SOL (Weekly timeframe): Trend structure Price is approaching a key macro support zone. However, as long as it remains below the $148 level, I cannot rule out the possibility of one more corrective leg toward the $76–$55 range before a medium-term bottom is established and a potential resumption of the broader uptrend begins.
A breakout and sustained close above the $148 level would serve as the first technical signal that either:
- a corrective wave B (preceding a deeper correction toward the macro support zone) is unfolding, or
- a new long-term bullish trend aiming for all-time highs is beginning.
Monthly outlook:
My previous idea from November 2024 has fully realized its structure:
Thanks for reading and wishing you successful trading and investing decision!
Cryptomarket
NAVA LIMITED – Bullish breakout in 1d soonNAVA Limited is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum, supported by both technical indicators and improving fundamentals. The stock has shown a sustained uptrend with higher highs and strong volumes, indicating buyer dominance.
✅ Key Bullish Factors:
📊 Strong Fundamentals: Consistent profitability with solid EBITDA margins and minimal debt. Recent buyback reflects management's confidence in the company.
💡 Technicals in Favor: Price trading above key moving averages (20/50/100 EMA), showing strong trend continuation.
🔄 Breakout Confirmation: Stock recently broke past a key resistance zone and is now forming a new base, suggesting potential for the next leg up.
📈 Momentum Indicators: RSI above 60, MACD showing bullish crossover, and volume buildup on green candles.
🏭 Diversified Business: Exposure to energy, ferro alloys, and mining – adding stability and growth potential.
🎯 Potential Upside Levels:
Immediate Target: ₹658
🔒 Stop-Loss: ₹419 (Below key support or recent swing low)
📌 Strategy: Ideal for swing or positional traders looking for high-probability setups with risk-reward in favor.
🧠 Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #116👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session.
✅ Yesterday, a very important event occurred: Israel launched a military attack on Iran, targeting not only military facilities but also residential areas.
⚔️ Leaving aside the fact that war is always a global tragedy, the fact that Israel also hit civilian zones shows that the tensions between these two countries have entered a new phase.
💫 In addition to civilian casualties, key commanders of the Iranian military were assassinated in these strikes.
🏳️ Most countries such as the United States, France, and most of Europe supported Israel in this conflict, while only North Korea and Russia backed Iran.
📊 Given these rising tensions and the cancellation of Sunday’s negotiations between Iran and the U.S., the likelihood of war between Iran and Israel has greatly increased following the resolution signed yesterday.
⭐ This development has caused safe-haven assets like gold to move upward, while risk-on assets like crypto have started to decline. As you can see, Bitcoin has been falling since yesterday.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as mentioned, after an initial correction to the 108436 zone, Bitcoin continued its decline down to 103606, breaking through the support level we had marked due to the war-related news.
✨ Currently, the price has found support at 103606 and has started a corrective phase. RSI has also exited the Oversold area and is now heading toward the 50 zone.
📉 In my opinion, under the current market conditions, we should wait to see how Iran reacts to Israel's actions. If war breaks out, Bitcoin is likely to drop again.
⚡️ Personally, I’m holding off on opening any positions until we get more clarity on the fundamental developments between Iran and Israel. I'm also not closing any of my longer-term positions that were opened in lower zones like 88k.
🔔 However, if you are looking to open a position, you could enter on a break below 103606. I don’t currently have a trigger for a long position and would prefer to wait for a proper structure to develop.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance moved upward along with the market decline and, after breaking through 64.18, continued its bullish leg up to 64.85.
🧩 It has since begun a corrective phase after hitting that resistance. If this correction continues, the next zone to watch is 64.49.
📅 Total2 Analysis
This index also dropped alongside Bitcoin yesterday, falling from 1.18 down to 1.12 after triggering a short.
🔍 The price has since corrected up to 1.14. If a new bearish leg begins, we can open a short position on a break below 1.12.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Tether dominance moved upward after triggering 4.68 and reached 4.89.
💥 If 4.79 is broken, the correction could continue. If 4.89 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance will begin.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Locked in – 4H vs 30min Timeframes
When trading high leverage, I need a sharp overview of the market to manage risk and take profits.
Having a parallel view of the 4H and 30min timeframes helps a lot with that.
Right now, on the 30min chart, we’ve had two clean retests of key high timeframe levels :
– the 0.5 Fib
– the weekly 200MA
These retests may justify scaling into a long position , with a stop-loss placed just below the 0.5 Fib or the weekly 200MA.
The structure (MLR > SMA > BB center) supports a long entry, but PSAR hasn’t flipped bullish ye t, so this setup requires caution—especially if price starts closing below these levels. If that happens, it’s better to wait before scaling in .
On the 4H timeframe, selling volume spiked on the last candle , but keep in mind:
→ 3D volume bars have been decreasing , suggesting selling pressure might be weakening overall.
I’ll do my best to keep consistent updates on this parallel timeframe view—it’s proving to be very helpful.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently approaching a key support level on the chart. This support zone is an area where price has historically shown a tendency to hold or bounce back upward due to increased buying interest. At this stage, there is a possibility that BTC could initiate a bullish move or a price pump from this level. However, it’s important to be cautious, as the market could also exhibit signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior.
In such scenarios, what often happens is that before making an actual upward move, the market might perform a ‘fake move’—this means it could temporarily dip below the support level or show some downward pressure to shake out weak hands or trigger stop-losses. This false breakdown creates panic and uncertainty, only for the price to reverse and then begin moving upward shortly afterward.
If the support holds and buyers step in with enough strength, BTC could gain bullish momentum and head toward the upper liquidity areas. These zones typically have a high concentration of pending orders (such as stop-losses or take-profits), which can attract the price like a magnet. This liquidity often sits just above recent highs or resistance levels, and reaching this area could result in further volatility.
However, traders are strongly advised to remain vigilant and not rely solely on assumptions. The crypto market is highly unpredictable, and price action can be deceptive. Always perform your own in-depth analysis, consider various technical and fundamental factors, and manage your risk wisely.
This is not financial advice please Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
XRP/USDT Reversal Play: Bounce from Strong Demand Zone🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟫 Strong Supply Zone: The price has bounced perfectly off a strong demand zone (labeled "strong supply zone" in the chart, but likely intended to be demand), showing buyer interest near the $2.05–$2.12 range.
📉 Recent Downtrend: XRP recently experienced a sharp decline, but the price has now touched this critical zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
🔁 Potential U-Shaped Recovery: A rounded reversal pattern is indicated with the red curve, aiming for a U-shaped recovery targeting higher resistance levels.
📊 EMA 70 (2.2932): Current price is trading below the EMA, which acts as a short-term resistance. A break above it would be bullish confirmation.
📌 1st Resistance: Around $2.2932, which aligns with the EMA. This is the first challenge for bulls.
📌 2nd Resistance: Near $2.40–$2.47, a critical barrier before long-term targets.
🎯 Long-Term Target: Set near $2.63, the peak from the previous rally, aligning with major resistance.
🕯 Volume: Decent volume spike at the bounce, confirming interest from buyers.
🧠 Trade Setup: Reversal from Strong Demand Zone
📍 Entry Zone:
🔹 Enter between $2.12 – $2.15 (ideal after confirming a bounce or bullish candle above the zone)
🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL):
🔻 Place below the demand zone — $2.05
(Protects from deeper downside if support breaks)
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1 – $2.29 (🟦 1st Resistance / EMA 70)
🔸 Partial profit booking here; break-even SL for the rest
TP2 – $2.40 (🟦 2nd Resistance)
🔸 Major resistance zone; expect a reaction
TP3 – $2.63 (🔴 Long-term Target / Previous High)
🔸 Full target for position holders
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, depending on entry
🔔 Extra Notes:
📈 Watch for bullish engulfing or hammer candle confirmation before entering.
🔄 If price fails to reclaim EMA 70, re-evaluate trade.
🧠 Manage position size properly — avoid over-leverage.
🔮 Summary:
XRP is attempting a bullish reversal from a key demand zone with potential to target $2.47 and even $2.63 long term, provided it clears resistance at $2.29 and $2.40. The setup favors swing traders and position holders looking for a recovery play.
💡 Strategy Tagline:
"Buy the bounce, trail the breakout, ride the reversal!" 🚀📈💹
support my idea and comment down your thoughts thanks .
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Breakout Watch ! Hello traders here is KingPro's analysis on Ethereum
📈ETH is at the critical resistance level strong closing above it could tiger a bullish move.
Current Price: $2,628
EMA 70 Support: Price is holding above the 70-period EMA ($2,577), showing bullish structure.
Support Zone: The area around $2,320–$2,400 is acting as a strong historical support, confirmed multiple times.
Supply Zone: Consolidation occurred near $2,570–$2,620, but price has broken above it — indicating accumulation.
Critical Resistance Area: Around $2,780–$2,800. This is a key level — a breakout above could lead to strong bullish continuation.
Next Target: $2,782.93 – price may retest this resistance as indicated by the projection arrow.
📊 Trade Idea:
If ETH sustains above $2,620 and breaks the short-term channel resistance, a move toward $2,782+ is likely.
🔒 Risk: A breakdown below the EMA or the supply zone (~$2,570) could invalidate the setup.
ETH 3D – Between Panic and Balance
When panic hits, zoom out and try to find balance.
ETHUSDT on the 3D timeframe just had its strongest rejection from the 200MA in this rejection series that started on May 13—exactly one month ago.
Price is now once again retesting the 0.5 Fib, continuing the same retesting pattern that began on May 13.
Touching the 200MA often triggers profit-taking from traders.
On the macro side, recent events are causing panic and prompting sell-offs.
Now let’s see if hitting the 0.5 Fib will bring buyers back in.
Looking at the volume bars from the past month, buying volume is increasing while selling volume is declining . This could suggest that in this choppy range, sellers are stepping back while buyers are starting to build strength.
MLR = SMA = BB center, confirming the current sideways environment.
The 50MA hasn’t even started to flatten—it’s still pointing down.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –
After a strong rejection from the $110K+ zone, Bitcoin is now retesting a critical trendline support on the 4-hour chart.
Key Highlights:
Price dropped sharply to $103K, almost tagging the key ascending support zone.
The previous breakout from the descending trendline is now being retested, which is a classic bullish retest pattern.
If bulls defend this region successfully, expect a potential bounce towards $108K–$ 114 K.
However, a clean breakdown below $102K would shift short-term momentum bearish.
Eyes on this zone. High-probability decision area.
Watch for reaction candles and volume spikes to confirm the next move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Aave Has Room To Go Lower, I Will Spot The ReversalAave outperformed many pairs. Total growth reached 185%. It even produced one final advance and peaked only two days ago, 11-June. But now the bears are in and taking control of the chart. A strong rise is balanced out by a strong drop.
I think this is a nice project, a great project a nice pair. The strategy here is all the same. Advanced traders go SHORT. The rest, wait for support to be established before going LONG. Wait for the drop to end before buying again.
Remember, there will be plenty of time and plenty of signals showing the low is in. I will be here posting charts everyday.
I will catch the perfect bottom on this retrace, the same we did 7-April. It will be easy.
In fact, we will spot the reversal even before it takes place.
Thanks for the follow and for your continued support.
Namaste.
Pepe, Finding The Next Support ZoneThe same analysis that I made for Dogecoin is true here on PEPEUSDT.
We have two support zones. We have lower highs long-term, starting December 2024 (six months is already long-term), and short-term, June vs May.
What we are seeing is a repeat of the December correction but a miniature version. The bullish wave that follows will be a repeat of the April-May advance but with total growth highly magnified.
So the correction will end up being much smaller while the bullish wave that follows much stronger. Alternation.
If you want more information on price action, what is happening, read all the recent charts I just published. The situation across several projects is quite similar, at least the ones I've been seeing.
The duration of the correction will vary between a few days to a few weeks. Some pairs are already at bottom and will recover soon while others still have a long way to go. Those that grew nicely recently will remain lower, those that didn't grow will move up strong first.
Each chart needs to be considered individually but that's the general picture. You can find which ones will move first on the next wave based on recent past action.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Dogecoin, How Far Down Can It Go? Support Confirmed!The retrace is on and Dogecoin is moving lower with a full red candle. The trading day just started and this is truly concerning. As soon as I saw what was happening, bearish momentum growing, I wondered, will the last low (7-April) break or hold?
That's the question I will try to answer.
Since we already looked at the candles and chart structure (lower highs), I looked at the RSI to try and find some clues. Sure, the RSI is already bearish and became really weak 5-June. This is a positive signal because we are looking for signs of a reversal.
Once the RSI becomes weak it immediately starts to turn and the change happens first on the RSI and later the price. This is how you end up with a bullish or bearish divergence on the chart.
For the 7-April low to break, the RSI would have to go into extreme levels, ultra-weak/oversold, but this isn't likely, which means that there is a good chance that the 7-April low will hold.
A support zone is already being tested now which is the 0.618-0.786 Fib. retracement in relation to the April-May wave. While this is a weak support because it is based on the short-term, it is still a support zone and lots of bearish ammunition will be consumed here.
The 7-April low was a peak in September 2024 and also a bigger range from July 2024 (resistance turned support). In October 2024 this level was broken and tested one last time as support before the last bullish wave Dogecoin produced leading to a multi-year high.
In November 2024 again this level was tested on a wick and held nicely.
All in all, this means that we are likely to end with a higher low because this is a very strong support zone. I made it red on the chart.
If the action does move lower, it should only do so briefly on a candle wick. If you are lucky enough to be around when this takes place, you can go all-in at this point and you will be sitting on a great position for the next bullish wave.
Namaste.
Aptos, Good & Bad (Leveraged Trading vs Spot)This is both good and bad at the same time.
The bad part, or rather sad part, is the fact that there hasn't been any decent bullish action recently. This pair did not grow by any significant amount after its 7-April low.
Ok, what about the good part?
The good part is that prices are low. This pair is "yet to move."
Low prices means a great buy opportunity for what we know comes next.
I know, I know... You might not believe me or your morale might be done but we already had a preview with many pairs growing between 100 and 300%. In less than two months. That's the preview. But the market is big and not the entire market can advance in a single wave. That's why I keep on harping "choose wisely," because sometimes we can end up with the pairs that are not moving in the current wave. They will move, trust, but some will move now and others later down the road.
Ok, good and bad.
The bad part is not that bad but it can be said that it is bad that prices are low. But this is actually good. If prices were high, there would be no buying opportunity, we would have to ignore, dismiss this pair. Since prices are trading low-near support, we can accumulate; buy and hold focused on the long-term.
I mentioned tons of times leveraged trading but all these chart setup can be traded spot. In fact, any setup that is good for leverage is even better for spot because the risk is none.
With spot trading we simply hold. What's the problem? You expected 1,000% growth in 2 months? If that's the case, it simply takes longer and we wait. See? No loss, the worst case scenario is a long-term wait. That's spot trading, buy and hold and you will win in the end.
Leveraged trading is more complex but you know, risk vs reward. You put on lots of risk, huge risk but wow, the rewards potential is awesome. We only approach this tool when we learn the market, when we know what we are doing and we have no need for money; only when money is already plentiful and available.
If you have a need to earn now, "make money fast," and so on; avoid leveraged trading at all costs because it is very likely that you will lose everything rather than achieve success. But, on the other hand, if you are living the good life, you communicate with your wife and you have heart, you are grateful for the food you eat, for the simple stuff, for your house, your friends, your bed; then you can use leveraged trading. Because you will be able to know when to close a position and say "thank you!" rather than double-down on a losing trade.
In short, we need a stable life and mind to use this tool with any success. If our lives and minds are not stable, it is better to start slow. If you cannot make money slow, you will not be able to make money fast. If you cannot appreciate $100, you won't be able to accept $1,000 for a single trade.
So, thanks a lot for your continued support.
I hope you are enjoying the content. It is always my pleasure to write for you, day after day after day.
Remember, it is not about getting it right or getting it wrong, it is all about a mental, emotional and spiritual connection. I am sharing what I learn just so that you can avoid the pain of a major loss, something that I know just too well because I've been there before. I've lost everything countless times and yet, I continue to fight, prosper and grow.
Namaste.
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling toward the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,589.94
1st Support: 2,547.44
1st Resistance: 2,712.37
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 107,000.93
1st Support: 104,300.41
1st Resistance: 108,341.47
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin's Correction Confirmed, 93-97K Next TargetBitcoin's bearish continuation is now confirmed with three consecutive days of bearish action, today being a full red candle.
Good afternoon my fellow trader, how are you feeling today?
Opportunities are endless in this market, and if you trade, you can profit from the bullish as well as the bearish waves. Good entry timing is all that is needed for a successful trade, the right map and mindset.
So the lower high is confirmed and today's action confirms an incoming lower low. The 100K support is very likely to break but this is not written in stone. This is a high probability scenario. We are aiming for a price range of $97,000 - $93,000. But this isn't necessarily the end. Depending on how this level is handled, we will be able to know if prices will go lower or what.
$88,000 is a good level in the case there is strong bearish volume when the above price range is challenged as support. Now it is all a wait and see. Patience is key.
Once the a new support zone settles, we adapt to the market and focus on green. The next step is red. Down we go.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #115👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, yesterday the price was rejected from the 110256 level I previously mentioned. Following that, with the activation of the 108617 trigger, Bitcoin experienced a downward leg.
📊 Personally, I didn’t open a short position after the break of that level, but if you did, I suggest taking profits now as the price has reached the marked support zone.
🔍 As for me, I’ll wait to see how the price reacts to this support. If it breaks down, we can open a short position.
📈 However, if the price finds support here, we can once again look for a long position. The trigger for this will be found in the lower timeframes.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move to Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, BTC.D made a pullback to the 64.18 zone and now seems ready for another drop.
✔️ If 63.96 breaks, BTC.D could enter another bearish leg. If instead, the 64.18 ceiling breaks, it could push up toward 64.49 or even 64.67.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at the Total2 index, after reaching 1.24 yesterday, it started to correct and dropped down to 1.18, touching the support with a shadow.
✨ If the 1.2 level breaks to the upside, the price could move back toward 1.24. If 1.18 breaks down, the correction may continue further.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now onto USDT.D. After a brief correction up to the 4.68 level, it has resumed its downward movement. If 4.64 breaks, the decline could extend toward 4.56.
💥 If instead, the 4.68 top breaks, it might bounce back up toward 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
MANTA Holding Rising Support — Eyes on BreakoutMANTA is once again respecting the rising support line and showing early signs of holding the structure.
Price action remains constructive — despite recent volatility, buyers are still defending the trendline well. As long as this rising support continues to hold, the setup remains bullish.
The next key area to watch is the resistance zone above. A breakout through that level could open the door for a much larger move, as visualised in the projected path.
For now, MANTA is in a healthy consolidation phase along the trendline. If momentum builds from here, it could trigger the next leg higher.
Phemex Analysis #89: Toncoin (TON) - Breakout or Breakdown?!Toncoin ( PHEMEX:TONUSDT.P ) has seen its price pull back to $3.22, marking a 60% decline from its all‑time high near $8.28 in June 2024. While this might raise concerns, the project’s fundamentals have been strengthening dramatically, validating long‑term optimism. Over the past month, TON has remained in a tight consolidation between roughly $3.50 and $2.88, often seen as the “calm before the storm.” This brings us to the key question: Is TON preparing for a breakout—or a breakdown?
Possible Scenarios
1. Breakout Rise
If TON rises convincingly above $3.50 with increasing volume, it could signal the end of consolidation and the start of a bullish rally. A breakout here could propel TON towards $4.21, unlocking a potential 40% upside.
Pro Tips:
Enter on a strong breakout above $3.50, ideally with volume exceeding recent averages.
For short term profit, aim for $4.21, $5.36 or $6.0.
2. Bearish Drop
If TON breaks below the $2.88 support level with increased volume, this could trigger a bearish reversal. A further breakdown toward $2.36 or lower price is possible as traders exit positions
Pro Tips:
Consider short positions if the drop occurs with significant volume.
For believers in TON’s long-term roadmap, $2.40 support zone could present a favorable accumulation zone.
3. Retest $2.35 Support
A third scenario involves TON dipping to $2.35–$2.40—where stronger foundation lies—before resuming upward momentum. A shallow retracement with declining volume would indicate a soft landing that sets the stage for another rally.
Pro Tips:
Observe volume closely; a low-volume drop often signals a drop with no follow-through.
Consider accumulating gradually at or just above this support range.
Conclusion
Toncoin is forming a classic “calm before the storm” pattern—tight consolidation backed by bullish fundamentals. Whether it breaks upward toward $4.50, dips toward $2.40, or holds within range changes how traders can approach risk and opportunity.
Prepare by:
Watching volume-driven breakouts above $3.50,
Planning entries or accumulations around $2.40,
And managing risk with tight stop-losses just beyond the consolidation boundaries.
With strategic planning, informed risk control, and attention to market cues, traders can position themselves to benefit from TON’s next major move.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin life cycle-stage One ending-Next cycle has to start NOW
There are 3 things to see in this chart
1) The Orange Arc of resistance. I have talked about this previously but to recap a little, it has its origins in Oct 2009 and has rejected EVERY ATH since then, as you can see on the chart. The Arc itself is part of a Fibonacci Spiral.
This Arc has begun to Squeeze PA against the lower trend line, that was formed in 2011.
And we are now in a position where PA MUST react or get pushed below the Long Term line of support.
This could be called Make or Break time for Bitcoin.
The Apex of this pennant is around Jan 2026
PA always reacts before the Apex.....99% of the time.
2) The Vertical Coloured bars are Trend Based Fibonacci Time, It begins on the 1st ATH in the channel that Bitcoin created. This channel is shown in the chart below
See how the Runs to the 2017 & 2021 ATH were all in a Bullish Green zone and how PA never retouched the lower trend line of support in this time
Since Mid 2021, we entered a Bearish Zone.
On the main chart, you will notice how this Fib Time has just ended.
3) The Trend based Fibonacci Extensions. Every single ATH rejected off a Fib extension.
The Root is at the 2009 Low and 1 is at the First ATH in the Bullish Fib time Zone.
The numbers here are all based off the 3,6,9 number sequence.
Lets look a little closer at the weekly chart
As we can see, PA got repeatably rejected off this orange Arc of Resistance and Current PA has been up there, trying to break through since 2024.
Many people have also commented on how PA has been so subdued this cycle and could this be reflected in the Fib Time showing us that we are in a Red Bearish Zone.
See how, from Mid 2021, when we entered a Strong Red zone, PA took a Deep dive off the Nov 2021 ATH.
Also note how this zone ended in late 2022 and in Jan 2023, PA began its current cycle Run. See the change in Colour ?
And Currently, while Bitcoin tries to break out of this squeeze, we were in a Red zone again....that just ended.
AND we can also see that we have not yet reached the 6 Fib Extension at 120,251 usd
The situation we face here is that if PA gets rejected off that Fib line, having just broken through the Arc, we could get pushed right back down under the Arc again. It is VERY STRONG RESISTANCE
This next move from Bitcoin HAS to be strong enough to take us up to the 9 fib line at 180,391 usd at a minimum. This way we can use the 6 Fib extension as support when PA cools off from a big push and so remain above the Arc and begin the Next long term cycle.
The Daily chart below shows us where we are right now
You can see how PA has repeatably tried to break above the Arc and been rejected Firmly Every time...so far, PA has avoided going right back down to the Lower trend line and has remained in near distance to this Arc..But we are running out of Time.
Recent attempts by PA have been Strong and I am sure that we will make it over but the real question is can we also get over that 6 Fib extension and stay above.
The weekly MACD certainly has enough strength to cope
Should we have a subdued Summer trading on Bitcoin, we will see this MACD cool off and be stronger before a sustained push near Autumn maybe.
To conclude, Bitcoin is under pressure to move out of its First Full Cycle.
It is getting Squeezed and now it is time for Bitcoin to prove it can cope with its new found "Adulthood"
The Next Big push, maybe later in the year, could very realistically reach 200K or more and this would place us Above that 9 Fibonacci extension I talked about earlier.
Of course, events could change and we could see PA collapse back below the Arc.
If this happens, all is NOT lost but it would certainly weaken the case for Long Term holders to continue doing so.
This then could create a Snownall effect and prices may tumble....And I will buy MORE....
Either way, we are in a HUGE moment for Bitcoin and I am privileged to be able see this all unfold...
Lets see what happens but, for me, I am Still VERY Bullish though Cautious....
We may have to revisit low 70K in the near future if Pa cannot get over this Arc and the 6 Fib extension
Altcoins (Market Cap) - Excluding Top 10 Coins - Inverted H&SBullish setup on the daily chart. CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS have once again made a inverted head & shoulders pattern which is a bullish reversal pattern. With the yellow chart below showing the Global M2 Liquidity index breaking out aswell. With more money in circulation, the propabilty is that more money will enter the market over time. Although, there can be latency.
For now I will trust the patterns in the chart of Others and follow it to see IF we can confirm the Inverse H&S. We have to break the neckline which should be around 310-325 B for June and July. But still, after that we need a pullback to confirm that neckline and make it support for continueation.
It´s a very interesting world right now. And much can happen. But IF this break out. It would probably be one of the most explosive bull markets to remember for a long time.. I myself are holding quality coins and tokens. Im not in memecoins, whats so ever. With the adoption happening right now in crypto I don´t believe that is the right market to be in right now.
Nothing on this profile should be interpreted as financial advice. Always do your own research and investment decisions. Im only expressing my thoughts and beliefs. Nothing else. Crypto is a risky business but It also has a lot of reward If being right. I can´t find equal yield in any other markets for now. If you know any, plz comment below =)
BINANCE:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
BINANCE:SOLUSD
BINANCE:SUIUSD
ICEUS:DXY