$ETH Analysis — Correction Incoming?Summary:
After a strong ~100% rally in ETH, price hit a major resistance zone near $2734.78, triggering a significant sell-off, likely driven by algorithmic profit-taking. Now, the market is poised for a healthy correction before another potential leg up.
📉 What's Next for Ethereum?
🔍 Expecting a Correction of 7% to 25%
Based on technical structure and indicator behavior, ETH is likely to retrace to one of the two key zones:
✅ Primary Buy Zone ("Most Likely"): $2297.20
This zone aligns with previous structure support.
It’s where the price may form a higher low and resume its upward trend.
Ideal for opening a swing long with a tight risk-reward ratio.
🔥 Deeper Correction Opportunity: $1779.58
While less likely, a drop to this level would be a major long opportunity.
Aligns with historical demand and long-term support levels.
Also intersects with the yellow trendlines suggesting trend-based support zones.
📊 Why This Correction Makes Sense:
Weekly Money Flow Index (MFI) is Dropping:
MFI divergence suggests money is flowing out, weakening bullish momentum.
A trigger wave is forming, often preceding price corrections.
Algo Profit-Taking is Done:
Smart money likely exited around $2734.78 (highlighted in chart).
They’ll need to accumulate again at lower levels before the next rally.
📈 Potential Upside Targets:
If ETH respects the structure and finds support around $2297 or deeper, we could see a rally toward $3296.85 — a key Fibonacci extension and psychological level.
🧘♂️ Reminder:
No emotional entries. Let the price come to you. Trust the setup and stick to your plan.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just a breakdown of my trading thesis. Always manage your risk.
Cryptomarket
Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis1. Previous Analysis Validation
Our previous week's analysis played out perfectly, aligning well with the market movement.
2. Current Market Sentiment
The market remains bearish overall. However, we are seeing a short-term price pump, likely due to late short positions entering the market. This is resulting in a price move to trigger short liquidations. The recent 4H swing highs are acting as key stop-loss zones.
3. Imbalance & Rebalancing
The price is moving upward toward a daily imbalance area (highlighted in orange). We expect the market to rebalance in this zone, potentially leading to a price rejection and continuation of the downward trend.
4. Liquidity Zone
Our primary liquidity zone lies between \$100K and \$98K. We anticipate this area to be a key region for price reaction.
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 107,412.53
1st Support: 102,164.07
1st Resistance: 111,566.95
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC/USDT – Bitcoin 1 hour timeframe 📊 Technical Overview
🟢 Support Zone:
📌 Around $105,700
🛡 Marked by multiple bounces (white arrows), this zone shows strong buyer interest.
🔁 Historically acts as a springboard for upside moves 📈.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📌 Range: $109,000 – $111,500
🚫 Every approach has triggered a sharp sell-off (black arrows), confirming this zone as significant supply.
🔄 Price Action & Pattern Insights
📉 Bearish Swings from Resistance:
Several high-wick candles followed by strong rejections ⛔
Downward arrows suggest a distribution phase near the top range
📈 Bullish Reversal Signals:
Price sharply rebounds from support 💥
V-shaped recovery setup in motion with a clean reaction from the demand zone ✅
Arrow projection hints at a potential full range recovery 🌈
📦 Box Range Formation:
Market has been consolidating in horizontal zones
Each zone acts as a base for accumulation or distribution 🧭
🎯 Trade Idea & Forecast
📍 Current Price: $105,793.35
📈 Projected Move: Upside rally toward $111,000+
🧠 Rationale:
Bounce from a major support zone
Prior similar price actions led to parabolic rises 🚀
No lower lows made – signs of a bottom forming 🪙
📌 Action Plan
✅ Long Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000
Target: $109,000 – $111,500
Stop Loss: Below $105,000
📉 Risk/Reward: Favorable (~1:3)
🚫 Bearish Alternative:
Breakdown below $105,000 with volume ❗
Target: $103,000 (next liquidity zone)
📎 Conclusion: Ready for a Bullish Comeback?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing signs of a textbook bullish reversal 📘 after defending a key demand level 💪. If the current momentum holds, we could see a swift move back to the top of the range. Ideal for short-term buyers looking to ride the intraday wave 🌊.
ETHUSDT Breakout Watch: Bullish Momentum Brewing🧠 Chart Analysis Summary:
This chart suggests a bullish continuation is likely for ETHUSDT based on the current market structure and visual cues:
🔍 Key Observations:
Current Price Zone:
Trading around $2,574, inside a consolidation range (highlighted blue box).
Strong Supply Area Identified:
Around $2,335.93 (marked in purple) – acted as a solid demand/support zone fueling the current move.
Breakout Box:
The price is forming a rectangle pattern, indicating accumulation or consolidation before a breakout.
Bullish Projection Arrows:
Two projected paths show:
Minor dip toward the supply area followed by a bullish breakout 🚀.
Immediate breakout from the box towards resistance levels.
🎯 Target Levels:
First Target: 🟣 $2,918.70 – “possible next move”
Second Target: 🎯 $3,006.40 – strong resistance zone
🧩 Conclusion:
This setup suggests ETH may be preparing for a breakout from the consolidation zone. If bulls maintain control, we could see a rally towards $2,918 - $3,006 in the coming weeks.
Risk Tip: Watch for a fakeout if price dips below the consolidation range — especially near the $2,335 area.
🧠 Trading Tip:
Use volume confirmation and candle closes above the box to validate the breakout! 📊
PIXELUSDTThe outcome of this analysis is that based on the structure of a zero - D wave, which may be a pig or triangle, or even a pig, we should look for the optimal areas to buy Spot …
In the event that this analysis is correct, it may be ideal to purchase Spot in the vicinity of Beijing to the tribes.
A cautious target for the Chinese outbreak and a more risky target could be a dollar casualty.
In time terms too, mid - June and more accurately the beginning of the third week of June would be the ideal approximate time for the start of the DC wave …
As indicated in the chart late July and early September are important times in the chart that will probably work depending on the structure and my guess is that the mentioned times are the ideal time for the end of the larger D - wave …
Can Potentially move upwards from here?Bitcoin just created an inducement and it has been hunted. Now the structure is also broken and the inducement is also taken out. The market is in a discount zone, and there's an overlap of a Breaker Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap), which indicates that the market can potentially move upwards from here.
Wait for bullish confirmations here, such as MSS (Market Structure Shift), CISD (Change in Character/Continuation of Internal Structure Dynamics), and failed selling PD Arrays!
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Retests Breakout Zone – Will It Bounce Again?Hello traders, here is the Quick CRYPTOCAP:BTC update
Bitcoin is currently holding right at the previous breakout zone, which also aligns with the rising trendline and previous accumulation area.
This zone has acted as a strong launchpad in the past — where BTC accumulated and exploded higher. If buyers defend this level again, we could see another rebound play out from here.
As long as BTC holds this structure, the bullish trend remains intact.
ADAUSDTBINANCE:ADAUSDT shows potential for an upward movement towards the targets of $1.3378 and $1.6435, making the current price zone attractive for long-term investment . While a correction towards $0.6453 or even $0.5803 is possible, these levels present favorable buying opportunities for investors with a long-term perspective. Even if a deeper correction occurs, the market geometry suggests that reaching the aforementioned targets is a likely outcome.
linkusdtLINK is showing readiness to initiate an upward movement towards $38.43. From the current price range of $13.93, a correction down to the $12 area is possible. This zone presents a favorable opportunity for long-term investment . In any case, according to the geometry that has formed in LINK, the price level of $38.43 is expected to be achieved. And this is certain.
BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Solana Long entry After a 100% move to the upside Solana is slowly cooling off its run and heading back down to some key areas of support .
In this video I highlight where I think those reaction zones are and what I expect to see Long term from Solana .
Set alerts and be sure to monitor BTC which will give you the additional confluence of understanding why the alt coins are behaving Bearish/bullish.
Tools used in this video TR Pocket / Fibs / Volume Profile /
Any Questions feel free to ask in the comments
Daily BTC/USD Analysis - Smart Money PerspectivePrice recently swept liquidity above the previous weekly high, indicating a classic liquidity grab. After this move, we observed a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, followed by a break and a mitigation of a bearish imbalance (BAG).
Currently, price is reacting from a small fair value gap (FVG), but this is likely just a retracement. I'm expecting the market to drop further and target the larger FVG zone that aligns on both the weekly and daily timeframes (highlighted in blue). This zone also aligns with a potential POI (point of interest) for smart money accumulation.
📌 Short-term bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: 99,000–97,000 zone
🔍 Watch for rejection at current FVG or possible internal liquidity grab before the drop.
Smart money is likely to seek deeper liquidity before any meaningful bullish continuation. Stay patient and let price come to the premium zone.
ETH on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on ETH, the price is currently at a critical level around $2,800, where it has made multiple unsuccessful attempts to break through. On the high time frames, the price has swept liquidity without showing any signs of reversal. This leads me to anticipate a higher price movement, with the next potential level being around $3,400."
If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to let me know!
Bitcoin Mixed: Below Resistance, Above Support (Altcoins Update)I hope you are having a good Saturday and weekend my dear friend, I have a quick update on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market today. Good news and bad news.
Let's start with the good news.
The Altcoins are producing a higher low and bullish. This means that we will continue to see growth as expected. The market went through a shakeout, nothing more.
On the Bitcoin side, we have the bad news which is not that bad.
The action is happening above support (grey dashed line on the chart) but below local resistance. The market just went through a major shakeout. I shall explain.
People got greedy and ended up putting too much leverage on their positions, when this happens, the market needs to balance things out because it cannot grow in this way long-term. And thus the shakeout. 1 billion dollars worth of LONGs were liquidated.
The good news is that once this process is over, the market can resume with its usual cycle but...
The situation is tricky now but I can tell you exactly what will happen. Bitcoin will consolidate before additional growth. While Bitcoin consolidates, the Altcoins will move up. Plan and simple.
What happens next with Bitcoin, down or up?
As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000-$102,000 weekly/monthly the chart and market bias is considered ultra-bullish . This means that Bitcoin is ultra-bullish right now.
If the action moves and closes weekly below 100K, nothing happens. A simple retrace that ends in a higher low followed by additional growth.
The market is bullish now and will continue bullish.
The Altcoins are a good buy and this recent flush gives an opportunity for those that missed early prices.
Market conditions remain the same. We are bullish and set to grow long-term.
We are 100% bullish on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market.
Namaste.
BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis
Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
Bozo Benk – Road to Top 300
Bozo is a low-float, high-conviction breakout that’s showing all the early signs of a full-blown cycle runner. Right now, it’s flying under the radar — but that won’t last long.
coingecko: BozoBenk
Key Metrics:
Current Market Cap: $4.72M
Target Market Cap (Top 300 Range): ~$200M
Total Supply: 800M
Circulating Supply: ~400M (50% of tokens are locked)
If we hit a $200M market cap on just 400M circulating tokens, that gives a projected price of:
$200,000,000 / 400,000,000 = $0.50 per token
That's a 100x from here — and yes, that’s within striking distance in meme coin terms when a proper run begins.
Why This Isn’t Just “What If” Talk:
Low Float = High Velocity
With only 400M tokens in circulation, price impact per dollar is massive. When buyers show up, price moves fast — and that speed becomes the magnet.
Breakout Is Confirmed
After months of accumulation, Bozo just cleared its resistance zone. Volume spike. Momentum flip. Classic early-stage markup.
Reflexivity Effect
As price rises, more eyes come in. CT starts posting. Telegrams start firing signals. The crowd sees the move, and FOMO becomes self-fueling. This is how 10x becomes 50x.
Realistic Target Based on Ecosystem
$200M is not a moonshot. There are dozens of meme coins with less utility and worse structure sitting at or above that level. If capital rotates back into memes — and it always does — Bozo is positioned to ride that wave hard.
The Alpha:
This isn’t about “maybe” — it’s a perfect mix of low cap, reduced float, clean chart, and momentum fuel.
A $200M market cap on 400M circulating tokens = $0.50.
You're here at ~$0.005.
That’s the kind of asymmetry you don’t get often — and when it runs, there won't be time to chase.
Know what you hold. Trade it like you mean it.
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨
🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟢 Recent Price Action:
Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔.
A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️.
🟠 Supply Zone:
Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again.
🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line):
The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉.
🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE:
Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control.
🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move):
Price may retest the broken zone 🔁.
Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯.
Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊.
💥 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone).
Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺.
Target: $101,500 🎯.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers!
📛 Pattern Breakdown:
⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal.
🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure.
🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
XMR/USDT Monero super cycleWarning: LONG READ
TL;DR: Monero is going to encapsulate a similar growth cycle to Bitcoin's, Privacy, agency and its extremely decentralized nature will create a FOMO storm, a new narrative for the next many years, an uprising against the control and attack on our free will as citizens.
_________________________________________________________________________________
These past few years we've seen an incredible surge in surveillance, government intervention, banks freezing funds, the list goes on, of which has led many people into deep frustration and dissatisfaction with the system.
However, what it really boils down to is the lack of agency, and within that, the lack of privacy.
This coming storm of rebellious action against the system of surveillance and control, will mean new market possibilities, and Monero is an obvious pick.
Despite its headwinds throughout the years, Monero has had incredible resilience, likely due to its very nature, providing exactly what it means to provide, privacy, agency, and decentralization.
Bitcoin has led the frontier of agency and decentralization, but an ever increasing concentration of mining power, means that its decentralization is being partially eaten away at, losing some of its initial pull of being "The people's money"
Slowly turning into a transaction-less store of value, where more and more people simply hold on without actually using it, Bitcoin was never going to have any future as a sort of day-to-day cash or money that some people were hoping for.
This should have been obvious all along, even in earlier days, that the adoption would eventually lead to stagnating transaction count, aswell as miner & ASIC concentration, meaning an ever, not increasing, but instead decreasing decentralization.
Bitcoin in its earlier days was also seen as a private, but this is simply a lack of studying Bitcoin, because its always been clear as day that we would eventually run our heads against the wall.
With states having tools to track everything, and firms like Arkham who recently uncovered Strategy's (MicroStrategy) Bitcoin wallets, where Michael Saylor prior had stated he would never unveil the adresses or location of said Bitcointo preserve privacy, well, of course someone was inevitably going to find out, Bitcoin is after all, a fully transparent blockchain, which is also good in its own sense, but that brings us to the exact problem we're facing now.
And no, i don't think Bitcoin is going anywhere.
But how are we going to take back that decentralization, take back our privacy (we never had it on Bitcoin but it certainly pushed the value thinking it did) take back our agency AND have an actual day-to-day use case where we can transact without being taxed in gigantic fees for even the smallest sums?
Monero, and it has been Monero for over a decade now.
Monero ticks all the boxes that people are so desperately trying to figure out, and Monero is slowly creeping up again, seeing impressive price increases despite its recent scrutiny, with the EU set to ban it in 2027.
Whitewashing, crime, all kinds of illegal activity, that's what the nations and states see Monero as, and for the vast majority of people, it keeps them from buying the asset, in fear of being punished for owning or using it.
Do you remember the early days of Bitcoin? I certainly do
Countries & influential people would hang Bitcoin out for being only used for criminal activity, and being nothing more than a pyramid scheme.
Again, it should be obvious that it would never be the case, a completely transparent blockchain, crime? really? the smartest criminals are not THAT stupid.
Yes, many criminals probably use Monero, the same way as criminals use dollar bills for crime, because its for a large part untraceable.
But is that untracability a feature or a flaw?
In Monero's case, its a FEATURE
A feature so undervalued, you can't even begin to comprehend the sheer size of its importance
And no, I don't support criminal activity, but Monero being used for it simply means that it is doing exactly what it sets out to be, private and untraceable.
Its not the form of money's job to fix crime, that's the job of the government and politians we "elect" in our "democracy"
It is crystal clear to me, that Monero will create a throne for itsself in the top, claiming the original purpose of Bitcoin, The people's money.
Untraceability, Privacy, Decentralization, Agency.
These key features aswell as the scrutinty it is facing on the national level, will nothing but fuel the FOMO.
The ultimate resilience, the ultimate cryptocurrency.
If you're still this early, i sincerely salute you, and congrats on life changing wealth and privacy.
BINANCE:XMRUSDT.P KRAKEN:XMRUSD CRYPTO:XMRUSD
AKT/USDT Analysis💥 CSEMA:AKT - Swing Long Plan After 30% Correction 💥
AKT faced heavy selling pressure around the weekly pivot at $2.0640 , leading to a significant correction of nearly **30%**. The big question now: **Is it time to open a swing long?**
Here’s my take👇
Although we’ve already seen a 30% drop, that doesn’t mean the downside is over . For a high-conviction swing long, patience is key. I’m watching **three key levels** to build a position safely — no FOMO here.
🔹 Long Area 1 : $1.1291 (25% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 2 : $0.9722 (35% allocation)
🔹 Long Area 3 : $0.8234 (40% allocation)
💡 This is my ultimate swing long setup . Scaling in at these levels provides a better risk-reward profile rather than chasing the bounce.
But what if price only taps **Long Area 1** and then reverses? That’s fine too. The priority is **capital preservation and strategic entries**, not catching every single move.
✅ Focus: Make more with less risk
❌ Avoid: Emotional entries and overexposure
📌 Not financial advice. Do your own research. Trade safe! 🧠💰
#AKT #SwingTrade #CryptoAnalysis #TradingStrategy #DYOR #Altcoins
ETH Holding Long-Term Support – Road to $4K Open?CRYPTOCAP:ETH has successfully bounced from a long-term rising trendline that has acted as strong support since 2020. This trendline has historically triggered major bullish moves, and it’s doing its job once again.
Notably, ETH has also reclaimed the mid support/resistance level, which had previously acted as a key flip zone in past market cycles.
With both the trendline and horizontal support holding, the structure looks bullish. If momentum continues, ETH could head toward the upper resistance line, potentially targeting $4,000+ in the coming months.
The trend remains intact — this bounce could mark the start of a major leg up.