Cryptomarket
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 239The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin - Issue 239The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Strong Alt Coins Season on the Horizon!
The total altcoin market cap has reached its previous all-time high (ATH) level of $1.15 trillion and faced rejection at the resistance level. Currently, the price is consolidating below the resistance line. A breakout above this level could generate bullish sentiment, potentially leading to a strong altcoin season following the $1.15 trillion resistance breakout.
Altcoin Predictions for 2025What’s Next After BTC’s Stellar 2024 Performance?
The crypto market is buzzing as we wrap up an unforgettable 2024. Bitcoin (BTC) stole the show this year, gaining an impressive 130% during a bull run driven by the crypto-friendly atmosphere created by the U.S. elections and the dynamic combination of Donald Trump and Elon Musk. While this explosive growth in BTC caught many by surprise, it left the altcoin market largely in the shadows.
So, as we look ahead to 2025, what should we expect? Especially for altcoins?
The BTC-Altcoin Divergence
Bitcoin and altcoins seemed to operate on entirely separate dimensions in 2024. BTC’s decentralized nature and its position as a “secure” bet made it the star of the crypto world. Altcoins, on the other hand, struggled to gain meaningful traction, highlighting their higher risks and their dependence on centralized teams or networks for development. This divergence raises a key question: will altcoins continue to lag behind in 2025, or is there a recovery on the horizon?
The Financial Markets’ Influence on Crypto
A fundamental driver of crypto markets is their strong correlation with traditional financial markets—around 80% historically. The past two years have seen unprecedented growth in financial markets, with the S&P 500 delivering over 60% returns. This momentum fed directly into BTC’s meteoric rise, but altcoins didn’t experience the same lift.
As history shows, sustaining such bullish momentum for three consecutive years is rare. If financial markets enter a period of consolidation or correction in 2025, this could trickle down to crypto markets. Based on this correlation, a mild correction in BTC or a sideways trend seems more likely than another year of exponential growth.
The Altcoin Outlook: Challenges Ahead
Altcoins face a tougher road ahead. While BTC is bolstered by announcements of central banks planning to add Bitcoin to their reserves—potentially injecting massive liquidity into the market—altcoins lack this institutional tailwind.
Key challenges for altcoins in 2025 include:
1. Market Fragmentation: The growing divergence between BTC and altcoins highlights a maturing market where Bitcoin increasingly serves as a “store of value” akin to digital gold, while altcoins are perceived as speculative assets.
2. Regulatory Pressure: As governments worldwide refine their crypto policies, altcoins—often more centralized—could face stricter scrutiny than Bitcoin.
3. Limited Institutional Adoption: While BTC is gaining traction among institutional players, altcoins remain largely retail-driven, making them more susceptible to volatility and less likely to see large-scale capital inflows.
What to Expect in 2025
Given these factors, here’s a summary of our expectations for the crypto market in 2025:
1. BTC to Hold Steady or See Modest Growth: With central banks exploring BTC reserves and its growing status as a safe-haven asset, Bitcoin’s price could remain stable or see mild upward movement, even in a lackluster broader financial market.
2. Altcoins to Face Headwinds: The altcoin market is likely to face increased scrutiny, limited momentum, and the challenges of differentiating itself from Bitcoin. Only projects with strong fundamentals, clear use cases, and active communities are likely to outperform. Here is my wild guess: SOLANA.
3. Sideways or Corrective Market Movement: With the financial markets cooling off after two frenzied years, crypto markets may follow suit, resulting in a year of consolidation or minor corrections across the board
Final Thoughts
While 2024 will be remembered as a banner year for Bitcoin, 2025 may mark a period of recalibration for the broader crypto market. BTC’s growing institutional adoption and status as a macroeconomic hedge will likely ensure its resilience. However, altcoins could struggle to find their footing unless they can offer compelling value propositions beyond speculative trading.
As always, crypto markets remain highly dynamic, and unexpected catalysts could reshape these predictions. Investors should stay vigilant, keeping an eye on both macroeconomic trends and developments within individual crypto projects.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis. BTC appears to be trading within an ascending channel. The chart shows a bullish medium-term structure.
The price is currently testing the lower trendline support within the channel.
A crucial support area is marked between $94,000 – $92,000 (green area). This is a crucial level for a bounce.
Any break below this support could invalidate the channel and lead to further upward pressure.
Resistance lies around $100,000 – $102,000 (orange area), which has been tested multiple times.
A breakout above this level could spark a bullish push towards the upper trendline of the channel or new highs.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
MUBI Looking for Reversal Here!MUBI is approaching the falling wedge, and with the RSI showing potential to sustain its momentum, I anticipate the chart to follow this trajectory. If it doesn't play out as expected, I'll reassess and update accordingly. Wishing everyone the best of luck this altseason!
GRTUSDT : Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis BINANCE:GRTUSDT : 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Market Overview (Last 24 Hours):
- BINANCE:GRTUSDT has activated the entry price at $0.2392, showing bullish potential as trading volumes and on-chain metrics increase.
- Recent momentum in altcoins suggests growing retail interest, which could drive price action further toward the take-profit levels.
Technical Overview:
- Support Levels: $0.2000, $0.0740 (Stop-Loss)
- Resistance Levels: $0.8527 (TP1), $1.8007 (Long-Term TP2)
- Indicators: RSI is climbing steadily but remains below overbought territory, while MACD shows sustained bullish momentum.
Fundamental Catalysts:
- On-Chain Metrics: Increased transaction volume and wallet activity signal growing adoption and investor interest in BINANCE:GRTUSDT .
- Tokenomics Overview: GRT’s staking rewards and decreasing circulating supply continue to support scarcity-driven value.
- Community Sentiment: Social media platforms reflect positive sentiment for GRT, especially as part of broader AI and blockchain narratives.
- Liquidity: Current trading volumes provide favourable conditions for significant price movements.
Scenario Planning:
- Bullish Scenario: Sustained momentum could see BINANCE:GRTUSDT reaching TP1 ($0.8527) and possibly the long-term target TP2 ($1.8007).
- Risk Scenario: Broader crypto market corrections or declining trading volume could test the SL at $0.0740.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.2392 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.0740
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.8527
- TP2 (Long-Term): $1.8007
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Xrp - The First Of Two Massive Breakouts!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is still creating bullish structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the overall crypto market weakness Xrp is still holding and even rejecting the lower support trendline of the symmetrical triangle pattern. Xrp also created another short term triangle within the long term triangle, so two major breakouts might happen pretty soon.
Levels to watch: $0.6, $1.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Understanding Moving Averages (MA): A Beginner’s GuideMoving Averages (MA) are among the most fundamental and widely used tools in technical analysis. They smooth out price data to create a trend-following indicator, helping traders identify the direction of an asset’s trend over a specific period.
What is a Moving Average?
A Moving Average calculates the average price of an asset over a set number of periods. By doing so, it reduces the impact of random price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the trend.
There are two main types of moving averages:
Simple Moving Average (SMA):
The SMA is the arithmetic mean of prices over a specified number of periods.
Formula:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
The EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes.
Formula:
Smoothing factor:
How to Use Moving Averages
Trend Identification:
Rising MA: Indicates an uptrend.
Falling MA: Indicates a downtrend.
Flat MA: Suggests a sideways or range-bound market.
Crossover Signals:
Golden Cross: When a short-term MA (e.g., 50-day) crosses above a long-term MA (e.g., 200-day), signaling a potential uptrend.
Death Cross: When a short-term MA crosses below a long-term MA, signaling a potential downtrend.
Dynamic Support and Resistance:
Moving averages often act as support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Prices tend to bounce off the MA during retracements.
Combination with Other Indicators:
Moving averages can be paired with RSI, MACD, or Bollinger Bands for better signal confirmation.
Strengths of Moving Averages
Simplicity: Easy to calculate and understand.
Trend Focused: Effective in identifying and confirming trends.
Versatility: Applicable to various timeframes and markets.
Limitations of Moving Averages
Lagging Nature: Moving averages are based on past prices, which can delay signals.
Less Effective in Sideways Markets: May produce false signals in range-bound conditions.
Best Practices for Using Moving Averages
Choose the Right Period:
Shorter periods (e.g., 10, 20) make the MA more sensitive to price changes, suitable for short-term trading.
Longer periods (e.g., 50, 200) provide a smoother line, ideal for long-term trend analysis.
Combine with Multiple MAs:
Use a combination of short-term, medium-term, and long-term MAs to understand different trends.
Context Matters:
Understand market conditions. Moving averages work best in trending markets and are less reliable in choppy conditions.
Example of Moving Averages in Action
Imagine a stock is in a clear uptrend, with the price consistently trading above its 50-day SMA. When the price retraces and touches the 50-day SMA but bounces upward, this can act as a signal to enter a long position. If the price breaks below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, it may indicate a trend reversal.
Conclusion
Moving Averages are a foundational tool in technical analysis that helps traders identify trends, dynamic support and resistance levels, and potential entry or exit points. While they are simple to use, their effectiveness improves when combined with other indicators and a solid understanding of market dynamics. As always, backtest your strategies and adapt your moving average settings to your specific trading style and market conditions.
Daily Analysis of Ethereum - Issue 238The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin - Issue 238The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE - Clear chart , Clear dataYour trading struggles are summarized in this chart
weekly chart displays breakout a massive rising wedge pattern and now retesting...
Everything is fine as long as you’ve bought your coins at good prices.
All this struggle is simply summarized in this retest.
What’s expected is strong price fluctuation until mid-January, after which things should settle down.
If you’re out of the market and looking to enter, try to do so during the next correction
BTCUSDT - Bearish sign?daily chart displays a ascending broading wedge pattern
can notice obviously how price action going when touches the lower side of the pattern
You'll notice a full absorption of the candle, with only a wick touching the lower part of the pattern.
It's important to understand that the ascending wedge pattern is inherently bearish, often signaling a downward move. However, Bitcoin rarely gives you a clear short signal like this—it will likely liquidate all short positions first.
What’s expected is a strong upward move in the coming days, followed by a drop. Bitcoin’s target for this correction is 85k.
Solana: Slight Drop on the Horizon?Solana Mirrors Bitcoin’s Movement
Solana is currently trying to stabilize around the $194 level, though this support line appears weak. Fibonacci retracement indicates the potential for a further drop to 38% or $191.
Fundamentally, Solana remains a strong asset with significant potential . However, its short-term performance is influenced by market buzz, particularly speculation surrounding Trump’s and Elon’s next moves.
At this stage, there are no possible options for entering deals, so we remain observing the situation.