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Bitcoin Game Plan - BTC PREDICTIONHello folks, it's time to update the BTC game plan. My previous Bitcoin game plan worked precisely. The timing and price levels were 100% accurate, and as expected, we saw a new all-time high (ATH). I hope you managed to make some profits! I’ve attached the previous BTC game plan below—feel free to give it a look. New Game Plan: Bitcoin has set a new ATH, but it seems we’ve encountered significant selling pressure at that level, and we couldn’t close above it. This indicates Bitcoin doesn’t yet have enough liquidity to expand higher. From this perspective, I expect the price to retrace slightly, grab some liquidity from the buy side, and then continue its upward journey. Scenario 1: Price grabs the lows below and hits the purple line (Range High) before bouncing to a new high. (Less likely) Scenario 2: (Marked on the chart) Price grabs the lows completely and retraces to the blue bullish trendline, bouncing from there. We might even create a deviation below the blue line, trapping bears who aggressively short after a trendline break, and bounce from the green zone marked just below the blue line. (This is my preferred scenario.) Scenario 3: Price retraces further to grab all the way down to the lows and bounces from the black trendline we previously broke. I’m sharing all three potential scenarios for clarity. Also, with a pro-crypto president currently in office, any significant bullish news could send Bitcoin skyrocketing. Keep this in mind. I remain overall bullish on Bitcoin. I firmly believe we haven’t seen the top yet. Despite the panic and sell-off from some gurus on X and TradingView who claim we’ve topped, I personally think we’re not even close to the peak.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
3
GIGA Long Swing OpportunityMarket Context: GIGA stands out as one of the strongest meme coins, holding within a major support zone despite market fluctuations. This support area offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for a long swing trade. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $0.05 (support zone) Take Profit Targets: $0.071 $0.095 Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.045 This trade leverages GIGA's resilience, with profit targets set at key resistance levels. Exercise disciplined risk management! 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
1
TradeCityPro | AXS: Axie Infinity's Play to Earn Dynamics👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I want to discuss the coin AXS, which belongs to the project Axie Infinity. This coin gained a lot of hype during the previous bull run as part of a Play to Earn game. 📅 Weekly Time Frame In the weekly time frame, we see a very large and long-term range box where the price has been oscillating between 4.221 and 12.610 since late 2022. 🔍 The SMA 99 has even entered the range, indicating a severe ranging market. I do not recommend buying this coin as it has very high inflation, and the coin has a consumptive and reward aspect in the game, leading most users to sell the coin they earn, which is why it has not been able to break out of its range box yet. 🔽 If the price breaks below the support at 4.221, it will be very challenging for AXS as a sharp and heavy drop is very likely, and selling pressure will significantly increase. The only support area below this is at 1.355. ✅ If the price manages to break the resistance at 12.610, the potential for an uptrend increases. The next resistances are at 19.426 and 44.596. The major resistance near the ATH is at 161.591. 📅 Daily Time Frame In the daily time frame, we can observe the price behavior in more detail. As you can see, there is a descending trend line that has been driving the price downward after reaching a high of 9.534, starting as a correction but turning into a downward movement due to the volume of sales. 🔽 If support at 5.439 is broken, it confirms the end of the uptrend, and the price will return to the box between 4.306 and 5.439. If support at 4.306 is broken, the situation will worsen for AXS as, as seen in the weekly frame, there is no significant support until 1.355. 🧩 Conversely, if the price can regain upward momentum and buying volume enters the market, we can expect the price to rise. The first significant trigger is the breaking of the descending trend line, which could introduce momentum into the market. Breaking above the 50 area in RSI could also assist in this upward movement. 📈The main trigger for a price increase is breaking through 7.366, a risky move, with primary buying triggers at the resistances of 9.534 and 12.610. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
9
PNUTUSDT: Near Its Critical Pivot – Will the Market Make Its MovPNUTUSDT is sitting on the edge of a key threshold at $0.3188, just a breath away from its absolute low of $0.3044, set today. With an 87% plunge from its all-time high of $2.5084, the asset is signaling a potential turning point. RSI at 41.17 indicates a mildly oversold condition, setting the stage for either a rebound or a deeper dive. Recent patterns, including VSA Buy signals and volume surges, suggest that bullish energy might be brewing just under the surface. Yet, the heavy resistance levels above at $0.3668 and $0.4176 could act as significant tests for any upward momentum. With macroeconomic factors steady but market sentiment edgy, PNUTUSDT traders face the pressing question: is this the bottom, or could another leg down be imminent? This is a critical moment for both short-term traders eyeing quick reversals and long-term investors evaluating the larger picture. Will you seize the potential rebound or wait for clearer confirmation? Stay tuned – the next move could define the trend for weeks to come! PNUTUSDT Roadmap: Patterns That Defined the Price Action PNUTUSDT has been a rollercoaster for traders recently, with distinct patterns revealing the market’s intentions. Let’s dive into the key candle patterns and how they played out, separating the noise from actionable moves. 1. The "Increased Sell Volumes" Pattern (January 25, 2025) Direction: Sell Price opened at $0.3182 and closed at $0.3051. This bearish setup pushed the price near the asset's absolute low of $0.3044. The sell-off was decisive, as subsequent price action confirmed the direction with a continuation towards the $0.3044 low, validating the main direction of the pattern. 2. "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" (January 24, 2025) Direction: Buy Opening at $0.3239, the price moved higher briefly but closed at $0.3182. While the main direction indicated a buy opportunity, the following sell-off undermined its potential, indicating this pattern failed to confirm its trigger. 3. "Increased Sell Volumes" (January 23, 2025) Direction: Sell Opening at $0.3561 and closing at $0.3527, the pattern confirmed its sell bias as the price dipped further in subsequent candles, aligning with the bearish sentiment. This gave traders an ideal short entry opportunity. 4. "Buy Volumes Takeover" (January 23, 2025) Direction: Buy Despite the bullish direction, this pattern struggled for validation as sell-side pressure dominated immediately afterward. This pattern underperformed, marking a skip in actionable moves. 5. "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" (January 22, 2025) Direction: Buy This was the turning point. The price moved higher, confirming its trigger by closing above the previous resistance level and aligning with the predicted bullish move. Traders who caught this shift enjoyed a strong recovery rally. Key Takeaways from the Roadmap: "Increased Sell Volumes" patterns have consistently delivered, highlighting a reliable bearish trigger. "Buy Volumes Takeover" patterns often need clearer confirmation to provide actionable trades. "VSA Manipulation Buy Patterns" showed strength in directional accuracy, offering robust opportunities when validated. This roadmap emphasizes how selective trading, focused on validated patterns, helps cut through the market's noise and capture meaningful moves. For traders, knowing when to act—and when to stay out—is the game changer. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch The PNUTUSDT market is heating up, and every trader knows that nailing the key levels can make or break your strategy. Here’s a breakdown of the most critical support and resistance zones on the radar right now. If these levels don’t hold, expect them to flip and act as barriers for price action—classic support-turns-resistance and vice versa. Support Levels First Support: $0.3044 — The absolute low and a key battleground. If buyers fail to defend this level, the bears might take full control. Second Support: $0.3668 — A short-term cushion for buyers to regroup. Losing this zone signals trouble for the bulls. Resistance Levels First Resistance: $0.3668 — If price fails to reclaim this level, it’ll act as a headwind for bullish momentum. Second Resistance: $0.4176 — A crucial ceiling for bulls. Breakout above could open doors to new highs. Third Resistance: $0.4513 — A make-or-break zone for major trend shifts. Fourth Resistance: $0.5165 — Only serious bullish strength can push past this level. Fifth Resistance: $0.6692 — The long-term target for any meaningful upside. Powerful Support Levels Critical Zone: $0.6521 — This level must hold if the bulls want to regain control of the narrative. If breached, expect a deeper pullback. Powerful Resistance Levels Currently Undefined — Keep an eye on momentum and price reaction at the aforementioned resistance zones. As always, respect these levels and watch for confirmations—breakouts need follow-through, and false moves can wreck your game. Trade smart, manage risk, and don’t chase—let the market come to you! Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Rays Understanding the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept allows traders to harness the natural dynamics of Fibonacci proportions and geometric levels. These rays provide a dynamic framework to identify key zones for price interactions, predicting possible reversals or continuations with precision. Let’s explore how to use these rays for your trading strategy. Concept of Rays Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, providing dynamic levels that adapt as the market evolves. They rely on Fibonacci angles to establish critical zones where price interaction is likely to occur. Key insights include: Price Interaction: Signals either reversal or continuation but requires confirmation from dynamic factors, such as patterns or volume shifts. Adaptability: Rays adjust as new patterns emerge, creating a flexible approach to identifying key movement boundaries. Complementary Analysis: Crossing points with moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, etc.) strengthen the significance of ray zones. Two Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic Optimistic Scenario Interaction with $0.3668 (Resistance Level): If price breaks this ray and confirms with volume and pattern, we could see a continuation to $0.4176 (next ray). Interaction with MA100 at $0.3557: A confirmed close above this moving average signals a bullish trend with the potential to aim for $0.4513. Final Target: $0.5165 as a long-term ray and Fibonacci convergence zone. Pessimistic Scenario Failure at $0.3668 Resistance: Price interaction signals rejection and a probable pullback to $0.3044 (Support Level). Interaction with MA200 at $0.4328: A failure to break above could lead to a deeper sell-off to retest $0.3044. Break Below $0.3044: A move below this level indicates strong bearish momentum, with $0.6521 becoming the next significant resistance as the price reverses. Suggested Trades Trade 1: Buy Breakout at $0.3668 Target 1: $0.4176 Target 2: $0.4513 Comment: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume above the ray. Trade 2: Short at Rejection Near $0.4176 Target 1: $0.3668 Target 2: $0.3044 Comment: Watch for bearish patterns or volume declines to confirm entry. Trade 3: Buy Near $0.3044 Support Zone Target 1: $0.3668 Target 2: $0.4176 Comment: Confirm with interaction at the ray and a bullish reversal pattern. Trade 4: Short After MA200 Failure at $0.4328 Target 1: $0.3668 Target 2: $0.3044 Comment: Momentum loss and price rejection confirm bearish continuation. Key Takeaway: Trade between rays like stepping stones, moving from one target to the next. Confirm entries after interaction with rays and dynamic factors like volume or MA crossings. Each ray represents not just a technical level but a gateway to the next movement zone. Use this framework to navigate the market with confidence and precision! Let’s Stay Connected and Trade Smarter Together! Got questions or thoughts about the analysis? Drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to chat and help clarify anything! Your feedback and discussions are what keep this trading journey exciting and collaborative. If you found this idea useful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it to track how the price moves along these mapped-out levels. Understanding the points where trades make sense is key to growing as a trader, so let’s watch the market evolve together. By the way, the rays and levels in this strategy are drawn automatically using my custom indicator—it’s available privately. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details. I also offer analysis on any asset you’d like, whether it’s a free post here or a personal, private breakdown for your unique ideas. The beauty of this strategy is its versatility—it works across all assets, and price always respects these dynamic rays. If you have a specific asset you’d like analyzed, hit Boost, leave a comment, and I’ll do my best to prioritize it. Make sure to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated with my latest ideas and strategies. This is where I post regularly, so don’t miss out on the tools and insights that can give your trading the edge it deserves. Let’s grow and trade together! 🚀
Long
by brandlabelden
3
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position: Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours. Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000. Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum. VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal. 3. On-Chain Insights: Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity. Open Interest: Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B. Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias. Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment. 4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis: Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation. Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm. Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment. 5. Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%) Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure. Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum. Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%) Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions). Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%) Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts. Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction. 6. Trading Strategies: Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management. Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000. 7. Conclusion: BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
by titankarma
HYPE Intraday Highlights (Thesis Prediction) Market Position: Current Price: $25.57, up +9.8% from recent lows. Resistance: $27.00 | Support: $25.00. Trend: Bullish recovery, breaking previous resistance levels, with potential for continuation or consolidation. Key Technical Indicators: RSI: 56.44, neutral with room for further price action. MACD (30-min): Positive crossover, indicating building bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, signaling potential short-term overbought conditions or continued bullish tests. On-Chain Insights: Trading Volume: Up +59.34% to $622.47M, signaling heightened market interest. Funding Rate (Bitget): 0.0288%, slightly bullish, reflecting market optimism. Open Interest: Increased by +10.23% to $581.85M, suggesting accumulation by large traders or institutions. Market Sentiment: Sentiment: Strongly positive, fueled by the "HYPE Frenzy" event in December 2024. Long/Short Ratio: 1.0396, indicating more long positions, aligning with bullish sentiment. Scenarios: Bullish (60%): Continuation above $27.00, potentially reaching $28.00+, driven by FOMO and sustained buying pressure. Bearish (30%): Profit-taking or sentiment shift could pull prices back to $25.00 or $24.00 if support fails. Sideways (10%): Consolidation between $25.00–$27.00 if sentiment cools or traders lock in profits. Note: Keep an eye on resistance at $27.00 for a breakout or rejection, and monitor funding rates and volume for signs of momentum shifts. Always apply disciplined risk management.
by titankarma
ALT/USD – Key Technical UpdateRecent Price Action: ALT has seen a significant decline, with bulls looking for support amid intensified bearish pressure. The recent drop highlights vulnerability, but key support levels below could provide a foundation for recovery. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: $0.08500: Immediate support zone where bulls are attempting to stabilize. $0.07810: A prior swing low with historical buying interest. $0.07150, $0.07000, $0.06650: Critical levels marking past swing lows. A deeper move into these zones could attract aggressive buying, especially near $0.06650, aligning with August 5th’s swing low. Resistance Levels: $0.08790: Near-term resistance likely to cap immediate recovery efforts, with confluence from recent bearish gaps. $0.11131: A stronger resistance zone near January 17th’s swing high, which aligns with prior bearish momentum. Market Dynamics: Token Unlock Impact: The upcoming Saturday token unlock is expected to increase supply, potentially exacerbating downside pressure in the short term. However, following the release, the market could stabilize, setting the stage for a relief rally as bearish momentum wanes. Bearish Gaps: Resistance from daily bearish gaps adds confluence near $0.08790 and $0.11131, making these levels critical to monitor during any rally. Outlook: Bullish Scenario: A successful defense of $0.08500 or a deeper dip into the $0.07150–$0.06650 range, followed by strong buying momentum, could lead to a relief rally. Clearing $0.08790 would open the door to a move toward $0.11131 or higher. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below $0.06650 would invalidate key supports, exposing ALT to further downside risks, with no clear structural floor below. Conclusion: The focus remains on $0.08500 as the immediate support zone, while Saturday's token unlock is likely to influence price action significantly. A relief rally may emerge post-unlock, targeting $0.08790 and possibly $0.11131 if the bearish gaps are filled. For now, caution is advised as the market navigates increased supply pressure.
Long
by Richtv_official
February's Bitcoin Advantage: A Month Traders Can Count OnWhat Does February Tell Us? As we zoom in on February, it stands out as one of Bitcoin's strongest months historically. Positive Trend: Over the past 10 years, 90% of Februarys have been positive! This is one of the highest success rates across all months. Average Return: February has delivered an impressive average gain of +15.51%, making it a standout month for traders. Low Volatility: With a standard deviation of just 16.17, February tends to be less volatile compared to other months like March or October. What Can Traders Expect in February 2025? While no pattern guarantees future performance, February's strong historical record suggests a high probability of gains. Traders should watch for potential bullish setups and prepare to capitalize on upward trends. Keep an eye on broader market conditions and fundamental catalysts, as these could amplify February's seasonality advantage. With February just around the corner, this data offers a strategic edge—don’t miss the opportunity! Note: Studies are for educational purposes only. We will not be responsible for any of your Profits & Losses. Please trade with a proper risk management strategy to avoid huge capital loss.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by teakfinance
BTC Price & Market Overview 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $108,550 and $108,600, up +3.5% in the past 24 hours. Intraday high: ~$109,588, reflecting strong upward momentum from ~$100k earlier this week. Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index: 76 (still in "Greed," slightly down by -1.3% from the previous day). Bitcoin Dominance: 57.54% (+0.05%), maintaining a strong position in the crypto market. Macro Context: Gold Futures: +0.29% ($2709.31), indicating slight risk-hedge interest. USD Index (DXY): -0.28% (108.900), a weaker USD favors risk-on assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain & Spot Flows Exchange Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, down -0.06%, consistent with long-term outflows but no dramatic changes. Spot Flows: Moderate net outflows over the last 8–12 hours suggest potential accumulation off-exchange. Implication: Reduced exchange balances decrease immediate selling pressure, supporting price increases if demand holds steady. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $153.81B (+2.14%), indicating strong trader interest as prices climb. Futures Volume (24h): $550.56B (+77.71%), a sharp increase, often linked to significant price movements like short squeezes. 24h Liquidations: $1.05B (+83.93%), reflecting a wave of short liquidations above $105k–$107k. Funding Rates: Generally positive (e.g., Binance BTC/USDT ~0.0308%), reflecting a net-long bias. Extremely high funding could signal an overheated market and precede a correction. CME Futures: OI: $20.79B (+3.82%), highlighting institutional trader interest. Watch for weekend-related gaps causing volatility upon reopening. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC broke above $105k resistance, surging toward ~$109k. Consolidating near $108.5k, with next key resistance at $110k. MACD: Bullish crossover with a positive histogram (~706.79 on 1h), signaling strong upward momentum. RSI: In the 66–68 range, nearing overbought levels but not extreme. Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, suggesting a possible short-term pullback or consolidation after rapid gains. 5. Notable Events & Highlights Short Squeeze: Massive liquidations of short positions (10x–25x leverage) above $105k–$107k fueled the rally. CME Futures Risk: Weekend gaps may lead to volatility when traditional markets reopen on Monday. Regulatory News: No immediate developments, but speculation around favorable policies or interventions continues to influence sentiment. 6. Likely Scenarios (Next ~12–24 Hours) Continuation to $110k+ (~40% Probability): Sustained bullish momentum and high volume could drive BTC to test or break $110k. Sideways Consolidation (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $106k and $109k, digesting recent gains. Pullback/Correction (~25% Probability): Profit-taking or market cooling pushes BTC toward $105k or $103k. Watch for negative funding or large exchange inflows as warning signs. 7. Overall Confidence Level Market Bias: Moderately Bullish (~60% confidence). Upside Drivers: Positive funding rates, high volume, and continued short liquidations. Risks: Overbought RSI, CME gap risk, potential profit-taking near $110k. Final Note Monitor $110k resistance closely for a breakout or rejection. Pay attention to liquidation clusters, funding rate spikes, and any significant exchange inflows. A decisive move above $110k could trigger another wave of liquidations, while a failure could lead to a pullback. Maintain disciplined risk management practices.
by titankarma
Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25. - Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel. 💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel. ⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️ 💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
Long
by alikze
6
Ethereum’s Next Big Move: Don’t Miss This Game-Changing Setup!I am back and live on January 18th with a crucial Ethereum (ETH) breakdown! 🚀 In this video, we dive into potential bullish momentum for Ethereum, identifying key levels for buying opportunities and explaining the recent market reaction to altcoin rotations, including the hype around Trump’s meme coin. We start on the weekly time frame, reviewing the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern and the strong bounce off the $2,930 support level. On the H4 time frame, we analyze critical market structure breaks and price sweeps, signaling ETH could push towards $3,599 and potentially $3,760. If we get a candle closure above $3,320, this could be the weekend setup you don’t want to miss! 🚨 Let’s break it down and capitalize on this opportunity. 📊 Targets: • $3,599 • $3,760 ⚠️ Are you ready for the next Ethereum move? Watch the video for detailed insights, setups, and market sentiment analysis.
Long
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
Price & Market overview current of BTCKey Insights from the Data: 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $102,900 and $103,000, down ~1.1% from recent highs ($104k+). Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 77 (+2.67%), reflecting a strong "Greed" sentiment. Bitcoin Dominance at 57.04% (+1.15%), indicating BTC's growing market share. Macro Environment: Gold Futures: Down -0.48% ($2701.55), showing minor weakness. USD Index (DXY): +0.35% (109.200), a mild headwind for risk assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain Metrics Exchange BTC Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, slightly down (-0.06%), indicating ongoing outflows. BTC Spot Inflows/Outflows: Recent net outflows totaling ~$221M over 4–6 hours suggest reduced selling pressure. Implication: Fewer BTC on exchanges reduces immediate sell pressure but doesn't guarantee price increases if sentiment weakens. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $147.74B (+1.41%), showing new positions are being opened. Funding Rates: Binance BTC/USDT: ~0.0100% (mildly positive, bullish tilt). OKX BTC/USDT: ~0.0114% (similar trend). Liquidations: 24h Liquidations: $484.49M (+45.89%), reflecting increased volatility. Long/Short Ratios: Binance Traders: 1.64 (net-long), but sentiment is weakening. OKX Accounts: 0.66 (net-short), showing mixed market views across platforms. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC corrected from $104.6k to ~$102.3k and struggles to reclaim $103.5k. Moving Averages: 1h 50 MA ($103.6k): BTC below this level; bearish pressure persists. 1h 200 MA ($101.8k): Key support if downward pressure intensifies. Momentum Oscillators: MACD: Strongly negative histogram (-333), indicating bearish momentum. RSI: ~48–50, teetering around neutral, with potential bearish confirmation below 45. Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands: Price in the lower half, signaling a slight downward bias. 5. Likely Scenarios (Next 12–24 Hours) Bearish Continuation (~40% Probability): BTC fails to reclaim $103.5k, falling toward $101.8k–$102k (200 MA). Potential for further downside to $100k if selling accelerates. Neutral Range (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $102k and $103.5k with subdued volume. Bullish Recovery (~25% Probability): Buyers push BTC above $103.5k, potentially retesting $104.5k–$105k. 6. Confidence Level Moderately Bearish (~55%) due to: Negative MACD, struggles to break above short-term MAs, and rising liquidation volumes. Macro bullish factors (high greed index, long-term outflows) provide a supportive backdrop, but immediate technical signals remain weak. Final Recommendations Monitor $103.5k for potential recovery or rejection. Watch for high-volume breaks below $101.8k, which could trigger further downside. Stay cautious of sudden volatility spikes due to increased liquidations and mixed sentiment across derivatives platforms.
by titankarma
BITCOIN PREDICTION - BTC GAME PLANI’d like to share my plan for BTC with you guys. We’ve recently broken the bullish trendline that had been supporting the price for a while and maintaining the uptrend. This break occurred with strong momentum, which I consider a bearish signal. However, there’s still a larger bullish daily trendline just below us. I expect a strong momentum push up from that level, so the current situation isn’t a major concern for me. Here’s my outlook: I anticipate a run on the equal lows just below the current price. This move should provide enough energy for the price to push up and retest the recently broken trendline. That retest is likely to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. If we fail to break above the trendline with momentum, I expect the price to fall below the December 5th wick and then get rejected. This phase may create a ranging environment, potentially building momentum for altcoins. Eventually, I anticipate testing the daily HTF bullish trendline, which should provide a strong rejection and begin the journey to new all-time highs. This is my game plan based on my experience, and I’ll be monitoring the price closely to adapt if needed. Key Notes: I expect early January to bring strong bullish momentum across all crypto markets. For now, we’re in a choppy zone. If BTC breaks back above the trendline we just lost, I’d expect the price to reach $99,500 and likely face rejection there. Breaking above $100K would strongly signal a bullish trend. I’ll then watch closely for any rejection at the marked blue line and purple zone on the chart. This is how I’m approaching the market. Manage your risk accordingly!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL