Its Time , Bitcoin 160k by March or September 2025?We are in the early stages of the next bull market. The question was never "if" but rather "when." The probability has shifted significantly to the upside in the last two months. Really, nothing much has been going on, and I’m waiting for my confirmation markers to trigger before making a technical analysis.
In my view, we are in a pretty large bull flag, and a mirror move like the one we saw from September 2023 to March 2024 could push Bitcoin to $160K by March 2025.
There are two major dates I’m focusing on: March/April 2025 and September 2025.
The clearest sign of a change in trend is that we stopped putting in lower lows and formed a triple bottom with bullish divergence on the daily chart.
The puzzle for the rest of 2024 and 2025 is not whether we will have a bull market but where and when the cycle top will occur. It's more of a question of timing, and that’s what I’m focusing on.
**March/April 2025 - Possible Top**
As you can see, since 2019, the average duration of major Bitcoin rallies has been 147 days. Even the longest rallies of 196 days would reach May 2025.
Looking at my time cycles, we also have a hit around March 2025.
The USDT dominance chart is currently in a bear flag. A mirror move similar to September 2023 to March 2024 would bring dominance levels down to the November 2021 cycle top, around April 2025.
**September 2025 - Possible Top**
For those who don’t know, Bitcoin’s last two cycles took exactly the same time from cycle low to top, 1064 days. If we overlay 1064 days from this cycle's low, it puts the cycle top in early October 2025, which is very close to my Fibonacci time date in September 2025.
I know there’s a lot on this chart to digest, but just focus on the red and yellow circles. Do you see the pattern? Every other sine wave peak is a cycle top. The next sine wave peak falls between September and December 2025.
The Chainlink fractal from last year is still playing out. If it continues, the top is projected for August 11, 2025, again very close to that September 2025 date.
KDA is also an interesting chart for me because it’s mirroring the last cycle closely, which again puts the cycle top in September 2025.
**Conclusion**
USDT dominance is in a bear flag, which is a clue. I’ve been in this position many times before, and USDT dominance has often signaled the way. If this bear flag follows through, it will trigger the first wave of the bull run.
**So, March/April 2025 Cycle Top:**
- 147-day average Bitcoin rallies
- USDT dominance chart mirror move
- A time cycle hit
**September 2025 Cycle Top:**
- Chainlink fractal
- KDA fractal
- Sine line peaks
- 1064 days from cycle low to top
If it’s March/April 2025 and we get a PI cycle cross, we’re out, that’s for sure , we most definitely not taking that chance that "this time its different"
Euphoria Blindness
Cryptomarket
Dogecoin 15-Minute Time Frame – Triangle Pattern AnalysisOn the 15-minute chart, we have a triangle pattern forming for Dogecoin, but we haven't broken out yet. If we can break the blue trendline and the pink resistance, my target will be the next resistance level in the pink zone.
Strategy: I’ll be monitoring the price action closely for a breakout. If it occurs, I will look to position myself towards that next resistance.
Oct.8-Oct.14(ETH)Weekly market recapLast week, the U.S. CPI data for September was released. Although the CPI figure was higher than expected, it was still lower than the previous value. We believe that once the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle, as long as the CPI data does not significantly deviate from expectations, the market will not price in a recession or an inflation rebound. It will generally lead to a positive outcome. After going through an aggressive rate-hike cycle and entering a rate-cutting cycle, capital will no longer need to worry about changes in liquidity. In the early stages of rate cuts, investors will need to consider which market to enter to achieve high returns.
We observed the performance of the Chinese stock market at the end of September, and yesterday, the BTC ETF saw an inflow of over $500 million, the largest inflow in the past three months. Capital is starting to flow back into the cryptocurrency market, and this continuous inflow is providing price support.
ETH, which had been relatively underperforming, also saw a certain level of pump yesterday, with the price nearing previous highs. However, from the ME indicator, it can still be seen that short positions are dominating ETH. The WTA indicator shows no signs of whale activity.
In summary, we believe ETH is likely to experience a week of consolidation. We maintain the previous resistance level of 2,800 and support level of 2,100.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Oct.8-Oct.14(BTC)Weekly market recapLast week, the U.S. CPI data for September was released. Although the CPI figure was higher than expected, it was still lower than the previous value. We believe that once the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle, as long as the CPI data does not deviate significantly from expectations, the market will not price in a recession or an inflation rebound. It will generally be a positive outcome. After experiencing an aggressive rate-hike cycle, moving into a rate-cutting cycle means that capital will no longer need to worry about liquidity changes. At the early stages of rate cuts, investors will need to think about which markets to enter to achieve high returns.
We have observed the performance of the Chinese stock market at the end of September, and yesterday, the BTC ETF saw an inflow of over $500 million, marking the largest inflow in the past three months. Capital is beginning to return to the cryptocurrency market, and the continuous inflow of funds is providing support to prices.
BTC began rebounding last week and climbed above 65,000 yesterday, nearing recent highs. On a larger scale, it remains within the previous consolidation range. Therefore, the ME indicator does not give a clear signal and still shows a consolidation trend. From the WTA indicator, we see that large whales have not participated in the recent rebound.
In summary, we believe the probability of BTC moving upward is greater than downward. We maintain the previous resistance levels of 68,000 and support levels of 52,500.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
Is #PEPE Ready for another Massive Rally or Not? Key Levels Yello! Is #PEPEUSDT on the verge of a breakout or are we about to see a major reversal? Here's what you need to know right now about #PEPE:
💎#PEPEUSDT is showing strong signs of a bullish continuation as it moves from a key support level toward retesting the minor resistance above. If price action holds momentum here, we could witness a break above the descending trendline, setting the stage for a powerful bullish surge. Over time, we’ve noticed that #PEPE consistently respects this resistance zone, and if momentum sustains, an imminent breakout is on the horizon.
💎However, the bullish scenario isn't confirmed yet. The crucial level to watch is the minor resistance at $0.0000118. We need a decisive break above this level, accompanied by strong engulfing candles and sustained momentum. Until that happens, we must stay cautious and avoid rushing into positions. It’s all about patience in these moments.
💎If #Pepe fails to break above $0.0000118 and loses momentum, the bears may take control. In that case, the key level to monitor is the bullish order block (OB) between $0.0000069-$0.0000074. This zone has already been tested twice and has held strong. If the price rebounds here, the bullish outlook could remain intact.
💎On the other hand, if #PEPE breaks below this Bullish OB, the next target would be the major support at $0.0000059. A fall below that, and the bullish setup would be invalidated, likely triggering a sharp drop in price.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers! 🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Alikze »» ENJ | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 4H
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame.
- A Double Bottom pattern is formed in the range of the green box by creating higher floors (HL).
Meanwhile, the creation of higher ceilings (HH) can be met with a correction in the 0.14 zones or the bottom of the channel with demand and create a newer ceiling (HH) up to the supply zone.
- Currently, in the middle range of the channel, it can continue its growth with a correction in the range of 0.14 to the supply area.
💎 Alternative scenario:
In addition, if there is a stabilization below the 0.14 candlestick area and if the correction continues up to the specified areas and the green box, there is a possibility of breaking the green box area.
Therefore, if the correction is sharp, the bullish scenario is invalidated and can form a new floor.
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BINANCE:ENAUSDT
BTC H4 50/100 SMA Cross Impending50sma is about to cross the 100sma which is very bullish. Price is currently holding over macro descending resistance. I expect a very minor pullback and a lot more bullish action. The daily chart still has a lot of room.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for looking at the idea.
DOGE - Dictated by Market SentimentNormal price setup is approaching a key level.
The yearly level needs to hold, or things could quickly turn bearish. I remain cautiously optimistic because this level presents a pivotal opportunity and is the lowest-risk entry available.
I'm not entering the trade right now as I’m risk-averse at the moment. It could be an optimal play, but #Bitcoin is still weaker than I’d like it to be.
This chart represents about 90% of what the Altcoin market looks like. If you’re overexposed, be prepared to act quickly or have hedges in place in case the situation flips.
Let's wait for the weekly close before making any moves on this and the rest of the Altcoins.
MAVIA Long Position (Gaming Narrative) Market Context: MAVIA has aligned with the gaming sector's bullish trend. We are looking for a breakout above both the resistance and the daily trend line for a potential long trade.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $1.612 (breakout of resistance and daily trend line).
Take Profit:
First target: $2.00
Second target: $2.40
Stop Loss: Below $1.20.
This trade capitalizes on the gaming narrative and MAVIA's technical setup for a potential breakout. #MAVIA #Gaming #Crypto
Trading Signal For KAVAUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the KAVAUSDT KAVA (Spot)(Daily)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.3104
⭕️SL @ 0.2191 (-37%)
🔵TP1 @ 0.5150 (+46%)
🔵TP2 @ 0.6295 (+78%)
🔵TP3 @ 0.8766 (+149%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Trading Signal For IQUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the IQUSDT IQwiki (Spot)(Daily)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.005364
⭕️SL @ 0.003752 (-41%)
🔵TP1 @ 0.009579 (+51%)
🔵TP2 @ 0.014035 (+121%)
🔵TP3 @ 0.021624 (+241%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Trading Signal For ILVUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the ILVUSDT Illuvium (Spot)(Daily)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 34.62
⭕️SL @ 28.95 (-25%)
🔵TP1 @ 53.73 (+39%)
🔵TP2 @ 68.94 (+78%)
🔵TP3 @ 106.11 (+174%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Trading Signal For KEYUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the KEYUSDT SelfKey (Spot)(Daily)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.003421
⭕️SL @ 0.002602 (-32%)
🔵TP1 @ 0.005509 (+41%)
🔵TP2 @ 0.007299 (+88%)
🔵TP3 @ 0.011031 (+184%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Trading Signal For WUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the WUSDT Wormhole (Spot)(Daily)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.2613
⭕️SL @ 0.1789 (-46%)
🔵TP1 @ 0.5136 (+59%)
🔵TP2 @ 0.6946 (+114%)
🔵TP3 @ 1.0504 (+225%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
BTC/USDT - Rejection from Key Level with Bearish Continuationhello guys.
actually, btc surprised me!
Hunting Level Rejection:
Bitcoin has reached the hunting level (around $65,100), showing signs of resistance and potential reversal. The price briefly spiked into this level but faced rejection, signaling exhaustion in buying pressure.
Bearish Engulfing Potential:
If the price fails to hold the current level and shows a bearish engulfing pattern, it will likely initiate a downward move. This move would invalidate further bullish attempts in the short term.
First Target:
The first significant support zone lies around $63,100, which could act as the initial target for any downward momentum.
Final Target:
A stronger bearish continuation could drive the price toward $59,300 (the lower hunting level), aligning with prior accumulation zones and a solid demand area.
Trading Signal For ORNUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the ORNUSDT Orion (Spot) (Daily)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.882
⭕️SL @ 0.678 (-35%)
🔵TP1 @ 1.512 (+45%)
🔵TP2 @ 1.938 (+85%)
🔵TP3 @ 2.768 (+165%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes ?? and comments .
Gold Out LookIn my Previous analysis i have put an idea about gold to touch its Resistance level and we achieved that today now the confluence on gold is about buying because technically gold is moving HH & HL formation and now as it has made an HH its coming back for the retracment of that, which have observed on H1 to be completed over 68% also the confluence is 50 SMA price is hovering above that so we are bullish on gold
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!! (Short term)As I mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin experienced a good rise after breaking out of the Megaphone and is now It has completed 5 ascending waves and considering that the price has reached the weekly pivot line, we can expect price correction from this point.
Previous Analysis
and
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
TAO SCALP LONG IDEAWe are in TAO 1H Supply zone. I will look the stentgh over here in order to enter trade.
It is scalp trade. If bitcoin changes bullishness - TAO will be following it too.
Be cautious and do not risk that more than you can afford.
Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
#Altcoins #Crypto #altcoin #AltSeason2024 #Bitcoin #Ethereum #AI #TAO #TAOUSDT
High Probability Bitcoin Setup – HTF FVG + OTE Near Buyside LiqBitcoin has been consolidating within a defined range for months. Recently, a sell-side liquidity sweep indicated a potential reversal. Price is now reacting to a higher timeframe daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), sitting above a short-term high/buyside liquidity. If Bitcoin closes below this buyside level, it sets up a high probability retracement toward the next sell-side liquidity target at 58,000.
DYOR :)
PEOPLE/USDT Long Trade on 4h Time Frame: Nearing Final TargetWe entered a long position on PEOPLE/USDT at 0.06377 on the 4th of October. The trade has progressed well, reaching TP 3 (0.08002) and now almost touching TP 4 (0.08385). A trailing stop has been set at 0.06812 to protect gains as we aim for the final target.
Target Points:
TP 1: 0.06761
TP 2: 0.07381
TP 3: 0.08002 (hit)
TP 4: 0.08385 (almost reached)
Trailing Stop: 0.06812
Stop Loss (SL): 0.06067
This trade showcases the accuracy of the Risological Swing Trader in capturing profitable setups with precision—an essential tool for future market opportunities.
We’ll continue to monitor the trade closely as it nears the final target.
XRPUSD Shows Bullish Momentum, Eyes on $0.65 ResistanceMarket Overview:
XRPUSD is bouncing from strong support at $0.502, signaling demand in that zone.
Since the July lows, XRP has formed higher-lows and higher-highs, indicating building bullish momentum within an upward channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $0.502 (recent bounce) and swing low for potential stop loss placement.
Resistance: $0.65, with potential for further upside if convincingly breached.
Outlook:
XRP's shallow pullback from the $0.65 resistance and the holding of key support levels suggest underlying strength. If $0.65 is broken, the bullish case strengthens, with room for more gains.
#XRP #CryptoTrading #PriceAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullishMomentum