Cryptomarket
XRP's Next Move: Targeting 3.7-3.8 or Plummeting to 2.30?If XRP breaks 3.14, we aim for 3.21, 3.38, then possibly 3.7-3.8. But, if it drops below 2.90, watch out for 2.50 and then 2.30.
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Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
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Melania/USDT Box Range Setup
Melania is currently trading within a well-defined box range, consolidating before the next potential move. If it holds within this structure, we can expect a breakout soon. I’m targeting $3 in the next move, but patience is key.
For now, it’s crucial to watch how price reacts at key support and resistance levels. A dip within the range could be a buying opportunity, but always manage risk accordingly.
Not financial advice, do your own research.
Crypto Alpha Report - January 28, 2025Happy Tuesday, friends! Fancy yourself a trader do you? In today’s episode, let’s face some hard facts and distinguish between a true trader (the 1%) and the gambler (the 99%). Grab a box of tissues, because this one might sting.
Ah, the trader. What a glorious lifestyle. From the luxury of an Adirondack chair on a cozy beach, sipping Mai Tai’s, scalping the one-minute chart, and reeling in a few grand a day. Is this what you initially pictured when you started trading?
Unfortunately, the sad reality is that this is mostly a pipe dream. It’s a lie that’s sold over and over again that appeals to our innate desire to live ‘the good life.’ But, as humans, we gobble this fantasy up and throw our hard-earned capital into the markets - often to disastrous effect.
While it’s not impossible to live this dream, the reality is that most of us focus on the end goal, the Mai Tai and the pretty senoritas, and not the process that achieves the end goal. Backtesting? Boooooring! Strategy creation? Pssh, why do that when all I have to do is find the right memecoin, bet big, and retire?
For every successful story you hear of a meme coin trade gone right, a few thousand traders could show you a -99% loss. Memecoin trading is the new lottery. You do know the odds of hitting the lottery, don’t you?
All right, as if that wasn’t enough fluff, let’s cut to the chase. If you don’t know the statistical odds of your ability to win or lose a trade, you’re not a trader; you’re a gambler. “But I follow price action, bro…” No, stop that; you’re a gambler. I’ve met a handful of price action traders with statistics, and kudos to them. But 99/100 “price action traders” are just gamblers. Confirmation bias, seeing what they want to see, and survivor bias - that’s the cocktail of “smart money concepts.” Hey, if you can backtest it, more power to you. But most of you can’t and won’t.
Building a strategy isn’t sexy, but it’s the difference between sitting down in front of the charts every day and knowing (roughly) how you will do, and sitting down in front of the charts just praying that today will be your lucky day.
Don’t rely on luck; become good. That takes hard work, just like anything else. It also takes a lot of trial and error. Start small and increase capital as your success increases. Slow and steady is the Path to Profit. Fast and loose is the road back to Burger King.
Make today the day you commit to building a long-term strategy. Make today the day you swear off gambling because your lucky day is likely not coming.
Stay frosty, friends.
Crypto Market Update
Stablecoin Dominance
Currently sitting at 5.79%, yesterday saw a strong attempt to break out above 6%, a level I have continually warned is the danger zone for the market, particularly altcoins. However, we did see a strong buy back from the market moving into yesterday’s daily close. This metric is overbought, but any strong close above 6% is a major warning sign.
Stablecoin + Bitcoin Dominance
Currently at 64.75%. This metric is also overbought, and showcasing the same technical position we were in right before Christmas, which led to a two week mark up period for the altcoin markets. Unfortunately, we’re not showing any weakness yet, so speculating on a reversal in altcoins is a high risk move at this point. Watch for a clearer sign of rejection and weakness first.
Altcoin Price Performance Relative to Bitcoin
Altcoins, besides the majors, are still getting obliterated. Underperforming Bitcoin by -24.74% currently. While we are oversold, no signs of strength yet. Perhaps in the next few days we might see a reversal in trend, but all eyes on the upcoming FOMC.
Bitcoin
Trends
5M: Bearish
30M: Bullish
1H: Bearish
4H: Neutral
Daily: Bullish
Weekly: Bullish
After a strong sell off in reaction to the DeepSeek news, Bitcoin did put in a strong buy back at Daily Support. So far, we have not closed below our Daily Trend, nor the Weekly 10 MA. Tentatively optimistic, but I’m quite concerned about a deeper retracement unless we get a rate cut tomorrow.
Key Levels
POC: $104,955
VWAP: $102,609
Value Area Low: $101,569 - $102,079
Value Area High: $103,139 - $103,649
Next Liquidity Zone Above: $104,474 - $105,800
Next Liquidity Zone Below: $98,773 - $99,723
Bitcoin is trading in a relatively tight range today, after yesterday’s big move down. Currently fighting resistance at ~$103,500 with support at $101,566.
Strategy:
Honestly, expecting further downside pressure. Re-evaluate bias on a close above $103,500 - likely a lot of chop and volatility leading into tomorrow’s FOMC. Stay safe.
WILL #GRT MAKE IT!!!
Currently #GRT is facing a resistance which was previously strong support of descending triangle.
#grtusdt needs to break above this resistance, then we can probably see rally up to 0.5$ region after breaking out resistance of previously formed descending triangle.
In case of any further dip, we can see #grt heading towards its major support region.
USDT Dominance Breakdown = Crypto Rally?USDT dominance has broken a long-term trendline and is now testing a critical support zone around 4.0%. If it drops below 3.8%, we could see a strong shift towards a risk-on environment, fueling a major rally in Bitcoin and altcoins.
However, if this level holds, we might see temporary consolidation before the next move. Historically, a decline in USDT dominance signals capital rotation into crypto, increasing the chances of an altseason breakout.
The coming days are crucial—watch this level closely!
Thank You!
XCN 21-Minute Chart: The 39-Bar Channel & 151-Bar Cycle
RSI trends, and sniper entries on XCN. Mathematics in motion. 🧵👇
1️⃣ The 39-Bar Repeating Pattern: A Natural Channel?
🔹 We have now twice confirmed the 39-bar distance between key pivot points.
🔹 This repeating structure creates a channel-like movement, meaning price is respecting mathematical rhythm rather than random fluctuations.
📏 Possible Implications:
• If price respects the 39-bar rhythm, we could anticipate future reactions at similar intervals.
• If it breaks the channel, a new phase begins.
👉 Watching how the next 39-bar reaction unfolds could define the next major move.
2️⃣ The 151-Bar Cycle: Structural Foundation
🔸 The 151-bar length aligns with previous reaction points.
🔸 This isn’t random—it suggests a deeper Fibonacci-based rhythm in the price action.
🔸 This means that larger trends could be forming within this timeframe, influencing both short-term entries and long-term positioning.
💡 If this 151-bar cycle holds, it could act as the primary macro structure, with 39-bar reactions acting as the substructure.
3️⃣ RSI Trends: Above 50 & Holding
✅ RSI is currently at 51.24, signaling:
• Momentum shift toward bullish territory.
• Confirmation of strength if it holds above 50.
• Next Fibonacci RSI level (61.8) could act as a resistance check.
📊 What to watch:
• RSI retesting 50 → If it holds, bullish continuation likely.
• RSI break above 61.8 → Stronger breakout confirmation.
4️⃣ What’s Next?
📈 Bullish Case:
• Price continues following the 39-bar channel structure toward the next Fibonacci resistance.
• RSI holds above 50, confirming momentum.
🔻 Bearish Case:
• Price breaks below the channel, rejecting the cycle structure.
• RSI loses 50, leading to a retest of lower Fibonacci levels.
🎯 Key focus: Will the 39-bar rhythm hold, or are we shifting into a new structural phase?
Final Thoughts: Precision in Market Cycles
This setup is not random—it’s about repeatable bar cycles, Fibonacci alignment, and momentum trends.
🔍 The math doesn’t lie—let’s see how this unfolds.
👉 Do you think the 39-bar structure will hold, or are we entering a new phase? Let’s discuss! 🗣️👇
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JUP/USDT Trade IdeaJUP/USDT Trade Idea
JUP/USDT is showing potential for a strong move. Currently, it is consolidating within a key range, and a breakout could lead to a significant rally. However, market conditions remain volatile, so patience is key.
For now, I’m watching for a breakout confirmation before entering a position. If it fails to break resistance, we might see a retracement to lower levels before the next leg up.
Not financial advice, do your own research.
Ethereum (ETH): 10% Dip Followed By Quick Recovery!Ethereum has dipped and filled the previous target zone of ours, where we had 10% movement.
Now we are looking for another re-test to that same upper resistance and EMAs zone where we are going to look for another point of weakness!
If everything plays out nice, we should get a chance to catch another 10% movement, so all attentions there!!
Ethereum is still undervalued in our opinion so once we see signs of buying volume buildup, this could mean a re-test of ATHs (but not right now).
Swallow Team
BTC Retests Trendline Support – Breakout to $125K Incoming?BTC has once again successfully retested the rising trendline, which continues to act as strong support. Currently, the price is consolidating near the resistance zone.
If BTC breaks above this marked area, we could witness a significant rally, potentially driving the price toward $125K.
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SEI’s Comeback: Time to Ride the Wave to ATHs!Giving SEI a second chance—why?
It’s made a higher high and taken out the previous swing highs before the massive drop to 20c. That’s enough for me to start scaling back in.
I was a bit early before, buying at the same price in October, but now it’s looking much healthier.
I think this time it breaks ATHs. So, start jumping in to enjoy some nice gains!
BINANCE:SEIUSDT
HBARUSD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 0.40089, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 0.22979 breaks.
If the resistance at 0.40089 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 0.40140 on 01/17/2025, so more losses to support(s) 0.29204, 0.26950, 0.24919 and minimum to Major Support (0.22979) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.29204
0.34000
0.37397
0.47800
0.57563
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0.57563
Bitcoin Crash to CashI am a student to any market maker and willing to share this formula with the public as long as it's understood as just a theory and not financial advice. This pull back is being orchestrated by fundamentals and not the media or Elon. The entire world is about to be awaken by the absolute fear of missing out on the next pump. But if you follow along my cookie crumbs you can easily see the next major buy zone. It's important that you understand the way to store your money in wallets and how to make sure if something happens to you... How can someone you love access these funds and export them if needed?
Do not trade or invest in Crypto to get rich quick. Also it's imperative you have an IUL established. This functions as an income producing asset along with a protection function. If someone is relying on you then make sure you show them love with this coverage.
Go fund me is not life insurance. Neither is buying crypto- Don't do stupid moves with your money. IUL's that are non participative are yielding 9%-15% yearly. You can multiple your income and warehouse of funds this way and take the extra or earnings and invest in the crypto market space.
The Dow, NAS, SPX, Gold, Bitcoin and XRP are pulling back. This is because billionaires are going to buy high and lose. This makes the perfect opportunity for the small fish like us to wait until the absolute best buy zones are. This formula that I have provided will take time to pay out.
Stay focused and watch my charts.
Aaron Polk
Money Train
678-739-7902
"Life Insurance Guy"
GIGA Long Swing OpportunityMarket Context:
GIGA stands out as one of the strongest meme coins, holding within a major support zone despite market fluctuations. This support area offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for a long swing trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.05 (support zone)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.071
$0.095
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.045
This trade leverages GIGA's resilience, with profit targets set at key resistance levels. Exercise disciplined risk management! 📈
BTC: broadening wedge or channel retest? Bullish or bearish?There are three possible patterns in formation right now, two of the which would be bullish and one bearish. I'm not 100% on which one I'd pick so I'll present here the three cases.
right-angled broadening wedge (the bullish case):
- check the following links www.forex-central.net and www.centralcharts.com
In this case we should expect a dump to the 86K levels and then a bounce back to breakout and push price to 125K:
right-angled broadening wedge (the bearish case): see the previous links for the examples. In this case the wedge support wouldn't hold breaking down and bringing price to the 75K area. Notice that the upper resistance of the wedge shows alsoa double top which is a very bearish pattern:
descending channel retest: for this case I've used the coinbase's chart, it's just because the chart is less messy. As you can see the break out happened already days ago and this could be the retest of the previous R. This is a bullish case that would make price bounce to 109K
At the moment I don't know where to lean because my gut says market are overreacting to this AI fuss so I stay open to any possibility and I'm not doing any margin trade, just buying what I think has potential.
Good luck
Ethereum in the Golden Zone: Bounce or Breakdown?Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Weekly Analysis:
Trendline Support:
The price has repeatedly found strong support along the upward-sloping trendline, maintaining a bullish market structure.
Key Zones:
Support Zone: The critical support lies between $2,200 and $2,400, aligning with the golden Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618 - 0.786), making it a significant area for potential accumulation.
Resistance Zone : The major resistance lies between $3,900 and $4,100, where the price has previously faced selling pressure.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario: A bounce from the support zone and trendline could lead to a retest of the resistance at $3,900–$4,100.
Bearish Scenario: A break below the trendline and $2,200 could signal a deeper correction.
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