SOLUSDT - Buy with every dipBINANCE:SOLUSDT One of the strongest assets in the market and among the least affected by the recent downturn.
I highly recommend this coin for anyone looking to invest in crypto for the long term.
It’s a core asset in the market, with many projects built on its network, and currently ranks 5th by market cap, sitting at approximately $100.84B.
On the 3-day timeframe, the coin has formed an ascending channel, with price action strongly respecting the lower boundary of the pattern.
Price projection is shown on the chart, and I expect this outlined structure to play out in the coming weeks.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Cryptomarket
The Bitcoin Peak: When Will the Cycle End?Been a while since I published a TA. I’ve been digging deep trying to decipher when the cycle top will come in for Bitcoin. Some say it’s an impossible feat. Well, let’s give it a go.
There are two major dates and one minor date for a possible cycle top:
May 2025
**Volume Flow**: 1157 Days
**From June Bottom**: 1064 days
**ETH clear bottom**: June 2022
**Bar Pattern Fractal**: From 2015 bottom
**221k Price Target**: Target crosses with the model in May.
September 2025
**From November Bottom**: 1064 days
**Major Macro Time Fibonacci**
**Chainlink Fractal**
**Chainlink Time Fib**
March 2025
**Small Time Fibonacci**
**Bull Flag End**
**Average % move and time since 2019**
As you can see, there is a lot of evidence to unpack here, so it’s going to be a long one. Let’s start with the first date: May 2025.
---
May 2025
Volume Flow on Heikin Candles on the Monthly shows that from the Bearish cross to the cycle top is 1126 days, which ends up being May.
Every cycle, Bitcoin has always put in a double bottom to mark its cycle low. As you can see, in 2022 we had two major crashes, and even though it’s not 100% clear here, we got a double bottom.
The amazing thing about the first bottom in June 2022 is that it mirrored the first bottom of the cycle low of 2015. That fractal was a mirror, showing the importance of this first low in Bitcoin in June 2022.
If we overlay the 2015 fractal, we get the top coming in May.
For anyone who doesn’t know, the last two cycles, Bitcoin has taken 1064 days from Cycle Low to Cycle Top. 1064 days from the June 2022 low is May.
ETH has a much clearer bottom than Bitcoin this cycle. It also took 1064 days, which puts it in May.
So you can see, there is a lot of evidence pointing towards a May 2025 Cycle Top for Bitcoin.
---
September/October 2025
1064 days from the second bottom in November 2022 would be October 2025.
For years, I have been using this Major Macro Time Fibonacci sequence that shows me important moments in Bitcoin’s cycles. The last pointed to a move down to 48k in August 2023, which is hard to see on the 2Week chart.
As you can see, it comes close to pinpointing moves, so the next date is the end of September 2025, which lines up with the 1064 days from November 2022.
I have been following this Chainlink fractal for more than a year. We traded LINK using this fractal back in October 2023. You can check my TAs from that period. The fractal is still valid and tops in September 2025.
Chainlink Fibonacci Time Sequence has been hitting home runs time and time again, from pinpointing the top all the way down to the bottom. The next date is late August 2025, very close to September 2025.
---
March 2025
This date has far less weight for a cycle top but could be part of a major local top and correction.
A small Time Fibonacci sequence taken from this level shows that March 31st is the next date, and the one after that is late August 2025, the same as the Chainlink fractal.
240% over 162 days is the average that Bitcoin moves up since 2019. If we just overlay the average, we get 127k by mid-February 2025.
A mirror move from October 2023 to March 2024 puts us in March 2025.
---
Elliott Wave Section
I’m not an expert in this field but will throw in some takes.
Could we possibly be in Wave 4 out of 5?
Or could we be finishing Wave 3 right now and in for the first large correction of this bull market?
The fact is, the last time we hit this band on this model was January 2021. After that, there was a 31% correction lasting 31 days.
Sometimes 5 waves are very clear. Take GOLD, for example: there is a clear 5-wave pattern at max Fibonacci extension. This is a massive macro sell signal, in my opinion. Crazy how GOLD hit this level on Wave 5 as Bitcoin breaks 100k.
---
### **Price Targets
If we take the first cycle and overlay to 2015 cycle, it gave us the cycle top in 2021.
If we do the same for this cycle and overlay the 2015 cycle, we get a price target of 221k, which puts it at the top of my model in May 2025. Just discovered this—that’s one more point for May 2025.
As you can see, in the last two cycles it worked. Will it work this time? Who knows.
---
Pi Cycle Indicator
If we just run a rough projection on when the next cross will be, it crosses in April 2025, very close to May. Keep in mind this is a very rough idea of when it could cross.
---
Conclusion
We have 5 points in favor of May 2025, 4 points in favor of September 2025, and 2 points for March 2025. As always, the path is never clear for Bitcoin. Until we get much further down the road, I won’t conclusively know which date it will be.
This model I have been using has been so accurate thus far. We are so high up the last bands that we are most likely going to get some sort of long consolidation period with a correction soon, which would give the altcoin market a run.
CHAINLINK 200 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 Only up for Chainlink from this moment , do not let them shake you out , my time fib will show the way as always , for Link its showing August which is when the fractal finishes , late August .
Chainlink so far is repeating the same fractal as last cycle , its very close been using it for over one year to time the market with amazing results the fractal cycle top pattern comes in in August 2025.
The sell zone is in the yellow box , invalidation of this idea would be LINK closing a weekly under 20 dollars.
Bullish DIP: ETH $2530 Before Massive Move to New ATHPrior cycle fractals show that ETH has a macro resistance which lasts multiple years.
Upon touch of resistance at the bottom of wedge it will drop more than 30% - before pumping multiple thousands of percent as the flagship coin for alt season.
This is probably what will happen with the current dip. The entire crypto market is currently being controlled by this phenomena - a one week 'flippening'.
Alts will follow in ETH's lead and the bull market frenzy will truly begin.
Not financial advice, for entertainment only.
ETH 18000 DOLLARS BY SEPTEMBER 2025 God dam what a beautiful day it is , one dreams of such a entry in a bull market.
ETH will hit 18000 dollars by september 2025 there is nothing you can about it , this is the game, leverage wiped out and reset now we enter the "only up period" from this moment .
The key to finding out the next move was the USDT DOM like always pointing the way , the lower higher on the RSI showing divergence.
The money flow on MC indicator was very clearly showing this move , private indicator cant publish it on here.
The Fractal from 2020 on ETH is playing out FORGET THIS HAMMER WICK it is happening from here ETH will close in this channel and rally to 18k!
Do not give in to fear this is where you want to stack as much as possible . Invalidation of idea would be ETH closing a weekly candle under this ascending macro channel .
BTCUSDT - at final supporting region? holds or not??#BTCUSDT.. a perfect drop as per our last idea regarding Btcusdt and now you can see market just placed our targeted area.
but one thing is important here, that is it was not a selling trend ride it was only a retracement and if market again hold his current supporting region that is around 92k to 94k then you can see again a rise in btc price otherwise not at all.
keep in mind that below that region we have further drop on table.
stay sharp..
good luck
trade wisely
The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 Steps On CryptoWhen you are trading crypto you
have to focus on the BTC pairs only
and don't use margin.
--
This is to protect you with risk management
Am from typing on Google
"What happened to FTX?"
--
This company become very popular
and the time Bitcoin crashed it was a crazy moment
kind of similar to what we have today
--
According to Google Search ai
it says the company mismanaged customer
funds.
Also according to an article from the
The Guardian, 27 March, 2024,
Ftx collapsed within 10 days
-
Maybe this could be the time
to set a sell-stop order on
this crypto pair KUCOIN:FTTBTC
-
Now look at this chart you
will notice the Rocket booster
strategy in 3 steps:
-The price is below the 50 EMA
-The price is below the 200 EMA
-The price is about to gap down
So this is a position trade to help you
catch this continuation chart pattern
-
That last step is important
because it will help you with risk management
which is very important
-
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
-
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and
profit taking strategies.
Also, feel free to use a simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.
TRUMPUSDT - A coin with most hype, what's next??#TRUMPUSDT - as you know that coin getting hype on his first day and breaking the record volume.
now on technical point of view 49 is the key level for now and if market stay above that there is another upside leg expected.
don't be lazy here and keep in mind that below 49 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
AAVEUSDT Breakdown Imminent ? Bearish Setup AAVE/USDT perpetual contract on the 2-hour timeframe presents a descending channel formation in the. The price has been respecting the upper and lower trendlines, showing multiple rejections at both levels. Currently, the price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, and a breakdown could trigger further downside momentum.
The short setup suggests a bearish continuation if the price breaks below the lower trendline. The entry point is positioned around the 264.57 level, with a stop-loss placed above the recent swing high to manage risk. The take-profit zone is projected toward 221.84, aligning with the next significant support level.
Key factors to consider
The price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downtrend structure.
The red zone represents the stop-loss area, ensuring risk management in case of reversal.
The blue zone marks the potential profit-taking region, which aligns with a strong demand zone.
If a breakdown occurs with strong bearish volume, it could accelerate the move toward the target zone.
A potential retest of the broken support level could offer additional confirmation before further downside.
Traders should monitor volume and market sentiment before entering the trade, ensuring that bearish momentum supports the continuation of the trend.
BTC re-accumulation ‘the great cooling’As seen in the chart, it is clear that the bull is not over but there are very few catalysts that are not already priced in right now, the issue is that orderbook volume is ultimately very thin. I have perp traded this kind of liqiuidity thinning event before.
Exciting times ahead.
XRP - A Quick Look at What's HappeningHave you noticed the parallel movements between Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP. It's a common phenomenon in the crypto market, while this is likely to be a short term move let's dive into why -
Given this strong correlation, here's how a drop in Bitcoin's price can influence XRP:
Direct Impact on Trading Pairs: XRP is often traded against BTC. So, if Bitcoin's value decreases, the value of XRP in relation to Bitcoin also tends to decrease.
Sentiment-Driven Selling: When Bitcoin's price drops, it can create a sense of fear and uncertainty among investors. This can lead to a widespread sell-off (herd mentality kicks in), with investors selling off their holdings of other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, to minimize potential losses OR to capitalize on profits made at the recent highs.
Algorithmic Trading: Many traders use automated trading systems that are programmed to react to Bitcoin's price movements. If Bitcoin's price drops below a certain threshold, these systems may automatically trigger sell orders for other cryptocurrencies, including XRP, which fuels the decline further,
Liquidity Cascades: Liquidity can dry up quickly, making it harder to find buyers for XRP. This means sellers might have to lower their prices to attract buyers, pushing the price down even further.
Chart Markup Explained:
While taking all these factors into consideration, we should also be mindful of the recent surge in price - this would have definitely attracted more investors and that allows us to start painting the technical picture at a more refined level. Supply and Demand dynamics are now more prevalent than ever.
Important Notes:
Just because BTC affects the way XRP moves doesn't mean that will always be the case. It's more like they're both reacting to the same underlying market forces. XRP has its own story, its own news, its own developments that can influence its price, regardless of what Bitcoin's doing. Sometimes, XRP even dances to its own tune (as explained in the previous published idea).
So, while Bitcoin's dips can definitely have a big impact on XRP, it's not the whole picture. Other factors are always at play, and it's important to look at the bigger context. Correlation doesn't equal causation, after all.
Echoes of 1998: Bitcoin Crash to $60K, a Moonshot to $360KThe movement dynamics of the NASDAQ index in January 2025 are beginning to resemble market trends from the 1997 - 1998 period - a shock crash in the summer of 1998, followed by the dot-com bubble. While it is unlikely that the chart will fully repeat itself, market conditions may lead to a similar pattern.
Under this scenario, applied to Bitcoin, we could see a downturn in February 2025, followed by a recovery in March or April, and the formation of a bubble, with peaks potentially reached by late 2025 or early 2026.
During the dot-com bubble, the internet was an emerging technology expected to revolutionise entire industries. Companies poured investments into dot-com startups, even when their business models were unproven and real profits were absent.
We are now witnessing a similar dynamic, but in the context of AI and cryptocurrencies. Crypto is not only aligning with the AI-driven narrative but have also gained institutional recognition as speculative financial assets.
BTC Double Top Patterns As we see BINANCE:BTCUSD made a new high that can be a double top formation on chart.
Also when we see the RSI chart it is seeing resistance above 60 and keep falling below 60.
So Looks like a bearish trend and if BINANCE:BTCUSD breaks its 3 months support around 91700 then we can see BINANCE:BTCUSD around 76000.
Lets see!
This post is just my perception and for study purpose only.
As crypto market has high risk of loosing money. Please invest your hard earned money carefully.
I will not be responsible for any loss in the crypto market.
TOTAL Crypto Cap. Who called 800-pound Gorilla to enter a chatThe influence of Donald Trump on cryptocurrency markets has been a topic of significant discussion, particularly in light of his recent inauguration and the launch of various crypto-related initiatives. His evolving stance on cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, has led to both volatility and optimism within the market. This overview explores the implications of Trump's actions and statements on the cryptocurrency landscape, focusing on the factors contributing to market fluctuations and the broader economic context.
Trump's Evolving Stance on Cryptocurrency
Historically, Donald Trump has had a mixed relationship with cryptocurrencies. Initially dismissive, he referred to Bitcoin as "based on thin air" and a threat to the U.S. dollar. However, as his US-elections campaign progressed, his views shifted towards a more favorable outlook. In recent pre-elections statements (usual populist election rhetoric), Trump has expressed intentions to position the U.S. as "the crypto capital of the planet", for example.
This shift aligns with a broader trend where economic uncertainty has made alternative assets like Bitcoin more attractive. During Trump's first term, Bitcoin's price skyrocketed from around $1,000 to over $40,000, reflecting increased interest in cryptocurrencies as a hedge against traditional financial instability. Following his reelection in 2024, Bitcoin surged past $100 000, attributed in part to renewed investor confidence driven by Trump's pro-crypto rhetoric and cabinet appointments.
The Launch of Memecoins and Market Volatility
The recent launch of memecoins associated with Trump, such as $TRUMP and $MELANIA, exemplifies the volatility that can arise from his influence in the crypto space. These coins saw dramatic price fluctuations shortly after their introduction; for instance, $TRUMP's market capitalization soared to $14 billion before experiencing a significant crash. This volatility raises concerns about market manipulation and the sustainability of such speculative assets.
Factors contributing to this volatility include:
Market Saturation. The cryptocurrency market is highly competitive, with thousands of coins vying for attention. New entrants can dilute demand for existing coins, leading to price declines.
Lack of Utility. Many memecoins lack inherent utility or clear use cases, making them susceptible to speculative trading rather than long-term investment.
Regulatory Uncertainty. The evolving regulatory landscape can create unpredictability in the market. Trump's administration has indicated support for crypto-friendly policies; however, regulatory frameworks remain unclear.
The United States of TRUMPAMERICA
Trump's presidency coincides with heightened economic uncertainty due to various pro-inflationary factors, including US-centric tariff policies, trade wars and geopolitical tensions.
Despite initial optimism following Trump's election victory, there are concerns about whether his administration can deliver on its promises regarding cryptocurrency regulation and support. While some investors have benefited from short-term price surges attributed to Trump's influence, questions remain about the long-term sustainability of these gains.
Regulatory Developments and Future Implications
The establishment of a crypto task force under Trump's administration aims to create a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets. While this initiative is viewed positively by many in the crypto community, it remains uncertain how effectively it will address existing challenges within the market.
Technical Challenge
The main technical graph for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Crypto Cap indicates on Bearish trend in development, since "Double Top" technical figure has occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the room.
The minor RSI (14) chart indicates also that Bullish optimism is getting sluggish so far.
Conclusion
Donald Trump's influence on cryptocurrency markets is multifaceted and continues to evolve. The recent volatility associated with memecoins underscores the speculative nature of digital assets while highlighting the broader impact of political fart on investor sentiment.
ARKUSDT Trendline Betrayal Bearish Plunge !Trendline Break
The chart shows a clear upward trendline that has been broken. This break indicates a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Retest Confirmation
After breaking the trendline, the price retraced upward, testing the previous trendline as resistance (red zone). This is a classic confirmation for a short setup.
Entry and Risk Zone
Entry :The short position is initiated just below the retest of the trendline, around the price of 0.5510.
Stop-Loss : Placed slightly above the retest zone, around 0.5897, to minimize risk if the price reclaims the trendline.
Target Zone
The blue area indicates the take-profit target, with a potential level around 0.3908. This level might have been chosen based on prior support or Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk-to-Reward
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the stop-loss relatively close to the entry and a much larger distance to the target.
Market Context
The sharp drop in price following the trendline break signals strong bearish momentum. Ensure that this move aligns with higher timeframes and broader market sentiment for confirmation.
Key Considerations
Watch for any sudden buying pressure or market reversal signs that could invalidate the setup.
Volume analysis can provide additional confirmation for the strength of the trendline break and the retest rejection.
Stay disciplined with stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
Book profits with usual profit locking rule of 10% by moving SL to BE for safe ride
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.