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Crypto Alpha Report - January 08, 2025Happy Wednesday, friends! Today, I want to discuss the discipline necessary to consistently succeed in this market. It’s Wednesday morning, and I’ve been up since 5 am. I’ve worked out, showered, breakfasted, cared for my kid, and am already about an hour into my work day. I have a clear idea of what capital rotations I will make and what trades I’m considering putting on, and I’ve consumed my morning data. I don’t tell you this to toot my own horn. I’m showing you an example of what efficiency looks like, of what discipline looks like. Many mornings, I just want to stay in bed, not hit the weights, not hit the charts, and not read another newsletter. I don’t get out of bed because I want to but because I’ve made it a moral imperative. That was the trick to re-wiring my brain. Focus less on being “disciplined” and instead, make self-improvement and being consistent a moral issue for myself. That seemed to do the trick for me, as I have had a long history of battling depression and apathy. There’s no such thing as overnight success (at least long-lasting). Consistent results come from consistent inputs. You have to put in the work to be successful. I don’t find a trade every day, hell, most days. But the fact that I put in the time in front of my computer every day means that when an opportunity does come in front of me, I’m prepared to act on it with conviction. We’ll talk about conviction in tomorrow’s newsletter, but for today, let’s stick to discipline. To be a successful trader, you must put in the time every day. In the beginning stages, it will be about learning and backtesting. You need to carve out at least 1-2 hours per day to do it. You will have to sacrifice other things you want to do. But if you want this, you must make time to become good at it. That will only come with consistently putting in the time. If you want to start playing guitar, you won’t be so great in the beginning. But one hour of practice a day and after a few months, you won’t be so terrible. After two years, you’ll be jamming and the center of joy for the campsite (assuming your singing voice isn’t awful). It’s the same with trading and investing. Whether you want to full portfolio high conviction plays 1-2 times per year or risk 2% taking 2-3 trades per week, whatever your strategy or edge is, the market will not reward you if you don’t put the time in. Make this the year of buckling down, concentrating your efforts, and making this a serious occupation, not just a moonshot hobby. Onwards and upwards, friends! Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance A continued movement up from this metric, +1.45% today. Daily momentum is still turned to the upside; however, we remain on a bearish trend with negative momentum—resistance at 5.96% of MC. This is a potential early warning sign of lengthier consolidation, but we’re currently just oscillating around the current Point of Control and the previous local high. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance After three days of advance, this metric puts in a Doji indecision candle. Since we saw stablecoin dominance increasing, capital is rotating into altcoins. This is a good early sign of altcoin recovery moving forward. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin This metric is down -0.83% today, conflicting slightly with our previous metric. Potentially putting in a Hammer Reversal Candle, indicating buyers are beginning to step back into altcoins on this dip. Bitcoin Bitcoin continued to sell off throughout the night and early morning. However, buyers have stepped in and front-run support at $93,000. I do not expect Bitcoin to break down from our current trading range of $92,000 - $103,000 until January’s catalysts are out of the way. Trends 5M: Bearish 30M: Bearish 1H: Bearish 4H: Bullish D: Bullish W: Bullish While Bitcoin remains in a bearish short-term trend, Bullish Divergence is printing on the 30M and 1H timeframe, with 4H Volatility, maxed out and nearly oversold. Bitcoin is also now trading above daily VWAP, with a prolonged period of consolidation from $94-$95,000. Expecting either a recovery move upwards, however, it is still likely to re-test the range lows again. Key Levels POC: $93,637 VWAP: $95,768 Value Area High: $96,540 - $97,282 Value Area Low: $94,253 - $94,995 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $96,313 - $97,198 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $93,258 - $94,126 Bitcoin is showing substantial bullish divergence in both the 30M and 1H timeframes and some buying strength. There is potential for some recovery today. However, I still expect us to test range lows before making another push for $100,000 or even a bigger breakout, depending on January’s catalysts. Strategy: 6/10 Conviction that we push up today. I wouldn’t structure a trade here with tight invalidation. Indeed, I think it’s likely we will test $91,000 - $92,000 before pushing back up significantly like we saw moving into Monday morning. Bitcoin is in a consolidation pattern, trading in a wedge formation, and it will likely be later in January that we get a resolution. I expect buyers to keep price above $90,000 until Trump’s inauguration; there’s just too much potential juice left in the market. I would focus on building a swing position to the upside over the next couple of days.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
DOGE ANALYSIS🔮 #DOGE Analysis 🌟🚀 #DOGE is trading in an Ascending Triangle Pattern and here we can see that #DOGE testing the ascending trendline. Also there is an instant major support zone. We can see a pullback from its major support zone. 🔖 Current Price: $0.34820 ⏳ Target Price:   $0.41960 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀 #DOGE  #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
TOTAL3 ChartHey, This is really a text book chart, together with many others in the crypto atm.. A lot of fear and greed is currently in the market, you see that in the PA. But that is old news, cuz I shared that a long time ago already. For me more upside from this zone is very likely, if it fails... I have to go back to the drawing board and see what is the next area of weekly or monthly demand to time when and where price is likely to move towards. Have a good one, more charts soon. Make sure you follow us :) Kind regards, Max Nieveld
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by newcapitalfx
2
TON - Time to long ASAPIf you’re looking for a potential entry point, the current setup presents a compelling case to heavily long. Let’s break down the technical and fundamental factors that suggest an upward reversal could be imminent: Fundamentally Strong Asset The foundation of any trade starts with the fundamentals. This asset has strong underlying value, making it more likely to recover after recent volatility. It’s crucial to align technical indicators with the strength of the asset’s intrinsic value. Significant Drop Within 3 Days A sharp decline over the last three days indicates potential overselling. Rapid price drops often bring assets into undervalued territory, creating an opportunity for a strong bounce, especially when combined with key support levels. Triple-Tested Support Line The price has tested the same support level three times, which strengthens the credibility of this level as a firm floor. Repeated tests without a breakdown often signal a potential reversal, as sellers struggle to push the price lower. Outside Bollinger Bands The current price is trading outside the lower Bollinger Band, a classic sign that the asset is oversold. This indicates that bearish momentum could be exhausting, and a mean reversion back to the center of the bands is likely. Below All Moving Averages (MAs) The price is sitting below all major Moving Averages (e.g., 50 MA, 100 MA, 200 MA). While this may seem bearish at first, it also shows the asset is in an extreme position, making it ripe for a snapback rally when momentum shifts. MACD and RSI Signaling a Turnaround Both MACD and RSI are signaling potential bullish momentum: MACD: Shows signs of convergence or a potential crossover, often a precursor to upward momentum. RSI: In oversold territory, suggesting the asset is undervalued and due for a recovery. Too many factors are saying that we should be bullish. Time term > could be short and long depending on your needs. You can enter as investor into TON ecosystem too, so in case bad trade you can just DCA. Target > to get 100% Entered with Binance x25 leverage Margin 30$ Total size 770$ Risk: Medium in case you are ready to make DCA
BINANCE:TONUSDLong
by themr-im
2
Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 3,314.10 1st Support: 3,213.30 1st Resistance: 3,501.74 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
TRX/USDT - Breakout PatternThe TRX/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.2762 2nd Support – 0.2804 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
ANDY on eth will MELT faces!Andy price prediction in the short term for 2025. The charts show it all. There are other andy tokens created but it seems like andy coin on erc is the one the market has chosen as a PEPE beta. I have a high conviction that this will melt faces. My price predictions listed are conservative and most likely will go a whole lot higher into multi billions. Don't fade. You can see here based on the data thats being shown that we are entering into our retracement levels and based on the last move that broke the highs. We can take the length of that move from our imbalance area marked and see that it moves it into the fib extension levels. These are high probabilities for it to hit that area.
Long
by Prince_Ganger
Crypto Alpha Report - January 7Happy Tuesday, friends! With the current AI Agent narrative likely leaving your heads spin as you scramble to deploy capital, let’s reflect on how to truly make money consistently in this market, regardless of what the meta is. Well, what’s the secret? Scrolling X all day and night? Buying whatever your favorite influencer shills? Listening to every Bankless podcast to keep up on the current alpha? While all of those things can sometimes get you into profitable positions, if you can’t define your strategy to me within 60 seconds, you are unlikely to achieve long-term success in this market. Countless cryptocurrencies will go up and come down. You do not, nor does anyone, have the capacity to be involved in every successful project. You only have so much time in the day. You must narrow your focus. You must narrow your entry and exit conditions. You need, in short, an actual strategy. Trading without a strategy is riding turbulent waves of emotions: utter joy when your portfolio goes up, utter terror and uncertainty when it goes down. Inevitably, you will make emotional, impulsive decisions on whether to buy or sell, often determined by others’ “alpha.” There is no single successful trader out there who outsources their decision like this. Every successful trader I’ve met and interviewed can define their strategy within 60 seconds. That doesn’t mean the strategy has to be simple, but it has to be definable and actionable. Example: “I monitor high-volume projects fitting the current meta-narrative. I then wait for a bullish MA cross on the 1H timeframe and go in with x profit target and x stop loss. My win rate is X. My average win per win is X. My average loss per loss is X.” There could have been a few more sentences to describe the entry and exit conditions; some traders don’t use hard stops or profit targets and instead rely on alerts or technical signals. There’s nothing wrong with this. But your strategy needs to, in essence, be quantifiable like this. Otherwise, you’re just randomly buying and selling. Your strategy is luck. Unfortunately, this market does not reward those who depend on luck; it rewards those who put in the hard work. If you know you’re just relying on luck, I challenge you. Spend one week trading a simple strategy. It can be on Bitcoin, on any timeframe, or Solana meme coins. I don’t care. Just sit down and define a strategy. If you can’t be bothered, I’ll supply you with one. 1H Timeframe: Bullish EMA Cross - 21/55. Your buy condition is active when the 21 EMA crosses over the 55 EMA. That’s your overall “we can buy” signal. Entry Signal: 5-Minute Timeframe: Buy when the 5-minute RSI is oversold (below 30%). Exit Signal: 5-Minute Timeframe: Buy when the 5-minute RSI is overbought (above 70%). Sell at a loss if the One-Hour 21 EMA crosses below the 55 EMA. It is a simple technical strategy that works very well in bull markets. I’m not promising you’ll make money, but you have a good chance to. But I want you to focus on your mental and emotional state over the week of this challenge. You will notice how in control you feel and how calculating you become. You will no longer be gripped by anxiety or a feeling of missing out. You will simply be waiting for your opportunities. Ultimately, you can reflect on what went well, what went wrong, and how you could improve. This is the mindset I want you to carry forward because once you start trading with a strategy, you’re unlikely to look back. Onwards and upwards, friends! Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance There is a sizeable move up in this metric today, +4.80%. Daily Momentum returned to the upside after our momentum oscillator neared -2.00% conditions. This metric is still in a downtrend, and we need to see a significant market pivot to reverse that trend. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance A movement up of 0.35%, so we know this movement is dominated mainly by the significant increase in Stablecoin Dominance. In other words, there is a big glut of profit taking on Bitcoin. It's still in a bearish trend. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin Altcoins are also taking a slight hit today, as this metric is down by -0.55%. Still in a bullish trend, so I still expect altcoins to perform favorably. Bitcoin Bitcoin is experiencing a lot of profit-taking today, as traders capitalize on the ‘Bull Trap’ zone above $100,000. Trends 5M: Bearish 30M: Neutral 1H: Bullish 4H: Bullish D: Bullish W: Bullish Significant selling pressure has caused Bitcoin to lose its lower timeframe bullish trends. Although the selling today was quite dramatic, there’s not too much concern for alarm technically. Daily and Weekly bullish trends remain intact, with trend support from $92,000 - $94,000. The 4H chart suggests ranging price action, oscillating around the 4H 200 SMA. A higher low above $94,000 would confirm a local bottom and a second push above $100,000 - likely beginning to form a bottom within the next few days. Key Levels POC: $93,637 VWAP: $99,514 Value Area High: $101,524 - $103,455 Value Area Low: $95,570 - $97,500 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $100,400 - $101,120 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $95,499 - $95,770 The bottom shelf of the Liquidity Zone Bitcoin currently trades in terminates at $96,331. There is a void in liquidity slightly below that at $95,900. The first group of buyers have stepped in on Bitcoin between $97-$98K. Strategy: Significant liquidity was just tapped, as stops below $97,500 support just got taken out. There is potential to see a short-term bounce to $99,000; however, that’s a much higher risk. Catching falling knives is dangerous, particularly with Bitcoin. Big picture: a higher low above $94,000 is necessary for continued price appreciation throughout the next week in January. This is a bit early cycle-wise to expect a reversal in Bitcoin’s price; we currently estimate that early January should be bullish for Bitcoin - however, rules exist to be broken. Regardless, our first limit fill at $97,000 was just filled, and we have an additional order at $96,000. Our target for BTC in January is $105-108,000.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
KMNO Long OpportunityMarket Context: Following its mid-2024 launch and a 500% rally to ATH, KMNO is undergoing a retracement. The current bounce zone aligns with: 61.80% Fibonacci retracement 200-day EMA A flipped resistance line now acting as support. These confluences suggest a potential opportunity for a continuation to the upside. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $0.11 – $0.098 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $0.20 TP2: $0.35 TP3: $0.40 Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.085 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with significant upside potential from this technical support zone. 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
RUNE Long Opportunity Market Context: RUNE is showing signs of strength after consolidating near support and reclaiming the 200-day EMA, with a higher low further reinforcing the bullish structure. Holding above key trendlines, the setup indicates a potential continuation to the upside. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $4.30 – $4.70 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $6 TP2: $8 TP3: $13 Stop Loss: Daily close below $4 This setup offers an opportunity to position for a potential breakout while managing risk effectively. 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
Ethereum INVERSED H&S pattern ! Must watch !Hello holders and traders, as you have seen from my previous calls we have had some nice bullish time with BTC hitting an 100K plus ATH. What will happen now? let me tell you :). Trump is taking office soon at 20th January. Until then the price will somewhat correct here and there have some bullish and bearish action. This is to make weak hands lose faith and sell before we can gain more upward momentum. It was the year 2021 when I had the exact same analysis when the price of crypto had a sharp correction, A lot of people were mentally abused by all the price fluctuations. my go to plan in these kind of cases is , ZOOM OUT. Yes we may go to 90k with BTC in this case ETH could touch 3k, but all the pain will be ending soon. Market makers are smart, they know how to make the average investor nervous with sudden declines in price. As you guys can see from my profile TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 chart history is repeating itself. Don't get shaken out, Be like the rich, Michael Saylor, KULR, and many more buy billions, what are your scared of? ;)
Long
by BlackSeaFish61
#Monero $XMRUSD One Year AnalysisCRYPTO:XMRUSD Keylevels / Range $120: Lowest trend price. If the price closes below this level, it would signal a bearish trend. $163: Lowest range price. A close below this level would unlock a new lower zone extending down to $120. $203: Current price. $233: Upper limit of the current channel/wedge. $370: Long-term target. Analysis: Monero has been trading within a range of $183 to $206 for the past two weeks. The price has closed above $197 for the first time since May 2022. This move potentially unlocks a new range, reaching at least $233, where the upper limit of the current channel/wedge and a monthly/weekly supply zone are located. A weekly close above $237 would strongly indicate the unlocking of a new charted zone extending from $237 to $370. Coin Bio: Monero (XMR), is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency launched in April 2014. It was originally forked from the Bytecoin blockchain. Unlike many other cryptocurrencies, Monero's primary focus is on ensuring the anonymity and untraceability of transactions. Key features include: Ring Signatures: Obfuscate the sender's identity. Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT): Hide the transaction amount. Stealth Addresses: Create unique, one-time addresses for each transaction, obscuring the receiver's identity. These features make Monero attractive to individuals seeking financial privacy and are a core differentiator in the cryptocurrency space. It's developed by an anonymous community of developers and has gained significant traction for its commitment to private and fungible transactions. While its focus on privacy can be controversial, it remains a prominent cryptocurrency with a dedicated user base. XRMUSD specifically refers to the trading pair of Monero against the US Dollar. #CRYPTO #MONERO #XMRUSD #XMR #CRYPTOCURRENCY #AHMEDMESBAH
CRYPTO:XMRUSD
by AhmedMesbah
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid? This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time. Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions: 1.Company: What does the business do? 2.Economics: How does it generate revenue? 3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides? 4.Risks: What challenges could it face? 5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal? 6.Valuation: Is the price justified? 1.What’s the Business? - Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need? - Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings. - Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history. 2.How Do They Make Money? - Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky. - Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from? - Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends. 3.What Could Go Right? - Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy? -Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches. -Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership. 4. What Could Go Wrong? -Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations? -Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks. - Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble. 5.What Do the Numbers Say? - Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements. - Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability. - Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential. 6.Is the Price Right? - Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards. -Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists. -Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value. By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation. What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by moonypto
ACT/USDT Descending Channel Breakout The chart highlights a bullish Descending Channel pattern, signaling a potential upward breakout. The price is consolidating near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong momentum buildup. A 4-hour candle close above the trendline would confirm the breakout, triggering a potential rally. Key Observations A well-defined descending channel indicates a bullish reversal setup. The current price near $0.43 is poised for a breakout with strong momentum. Target for the move lies at $0.60, aligning with prior resistance levels. Strategic Implications Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline for long entries. A retest near the $0.40 support zone could offer a favorable risk-reward entry. Utilize proper stop-loss levels to mitigate risks and avoid false breakouts.
Long
by wsaetos