Cryptomarket
BTCUSD - A fresh look on the current supportIf you understand the mechanics of the Medianlines aka Pitchfork, then you understand the projected movement of the markets.
Whatever you measure with them, the same principal applies.
In the prior analysis, the framework of the Medianlines pointed us in the right direction.
Now it's time to reassess this product.
The 0 to 5 Count:
It's often a good indication when the last sprint happens. After P5, the count starts again from 0, up to 5 again. Here we see that the P5 was reached and we get the bounce, down to the Center-Line aka Medianline, where it finds support.
Could it move upward again? Absolutely, even if it where just for a pullback and the a further continuation to the downside. In fact, I even expect it to bounce up to the red resistance zone.
This would mark P2 before a harder drop down to P3, cracking the Centerline.
Most often after the Centerline is breached, we see a test/retest to it. (P3-P4), an exhaustion of the buyers and then the final hit on the head with a target at P5. In between P4 and P5, there's also the 1/4 line, where we often see a sudo-support. But it's not often that price starts to turn again and negating P5. It's mostly just a try, before the last drop to P5.
So there you have my coffee-ground reading.
Always remember, that even with such an accurate TA-Framework, we only shall trade what we see.
Many thanks to the loyal followers and all likes and sharing. I always love your feedback and constructive criticism. §8-)
JUP/USDT
Area entry: blue zone
Sl: 0.42
TP 1: 0.68
About Jupiter
As one of the industry's most advanced swap aggregation engines, Jupiter excels in delivering essential liquidity infrastructure for the Solana ecosystem. Moreover, Jupiter is actively expanding its DeFi product offerings, featuring a comprehensive suite that includes Limit Order, DCA/TWAP, Bridge Comparator, and Perpetuals Trading.
Resistance at 1.3T: Is a Deeper Crypto Correction Coming?The long-awaited Trump inauguration, which was expected to trigger an altcoin season, had the exact opposite effect. This once again proves that when the majority of market participants expect one outcome, the market often does the opposite.
After several days of testing support, the "tax policy" announcement triggered a breakdown below the 1.3T level, causing Total 3 to drop around 30% to 1T.
The market is now experiencing a normal rebound, but I am not very optimistic in the medium term.
Technically, 1.3T has now turned into strong resistance. In my opinion, after this rebound, a new leg down is likely.
I expect a drop below 1T, potentially reaching around 900B in the near future.
HBAR LONGwe can see range on daily chart. We are now on the lower band where we can look for long setups. Little specaultive trade can be seen on chart.
What give the confidence in this trade?
if you look OBV is incresing specialy from prevous low the OBV value is much higher!
Tha means we have strong buying presure.
Have a nice day and Be safe ;)
This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a key resistance level around $86,527 and a potential bearish move towards lower support zones.
Analysis:
Price is currently trading near the resistance zone, struggling to break above it.
A sell setup is suggested, expecting rejection from resistance.
The first target is around $78,500, with an extended downside target at $75,869 and possibly $71,580 if momentum continues.
A stop-loss level is placed above resistance at $86,527, indicating a risk management strategy.
The overall structure suggests bearish sentiment unless price breaks above resistance.
Potential Trading Plan:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Short below resistance confirmation.
Targets at $78,500, $75,869, and $71,580.
Stop-loss above $86,527.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A break and close above $86,527 could invalidate the bearish setup.
Bitcoin BEARISH chart - Some reasons to remain AlertAs I have said many times, I always look to Both sides. Bullish and Bearish.
This way, I manage to always know what I am going to do should a Market Direction change.
I got caught out once before..NEVER AGAIN
So, While so many, including Me, look towards Further gains in 2025, there are some indications that A TOP has already been reached.
There is NO guarantee that another will come in.
The First Clue to a change towards BEARISH is in the main chart.
PA got rejected off the very same Trend line that rejected PA in 2017 and 2021, on all occasions, pushing PA into a Bearish Drop.
That alone should make you Think hard.
Next, we have the NUPL chart ( NET UNREALISED~ED PROFIT LOSS )
The Arrow points towards the line, that once crossed has shown us that the high possible Profits available begin to Tempt traders to lock in profit..to SELL.
Once above this line, the next line has NEVER been crossed. ALL profit taking occurs in this Zone. You Will also notice how in 2021, when we had 2 tops, the NUPL reached High, Twice and then fell as traders Took the profits.
We have just had 2 tops and have just dropped out of the profit taking Range.
We may return, we may not. We have to wait but all the while, understanding the more profit taken now, people who buy at current price ranges will have to wait Longer to claim this same level of profit, assuming that the price Rises from here....Or they are in Loss...
The SOPR ( Spent Outpuit Profit Ratio ) , shows us that these profits have been taken
The thing to see here is the level of Selling, or taking of profit. The SOPR line is down near Neutral,
This shows the Selling has Stopped. if we look back at the previous chart, we see that the level of profit is dropping. Less reason to sell....and while PA Drops as it is, there is even more possible LOSS incurred. The people who bought the Top are now getting worried.
Also notice the "labels" Top ( Bearish signals) and Bottom ( Bullish signals)
We had a Bearish warning around 6 weeks before current Top.
The Bullish signal on the bottom line Stopped about 4 weeks ago and you will notice how the "line" has dropped below the neutral line, indicating people accepting Losses, just to get out....
Again, this does not mean we will continue Lower but it is a Loud Warning Bell
Fot the Level pf profit to return, we need one of Two things, or Both, to happen
1) Price to Drop so we can Buy Low and wait for PA to rise again and so make profit
2) Buy now. ( Buy the Dip ) and Wait and Hope the Market goes to the prices some people say will happen ( Some are Stupid for this cycle BTW )
The MVRV chart helps us see where that Market is heading.
MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value. It is an indicator used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued
I am not going to get to techie here but that yellow line is called Z Score and we are in ATH territory when it is above the green MVRV, as can be seen in the chart
We are currently Dropping FAST and Z Score is very slightly BELOW the MVRV line.
This happened in Summer 2024 and we recovered as you can see.
This Means Bitcoin is becoming Less Overvalued but a Long way from Undervalued
What I see here more than anything is how the recent High was up on that line where the 2021 ATH was rejected from. It was the same level of Value that made people say, "OK, This is great, I am out" and Sell.
Again, understand, the higher the BTC price goes, the heavier it is to move. We may not manage to get a Bitcoin Way up where that 1st 2021 ATH was. Hugely over Valued.
THIS is what I am watching more than anything
So, are we in a Bear Market ?
NO - But it would be easy to fall into a Mini Bear here, or longer one, if the market does not recover by mid June Latest
Why ?
Because, as ever, for me, The weekly MACD is the -- THE thing to watch
If that MACD drops below neutral when it arrives at Neutral, That is a Big red Flag....
But , in an ideal world, we should be able to understand the possibility of that happening BEFORE it does.
The charts above help with that - How mush profit is available, is it being Taken, what potential for more
March as a monthly candle, is very likely to close RED, as mentioned in other posts, It is APRIL that will really decide where we go next. It needs to be GREEN, even if only marginally.
My decision point is if the MVRV continues to Fall past that 236 fib line.....and stays below
Then the MACD and SOPR
If Capitulation begins - I BUY MORE - at the Bottom ( possibly around 65K - But I do not expect hat this year......
Bear Markets are not all bad....................
Have AI sold any Bitcoin Yet ?
NO - thankfully, I still hold enough profit on my earlier buys to cover the smaller losses I may make while I begin to buy again now, which I am doing, in small quanties...Just incase we move higher soon..Because, as I said before, I look to both sides....and I am more Bullish than Bearish right now.....But open to change.
I hope you all understand this logic
Long BTC, Long MSTR, Neutral to XAUExpecting BTC to consolidate relative to Gold for a few more days and then breaking out and outperform Gold. The ratios make it a more attractive trade with more upside potenial. Im buying NASDAQ:MSTR because of it´s leveraged bet in Bitcoin. I believe Microstrategy will outperform BTC in this scenario breaking out to new all time highs.
CME:BTC1!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
NASDAQ:MSTR
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #36👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, after breaking 83806, a downward movement occurred but then it moved upwards again, now forming a box between 82066 and 83806.
✔️ Today we have triggers for both long and short positions because the price has formed a good structure for opening positions, and since it's the beginning of the week, volume can enter the market.
🎲 We also have an ascending trendline that originated from the bottom at 77598, which the price has hit several times. If this trendline breaks, the price can start a new downward leg.
🔼 For long positions, our first trigger is 83806, which may coincide with an RSI of 54.70. However, this trigger is risky and the primary trigger for a breakout is 84817.
📉 For short positions, a good trigger was formed yesterday at 82066. Breaking this area could initiate the next downward leg to 80105. This trigger is also a trendline break trigger, and breaking this area could start the next downward leg to 80105. The primary trigger for this is also the break of 80105.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to the Bitcoin dominance analysis. As you can see, dominance was rejected from the ceiling of 62.03 and moved downward. Currently, dominance has again reached 61.53.
💥 If 61.53 breaks, dominance can move downwards and conversely, if 62.03 breaks, the price can move upwards.
📊 Overall, a range box has been formed again, and breaking the floor or ceiling of this box can determine the next price leg.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 analysis, this index rose from 1.01 yesterday and is now moving towards 1.04.
💫 Today's long trigger is the break of 1.04, but we need to wait until the price reacts to this area once to get the exact resistance number and open a position with its breakout.
🔽 For short positions, you can enter a very good and suitable short position with a break of 1.01.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
The dominance of Tether has formed a large range box between 5.28 and 5.56, and currently, the price is near the bottom of the box. There is also a resistance line at 5.43 within the box.
⚡️ Today, for confirming a downward trend in dominance, you can use the break of 5.28, and for an upward trend, you can confirm with the break of 5.43.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Weekly SMA are finally into Sequential order -and now ?A nice simple post here.
As you can see, in Late January, the 5 main SMA ( Simple Moving Averages) finaly got into sequential order Under PA
This is a sign that PA is bullish.
As you can see, in September 202, this happened and PA began its rise after a sharp drop just before hand.
It is a bit different this time in that we have dropped AFTER that SMA order was made.
But it is still a Good sign
HOWEVER - what is important to note, is how PA has fallen below that 21 and we are currently hitting off the 50, searching for Support again.
I remain BULLISH and I am sure that within a few weeks, we shall move back over that 21.
From were the SMA went into order in 2020, it took about 6 months to reach the first ATH in 2021
PA is rising Much slower than in that cycle but If that repeats, we can see a New Real ATH around July / August
I would say that is too early to be honest and so I expect larter. As I said, PA is rising slower this time around.
But, anyway, Good News that the SMA have remained in order so far...
Something to look forward to
STRK/USDT – Position accumulation in a descending channel.StarkNet - is a permissionless decentralized Validity-Rollup (also known as a “ZK-Rollup”). It operates as an L2 network over Ethereum, enabling any dApp to achieve unlimited scale for its computation – without compromising Ethereum’s composability and security, thanks to StarkNet’s reliance on the safest and most scalable cryptographic proof system – STARK.
StarkNet Contracts and the StarkNet OS are written in Cairo – supporting the deployment and scaling of any use case, whatever the business logic.
CoinMarketCap : #106
Twitter(X) : 346,4k
Currently, STRK is trading within a large descending channel , with the price sitting at the support of the inner channel . After the hype, the price has dropped by -95% ! The Series B & C Round zones are being tested. A -30% drop to the support of the outer channel is not ruled out.
STRK will likely move only when ETH starts growing , as it is an L2 solution.
During the listing phase , this coin was heavily hyped— bloggers were screaming to buy before it "took off" , but they forgot to mention that the rocket was headed downward . Most of them had no real idea what they were doing—it was all just for hype and content .
Now, few still believe in its potential … faith is gone .
But this is exactly why fear is unnecessary . Historically, negative zones often provide some of the best entry points.
I expect STRK to outperform ETH in profitability due to its low liquidity.
I’ve marked everything on the chart—consider this in your trading strategy.
WIF/USDT - Fresh meme coin. Trading setup in chanal. Popular fresh meme coin – Dogwifhat
📊 CoinMarketCap Rank: #102
🐦 Twitter (X) : 152K followers
💬 Telegram : 50K members
✅ Highly liquid meme coin – traded on many major exchanges, including Binance.
After the hype phase , the coin is now declining along with the overall crypto market —no exceptions. Essentially, it broke below multiple channel supports , and the price is now sitting at the support of the outer channel.
I also notice a non-textbook Head & Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential -64% breakdown . The last squeeze happened around this level.
Currently, we are seeing consolidation with increased volume , along with high-wick price action in this zone.
I've marked potential downside support zones as well as upside resistance targets on the chart. Consider this in your trading strategy!
$OTHERS.D - Altseason ahead with Altcoin Dominance ProjectionsOTHERS.D on the monthly chart is holding on to a monthly diagonal support and is yet to breakout from this Multi-year triangle. A Breakout of the diagonal resistance can bring upon a massive altseason to take Altcoin dominance to 19.5% and if things get really bullish than the dominance can higher levels as well in Q4 2025! 4-year time cycles suggest Altcoin boom to go into Q4 2025. While bitcoin made an impressive move to stay above 100K - I think the best is still yet to come for Altcoins in 2025!
WIF/USDTHello friends
According to the market cycle, the price decline is ongoing and is expected to continue.
Now the only important support is the green area, which the price reaches there and we will see what reaction we get from the buyers.
Will they support the price or will the decline continue...
If you want to be with us in this alt season, send us a message.
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Bearish Flag Breakdown – Potential Drop AheadKey Observations:
Bearish Flag Formation:
The chart mentions a "Bearish Flag," which is a continuation pattern suggesting a potential downward movement.
The price initially moved up (flagpole) but started consolidating before breaking downward.
Break of Trendline Support:
A clear upward trendline is visible, which has been broken to the downside, indicating a shift in momentum.
The breakdown happened after a series of lower highs, confirming selling pressure.
Short Trade Setup:
A short trade (sell position) is illustrated with a red stop-loss area above the entry and a green take-profit area below.
The risk-to-reward ratio seems favorable, with a target around 82,390 USDT.
Price Action & Direction:
The red arrow emphasizes further downward movement toward the support levels.
The next major support zone is around 82,800 - 82,390 USDT.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook for Bitcoin in the short term.
The break of the trendline and bearish flag formation indicate further downside potential.
If Bitcoin fails to hold the immediate support level, it could move toward 82,390 USDT or lower.
GMX/USDTHello friends
Due to the heavy price drop on the indicated support, buyers have provided good support for the price, which has caused a good price growth.
Now you can buy in steps in the indicated support areas.
If you want to be with us in the Alt Season, send us a message.
*Trade safely with us*
BNX/USDTHello friends
Given the price growth and the arrival of buyers, now that the price has corrected, you can enter the transaction with risk and capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #35👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, we're diving into the analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indices. As usual, I will review the New York session's future triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the trigger I set yesterday at 83979 was activated, and with the area's breach, it seems like the next bearish leg might commence.
💫 I've moved yesterday's trigger down to 83806, and we'll see if it reacts to this in the future.
💥 Currently, the RSI is entering the oversold territory, and with the entry of bearish momentum, the price could move down to 80105. The main price support remains at 77598.
📊 Today, I don't have any specific triggers yet and we need to wait for the price to establish a new structure. For short positions, you can utilize the triggers available in the lower timeframes.
📈 For long positions, like shorts, you must wait for the price to form a new structure. However, if the price sharply moves upwards, the long trigger will be at 84817.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving to the Bitcoin dominance analysis, BTC.D has formed a range between 61.53 and 62.03 and is currently moving towards the upper boundary of this box.
⭐ If this upward movement occurs, altcoins will likely fall more than Bitcoin, and if the altcoin short trigger activates, you can enter a position.
✔️ A major confirmation of upward movement will be with a break of 62.03, and a downward trend confirmation will be with a break below 61.53.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, yesterday's trigger at 1.04 was activated but it turned out to be a fake break, and the price has since returned below this area, now touching 1.01.
⚡️ For short positions, look for a break below 1.01, and for long positions, you can still take confirmation from 1.04.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, looking at the Tether dominance, similar to Bitcoin, its trigger has been activated, breaking the area of 5.33, and the price is trending upwards.
🎲 A confirmation of an upward movement will be with a break above 5.56, and a confirmation of a downward trend will be with a break below 5.28.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.