Understanding Fibonacci Retracementtool fans will like this one XD
Fibonacci Retracement is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, this tool helps traders predict price pullbacks and continuation levels in trending markets.
What is Fibonacci Retracement?
Fibonacci Retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Key ratios from this sequence, such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%, are used to indicate potential price reversal or continuation zones.
How to Use Fibonacci Retracement
1.Identify a Trend:
- In an uptrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high.
- In a downtrend: Draw the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the swing low.
2. Key Levels:
-23.6%: Represents shallow pullbacks; usually seen in strong trends.
-38.2% and 50%: Common retracement levels where price often consolidates or reverses.
-61.8%: Known as the "golden ratio," a significant level for potential reversals.
-100%: Indicates a full retracement of the trend.
3. Support and Resistance Zones:
- Price may bounce or consolidate near these Fibonacci levels, acting as dynamic support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend.
How to Interpret Fibonacci Retracement Levels
-Reversal Zones:
- If the price retraces to a Fibonacci level and then resumes the trend, it confirms the level as significant.
- **Breakouts:**
- A break above or below a Fibonacci level may signal continuation in the direction of the breakout.
Strengths of Fibonacci Retracement
-Simple to Use:Visual and straightforward for identifying support and resistance levels.
-Widely Applicable:Works across various markets (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.) and timeframes.
-Combines with Other Tools:Enhances the effectiveness of indicators like RSI, MACD, and trendlines.
Limitations of Fibonacci Retracement
-Subjectivity:The placement of swing highs and lows can vary among traders, leading to different retracement levels.
-Lagging Nature:Like most technical tools, Fibonacci Retracement relies on past price action and doesn’t predict future movement.
-False Signals:Not all retracement levels lead to reversals, especially in volatile or news-driven markets.
Best Practices for Using Fibonacci Retracement
1.Combine with Other Indicators:
- Use with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) or candlestick patterns for stronger confirmation.
- Pair with trendlines or moving averages to validate Fibonacci levels.
2.Use Multiple Timeframes:
- Analyze Fibonacci levels on higher timeframes for broader trends and lower timeframes for precise entries and exits.
3.Set Realistic Expectations:
- Don’t rely solely on Fibonacci levels for decision-making. Use them as part of a broader strategy.
Example of Fibonacci Retracement in Action
Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) last uptrend movement which I'm showing here, and the price moves from $67,000 to $106,000. After reaching $106,000, the price begins to pull back. By applying the Fibonacci Retracement tool from $67,000 (swing low) to $106,000 (swing high), you can identify key levels at $97,000(23.6%), $91,300 (38.2%), $86,700(50%), and $82,100 (61.8%). If the price retraces to $ 91,300 and bounces upward, this confirms the 38.2% level as strong support. (Green line)
(shown on the chart)
Conclusion
Fibonacci Retracement is a valuable tool for traders seeking to identify potential price reversal zones and continuation points. While it’s easy to use, its accuracy improves when combined with other technical indicators and a thorough understanding of market conditions. Practice drawing Fibonacci levels on historical charts to develop confidence and refine your trading strategy.
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Cryptomarket
TON: The Fastest Blockchain Network?This time, let’s dive into fundamental topics. While technical analysis provides little guidance at this stage, and entering into a deal may not be the best option right now, there are still fundamental aspects worth discussing.
TON (The Open Network) may have a number of significant advantages over other blockchain networks. Let me explain.
1. Speed
One of TON’s standout features is its speed. Transactions on the TON network are confirmed within seconds, making it one of the fastest blockchain networks. With the ability to process up to 104,000 transactions per second, TON currently holds the title of the fastest blockchain.
2. Low Transactional Costs
Another key advantage is TON’s low transactional costs, which make it ideal for microtransactions and daily payments. This allows the network to achieve greater scalability and practical usability in real-world applications.
3. Security
TON employs the BFT consensus algorithm (Byzantine Fault Tolerance), which ensures a high level of security and resistance to attacks.
(Note: BFT is a consensus mechanism that enables blockchain networks to function correctly even when some nodes fail or act maliciously. It ensures that all honest participants agree on a single version of the truth.)
With its decentralized structure, TON is well-equipped to handle the challenges of modern blockchain security.
4. Long-Term Token Value
What supports TON’s token price in the long term? One major factor is its integration with Telegram’s massive user base, which presents a unique opportunity for growth and adoption.
As the TON network evolves and attracts more developers and projects, its utility could increase substantially. This is particularly promising for bridging the gap between traditional finance and the emerging world of digital currencies.
Additionally, TON’s advertising campaigns use TON coins for payments, and commission fees are reinvested into TON buybacks from the market. This mechanism creates additional support for the token price over time.
5. Opportunities for Growth
With its significant customer base, the exponential growth of Telegram, and its success in marketing, TON is well-positioned to grow fundamentally. If these factors align, TON has the potential to increase in value over the long term.
The Short-Term Perspective
However, this is largely a long-term story, and many market participants here may not have the patience to wait for such growth. For now, I don’t see an opportunity to enter a deal with the TON coin, despite my appreciation for its potential.
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Yours sincerely,
Mister iM
SPX6900 (Daily Chart) – Analysis and Key Insights1️⃣ Rally and Performance
SPX6900 has been on a remarkable rally since September 2024, showcasing its potential as a standout performer.
The market experienced a correction phase after the initial surge, creating a base for renewed bullishness.
2️⃣ Bullish Momentum Resumes
Since November 26, SPX6900 has displayed consistent bullish momentum, currently sitting at a market cap of $800M.
The moving average and price action confirm the market's strength, with higher lows and breakout potential.
3️⃣ Community and Vision
The team and community are targeting billions of dollars in market cap, supported by a strong belief in the project’s narrative.
This isn’t just about quick trades—the SPX6900 movement is focused on long-term growth and adoption.
4️⃣ Key Community Metrics
A growing community of over 60k followers on X, supported by well-known KOLs.
The project stands out for its vision-driven narrative, differentiating it from typical speculative coins.
💡 Final Thoughts
SPX6900 is shaping up to be a long-term opportunity for patient holders, with potential for significant gains in 2025. If the current momentum continues, this project could become one of the top-performing coins in the coming months.
📌 What’s your view on SPX6900? Let’s discuss in the comments below! 🚀
OMG/USDT Long Trade Setup. OMG/USDT LONG TRADE SETUP;-
Entry Price: Current Market Price And $0.32
Stop Loss (SL): $0.2950
Targets:
Target 1: $0.39
Target 2: $0.4550
Target 3: $0.5145
Target 4: $0.5888
Target 5: $0.6375
Leverage Recommendation: 5x to 10x
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
LINK ANALYSIS🚀#LINK Analysis : Pattern Formation
🔮As we can see in the chart of #LINK that there is a formation Head And Shoulder Pattern and it's a bearish pattern. If the candle closes belowthe neckline then we would see a little dump in #LINK otherwise it will go rise according to the market 📊
🔰Current Price: $21.80
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #LINK price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#LINK #Breakdown #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
DECRYPTING THE TETHER FUD: Emergency Update!DECRYPTING THE TETHER FUD: WHAT IT MEANS AND HOW TO STAY PREPARED
##What’s Happening with Tether? A Simple Breakdown
Tether (USDT), the most popular stablecoin, is facing challenges in Europe due to new rules called Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA). These rules, starting December 30, 2024, require stablecoin issuers like Tether to follow strict guidelines, including getting an e-money license. If Tether doesn’t comply, it could be removed from European exchanges.
## Why Does This Matter?
- Less Liquidity: Tether is a major player in crypto trading. Losing it in Europe could make trading harder and more expensive.
- Market Panic: Big news like this can make investors nervous, possibly leading to a drop in prices across the market.
## What is Tether Saying?
Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, says this is all part of a “FUD campaign” (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt). He insists that Tether is working on meeting the rules and staying transparent.
## What Should You Do?
1. Spread Your Risk: Don’t rely only on Tether. Try using other stablecoins like USDC or DAI.
2. Stay Informed: Keep an eye on updates about Tether’s progress with the new rules.
3. Plan Ahead: Check which exchanges and trading pairs you can use if Tether faces restrictions.
---
The Bottom Line
Tether’s situation is serious, but there’s no need to panic. By diversifying and staying alert, you can protect yourself while the crypto market adapts to these changes.
Though these kinds of Tether fuds are generally considered to be the catalyst of altseasons, this could be the best time to be prepared.
If you have any serious questions, my comments are open, I will read you.
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Thank you
#PEACE
#Cronos $CROUSD Is testing a breakout wedge#Cronos CRYPTOCOM:CROUSD is currently testing a significant breakout wedge where it is anticipated to bounce off it.
In case of a daily close below 0.1300 there could be a free fall back to 0.0800
A daily close above 0.2400 is a breakout and will unlock a new zone up to 0.4500
#Cronos #Cro #Crypto #CryptoCurrency #Crypto.com
Bitcoin Battles Between Key Support and Resistance – What’s NextBitcoin is currently trading near $94,500, resting on a strong confluence of support. The price is testing the 100 EMA on the 12-hour chart, which aligns with a critical horizontal support zone around $93,000. At the same time, a descending trendline is acting as resistance, keeping the price under pressure.
A breakdown below the marked support zone could trigger a sharp decline toward the next significant level around $88,000. On the other hand, if BTC holds this support and breaks above the descending trendline, it could signal a bullish reversal, pushing the price back toward $98,000 and potentially higher.
Arbitrum-ARBUSD Periodic Analysis (Issue 55)The analyst believes that the price of { ARBUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BTC shows a 6% potential in the last 3 days of 2024.It seems we are back to the initial thesis, which is great since we already profited from the previous trade entry. Now, it feels like we’re seeing the same situation unfold again. Key indicators such as the Bollinger Bands, the 50-day moving average, the volume spikes from November 13th, sufficient corrections, and the support lines are all aligning similarly.
On a fundamental note, I’d like to add the following: with just three days left until the end of 2024, there’s the “Santa Rally” phenomenon, along with the prevailing sentiment in crypto communities that it would be exciting to close the year with BTC reaching $100k. Such a milestone could act as a psychological boost, potentially fueling a strong movement for the entirety of 2025.
The $100k level is also a significant psychological barrier. Taking all this into account, I believe this is a good opportunity to enter a position with the potential for short-term profit—up to 6%—over the next few days.
However, we need to take into account the 80% correlation with the S&P 500, which is currently at its peak levels. That said, hedge funds and institutional investors are closing deals to meet their KPIs, which could provide additional support.
Hopefully, this will sustain the overall positive vibe for the last 3 days of the year.
Yours sincerely,
Mister iM
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin exhibited fluctuations within the newly defined Mean Resistance of 99500 and Mean Support of 91800. The analysis suggests a high probability that the cryptocurrency will experience a decline to the Inner Coin Dip 88500 prior to initiating a significant rebound. This rebound is expected to facilitate the re-establishment of its bullish trend. It is essential to consider that a rebound bull movement may indeed occur from the Mean Support 91800.
Crypto Alpha Report - December 27, 2024Friday Alpha Report
2024 12 27
Opening Bell:
As I reflect on this year, and the upcoming year to come, I ask myself the same question many likely are.
“Are we really going to get alt season?”
“Should I really be all-in on alts right now?”
“What if this is the top?”
Specifically with altcoins, I find it’s very helpful to reflect on MARKETCAP, instead of price, as that is the #1 metric IMHO for evaluating how much farther a token can go, and at what levels price taking should occur.
Here are some market caps we reached during the previous bull market:
Cardano (ADA) - FWB:95B (now: $30.8B)
Dogecoin (DOGE) - $88.7B (now: $46.3B)
Solana (SOL) - $77B (now: $94.5B)
Polkadot (DOT) - $56B (now: $10.6B)
Shiba Inu (SHIB) - $41.1B (now: $13.4B)
Terra (LUNA) - GETTEX:41B (now: $307M)
Avalanche (AVAX) - $30B (now: $15.9B)
Cronos (CRO) - $22.7B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B )
Uniswap (UNI) - $22.5B (now: $8.3B)
Chainlink (LINK) - $22B (now: $15.4B)
Polygon (MATIC) - $19.7B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B )
Axie Infinity (AXS) - $10.4B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B )
FTX Token (FTT) - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B (now: $0)
Sandbox (SAND) - $6.8B (now: $1.3B)
These were some of the best-performing coins of the 2020/2021 Bull Market Cycle, with some only reaching their peak market caps in early 2022.
When I look at the current Marketcaps of Crypto today, only the top 11 coins have a market cap over $20B.
Looking back at the 2020/2021 cycle, the top narratives (categories of crypto) were:
Layer 1 Blockchains (Why? Serious need for scaling solutions and cheaper alternatives to ETH)
Layer 1 Blockchains reached market cap highs of $50-90B.
DeFi (Why? Shiny new thing, hype around yield and “safer” way to earn in crypto)
DeFi projects reached market cap highs of $10-20B.
Memecoins (Why? GME/AMC “stick it to the man” movement)
Memecoin projects reached market cap highs of $5-10B with DOGE & SHIB outliers reaching 40-80B.
NFTs & Metaverse (Why? “Mainstream” adoption of digital art/gaming items, hype around metaverse with major brands entering the space)
NFT & Meraverse tokens reached marketcap highs of $5-15B.
Exchange Tokens (Why? Benefits like trading fees/rewards/token burns, increased trading volume during bull market)
Exchange tokens reached marketcap highs of $5-10B.
Well, what are the current narratives poised to erupt in 2025? This is where we enter the realm of speculation, but I would bet the following categories are likely to experience further growth:
AI Agents (current combined MC of $12B, top project MC of $3.5B)
Meme (current combined MC of $105B, top project MC of FWB:46B )
Infrastructure (current combined MC of $45B, top project MC of $13.9B)
DePIN (current combined MC of FWB:32B , top project MC of $3.6B)
Gaming (current combined MC of $24B, top project MC of $2.4B)
Zero Knowledge (current combined MC of GETTEX:13B , top project MC of $2.4B)
Real World Assets (current combined MC of $19B, top project MC of $3.5B)
As you can see, if we see anything like the growth we saw in the 2020/2021 cycle - we are a long ways away from bull market highs, and these sectors have a lot of room to grow. Of course, the challenge as always is conviction. It’s really not timing, for those with a longer time horizon. Often, hyper focusing on the timing just leaves you sidelined. Focus instead on the quality, your conviction, and your targets.
Litecoin, Shitecoin: An OpportunityAs much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin.
I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now.
Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. bitinfocharts.com
As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent.
It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come.
Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn.
Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support.
Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me.
This meant for speculation and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
Xrp - Another +100% Pump Is Starting!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is sill just getting started:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Xrp is so far perfectly following the repetition of cycles after we saw a beautiful breakout candle of November with an insane move of +280%. Looking at previous behaviour, it is now actually very likely that Xrp breaks the previous all time high and continues its strong rally.
Levels to watch: $3.0, $5.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XRP/USDT: Preparing for the Next ImpulseMarkets move in cycles of Impulse ➡️ Correction ➡️ Impulse, and XRP is no exception. Since December 3, we’ve been in a correction phase, consolidating after the recent strong rally.
The structure is tightening, and the market is “cooking” something interesting. Watch for potential breakouts as we approach the next impulse phase.
📊 Let’s see how this unfolds—stay sharp and ready!
#CryptoAnalysis #XRP #TradingView