IMX in short term!BINANCE:IMXUSDT
It's ranging in a Broadening wedge pattern so the price should stay in it for now!
It might retest the bottom of it before ascending further!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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Cryptomarket
TradeCityPro | Deep Search In-Depth Of The Open Network👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I will perform a Deep Search on the TON token. In this category of analysis (Deep Search), projects are fully reviewed.
🔍 TON is an advanced, multi-purpose blockchain network designed to provide a fast, secure, and scalable system capable of processing millions of transactions per second.
💵 The project includes various components such as a multi-layer blockchain, distributed storage, a proxy layer for anonymity, and a payment network.
📝 TON functions as a multi-blockchain platform with features like Turing-complete smart contracts, dynamic sharding, and a "fast routing" mechanism for inter-blockchain messaging.
📚 Additionally, the network supports decentralized DNS services and rapid payment channels.This project falls under the Blockchain and Distributed Technologies category, encompassing subcategories such as Smart Contracts, Decentralized Storage, and Payment Services.
✨ The Open Network (TON) distinguishes itself within the blockchain ecosystem through several unique features:
1️⃣ Integration with Telegram:
Originally developed by Telegram, TON seamlessly integrates with the messaging platform, granting its vast user base direct access to blockchain services.
FLAGSHIP
2️⃣Advanced Sharding and Scalability:
TON employs dynamic sharding, allowing the blockchain to automatically split and merge to accommodate varying loads, ensuring efficient processing even during high demand.
WIKIPEDIA
3️⃣ Comprehensive Ecosystem Services: Beyond standard blockchain functionalities, TON offers services like TON Storage for decentralized file storage, TON DNS for human-readable addresses, and TON Payments for swift off-chain value transfers, enhancing its versatility compared to other platforms.
WIKIPEDIA
4️⃣High Transaction Throughput:
With its multi-layered architecture and Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, TON can process millions of transactions per second, surpassing many existing blockchains in terms of speed and efficiency.
💰Total Raised: $ 58.00M
🎯 TON's Roadmap:
◾️2018:
▪️Telegram, led by Pavel Durov, decided to design a Layer 1 blockchain capable of supporting its vast user base.The project was launched under the name Telegram Open Network (TON).Telegram raised $1.7 billion in one of the largest ICOs in history.
◾️2019:
▪️Testnets and Design DocumentsThe first testnet of TON was launched in Spring 2019.In November 2019, the second testnet, named testnet2, went live.Key project documentation, including the blockchain’s design and mechanisms, was published.
◾️2020-2021:
▪️Transition and Community RevivalIn 2020, Telegram ceased the project due to SEC lawsuits and paid a $18.5 million fine.The NewTON team, an open-source developer group, took over the project and rebranded it as TON Foundation.In 2021, testnet2 was renamed mainnet and became a stable blockchain.
◾️2022:
TON DNS: Introduced a decentralized domain name system.TON Payments: Launched a fast and scalable payment network.TON Proxy: Privacy tools for user transactions.
◾️2023:
▪️Integration with Telegram: TON Wallet became directly accessible in Telegram Messenger.TON Space Wallet Pay: Enabled payments via wallets in Telegram.Transaction Record: TON achieved over 100,000 transactions per second in its first performance test.
◾️2024:
▪️Consolidation and ExpansionDevelopment of decentralized staking and governance tools.Optimization of deflationary mechanisms to reduce token inflation.Introduction of lockup and vesting tools for developers.
◾️2025: " Current Phase "
▪️Stablecoin Toolkit: Adding support for stablecoins within the network.Jetton Bridge: Enabling token transfers between TON and other blockchains.Validator and Collator Separation: Enhancing network efficiency.Sharding Tools: For better chain management.Slashing Optimization: Improved penalty mechanisms for underperforming validators.
👥 Team :
▪️Pavel Durov: Founder of Telegram and the Russian social network VK.
▪️Nikolai Durov: Brother of Pavel Durov and a lead developer in both Telegram and TON projects.
▪️Steve Yun: President of the Foundation Council at TON Foundation.
▪️Barbara Schüpbach: Member of the Foundation Council at TON Foundation.
▪️Manuel Stotz: Member of the Foundation Council at TON Foundation and founder of Kingsway Capital.
▪️Bill Qian: Chairman of Cypher Capital and member of the TON Foundation board.
▪️Tal Kol: Co-founder of Orbs and Hexa, and recognized as a TON ambassador.
▪️Oleg Andreev: Co-founder of Tonkeeper and core developer of the TON blockchain, also serving as a TON ambassador.
📊On-chain Data:
▪️From an on-chain resistance and support perspective, the price range of $5.6 to $5.74 contains a significant volume of coins at a loss, making it a potential major resistance zone. Conversely, the range of $5.42 to $5.25 holds approximately 100 million TON tokens in profit, which could serve as solid support. However, the higher volume of coins at a loss suggests a relatively moderate risk.
▪️Regarding large transactions, there has been a noticeable spike coinciding with the price drop, likely reflecting whale activity. Despite reduced network activity, partly due to the Christmas holidays, there have been substantial inflows into the wallets of major holders. Additionally, the balances of large addresses have increased, which could have a positive mid-term impact. Notably, approximately 66% of TON tokens are held by whales, further emphasizing their influence on the network.
📌 TVL:
▪️In terms of TVL (Total Value Locked), the long-term downward trend continues, with this decline intensifying particularly in December. However, from late December, specifically on the 26th, there was a notable increase of approximately 4 million TON
👝Some wallets that support TON :
▪️Tonkeeper
▪️Tonhub
▪️TON Wallet (Telegram Integrated)
▪️Trust Wallet
▪️Ledger (via Tonkeeper)
▪️MyTonWallet
▪️Atomic Wallet
▪️SafePal
💵 DEX:
▪️STON.fi v2
▪️DeDust
▪️Uniswap v3 (Ethereum)
▪️PancakeSwap v3 (BSC)
▪️PancakeSwap v2 (BSC)
▪️THENA FUSION
▪️ Biswap v2
▪️Nomiswap
▪️SqaudAwap v2
You can use platforms like STON.fi & DeDust to provide liquidity and hipofinance & tonstakers to stake your toncoin token
🔔 The blockchains supported by TON for interoperability and integration include:
▪️Ethereum
▪️BNB Smart Chain
▪️Bitcoin
▪️Solana
▪️Polygon
▪️Avalanche
⛏️ How to Set Up a Full Node on the TON Network:
▪️Setting up a node on the TON network requires familiarity with Linux systems and software configurations. Below is a simplified guide to help you get started.
👁🗨Prerequisites:
📌Hardware Requirements:
▪️CPU: Minimum 16 cores.
▪️RAM: Minimum 128 GB.
▪️Storage: 1 TB NVMe SSD (preferably with 64K+ IOPS).
▪️Internet: 1 Gbit/s bandwidth with a fixed IP and 16 TB monthly traffic.
🖥 Recommended Operating Systems:
▪️Ubuntu 20.04 or 22.04
▪️Debian 11
💻Necessary Software:
▪️Required libraries and compilers for TON.
▪️MyTonCtrl tool for node management.
💡Simpler Alternative
▪️Using NOWNodes: If you prefer a hassle-free setup, you can use the NOWNodes service.
1️⃣ Sign up and get an API key.
2️⃣ Use this key to connect to the node via API.
🔔No need for manual node management.
▪️This chart indicates that trading volume has significantly declined since the beginning of December 2024, dropping from approximately $49.8 million to $14.06 million. This represents a substantial decrease in trading activity.
▪️With the start of 2025, there are signs of recovery, and trading volume has rebounded to $13.5 million, showing relative improvement compared to the end of December. These changes could indicate shifts in user confidence or market conditions.
🔑Key Points:
1️⃣ Sharp Decline in December:
This drop might have occurred due to holiday effects or decreased market confidence.
2️⃣ Recovery in Early 2025:
The increase in trading volume may be attributed to traders returning to the market at the start of the new year.
3️⃣Overall Pattern:
Significant fluctuations in trading volume during the final months of 2024 highlight notable changes in user behavior and market dynamics.
💵 TON presale:
▪️Token Price: 1 TON = $0.5
▪️Minimum Purchase: 0.02 TON
▪️Maximum Purchase: 5,000,000 TON
▪️Platform: Ethereum (ETH)
🗓 Presale Dates: Started on August 7, 2018, and ended on March 3, 2019
● Presale 15.00%
● Token mainsale 30.00%
● User acquisition 15.00%
● Exchange listings 15.00%
● Team 10.00%
● ACT Foundation contributors 5.00%
● dExperts
🖇Popular Tokens on the TON Blockchain
1️⃣ Toncoin (TON)
▪️Price: $5.73
▪️24h Trading Volume: $197,810,118
▪️Weekly Growth: 3.9%
▪️Market Cap: $14,525,127,671
2️⃣ Notcoin (NOT)
▪️Price: $0.006768
▪️24h Trading Volume: $80,489,304
▪️Weekly Growth: 10.0%
▪️Market Cap: $692,498,083
3️⃣ Dogs (DOGS)
▪️Price: $0.0005621
▪️24h Trading Volume: $29,306,279
▪️Weekly Growth: 10.3%
▪️Market Cap: $290,189,623
4️⃣ Hamster Kombat (HMSTR)
▪️Price: $0.003342
▪️24h Trading Volume: $19,115,054
▪️Weekly Growth: 14.0%
▪️Market Cap: $214,964,346
5️⃣ GoMining Token (GOMINING)
▪️Price: $0.4956
▪️24h Trading Volume: $11,901,223
▪️Weekly Growth: 3.1%
▪️Market Cap: $204,983,516
6️⃣ WATCoin (WATC)
▪️Price: $0.001587
▪️24h Trading Volume: $23,901.32
▪️Weekly Growth: 6.3%
▪️Market Cap: $79,466,205
7️⃣ Catizen (CATI)
▪️Price: $0.3839
▪️24h Trading Volume: $22,506,372
▪️Weekly Growth: 6.4%
▪️Market Cap: $78,969,044
8️⃣ Bitget Wallet Token (BWB)
▪️Price: $0.5168
▪️24h Trading Volume: $4,467.86
▪️Weekly Growth: 9.0%
▪️Market Cap: $73,821,308
🪙 Tokenomics and Unlock overview:
▪️Total Supply: 5 billion TON.
▪️Initial Allocation: Team: 72.5 million TON (1.45%).
▪️Pre-mined: 4.9275 billion TON (98.55%).
Locked Tokens:
▪️Believers Fund: About 1.317 billion TON locked for five years (two-year cliff, three-year linear release).
🔓Unlocking:
▪️begins in October 2025, with 37 million TON added monthly over 36 months. Approximately 2.4 billion TON temporarily removed from circulating supply through locking mechanisms.
📣 Conclusion
▪️Overall, in terms of on-chain data, fundamentals, and rankings on various platforms such as CertiK, TON has received good scores. Recently, Telegram announced achieving profitability for the first time, with its revenue surpassing $1 billion in 2024. This success was driven by innovative strategies like in-app advertising, premium subscriptions, and new features, along with premium subscribers exceeding 12 million. This milestone could be an indicator of potential growth for TON. Therefore, in the medium term, if macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, TON could experience significant growth
✨ Now,lets dive into technical analysis
📅 Weekly Timeframe: Reaccumulation Box?
In the weekly timeframe, we observe an upward trend that is currently in correction mode. Additionally, the price has formed a curved upward trendline, and it is currently near this level.
🔍 The price correction started from the $7.98 resistance and has continued to $4.778, which overlaps with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If this support zone, which has reacted twice so far, is broken, the next supports will be at the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. If the market sees more correction and declines, the next support will be at $2.491.
🧩 If the RSI falls below 41.89, the likelihood of a corrective scenario increases significantly. Volume plays a significant role in this move, and the selling volume in the market must exceed the buying volume.
🛒 For spot buying, the best trigger is breaking the $7.98 resistance. Additionally, a reaction to the curved trendline or $4.778 could provide a good buy trigger depending on your strategy. Breaking 62.42 on RSI is also very important and could bring significant momentum into the market.
🚀 To determine new targets, I drew a Fibonacci extension for you. According to this, potential targets are at $18 and $42. However, from a market cap perspective, I believe the logical target lies in the $18-$20 range if $7.98 is broken.
📅 Daily Timeframe: More Details
In this timeframe, we see more details of the price move. Recently, volume has decreased significantly over a few candles, and the price is fluctuating between the weekly curved trendline and the $5.918 short-term resistance. Breaking either of these zones will likely determine the next LWC or even MWC.
📈 For long positions, the triggers are breaking $5.918 and $6.955, and the ATH resistance ($8.191) will also be a suitable trigger.
🔽 For short positions, the best trigger is breaking $4.616. However, this support is a very strong demand zone, and breaking it is unlikely. If it does break, the next supports will be at the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, approximately between $3.5 and $4.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
APT/USDT Key Support Level in Focus for Potential Bullish RThe chart showcases a potential breakout scenario for APT/USDT, as the price is attempting to establish $10 as a solid support level. A successful confirmation of this level on higher timeframes could pave the way for a bullish rally.
Key Observations
1. The price is consolidating around the critical $10 zone, attempting to flip it into support.
2. Confirmation of $10 as support on a higher timeframe is essential to validate upward momentum.
3. Aptos remains undervalued below $10, presenting a favorable accumulation zone.
Strategic Implications
Monitor closely for higher timeframe confirmation of the $10 support level. A sustained hold above this level may trigger an upward move, making it a strong candidate for a long position. Be cautious of false breakouts and ensure adequate risk management in case of unexpected price dips.
GOAT/USDT Elliott Wave Analysis Short-Term The chart highlights a descending channel pattern integrated with Elliott Wave analysis, indicating possible short-term price movements. Currently, the price is navigating through Wave 4 and nearing a key resistance zone.
Key Observations
The price action reflects an Elliott Wave corrective structure within a descending channel.
The ongoing Wave 4 suggests an upward move towards $0.69, a significant resistance level.
After testing this resistance, the price could retrace to $0.32, completing Wave 5.
Strategic Implications
Watch for potential rejection or breakout signals around the $0.69 resistance zone for short-term opportunities.
The projected dip to $0.32 could be a better area to re-enter for short-term trades.
Focus on confirmation of Wave 5 completion to reassess the trend and strategy.
Short-term traders should remain cautious and agile as the pattern unfolds.
LTC/USDT Descending Triangle Breakout with Retest OppurtunityKey Observations
1. The chart illustrates a Descending Triangle breakout, where the price has successfully moved above the descending trendline, confirming a bullish continuation.
2. The breakout has brought the price above the horizontal resistance zone at $115, which now acts as support.
3. A retest of the breakout zone ($115–$116) could provide an ideal entry opportunity for buyers.
Strategic Implications
Monitor the price action closely around the $115–$116 level for signs of a successful retest. If the support holds, it may lead to further upside, with the next target zone around $130–$140, aligning with previous highs. Use a stop-loss below $110 to manage risk effectively, as a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup. Look for volume confirmation during the retest to reinforce the strength of the breakout.
SOL - Time to Short?For traders looking to capitalize on short opportunities, it’s essential to evaluate the market using technical signals. Here are four critical indicators suggesting it might be time to consider shorting:
Weak Volumes
Volume is one of the most reliable measures of market strength. When an asset is trading on low or weakening volumes, it indicates a lack of conviction among buyers to push the price higher. This could signify a potential reversal or that upward momentum is running out of steam, providing a signal for short-sellers to take notice.
50 MA Acting as Resistance
The 50-day moving average (50 MA) is a widely followed indicator in technical analysis. When the price approaches the 50 MA from below and fails to break above it, the line acts as a resistance level, signaling a potential barrier for further upward movement.
Upper Bollinger Band Line
Bollinger Bands are used to measure market volatility and overbought/oversold conditions. When the price hits or hovers near the upper Bollinger Band, it often suggests the asset is overbought and may face downward pressure. Combined with other bearish signals, this strengthens the short bias.
50% Fibonacci Retracement Level
Fibonacci retracement levels are crucial for identifying potential reversal zones in an asset’s price movement. The 50% retracement line is a key level where many traders expect the price to encounter resistance during a correction within an overall trend. If the price struggles at this level, it’s often seen as confirmation of a bearish move.
Be Cautious!
My mantra is to never short, but this time, I’ve decided to enter the trade alongside this analysis.
I opened a position on the SOL/USDC pair with 25x leverage, a total size of $309, and a margin of $15.
However, please note that SOL is fundamentally strong and could defy all the technical indicators mentioned above.
ICP/USDT Bull Flag Breakout is Loading....The chart highlights a classic Bull Flag pattern, which signifies a potential continuation of the upward trend. At present, the price is consolidating within the confines of the flag, indicating a phase of market indecision as it builds momentum for a breakout.
Key Observations
1. The Bull Flag structure remains well-defined, with the price oscillating inside a descending channel.
2. Support is evident along the lower boundary around the $11.5 mark, offering a logical entry point for buyers.
3. A decisive breakout above the upper boundary of the flag would confirm the bullish outlook and could trigger a strong upward surge.
4. The projected target for this move lies above $14, aligning with significant resistance levels observed previously.
Strategic Implications
Patience and vigilance are crucial. Focus on identifying a breakout above the upper boundary, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume to affirm the move. In the event of a retest near the $11-$11.5 support zone, it could provide a favorable opportunity for initiating long positions. Be mindful of potential false breakouts and use risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to protect your capital.
Crypto Alpha Report - January 06Happy Monday, friends! In today’s issue, I want to cover the grind and the mindset necessary to succeed in 2025.
Love it or hate it, you are not a computer. You are a biological meat bag filled with swirling hormones, fluids, and organic components. While many of us favor philosophy, the pursuit of truth/wisdom, and self-improvement, we’re still hindered by our biology regarding stress, anxiety, motivation, and discipline.
You see, the answers don’t all live up in your mind. The answers often live inside your body. There will be days you don’t want to trade, days you don’t want to backtest, and days you don’t want to scan the markets. While being kind to ourselves is essential, it’s equally important not to let poor planning and overreliance on our “feelings” dictate our actions.
Just as it is essential to set clear profit targets and goals for our trades and investments BEFORE entering a position, it’s equally important to set a pre-planned schedule and routine for our trading and investment activities.
Too often, I would wake up early and be excited to get to the markets. I would log onto my computer and immediately consume all of my alpha newsletters, telegram & discord chats, and then start scrolling X searching for Alpha. Before I knew it, it would be the afternoon, and while I “felt” like I had done something productive for my trading account, I hadn’t done a thing but scroll social media.
Knowledge without action is pointless. It doesn’t do you a bit of good to listen to a long podcast about motivation if you don’t use that knowledge to make any fundamental changes in your life. Similar in crypto, while it’s helpful to have a baseline knowledge of the ecosystem, at the end of the day, we’re not working in the marketing department for any project or giving long lectures or TED talks about cryptocurrency evangelism. We’re here to make money.
Researching all these new projects and trading strategies isn’t helpful if it doesn’t inspire direct action. You will be much more sane AND profitable if you restrict your knowledge-gathering activities to more actionable intel.
There’s only so much time in the day, and you can’t be good at everything. It is better to niche down, focus on what you’re going to trade, and focus on the chains you’re holding positions on than to get spread too thin knowing a little bit about a lot.
Here’s to niching down for riches in 2025 friends.
Crypto Market Update
Macro
Stablecoin Dominance
A nice clean breakdown from our consolidation area and a Lower Low. Happy days for altcoin holders. Our portfolios are up nicely because of it. This metric is getting close to being oversold, so I expect a corrective move up to re-test the breakdown point of 5.75% within the next 3-5 days. Use this metric to take short-term profits on higher-risk, lower-conviction positions.
Stablecoin + Bitcoin Dominance
This metric got oversold over the weekend, and today, it is putting in a nice bounce. As we already saw that Stablecoin Dominance is down, we know this is purely capital rotation back into Bitcoin, as people are beginning to finally buy back into Bitcoin with some size and conviction and dump stables.
Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin
This metric is taking a hit today as altcoins pull back as capital rotates back into Bitcoin. This pullback will likely last a few more days, so there is an opportunity to cycle altcoin gains back into Bitcoin until this metric stabilizes. However, you can also hold your altcoin positions as this metric is still in an uptrend, and the long-term potential for overperformance is very high.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin had a beautiful day today, successfully reclaiming $100,000. We have regained bullish momentum on all timeframes and should continue to see overall price appreciation dominating throughout the week. Expect prices to pull back this weekend into early next week in anticipation of the Interest Rate print coming out on the 15th, but should that print be positive, we should rally into Trump’s inauguration.
Trends
5M: Bullish
30M: Bullish
1H: Bullish
4H: Bullish
D: Bullish
W: Bullish
Bitcoin has successfully regained its bullish trend in all timeframes. The 1H Guppies have been dominating as the pullback entry zone for this current rally. That range is currently $99,200 - $100,000. Limit bids for re-entry can be stacked there and at the 4H pullback zone of $97,200 - $98,000.
Key Levels
POC: $93,634
VWAP: $100,481
Value Area High: $102,185 - $103,823
Value Area Low: $97,139 - $98,777
Next Liquidity Zone Above: $103,550 - $104,267
Next Liquidity Zone Below: $96,522 - $98,580
Generally, following big breakouts like this, Bitcoin does not pullback very much and just continues aggressively. Nevertheless, this is a higher-risk type of entry. I recommend setting limit bids at $99,700 as I see a liquidity gap (likely a dip target). If Bitcoin keeps pushing, we should move rapidly for the next liquidity zone above.
Strategy:
While enthusiastic, discipline as a trader and following our pre-plan is essential for long-term success. We still face a potential bull trap between $100,000 - $108,000, and Bitcoin has key catalysts coming up in the form of the Interest Rate Print (15th), Trump’s Inauguration (20th), and FOMC Decision (29th).
As I originally outlined, I don’t expect the Fed to pivot on interest rate decisions until March or May, which means Bitcoin is unlikely to sustain a continued rally above the current ATH until that event occurs.
While I would love to be wrong, I expect a reversal in Bitcoin’s price somewhere around $105,000 - $108,000 unless something crazy happens following Trump’s inauguration (sighing of SBR on day one?).
Therefore, I recommend taking partial profits on Bitcoin longs opened up at or below $95,000. Move your Stop Loss to $95,000 or slightly above, and continue to hold positions.
Look for re-entries on pullbacks to the key levels identified above.
XRP/USD Long-TERM Bullish TA 2025-2035It is time to update our long-term technical analysis for XRP. The mathematical principles remain unchanged, but the time intervals have been adjusted. We present you with an updated chart for the next 10 years.
Regarding prices, we anticipate a price range of $28 to $60 during the current cycle, which is expected to conclude within the next 12 months.
Subsequently, we anticipate a correction between $3 and $5, followed by another substantial increase to $25.
After that, we enter a prolonged period of low prices for #Bitcoin, which we expect to bottom out in the range of $1 to $3 between 2027 and 2030.
These prices will serve as potential purchase opportunities prior to the commencement of the next altcoin cycle, which is projected to begin in 2032 and continue until 2035. During this cycle, Ripple is expected to attain the coveted price of $600.
Historically, XRP was launched in 2012 by Ripple Labs as part of a vision to revolutionize global payments. Its innovative consensus ledger and transaction protocol offered faster and more cost-effective cross-border transactions, setting it apart from its peers.
Over the years, XRP has forged strategic alliances with financial institutions worldwide, enhancing its credibility and adoption. Despite facing regulatory challenges, particularly with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2020, XRP has demonstrated resilience, maintaining its relevance within the crypto ecosystem.
It is imperative to recognize that this journey will be protracted and challenging, but it is worthwhile to pursue it at a steady pace.
Best regards, Earliers!
Check my other Charts to be informed!
Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Trading Psychology: Mastering Your Emotions for Success
The renowned book on trading psychology, Tradingpsychologie, aptly states: “The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses.” This succinctly encapsulates the importance of managing emotions in trading.
As a trader, you’ve likely experienced emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, and nervousness. While every trader faces these emotional challenges, successful traders understand that letting emotions dictate their decisions is a recipe for failure.
The essence of trading psychology lies in controlling your emotions to make sound investment decisions. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept of trading psychology and provide practical tips to help you trade with confidence.
What is Trading Psychology?
Trading psychology refers to a trader’s emotional and mental state, which influences their trading actions. Emotions like hope and confidence can be beneficial, but those like fear and greed must be managed. A common emotional challenge in financial markets is the fear of missing out, or FOMO.
To become a successful trader, it’s crucial to cultivate a sharp mindset, coupled with knowledge and experience. Let’s explore the key psychological factors that impact a trader’s mindset and pro-tips to manage them effectively.
Key Psychological Factors in Trading
1. Fear
Fear arises when something valuable is at risk. In trading, risks may include:
Negative news about a stock or the market
A trade going in the wrong direction
The potential loss of capital
Fear often leads traders to overreact and prematurely liquidate their holdings. A strong trading psychology means not letting fear dictate your buy/sell strategy.
What should you do?
Identify the root cause of your fear and address it in advance. Reflect on these issues so that when fear arises, you can address it logically. Focus on not letting the fear of loss hinder potential profits.
2. Greed
Greed emerges when you seek excessive profits. Remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither will your trading fortune. A winning streak can quickly turn into a disaster if greed takes over.
What should you do?
Combat greed by setting predefined profit-taking levels. Before entering a trade, establish your stop-loss and profit-booking levels to avoid impulsive decisions. A sound trading psychology involves being satisfied with reasonable profits and avoiding the pursuit of irrational gains.
3. Regret
Regret manifests in two ways:
Regretting a trade that didn’t succeed
Regretting not taking a trade that could have succeeded
Trading based on regret can lead to poor decision-making.
What should you do?
Accept that you can’t capture every market opportunity. The trading equation is simple: you win some, you lose some. Embracing this mindset will help you develop a healthier trading psychology.
4. Hope
Many traders equate trading with gambling, hoping to win all the time. When they don’t, they feel dejected.
What should you do?
To succeed, cultivate a trading psychology that doesn’t rely on hope. Don’t let hope keep you invested in a losing trade. Be practical and book losses at the right time to protect your capital.
How to Improve Your Trading Psychology
1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset
Before starting your trading day, remind yourself that markets are inherently volatile. Good days and bad days are inevitable, but the bad days will pass. Take time to build a robust trading strategy unaffected by market sentiment.
2. Build a Solid Knowledge Base
Improving your trading psychology begins with increasing your market knowledge. A strong knowledge base empowers you to overcome negative emotions and make informed decisions. Remember, knowledge is power.
3. Recognize the Reality of Real Money
It’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen represent real money. While it’s natural to take risks in hopes of generating returns, always approach trading with caution and make well-thought-out decisions.
4. Learn from Successful Traders
The stock market treats every trader differently. Observe the habits of successful traders not to replicate them, but to glean insights. Incorporating some of their strategies into your trading approach can significantly enhance your performance.
5. Practice, Practice, Practice
The most reliable way to strengthen your trading psychology is through practice. Consistent practice helps you build effective strategies and prepares you for market ups and downs.
Final Thoughts
Developing a robust trading psychology takes time and consistent effort. Continuously refine your approach to manage your emotions and improve your decision-making.
To summarize, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology:
Be disciplined.
Be flexible.
Never stop learning.
I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your charts in the comments section. Let’s grow together as traders!
Thank you for reading!
DOT 1hr with TA by GrokAI
Given the chart provided and your interest in cryptocurrency trading, here's an in-depth technical analysis (TA) of the DOT/USDT chart:
Price Action & Trend:
The price is currently near a resistance level around 7,732 USDT. This level has been tested multiple times, indicating strong resistance.
There's a visible uptrend before hitting this resistance, suggesting bullish momentum leading up to this point.
Moving Averages (MA):
The 20-period SMA (Simple Moving Average) is above the 50-period SMA, which is typically a bullish sign, indicating short-term momentum is stronger than the long-term trend.
The price has crossed below the 20-period SMA, which might suggest a potential reversal or correction phase if the resistance at 7,732 holds.
Volume:
There's a noticeable increase in volume at the resistance level, which could indicate either a strong push to break through or a rejection at this price level.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is approaching overbought territory but hasn't crossed into it yet. This suggests that while the asset is gaining strength, it's not yet at a level where a significant pullback is imminent due to overbought conditions.
Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO):
The CMO shows momentum is positive but has started to decline, which could be early signs of weakening bullish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement:
If we consider the recent uptrend from the low around 7,112 to the high at 7,732, the Fibonacci levels could be:
23.6% at around 7,270
38.2% at around 7,380
50% at around 7,422 (which is also a psychological level)
61.8% at around 7,464
These levels could act as support if the price pulls back from the current resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate support could be found around the 20-period SMA, which is currently around 7,700 and descending.
Stronger support might be around the 50-period SMA, which is lower, around 7,650.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 7,732 resistance with strong volume, it could target the next psychological level around 7,800 or higher.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break the resistance and volume decreases, we might see a correction towards the Fibonacci levels or the moving averages.
Given your interest in cryptocurrencies and previous posts about market movements, it's crucial to watch for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown. If you're looking to make a decision based on this chart:
For Long Positions: Consider waiting for a confirmed breakout above 7,732 with increased volume for a safer entry point.
For Short Positions: Look for a failure to break the resistance followed by a decrease in volume and price action confirming a move lower.
Always remember to use stop-loss orders to manage risk, especially in markets known for volatility like cryptocurrencies.
KAVA ANALYSIS🚀#KAVA Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #KAVA that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a 3d timeframe #KAVA broke out the pattern and perfectly retest the levels. Expecting a bullish move in few days
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #KAVA price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#KAVA #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
C98 Long OpportunityMarket Context:
C98 has exited its accumulation phase, initiating a retracement trend while seeking a higher low. The price is holding above the 200-day EMA, signaling strength and offering a favorable entry for a bounce toward higher highs.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.1888 – $0.1774
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $0.24
TP2: $0.30
TP3: $0.37
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.15
This setup leverages the breakout momentum and a strong support zone, aligning for a potential upward continuation. 📈
HBAR/USDT Long Setup: Bullish Breakout in Sight!$HBAR/USDT Trade Setup (Long Position):
Entry Point:
Enter near the current market price (CMP) of 0.3116 USDT.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Set the stop-loss at 0.2600 USDT to manage downside risk.
Take-Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 0.3500 USDT (short-term resistance).
TP2: 0.4000 USDT (next major resistance).
Use 3x leverage to manage risk effectively.
DYOR, NFA
Mr.Million | Long-term View on BTC, Trading Recap, KRW & SamsungI am Mr.Million🤵♂️⚡, and Welcome to my insights guys.
I'm the most winning trader in trading competitions worldwide (5 wins) and hold the record for the highest ROI at 12,300% . I've made more than enough money, so now I'm here to share my analysis with you.
⚡My Long-term View on BTC
Technically, we are near the end of Wave 1 (in white) of Intermediate Wave (3) (in blue), barring an ending diagonal that could extend Wave 1 slightly further.
Personally, I have liquidated 75-80% of all my long-term positions (including altcoins) and am holding a significant portion of my assets in cash, anticipating a possible correction down to $60-70k.
In the meantime, I may take short positions - very cautiously, though - when the wave count gives a clear signal.
⚡Why I Remain Bullish on BTC
In my earlier post, I outlined four (4) reasons why I am still bullish on BTC, even at $100k. One main reason is the continuous buying at the institutional level and the FOMO among various governments to acquire BTC as a reserve asset. With these favorable tailwinds, the current chart behavior for BTC, which may appear weak, is likely a healthy, short-term correction. I believe a potential dip down to $60-70k could be a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity, and if it does happen, I’ll be backing up the truck (and the first in line to buy heavily)!
$60 - 70k = Very Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛
⚡Trading Recap since Dec. 13, 2024
Total P&L since Dec. 13, 2024: + $263,091
For the proof of my P&L, feel free to check out my YouTube live stream from Jan. 3, 2024. (P&L verification begins at the 19:08 mark and my YouTube channel link is in my profile.)
Below is a summary of the trades I took between Dec. 18, 2024 and Jan. 2, 2025.
A short position (Dec. 18, 2024):
Reason for trading: Bearish RSI divergence on both the 4-hour and 15-minute chart.
Took half profits at ~103k and liquidated the entire position ~99k near the trend line (drawn in white) anticipating a potential ending diagonal play (which did not materialize, as the price continued to fall).
A short position (Dec. 26, 2024):
Reasons for trading:
1) ABC correction (in red) with C as an impulse (1-2-3-4-5 wave in white)
2) RSI divergence on the 30-min chart
Took half profits at ~$95.7k and exited fully ~$93.6k (as I did not expect it to reach the low of Wave (B)).
A long position (Dec 30, 2024):
Reasons for trading:
1) Failed breakout below the red horizontal line (previous support level)
2) Bullish RSI divergence on the 30-minute timeframe.
Initiated the long at ~$93k but exited almost instantly ~$92.5k - just below the low of the entry bar - with a small loss, as the price broke below the support line again (the red line) and continued to fall.
Re-entered another long ~$93.2k as the price action showed signs of strength, along with a bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart (not shown here). Took partial profits at ~$94.4k and liquidated the entire position ~$95.2k, falling short of my profit target to attend to other business.
⚡The Korean Won and Samsung Interplay
The South Korean Won is nearing 1,500 against the USD, approaching the levels last seen during the 2008 financial crisis! I do not believe Korea’s current economic and political conditions are as dire as they were in 2008, suggesting that the Korean Won (against the USD) may be due for a correction - barring any catastrophic black swan events. Over time, I expect it to revert to the mean and move toward the trendline (drawn in white) around 1,200. See also the chart above for the RSI divergence on the weekly timeframe.
When/if signs of recovery in the Korean Won begin to show , I anticipate that foreign investors will step in to capitalize on a twofold opportunity - leveraging the recovering Korean Won and the rising Korean stock market valuations. What could be their strategy? Going long on liquid, large-cap Korean stocks - most notably, Samsung. So, keep an eye on the 1,500 level in the Korean Won for a potential reversal. If this happens, consider adopting a contrarian approach and going long Samsung at around 45,000 Korean Won as a long-term investment opportunity (see chart below).
⚡OKX Competition for December 2024 results
Guys, as an official ambassador for OKX, I host trading competitions every month.
The OKX competition for December 2024 has concluded. Out of 1,457 participants, 616 ended up green for the month - that’s 42.3% of you making money trading futures, such a remarkable feat by any statistical measure! 🎉
If you're interested, check out my YouTube channel for competition details and join in to make some serious money! 💸🎯
Trade smart, aim high, and remember: risk management is your greatest ally.
Stay tuned and follow me for more game-changing insights.
Yours truly,
Mr.Million🤵♂️⚡
XRP/USDT Analysis UpdateAs expected, XRP has been transitioning from the correction phase to setting up for the next impulse move. The recent upward momentum, coupled with higher volume, confirms the correction phase may be nearing its end.
📌 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Demand Zone: The recent move has created a demand zone and left an imbalance below, which price could revisit.
2️⃣ Two Scenarios Ahead:
Scenario 1: Price consolidates in the current range before pushing higher, supported by strong volume.
Scenario 2: Price briefly dips to mitigate the demand zone and fill the imbalance, then resumes its upward trend.
🎯 Targets:
Short-Term: $3 remains the immediate target for traders.
Long-Term: Fundamentals suggest room for much higher levels in the coming weeks.
With the market positioning itself for the next impulse, this could be a prime opportunity to prepare for a breakout. Stay patient and watch the key levels closely! 🔥
JUP: A game-changerWell, fundamental assets are sometimes boring—you probably never hear that statement in crypto :) However, if we set aside some big players like Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Ton, I’m fundamentally bullish on Jupiter + Rayudium. Why? Because I am heavy user.
P.S. Pay attention that the chart doesn’t reflect great trade opportunities right now, especially with Bitcoin breaking past 100k and SPX hitting an all-time high. But if we’re just talking no BS, Jupiter / Rayudium obviously has some great features.
So, why am I bullish on JUP?
- Jupiter has a decentralized exchange, they’re building DeFi. They provide access to the best prices and opportunities to earn solid interest on deposits.
- Memecoins are booming—it’s now simple to launch them without code solutions, and this is where Jupiter’s DEX helps scale projects. Scaling means commissions for the team.
- Built on a scalable infrastructure, the DEX ensures low transaction fees and high-speed swaps, catering to both retail traders and institutional users.
And here’s the kicker—the team buys back tokens from the market, splitting a share of the commission fees they earn on the DEX.
As always, there are a lot of risks. DYOR, NFA. The risk part probably deserves a separate article because I’m already risking getting a TL;DR (too long to read and other stuff).
But again, this is a long-term play, and it’s probably better to enter at lower prices.
MORPHO/USDT Ascending Trendline Support and Long Retest Setup This 4-hour chart for MORPHO/USDT highlights a potential long setup at a critical zone. The price action shows a consistent upward trajectory, supported by an ascending trendline. The recent pullback respects a key horizontal support zone around $3.25-$3.05, aligned with previous resistance turned support.
The setup suggests entering a long position at the current retest level. The risk is managed with a stop loss below the trendline and the support zone at $2.95, ensuring protection against invalidation. The target is bigger, offering an attractive risk-reward ratio.
While the structure remains bullish, caution is advised due to market volatility and potential downside pressure if the support zone breaks. Monitoring price action near the trendline is essential.
Also always make sure to book profit on every 10% of the movement and move SL to Entry for a safe ride and keep reaping more profits without any lose
BANDUSDT Explosive 600% Profit SetupA strong long trade setup has been identified using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , with a massive 600% profit potential at 10x leverage.
Trade Details:
Entry: $1.541
Stop Loss (SL): $1.389
Targets:
TP1: $1.729
TP2: $2.033
TP3: $2.337
TP4: $2.525
Analysis:
The trade setup shows a breakout signal with clear entry and defined risk. The indicator aligns with a bullish momentum, suggesting potential to reach all target levels efficiently. This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio, making it a lucrative opportunity for traders.