Cryptomarket
A Trade as Simple as "Shooting Ducks in a Barrel" - BTC LONGDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I intend to participate in this market. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
People like myself (with average-to-below average intelligence) need a simple strategy.
My "Ducks in a Barrel" strategy is exactly that. Simple. Clear. Rules Based. Effective. Zero Discretion.
BTC (and several other cryptos, for that matter), are setup for "Ducks in a Barrel" long trades. Lets review the process for identifying these setups. To be clear, this is not a "long now" post. This market is SETUP. This is not a timing tool. We get into the market once we get a technical long TRIGGER on the Daily timeframe. From there, we FOLLOW THROUGH on the trade by managing risk and maximizing profit. Without the TRIGGER, we have not trade.
STEP 1: Identify a market with a strong trend on the weekly timeframe. I utilize the 39 and 52 period MA. For uptrends, we want to see both MA's sloping up and pulling away from each other. We see on BTC that the two MA's are still upward sloping and pulling away from each other. This confirms step 1, that we are in a strong uptrend.
STEP 2: We need at least 2 of the following to be in unison with the direction we want to trade (in the case of BTC, we need 2 of these to support the long idea).
VALUATION: For longs, we need an undervaluation vs Gold &/or Treasuries.
STOCHASTIC: For longs, we need to see the market is oversold.
SENTIMENT: For longs, we want to see Bearish advisor sentiment (we fade the public sentiment).
STEP 3: We see that BTC is Oversold on the Stochastic and is Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries. This meets our criteria of 2/3 indicators supporting our idea. This market is now SET UP for longs. Now we wait for the TRIGGER.
STEP 4: We are waiting for Step 4 in Bitcoin right now. We need to see an entry TRIGGER on the daily timeframe via one of the following entry techniques.
18 Period MA Entry
10 high 8 close MAC w/ Williams Acc/Dis 57 MA Confirmation Entry
Stop either 150% of 3 Period ATR, or 2 times the width of the MAC, whichever is greater.
There are other entry techniques, but they are higher risk. The two entry techniques above will not catch the absolute bottom, but will ensure that you are buying into a confirmed trend change. Other entry techniques come with the risk of trying to "bottom/top" pick, which increases your odds of several losses prior to the real move occuring.
If you have questions about the "Ducks in a Barrel" strategy, feel free to shoot me a message.
I hope you all have a great week.
And as always.....
Good Luck & Good Trading.
BTC USD UpdateBastards are digging into liquidity in upper range probably make us sit here for other day, to look for sale. What ever it does i do not want to break out of bearish BLUE NEGATIVE range. so im siting tight here agin waiting some sort of signal, its monday also so very interesting where thy take Price.
Trading Signal For DFYNUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the DFYNUSDT DfynNetwork (D1)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.0070
⭕️SL @ 0.0050 (-40%)
🔵TP1 @ 0.0130 (+54%)
🔵TP2 @ 0.0176 (+112%)
🔵TP3 @ 0.0247 (+198%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
Trading Signal For DIAUSDT Trading Setup:
There is a Trading Signal to Buy in DIAUSDT DIA (D1)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️Buy now or Buy on 0.304
⭕️SL @ 0.248 (-27%)
🔵TP1 @ 0.468 (+37%)
🔵TP2 @ 0.545 (+60%)
🔵TP3 @ 0.719 (+112%)
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
VET USDT spot trade | 2000% potential or ATH in 2025 bull marketVET/USDT is setting up for a massive run, with 2000% potential or a new ATH in the 2025 bull market. With VeChain's strong fundamentals and increasing real-world adoption, this could be a top performer in the next cycle. Keep an eye on key breakout levels! 🚀 #VET #VeChain #Crypto
Buy and hold in spot.
POLYX USDT Spot trade | 350% Potential or ATH in 2025 Bull markePOLYX/USDT is showing strong upside potential, with a possible 350% gain or a new ATH in the 2025 bull market. As the Polymesh ecosystem grows, this could be a key player in the next crypto cycle. Watch for breakout opportunities! 🚀 #POLYX #Crypto #BullMarket
Buy and hold in spot.
Long on Ethereum (ETH)Going long on Ethereum (ETH) near $2,100 offers a favorable risk-reward setup:
Support at $2,100: This level has shown strong buying interest, making it a potential base for a long position.
Risk Management: Set a tight stop-loss slightly below support, around $2,050–$2,000, to minimize downside risk.
Upside Potential: If the support holds, ETH could bounce towards higher resistance levels, offering a solid reward compared to the risk.
Key factors to monitor: overall market sentiment, BTC correlation, and ETH-specific news (network upgrades or regulations).
Sept 8, weeks overview. BTC brakes important support. Overview:
U.S. futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! and CME_MINI:NQ1! ) performed well during late Sunday hours, signaling a potential green candle for stocks and alternative assets. However, COINBASE:BTCUSD closed the past week with a red candle, failing to hold the critical $55.9k level. A new trading range has emerged between $52.2k and $55.9k.
Over the weekend, no significant news impacted the markets, allowing crypto to recover by 5%. As predicted in our previous letter: "Short-term rebound during the weekend, followed by a continued drop next week." The upper boundary remains at $55.9k.
W: The week closed lower than any other week this bull cycle. Bearish.
D: Formed a MACD bullish divergence. Bullish.
4h: Trading above the BB MA. Can BTC hold the $54.88k level and avoid a bull trap?
1h: Range trading.
Alts relative to BTC: No significant divergence.
Bull case: The $ 54k price level could be the bottom. Since it hasn’t been pierced, we may see consolidation here for a while.
Bear case: $ 43.8k is the next target, which has stronger support than $52.2k.
Fear and Greed Index: 40.56 – an increase from our previous post, which recorded a very low index of 25.88.
Prediction: Short-term price action is uncertain.
Will USDT Dominance Surge or Sink in September?I anticipate that USDT dominance will stay relatively strong, with price action likely remaining in the upper part of the wedge for most of September, a month that could be quite volatile. I expect a breakout from the wedge in October, indicating a decrease in USDT dominance and a rally for strong crypto assets. Given the potential volatility in September, having additional capital to buy dips could prove advantageous.
What does the future hold for Crypto Mining?I have chosen RIOT as the chart, but I am looking at MARA and also BITF. But as a whole, looking at the WGMI (Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF), BTC mining companies as a whole is taking a hit. Crypto itself is taking a huge hit and of course, this affects Crypto Mining. It did seem that Crypto was going to push higher as the expectations for the BTC ETF release was going to be the first part of pushing BTC to the "moon" and with the BTC halving, money would just start stacking for holders. But that didn't happen. There is a decent amount of geo political turmoil going on. Governments selling BTC. SEC doing what it can to get Crypto labeled as securities in order to bring the coins to its realm of oversight. The Yen carry trade unwinding. The potential of a recession.
But there is the other side, where there is good news going on for BTC. The possibility of BTC becoming a reserve asset. The upcoming elections, with a a lot of fingers pointing at former President Donald Trump being very pro Crypto. But even if Kamala Harris (pointed in ALTCOIN daily), says that she is in support of crypto, then that will be a good push for Crypto to move higher. There is also the FED reducing rates towards the end of September; with the recent NFP coming out lower than expected and pushing the chances for a reduction in rates for 50 basis points to 50%.
So if the self fulling prophecy for BTC hitting $100k - $150k do come true, then Crypto Miners are going to be cooking. Projects are already underway and the Crypto Market has been very resilent. There are those that thought Crypto was going to collapse during the silk road incident. Then after the cash in 2017 when BTC hit $20k. Then the Terra Luna incident. FTX collapse. Mt. Gox incident. And many others. Yet Crypto is still here.
The main issue I think is where all the money is pilling into, and during 2017, crypto was starting to hit the mainstream and a lot of coverage was on it. Institutions finally starting trading BTC and others, as well a lot of retail traders and investors were pilling in. In 2021, people were staying home, receiving check after check of stimulus, wondering were to put it. Then when things started opening up, businesses were offering sign up bonuses. Afterwards, during both these events, once Crypto hit a certain lvl, a ton of people cashed out and instantly became very rich. This money flowed into other products, such as wants and/or other ventures/markets. Now money is flowing into different meme coins, AI, FAANG-M stocks, among other things.
If BTC is able to push higher and hit the around $120k, then MARA, holding around 13,677 BTC will be worth around $1.65 billion, RIOT with a holding of around 7,250, will be around $870 million, and BITF, with holdings of around $1,016, would be around $121 million (which RIOT is attempting a takeover of BITF, offering a buyout of BITF, which BITF did not accept. If this does happen, RIOT would become a very strong competitor to MARA, pushing its exahash production from 12.6 to 19.6. MARA has an exahash of 29.9).
For the price targets, if things go accordingly, MARA will likely be able to break out of the $20 resistance, avoiding the completion of the inverse cup and handle pattern. If this pattern forms, price will likely keep pushing lower, potentially to around the $8 lvl (at least breaking the $10). For RIOT and BITF, they have the same pattern as MARA, and WGMI price is in a monthly rising channel, so there is a strong possibility that price will drop, but if things go accordingly, then prices on these companies will also avoid the acceptance of the inverse cup and handle pattern. The psychological lvls for these two companies are $10 and $2, which could be hit depending on how things go these next few months.
I am in a position on RIOT and a few on BITF, my positions are at a small loss, but I am selling covered calls and cash secured puts to offset the loss, which, when factored in, puts me at a net positive. Additionally, I am participating in the stock lending program, which is further offsetting my losses. I am on the side that price will push higher and I am willing to see it through.
Protect your inventory (your capital), and have some great trading out there.
SUI - Bullish times ahead?
SUI has been seeing very bullish action as of late. On the very long timeframe SUI has formed a possible double bottom with an almost full retrace of the last wave up. Creating a possible Low, Higher High and Higher Low structure on a macro-level (see pic1).
When we zoom into the current view, we are holding the range after forming the first higher high on the daily timeframe in weeks. Right now, we are consolidating and probably creating a W-structure with a first broad target between 1.20-1.40$ after price successfully breaks the 1.12$ price (see pic2).
Finally, SUI’s price is also moving within a downward parallel channel after a major pump, meaning this can be considered a Bull Flag (Bullish) (see pic3).
P.S. This is my first post to try things out, sorry if it is still a bit rough around the edges.
Zeddit
Will they allowed to go higher?It's unlikely that governments would intentionally allow altcoins to devalue central tradefi. There are a few scenarios where altcoins could potentially challenge the dominance of fiat currencies:
Cryptocurrency adoption : Widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies could lead to a shift in the global monetary system, potentially reducing the importance of fiat currencies.
Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) : Some central banks are exploring the development of their own digital currencies, which could potentially coexist with altcoins and reduce the influence of traditional currencies.
Decentralized finance (DeFi) : The growth of DeFi platforms, which offer lending, borrowing, and other financial services using cryptocurrencies, could potentially disrupt traditional financial systems and challenge the role of fiat currencies.
So. will they 'really' allow it?
$POLYX Weekly Entry Plan & Technical Analysis Checkout 1DAY TF Entry plan :
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$POLYX has good support at 0.17, if this support breaks it will go dip more!
Next Weekly strong support at $0.14 & $0.081
For Long term investment you can DCA at weekly support & Target : $0.28-0.42-0.56
Weekly TA :
- Trend & S/R
- Liquidity below weekly Lows
- Elliot 5th Wave
- Double Bottom
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Thanks
@cnb006
$POLYX Entry Plan & 1DAY TF Technical Analysis $POLYX short/mid term trade entry : $0.201 & $0.171
Target : $0.259-0.329-0.409
Must use Stoploss at $0.1391 & follow proper risk management!
$POLYX 1Day chart is showing some bullish structures, Like :
- Inverse HnS
- PO3
- S/R
- OB
- Gartley, 3Drive patterns
Please hit the LIKE button to support my work and share your thoughts in the comment section.
Thanks
@cnb006