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Elliott Wave Update – Clean Count DevelopmentBINANCE:SOLUSDT We are currently tracking a developing (B) wave as part of a larger corrective structure. The move up from the local low unfolds as a classic 5-wave impulse (yellow), where wave 3 is completed, wave 4 is forming as an A-B-C flat correction, and wave 5 is still expected to follow, completing wave (C) of (A). After that, we anticipate a drop into wave (B) of the corrective sequence before a potential final push into the green target zone to complete wave (C) of (B). Once this entire correction is done, the expectation remains for a larger 5-wave decline to complete the macro structure. Wave count stays valid as long as internal rules of Elliott Wave Theory are respected.
Long
by ElliotXSolana
ETH Long Term Prediction - Ethereum Game Plan ETH broke the bullish weekly structure and is currently retracing lower. I don’t see any signs of strength on the chart yet. I expect the price to first hit $1250 and see a rejection there a possible bounce. However, the real target is $870 (2022 low). That level holds significant liquidity, so I expect it to be taken out, triggering a potential capitulation. I’ll be looking for spot buys and long-term long setups in anticipation of another possible bull run.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by UA_CAPITAL
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #57👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Today, we'll delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session. 🔄 Yesterday, there was news from Trump granting a 90-day tariff reprieve to all countries except China, which activated both long triggers I outlined for you yesterday—one before the news and one after. ⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame In the hourly time frame, as you can see, after the price was supported at 74760 in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that breaking 77735 could be a risky long entry and breaking 80595 would activate the Double Bottom long trigger. 🔍 As observed, the first trigger at 77735 provided a very good entry, allowing us to open a robust position. However, the 80595 position, as it activated a four-hour pattern, naturally takes longer to reach the target or stop-loss. 📈 Currently, the price has made a bullish leg and is in a correction phase, and we need to see how far this correction can continue. A new support is forming at 81522, where the price had previously shown support and is now being supported again. ✔️ With 80595 and 81522 being close, we can say that a yet unconfirmed support zone has formed around this area, and the price could start its next bullish move after correcting into this zone. 🔼 Thus, for a long position, reacting to this support zone and breaking the short-term ceiling in lower time frames can give us a position. The next trigger is breaking the ceiling at 83349, which could start the next bullish leg upon making a higher high. 💫 However, the main trigger for going long is breaking 84572, which is a major resistance. Since this area is very significant, I wouldn't open a position with just the break of 83349, as a rejection from 84572 could hit our stop-loss and poses a high risk. ✨ If you recall, in analysis number 52, I drew a trendline in the daily time frame that now coincides with this price area, and the trigger for breaking this trendline overlaps with 84572, another reason this resistance is significant and why its breach is crucial. 🔽 For short positions, as you know from following my analyses, I trade based on the current momentum and market trend. Since we have entered a bullish momentum and no bearish structure has been formed yet, there is no reason for a short position. However, if you still want to open one no matter what, breaking areas 81522 or 80595 could be very risky but suitable. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Yesterday, there was a detailed analysis of Bitcoin dominance, complete with explanations of its utility and why we use it. I strongly recommend reviewing that analysis to understand why this chart needs to be checked and what's happening in its higher time frames. ☘️ Yesterday, the dominance faked out from the area of 63.30, then returned above this area, moving towards the ceiling of the box it had created, 63.50, and now it seems to be faking this area too. ⚡️ When this occurs in the chart, it indicates that the chart is not analyzable correctly, and we must wait until a proper structure is formed. Until then, we can decide candle by candle, following the momentum of each candle. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to the analysis of Total2, triggers in the areas of 896 and 920 were activated, and the price movement continued near the area of 965, now entering a corrective phase. 📊 The support floor being formed is slightly above 920, and we should wait for a new structure. Until then, breaking 965 for a long and breaking 920 for a short are suitable. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Let's turn to Tether dominance, which, like Total2 and Bitcoin, has had its triggers activated and moved downward, reaching the support area at 5.53. 🎲 We confirm the continuation of the downtrend with the break of this 5.53, and for further correction, breaking 5.73 gives us confirmation. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
8
Bitcoin Prediction - Crypto MarketBitcoin has broken the weekly structure to the downside, and we’ve been bearish since then. However, the monthly chart still looks bullish, and I expect the price to return to the monthly demand zone and get a reaction from there. I believe the crypto market could turn bullish again by the end of summer 2025. Possible scenario: We short from the current levels down to the monthly demand zone, sweeping the engineered weekly liquidity (by 'engineered,' I mean a level designed to push price higher). That level is around $67,000. I’ll be watching for LTF confirmations to take longs from that zone. Most likely, the monthly demand zone will hold and send us toward new all-time highs.
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – Focus on Wave StructureBINANCE:SOLUSDT The current setup shows a completed green (A) wave, followed by a corrective (B) wave unfolding as an A-B-C structure. Within wave (C) of (B), we can clearly identify a 5-wave impulse: Wave 1 is complete Wave 2 formed as a correction Wave 3 extended strongly Wave 4 is currently developing Wave 5 is expected to complete wave (C) of (B) Once this move finalizes, a larger downward (C) wave is anticipated to complete the overall corrective pattern. This setup remains valid as long as the internal structure respects the rules of Elliott Wave Theory.
by ElliotXSolana
3
The Most Overlooked Setup in Trading: Your Own Decision ProcessTrading psychology at its finest — where the real edge begins. Over time, I’ve realized that most traders obsess over systems, setups, and signals... but very few ever stop to ask: “How do I actually make decisions?”🧩 The truth is — every trade I take is a result of an internal process. Not just some rule from a strategy, but a sequence of thoughts, comparisons, and feelings I go through (sometimes without even realizing it). And when I mapped it out, it changed the way I approached the market. 🔄 Here’s what I found: 1.There’s always a trigger. Sometimes it’s a chart pattern. Other times, it’s a shift in sentiment or an alert I’ve set. But that moment when I *start* to consider entering — that’s the spark. Recognizing that moment is the first step. ⚡ 2.Then comes the operation phase. That’s when I begin scanning. I look for setups, patterns, confluences — not just at face value, but through the lens of my experience. I start running mental “what-if” simulations, visualizing what the trade could become. 🔍 3.The test phase is critical. This is where I mentally compare the current opportunity with past winners or losers. Does it “look right”? Does it “feel like” a good trade? That moment where a setup clicks isn’t just about indicators — it’s about internal alignment. 🧠 4.Exit isn’t just a price level — it’s a decision threshold. Knowing when to act (or not) often comes down to a shift in internal state. For me, it’s usually a combination of visual confirmation + a gut signal. When both align, I act. 🎯 📌 Why does this matter? Because most failed trades aren’t just “bad signals” — they’re *poorly made decisions*. If I don’t understand my internal process, I’m flying blind. But when I do, I can refine it, track it, and improve it. If you’ve never mapped out your decision-making strategy, do it. You’ll learn more about your trading than any indicator could ever teach you. 💡 👉 Keep following me for decision-making insights and real trading psychology facts — the stuff that actually moves the needle.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSEducation
by vagada
Chainlink: Your Altcoin ChoiceI was about to call it quits for today but several people requested an analysis for LINK, so here it is. Oh, by the way, I like Chainlink also and tend to publish many updates. Just lately I was out but now I am back healthy and with full force. There are two main dynamics playing out on this chart that are of interest to us: 1) A perfect falling wedge pattern. This pattern is a classic reversal signal and one of the most accurate. It simply works. 2) A long-term support/accumulation zone. The falling wedge is enough to predict a reversal, but the action just entered the late 2024 buy zone and long-term support. This makes it even stronger. I am sure we have positive signals coming also from the MACD and RSI. This chart is based on the long-term. Again, if you would like to find the 2025 ATH for this or any other pair, just go to my profile by typing on my username and search for the pairs name. In this case, LINKUSDT, you will find many publications that are still good and valid when it comes to the numbers and ATH potential. I published many in 2024 and some even in 2023. Now, the apex of the falling wedge is a higher low compared to the bottom in August 2024. This is good and works to support the other signals. Trading volume is very low on the drop and this is also very good for the bulls. The market is on autopilot. It is dropping just because it needs to drop. Bot selling. Bot selling ends when real buying starts. We are about to experience a massive influx of money into the market. Now, money is already "programmed." The exchanges already have the whales money. Money has been moving around for months now and the entire game is already setup. The start of the next bullish cycle has been programmed, you know everything works with algorithms and bots. The big players pay the exchanges and the exchanges take care of the rest. The only way for small players like us to win is by playing the long-term game. If we play short-term, we get killed because we are looking for 20-30% or more, while the whales can profit with 1-2%. While we try to complete a trade, they shake us out over and over, again and again. So instead of fighting the whales we use a strategy that works. We wait for the market bottom, when the market hits bottom or is close to the bottom, near support, we buy and hold. We then just wait and let the bullish cycle unfold. When everything is up, we collect profits and move on. There is also a play to short the market after the end of the bullish phase. I also play this hand and give guidance to my followers and traders, but this is far away. Right now your only concern should be buying, buying like the world is about to end. Why? Because once the market starts moving there is no going back; once great entry prices are gone, they are gone forever. The time is now. Chainlink is good and trading near long-term support. Buy when prices are low, it will soon start to grow. It can take weeks or days, but it won't be long. The next bullish cycle should last between 6-8 months. It can expand at last 12 months or more. We will have to see about this part because market conditions are so different now, who knows if we will enter a 10 years strong/long bull market cycle, it is possible, just like it happened with stocks. But we can only prepare based on what we know, and what we know is that most of the market will grow really strong. If it gets better, great. If the bull market ends up being a standard one, this would still be awesome. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
Gold 4H Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone Target 3115Here’s the updated short analysis with the Key Point included: --- This 4H XAU/USD chart shows a potential bullish setup forming after a sharp sell-off. Price has tapped into a higher time frame demand zone** (blue), indicating possible buyer interest. The **Key Point level (around 3,048–3,050) marked in pink acted as previous support and now resistance. A break and hold above this zone could signal strong bullish momentum toward the target zone around 3,115–3,120 (green area). The projected price path suggests possible consolidation or a sweep of lows before a rally toward the target. Buyers will likely be watching for signs of reversal and confirmation near the blue zone to go long. Entry Zone: Around 3,010–3,020 (inside the blue demand zone) 🎯 Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 3,048 — Just before the Key Point resistance zone, partials can be taken here in case of rejection. TP2: 3,080 — Mid-range resistance before the main target, aligns with previous consolidation. TP3 (Final Target): 3,115–3,120 — Main target zone marked on chart; strong supply area and potential reversal zone.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 80,393.27 1st Support: 77,842,40 1st Resistance: 84,559.23 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
SOL/USDT Wedge Breakout (08.04.2025)The SOL/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 120.60 2nd Resistance – 130.63 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
Updated XRP Count Bearish (Short Term)Hello Friends, I've been trying to tackle this count for a couple of days now and finally came up with something that fits the picture and seems to work. I’m not in love with this count—it’s very tricky when it comes to the X wave. I’ve been reviewing and processing what the highest probability count could be for this part of the structure. As we understand it, Wave 1 of the 5th wave (or Wave A of the Y wave) was completed around January 20th at approximately $3.40. From that point until now, we are likely in Wave 2 of the 5th wave (or Wave B of the Y wave), which appears to be nearly complete. Wave 2 (or Wave B) is forming as a sharp double zigzag: A zigzag in Wave W A truncated, ugly-looking sharp double in the X wave (which I’m not a fan of, though I believe it’s valid and it fits) And a zigzag in Wave Y, which we are currently still in Probabilistically, we are in Wave B of the Y wave and should retrace to around $2.10–$2.40. As more subdivisions develop in the B wave, they’ll help confirm more precise target ranges in the coming days. I expect we’ll finish in the $1.60–$1.36 range (leaning more toward the lower end around $1.43–$1.36) to complete this correction before continuing toward the $10 target area. Thoughts? Thank you, GOD BLESS and TRADE ON!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by schu3269
Bitcoin at $83K – Is This the Calm Before the Next Surge or a TrBTC/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 9, 2025 Bitcoin is currently consolidating just below the psychological $85,000 level after a historic bull run that pushed price to fresh all-time highs. The market is cooling off — not crashing — with price action forming a high-tight flag, often a continuation signal after a vertical move. However, with momentum slowing and volatility compressing, traders must prepare for a major breakout or breakdown in the coming days. 📈 Trend Structure: BTC/USD remains in a strong bullish trend. Since the breakout above $69,000 (previous ATH from 2021), the rally has been aggressive and directional — barely giving bears a chance to breathe. Price has formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, respecting a steep ascending trendline since early February. But now, the pair is coiling near the highs, forming a tight range between $80,000 and $83,500. 🔹 Key Resistance Zones: $83,500 – $85,000: Immediate resistance; this area has capped price multiple times in recent sessions. A daily close above this zone could trigger the next leg higher. $88,000: Near-term bullish target based on measured move from recent consolidation. $90,000 – $92,000: A psychological milestone — and a possible magnet for price if bulls break out cleanly. 🔸 Key Support Zones: $80,000: Round number support — the floor of the current consolidation. $76,500: Previous breakout zone and minor demand area. $72,000 – $74,000: Major support and ideal re-test level if BTC corrects — where many sidelined bulls are likely waiting to buy in. 📐 Technical Pattern: Bitcoin is forming a high-tight flag — a bullish continuation pattern typically found after strong vertical rallies. The range is tightening, volume is dropping, and volatility is compressing — classic signs that a volatility expansion is coming soon. A breakout above $83,500–85,000 would confirm the flag and likely ignite a sharp move to FWB:88K or higher. On the flip side, a breakdown below $80K could send price to retest $76.5K or even $74K — which would still be healthy within the broader trend. 🧭 Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Scenario: A breakout and daily close above $85,000 would confirm the continuation pattern, targeting $88,000 first, then $90,000+. Volume and candle structure will be key to confirming the move. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break out and instead drops below $80,000, a correction could unfold toward $76,500 or even $74,000 — presenting a potential re-entry opportunity for long-term bulls. 📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin is trading near all-time highs in a classic consolidation phase. Price action favors the bulls, but the breakout hasn’t confirmed — yet. Whether BTC breaks above $85K or drops below $80K will likely define the next major swing. As always, let the candles tell the story — and don’t chase, wait for confirmation. 💬 Are we about to see Bitcoin above $90K? Or is this distribution in disguise? Drop your thoughts 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Saeed966
3
Pi nerwork broke the trend? We all looking a same goal. the CGV 314,159... but before that happen it has to make a LOGIC sustainable price and a strong foundation/ base.. like the skycraper tall building it mus build from the botom of the earth. We never see a tall building start from 900 meters and going up.. Maybe in Mars.. Refering to the chart, some a new key has been broken, it is the 4 hour bearish trendline and a triangle pattern also broken. With a discount below it, buyers in exchange can buy a cheap price. Maybe a corretive pattern will make a double bottom, or it can develop a W shape before getting to a new high. Stay positive, keep on mining and God bless.
by SL-Trades
FARTCOIN Surges Over 35% in 24 Hours, Trading Volume Nears $444FARTCOIN, built on the Solana blockchain, has posted a strong daily gain. The token has risen 35.44% in the last 24 hours, 41.99% in the last seven days, and 227.62% in the last 30 days. The current price stands at $0.7494, with a circulating supply of 999,998,256 tokens out of a total of 1 billion. Its market capitalization has reached $749.48 million while the 24-hour trading volume has spiked to $443.51 million, up 79.72%. Technical Analysis: SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:FART Tests Key Resistance. Can It Break Above? SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:FART is trading at $0.7494, showing bullish momentum. The price is trying to break through a major resistance level of around $0.7000, which has acted as a key level for prices for months. The breakout comes with a strong volume, confirming buyer strength. The RSI is near 69.06, which also clarifies the bullish momentum in play. If a successful breakout is seen at the current resistance level, a move toward the previous high at $2,7 could follow. Looking further at the 50 and 100 moving averages, they back up the bullish momentum as they all are below the current market price, reading at $0.46 and $0.37, respectively.
Long
by DEXWireNews
1
BTC Bullish Setup Incoming? Watch This Key Level!15-Minute Timeframe Analysis Hey Traders! #Bitcoin has just formed a potential harmonic pattern on the 15-min chart, signaling the early stages of a bullish setup. What we're seeing: Harmonic pattern completion Possible Bullish Divergence building up Price approaching a strong resistance level Plan of Action: We’re watching closely for a clear breakout above the resistance—that’s our confirmation signal for a bullish trend continuation. Once confirmed, we’ll be looking to enter a long position with strict risk management in place. Pro Tip: Patience pays! Wait for confirmation to avoid false breakouts. What do you think? Will #BTC break resistance or get rejected? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Follow me for more real-time trade ideas, technical setups, and risk-managed strategies! #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #HarmonicPattern #BullishDivergence #PriceAction #BreakoutStrategy #CryptoTrading #RiskManagement #TradingView
Long
by mudusir
TradeCityPro | BTC.D: Predicting Alt Seasons with Bitcoin Domina👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to discuss an important crypto index that can significantly impact our trading, known as BTC.D. First, I'll provide some explanations for those unfamiliar with this index, and then we'll dive into the analysis. 🤔 What is Bitcoin Dominance? Bitcoin Dominance is a major indicator in the crypto market. It does not directly represent supply and demand and is not tradable; the chart you see is calculated by TradingView and does not exist physically. ⚡️ This index represents the strength of Bitcoin in the crypto market. It shows the amount of money in Bitcoin divided by the total money in the crypto market. 100x(Bitcoin MarketCap / Total MarketCap) = Bitcoin Dominance ✔️ For example, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 500 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 50%. ✔️ Or, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 300 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 30%. Now that we know what Bitcoin dominance is and how it is calculated, let's see how it can help us in trading and where it can be useful. 🤔 How is Bitcoin Dominance useful? When we trade, we often encounter situations where both Bitcoin and an altcoin (for example, Ethereum) are triggered simultaneously according to our strategy. There are several ways we can open positions in these situations. Some open positions simultaneously on both, increasing the risk of the trade and doubling the potential loss if the market moves against us. Others may randomly choose between the two positions, which could result in taking a position on Bitcoin and hitting a stop-loss while Ethereum moves towards your target. But how can we determine which one is likely to be more profitable? 🔹 As mentioned, Bitcoin dominance indicates the strength of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the market, and there are three scenarios to consider for its analysis. 📈 In the first scenario, if the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance can be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, it means more money is entering Bitcoin, so if both Bitcoin and Ethereum are triggered simultaneously, Bitcoin is likely to rise more than Ethereum. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, less money is entering Bitcoin relative to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum are likely to rise more. If Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, we analyze the market candle by candle and pay more attention to short-term momentum, deciding based on the current trend of Bitcoin dominance. 📉 In the second scenario, if the market is bearish, Bitcoin dominance can again be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. ✔️ Before explaining this scenario, let me tell you how it's possible for the market to be bearish while Bitcoin dominance increases even though Bitcoin's price is also falling. As I mentioned, Bitcoin dominance is a ratio and is shown in percentage terms, so if the market is crashing, it might be that Bitcoin is selling less than altcoins. For example, Bitcoin might sell for 10 million dollars and altcoins for 20 million dollars. Even though Bitcoin is being sold and its price is falling, it is being sold less than altcoins, so its dominance increases. 🔹 Now, let's examine the second scenario. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, less Bitcoin is being sold compared to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum will have a greater drop and are better for short positions. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, Bitcoin is being sold more than altcoins, so a short position on Bitcoin would be more suitable. Lastly, if Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, like in the first scenario, we analyze candle by candle and focus on short-term momentum. 📊 In the third scenario, if the market is range-bound, I first suggest not opening any positions because many strategies do not work well in range-bound markets, and it's better to wait for a breakout of the range's floor or ceiling before opening a position. However, if you do decide to open a position in this phase, short positions fall under the second scenario, and long positions fall under the first. ⭐ So, with Bitcoin dominance, we can optimize the positions we open and choose the best option between Bitcoin and the selected altcoin. If we look at Bitcoin dominance in higher time frames and not just as a confirmation for futures positions in lower time frames, we can identify alt seasons. 🤔 How to identify alt seasons and alt parties with Bitcoin Dominance? So far, we've seen how dominance in different states and positions can help us in trading. Now, if we analyze Bitcoin dominance over a longer term, we can determine whether the money in the market will move more towards altcoins or Bitcoin in the coming weeks or months. ✔️ For example, if Bitcoin dominance is bullish in the weekly time frame and has a strong upward trend, naturally, more money will enter Bitcoin over time, making Bitcoin a better investment than altcoins. However, if Bitcoin dominance undergoes a correction for a few days or weeks during this bullish trend, altcoins can experience significant growth during that short time frame, which we call an alt party. 💥 On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance completely changes trend and is bearish for several weeks or months, altcoins will naturally grow much more and will be a better investment option until Bitcoin dominance turns bullish again, which we call an alt season. 🔹 An important note about alt seasons is that Bitcoin's trend during this time must be bullish or range-bound; if Bitcoin is bearish, neither an alt season nor an alt party will occur. So, be sure to first understand the overall market trend using indicators like Total and Total2, and then look for an alt party. Now that we've examined how this index works, let's move on to a technical analysis of the chart. 📅 Monthly Time Frame As you can see in the monthly time frame, Bitcoin dominance had a very long range above the 95% area between 2015-2017, which was because the crypto market was still very small at that time, and many investors thought it was a scam. Thus, if anyone wanted to invest in crypto, they only bought Bitcoin. ✨ But in 2017, during Bitcoin's bull run when it reached the 20k ceiling, altcoins also entered the game, and Bitcoin dominance began to fall, spreading the crypto money among other coins. This downward movement continued down to the 40% area, and after it consolidated around this area, Bitcoin dominance started rising again, correcting the severe downturn it had experienced. 🔍 At the start of the next bull run in late 2020, Bitcoin dominance reached its peak and formed a range between 57.13 and 71.04 until the end of the bull run. After Bitcoin's bull run, in the second leg when the price moved towards the 69k area, Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.13 support and moved down to the 40% support, leading to a major alt season. 🎲 In early 2023, coinciding with the start of Bitcoin's bullish trend from the 16k bottom, Bitcoin dominance broke the 47.80 area, which was the ceiling of its box, and its upward movement restarted. Currently, Bitcoin dominance has also broken the 57.13 area and is near 64%. As long as Bitcoin dominance remains bullish, Bitcoin will still be a better buy, and altcoins will not be able to grow significantly. 💥 If Bitcoin dominance finally confirms a trend change and turns bearish, if Bitcoin's trend remains bullish, we will witness another major alt season like in 2021. For now, we confirm the change in trend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart by breaking 57.13, and for a better and more accurate analysis, it's better to move on to the weekly time frame. 📅 Weekly Time Frame In the weekly time frame, after breaking the 47.46 area, an ascending trend has formed within an ascending channel, and the price has been in this channel for about two years. 🧩 The next resistance for Bitcoin dominance is 65.59, which it is moving towards, and the main ceiling for Bitcoin dominance is 71.04. If the upward trend continues, more money will enter Bitcoin, and altcoins will not be good investment options. 🔽 For a trend change and a bearish turn in Bitcoin dominance, breaking the 60.50 area is suitable, and if Bitcoin dominance records lower highs and lows below this area, we will confirm the trend change. Breaking the channel will also be one of the most important confirmations. 📅 Daily Time Frame In the daily time frame, we can analyze the price movement with more detail. 💫 Currently, the 62.23 area has been broken, and Bitcoin dominance is performing another bullish leg, having reached the channel ceiling. If the channel ceiling breaks, we can expect a move to the 65.59 area. 📉 For a trend change in this time frame, it's better to wait for the channel to break, but besides the channel, the 62.23 and 60.50 areas are also significant, and breaking them will confirm it. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by tradecitypro
15
Bitcoin - Watching For CapitulationI'm not going to try and predict whether not Bitcoin has begun what I believe to be its inevitable long term bear market, but I will look at some important trends and horizontal levels. For years, I've speculated that Bitcoin would have a hard time sustaining a significant new all-time high. It turns out, for the mean time, I've been correct in that assumption. Bitcoin has now broken down from the ascending broadening wedge pattern that began in November, 2022. Here's the chart zoomed out: There is still a chance for this to be a false breakdown, if buyers show up soon and take price back above that $87-90K resistance, which has become quite strong. However, ongoing global market news continues to remain bearish fundamentally, as many commodities and material objects will have to be repriced to the upside. At the same time, the FED is in a bind because if this causes a spike in unemployment, they will be more hesitant to lower rates, fearing greater inflation. This is the definition of stagflation. In any case, zoomed in you can see that Bitcoin is in a downtrend channel - often a bullish pattern. My speculation is that Bitcoin will attempt to break down BELOW the channel, leading to a cascade of liquidations. This kind of drop can end around $69-71K on the shallow end, though can go much deeper from a structural standpoint. Outlined are all the support levels, and circled in red is a potential capitulation area. If Bitcoin manages to bounce from the $60-70K level on high enough volume, depending on economic news, price can even make a new high. But we're not there yet by any means. This possibility is shown with the green arrow. On the other hand, if Bitcoin cannot bounce at the previous trend resistance (light blue line below the red local downtrend), price can retrace all the way towards $48-50K. Let's see what happens! Thanks for reading. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
1
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #56👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. Today, as usual, I will review the New York futures session triggers. ✔️ Yesterday, the short trigger we discussed was activated, and the price moved downward to the area of 74760. 👀 Today, the market conditions are favorable for opening positions, both long and short. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As I mentioned yesterday, the price executed another downward leg after pulling back to the 80595 area, activating our trigger at 78913 and moving to the main support floor. Today, I have adjusted this area, and we will explore why this adjustment was made. 📚 Positions like the one yesterday, which are opened for scalping, I usually set with a risk to reward ratio of 2 or 3, and I don’t leave them open for long, opting instead to secure profits. If you also open such positions, I recommend not holding them long term. 💥 However, today, as you can see, the price is forming more structure and giving us more logical triggers. The SMA99 indicator is nearing the price, and the RSI is showing divergence compared to the first bottom that the price made at 74650, which was accompanied by divergence. 🔼 For the divergence in RSI to activate, it needs to break the area of 59.87. If this happens, we can say that the divergence is active, and we can look for a price trigger for a long position. ⚡️ The first trigger for a long position is the 77735 area, which is considered risky, and with the breaking of this area, you can open a scalping position. The main long trigger is the breaking of 80595, which, if broken, activates a Double Bottom pattern that could change the market trend. ⭐ Keep in mind, there is currently no Double Bottom, and only if the 80595 area breaks will this pattern form. 📉 For a short position, the 74760 trigger is still appropriate, and you can enter a short position if this area breaks. However, it is important to note that this area is very close to the 71779 area, and opening a position on the break of 74760 will be risky. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's now analyze Bitcoin dominance, which continues to range between the areas of 63.30 and 63.50. Breaking this box could define the positions we open today. 💫 If the 63.30 area breaks, dominance might temporarily decline, allowing more capital to flow into altcoins. Conversely, if the dominance breaks upwards at 63.50, more capital will flow into Bitcoin. Soon, we will have a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin dominance that I highly recommend not to miss. 📅 Total2 Analysis Moving on to the analysis of Total2, yesterday the Total2 trigger at the 896 area was activated, and altcoins, like Bitcoin, declined, causing this index to drop to the area of 860. 🔍 Today, for a short position, breaking the 860 area is appropriate. However, for a long position, I recommend seeking confirmation from Bitcoin itself and its dominance. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Finally, for the Tether dominance analysis, this index activated its upward trigger at the 5.84 area and performed an upward leg to 6.13. 📊 Currently, confirmation for the next upward leg in dominance will be with the breaking of 6.13, and the confirmation for a downward turn remains at the 5.73 area. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
5
Bitcoin Weekly For The Value Hunters & Range Enjoers. With lack of significant bid in the books until 70k. Ideally we drop to value sooner than later & gather demand with a range through summer. Supply has been chasing price down, with perps traders off loading latest positions yesterday in the US session. This will be painful to most crypto traders but good for range trade enjoyers & spot value hunters. Key levels: 70/71k Weekly & this is both spot & perps largest resting order blocks in the order books.
by Speculator_Nick