullish shift .
Liquidity target at ~106K: Plenty of orders await in that region—flipping it to support may pave the way for another push higher .
📊 Indicators & Momentum
RSI dip near 25 during the latest drop indicates oversold conditions—often a precursor to rebounds
.
Volume surge on rebounds suggests absorbing sell pressure and strong accumulation interest at lower levels.
🚩 Key Price Zones to Watch
Level Significance
$100K Crucial support; losing it risks a slide toward $95K–97K or even $92K
.
$105K–106K Liquidity zone; flipping here as support could confirm upward momentum .
$107K–109K Resistance from channel tops and prior highs; a successful break is key to next leg up .
$112K–$112K+ If breakout occurs, upside targets extend toward prior ATH near $112K and beyond .
🎯 Chart Analysis Summary
Your chart shows three distinct bounces from the $100K–100.7K supply zone (highlighted in blue) and the latest one includes a sharp wick and rebound. This aligns with broader market dynamics emphasizing support at $100K and building liquidity at $106K. The arrow projection signals a probable retest of ~106K, with room to challenge ~107–109K after consolidation.
🧭 Trade Outlook
Bullish scenario: Hold above $100K → reclaim $106K → trendline breakout → potential rally to $112K+.
Bearish risk: Fails support at $100K → breakdown toward $95K–92K region.
📌 Bottom Line
Support $100K is alive and well. Bounces have been crisp and volume-backed.
Next test lies at $105–106K. That’s the battleground—flip it, and we may see bitcoin reclaim recent highs.
Watch the channel overhead (~107K–109K). A breakout could open the door to fresh records.
✅ Conclusion: BTC is defending its psychological base firmly. If this zone holds once more, the path to $106K and beyond is in focus. Breaking above demands conviction, but it’s the pivot to watch.
Ethereum Price Reversal ? $2100 Support & Altcoin Season OutlookAfter an extended period of consolidation, Ethereum (ETH) has finally retested the critical support level of $2,100, which aligns closely with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the bullish trend that began in April. This confluence of technical factors strengthens the validity of this level as a strong demand zone.
The price action suggests that ETH may be gearing up for a bullish reversal, as it respects both horizontal support and key Fibonacci structure. Historically, the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone acts as a high-probability reversal area in trending markets, particularly when accompanied by volume stabilization and long-tailed candles on the daily chart.
Trade Plan: Spot and Futures Positions
Given the current structure, this presents a favorable opportunity to accumulate ETH on spot for the anticipated altcoin season. In addition, leveraged long positions in futures can be considered with clearly defined risk parameters.
Entry Zone: Around \$2,100
Stop Loss: \$2,000 (below key support)
Target Levels:
Primary Target: $2,500 (previous resistance / psychological level)
Secondary Target: $2,600 (major structure high)
The risk-to-reward ratio remains attractive, particularly if the broader crypto market continues its uptrend and Bitcoin maintains stability.
Market Context
Broader macro sentiment and the dominance cycle suggest capital rotation into altcoins could be near. With Ethereum leading major Layer 1s, a recovery from this level could catalyze a wider altcoin rally**, making this an important zone to watch for both intraday traders and swing investors.
⚠️ Note: Due to ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel, Iran, and the United States, global financial markets—including crypto—may experience heightened volatility. Traders are advised to manage risk carefully and avoid overleveraging during uncertain macro conditions.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4H AnalysisBitcoin is currently consolidating around $105,523 after a strong rally and forming a short-term sideways structure. It is still unable to break the immediate resistance of $ 111 K.
Key Technical Observations:
BTC has been ranging between $101,409 and $105,523
RSI at ~51.38 indicates a neutral zone, signaling indecision in momentum
Support holding at $105,396, but price action is flat
Bulls need to reclaim $111,633 to regain momentum
Major Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $111,633 → $122,318
Support: $105,396 → $101,409 → $97,340 → $93,343
A break above $111,633 could trigger bullish continuation, while a fall below $101,409 might open the path to deeper support zones.
Patience is key — wait for breakout confirmation before making moves.
This is not financial advice. Always DYOR and manage risk.
Like, share & comment if you find this analysis helpful!
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down.
But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns.
Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble.
#BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement
🎯 Key Levels Analysis:
✅ Resistance: 106.3K
→ This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs.
✅ Support: 103.7K
→ Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base.
✅ Support: 99.6K
→ Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction.
✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K
→ Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
Bitcoin Bounce & Breakout PlayChart Analysis:
🔹 Support Holding Strong:
BTC is respecting a key support area (~$105,600), which previously acted as resistance (marked by recent ATH).
🔹 EMA 70 (Blue Line):
Price is hovering above the EMA, adding bullish confirmation.
🔹 Bullish Projection Path:
The chart shows a projected bullish move toward the sell zone near $113,200 – $113,300, representing a potential 4.4% gain from the breakout.
🔹 Key Zones:
Support Zone: $105,600
Supply Zone: $100,500
Sell Zone (TP Zone): $113,200+
📌 Outlook:
If BTC breaks and holds above the resistance (~$107,000), a strong upward rally could follow. Entry near support or on breakout, with tight risk management, offers a favorable risk/reward.
✅ Entry Options:
Breakout Entry:
Trigger: Break and close above $107,200
Confirmation: Retest and hold above the breakout zone
Entry: $107,300 – $107,500
Support Bounce Entry:
Trigger: Pullback to support zone (~$105,600) with bullish reversal candle
Entry: $105,600 – $105,800
🎯 Target Zones (TP):
TP1: $110,400 (minor resistance)
TP2: $113,200 – $113,300 (major sell zone)
TP3 (aggressive): $114,000+
🔻 Stop Loss (SL):
For breakout entry: SL below $106,200
For bounce entry: SL below $105,200 or $104,800 (structure break)
📈 Risk–Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3+ depending on entry and target
🧠 Trade Management:
Move SL to breakeven after hitting TP1
Partial profit booking at TP1
Trail remaining with manual or dynamic SL (e.g., below EMA or recent low)
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Avoid chasing price without breakout confirmation
Watch for fakeouts and heavy selling near TP zones
Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance
Technical Chart Analysis – BTC/USDT (4H Timeframe)📊 Current Price: ~105,108 USDT
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🔵 Support Zone (Highlighted in Purple)
Zone Range: ~102,500 – 103,800 USDT
💡 Historical Significance:
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times (📍June 13 & June 4), marking clear demand and buyer interest.
🛡️ Buyers stepped in strongly, causing sharp price reversals from this level.
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🔴 Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Blue)
Zone Range: ~109,500 – 111,000 USDT
🔼 Marked with multiple failed breakout attempts (📍May 21 and projected again around June 18-20).
⛔️ Sellers dominate this zone, causing price rejection each time it was tested.
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🔁 Rounded Bottom Formation (Cup Pattern?) ☕️
⚙️ A smooth rounded recovery pattern is forming, indicating accumulation and potential bullish continuation.
📈 If price sustains and retests the resistance again with momentum, we may see a breakout attempt.
---
🧭 Key Takeaways
Indicator Insight
🟣 Support Well-defined, historically respected zone. Good risk/reward for long entries.
🔵 Resistance Strong sell pressure zone. Needs breakout for bullish confirmation.
☕ Pattern Rounded bottom = bullish setup if volume supports the breakout.
📆 Watch Zone June 17–20 – potential resistance retest.
🔔 Risk Area Failure to hold mid-range (~105K) could lead to a retest of support.
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🚀 Bullish Scenario
✅ Break and close above 111,000 USDT with volume.
📍 Target: 113,500–115,000 USDT 📈
🐻 Bearish Scenario
❌ Rejection at resistance again.
📍 Retest of support zone ~103,000 USDT or below.
BTC/USDT Bullish Reversal Zone AnalysisSupport Zone:
The horizontal purple box (~104,000 USDT area) has acted as a strong support/resistance flip zone multiple times.
Falling Wedge Breakout:
The price action broke out of a falling wedge pattern earlier, confirming bullish momentum.
Flag Formation (Current):
A smaller bullish flag/pennant appears to be forming, and a breakout above could trigger a strong upward move.
Projected Move:
The black arrow indicates a potential bounce from this support zone, with the price targeting the 111,000–112,000 USDT zone (highlighted in the top purple box).
Volume Spike:
Notable volume spike near the bottom supports the idea of accumulation and possible reversal.
📈 Conclusion:
If the support zone holds and price breaks above the minor flag, a bullish continuation is likely toward the 111,000–112,000 resistance area. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout and volume increase for validation.
XRP/USDT Reversal Play: Bounce from Strong Demand Zone🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟫 Strong Supply Zone: The price has bounced perfectly off a strong demand zone (labeled "strong supply zone" in the chart, but likely intended to be demand), showing buyer interest near the $2.05–$2.12 range.
📉 Recent Downtrend: XRP recently experienced a sharp decline, but the price has now touched this critical zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
🔁 Potential U-Shaped Recovery: A rounded reversal pattern is indicated with the red curve, aiming for a U-shaped recovery targeting higher resistance levels.
📊 EMA 70 (2.2932): Current price is trading below the EMA, which acts as a short-term resistance. A break above it would be bullish confirmation.
📌 1st Resistance: Around $2.2932, which aligns with the EMA. This is the first challenge for bulls.
📌 2nd Resistance: Near $2.40–$2.47, a critical barrier before long-term targets.
🎯 Long-Term Target: Set near $2.63, the peak from the previous rally, aligning with major resistance.
🕯 Volume: Decent volume spike at the bounce, confirming interest from buyers.
🧠 Trade Setup: Reversal from Strong Demand Zone
📍 Entry Zone:
🔹 Enter between $2.12 – $2.15 (ideal after confirming a bounce or bullish candle above the zone)
🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL):
🔻 Place below the demand zone — $2.05
(Protects from deeper downside if support breaks)
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1 – $2.29 (🟦 1st Resistance / EMA 70)
🔸 Partial profit booking here; break-even SL for the rest
TP2 – $2.40 (🟦 2nd Resistance)
🔸 Major resistance zone; expect a reaction
TP3 – $2.63 (🔴 Long-term Target / Previous High)
🔸 Full target for position holders
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, depending on entry
🔔 Extra Notes:
📈 Watch for bullish engulfing or hammer candle confirmation before entering.
🔄 If price fails to reclaim EMA 70, re-evaluate trade.
🧠 Manage position size properly — avoid over-leverage.
🔮 Summary:
XRP is attempting a bullish reversal from a key demand zone with potential to target $2.47 and even $2.63 long term, provided it clears resistance at $2.29 and $2.40. The setup favors swing traders and position holders looking for a recovery play.
💡 Strategy Tagline:
"Buy the bounce, trail the breakout, ride the reversal!" 🚀📈💹
support my idea and comment down your thoughts thanks .
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Breakout Watch ! Hello traders here is KingPro's analysis on Ethereum
📈ETH is at the critical resistance level strong closing above it could tiger a bullish move.
Current Price: $2,628
EMA 70 Support: Price is holding above the 70-period EMA ($2,577), showing bullish structure.
Support Zone: The area around $2,320–$2,400 is acting as a strong historical support, confirmed multiple times.
Supply Zone: Consolidation occurred near $2,570–$2,620, but price has broken above it — indicating accumulation.
Critical Resistance Area: Around $2,780–$2,800. This is a key level — a breakout above could lead to strong bullish continuation.
Next Target: $2,782.93 – price may retest this resistance as indicated by the projection arrow.
📊 Trade Idea:
If ETH sustains above $2,620 and breaks the short-term channel resistance, a move toward $2,782+ is likely.
🔒 Risk: A breakdown below the EMA or the supply zone (~$2,570) could invalidate the setup.
$ETH - Top DownBYBIT:ETHUSDT.P Top Down (10/06/25)
V-Levels Bias
Weekly = Bullish
Daily - Bullish
10-Hour = Bullish
1-Hour = Bullish
V-Levels Momentum
Weekly = Bearish FA
Daily = Neutral
10-Hour = Neutral
1-Hour = IB Range (Neutral)
DeCode Market Breakdown
Macro Context
Weekly Chart
Strong bullish MS, printing clean HHs and HLs.
Price has rejected from the same V-Level multiple times.
Rejections are paired with high relative volume and aggressive selling footprints → indicates strong passive interest above.
This area is not ideal for aggressive long entries.
Daily Chart
Still in bullish structure, holding above key POCs and range lows.
The Failed Auction at IB lows has added fuel for upside momentum.
However, we’re trading right into a potential liquidity pocket just below resistance.
Context calls for a wait-and-see approach: either clear breakout or rejection confirmation.
Intraday Picture (10H & 1H)
10H Chart
Still within an Inside Bar (IB) range.
FA at range lows suggests momentum continues upward — but we are at the top of the range.
Key risk: trap above range highs → ideal area for shorts if we get absorption and selling imbalance.
1H Chart
Market is rotating inside the current IB range.
No breakout confirmed yet.
Best short setup: Rejection from IB Highs + Absorption on CVD / Footprint charts.
Breakdown scenario: Short on range low breakdown with volume confirmation.
Longs: Only valid if HTFs confirm breakout → then look for bullish retest or mid-retest entries.
⸻
Summary & Trade Plan
Big Picture: Still bullish, but this isn’t the area to long blindly.
Short Setup 1: Rejection from IB Highs with clear absorption + imbalance.
Short Setup 2: Breakdown below IB Range Lows with volume follow-through.
Long Setup: Wait for HTF confirmation of breakout. If confirmed → retest of prior resistance as support.
Final Notes
This is where traders get chopped. HTF resistance meets LTF momentum.
Let price prove itself. Let volume confirm the move.
No breakout = no long. No trap = no short.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Breakout Signals BullishThe chart under review presents a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a reliable and widely recognized bullish reversal formation in technical analysis. This structure typically forms after a downtrend, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
The pattern is composed of:
Left Shoulder: A modest price decline followed by a temporary upward correction.
Head: A deeper price decline forming the lowest point in the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A higher low that mirrors the left shoulder, followed by another upward movement.
The neckline, which acts as a critical resistance level, is clearly illustrated at approximately 106,840.37 USDT. A confirmed breakout above this neckline suggests the completion of the reversal pattern and validates the potential for a sustained bullish movement.
2. Breakout Confirmation
The current price action confirms a successful breakout above the neckline, with the market currently trading around 107,586.58 USDT. This breakout is a key signal for bullish continuation, provided it is supported by increased volume and follow-through price action.
From a technical standpoint, the breakout is reinforced by:
A clean violation of neckline resistance
Price consolidation near breakout zone before a strong upward thrust
Higher lows preceding the breakout, indicative of growing buying pressure
This confluence of technical signals strengthens the case for an upward price trajectory in the near term.
3. Projected Price Targets
Upon confirmation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout, target levels can be derived using the measured move technique. This involves projecting the vertical distance from the head to the neckline upward from the breakout point.
Target 1 (Initial Resistance):
108,878.29 USDT – This level represents a potential short-term resistance where price may consolidate or retrace slightly before continuing.
Target 2 (Measured Move Completion):
110,752.24 USDT – This is the ultimate price target derived from the height of the head-to-neckline structure. Reaching this level would represent the full realization of the reversal pattern.
4. Key Support and Risk Levels
Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. The following support levels should be closely monitored:
106,840.37 USDT (Neckline Support):
Former resistance turned support. Holding above this level post-breakout is essential for sustaining bullish momentum.
105,997.09 USDT:
Acts as a secondary support level and potential stop-loss region for conservative traders.
If price fails to hold above the neckline and falls back below these levels, the breakout could be classified as a false breakout, warranting caution.
5. Strategic Implications for Traders
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long entries, particularly for traders seeking to capitalize on momentum-based patterns. An optimal trading approach could involve:
Entry: Near the neckline breakout or on a minor retest of 106,840.37 USDT
Stop-Loss: Below 105,997.09 USDT or under the right shoulder to account for volatility
Take-Profit Zones: Partial profits near 108,878.29 USDT, with final target at 110,752.24 USDT
6. Final Remarks
This chart illustrates a textbook example of a bullish reversal pattern in play. While the technical outlook is favorable, traders should remain cautious of potential invalidation scenarios, especially in highly volatile or news-driven markets. Confirmation through volume analysis and supportive macro/fundamental conditions can further enhance confidence in the bullish thesis.
Overall, the current setup indicates a well-structured opportunity for upward price movement, with a clearly defined entry, risk, and reward framework.
Let me know if you'd like this tailored for a trading journal, client report, or automated strategy setup