Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra
Cryptolevels
BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD
Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal.
In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices.
www.tradingview.com
Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup:
🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support.
🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out.
🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year.
While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal.
This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them.
Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
BTCUSDT - vomiting camel pattern? then what's next??#BTCUSDT.. market just going to make a technical formation that is VOMITING CAMEL pattern,
that will be a very dangerous formation if its occur.
you can search that formation on google as well.
then next areas are expected like 80000 or 70000
stay sharp
trade wisely
$BTC - Bottom In, Time To BuyHello Friends,
For those of you looking to capitalize on Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time.
I posted 2 days ago saying to wait for $85,000 USD on CRYPTOCAP:BTC
As well back in December 4, 2024 I posted my ideal entry would be $85,000.
We now have our confirmation to Buy/Long
BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview
Current Price: $97,632
Open Position: $95,917.6
Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential.
Stop Loss: $95,000
Take Profit: $99,600
Confidence Level: 80%
Technical & Market Indicators
RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control.
MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation.
CME Options Data:
Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate.
Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels.
Binance Perpetuals:
Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs.
Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation.
Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment.
Possible Scenarios & Probability
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600
Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels.
RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum.
Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend.
Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions.
2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability)
🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000
Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds.
MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum.
Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals.
3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability)
📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000
Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off.
RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction.
A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions.
Final Takeaway
Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000.
Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns.
Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered.
Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.
SUI GAME PLAN - SUI NETWORKI will be watching the $2.22 price level for building spot and swing positions on SUI.
The marked purple zone is the weekly demand zone, and I believe it should hold.
Additionally, we will be retesting the March 24 high for the first time, which likely has enough liquidity to create upward momentum.
Invalidation will occur if the $1.60 low is taken out aggressively.
Btcusd Bullishi will be observing manipulation that will last for almost 22 days for this quarter . i am leaning bullish its early to say but still i am bullish on btc 108k is imminent. we opened in discount and manipulation is likely to the lower side so a move to upside is possible.
My insta handle :
asad_chaudhry_
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Channel Rejection and Its Impact Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel, indicating a consistent decline over time. Recently, dominance attempted to break below the channel but failed, resulting in a re-entry back into the channel. This failed breakdown suggests that the bearish momentum is weakening, at least temporarily.
A declining Bitcoin dominance typically signals a potential bullish phase for altcoins, as market capital moves away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. However, in this scenario, the downward movement is relatively slow, confined within the channel, which explains the lack of a strong recovery in the altcoin market.
For a more significant altcoin rally, we need to see a clear breakdown of this channel, accompanied by a sharper decline in dominance. A rapid drop would likely trigger stronger buying activity in altcoins, providing better opportunities for traders.
It's crucial to monitor Bitcoin dominance closely, as its next move will provide key insights into potential market shifts. Stay alert and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
If you find these market insights helpful and want to stay updated with more trade setups and detailed analysis and join my community,feel free to ping me.
DEVIATON INJIt looks like we have a deviation below the demand zone and the $13.8 support, which could present a buying opportunity.
I’m waiting to see if the price finds support around $14.4.
If the price drops below $14 and stays there for an extended period, I’ll reassess the trade, as we could see another leg down toward the $8-$11 zone, where stronger support is likely.
For now, the weekly oscillators look decent—Stoch RSI is close to a bullish cross, and RSI has found support at 40.
Late night thoughts on XRPJust sharing some insights on what I have been seeing. I have been getting a feeling XRP can pop at any moment. Ideally I wanna see XRP reach AT LEAST $5 this market cycle. But we will see what happens!
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Bitcoin Intraday Thesis – February 10, 2025Market Context & Decision
Current BTC price: $97,336
Position: HOLD BUY (Entry: $95,414)
Target: $98,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $94,800
Key Insights
🔹 Bullish Sentiment – Financial data and historical trends suggest strong upward momentum.
🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals, with BTC showing short-term overbought conditions, requiring caution.
🔹 Derivatives Data –
Funding Rate: -0.02% (Slight negative bias, but not strongly bearish).
Open Interest: 75,758 BTC (Healthy market activity).
Price Expectations & Strategy
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (80% Confidence)
BTC pushes towards $98,500 if bullish sentiment continues.
Strong historical & financial backing supports the upward move.
📊 Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction
If BTC fails to break GETTEX:98K , overbought conditions may trigger a pullback.
Support at $96K-$95K remains key for continued bullish structure.
Conclusion
HOLD BUY remains the optimal strategy.
BTC likely to test $98,500, but traders should monitor support levels in case of volatility.
Keep an eye on funding rates & open interest for further confirmation.
🚀 Will Bitcoin reach $98,500 or face a pullback? Let’s discuss! 👇
#SPELLUSDT continuation of the downtrend📉 SHORT BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P from $0.0009866
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.0010430
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P remains in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price failed to hold above $0.0010000, signaling weak buying momentum.
➡️ POC at $0.0010250 suggests that major volume accumulation is above the current price, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
➡️ If the price stays below $0.0009866, a continuation towards $0.0009485 and $0.0008901 is expected.
➡️ Volume remains moderate, indicating declining demand and a likely continuation of the downtrend.
⚡ Plan:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
➡️ Enter SHORT from $0.0009866 if price confirms rejection at resistance.
➡️ Risk management with Stop-Loss at $0.0010430, above key resistance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.0009485 — first profit-taking level.
🔥 TP2: $0.0008901 — major support zone.
🚀 BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P Expecting a continuation of the downtrend!
📢 BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P remains under selling pressure. If the price holds below $0.0009866, further downside movement towards $0.0009485 and then $0.0008901 is expected.
📢 However, if the price reclaims $0.0010430, the bearish scenario could be invalidated, leading to a potential upward correction.
TIA SHORT/LONGTIA has dropped below $3.7, the lower boundary of its range, which isn't necessarily a bad thing.
If the price manages to reclaim $3.7, it would confirm a major fakeout, potentially pushing the price back up to $5-$6.
In the short term, we might see a small bounce toward the 21 EMA on the daily timeframe, accompanied by a bullish cross on the Stoch RSI.
After that, another pullback could happen, setting up a second bullish cross on the Stoch RSI—which, historically, has often led to stronger upward moves.
ATOM WEEKLY PART I The ATOM weekly chart is exciting. Every time the Stoch RSI oscillator is about to make a bullish cross but gets rejected, the price drops by at least 40%—this has happened the last two times.
However, the first time this fake cross occurred, the price increased by 68% before dropping by 74%.
Considering that on February 3, we saw a high-volume rejection from $3.7 (a 34% drop), I believe there is still room for the price to go lower, possibly even below $3.7.
If you flip the chart, it looks like it could reach around $3.2.
Timing the End of the Altcoin Bull MarketHello,
BTC dominance is currently around 55%. From my analysis, the altcoin bull market typically ends when BTC dominance drops to the 47%-40% range. At that point, it’s wise to prepare for selling altcoins, while also monitoring the total market cap for signs of a decline. For now, the bull market remains active.
As always, remember to stick to risk management.
BR,