BTC/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Targets & Stop-Loss StrategyThis BTC/USD 4-hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, with price respecting both the ascending trendline and descending resistance. The price is currently near the support of the triangle and could make another move toward equilibrium before testing the upper trendline.
Key levels and target
- Resistance at 90,726 (target area ).
- Support at the ascending trendline and weak low at 78,913.
- A breakout above the triangle resistance could lead to bullish momentum toward 94,818 .
A reaction at equilibrium may decide whether BTC continues consolidating or breaks out. Keep an eye on volume and momentum for confirmation.
1. 90,726 – A key resistance level and the first bullish target.
2. 94,818 – If BTC breaks above the first target, this level could be the next upside resistance.
83,500 – A safer stop-loss level below recent swing lows, reducing the chances of
getting stopped out by short-term volatility.
A breakout above the symmetrical triangle with strong momentum could push BTC toward these levels. Watch for confirmation at the equilibrium zone and a successful breakout for further upside movement.
Cryptomarket
TradeCityPro | LDO: Comprehensive Market Analysis and Prediction👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review LDO for you. It is one of the key DeFi platforms, and its token currently holds a market cap of $945 million, ranking 72nd on CoinMarketCap.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, we can see a range box between the $0.957 and $3.389 levels, where the price has been fluctuating for almost two years.
🔽 If you already hold this coin, I recommend activating your stop-loss in case the $0.957 level is broken and waiting for bullish momentum to re-enter the market before buying again.
📈 If the price holds above the $0.957 support, it could rally back toward the top of the range at $3.389. The key trigger levels between the current price and the top of the box are $1.447 and $2.488.
🚀 The main buying trigger is at $3.389, as breaking this level could lead to significant capital inflows, potentially initiating a long-term bullish trend.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, a range box between $1.447 and $2.387 had formed, which was broken to the downside, leading to a bearish leg. The main support level is $0.957, and if it fails to hold, the price could enter a new bearish cycle.
🛒 For spot buying, there isn’t a clear trigger yet, so we need to wait for a new structure to form. However, if the price rallies sharply, you could consider entering on a break above $1.489.
💫 As seen on the chart, the red candle volume is significantly higher than the green candles, indicating strong seller dominance. Additionally, the RSI is near the 30 level, and if it breaks below this zone, the bearish scenario becomes more likely.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SHOCK! Trump to host crypto summit at the White House!On March 7, the White House will host its first-ever crypto summit, chaired by Donald Trump. The event will bring together top leaders of the crypto industry, including Coinbase (#Coinbase) CEO Brian Armstrong, MicroStrategy (#MicroStrgy) founder Michael Saylor, and others. Key discussion topics will include crypto industry regulation, stablecoin oversight, the strategic role of Bitcoin in the U.S. economy, and the establishment of a national crypto reserve.
One of the summit’s highlights is the initiative to create a strategic U.S. crypto reserve, which will include Cardano (ADAUSD), Solana (SOLUSD), XRP (XRPUSD), as well as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD).
This move aims to strengthen America’s position in the global digital economy and expand the dollar’s influence. Donald Trump emphasizes that the U.S. must lead in blockchain technology development, promoting the adoption of digital assets in the global financial system. Beyond regulation and reserves, the summit will also address cryptocurrency taxation and potential incentives for businesses operating in the sector.
Key growth drivers for the crypto market:
• Government support & regulation: High-level officials participating in the summit and the introduction of regulatory frameworks focused on transparency and security create a favorable environment for market growth. Clear regulations encourage institutional investors to enter the space.
• Establishment of a strategic crypto reserve: The U.S. aims to include top cryptocurrencies in its national assets, boosting their credibility and investor confidence. This could strengthen digital assets’ role in the global financial system.
• Blockchain technology advancements: The adoption of innovations such as smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and blockchain integration into traditional industries expands the use cases for cryptocurrencies and increases demand.
• Rising adoption among users & businesses: Simplified crypto transactions, improved infrastructure, and a growing number of businesses accepting crypto payments contribute to the rising popularity of digital assets among the public.
The White House Crypto Summit will be a landmark event for the industry, setting the stage for the crypto market’s future development. Analysts at FreshForex believe that government recognition, clear regulatory frameworks, and technological innovations will provide a solid foundation for the continued growth and strengthening of digital assets in the global economy.
At FreshForex, accounts are available in 7 cryptocurrencies and over 70 crypto pairs with 1:100 leverage, accessible 24/7.
Bitcoin Outlook for the weekend is Bullish with Top within range
This will be a slight adjustment to what I said yesterday about how I thought Bitcoin wold stay within a Range with a top at 91K
Looking at the now Ascending triangle, we may brake back up into the previous range Box with a top around 108K - PA certainly has the strength to
This could be helkped by the Droping $ that has a mearsered move down to as low as 100 again
You See the rising line of suppor tthere....That could be the target.
Big things happening in Bitcoin and Crypto worlds now. Expect a Volatile time with some Big winners but understand, Bitcoin does appear to have left the traditional Crypto market - is this a good thing ?
Time will tell
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #26👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into Bitcoin analysis. Today is a pivotal day for the market with significant news and meetings that could greatly impact the market's future direction.
✨ Today, instead of dominance analysis, I want to explore the potential outcomes of today's sessions.
✅ The first session tonight is the Federal Reserve meeting where Jerome Powell will speak and announce the U.S. central bank's policies.
📈 In this session, if Powell announces a rate cut, we will definitely witness a market pump. This scenario seems plausible as U.S. inflation is currently under control, and there's no reason for an interest rate hike.
📊 If the interest rates are announced to remain steady and Powell indicates that no cuts are planned for a long duration, the market will likely fall. If the rates are raised, it will induce panic in the market, leading to significant drops.
⚡️ The next session is Trump's speech about the Crypto Reserve. Officially, it was decided yesterday that the U.S. will have a Crypto Reserve, but it will not enter the market as a buyer for now. Instead, it will introduce blocked funds, such as those from Silk Road, into this reserve.
🧲 Today's session where Trump speaks is crucial as it's the first time a U.S. president will hold a session specifically about crypto, making every statement he makes significant.
🔼 If he speaks positively about crypto, we will definitely witness a market pump, especially among American altcoins. Considering Trump himself owns a significant amount of crypto, it's highly likely he'll speak positively.
💫 On the other hand, there's no reason for Trump to speak negatively about crypto as it would undermine the enactment of the Crypto Reserve, which is very important to him.
💥 However, given the significant differences between Trump and Powell regarding crypto, these differing views could lead to unusual market volatility.
☘️ For instance, Powell might keep the interest rates steady or even increase them, which would cause the market to drop. On the other hand, to assert his influence, Trump might speak very positively about crypto, causing the prices to pump.
🔍 These manipulations in the short term lead to severe volatility and are not good for the market, but we need to see how these two sessions conclude and the statements made to carry out a long-term analysis.
📄 Here's a list of attendees at Trump's session:
🔹 Senior officials and figures from the crypto industry at the White House.
🔹 A crypto summit held by Trump at the White House on March 7th is one of the most significant events in history. The list of confirmed guests at this summit is as follows:
✅ Confirmed officials from the White House:
Bo Hines - Executive Director of the Presidential Advisory Council on Digital Assets
David Sacks - Special Advisor on AI and Digital Currencies
Mark Uyeda - Interim Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
Caroline Pham - Interim Chair of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
✅ Confirmed figures from the crypto industry:
Michael Saylor - Founder of Strategy
David Bailey - CEO of Bitcoin Magazine
Matt Huang - Co-founder of Paradigm
JP Richardson - CEO of Exodus
Kyle Samani - Managing Partner at Multicoin Capital
Zach Witkoff - Co-founder of Trump-linked World Liberty Financial
Sergey Nazarov - Co-founder of Chainlink
Brian Armstrong - CEO of Coinbase
Vlad Tenev - CEO of Robinhood
Arjun Sethi - CEO of Kraken
Kris Marszalek - CEO of Crypto.com
Brad Garlinghouse - CEO of Ripple
🎲In the unconfirmed section, notable names such as Vitalik Buterin, Scott Bessent, and Hoskinson are seen, though they have not been officially confirmed yet.
⭐️ Now that we've reviewed these sessions, let's move on to Bitcoin analysis to see what technical events might occur today.
⏳ In the 1-hour timeframe, it's clear that traders are waiting for Trump's and Powell's speeches to decide their actions based on today's meetings.
📈 I can't give you a specific trigger today because any position you open will be influenced by the news, and opening positions today is akin to gambling, entirely dependent on the statements made in the sessions.
🔽 If the news is negative, the important support areas are 86802, 83151, and 78940, which can prevent a price drop if the news is negative but doesn't induce panic.
📉 If the news causes panic, we might even see a 20% red candle, in which case no support levels will be respected, and we'll have to see when the market panic ends.
🔼 If the news is positive for the market, the significant resistance areas are 94355 and 98482, which can act as supply zones.
⚡️ That's all for today's analysis. Be very cautious with the market today, and I recommend that you closely monitor the market during the session to experience this significant event.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Bullish Continuation (Another Top OR New Prominent High?)BTC price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form a credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci and Support levels.
There might be a possibility that BTC may break it's All Time High Price of 109588. It might be worth observing price the action further if 109588 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR new prominent high (if the range considerably breaks).
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 97389.73
Stop Loss @ 87000
TP 1 @ 107779.46 (Before All Time High)
TP 1.5 - 2 @ 112975 - 118169.19 (After All Time High)
Ride Further with Caution if TP1 hits and move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP1 hits as well.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Bearish Reversal Setup – Potential Drop to $8This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) on the Binance exchange, displayed on a 1-hour timeframe. Below is the analysis:
Key Observations:
Price Action & Structure:
The price recently had a strong upward movement but faced resistance around the 91,634 USDT level.
A potential double-top or rejection is forming in the marked red zone, indicating a bearish bias.
The price is currently around 88,336 USDT, showing signs of weakness.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zone: Around 91,634 USDT (red box) – the price attempted to break through but failed.
Current Level: 88,336 USDT – a minor support level.
Next Key Support: 81,583 USDT (highlighted by the lower blue line).
Bearish Scenario:
The red arrow and shaded area indicate a potential sell setup.
The price is expected to retest the broken support (around 88,500 USDT) and then continue downwards.
A drop towards 81,583 USDT is anticipated if the bearish momentum continues.
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish in the short term.
Potential Trade Setup: A break below 88,500 USDT could trigger a sell-off towards 81,500 USDT.
Invalidation: If the price breaks above 91,634 USDT, the bearish outlook would be invalidated.
"GBP/JPY Short Trade Analysis – Successful Take Profit ExecutionThis is a GBP/JPY (British Pound/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart from TradingView, showing a short trade setup with take profit (TP) levels and stop loss.
Key Observations:
Entry Point (Red Arrow)
The trader appears to have entered a sell (short) position at a resistance level, marked by the red arrow.
Price was likely rejected at this level, signaling a potential downward move.
Stop Loss (Red Box - Upper Zone)
The stop loss is placed above the entry point, at 192.386.
If the price moves above this level, the trade will be closed at a loss.
Take Profit Levels (Blue Lines)
TP1 (~190.750): First target for partial profit-taking.
TP2 (~190.000): Second target for further downside move.
Final TP (~189.275): If the price reaches this level, the trade will be fully closed in profit.
Trade Outcome
The chart annotation suggests that all TP levels were hit, meaning the price successfully moved downward after entry.
The trader made a successful short trade and secured profits.
Market Structure & Strategy:
The price initially moved up, but failed to break resistance, leading to a bearish rejection.
The trader likely identified this as a liquidity grab or false breakout, then entered a short position.
The price dropped and hit all take profit levels, confirming the trade's success.
Conclusion:
This was a well-planned short trade with proper risk management.
The risk-to-reward ratio looks good, with potential reward outweighing risk.
The trade was executed based on technical levels (support/resistance) and price action.
Phemex Analysis #65: Pro Tips for Trading XRPIn the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, few narratives are as compelling as that of XRP ( PHEMEX:XRPUSDT.P ), the digital asset developed by Ripple Labs. Once mired in regulatory challenges, XRP is now entering an exciting phase, reshaping its path and sparking renewed discussions about its future potential.
Crypto Strategic Reserve
On March 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced the creation of the U.S. "Crypto Strategic Reserve," aiming to position the United States as a leader in digital finance. XRP was among the select cryptocurrencies—including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano—chosen for this reserve. This announcement sent waves through the market, significantly boosting XRP's value and reaffirming its importance in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
White House Crypto Summit
Anticipation is building for the upcoming White House Crypto Summit on March 7, 2025. Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, along with other industry leaders, will discuss regulatory frameworks and the integration of cryptocurrencies into the broader financial system. This event is expected to provide insights that could influence XRP's adoption and market dynamics.
These developments mark a pivotal moment for XRP, highlighting Ripple’s evolution from controversy to prominence and underscoring the cryptocurrency’s growing significance in the financial sector.
Possible Scenarios for XRP Price Movement
1. Sustained Bullish Momentum
The inclusion of XRP in the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve has bolstered investor confidence. This endorsement may attract institutional investors, increasing demand and potentially driving XRP's price higher. If the White House Crypto Summit results in favorable regulatory outcomes, XRP could experience sustained bullish momentum.
Pro Tips:
Monitor Institutional Involvement and Regulatory Developments: Positive news in these areas can further fuel XRP's bullish momentum.
Key Resistance Levels: A breakout above $2.65 could signal a bullish run, with a move above $3.00 on high volume confirming this trend.
2. Profit-Taking and Short-Term Correction
After recent gains, some investors might take profits, leading to a short-term price correction. This is common following rapid price increases as traders seek to realize gains.
Pro Tips:
Identify Support Levels: Key support levels include $2.12, $1.95, $1.76, and $1.35, where buying interest may resume.
Consider Staggered Entries: To mitigate volatility, consider placing buy orders at various support levels. Utilizing Phemex's scaled orders feature can streamline this process.
3. Regulatory Uncertainty Leading to Volatility
While the summit aims to provide regulatory clarity, outcomes perceived negatively by the market could lead to increased volatility. Uncertainty in regulatory developments can cause rapid price fluctuations as investors react to new information.
Pro Tips:
Implement Risk Management Strategies: Use stop-loss orders and appropriate position sizing to protect against adverse price movements.
Diversify Investments: Avoid overexposure to XRP by diversifying your cryptocurrency holdings to manage risk effectively.
Final Thoughts
XRP's inclusion in the U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve and the upcoming White House Crypto Summit have positioned it at a critical juncture. Traders should stay vigilant, keeping informed about institutional developments and regulatory changes that could impact XRP's price. By considering the scenarios outlined above and implementing sound risk management practices, traders can navigate the evolving landscape of XRP trading with greater confidence.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Last Leg of The Bull RunBased on historical patterns, I believe we are in the final phase of the current bull run. Analyzing previous market cycles, the peak of the 2013 bull run to the 2017 peak had a 49-month bar separation, while the 2017 to 2021 cycle exhibited a 47-month separation. Following this established “-2” pattern, the next peak is likely to occur with a 45-month separation.
Additionally, we are currently positioned within a monthly fair value gap, which could drive the market to new highs. However, I remain skeptical about the sustainability of this rally due to the impact of the U.S. crypto reserve. Institutional investors may perceive this as an opportunity for exit liquidity, aligning with the well-known market principle: "Buy the hype, sell the news."
- Gavin
do your own research
not financial advice just a speculation
Bitcoin Price Forecast: $135K Target by Early 2026 (Fibonacci)Here's my analysis and forecast based on the current BTC chart:
BTC is currently experiencing short-term bearish momentum, which could push the price down towards key Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly around the 78.6% level near $66,700. There's also a possibility it might test even lower support areas highlighted on the chart.
However, after this corrective move, the chart setup suggests a strong bullish rebound. According to the Fibonacci extension levels, Bitcoin could rally significantly, potentially reaching at least $135,000 by December 2025 or early 2026. This bullish move aligns with historical market cycles and the Fibonacci extension shown on the chart.
Investors may find good entry points at these lower retracement levels before BTC resumes its upward trajectory toward the $135k target.
This analysis is not financial advice and is for educational and informational purposes only. Always do your own research before investing.
The Art of the Dick-n-Balls Setup A.K.A. Head & ShouldersTL;DR: This is a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern, but let’s be real—it also resembles something more… anatomical. Regardless of how you see it, the market structure is screaming impending breakdown as we gear up for a possible move toward $125-$130.
1️⃣ The Left Shoulder → Initial rally followed by a pullback, setting the first high.
2️⃣ The Head → A euphoric breakout attempt, swiftly rejected, forming the highest peak.
3️⃣ The Right Shoulder → A weak push upward, failing to reclaim the highs, signaling distribution.
💀 Neckline Break = Confirmation: Price is slicing through key levels, rejecting off moving averages, and forming lower highs.
📉 Target Zone:
Fibonacci extension and previous liquidity pools align around $125-$130, making this the next logical support zone.
📊 Additional Confluence:
Volume Profile: Decreasing volume on right shoulder = buyers losing steam.
EMA Rejection: Price struggling below key moving averages.
Liquidity Grab: Stop hunts above the head indicate smart money distribution.
🚨 Final Take:
If this setup plays out, the move down could be swift. While it may look like a "Dick-n-Balls" to the untrained eye, the market only cares about order flow, liquidity, and psychology—all of which suggest a bearish continuation.
Stay sharp, trade smart. 🔥💎
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility.
An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key.
The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale.
Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance.
The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension
See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines.
The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way.
And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding.
Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG
It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension
That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support.
See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall.
To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st )
The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet.
And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K
Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600
I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K
Lets see if this works out
Bitcoin Bottom Confirmed & Price Dynamics —Buy OpportunityBitcoin is not trading at $200,000 just yet and I know this can be depressing, but the action we are seeing now is very interesting and reveals a few things:
1) The bottom is in. Last week's drop, touch and go, is the perfect bottom signal. We can take the bottom being in at $78,300. A 28% drop from the $109,000 All-Time High.
2) Classic retrace. After a strong bullish breakout, there is always a retrace. This is good.
Instead of massive force, straight up and higher, we are seeing a classic retrace and this is good because it means that the market (Bitcoin) will take its time to build up strength. Taking time to grow is good and the only way it can work if we are set to move higher based on the long-term.
On average, +$500 daily or +$800 daily can reveal how long it will take to reach higher prices and higher levels in the coming months. An example shared in a previous publication (visit by profile) mentions $120,000 as a possibility next month.
The low is in. What actions to we take now? Buy and hold.
The market is giving you a second opportunity. A second entry. Did you miss the jump from $85,000 toward $95K? If yes, now you have the chance to buy at relatively low prices. The market always gives a second chance. This is great.
Remember the simple strategy, we are in the accumulation phase.
Bitcoin is going up and will continue to grow long-term.
The bottom is in.
Thank you for reading.
Feel free to leave a comment with your questions.
All thoughts and opinions are welcome. Do not hesitate to comment if you have something negative to say. We appreciate you and welcome all feedback. If positive, please take time to say something. You are appreciated.
Namaste.
PI/USDT : UPDATE...hello friends
Considering the good growth of this token, it has made a good ascending channel which is well supported by the bottom of the channel and it can be said that it is a valid channel...
Now we expect it to move to the specified goals.
Note that the indicated support is an important support for the price and must be maintained for further growth.
*Trade safely with us*
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #25👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. Today, I want to review the important futures triggers for the New York session. Yesterday, the market made an upward leg. Let’s analyze to see what triggers are suitable for today.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As observed in the 1-hour timeframe, following the activation of the trigger at 88258, the price moved upwards and broke through the 90513 area, and is currently pulling back to this area.
⚡️ An interesting point about the Fibonacci zones is that even now, as the price is projecting after correction, it is respecting the Fibonacci zones as resistance. As seen, breaking through each of these zones results in a short upward leg that can be traded in shorter timeframes.
✅ A negative aspect visible from yesterday till now is the divergence in volume, which is decreasing during upward legs and seems to increase during corrections, indicating a divergence.
📊 Given that the price has not yet reached the 94355 ceiling and is currently forming a lower peak relative to this area, breaking 90513 and 53.29 on the RSI could allow for a risky short position. Be cautious as this position isn't very secure due to the weak trend momentum, potentially preempting a trend change.
🔼 The primary short position can be entered upon the breach of 88258. This area is currently a significant support, and if the price consolidates below this area, it could move towards 83151.
🛒 For long positions, the only trigger we currently have is 94355, and I can't provide an earlier trigger because the price is very close to this area. Taking a long position before this area is breached might lead to a stop-out. However, if you're eager for a long position and a pullback to 90513 is confirmed, you might consider entering a very risky long position.
🔑 If you already have multiple open positions from previous triggers, you might consider securing profits or closing one. If you have a single position open, you need to decide whether to take the risk of Trump’s session and keep it open in hopes of a market pump or play it safe and close it beforehand.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As observed, dominance continues to oscillate between 60.40 and 61.61, having been rejected from the 61.61 ceiling and returned to the box.
🎲 Given the current downward momentum of dominance, we can expect a continued decline to the bottom of the box, which could potentially propel altcoins upwards. However, if dominance successfully closes above 61.61, more capital will flow into Bitcoin, pushing it higher.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, we saw an upward movement in Total2 after it solidified above the 1.13 area, allowing some altcoins to make an upward leap. We don’t have a specific trigger for long positions in Total2 today, but a crucial note about altcoins is that American-origin altcoins like HBAR, AAVE, XRP, ADA could pump significantly if Trump makes positive remarks about crypto, so keep an eye on these if they trigger.
🎲 For short positions, the only trigger in Total2 currently is the fake breaking of the 1.13 breach.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance found support at 4.82 and formed a green candle on this level. Given it had previously faked a break of this area, we might prematurely confirm its bullish turn.
🌿 If the 4.82 level is broken again, we can confirm the downward trend in dominance, which could cause the market to move upward. For a bullish confirmation, a higher low and high above 4.82 would confirm a bearish market direction.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Halving to ATH data -2 year UPDATE-conflicting results
I havw Noticed in recent days, people "Boosting" A chart I posted in Dec 2022, called "BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %"
So I thought I would update it and see where we are now.
In it, i said 2024 would be a Good year.
Well, we got that in many ways and not surprisingly but we have seen some things that point towards this being a VERY different cycle and I will explain some of them here
So, as the title suggests, Lets Look at the Halving to ATH - For a start, I need to explain the issue we have with 2021 - 2 major ATH and a divided community about which one was the REAL ATH and so on. There are plenty of reasons to accept the NOV 2021 ATH as the real one, mostly because it was the highest price !
It was also a similar day count from previous Halving to ATH and so I am working with that.
The Current Bitcoin ATH was 280 days after Halving. A Lot Less than any previous day count from Halving to ATH..
We are however, still under the 365 count we had in 2012 Halving to ATH - So...for me, the possibility that we have NOT seen Cycle ATH still exists for many reasons..
And yet, at the same time, I am Very aware that this Cycle has seen accelerated adoption because of ETF's etc,,,,,,so, please Keep an open mind.
Using the day Count system and the Nov 2021 day count, we could expect this Cycle ATH around Oct 2025 - probably safer to say Q4
But how High ?
The % rise from ATH to ATH is an interesting topic here.
2012 to 2017 ATH saw a 1144.6% Rise in PA
2017 to 2021 ATH ( Nov ) saw a 326,3% rise in PA - This is 3.5 X SMALLER than the previous Rise.
Using that 3.5 Smaller calculation, that gives us an % rise of 92.4% and an ATH of around 121K for this cycle. Kind of contradicts expectations and this alone could point towards that fact we may have already be near reacheing cycle Top !
(I have posted a Far more detailed chart about this and will be updating it soon)
BUT, the Crunch comes when we look at the Halving to ATH, as mentioned in the title
I wrote in Dec 2022
2012 Halving 10K% rise after
2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after
2020 Halving 700 % rise after
Projected PA in 2024 /5 would also be 700%
BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates
We got earlier Pumps due to ETF expectations, as can be seen by how far of the Curve PA rose in 2024 - This has completely changed how strong PA was at Halving and how Much further it could rise.
In facr, if you look back over previous Halvings, PA has been FLAT by comparison.
And so, Since the Bitcoin Halving in March 2024, to the current ATH, we have only seen a 62.8% Rise
If PA Had been on the Curve in the chart at the halving date, we would have seen a 397.8% eise to the current ATH
This Highlights a Massive change in how PA is rising But, at the same time, We would still most likely be in the Range we are now in.
And Lastly, I want to show you this
I mentioned in Dec 2022 how Bitcoin PA could expect a 700% Rise in Price from Halving to cycle ATH
I was WRONG
From Where PA was at Halving to the Expected ATH mark on Rising trend line, it will be 651% rise and around 500K
So, in conclusion, despite a massive change in how PA approached Halving and how Shallow the rise in PA has been compared to previous cycles after Halving, we are Still in a VERY Good place.
However, if you Look at just the ATH to ATH dats calculation, we may already he near TOP....
Take you pick - For Me, I am holding out for Q4 but I have safe guards in place should it turn out we have peaked early.
But do remember, this is a Projection..No guarantees......But we can hope
Stay safe and Love your Neighbour
TradeCityPro | PI: Detailed Crypto Analysis and Insights👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review PI, which has been highly requested in the comments. This project was one of the oldest crypto airdrops, and its coin has finally been launched. Now, I want to analyze it for you.
✨ This coin doesn’t have much chart history, so I will analyze it using the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after the launch of this coin, we saw a massive bullish leg, moving from $0.6498 to $2.9304. Currently, the price is undergoing a correction phase.
📊 Volume initially surged during the launch, which is expected, but it has been decreasing during the correction. RSI is also near the 56.08 trigger, and if this level is broken, strong momentum could enter the market.
🔼 The correction has continued to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, and it seems that a range has formed between the 0.382 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels. If the top of this range is broken, we can enter a long position.
📉 If the correction continues, the next important levels are 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, and we have to see which level the price reacts to.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, we can see price movements in more detail.
🧲 As you can see, after the price hit the $1.6342 low, it has been forming a bullish structure and has now reached the $1.9807 level.
📈 If this level is broken, we can enter a long position. The next resistance level is $2.3479.
💥 The RSI oscillator is in a sensitive zone, and as long as it stays above the 50 level, market momentum remains bullish. However, if $1.8770 is broken, we can enter a short position.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
5 Billionaires Enter The Cryptocurrency MarketFive new billionaires are entering the Cryptocurrency market and bringing billions of dollars worth of capital in. These are not the same participants we are familiar with. These are in and still playing. I am talking about players that have never played before. Each participant will bring in capital in the tune of 2-3 billions. This can make a huge difference.
Just 1 billion USD can create a noticeable effect on the price and dynamics of Bitcoin and the Altcoins market. When you inject 10 to 15 billion of new capital, the results can be something palpable.
In the short-term, this is bigger than the Crypto Strategic Reserve because it affects the entire market and not only a few projects.
You have the chance to be in, ALL-IN, before this massive injection of force.
This is Master Ananda, and I am here for your entertainment and continued support.
Namaste.
Will Bitcoin Break Its Resistance? | Market Analysis of Bitcoin
As you can see on the chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is respecting a curve trendline very well. One of the most important observations is that every time Bitcoin tests this curve trendline, it forms an inverted hammer candlestick pattern, leading to a market reversal.
For those familiar with technical analysis, candlestick patterns play a significant role in predicting market movements. The repeated formation of inverted hammers at this trendline has consistently caused the market to reverse. Now, as Bitcoin approaches this trendline again, we’ll watch for the formation of another inverted hammer. If this pattern appears, it could signal another reversal and a potential drop in price.
However, just because the market has failed multiple times at this level doesn’t mean it will fail again. There’s also a strong possibility that Bitcoin could break through this resistance zone. The 91,000–92,000 zone is acting as a key resistance area, and the curve trendline is also providing resistance here.
Two Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1: Breakout Above Resistance
- There’s a high probability that Bitcoin could break the 91,000–92,000 resistance zone.
- If this happens, the next major resistance levels to watch are 94,500 and 98,800.
- After reaching these levels, Bitcoin might pull back, and we’ll analyze the next move in a future update.
- 94,500 and 98,800 are important resistance levels that are defining the current market character. For now, the market remains bearish, but if these levels are broken in the future, we could see the market’s character shift to bullish.
Scenario 2: Reversal at Trendline
- Bitcoin could test the curve trendline and form another inverted hammer pattern, leading to a reversal.
- This would mean the market fails to break the resistance and moves downward again, continuing the previous pattern.
Key Takeaways
Watch for Candlestick Patterns: The formation of an inverted hammer at the trendline could signal a reversal.
Trade Carefully: Be prepared for both scenarios—breakout or reversal—and plan your trades accordingly.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!