Bitcoin Fails to Break the 60K ThresholdThe dollar's accelerated losses due to Fed expectations had only a limited impact on Bitcoin's rise. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their highest daily inflows in nearly two months. However, as the U.S. elections approach and Kamala Harris performed better than Donald Trump in the latest TV debate, cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, lost value.
From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin breaks below the 57,330 level, a further decline toward the 55,800 and then 54,000 support levels could occur. On the upside, if it surpasses the 60,000 resistance level, the 63,000 and then 65,000 resistance levels could be tested.
Cryptolevels
Bitcoin ! BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GOBitcoin is stationed in an inefficiency zone but with a lot of strength. It undoubtedly had a bullish week, and naturally, after a bullish run, the price needs to take a pause or rest. What better place than our historical zone, which we've marked as an inefficiency zone on the 1-day chart.
Yes, Bitcoin still has a bit more to climb to see the breakout that I've been anticipating.
As we can see, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence channel, and from the technical analysis within the channel, I'm aiming for Bitcoin to at least reach 64k this week so we can see a bit more price action.
THE BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GO!
So, until Bitcoin breaks my channel or at least reaches 64k, all I can do is wait.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards.
Inflation Increases 2.5%, Setting Scene for Rate CutMarket Update, September 13th 2024
Takeaways
Inflation stays under control: The Consumer Price Index increased 2.5% in August compared to the previous year, down from the 2.9% bump in July. The latest data indicates the Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
Bankrupt crypto exchange FTX has reached a $14 million settlement with Emergent Technologies, resolving a dispute over 55 million Robinhood shares: The agreement avoids further legal action and allows Emergent to finalize its bankruptcy proceedings.
US spot bitcoin ETFs have seen a streak of daily net outflows, with nearly $1.2 billion withdrawn in just eight days: The downturn coincides with broader market volatility.
The North Carolina Senate has passed a bill prohibiting state participation in any Federal Reserve-sponsored CBDC testing: The bill bans payments to the state using a CBDC. It passed despite a veto by Governor Roy Cooper.
🕰️ Topic of the Week: Understanding Interest Rates
🫱 Read more here
Bitcoin is entering the sell-zoneBitcoin's price is hovering at a critical level, and the potential for a deeper bearish move looms large. Historically, when Bitcoin dips below key support levels (56999 and 49999), it can trigger algorithmic trading bots to initiate aggressive sell-offs, accelerating price declines faster than manual traders can react. This phenomenon has occurred in previous bear markets, where sharp drops activated cascades of sell orders, pushing prices down rapidly.
Currently, BITGET:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin is flirting with the $55,000 support zone, and failure to hold this level could signal the beginning of a deeper decline. A break below FWB:42K may lead to a swift drop toward $20K, as bearish sentiment is dominating the market, particularly with futures traders leaning heavily toward short positions. The broader market is likely to interpret this breach as a confirmation of sustained downward pressure, which could drive Bitcoin to revisit the $15,000 level—similar to the 2022 bear market.
For those who purchased BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Bitcoin around the $50,000 mark, the risk of a significant drawdown looms large, with potential losses of 50% or more if Bitcoin plunges toward $25,000 or lower. Further downside could see Bitcoin retrace all the way to $15,000, reflecting the magnitude of the correction experienced during the last major crash in 2022.
Given the current technical outlook, the absence of bullish momentum combined with major resistance levels at $60K and $70K suggests that a rebound might be unlikely without strong buying pressure. A breakdown in the $40K area could accelerate bearish moves as algorithmic bots kick in, potentially leading to a rapid sell-off and testing lower levels.
Investors and traders should stay vigilant, as any further breach of support could lead to a prolonged bear market, reminiscent of Bitcoin’s previous crashes and so a sell-off could happen quicker than you can open a short position.
BTC, When should we expect reversal? FA: The majority of crypto market participants are currently in a depressed mood regarding the medium-term future of the crypto market as a whole. Such behavior of the crowd says first of all that weak hands are not ready to buy now, and the sawtooth movement, which started since March and has lasted for more than 6 months, puts even experienced participants in a stupor, forcing them to close speculative positions, dump risky assets and expect a further decline comparable to the collapse in the spring of 2020.
However, a deeper look reveals several significant trends:
A drop in the influx of new bitcoins to exchanges.
Since the beginning of the year, the number of new coins entering exchanges has been declining. This indicates that professional investors prefer to keep their assets in their wallets, which means they are not preparing to sell. This factor is traditionally considered to be a bullish sign, as a decrease in supply on exchanges may contribute to price growth in case of renewed buying activity.
Increased outflow of bitcoins from exchanges.
This sign is also positive and confirms the narrative of asset accumulation by smart capital. It can be seen especially well at the moment of price drawdown: during and after aggressive shakeouts, a surge in coin outflows is clearly visible.
Despite the globally passive sentiment, the fundamentals of exchange inflow/outflow suggest that strong hands continue to accumulate while the crowd is perplexed by what is happening.
Reduced supply on the exchanges and increased demand from large holdings are creating all the conditions for future price gains, our idea is that the market has been in a reaccumulative phase for the past six months.
From a technical analysis standpoint , I anticipate a continued downside for BTC. Two potential scenarios may unfold:
1 - Retest of the 4-hour Order Block (OB): BTC could test the 52,000-54,000 range, followed by a gradual reversal, suggesting a more measured recovery.
2 - Retest of the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Alternatively, BTC may drop to the 47,300-44,000 zone, which could trigger a sharp "V-shaped" reversal with aggressive momentum driving the price higher, potentially towards new all-time highs (ATH).
In either case, monitoring key support and resistance levels within these zones will be critical.
Imminent rebound for BTC in the next 24 hours! A strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions! ☀️ The price of Bitcoin rose 1 percent to $57,277 over the past 24 hours and still has the potential to go up.
The 12 spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) listed in the US have posted outflows totaling almost $800 million dollar over the past six trading days, data from Sosovalue shows.
Investors now await cues from the upcoming US job figures being released tomorrow. Analysts expect 160,000 jobs to have been created outside the US farming sector in August, up from 114,000 jobs in July.
Yet, over a one-week time horizon, drizzle will linger over Bitcoin, signaling downside potential. 🌧
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Trade Setup: NEAR Long Position (Range Support Test)Market Context: NEAR is testing the bottom of the range level of support, providing a favorable opportunity for a long trade.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Long spot position at $3.50 - $3.80 support level.
Take Profit:
First target: $4.30
Second target: $5.00 - $5.40
Final target: $6.00 - $6.50
Stop Loss: Just below $3.40
📊 This setup aims to leverage the support level for potential upside, with clearly defined profit targets and a tight stop loss to manage risk effectively. #NEAR #CryptoTrading #SupportLevel
BTC Monday Range Play and KeylevelsIn this video, I analyze Bitcoin's (BTC) price action with a focus on a short-term Monday range play. I dive into the specific key levels where we could potentially see a reversal. We’ll break down how these levels have been acting as support and resistance throughout the trading week, and discuss the importance of monitoring price behavior at these zones.
BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone.
If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure.
There are only two possible moves the price could make this week:
Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1.
Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market.
What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right.
I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study.
I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move.
-RM
RUNE - BIG GAIN (BIG PICTURE)Dear friends,
I will show another coin next to the LINK where I see Elliot wave expressed.. For LINKCHAIN, you have an analysis below this post..
First I would like to show my old projections related to RUNE and the exact take profit and return to DCA on it..
Here is a projection of profit taking.. and an accurately expressed mass jump of the first wave..
Then marked zones for returning to the market.
Now that all that has happened, I have scenario A and B. The first scenario is that the bottom is behind us and that the first purchase is an excellent decision, on the other hand, we also have plan B because there is great resistance at $5.
If the price does not show strength, the last buying target would be 2.2. Below that there is a very large volume and below that the door opens for a big risk (FOR NOW I'M VERY BULLISH)
The first target will be scalar from $30 and on.
This will all happen only if BTC manages to break the ATH
BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Bearish Confirmation? Oops!Like Ive mentioned in my previous BTC analysis, that $61,500 was critical zone and if it drops below that level, we will see further downward movement and this is exactly how it turned out.
The SHORT position targets are marked on the chart using the Risological swing trader.
Stay safe and all the best.
BTC to rebound - bullish potential for the next 24 hours The price of Bitcoin fell more than 6 percent to $59,290 over the past 24 hours, trading as low as $58,564 over this period, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows.
Yet, a strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions. ☀️
“Today's drop is intriguing and presents a potential opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a tactical rally. Entering at $59,000 with a tight stop at $58,000 might seem overly cautious to some, but tactical opportunities like this are rare in a market lacking a clear bullish trend,” the crypto intelligence firm 10xResearch said in its daily note.
The number of Bitcoin millionaires increased by 111 percent last year and exceeded 85,000 people, Henley & Partners annual Crypto Wealth Report 2024 shows. Eleven persons hold more than $1 billion in Bitcoin. The CEO of MicroStrategy Michael Saylor, the CEO of Coinbase Brian Armstrong and Binance’s founder, currently serving a prison term in the US for money laundering violations, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) are part of this exclusive club.
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