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Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context: Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money. Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000. Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment. Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings. Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements. Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000. Supporting Factors: Strong futures/options participation (open interest). Positive spot netflows (accumulation). Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70). Confidence Level: Medium (60%). Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum. 2. Bearish Scenario Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000). Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000. Supporting Factors: Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry. Increased selling pressure in spot netflows. Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment). Confidence Level: High (75%). Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory. 3. Neutral Scenario Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news. Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000. Supporting Factors: Lower volatility as expiry approaches. Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates). Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%). Key Indicators to Monitor: Netflow Data: Increased spot inflows → Bearish. Increased spot outflows → Bullish. Funding Rates: Negative → Bearish. Positive → Bullish. Volume & Open Interest: High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown. News Impact: Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals. Trading Strategies: Bullish Setup: Entry: Above $106,000. Stop-loss: $105,000. Targets: $108,000 and $110,000. Bearish Setup: Entry: Below $104,000. Stop-loss: $105,500. Targets: $100,000 and $98,000. Neutral Setup: Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000. This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
by titankarma
TradeCityPro | KCS: Navigating KuCoin's Cryptocurrency Waters👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I will be examining the KCS coin, associated with the KuCoin exchange, one of the largest crypto exchanges globally. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, we are witnessing a very large and long-term range box, where the price has been fluctuating for about 1421 days. The price floor of the box is at 3.905 and the ceiling at 25.505. 🧩 This range box is vast, about 500% wide, but considering the volume and market cap of this coin, it makes sense for it to oscillate in such a broad range over 1400 days. 📈 Currently, the price is moving upwards from the box's floor towards its ceiling, with buying volume gradually increasing along this path and decreasing during corrections, indicating a strong bullish trend. ✨ The main resistance the price is now approaching is at 14.884, which the price has touched once before and is currently attempting to test again after rebounding off the trend line. 📊 If the area at 14.884 is breached, there is no significant resistance until the box's ceiling, and the price could stabilize above 14.884 and move towards 25.505. Increased buying volume and breaking through RSI regions could assist the price in reaching this target. 🔽 Should the trend line break and corrections begin, significant correction areas would be at 5.853 and the main support at 3.905. Such a correction could occur if the broader market and other altcoins also enter a correction phase. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, we observe an upward price structure starting from a base of 7.247, with the first leg moving up to 13.749. 🔍 The upward move corrected to the 10.546 area, coinciding with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and after forming a smaller box visible in lower timeframes, the price is again trending upwards. ✅ The next immediate resistance is at 13.749, which appears accessible, and I expect the price to reach it soon. Breaking this area could see the next resistance at 15.775. 📉 In a correction scenario, if the price creates a lower high than 13.749, a decline to at least 10.546 is plausible. Further correction zones would be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 8.719. Breaking these levels could bring the next support at 7.247 into play. ⚡️ If the RSI drops below 50, it could confirm the onset of bearish momentum in the market. This is a risky move, and I prefer to wait for more certain triggers. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
6
AAVE Nearing Key Resistance. Will Bullish Momentum Persist? Key indicators used for analysis: 1. Zero lag moving average (ZLMA): Refined form of moving average that reduces lag while maintaining smoothness. 2. Price Volume Trend (PVT): Tracks price movement weighted by volume 3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator indicating overbought and oversold conditions. Support:$273.02 Resistance: $399.00 1.Price is trading above ZLMA9 and ZLMA51, signalling short and long term bullish momentum. 2.The PVT indicator is trending upward, reflecting strong volume-driven price increase. 3.RSI is forming higher lows, suggesting increasing strength in momentum. Note: This is only for educational purposes and not a buy and sell recommendation. Teak Finance will not be liable for any loss or gain. Please consult your trading advisor.
Long
by teakfinance
CRV LONG After experiencing a parabolic increase from 0.221 to 1.328, the price has oscillated within a descending trend, forming progressively lower highs. I believe there is still an opportunity to position long when the price revisits the demand zone, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and the 2024 annual opening price slightly below it. However, if the price breaks below this demand zone, another opportunity may arise around the 0.25 level, where we also have an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
Long
by BOT721
Alikze »» SOL | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 2 correction in the ascending channel and after its completion, the third upward wave will begin 📣 KUCOIN:SOLUSDT 🟢 Solana was reviewed on the daily timeframe in the previous post, where it faced demand after reaching the golden zone and continued its growth to the supply zone. 💎 Solana is currently facing selling pressure in the supply zone, which could face demand as a pullback to the swing and break the previous supply zone towards the $350 ~ 380 target. 🔔 In addition, if Solana touches the golden zone again, the bullish scenario should be re-examined and revised. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea 💡 with a LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬 if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email 📧 in the future. Thanks for your continued support.🙏 Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
TradeCityPro | DEXE: Unveiling DeFi Synergies👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I will be examining the DEXE coin, a DeFi protocol utilized by prominent projects such as Chainlink and Venus. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, we observe a strong and powerful upward trend that started at the base of 1.940 and has followed a curved trend line up to 17.493. 📈 Currently, after a correction down to 7.18, bullish momentum has re-entered the market, and the price has once again reached 17.493. The RSI is also entering the Overbuy territory, and with the increasing buying volume entering the market, everything is set for the price to move upwards. ✅ Should the price move and stabilize above 17.493, we can expect an increase in price, reaching Fibonacci targets such as the 1 and 1.618 Fibonacci Extension levels, approximately at the 43 and 133 zones. 🔽 In a correction scenario, if the price fakes breaking the 17.493 resistance and starts a new correction phase with a breach of the curved trend line, the correction phase will commence. Key supports are at 7.18, 5.072, and 2.767, and if the 1.940 support breaks, a bearish trend in the High Wave Cycle will start. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, we see a solid and powerful ceiling at 20.022, where after significant buying volume and a rise from 7.180, the price has reached and struck twice. If this area is breached, the price could move upwards and set new ATHs. ✨ Increasing buying volume and RSI entering Overbuy will greatly assist in driving the price up and initiating a trend. Conversely, in a price correction, a break of 50 in the RSI could deepen the correction and we could witness a significant price adjustment. 🧩 For a deep correction, the price needs to stabilize below 13.704. In this case, we can expect the correction to continue down to 7.180. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Let’s delve into the 4-hour timeframe to outline the triggers for futures positions. 🔼 For long positions, the only trigger currently present is breaking 20.767. If this area is breached or the price pulls back to this area, we can enter a long position. The RSI entering Overbuy, as mentioned in other timeframes, will aid price momentum. 📉 For short positions, it is crucial to note that the price is near its ATH, creating a very strong supply zone. Consequently, if the price is rejected from this zone, bearish momentum could enter the market. Therefore, we could take an early and risky entry for a short position at the break of 16.441 and wait for the main position at the break of 13.447. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
8
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position: Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours. Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000. Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum. VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal. 3. On-Chain Insights: Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity. Open Interest: Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B. Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias. Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment. 4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis: Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation. Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm. Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment. 5. Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%) Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure. Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum. Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%) Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions). Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%) Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts. Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction. 6. Trading Strategies: Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management. Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000. 7. Conclusion: BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
by titankarma
BTC 4h timeframe: LONGOn the 4-hour timeframe, BTC appears to be offering a promising short-term opportunity to enter a long position. Several factors align to support this hypothesis: 1. Correction After Sharp Decline: The market seems to be stabilizing after a significant downward move, suggesting potential for a recovery. 2. Bollinger Bands: Price action indicates proximity to the lower band, often signaling an oversold condition and potential bounce. 3. 50-Day Moving Average: Acting as a dynamic support level, the 50-day MA adds confidence to the idea of a rebound from this zone. Given these technical signals, I believe it’s an opportune moment to test the waters with a calculated trade. Here’s the plan: • Margin: $30 • Leverage: 20x • Position Size: $700 While the setup looks promising, it’s essential to manage risk carefully, as BTC’s volatility can always surprise. Let’s see if the bounce plays out as expected!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by themr-im