Cryptomarket
Rejections at Key Levels: What USDT.D Means for AltcoinsUSDT.D is showing strong bearish momentum, rejecting multiple times from the descending trendline and resistance near 4.45%. A continuation downward toward the 4.00%-3.85% support zone is likely.
This drop could fuel bullish momentum in altcoins as funds flow back into the market. Watch closely!
Why I’m Bullish on BTC Right NowShort-Term BTC Analysis
After a recent correction, Bitcoin seems primed for a short-term uptrend. Here’s why:
Technical Signals Point to a Rebound:
• Volume Surge: November 11 saw a 3x volume spike at key price levels, suggesting strong buyer interest.
• Bollinger Bands: The bottom band is providing support, signaling oversold conditions.
• 50 MA: The 50-day moving average is also acting as a support level, adding to bullish momentum.
• 10% Decline Factored In: BTC already corrected by 10%, clearing some of the overbought conditions.
Trend Analysis:
• The overall trend remains bullish.
• A key support line has been tested successfully, while a resistance line has flipped to support after being tested twice—classic bullish behavior.
With strong fundamentals and technical signals aligning, Bitcoin looks ready to move upward in the near term.
Stay tuned for updates and insights!
Don’t forget to like, share, and follow for more crypto market analysis. Let’s make the most of these opportunities together!
HBAR / USDT: Breaking out from Trendline resistance HBAR/USDT: Breaking Out from Trendline Resistance – Bullish Rally Ahead?
HBAR/USDT is making waves 📈 as it breaks through a critical trendline resistance zone 📊. This breakout signals the potential for a strong bullish trend to unfold 🚀. With momentum building, traders should keep a close eye 👀 on this pair for further confirmation and opportunities.
Key insights:
1. Trendline resistance breached: HBAR/USDT has successfully broken a long-standing trendline that previously acted as a barrier. This breakout could pave the way for a significant upward move.
2. Volume surge: A noticeable increase in trading volume accompanies the breakout, indicating strong buyer interest 🔥.
3. Bullish signals: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are turning positive ⚡, supporting a continued bullish trend.
Steps to confirm the breakout:
Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
Monitor trading volume; a surge confirms strong buying activity 📊.
Watch for a potential retest of the broken trendline, now acting as support, to solidify the breakout ✅.
Stay cautious of fake breakouts, characterized by sharp reversals or wicks above the trendline ⚠️.
Risk management strategies:
Implement stop-loss orders to protect your position and manage risk 🔒.
Size your position wisely, ensuring it aligns with your overall trading strategy 🎯.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 before making investment decisions.
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 236The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin– Issue 236The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
PENGUUSDT Analysis: Balancing Risk and OpportunityPENGUUSDT has experienced an 85% daily volume increase , signaling rising interest. If you don’t want to miss out, the first area presents a decent entry. However, if you’re aiming to minimize risk, the lower area is a better option. Keep in mind that this coin is relatively new , making the risk higher. Personally, I risk half of my normal amount across both areas to balance opportunity and caution.
Key Points:
Volume Spike: 85% daily increase shows growing attention.
Risk Management: First area is for those who don’t want to miss out; the lower area is safer but with potentially fewer opportunities.
New Coin Warning: Higher risk due to the coin's limited history.
Confirmation Indicators: I will use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, volume footprints, and upward market structure breaks on lower time frames for validation.
Learn With Me: If you want to master how to use CDV, liquidity heatmaps, volume profiles, and volume footprints to find precise demand zones, just DM me. I’m happy to help!
Reminder: Be aware of the market's current state and approach it with caution. Successful trading relies on meaningful levels and robust confirmations.
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you! Wishing everyone success in their trades.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
CHZ breakout or?CHZ on 4H Time frame formed a bullish falling wedge, the problem that I see is that right where the price is at, there is the 50 MA on top, and still we have the wedge to break. At this point I cannot see that happening yet, but bear in mind the RSI is strengthening.
Follow for more tips.
The Sandbox (SAND)SAND/USDT Analysis 📊
Recently, SAND has demonstrated significant performance, managing to shift its trajectory from a descending channel and reach the top of an ascending channel. Below is a more detailed analysis of the current situation and potential scenarios:
⚖️ Current Situation:
Breakout from the Descending Channel: SAND has exited the descending channel and is currently undergoing a pullback. This move started from the support zone (0.19 – 0.23 USD).
Current Correction: The upward wave has corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone (0.45 – 0.49 USD). This level is a key zone for the continuation of the trend.
Red Resistance Zone: The price is currently facing significant resistance in the range of (0.8 – 0.99 USD). A successful close above this level is crucial for the continuation of the uptrend.
🔍 Upcoming Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price manages to break and sustain above the red resistance zone (0.8 – 0.99 USD), the following targets become achievable:
1.618 Fibonacci: 1.41 – 1.69 USD
2.272 Fibonacci: 2.42 – 2.9 USD
2.618 Fibonacci: 3.94 – 4.98 USD
High volume entry during the breakout of the red resistance zone is essential.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break through the red resistance zone, a deeper correction is likely:
0.618 Fibonacci level: 0.4 – 0.43 USD
Green PRZ Zone: If the 0.618 Fibonacci level is lost, the price might drop to this zone, which includes daily resistance and the middle line of the channel.
⚙️ RSI Indicator:
RSI Support: The trendline connecting the RSI lows can serve as support during a price correction. The range (33.88 – 39.26) is key for RSI support.
Entry into Overbought Zone: RSI movement towards the overbought zone can push the price toward higher targets. Overextended zones (86.33 – 92.15) are accessible.
RSI Middle Line: This line could act as support and help stabilize the uptrend.
⚡️ Key Points:
Red Resistance Zone (0.8 – 0.99 USD): Sustaining above this zone is crucial for the continuation of the uptrend.
Formation of Strong Bullish Candles and Significant Volume: Strong bullish candlestick formations and a sharp increase in volume can confirm the breakout of this resistance.
Volume Consideration: High volume entry during the breakout of the resistance zone is a positive signal.
Price Behavior at the 0.5 Fibonacci Level: This level serves as the primary initial support.
PRZ Support Zone: In case of a correction, this zone (overlapping with daily resistance and the middle line of the channel) could prevent further price declines.
🔔 Summary:
The technical analysis of SAND indicates that after breaking out of the descending channel, the price is at a critical stage. A breakout above the red resistance zone (0.8 – 0.99 USD) could open the path for higher targets. However, traders should pay close attention to price behavior around key support and resistance zones and should not neglect risk management.
🟠 Practical Suggestions:
For Entering a Trade: Wait for a breakout of the red resistance zone along with high volume.
Risk Management: Diversify your capital into multiple parts and set stop-loss orders below key support levels.
Stay Updated: Given the constantly changing market conditions, staying updated with new analyses is essential.
⏰ Stay tuned for the next updates!
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 3,524.74
1st Support: 3,217.92
1st Resistance: 3,713.01
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CAKE SWING LONG IDEAI know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now.
People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what?
BTC is sitting on daily support.
BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis).
The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared.
Funding rates are extremely negative.
Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!).
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
Let’s look CAKE as an example:
Cake has currently hit the monthly and weekly demand zones. It has rejected the weekly demand and broken the 4H structure.
We’ve seen strong upside movement following this, confirming the second leg of the higher high formation on the 4H timeframe.
TARGETS:
TP1: $3.41
TP2: $4.02
TP3: $4.50
SL: Below $2.05 (daily close)
Will Ethereum reach $8500 ?Ethereum (ETH) has been a focal point in the cryptocurrency world, drawing both admiration and skepticism. As Q4 unfolds, Ethereum has shown remarkable resilience, staying on its intended path despite market fluctuations. This article explores Ethereum's journey, its current standing, and the potential for it to reach the ambitious target of $8,500.
Everyone criticizing Ethereum should take note: ETH is still on track and hasn't deviated from its course. In Q4, Ethereum was never expected to reach new all-time highs (ATH). Despite performing better than anticipated, ETH remains steadfast on its intended path. It exhibited a bearish pattern, forming higher lows and lower highs before stabilizing. It then marked a higher low, established a bear market high, broke through this high, retested it just before Q4, and began its upward trajectory.
Here's how the forecasted ETH pattern looks—believe me, we're still on track. 📈
Ethereum's chart demonstrates a clear path forward, with key indicators suggesting sustained growth. The technical analysis points towards Ethereum reaching significant levels, with the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level being a crucial milestone.
I believe $8,500 is a realistic target for Ethereum, corresponding to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. The Fibonacci extension tool is commonly used in technical analysis to predict future price movements based on past price trends. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension level suggests that the price could potentially double from its previous move. In this case, reaching $8,500 fits within the expected range of this extension level, making it a plausible target.
When ETH's price reaches the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, its market cap will be approximately $625 billion, reflecting a 155% increase. If the price continues to rise and reaches the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level, the market cap would soar to around $859 billion, marking a 214% increase. These levels are calculated based on today's price.
To all the Ethereum doubters out there: Keep talking while ETH keeps building. 📈 Your doubts fuel our progress. Watch and learn! 💪🔥
Ethereum's journey is far from over, and its resilience in the face of criticism only strengthens its position. As it continues to build and innovate, ETH is poised to reach new heights, potentially hitting the $8,500 mark and beyond.
Ethereum's path is filled with potential, and the signs are pointing towards significant growth. With the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level serving as a realistic target, $8,500 is within reach. Whether you're an investor or a skeptic, keeping an eye on Ethereum's progress is essential, as it continues to defy expectations and carve its path in the crypto world.
Bitcoin Alpha ReportMonday Alpha Report
2024 12 23
Bitcoin
Following a heart-gripping correction to ~$92,000 Bitcoin rallied slightly to re-test our ascending level of support, taking several forms from the diagonal trendline on the Daily Timeframe, to the 200 SMA on the 4H Timeframe.
Bitcoin now finds itself back at ~$93,000 after failing to sustain above $95,000 - a level I have continually highlighted as critical to maintaining this currently rally. The longer Bitcoin sustains underneath $95,000 - more downside risk emerges.
My current worst-case scenario is a retracement to $75,000 - $80,000. However, currently there are no fundamentals that fully support this. This worst-case target is based on the prevailing CME Futures Gap, the previous consolidation level sustained throughout the ‘Summer Doldrums’, and the projected vicinity of the Daily 200 SMA.
Keep in mind, that Bitcoin often performs very strongly into Christmas, so it is still possible we get our ‘Santa Rally’. If that occurs, the critical level to watch will be $100,000 - $104,000. That would be the projected ‘Lower High’ target if Bitcoin is to rally into the end of the year yet still maintain it’s trajectory for a longer-term correction.
I remain optimistic that we can still reach the price target of $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration - however there is a time to be bold and a time to prepare and manage downside risk - unfortunately this is the later.
In addition, Michael Saylor’s comments have failed to bring enthusiasm to the markets this morning. Recent reports suggest that MSTR plans to pause Bitcoin purchases in January due to a ‘self-imposed blackout period’. This pause is expected to last through January, resuming after the company’s earnings call in early February 2025.
Therefore, applying a timeline to our scenarios, if Bitcoin fails to rally into Trump’s inauguration, and we did indeed just experience a local top, I expect sluggish if not downward price action through the beginning of the year with the rally to resume in February-March. That will give time for two critical catalysts to occur: MSTR’s renewed buying, and a chance for the Fed to pivot to a more dovish tone and ramp up or provide more clarity on rate cuts - the catalyst which I believe is primarily responsible for Bitcoin’s current rally.
In summary, traders should be prepared to act tactically upon trading signals, with optimism, however be prepared for a several month slump. This last part should be viewed with great optimism however, because a correction now for several months almost guarantees a right-handed cycle that will extend deep into 2025 for cryptocurrency.
In short: we might be experiencing a local top, but we are most certainly not experiencing a cycle top.
Trends:
5M: Bearish
30M: Bearish
1H: Bearish
4H: Bearish
Key Levels:
Point of Control: $95,373
VWAP: $94,568
Value Area Low: $92,143 - $93,798
Value Area High: $95,804 - $96,991
Resistance: $99,500
Support: $86,900
Strategy:
Price is currently trading in the Value Area Low for the day, after experiencing a sell-off and a rejection from $94,000. Traders can position for a potential double-bottom, and target today’s Value Area High in the short-term and optimistically a Christmas rally into $100,000 - $104,000.
Focus on managing down-side risk however, as prices below $92,000 will likely trigger another wave of sell-offs as liquidations are forced and fear is in the air.
TAO SWING LONG IDEA I know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now.
People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what?
BTC is sitting on daily support.
BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis).
The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared.
Funding rates are extremely negative.
Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!).
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
Let’s take TAO as an example:
We’ve hit a key SR level.
The election swing lows have been raided.
A 4H bullish HTF shift has occurred—this is my confirmation.
Entry: $455
SL: $355 (closing daily below)
TP: ATH - $750
Good luck! And remember: buy when they’re scared, and sell when they’re greedy.
-AS ALWAYS, MANAGE YOUR RISK-
BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025Overview:
Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart.
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel:
BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance.
If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000.
Structure Levels:
A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action.
Moving Averages:
The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend.
Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance: $102,000–$116,000.
Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000.
Indicators:
RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase.
MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks.
Projected Scenario:
Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher.
Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000.
Potential Risks:
A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000.
Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
AAVE Scalping Strategy Recommendation Amid High 1. Restate the Key Data Points
Action: HOLD_BUY (indicating a bullish stance).
Stop Loss: $320.00.
Take Profit: $350.00.
Entry Price: $328.07.
Current Price: $336.64.
Exit Point: $336.64.
BTC Correlation: -0.85 (strong negative correlation).
Confidence Level: 75%.
2. Short-Term Forecast
Price Momentum:
Since the current price is above $336, the market appears to be trending in favor of the long position.
The thesis suggests holding the position (HOLD_BUY), expecting the price to continue rising toward $350.
Risk Analysis:
Downside is capped at the stop-loss of $320.
If price volatility remains moderate, the chance of being stopped out near $320 is reduced.
Impact of Negative Correlation with BTC:
If Bitcoin falls, this asset might rise (given the negative correlation).
If Bitcoin rallies, watch for potential downward pressure on the current position.
3. Medium-Term Outlook
Possible Consolidation Around $336–$340:
Price may hover in a narrow range before breaking toward $350 or dipping back to the $328–$330 region.
Adjusting Stop-Loss:
If the price stabilizes above $336.64, a slight upward adjustment of the stop-loss (to slightly above $328) could secure more of the unrealized profit.
Confidence Level at 75%:
Overall prospects favor continued upward movement.
Reassess rapidly if there is a major shift in market sentiment or BTC correlation.
4. Conclusion & Prediction
Likely Outcome:
Continued bullish movement toward the $350 take-profit target.
If the market remains stable and BTC correlation continues as is, reaching $350 is plausible.
Main Risk:
A sudden BTC price surge (inverse correlation could trigger negative movement for this asset).
Maintain vigilance around key market announcements or unexpected volatility.
Actionable Summary:
Hold the current long position with a view toward $350.
Monitor correlation events closely—sharp BTC moves can flip the trade’s direction.
Protect profits by adjusting stop-loss if the price solidifies above $336.64.
Final Predictive Note
Based on the data and the 75% confidence, the short-to-medium term prediction is a gradual climb toward the $350 level, barring any sudden volatility spikes or drastic BTC movements.
DAR/USDT: Major Historical Levels Analysis| NEXT 1100% PotentialBINANCE:DAR/USDT - 1D TIMEFRAME 🎯
MARKET STRUCTURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ CURRENT PRICE: $0.13873 (-2.07%)
✦ FIRST TARGET: $0.74760 (+525%)
✦ ULTIMATE TARGET: $1.65318 (+1,100%)
✦ TIMEFRAME: Daily/Long-term
TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. HISTORICAL CONTEXT:
• Price at multi-year support level
• Significant consolidation since May 2023
• Major historical resistance levels marked
2. KEY PRICE LEVELS:
• Current Support: ~$0.13-0.14
• First Major Resistance: $0.74760
• Second Major Resistance: $1.65318
3. VOLUME PROFILE:
• Current Volume: 29.45M
• Low volume consolidation phase
• Potential accumulation period
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LONG-TERM POTENTIAL:
• Two major upside targets identified
• Historical resistance levels as targets
• Significant upside potential from current levels
RISK CONSIDERATIONS:
• Current downtrend needs reversal confirmation
• Volume increase needed for momentum
• Extended consolidation possible
ENTRY STRATEGY:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
• Wait for reversal confirmation
• Look for volume expansion
• Consider scaling in on breakout confirmations
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk. This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
#DAR #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoTrading
Tags: @TradingView
Note: The significant upside targets are based on historical price levels. Always use proper risk management and position sizing.