Cryptomarket
Check accuracy from last post, for BTC Here's an example demonstrating how BTC hits liquidity when you have the right knowledge to capitalize on it. Check my last post just a few points shy of the entry, but the speed at which it reached the target is incredible, showcasing both trend following and liquidity sweeping.
BTC Price Target #2: A Bounce Off the 200 MA or Golden PocketA case more bullish than an undoing of the move of BTC from $60K to six digits...
Price action could plausibly retrace to the 200d MA or Golden Pocket of the move from the 10/10/24 Swing Low and find support on either.
This case would likely play out as a violent wick down and v-shaped return to VAL of the volume profile. If we are talking a Golden Pocket retracement, a noteworthy CME Gap would be filled.
Litecoin Could Triple Against Bitcoin (LTC/BTC)As much as crypto annoys me these days, I can't help but still pay attention to this wild market.
There are some red flags - a lot of uncertainty and major paradigm shifts apparently looming on the horizon. Bitcoin has really slowed down, when it comes to price increases and volatility. It's also now associated with political polarization, as it has been predictably co-opted by wealthy interests, aimed at centralizing financial control and surveillance. Nevertheless, cryptocurrencies chug along.
I'll admit, I've always liked Litecoin. Maybe it's because it was the first cryptocurrency I bought where I realized, hey, Bitcoin isn't the best at what it's supposed to do. It was a lot faster and cheaper, and remains a preferred medium of exchange for crypto transfers. This is evidenced by its growing number of active addresses, when compared with Bitcoin's stagnation.
bitinfocharts.com
bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin's growth has stagnated, when it comes to its use as a transfer of value, whereas Litecoin continues to grow slowly. Litecoin's active addresses are also only about 50% less when compared with Bitcoin, making its "adoption" not all too far behind.
Of course, there are probably many flaws with Litecoin, as there are with cryptocurrencies as a payment method in general, but when you look at the current crypto market cap and how much Litecoin is actually used, it seems to be undervalued when compared to all the other fluff out there.
It just works. Its max supply is also only 4x that of Bitcoin. It's unlikely to ever achieve a market cap similar, but even if it it goes 4x from here in USD terms (taking it just above its past ATH), its market cap would be the same as Dogecoin, around $37B. That's honestly pretty funny to me.
The only thing I like about crypto is that it's marginally better than a lotto ticket. Maybe if things get even more dystopian, owning some crypto isn't a terrible idea. Things are absurd as it is. I don't like it, but that's how things have been going.
For some quick technicals. Litecoin is on its strongest tear against ETH since 2018:
Litecoin also broke down from a major uptrend against the USD a while ago, but if it gets back in (currently above $170ish), it could fuel a pretty explosive rally.
Based on the above LTC/BTC chart, there is room for a pretty large upside correction.
HOWEVER, it's important to keep in mind that markets are fragile overall right now. If Bitcoin makes a sizeable correction, back down to $70-80k or deeper, Litecoin may drop down to some lows not seen in some time. It's also important to remember that serious upside for Litecoin has previously occurred near market tops.
This is not meant as financial advice! This represents my opinion and feelings about the markets, which are always evolving.
-Victor Cobra
ETH - Reclaim $3K Or Else I've spoken for a while about Ethereum's relative weakness. It continues to break down from long term uptrends. If price doesn't reverse this week's candle back to the upside soon, I think ETH is in danger of entering a longer term bear market, leading to sub-$1000 prices once again. More specifically, from a moving average and structure standpoint, I think ETH must reclaim the $3k level with confidence, or risk total free fall.
I don't need to spell out all the reasons I think crypto is NOT going to change the world for the better or be "disruptive" in a meaningful way, but I've exhausted all of my writing steam on the matter.
Some new environmental factors have emerged, however, which are much in line with what I've been concerned about over the last several years.
We can clearly see from a Macro standpoint that growth is stalling. Local governments and isolationism are starting to gain preference over globalization, in a large see-saw effect. In addition, Trump has further tarnished whatever neutral reputation crypto had gained on the global stage. I think institutions are even less likely to take this market seriously now.
There's pretty much air beneath here.
The crypto TOTAL market cap is now testing the highs from the previous bull market. It really should hold up here to avoid catastrophic damage:
TOTAL2 (altcoins and stables) is well below its previous all-time high, showing the potential for a truly failed bull market if things don't bounce around these levels.
ETH/BTC is already in free-fall mode. My guess is new lows for the ratio (below the 2019 levels)
Anyway, that's all from me. I won't be as long-winded as I used to be. Thanks for reading! As always, this is meant for speculation and entertainment only, and not as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
Long Entry Signal for SUNDOG/USDT Based on the daily chart for SUNDOGUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you !
Daily Market Update.#ETHUSDI am providing a ethusd latest demand supply points where you can see and take Idia where market Will going and what will happened currently market trade at support if break this support we will see Down level to test market and give us trend change on these points.
Are You Understand My Daily Analysis If You Understand Then Thumbs Up In Comments!
Long Entry Signal for AGLD/USDTBased on the daily chart for AGLDUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Bitcoin Update: Critical Support & Elliott Wave Levels To WatchBitcoin here is the thing...
1. For now drop is not impulsive, so can be correction
2. 4th wave pullbacks will ideally stabilize near 50/38.2%. Just testing the important zone 77k-85k
3. Old high and unfilled gap are crucial to cause a bounce, otherwise the major high is in
4. You don't want to see this fourth wave breaking the lowest base channel line, otherwise top is in.
5. Bullish resumption for wave 5 when/if 93700 overlaps
6. This market wont go up unless risk-on is back
GH
Long Entry Signal for GRASS/USDT Based on the daily chart for GRASSUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you!
Long Entry Signal for DEXE/USDT Based on the daily chart for DEXEUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Analysis: Critical Decision Zone
Market Structure & Trend
The price is currently trading within a parallel descending channel.
It recently tested the parallel channel support, which has been respected in the past (marked with green circles).
A temporary bounce has occurred, but the structure remains bearish until a breakout confirms a shift in momentum.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone : Around $83,000 - $85,000, where price reacted strongly.
Resistance Zone : Around $89,000 - $91,000 (highlighted in purple), a key rejection area.
Major Downside Target:
If price fails to hold above support, it could drop towards $75,000 - $78,000.
Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario
If BTC breaks above the purple resistance zone and reclaims the mid-channel trendline, we could see a move towards $95,000 - $100,000.
A strong breakout with volume confirmation will validate this bullish reversal.
❌ Bearish Scenario
If BTC faces rejection at the resistance zone and fails to hold above the parallel channel support, a further drop towards $78,000 - $75,000 is likely.
Confirmation of bearish momentum would come with a lower low formation.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a critical decision point.
Breakout above $91K = bullish continuation.
Rejection & break below FWB:83K = deeper correction ahead.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
OL/USDT Long Re-entry signal
On February 15th, we received an entry signal when the PSAR turned bullish. On February 18th, the PSAR was hit, signaling an exit. On February 22nd, the day closed above the initial entry level from February 15th. This gives us a potential opportunity to enter again since we had a close above the original entry signal. You can enter now or wait for the daily close; it’s your choice.
However, there is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you!
Long Entry Signal for PROM/USDTBased on the daily chart for PROMUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Long Signal Entry for ACH/USDT
Based on the daily chart for ACHUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position. You can enter now or wait for the close of the day, depending on your availability. Waiting for the close of the day would be preferred to confirm the trend.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
Bitcoin Rally in a few months...The price has been ranging for a few months and will last another few months.
It's time!!! The rally is coming soon, time to accumulate for investors and its time for teachers to grab the boat and ride.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Here's the reason why you need to enter now:
Accumulation phase: Bitcoin’s price and on-chain metrics, such as active addresses and long-term holder supply, support this phase.
Market Cap: Bitcoin’s market cap remains significantly below its ATH.
Historical Cycles: Bitcoin’s historical price patterns and market behavior often align with future rallies after accumulation.
Inflation Hedge: Bitcoin is widely considered a hedge against inflation and is gaining adoption globally.
&
Technological Growth: Developments like the Lightning Network and increased scalability are factual and ongoing.
Good luck!
BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD
Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal.
In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices.
www.tradingview.com
Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup:
🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support.
🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out.
🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year.
While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal.
This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them.
Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
GLM / USDT : Breaking out from Trendline resistance GLM/USDT: Breaking Out from Trendline Resistance – A Bullish Move Incoming?
GLM/USDT is making a strong move 📈 as it successfully breaks above a key trendline resistance zone 📊. After a period of tight consolidation, the breakout signals a potential bullish rally 💥. If the momentum sustains, we could see further upside in the coming days 🚀. Keep an eye on this pair and watch for confirmation signals before entering a trade.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Breakout: GLM/USDT has finally broken above a long-standing trendline resistance, a key bullish signal. If this breakout holds, it could lead to a strong upward trend.
2️⃣ Volume Surge: A noticeable increase in trading volume is supporting this breakout, confirming strong buyer interest 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Indicators: RSI and MACD are showing strength ⚡, indicating bullish momentum could continue.
How to Confirm the Breakout:
✅ Look for a 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline for confirmation.
✅ A spike in volume during the breakout can signal strong buying pressure 📊.
✅ A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support adds further confidence.
⚠️ Be cautious of fake breakouts—watch for sharp reversals or wicks above the trendline.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use stop-loss orders to manage risk.
🎯 Ensure proper position sizing to align with your overall strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making any trading decisions 🔍.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #18👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. Yesterday, the price broke the critical support level at $87,700 and proceeded to the next bearish leg. Today, we'll explore what might happen to Bitcoin in the future and identify appropriate triggers for opening positions in the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, yesterday the price was rejected from $89,458 and moved downwards, breaking the support at $87,070 and dropping to the area of $83,779.
⚡️ As you notice, I have adjusted the Fibonacci that I had drawn. This is because the price did not even correct to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. In fact, the correction and rest that occurred up to $89,458 was not a true correction, but rather a part of the bearish leg.
✅ As you can see in this new form that I have drawn Fibonacci, the 0.5 and 0.382 levels have become very important areas and can be considered significant resistance zones for the price.
♟ Currently, after reaching $83,779, the price has found support at this level, and as observed, the RSI has shown significant divergence with the previous bottom, and after the divergence trigger in the RSI hit 50, we see that the price has managed to form a green candle.
🔍 If the price can rise above this level again and return to the box between $87,070 and $89,458, we can say that the bearish trend has temporarily ended, and the market wants to create a new structure for opening positions.
🧪 As we did before, we supported from $87,070 and took a day of rest in this area. We opened a position when it broke $87,070, and I hope you were with us and opened your position.
🔄 From the positions we previously held from higher areas like $95,108 and $93,433, I suggest using Dow Theory to close your positions if the price establishes a higher floor and ceiling. You can also place your active stop loss above the resistance area of $89,458, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
📈 However, for opening positions today, if the price moves sharply upward and forms a V pattern, you could consider opening a long position if it breaks $89,458. But this position is very risky, and I personally won't open it because the market trend and momentum are completely bearish, and I see no sign of an upward trend.
🔽 For short positions, if the price is rejected from $87,070, you could open a short position in the lower timeframes if this trigger breaks. However, if you want to behave more securely, you can open a short position if $83,779 breaks.
🎲 I will not be joining this position because I have positions open from higher up, and I don't want to disrupt the average of my position and have it move lower. I think the price has fallen enough and now needs rest, although my view might be wrong, and the price could from here again commence the next bearish leg.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to analyzing Bitcoin dominance to determine which coins might be more appropriate to trade today. As we see, there was another drop in Bitcoin dominance, this time breaking the area of 90.61, and dominance has returned to the previous low of 60.48, where it found support.
🧩 As Bitcoin corrected, Bitcoin dominance also increased, causing Bitcoin to perform deeper corrections compared to altcoins.
🧲 When we get to Total2, we'll see that Bitcoin has corrected more than altcoins, but determining the trend in Bitcoin dominance is a bit difficult as it's nearly forming a large range box between 60.48 and 62.19. As long as it's in this box, it's hard to determine a clear trend, and it might move towards the bottom or top of the box.
💥 However, since we are currently at the bottom of this box, if dominance again stabilizes above 60.21, we can take this as confirmation of becoming bullish. If the bottom of the box, which is 60.48, breaks, dominance could move to its next bearish leg targeting 59.84.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As you observed, alongside the drop in Bitcoin dominance, the market also fell, which caused Total2 to not lose its important area of 1.07 and to bounce back from there, moving upwards.
✨ But as I mentioned, the increase in Bitcoin dominance caused Bitcoin to correct more than altcoins, but overall, Total2 is in a better situation than Bitcoin because Bitcoin was supported at a lower level and lower support, but Total2 bounced back from the same support at 1.07 and is moving upwards.
💫 I expect a box to form between 1.07 and 1.13, which overlaps with the 0.382 Fibonacci, and Total2 could create a structure in this box. Today, if any of these structures break according to Bitcoin dominance, you can open positions, but given that Bitcoin dominance is falling, I prefer to open a position on Bitcoin if the bottom of the box breaks and if I want to open a long position, do it on altcoins unless Bitcoin dominance rises from the bottom of its box and starts moving upward again, becoming bullish.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's go to the analysis of Tether dominance. As you see, dominance broke the resistance at 5.04 and made another upward move to the resistance at 5.21.
⭐️ Currently, dominance is moving downwards again and has entered a corrective phase. There is a very important floor at 4.92, and as long as it is above this area, I see the trend of Tether dominance as bullish.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
ADA Long OpportunityMarket Context:
ADA has retraced into a key support zone, offering a strong risk-to-reward opportunity for a potential bounce.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.63 - $0.69
Take Profit Targets:
$0.84 - $0.86
$0.96 - $1.00
Stop Loss: Just below $0.60
This setup anticipates buyers stepping in at support, with the potential for upside continuation if momentum strengthens. 🚀