Cryptomarket
Crypto Money Flow CycleHello,
The Crypto Money Flow Cycle is a flow model that discusses the route of investments from fiat to Bitcoin, from Bitcoin to altcoins, and backward into fiat, booking profit at every step. The model theorizes that most Bitcoins in circulation aren't mined but are bought for fiat. Before every bull run, investors don't necessarily buy mining equipment but purchase Bitcoins from their fiat money. As more and more money flows from fiat into Bitcoin, Bitcoin price rallies. At this phase, Bitcoin usually pumps more than most altcoins. At the end of the phase, investors buy altcoins from their Bitcoins.
They prioritize large caps like Ethereum. So, the price of large caps rallies compared to fiat and Bitcoin. Usually, these rallies outperform Bitcoin because the investors can afford to invest not only the initial fiat value but all the profits so far. That is Bitcoin's performance on fiat compounded by the large caps' performance compared to Bitcoin.
Over time, investors move the value from large caps to medium caps and from medium caps to small caps, pumping the markets in this order. Since the investment in medium caps is larger with the profit than the large caps, medium caps usually pump more, and similarly, small caps pump even more when money from medium caps flows into them.
To realize all the profit so far, investors can exchange small-cap altcoins back into Bitcoin, which means Bitcoin will pump once again. Then all the money so far, which is the initial fiat value compounded by the profit from each phase can return into fiat. Usually, this is when Bitcoin suffers correction and drags altcoins with itself.
That's how the Crypto Money Flow Cycle usually works. It's a model, which might or might not be true. However, I can say AI could trade the estimated phases with a success rate of over 71.23%, which means there might be more to this model than luck.
Regards,
Ely
DOMINANCE - real bullish for ALTS didn't start yet!monthly chart displays a breakdown for multi years rising wedge .. the interesting thing that today is a monthly close and we are only a few hours away from this.
rising wedge lower side matches with 0.618 fib (golden level) ...In fact, these two levels represent strong support that was responsible for the loss of thousands of traders and their suffering throughout this period.
it's a real sign to be bullish in december...
Caution still required ... retest the lower side of rising wedge is expected ..so don't use a high leverage
if u spot ..so don't worry it's time to get money ,,, don't sell ur coins too early u will regret missing opportunities Very much
BEST Regards Ceciliones🎯
Binance BNB December Bullish SeasonalityBNB has been a great buy in
Dec 2017
Dec 2018
Dec 2019
Dec 2020
Dec 2021
Dec 2023
With exception of 2022, BNB always has been a great buy in December. Moreover 25% of BNB tokens have been burned, and 25% are locked in liquidity pools. 25% are held by diamond hands. So only 25% is available for trading. Weekly RSI in BINANCE:BNBBTC is extremely bearish making it a great contrarian buy.
JITO - JTO ALTCOIN POSSIBLE SWING LONG ZONEI believe we came possible swing long zone for JTO. It is one of my favorite Solana crypto coin. I added some spot and futures positions from here.
We may see all the way up till to ATH of the coin. But i will be looking first to take profits from the purple line.
Whatever i share is not a financial advice and do not risk more than you cannot afford.
APTOS - APT COIN SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN MARKET - CRYPTOAptos is one of the most useful Layer 1 chains in crypto right now. I believe the fundamentals of this coin are remarkable, and I expect it to perform well during the 2024-2025 crypto bull market.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. It swept the 2024 spring low before getting rejected from the monthly demand, which created strong bullish momentum. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish movement. Currently, both weekly and daily momentum are strongly bullish.
I expect the price to hit the daily demand zone and take off from there. It might form a small range around this level, but I believe we are targeting all-time highs.
JUP SWING LONG IDEA - JUPITER COIN SWING LONG - SOLANA CHAINFundamental Analysis: JUP is the top DeFi project on the Solana chain. It’s a strong project and one of my favorite DeFi projects in all of crypto. I have confidence in their team and vision. Recently, we’ve seen strong momentum in JUP alongside SOL's bullish movement.
Technical Analysis: The price is coming from the monthly demand zone. The weekly demand zone supported the price after testing the monthly zone, and it has broken the diagonal bearish trendline that was responsible for the mid-term bearish trend.
We recently hit and got rejected at the diagonal trendline responsible for the long-term bearish momentum. I believe we’ll see a small retracement from here before taking off, potentially aiming for new all-time highs.
TELcoin Long trade for 50xKUCOIN:TELBTC chart clearly depicts where it is at relative to Bitcoin in the currency crypto super cycle. A crypto friendly regime is about to take oath in the US and this could potentially trigger rerating of all US based crypto projects. While in USD terms the TEL is already up 5x but in terms of BTC it's hasn't even started. This looks like a decent setup with potentially 100RR in USD terms. Will the history repeat itself? I think so. Follow me for more fantastic opportunities.
Disclaimer: I may hold positions in these trades.
Sperax might be promising.This coin exhibits a possible Cup and Handle pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout.
The yellow line is a strong resistance level.
This bullish outlook is supported by fundamentals such as Sperax's growth in the DeFi space, mainly through its USDs stablecoin, which positions it as a sustainable alternative to traditional stablecoins. Additionally, broader crypto market recovery, fueled by increased investor interest in altcoins and DeFi innovations, could drive SPA’s upward trajectory. Increased trading volume near the resistance would further confirm the breakout, making this a critical level for potential price movement.
Lybra Finance bullish? The Lybra Finance (LBR) chart reveals a pivotal moment in its market behavior, transitioning from a prolonged bearish trend to potential bullish momentum. After months of downward movement within a descending channel, the price recently broke out, signaling renewed interest and possible accumulation by buyers. Following the breakout, LBR has entered a consolidation phase, suggesting indecision between bulls and bears. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 57.89 reflects neutral-to-slightly-bullish sentiment, with room for further gains if buying pressure increases. Key resistance levels at $0.594 and $0.7334 will test the strength of this rally, while an overbought RSI (above 70) could trigger a pullback.
Lybra Finance currently has a market cap of $648,000, classifying it as a small-cap project in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector. Community sentiment on CoinMarketCap is notably optimistic, with 84% of users expressing a bullish outlook. The protocol has made strides in 2023, including surpassing $100 million in Total Value Locked (TVL) shortly after launch and integrating with Lido Finance to enhance liquidity through stETH staking. However, questions remain about the project's legitimacy and sustainability. The Lybra Finance team remains anonymous, and some platforms have flagged the website as high-risk due to potential vulnerabilities like phishing and spamming. These red flags, coupled with the high-risk nature of small-cap cryptocurrencies, warrant cautious due diligence from investors. While the project shows potential, its setup's questionable nature and relatively short track record suggest that prospective buyers should proceed carefully, balancing potential rewards against significant risks.
Aave | whales accumulating?The price of EURONEXT:AAVE suddenly skyrocketed by ~30 % in the past 10 hours, which seems to be related to the whale"0x5a80". Whale"0x5a80" has accumulated 182,152 EURONEXT:AAVE ($ 13.2M) from exchanges through multiple addresses in the past 10 hours. and currently holds 399,585 EURONEXT:AAVE ( FWB:30M ).
The price of Aave is $ 75 today with a 24hour trading volume of 520 million dollar. This represents a 32% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 50% price increase in the past 7 days. With a circulating supply of 14 Million AAVE, Aave is valued at a market cap of 1.1 billion dollar.
Aave is a decentralized money market protocol where users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency across 20 different assets as collateral.the protocol has a native token called AAVE, which is also a governance token that lets the community decide the direction of the protocol in a collective manner.
if whales keep buying and breaks the down trend then 77 and 79$ are next targets
many alts pumping now thanks to BTC jump
BTCUSD Selling opportunity 97000.00 Swim Trade entry
BTCUSD SELL 96990.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 95812.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 92800.00
STOP LOSS 99260.00
Explanation of 3% risk : With a 1000$ capital account your maximum loss for each target is 30$. ( 1000/100*3 ) Adjust your lost size according to your capital and trade stop loss pips count
🔺Maximum Risk 3% of your capital
🔺From 1:1RR Book 80% of your profits
🔻Once 1:1RR, stop change to BE or safe area
NOTE : THIS IS MY PERSONAL TRADING ENTYR AND PLAN. USE AT YOUR OWN RISK
Ethereum on Breakout || an action pack analysis with logics Hey everyone, i hope you all will be doing good!
Ethereum on Breakout, Let's discuss about this with logics:-
Today we have seen falling Resistance trendline pattern breakout in all major timeframes, I am discussing here in weekly timeframe. Ethereum was facing resitance since march 2024 followed by june and july and finally it has given breakout successfully today. Many things i have already marked on chart.
Let's go in some past of Ethereum chart, if you will check on chart it made all time high in nov 2021 at (4867.81) at that time chart was forming Head and Shoulder Pattern after that we have seen breakdown of H&S pattern in May 2022 and then price fell almost 64%, here i am talking from neckline breakdown to low at (879.80), according to the pattern of H&S neckline to head length was (56.67%) and it given target successfully in downside after perfect breakdown of H&S pattern. If we check from all time high (4867.81) in Nov 2021 to low (879.8) in june 2022 it fell (81.93%) and it started recovering in form of ascending triangle and we have seen that ascending triangle pattern breakout in Nov 2023 and then ethereum given one sided rally and risen almost (95%) and made high (4093) in March 2024. Now we have seen breakout in today's session. I am expecting it can take some resistance at march 2024 high (4093) and then next resistance we can see at all time high at (4867.81) and i believe we will breakout that as well after spending some time,,, Finally i am expecting 95% momentum from today's session in medium term and it can go towards 6900+
Let's discuss Some common news from the world:-
Spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US reached a new record for daily inflows on November 29. BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, was responsible for $250.4 million of the total inflows. Ether ETF inflows were higher than spot Bitcoin ETFs, which brought in $320 million on the same day. This is the first time that Ether ETFs recorded higher inflows than spot Bitcoin ETFs on days when both saw inflows. Ether ETFs took in $224.9 million in net inflows over the four trading days between November 22-27, while spot Bitcoin ETFs tallied $35.2 million in net inflows due to a heavy day of outflows on November 25.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
BTC analysis of historic Fibonacci levelsI'm sure this analysis is just one of thousands looking at BTC!
It is a point of contention to call the top of a bull run, but what I though I would do is point out a few levels which are points of confluence when you use Fib's from the last bull run and the current bull run to analyse price movement.
I've used the initial breakout and retest levels (In the green box) as the starting point of the Fib levels from the 2020-2021 and 2023-2024 bull runs.
As we can see at present BTC price is at Fib 1.618 (99k) using the Fib over the 2020-2021 bull run. Highlighted in the red box. The next Fib area of confluence is 120k
On a momentum note-
BTC is at a point where the percentage growth of its second leg up is 103% compared to 277% in the first leg, BTC is showing signs of slowing momentum similar to the 2021 bull run 321% 1st leg vs 125% 2nd leg. We may see a slightly higher high around 105K but to me BTC price movement is showing similar signs of topping out to the 2021-2022 bull run.
Does anyone have a technical case for BTC continuing higher? I know on the fundamental side with Trump being elected that there is a bullish case because of the huge pressure that the Crypto space has been under the last 4 years of Democrat Biden Harris party.
With deregulation the industry should prosper.
Toncoin (TON)📊 Comprehensive Analysis of Toncoin (TON)
🔍 General Overview: Toncoin (TON) has established itself as one of the most reputable cryptocurrencies in the market since its listing. After a strong bullish trend and setting a new all-time high, the coin entered a mildly sloping descending channel. The price structure indicates a short-term correction phase; however, maintaining support levels and increased trading volumes signal a potential for continued upward momentum.
🕰 Technical Analysis & Current Status 🔸 Movement in the Macro Ascending Channel:
Toncoin remains within a large ascending channel, and the current movement in the short-term descending channel is seen as a consolidation phase.
🔸 Breakout of the Midline in the Descending Channel:
The price crossing above the midline of the descending channel signals a potential continuation to the upper boundary of the descending channel.
🔸 Key Resistance and Support Levels:
The broken weekly resistance led to the formation of a new all-time high.
Sustaining the price above the midline of the descending channel could lead to a move toward the upper boundary of this channel.
🔸 Reaction to the Upper Boundary of the Descending Channel:
If the upper boundary of the descending channel is broken, the price may target the upper line of the macro ascending channel, potentially driving strong bullish momentum.
🎯 Price Targets (Goals)
🔹 Short-term Target:
Reaching the 1.618 Fibonacci level in the green zone.
🔹 Mid-term Target:
Moving toward the 2.618 Fibonacci level in the blue zone.
🔹 Long-term Target:
Attaining higher levels if the RSI ascending channel is broken to the upside, confirming a continuation of the parabolic move.
📈 RSI Indicator Analysis
🔸 Ascending RSI Channel:
RSI is moving within an ascending channel, and a reaction at its midline could act as an entry signal.
🔸 Overbought Zone:
If RSI breaks into the overbought zone, the likelihood of reaching the RSI channel's upper boundary increases. This breakout could serve as a strong trigger for continued price growth.
💡 Conclusion and Key Recommendations
🔹 Summary:
With its macro bullish structure and the breakout of key resistance levels, Toncoin is well-positioned for further upward movement. However:
If the price fails to break the upper boundary of the descending channel, a correction toward lower support levels is possible.
🔹 Recommendations:
Capital management and close monitoring of key levels are essential to minimize risks.
Entry triggers include breaking the upper boundary of the descending channel and RSI confirmation above its midline in the ascending channel.
XRP: Preparing for a Massive Move to $10The XRP weekly chart shows significant potential for a substantial rally based on ICT principles and historical price action. Here's the breakdown:
Market Structure:
After an extended consolidation phase (gray box), XRP has recently broken out, signaling a shift from accumulation to expansion.
The sell-side liquidity (SSL) at $0.41664 was cleared, allowing smart money to accumulate before pushing price higher.
Key Levels:
Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): XRP is targeting several BSL levels, including $0.93968, $1.94895, and potentially the all-time high BSL at $10.
Phases of Price Action:
Accumulation (Gray Box): XRP consolidated for an extended period, trapping liquidity and building the foundation for a breakout.
Expansion (Purple Zone): The breakout from consolidation aligns with the MM Model's expansion phase, where price seeks external liquidity.
Projected Targets:
The next major target lies around $3.31792 at weekly BSL. Upon breaching this level, we could see price push toward the ultimate target of $10, aligning with the MM Model's distribution phase.
Conclusion:
This setup offers a high-probability bullish scenario for XRP as it transitions from consolidation to expansion. As always, monitor key levels and candle closures to confirm the continuation of this move.
Disclaimer: Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and trade responsibly.